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7. F. F. Furstenberg,Jr.,K. A. Moore and J. L. Peter- 11. D. Kirby,1984,op. cit. (see reference 5). 17. R. Roemerand J. M. Paxman,"Sex EducationLaws
son, "Sex Educationand Sexual ExperienceAmongAdo- and Policies," Studies in FamilyPlanning,10:219,1985;
lescents,"AmericanJournalof Public Health, 75:1131, 12. M. T. Orr, "Sex Educationand ContraceptiveEdu- H. Rodman, S. H. Lewis and S. B. Griffith, The Sexual
1985. cation in U.S. Public High Schools," FamilyPlanning Rightsof Adolescents:Competence,Vulnerability, and
Perspectives,14:304,1982. ParentalControl,ColumbiaUniversity Press,New York,
8. M. Zelnik and Y. J. Kim, 1982, op. cit. (see refer-
1984; M. L. Finkeland D. J. Finkel,"PublicPolicyand
ence 2). 13. W. H. Sewell and V. P. Shah, "Parents'Education AdolescentSextialBehaviorin the UnitedStates,"Social
and Children's Educational Aspirationsand Achieve-
9. Family GrowthSurveyBranch,NationalCenter for ments,"AmericanSociologicalReview,33:191, 1968. Biology, 30:140, 1983; W. Marsiglio,"Confronting the
Health Statistics, "Abortion Reporting in the 1982 Teenage PregnancyIssue: Social Marketingas an Inter-
NSFG," Hyattsville,Md., 1985; and M. Zelnik,J. F. 14. M. Guggenheimand A. Sussman, The Rightsof disciplinaryApproach,"Hunan Relations,38:983, 1985;
Kantnerand K. Ford, Sex and PregnancyinAdolescence, YoungPeople, Bantam,New York,1985. and P. Scales, "The New Oppositionto Sex Education:A
Sage, BeverlyHills, 1981,Table B-4, p. 22. Powerfutl Threat to a Democratic Society,"Journalof
15. M. T. Orr, 1982,op. cit. (see reference12). School Health,51:300, 1981.
10. J. R. Kahnand S. L. Hofferth, "NationalEstimatesof
Teenage Sexual Activity:EvaluatingtheComparability of 16. L. S. Zabin, J. F. Kantnerand M. Zelnik,"The Risk 18. P. Scales, "The ChangingContextofSexualityEdut-
Three NationalSurveys,"1985;and M. Zelnik,J.Kantner of AdolescentPregnancyin the First Monthsof Inter- cation: Paradigmsand Challenges for AlternativeFu-
and K. Ford, 1981,op. cit. (see reference9). course,"FamilyPlanningPerspectives,11:215,1979. tutres,"
Famnily Relations,35:265, 1986.
By Deborah AnneDawson
162 FamilyPlanningPerspectives
164 FamilyPlanningPerspectives
Intercept -1.255 -0.415 0.293 -0.744 -1.363 | -1.907 -0.415 0.293 -0.744 -1.363
Notes: For definitionofassumptions1 and 2, see Table 4. Allcoefficients
shownare significant
at p<0.05; nonsignificant
coefficientsare indicatedbydashes; coefficientsdiffer
underassumptions 1 and 2 onlywhenthecontraceptive educationvariableis among those includedinthe reduced model. Inthistable and Tables 7 and 9, SMSA = standard
metropolitan statisticalarea.
the data failto showany consistenteffectof withTable 4. Backwardsstepwiseregression grade level attainedby women her age-
priorsex educationon theprobability offirst was used to eliminateall predictorvariables shows a consistentnegativeassociationwith
intercourse. that were not statisticallysignificantat the transition at ages 14-17,itis
to sexualactivity
However, the approach used in Table 4 p<O.05 level;theresultsofthefinal,reduced not clear thatthisfactorreducesthe riskof
failsto accountforthe effects ofanypossible modelsare showninTable 5. firstcoitus. Rather,the negativecoefficients
socioeconomicor demographicdifferences In only one model-that predictingfirst mayresultfroman effectofadolescentpreg-
between the sex education subgroups.To coitusat age 14 underthesecondassumption nancy on educational attainment,in that
address thisproblem,we estimatedfivelo- tion-does sex educationshow a significantsome ofthewomenwho initiatesexualactiv-
gisticregressionmodelspredictinginitiation effect: Prior contraceptiveeducation in- ityduringadolescencebecomepregnantand
ofpremaritalintercourse withinone yearfol- creases the odds ofstartingintercourse at 14 drop out of school, eitherpermanentlyor
lowingthe 14th, 15th,16th,17thand 18th by a factorof 1.5.* (Receipt of pregnancy temporarily.
birthdays;thesemodels,whichadjustforthe education alone has no significant effectat
effectsof demographicand otherfactorson any age.) Since the probabilityof starting Contraceptive Knowledge and Practice
the outcome variable, include among the coitus at age 14 is only seven percent(see The 1982 NSFG asked teenagerespondents
predictorstwo dummyvariablesrepresent- Table 3), an odds ratioof 1.5 has minimal whethertheyknewthetimeduringthemen-
ing sex educationexperienceat the startof implicationsforthe overallincidenceoffirst strualcyclewhenconceptionis mostlikelyto
the period of observation.We ran twover- intercourseduringadolescence. occur (theywere read a listof choices)and
sions of each model, reflecting the two as- Several othervariables,in contrast,dem- whether they knew how to use any of 14
sumptionsdescribed above in connection onstrateconsistentsignificant effectson the methodsofbirthcontrol.t Thirty-two percent
initiationof intercourse.Churchattendance were able to identifythe time duringthe
one or moretimesa weekreducestheoddsof menstrualcycle when conceptionis most
*The odds ratiois obtainedbyexponentiatingthelogistic
regressioncoefficient;
first
coitusat all ages,and maternaleducation likely.The proportion was overtwiceas high
the 95 percentconfidenceinterval
is 1.0-2.2. of 12 or more years and presence of both for nonblackteenagers(34 percent)as for
parentsin the home at age 14 both reduce blackteenagers(16 percent),and itincreased
fThe possibleanswersto the questionon the menstrual
cycle were rightbeforeperiod begins, duringperiod, the odds at ages 14-16. Residence in any from15 percentat age 15 to 42 percentatage
about a week afterperiodbegins,about twoweeksafter regionoutside the Northeastappears to in- 19. A logisticregressionmodel predicting
period begins,and it makesno differenceall timesare crease the likelihoodoffirstcoitusat age 14, correctknowledgefoundno statistically sig-
the same. The contraceptivemethodsinquiredabout at
least in the modelbased on assumption1. nificanteffectassociatedwithreceiptoffor-
were the pill, condom,foam,jellyor cream,suppository,
diaphragm,douche, IUD, femaleand male sterilization, Although
the teenager'sown educationalat- mal pregnancyor contraceptive educationat
naturalfamilyplanning,rhythm,withdrawaland absti- tainment-definedin thisanalysisas attain- any time, althoughthe crude (unadjusted)
nence. ment equal to or higherthan the median proportionswere 21 percentforadolescents
166 FamilyPlanningPerspectives
The variablesfurnished bythe1982NSFG The NSFG data show that31 percentof Table 8 shows,forall teenagerswho ini-
are poor predictorsofcurrentuse ofcontra- 15-19-year-oldswho have engaged in pre- tiateintercoursebeforemarriage,thecumu-
ceptives. The onlyfactorsfoundto increase maritalintercourse have experiencedat least lativelife-tableprobability offirst premarital
the likelihoodofcurrentuse fornever-mar- one premaritalpregnancy.The proportions pregnancyby variousmonthsfollowing first
ried teenagersat riskofan unintendedpreg- are 45 percentforblack adolescentsand 27 coitus. Four percent conceive withinone
nancyare the teenager'seducationalattain- percentforotheryoungwomen;thedifferen-monthofinitiating intercourse (i.e., byexact
ment, pregnancyhistoryand frequencyof tialpersists,thoughit is slightly diminished, monthone), 12 percent,withinsix months,
intercourse.Formalsex educationexertsno afteradjustmentforpovertystatus.Among and 19 percent,withinone year.The median
statistically
significanteffecton currentuse adolescentswho have conceivedpremarital- durationto firstpregnancy(thatis, theinter-
-a somewhatunexpectedfindinggivenits ly, the mean age at the firstsuchconception val withinwhichone-halfofpremaritally sex-
significantassociationwithever-use.Had we is 16.6, withno difference by race. Twelve ually active teenagers conceive) is 44.8
been able to includein themodeldataabout percent of premaritally pregnantteenagers months-37.0 monthsforblack adolescents
the regularityof intercourseat the time of conceive withinone month of firstinter- and 48.8 forothers(notshown).
interview(data notprovidedby the NSFG), course,and 56 percent,withinone year.The Table 8 also showsthe probability ofpre-
an associationbetween sex education and average numberofmonthsbetweenfirstin- marital pregnancyamong sexually active
currentuse mighthave been detected. tercourseand firstpremaritalpregnancyis adolescentsaccordingtoreceiptofsexeduca-
14.1-15.5 monthsforblack teenagersand tion prior to firstintercourse. t Under the
Premarital Pregnancy 13.6 forotheradolescents. firstofthe twoassumptionswe have applied
Analysisoftheeffects ofsexeducationon the
riskof adolescentpregnancyis impairedby
Table 7. Amongwomenaged 15-19whohavehad premarital intercourse, likelihood ofhaving
the seriousunderreporting ofinducedabor- ever
used a contraceptive method;amongever-users,likelihoodofhavingused a methodat
tions in the 1982 NSFG. Respondentsaged firstintercourse;and among never-married womenat riskof unintendedpregnancy,likeli-
15-19 are estimatedto have reportedonly33 hood ofcurrently using:logitcoefficients
percent of the abortionsthey obtained in
Characteristic Ever- Use atfirstcoitus Current
1981. Estimatesby race amongwomen 15-
use use
44 (comparableestimatesforteenagersare Assum. 1 Assum.2
notavailable)suggestan even greaterunder- (N= (N= (N= (N=
922) 804) 804) 679)
countamongblackteenagers.9
Because of the difficulty involvedin es- Age 16 - _ _
timatingthe timingof unreportedpregnan- Age 17 _ _
cies endingin abortionand in identifyingthe Age 18 0.422 -
women who mighthave experiencedthem, Age 19 - - -0.391
we have made no adjustmentsin the preg- Black 0.783 -0.793 -0.873
nancydata used forthisanalysis.According- Mother'seducation -12 yrs. 0.839 - -
ly, our estimates of the proportionsofsexu- Blackand mother'seducation -12 yrs. -1.305 0.546 0.536
allyactiveteenagerswhohaveexperienceda Livedwithbothparentsat age 14 - - -
premaritalpregnancyare too low and our Income above povertylevel - 0.426 0.417 -
168 FamilyPlanningPerspectives
170 FamilyPlanningPerspectives