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MPR 25 220
representation of unobservable concepts by latent vari- prediction or subsequent analyses. As it turns out, these
ables makes CB-SEM especially relevant to psychiatry situations are especially frequent in psychiatric research.
and related disciplines, where patients’ mental characteris- In this article, we aim to provide a comprehensive
tics are often measured following the psychometric introduction to the PLS-SEM method intended for
approach (e.g. the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale for CB-SEM users in the field of psychiatric research. We
depression). While this method is well adapted at briefly describe the PLS-SEM approach in comparison to
advanced stages of the theory-building process, it has CB-SEM, and provide rule of thumbs for its usage. We
some requirements that limit its application in some also discuss the situations in psychiatric research where
situations, in particular a relatively large sample size (the the advantages of PLS-SEM could be exploited alongside
generally admitted lower limit being 200 for a standard its limitations, with an illustration using data on suicidality
model) but also multivariate normality of data, and some among prisoners.
restrictions on model specification (Hair et al., 2013;
Kline, 2010).
An alternative method has developed in other research
Structural equation modelling (SEM)
fields (e.g. marketing, genetics, ecology), known as partial
least squares SEM (abbreviated PLS-SEM, also named SEM describe and analyse structured relationships
PLS-PM for partial least squares path modelling). It was between a set of variables. Some of these variables may
originally conceived by Wold as an alternative to represent unobservable concepts (e.g. depression, quality
CB-SEM for research situations that are “simultaneously of life) that are inferred from other directly observed
data-rich and theory-primitive” (Wold, 1985). While both variables (named indicator or manifest variables). The
methods use similar graphical representations, there are general term for variables representing unobserved
many differences between CB-SEM and PLS-SEM. Essen- concepts is “construct”. The relations between variables
tially, the constructs used in PLS-SEM to model unobserv- are often represented by using a diagram. Typically,
able concepts do not rely on the traditional psychometric squares represent observed variables, ovals or rounds
perspective that is at the basis of CB-SEM. PLS-SEM has represent constructs and relationships are shown as arrows
its own statistical properties and estimation algorithm. It (Figure 1). The hypothesized direction of causality of
is more suitable to preliminary studies, where researchers relationships is carried by one-way arrows. The path
aim to develop a theoretical model and identify preemi- model thus formed translates into to a set of equations.
nent dependencies between concepts, and often work with One of the main outcomes of both CB- and PLS-SEM
smaller sample sizes. It is also better suited to studies that consists of paths parameters that quantify and test the
require estimation of individual construct scores for hypothesized relationships between variables.
The similarity between CB- and PLS-SEM ends here. less influence on the sample size requirements. This allows
CB-SEM is a factor-based technique, where constructs PLS-SEM to handle more complex models while staying
behave like latent variables in a psychometric sense and computationally efficient, and to achieve high levels of sta-
are validated using the psychometric theory. Hence, mea- tistical power even with smaller sample sizes (Reinartz
surement error issues are directly addressed by the model et al., 2009). Another implication is that, as individual
(Gefen et al., 2011). CB-SEM is most useful when values of the constructs are at the core of the estimation
researchers aim to refine and organize a set of trends into process, these scores values can be used for predictive
a theoretical model, and test whether the obtained theory purposes or subsequent analyses. This supports the orien-
is compatible with actual data. Therefore, a very important tation of PLS-SEM towards prediction instead of correla-
outcome is the goodness-of-fit of the theoretical model to tion, and the use of coefficients of determination (R2)
the available data. Several indices exist, the most popular and other prediction-oriented indices for validation. How-
being the standardized root mean square residual ever, since the set of structural equations is handled
(SRMSR), the non-normed fit index (NNFI) and the root sequentially instead of globally, the counterpart is that
mean square error of approximation (RMSEA). Statistical the validation procedure must cover the different subparts
tests of goodness-of-fit are also available. However, of the model. As of now, no available global goodness-
goodness-of-fit tests only cannot lead to formal accepta- of-fit index is appropriate for this task (Henseler and
tion or rejection of a hypothesis. This way of considering Sarstedt, 2012). PLS-SEM is thus less suited for testing
the model is directly related to the underlying properties the adequacy of a comprehensive theory and for model
of the covariance-based approach. Basically, parameter es- selection or comparison (e.g. comparison of nested
timates are computed so that the theoretical covariance models or comparison of models on different population
between variables implied by these parameters is as close subsets). Furthermore, it is generally outperformed by
as possible to the covariance between variables from the CB-SEM in terms of parameter consistency and accuracy
data, usually with maximum likelihood (Chin, 1998). when sample size is above 250 (Reinartz et al., 2009).
Then, the final discrepancy between covariance matrices However, this method allows researchers to identify key
is measured by goodness-of-fit indices. As the whole relationships among multiple structured variables, which
method revolves around covariance, stable individual can be especially useful in early-stage exploratory or
values of the intermediate variables are difficult to esti- theory-primitive situations.
mate. This point (known as “factor indeterminacy”) can
be problematic when estimates of latent variable scores
Specifying a PLS-SEM model
are needed for prediction or subsequent analyses (Rigdon,
2012). Several restrictions originate from the underlying PLS-SEM uses a specific language to describe the path
statistical properties of the procedure: multivariate model. The constructs are linked to a set of observed var-
normality of data and a relatively high sample size. iables (also called measurement or indicator variables)
By contrast, in a similar way to multiple linear regres- which can be of continuous, scaled ordinal or binary
sion, the objective of PLS-SEM is the maximization of nature and form a block. There are two main forms of
the explained variance of the dependent variables, and measurement. The mode A (or reflective) is similar to
the model is mostly evaluated through its predictive capa- the approach used in CB-SEM, factor analysis and in the
bilities. To model unobserved concepts, PLS-SEM uses item response theory. It assumes that the direction of
composites that must be considered as proxies for the fac- causality goes from the construct to the indicators, i.e.
tors which they replace, likewise principal component indicators are observable manifestations of an underlying
analysis in comparison to factor analysis (Rigdon, 2012). unobservable concept. For instance in Figure 2, the con-
These composites are mere linear combinations of the struct E is measured with mode A by a block of three
related block of indicator variables. Hence, they are indicator variables (x1, x2 and x3). On the contrary, a
numerically defined, and are computed through a series mode B (or formative) measurement model assumes that
of ordinary least squares regressions for each of the sepa- the indicators are causing the construct, e.g. F in Figure 2.
rate subparts of the path model, that are put in relation However, this type of measure should be used with
to achieve convergence. The final estimations of the additional caution, as validation and interpretation of
constructs’ scores are then used to compute the rest of formatively measured constructs remain delicate, and in
the parameters of interest (weights, loadings and path need of additional research.
coefficients). A consequence of this sequential process is Within the path model, a distinction is made between
that the complexity of the full model is reduced, and has the set of measurement blocks (called outer or
measurement model) and the set of relations between the and variance = 1). Each construct’s score is estimated
constructs (called inner or structural model). Constructs as a weighted sum of their indicators, then scaled.
that are at the receiving end of at least one arrow (e.g. G) (2) Inner approximation: The values of the initial inner
are called endogenous, and constructs that are connected coefficients depend on the weighting scheme used. Dif-
only to outgoing arrow (e.g. E and F) are called exogenous. ferent weighting schemes are available, path weighting
Some rules must be kept in mind when specifying the path being the recommended approach. Each construct’s
model: (1) no recursive loops; (2) no unmeasured con- score is estimated as a weighted sum of its neighbouring
struct; (3) each indicator must appear only once and be constructs’ scores (from Step 1), then scaled.
linked to only one construct. Observable variables (that are (3) Outer approximation: The outer coefficients are now
measured directly and not through indicators) can also be di- recalculated through ordinary least squares regression
rectly included in the inner model (if the theory supports it) on the basis of the constructs’ scores (from Step 2).
in the form of a construct measured by only one indicator. The computation depends on the measurement mode
of the construct:
Statistical properties
• Mode A: each of the related indicators’ loadings is
As was stated previously, the aim of the PLS-SEM estimated by simple regression, with the indicator as
algorithm is the maximization of the explained variance the dependent variable.
of all the endogenous variables, e.g. G in Figure 2. The • Mode B: all of the related indicators’ weights are
estimation process follows an algorithm based on a series estimated by multiple regression, with the construct
of distinct ordinary least squares regressions, going back as the dependent variable.
and forth between two ways of estimating a construct’s
(4) The constructs’ scores are then recalculated using the
score (by an aggregation of its indicators or by a combina-
outer coefficients (from Step 3). If convergence is
tion of neighbouring constructs’ scores), minimizing
achieved (according to a predefined tolerance, gener-
residual variance at each step and stopping when the
ally 10 5), the final estimations for the outer loadings
estimates are stabilized under a specified tolerance value
(relevant to constructs measured with Mode A), the
(Chin, 1998). In detail, the PLS-SEM algorithm estimates
outer weights (relevant to constructs measured with
the constructs’ scores in four steps:
Mode B), the path coefficients and the resulting R2
(1) Initialization: The outer coefficients are fixed to one, values are computed from the construct’s final scores.
and the indicators are centred and scaled (mean = 0 Otherwise, the algorithm goes back to Step 2.
Contrary to the latent variables used in CB-SEM, the satisfactory, or if deletion of the indicator does not lead
computation of the constructs’ scores in PLS-SEM does to an increase of the AVE of the corresponding construct).
not involve measurement error. This leads to a bias in (3) Discriminant validity judges whether constructs that
the estimation of parameters known as “consistency at are not related in the model are truly distinct. It is gener-
large”: theoretically, unless sample size and the number ally assessed by examining the cross loadings (an indica-
of indicators per construct become infinite, path coeffi- tor’s outer loading on the linked construct should be
cients are underestimated while outer coefficients are higher than all of its loadings on the other constructs)
overestimated. However, simulation studies have shown and the Fornell–Larcker criterion (the square root of the
that this bias is quantitatively low in most situations, and average variance extracted of a construct should exceed
that CB-SEM and PLS-SEM estimates converge with large its correlation with any other construct).
sample size if the CB-SEM assumptions are respected Evaluation of Mode B (or formative) measurement
(Barroso et al., 2010; Reinartz et al., 2009; Ringle et al., models differs from Mode A, as the underlying hypothesis
2009). This bias should also be compared to the highly of a formative measure is that the indicators represent the
distorted estimates produced by CB-SEM in the situations entirety of the construct’s distinct causes (without error).
where PLS-SEM is likely to be used: low sample size and In that context, interval consistency is irrelevant and the
high model complexity. focus should be on ensuring that the indicators actually
account for all (or most) of the construct’s causes. This
Evaluation of the model’s results first requires an exhaustive literature review on the subject
prior to the creation of the questionnaires. At the analysis
Contrary to CB-SEM, no reliable goodness-of-fit criterion
stage, the evaluation involves: (1) redundancy analysis; (2)
is available to assess the global validity of the model
detection of collinearity issues; (3) assessment of the rele-
(Henseler and Sarstedt, 2012). Hence, the model must be
vance of the formative indicators. (1) Redundancy analysis
meticulously evaluated using a series of criteria that
estimates the capacity of a formatively measured construct
separately assess the quality of each part of the path model
to predict an independent measure of the same unob-
(Hair et al., 2013).
served concept (that can be by using a single global item
representing the concept or a construct reflectively mea-
Evaluation of the measurement model
sured by a set of indicator variables). Obviously, inclusion
The PLS-SEM algorithm relies heavily on the aggregation of such redundant items must be anticipated before data
of indicators variables to infer the constructs’ scores. collection. (2) Collinearity issues can hinder interpretation
Moreover, the computation does not include measure- of formatively measured constructs (as in multiple linear
ment error, whereas the utilization of latent variables in regression), since indicators are not supposed to be highly
CB-SEM does. Therefore, it is essential to keep in mind correlated with each other (variance inflation factor values
that the relevance of the results is entirely subordinate to < 5 are acceptable). (3) The relevance of formative indica-
the quality of the measurement model. tors is evaluated through the examination of the outer
Evaluation of Mode A (or reflective) measurement weights, which represent each indicator’s relative contri-
relies on three characteristics: (1) internal consistency; bution to the construct (as there is no error term, 100%
(2) convergent validity; (3) discriminant validity. (1) of the construct is explained by its indicators). The
Internal consistency relates to the intercorrelations among significance of the outer weights can be tested using
the indicator variables, reflecting the reliability of the bootstrapping. Indicator with insignificant outer weight
measurement. It is also close to the unidimensionality should be considered for deletion if its absolute contribu-
property. Internal consistency is typically assessed by scree tion to the construct (measured by its outer loading) and
plots, Cronbach’s α or more appropriately by Dillon– its theoretical importance are weak. In any case, modifying
Goldstein’s ρ (values > 0.7 are generally considered as a theoretical model should never be done only on the basis
acceptable). (2) Convergent validity refers to the degree of statistical outcomes, and a description of the results
to which an indicator relates to the other indicators of from both full and modified models should always be
the same construct. It is evaluated by the average variance reported.
extracted (AVE) of each construct (value > 0.5 means that
the construct explains more than half of the variance of its
Evaluation of the structural model
indicators) and by the outer loading of each indicator
(values > 0.7 are recommended; or > 0.4 if the indicator Once the validity of the measurement model is insured,
is theoretically important and the corresponding AVE is the assessment of the structural model results allows to
Table 2. Factor analysis of the multi-item constructs days. Regarding PTSD symptoms, we chose to measure
PTSD with a single item: the diagnostic of PTSD according
Construct Indicators’ loadings Cronbach’s α the DSM-IV. Missing values in the remaining items were
imputed using multivariate imputation by chained
Childhood separation: 0.561 0.82 equations (except for sexual abuse that was dismissed for
adversity (CHILD) placement: 0.998
having 52 missing values for 59 subjects) (van Buuren
sexual abuse:
and Groothuis-Oudshoorn, 2011).
discardeda
judge for
juveniles: 0.847
death of a Construction of the measurement models
close relative: As the relevance of PLS-SEM results are highly dependent
discardeda
on the measurement models, it is important to ensure the
Depression (DEP) depressed 0.88
quality of the measure even before constructing the path
mood: 0.891
anhedonia: 0.891
model. In this illustration, four constructs corresponding
Suicidality (SUIC) death wish: 0.799 0.90 to unobservable concepts must be included in the struc-
pain wish: 0.818 tural model: childhood adversity (CHILD), depression
suicidal thoughts: (DEP), PTSD and suicidality (SUIC). Scree plots, factor
0.859 analysis and Cronbach’s α were used to select the appro-
suicidal plan: 0.875 priate indicator variables to ensure the unidimensionality
recent suicidal of the multi-item measures (Table 2).
attempt: discardeda
lifelong suicidal
attempt: discardeda Construction of the structural model
a
Sexual abuse was discarded because of the large number This study explores the influence of childhood adversity
of missing values and the remaining items (death of a close on suicidal behaviour in male prisoners in long-term de-
relative, recent suicidal attempt and lifelong suicidal at- tention, mediated by depression and PTSD. A simple,
tempt) were discarded because of insufficient loadings correspondent path model is described in Figure 3. It
(<0.4). suggests that the influence of childhood adversity on
current suicidality can be direct, or mediated by current
PTSD symptoms. We have therefore resolved to measure depressive symptoms or a diagnostic of PTSD. It also
depression symptoms with only two unfiltered items: cur- implies that a diagnostic of PTSD affects current depres-
rent sadness and current anhedonia lasting for at least 14 sive symptoms.
Figure 3. The structural model depicting the hypothetical influence of childhood adversity mediated by depression and post-
traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) on suicidal behaviour in male prisoners in long-term detention.
Table 3. Assessment of the results of the measurement models: internal consistency (Cronbach’s α and Dillon–Goldstein’s
ρ), convergent validity (loadings and average variance extracted [AVE]) and discriminant validity (cross loadings)
Childhood adversity (CHILD) 0.82 0.89 separation 0.631 0.17 0.11 0.00 0.73
placement 0.98 0.27 0.07 0.28
judge for juveniles 0.92 0.07 0.01 0.26
0.88 0.94 depressed mood 0.01 0.06 0.93 0.44 0.89
Depression (DEP) anhedonia 0.06 0.18 0.96 0.57
0.90 0.93 death wish 0.14 0.10 0.48 0.85 0.77
pain wish 0.26 0.18 0.44 0.87
suicidal thoughts 0.30 0.18 0.58 0.92
Suicidality (SUIC) suicidal plan 0.19 0.14 0.34 0.88
*This indicator did not satisfy discriminant validity (loadings <0.7), but was retained as AVE was well above 0.5.
Table 4. The Fornell–Lacker criterion: the square root of the Model estimation and evaluation
average variance extracted (AVE) of a construct should
exceed any of its correlation coefficient with the other The full model was estimated in R 3.1.2 with package
constructs semPLS (Monecke and Leisch, 2012; R Core Team,
2013), using the path weighting scheme and a tolerance
Inter-construct correlation limit of 10 5. Convergence was achieved after 10 itera-
tions. We conducted the evaluation of the results accord-
Constructs √AVE CHILD PTSD DEP SUIC ing to previously discussed, starting with the evaluation
of the results of the measurement models. The model in-
Childhood adversity 0.86 1 0.21 0.03 0.26 cluded three constructs measured with Mode A (CHILD,
(CHILD) DEP and SUIC) and a single-item measure (PTSD). Inter-
Depression (DEP) 0.95 0.03 0.08 1 0.54 nal consistency was acceptable for all three measured
Suicidality (SUIC) 0.88 0.26 0.17 0.54 1
multi-item constructs (Table 3). Convergent validity was
also satisfactory, as AVE was well above 0.5 for all three
constructs and all but one outer loadings were above 0.7.
Figure 4. Final model of the influence of childhood adversity mediated by depression and post-traumatic stress disorder
(PTSD) on suicidal behaviour in male prisoners in long-term detention (significant coefficients are marked by a star).
The remaining item (separation) was retained as it was secondary with DAG, which are more conceptual tools
considered important and the AVE of the corresponding rather than numerical procedures.
construct was above 0.5. No issue concerning discriminant Over time, the prevailing method has become CB-
validity was detected by the examination of the cross load- SEM, a well-tested factor-based technique that is primarily
ings nor by the Fornell–Lacker criterion (Table 4). adapted to test whether a comprehensive theoretical
As the validity of the measurement models was insured, model is compatible with data. However, this approach
we proceeded to the assessment of the results of the struc- raises some issues, although ongoing developments could
tural model. The proposed model’s predictive capabilities solve some of them. For instance, CB-SEM estimation
were intermediate for the suicidality (R2 = 0.36; Q2 = algorithms do not converge easily, resulting in a need for
0.13), but very weak for PTSD (R2 = 0.05; Q2 = 0.01) larger sample sizes. Moreover, the inclusion of binary
and depression (R2 = 0.01; Q2 = 0.11). This reflects the variables and the calculation of factor score estimates
relatively small influence exerted by childhood adversity (i.e. “factor indeterminacy”) are possible but not straight-
on depression and PTSD. Path coefficients confirmed this forward (Diamantopoulos, 2011; Prescott, 2004). But
interpretation, as only the path coefficient between fundamentally, the central role of latent variables, as
depression and suicidality indicated a strong and signifi- defined by the traditional psychometric perspective, can
cant relation (β = 0.53; 95% confidence interval [CI] be problematic. Besides the fact that the notion of latent
[0.25; 0.76] – 95% CIs were obtained by bootstrapping variable is often confusing to non-specialists, their very
with 500 iterations). The other results of interest showed epistemological nature is still debated among experts
a significant association between childhood adversity and (Markus and Borsboom, 2013). The near-monopoly of
PTSD (β = 0.21 with 95% CI [0.06; 0.41]) and an interme- reflectively measured latent variables in research involving
diate relation, although statistically non-significant, theoretical constructs is also increasingly challenged, as
between childhood adversity and suicidality (β = 0.23 with other ways to conceptualize the relationship between
95% CI [ 0.08; 0.47]). All path coefficients and outer observable variables and unobservable concepts emerge.
loadings values are presented in Figure 4. Effect size For instance, instead of reflecting the common influence
confirmed this interpretation, showing a large effect of of a construct, the observable variables may determine a
depression on suicidality (f2 = 0.42) and a small effect of common effect (formative measurement), or may form a
childhood adversity on suicidality (f2 = 0.08). It appears network of causal relations (Rigdon et al., 2011; Rossiter,
from this exploratory study that little influence is exerted 2011; Schmittmann et al., 2013).
by childhood issues on suicidality in male prisoners in In this context, PLS-SEM can appear as a pragmatic
long-term detention, neither directly nor mediated by and promising alternative. At its core, PLS-SEM has been
depression and PTSD. criticized for its use of composite-based proxies instead
of latent variables. Conceptually, the difference between
CB- and PLS-SEM is of the same nature than the differ-
Conclusion
ence between factor analysis and principal component
Clinical and epidemiological research in the field of analysis. While some authors discard principal component
psychiatry often uses methods that assess the association analysis as a convenient but inferior approximation of
between one outcome and one or several predictors, e.g. factor analysis, a more sensible approach would be to
linear or logistic regression models. Such methods, some- consider both as dimension reduction techniques, that
times called “first-generation techniques”, are not well typically yield very similar results in common practice
suited to a discipline where the ways in which risk factors (Steiger and Schönemann, 1978; Velicer and Jackson,
may work together to influence and outcome are so com- 1990). The same reasoning can be applied to PLS-SEM,
plex and intricate (Kraemer et al., 2001). Models involving which should be considered as a simpler, adaptive and
structural relationships between a large number of vari- complementary alternative to CB-SEM. PLS-SEM is espe-
ables have been developed early on to overcome this issue, cially useful in the early stage of exploratory research, i.e.
starting with Wright’s path analysis (Wright, 1934). when the objective is to identify key relationships among
Several evolutions have followed, such as multivariate the variables, and not to quantify whether the discoveries
dependencies (Cox and Wermuth, 1996) and directed are likely to hold in a new sample (Leek and Peng,
acyclic graphs (Greenland et al., 1999). Graphical chain 2015). As it has a different theoretical background, it
model such as directed acyclic graphs (DAG) can be con- requires the use of specifically developed standards for
sidered as an alternative to PLS-SEM and even CB-SEM. conception, validation and interpretation of the model,
But the question of the estimation of path coefficients is some of which are still discussed (Rigdon, 2012). Notably,
it is essential to keep in mind that the relevance of the studies, which can later be refined and organized as a
results relies largely on the high quality of the measure- comprehensive model in larger, more ambitious studies
ment models. When this condition is satisfied, known bias using CB-SEM. Nevertheless, in order to make SEM
(i.e. “consistency at large”) become negligible in practice, methods more than a mere exercise of model fitting,
and PLS-SEM results are very close to those of CB-SEM, they should be used to gather and organize insight on
with even better performance when sample size dimin- a particular problem for the purpose of later indepen-
ishes (Reinartz et al., 2009). However, further research is dent testing and confirmation. One should bear in mind
needed to better understand the implications of the under- that the results from SEM techniques are exploratory in
lying theory and to fully appreciate the extent to which nature and should be interpreted with caution even
PLS-SEM can be applied, particularly regarding the use when applied correctly. Specifically, the results of SEM
of formative measurement models and of mediating and analysis heavily rely on the a priori model that is based
moderating variables. on the researcher’s initial hypotheses, who can omit
In psychiatric research, the relation between disorders confounding factors or important links between
and their determinants are particularly intricate. It is variables. Another source of bias can arise from
essential to provide researchers with methods that can interpretational confounding, i.e. the divergence between
reflect the complex connections between outcome and empirical and theoretical meanings (Burt, 1976).
multiple risk factors that can be theorized. Additionally, Definitive conclusions with clinical implications can only
a formal representation of this complexity can only rein- arise from repeated, well-designed studies using fewer
force the clearness of the scientific process. Formerly, assumptions and more robust methods, like randomized
this kind of method was only suitable to studies with controlled trials.
very large sample sizes. This considerably hampered the
research effort on infrequent psychiatric diseases (e.g. Acknowledgements
autism or anorexia nervosa) and on specific population
The authors wish to thank the reviewer for many useful com-
subsets (e.g. prisoners). Researchers in these fields could
ments on this article, some of which were included in the final
benefit from PLS-SEM, a promising exploratory tech- version.
nique well adapted to these situations. Hence, both
SEM techniques could successively intervene at different
Declaration of interest statement
stages of the theory-building process. PLS-SEM allows
the identification of correlation trends in small-scale The authors have no competing interests.
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