Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
In business you have to make a lot of important decisions
In this course I will teach you the most important things about accounting & finance
you need to know to work without any problems during consulting projects 4
We will cover all the essential things that you need to know to work well during
consulting
Understanding the 3 financial
statements Financial indicators Modeling P&L Introduction to Valuation
5
Target Group What you will learn What you will get
Students that did not have finance How to read & analyze 3 main Ready made analysis in Excel
& accounting at the university financial statements Outline / overview of most
Management Consultants & Model Income Statement in Excel important terms
Business Analysts especially for Analyze financial ratios List of Recommended readings
those that did not finish economic Estimate the value of a firm (articles, books)
or business school
Managers
6
This course will help you master the most
important things in finance & accounting on the
level of top management consultants
7
How the course is
organized
8
In business you have to make a lot of important decisions
In this course I will teach you the most important things about accounting & finance
you need to know to work without any problems during consulting projects 9
Example of modeling
Profit & Loss / Income Balance sheet
P&L – FMCG business
statement statement
model
10
Profit & Loss statement
11
Profit & Loss statement –
Introduction
12
In this section we will discuss the following things
13
3 financial statements
14
There are 3 financial statements that you have to look at when
analyzing the firm
Shows how much money you Shows what you have / what Shows how much money the
have earned and did you you need to have a firm has actually generated
make a profit or a loss? legitimate business and what has consumed the
Shows how you did it, what Shows you also where you cash on 3 levels
where the revenue and how got the money from to buy You can see what the firm
much you had to spend in the things you have spends the cash on:
terms of costs to generate (shareholders, banks, investment, paying off debts,
them? suppliers, other borrowers buying back shares or maybe
etc.) paying of dividends
Cash is divided into 3
streams: Operating CF,
Investing CF and Financing
CF
15
What is the role of P&L
16
As we said previously there are 3 financial statements that you have to
look at when analyzing the firm
17
In this section we will discuss the P&L
18
We have previously said that there are 2 main goals of P&L / Income
statements
19
So we can say that the purpose of the P&L is to show you how you got
from the Revenue to the Net Profit.
20
To understand better the business we will divide revenue and costs into
more granular categories in the next lectures
21
Revenue –
General division
22
As we said the P&L consists of the following elements. Let’s get deeper
into Revenue
23
There are 3 ways in which you can get Revenue / incomes
24
That is why the revenue can be presented as 3 separate streams
25
Let’s also look at the alternative names for those components of
Revenue
Other operating
Net Sales Finance Income
income
26
Revenue – Case Introduction
27
Let’s imagine that you have to estimate the revenues of a burger chain.
Using data try to estimate the 3 groups of revenue & income 28
Using the below data try to estimate the revenue & income from 3
different sources
30
As we said the P&L consists of the following elements. Let’s get deeper
into Costs
31
There are 3 main components of costs
32
The costs we can divide into 3 main groups
33
Let’s also look at the alternative names for those components of Costs
Other operating
Opex Finance expense
costs
Costs and
Financial costs
expenses
Financial
Operating costs
expenses
34
Costs – Case Introduction
35
We are back to our burger chain in Spain. Using data
try to estimate the 3 groups of costs / expenses. 36
Using the data try to estimate the costs in 3 groups
38
Just as reminder this is how the general income statements looks like
39
Since we can present revenue in the form of 3 main components…..
40
….corresponding to 3 elements in the costs. It means that we can get
everything together in the P&L / income statements
41
Now let’s get everything together and see different levels of Profit / Income
Other Other
Interest Operating Interest Corporate
Revenue + income
+ operating - Expenses
- operating - expense
- Tax (CIT)
= Net Profit
revenue expenses
Other Other
Operating Interest Interest Corporate
Revenue - Expenses
+ operating - operating + income
- expense
- Tax (CIT)
= Net Profit
revenue expenses
Corporate
Tax (CIT) =
Profit (loss) before income tax - Net Profit
42
Now let’s get everything together and see different levels of Profit / Income
Other Other
Interest Operating Interest Corporate Net
Revenue + income
+ operating - Expenses
- operating - expense
- Tax (CIT)
= Income
revenue expenses
Other Other
Operating Interest Interest Corporate Net
Revenue - Expenses
+ operating - operating + income
- expense
- Tax (CIT)
= Income
revenue expenses
Corporate Net
- Tax (CIT) =
Income (loss) before income tax
Income
43
Now let’s get everything together and see different levels of Profit / Income
Other Other
Interest Operating Interest Corporate Net Profit
Revenue + income
+ operating - Expenses
- operating - expense
- Tax (CIT)
= / Income
revenue expenses
Other Other
Operating Interest Interest Corporate Net Profit
Revenue - Expenses
+ operating - operating + income
- expense
- Tax (CIT)
= / Income
revenue expenses
44
Profit & Loss statement –
Case Introduction
45
Now let’s get the revenues and costs that you have estimated previously together.
Try using previous calculations to estimate the Profits / Income on different levels.
46
Now try to estimate Profits / Income on different levels
48
Now let’s see how we can present the evolution of revenue and profits on a slide.
This will be one of the ways you can show the Profit & Loss elements 49
Below how you can present it in the form of a slide
34,5
Revenue Operating Operating Other operating Operating Interest Profit (loss) Tax Net Profit
expenses Income- regular income (loss) Income expense net before income
taxes
50
Alternative names for Income /
Profit
51
Just as a reminder we had the following levels of profits
Other Other
Interest Operating Interest Corporate Net Profit
Revenue + income
+ operating - Expenses
- operating - expense
- Tax (CIT)
= / Income
revenue expenses
Other Other
Operating Interest Interest Corporate Net Profit
Revenue - Expenses
+ operating - operating + income
- expense
- Tax (CIT)
= / Income
revenue expenses
52
Below some other naming of Operating income
EBIT
53
Let’s have a look at alternative names for Income before income tax
EBT
54
Below some other naming of Interest Expense Net
55
Division of Operating Expenses
56
There are 2 general ways in which you can divide the operational expenses /
costs to present them to the Board of Management & shareholders
57
Let’s start with the division of operational expenses by type
Materials, Energy &
Utilities
External Services
Operating Expenses
Depreciation &
Amortization
Cost of goods and
materials sold
Other costs
58
Division of Operating Expenses
– by stages
59
As we said there are 2 ways in which you can divide the operational expenses. Let’s
look how it looks if we do it by stages
60
Let’s see how we divide operational expenses by stages
Operating Expenses
Selling & Marketing
costs
Selling, general and
Selling, general, administrative
R&D costs
administrative and expenses (SG&A)
other expenses General &
administrative costs
Operating Expenses
62
COGS alternative names
63
COGS are important part of Operating Expenses
Operating Expenses
Selling & Marketing
costs
Selling, general and
Selling, general, administrative
R&D costs
administrative and expenses SG&A
other expenses General &
administrative costs
COGS
Cost of Sales
Cost of Revenue
65
What is Gross Profit
66
Just as a reminder we had the following levels of profits. Quite often firms
introduce an intermediate level before the Operational Income
Other Other
Interest Operating Interest Corporate Net Profit
Revenue + income
+ operating - Expenses
- operating - expense
- Tax (CIT)
= / Income
revenue expenses
Other Other
Operating Interest Interest Corporate Net Profit
Revenue - Expenses
+ operating - operating + income
- expense
- Tax (CIT)
= / Income
revenue expenses
67
If we use the division of costs by stages we would have the following
results.
Revenue
- COGS
- Other costs
68
If we use the division of costs by stages we would have the following results.
Gross Profit is a intermediate step between Revenue and Operational Income.
Revenue
- Gross Profit
- COGS
- Other costs
69
If we squeeze Gross Margin after COGS we get the following result
Revenue
- COGS
= Gross Profit
- Other costs
70
When it comes to alternative names Gross Profit is often called Gross
Margin
Gross Profit
Gross Margin
GM
71
What is Net Margin
72
Some firms want to have additional intermediate step between Gross
Profit and Operating Income
Revenue
- COGS
- Other costs
73
If we squeeze Net Margin after Selling & Marketing costs we would get the following
result
Revenue
- COGS
= Net Margin
- Other costs
75
We are back to our burger restaurant chain case study. You will be asked to
estimate the Gross Profit / Margin given more detailed data on costs 76
Now try to estimate the Gross Profit
77
Gross Profit – Case Solution
78
Now let’s see how we can present the development of the Profit starting from
Revenue then moving on to Gross Profit / Margin to Net Profit / Income 79
Below how you can present it in the form of a slide
28,5
3,6
3,0
61,0 1,4
6,3
32,5
28,9 25,9 27,3
21,0
Revenue Cost of Gross Margin Selling & Net Margin Other Operating Interest Profit (loss) Tax Net Profit
Goods Sold Marketing Operting Income expense net before
(COGS) costs Expenses income taxes
80
Depreciation / Amortization –
a weird cost
81
Depreciation is a weird cost because it is not a cash cost and its size depends on the
assumed accounting policy. It is crucial also for determining the value of non-current assets.82
Depreciation is trying to estimate to what extent a fixed asset was used in a
specific period, what part of it’s value was transferred on products produced /
sold?
83
Let’s have a look how annual Depreciation can be calculated using straight line
deprecation
84
Let’s have a look how annual Depreciation can be calculated using straight line
deprecation
1
Depreciation rate =
Lifetime of usage in
years
86
Assets that can be depreciated should be treated in the following
manner
87
Assets that can be depreciated should be treated in the following
manner
88
Let’s calculate the depreciation for a truck we have just bought
The truck was purchased It will be used for 10 We will use the straight-
for USD 20 K years line depreciation
We assume that at the
end of the 10 years that
track will be worth 0
89
Let’s have a look how annual Depreciation can be calculated using straight line
deprecation
20 K
Truck Annual
= = 2K
Deprecation
10
Truck Annual
= 20 K x 10% = 2K
Deprecation
90
Assets that can be depreciated should be treated in the following
manner
The truck was purchased It will be used for 10 We will use the straight- Since we use the truck We use the following
for USD 20 K years line depreciation for 10 years and the truck formula for calculating
We assume that at the will be worth 0 at the end the value: Value at the
end of the 10 years that it means that every year end of the year = Value
track will be worth 0 that truck will “lose” 10% at the beginning of the
of its value year - Deprecation
This means that we At then end of the Year 1
calculate the annual the truck will be worth =
deprecation using the 20 K – 2 K = 18 K
following formula:
Depreciation = Value at
purchase x 10%
In our case it will be USD
20 K x 10% = USD 2 K
91
Remember that when it comes to assets the problem is that they have 3
different components that you have to track. On top of that every asset has to
be tracked separately
Sum of all
Gross book value
- (Accumulated) = Net book value
(Cost of the Asset)
Depreciation
92
Don’t mistake the Net book value of the asset with its market value,
which may be much bigger or much smaller
93
Now try to estimate the Net book value of the truck. Below some useful
information
95
Let’s imagine that you are supposed to calculate the depreciation
& amortization for a firm that does hand-made clay products. 96
A few information about the firm
98
When it comes to assets the problem is that they have 3 different components
that you have to track. On top of that every asset has to be tracked separately
Sum of all
Gross book value - = Net book value
Depreciation
99
When it comes to assets the problem is that they have 3 different components
that you have to track. On top of that every asset has to be tracked separately
FA Intangibles
Depreciation
P&L
FA Buildings
FA Transp eqmt
BS
FA Other Net book
value
100
Assumptions on fixed assets and depreciation
Intangibles – 20%
Buildings – 2,5%
Depreciation Equipment and Machinery - 10%
and Transportation – 20%
amortization Others – 20%
rates
101
What is EBITDA
102
Let’s start with the definition of EBITDA
103
We calculate it by adding back the Depreciation & Amortization
104
Why we do it? As we have discussed Depreciation is one of the Operating Costs
External Services
Operating Expenses
Depreciation &
Amortization
Cost of goods and
materials sold
Other costs
105
The problem with the Depreciation & Amortization is that it is not a
cash cost
Depreciation &
≠ Cash costs
Amortization
106
That is why we quite often bring back the Depreciation & Amortization and
calculate on the bases of that EBITDA
Revenue
- COGS
- Other costs
108
Just as reminder the Depreciation & Amortization are not cash costs
Depreciation &
≠ Cash costs
Amortization
109
Therefore, we can say that EBITDA is an estimation of Operating Profit if
we take into account only cash operating costs
110
There are 3 main reasons why managers, investors, analysts look at
EBITDA
Eliminates the effect of the It shows you roughly how EBITDA is not influenced by
biggest non-cash expense – much cash can firm the assumed policy for
the Depreciation & generates from Operations, depreciation & amortization
Amortization provided the company does EBITDA is a proxy of
Is not influenced by the not grow in revenues or the capability to generate Cash
capital structure growth does not require a lot EBITDA multiplier used in
of working capital many industries to valuate
It shows you roughly how businesses
much cash can company
generate for investors
(owners & banks) if big
Capex is not required
111
Modeling of Profit & Loss
statement for FMCG Firm
112
Modeling of Profit & Loss for
FMCG Firm – Introduction
113
In this section we will model the P&L statement for a cosmetics
firm. In this way I will show you how it is done in practice in Excel. 114
A few information about the firm
1 production site
2 sales channel
116
Introduction to FMCG
Business Model
117
We can be talking about 2 different models here
Private
label
118
Main challenges in FMCG
119
For branded FMCG product I propose to have a look at the following
aspects
Managing customer
Managing price across
experience across Product lifecycle
channels
channels
120
Introduction to modeling
FMCG in Excel
121
In the modeling phase I will concentrate on branded FMCG products.
The model will be created for cosmetics
Private
label
122
In the next lecture I will show you the main drivers of the FMCG model
and on the basis of this we will create a business model in Excel
Cost of traffic
x
Rent
Ratio of visitors +
Total searches % conversion to searches
People
Average cost of 1
x visit
Development
# transactions
123
Drivers of FMCG Model
124
The FMCG business model is driven by some basic KPIs
# sold
- Average price
Cost of sales &
Gross Margin Head office
marketing
Unit production
cost
-
+ -
Fixed Cost /
Unit variable cost Net Margin Operational profit
Quantity produced
125
FMCG business model –
modeling in Excel
126
Let’s go through basic assumptions of the model
127
Balance Sheet
128
Balance Sheet –
Introduction
129
As we said previously there are 3 financial statements that you have to
look at when analyzing the firm
130
In this section we will discuss the Balance Sheet
131
In this section we will discuss the following things
Examples of Balance
Exercises / Case study
Sheets of famous firms
132
What is a Balance Sheet?
133
There are 3 financial statements that you have to look at when
analyzing the firm
134
The balance sheet has 2 sides. The left one - Assets tells you what you have.
The right one - Liabilities & Equity tells you where you got your money from
135
You have to remember 1 very important rule about the Total Assets and
Total Liabilities & Equity
136
Balance Sheet elements
137
Let’s discussed the components of both sides of balance sheet
138
Assets we divide into 2 groups
Current Assets
Non-current Assets
139
The left side – the Liabilities & Equity we divide in 3 groups
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
140
In Europe we have a little bit different order for the left side and the
right side of the balance sheet
141
Assets we order from the least liquid to the most liquid. Equity &
Liabilities we ordered by maturity period
Equity
Non-current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
142
In some cases we use different naming for the liabilities. Long-term
instead of non-current and short-term instead of current
Equity
Non-current Assets
Long-term liabilities
Current Assets
Short-term liabilities
143
Also in some cases instead of Non-current asset you can have Fixed
Assets
Equity
Fixed Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
144
Non-current assets –
General overview
145
Just as a reminder Non-current assets are a part of Assets. In USA you
can find them in the lower part of the Assets
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
146
In Europe you can find them in the top part of the Assets
Equity
Non-current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
147
Let’s see what is included in non-current assets
Goodwill
148
Current assets –
General overview
149
Just as a reminder current assets are a part of Assets. In USA you can
find them in the top part of the Assets
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
150
In Europe you can find them in the lower part of the Assets
Equity
Non-current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
151
Let’s see what is included in non-current assets
Inventories Inventory
Trade receivable
Other short-term
receivables & loans
Current Assets
Other financial current
assets
Other non-financial
current assets
Prepayments
153
Before we move on to specific elements of Equity a few basic facts
about Equity
Capital paid in by
Retained earnings
Shareholders
Shareholder pay in capital to get the Quite a lot of firms at some point
shares in the firm generate profit
They do it when they establish the firm This profit can be shared with the
or when new shares are issued shareholders (Dividend) or it can be kept
A special case of issuing the shares is in the firm as the company needs capital
going public – IPO. In this case you not to grow its business
only issue new share but the shares can This is decided by shareholders
be publicly traded You will find here the retained earnings
from previous years and the profit from
current year
154
Equity – Price of shares
155
When you are issuing share you have to remember that they have 2
different prices
50 1
156
Due to the difference in the prices most firms will split in Equity the capital they
have gathered from shareholders into 2 parts
Selling price of a
Capital gathered = # of shares x share
157
Let’s see what happens if we issue 1 000 common shares. With a face value 1
and sales price of 50
Selling price of a
Capital gathered = # of shares x share = 1 000 x 50 = 50 000
Common Stock /
Share Capital = 1 000
Additional paid-in
capital / Share = 49 000
premium
158
Instead of face value we quite often have the term par value
Face value of a
share
Par value
159
Equity – General overview
160
Just as a reminder Shareholder’s Equity is a part of Liabilities & Equity.
In USA you can find them in the lower part of Liabilities & Equity
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
161
In Europe you can find them in the top part of the Equity & Liabilities
Equity
Non-current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
162
In USA you would have roughly the following division of Equity
Preferred stock
Common stock
Treasury stock
Accumulated other
comprehensive income loss
Retained earnings
Others
163
In Europe we would have a bit different structure of Equity
Share capital
Share premium
Retained earnings
Others
164
In Europe we would have a bit different structure of Equity
Share capital
Share premium
Retained earnings
165
Non-current liabilities –
General overview
166
Just as a reminder non-current liabilities is a part of Liabilities & Equity.
In USA you can find them in the middle part of Liabilities & Equity
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
167
In Europe you can find them also in the middle part of the Equity &
Liabilities
Equity
Non-current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
168
Below the most typical elements that are included in non-current
liabilities
Employee liabilities
Non-current liabilities
Long-term Provisions
Long-term Accruals
169
Current liabilities –
General overview
170
Just as a reminder current liabilities is a part of Liabilities & Equity. In
USA you can find them in the top part of Liabilities & Equity
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
171
In Europe you can find them in the lower part of the Equity & Liabilities
Equity
Non-current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Current Assets
Current liabilities
172
Let’s have a look at how current liabilities are divided
Bank loans and
Short-term debt
borrowings
Trade and other Trade and other
Accounts payable
payables liabilities
Provisions
174
Imagine that we would have to trace the changes in the balance sheet for
a ceramic tiles producer. Try to solve the exercises on your own. 175
Below a few information about ceramic tiles producer
176
Below the exercies that you have to try and reflect in the balance sheet
You decided to buy a new building. For that you took long-term loan. The building costs
Exercise 2 USD 10 M.
You issued new shares and got cash thanks to that. You have issued common shares
Exercise 4 worth USD 20 M
You renegotiated with your suppliers that you can pay him later for the materials he is
Exercise 5 supplying. This will help you increase the level of the materials you have at your factory
by 50%
177
Below the exercies that you have to try and reflect in the balance sheet
You have decided to pay out a dividend to your shareholder worth USD 2 M
Exercise 6
You renegotiated with the bank – part of your short-term debt (USD 2 M) was
Exercise 7 transformed into a long-term debt
Due to change in value you decide to depreciate additionally your machines by USD 1
Exercise 9 M
You were unable to pay your long term debt so the bank agreed to convert it into
Exercise 10 Equity. The amount was USD 5 M
178
Deferred Income Tax
179
Accounting rules the firm uses hardly every are the same as the tax
rules
Approach to Depreciation
Some costs are not treated as
costs by the Tax Law
Some revenues can be
recognized at different timing
180
This difference leads to difference in Tax that has to be paid vs tax according to
the accounting rules. The Difference is shown as Deferred Income Taxes
181
If the Tax according to Accounting Rules is bigger than Tax according to Tax Rules
than we have a Deferred Income Tax in the Liabilities (Deferred Tax Liability)
182
If the Tax according to Accounting Rules is smaller than Tax according to Tax Rules
than we have a Deferred Income Tax in the Assets (Deferred Tax Asset)
183
Deferred income taxes are the result of the difference between your accounting
rules and the tax rules. They may appear both in Assets and in Liabilities
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
184
If it appears in the Assets it means that the Tax was paid now but it refers to future
period from the point of view of our accounting policy (mainly due to different
approach to costs and revenues)
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
185
It also means that in the future the firm will show less taxes in financial statement.
That is why we create an asset that will be used in the future
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
186
Deferred Income Tax may appear as a part of Non-current Assets as well, if the
tax difference relates to longer than 1-year period
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
187
If it appears in the Liabilities it means that the Tax was not paid. It will be paid
in the future
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
188
In other words the Net Income we show in the books was impacted by it but we still
have to pay it so in other words we owe the cash to the government / state
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
189
Accrual Accounting
190
Accrual Accounting has impact both on costs as well as revenues
Costs Revenues
Costs have to be recorded when they are Revenue has to be recorded when it’s
incurred earned
Costs have to be recognized as costs at a Revenue has to be recognized as revenue
specific month to which they are linked for a specific month to which it is linked
The month in which you recognize the The month in which you recognize the
costs does not have to be the same as the revenue does not have to be the same as
month in which you pay for the cost the month in which you receive the money
You can pay the money before the costs is You can get the money before the revenue
recognized (Prepayment / Prepaid is recognized – you still have not delivered
Expenses). You pay ahead of time for the the good / services (Unearned Revenue). A
whole period of usage i.e. software good example are advanced payments
You can pay the money after the cost is You can get the money after the revenue is
recognized (Accrued Expenses). You got recognized (Accrued Revenue). You have
the materials from your supplier but you delivered the good but you still have not
still have not paid for them. got the money
191
Let’s see where we put those accruals in the Balance sheet
Prepayment / Prepaid
Accrued Expenses
Expenses
192
We can also show the accruals in the following way
Revenue
Unearned Revenue Accrued Revenue
193
Prepayments – Short Exercise –
Introduction
194
Imagine that we would like to see what will be the impact of prepayment
for a software on the balance sheet of the ceramic tile producer. 195
Now try to reflect the purchase of the software and subsequent gradual
transfer of the prepayment into costs
197
Working Capital
– Introduction
198
So far we have looked at asset and liabilities separately. However, quite often
analysts and manager are interested in the difference between certain type of
assets and liabilities
Current liabilities
Current Assets
Non-current liabilities
Non-current Assets
Shareholder’s Equity
199
You can approach Working Capital in many ways. Below 2 most popular
ones
200
There are quite a lot of reasons why it makes sense to calculate the
working capital
Provides a rough estimation of the Helps you forecast the required cash
adjustments to EBITDA in CF for growth
201
In the next lectures I will show you in details how to calculate the
working capital
202
Working Capital –
Case Introduction
203
Let’s imagine that you are supposed to calculate the working capital for a
ceramic tiles producer. We have some data on his sales and costs. 204
A few information about the firm
Payments in advance
Materials Trade liabilities
for deliveries
206
We will draw data from other profit and loss sheets and on the basis of the
data we will calculate the working capital positions that in turn will be fed
into Balance and sheet as assets or liabilities
Assets
P&L BS - Assets
M&E
External
Services
BS - Liabilities
Other Liabilities
207
When it comes to assets the problem is that they have 3 different
components that you have to track. On top of that every asset has to be
tracked separately
208
Assumptions on working capital
Turnover rotation in days will go down by 5 days in 2018 due to better production
WIP organization
Inventory of Turnover rotation in days will go down by 10 days in 2018 due to better production
finished organization
products
209
Cash flow
210
Cash flow – Introduction
211
As we said previously there are 3 financial statements that you have to
look at when analyzing the firm
212
In this section we will discuss the Cash flow statement
213
In this section we will discuss the following things
214
What is the purpose
of the Cash Flow?
215
There are 3 things we have to remember about P&L positions
216
We previously mentioned that to some extent an EBITDA is a simplified
estimator of the cash generated from Operations
217
That is why we need a separate place where we look at real cash generated
from all activities. That is why we need a Cash Flow statement
Cash outflow
Cash inflow
218
There are number of things you want to achieve by creating and
analyzing Cash Flow (CF)
219
3 part of Cash Flow
220
We want to see how the Cash Flow have altered the cash position
during the period. We divide the Cash Flows into 3 streams
221
Cash Flow from Operating
Activities
222
Just as a reminder we divide the Cash Flows into 3 streams
223
Let’s see how we calculate the Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Net Income
Other adjustments
224
Let’s see some examples of costs & revenues not related to the
operational activities
Net Income
Other adjustments
225
Below some examples of costs & revenues not related to the
operational activities
226
Let’s go back to the general overview of the CF from Operating Activities
Net Income
Other adjustments
227
Let’s see some examples of costs & revenues that are not cash costs
Net Income
Other adjustments
228
Below some examples
Stock-based compensation
229
Let’s go back to the general overview of the CF from Operating Activities
Net Income
Other adjustments
230
The biggest changes in cash flow from operating activities is usually due
to changes in working capital
Net Income
Other adjustments
231
Below some examples of changes due to changes in the working capital
Changes in Inventories
232
Cash Flow from Investing
Activities
233
Just as a reminder we divide the Cash Flows into 3 streams
234
Cash Flow from Investing Activities we would calculate using the
following elements
Other
235
Cash Flow from Financing
Activities
236
Just as a reminder we divide the Cash Flows into 3 streams
237
Cash Flow from financing activities consist of the following elements
Dividends to shareholders
Other
238
How to calculate Cash flow in
practice
239
In Cash flow you try to divide the CF into 4 parts
Operating
activities CF
Investment CF
CF
Financial CF
CF to / from
shareholders
CF
240
We will try to get from Net profit to the Cash position
Net profit
CF
241
We will estimate CF on 4 different levels
FA Summary P&L BS
CF – Operating
Activities
Shareholder-related payments
and contributions CF – Free cash CF related to
SC shareholders
Gross dividend paid flows to firm
242
Financial analysis of indicators
243
Financial analysis of indicators –
Introduction
244
In this section we will discuss the following things
245
Profitability ratios –
Overview
246
There are plenty of profitability ratios used. Below the most popular
ones
% Gross Margin
% EBITDA
% Gross Profit
% EBIT
ROE
Return on Sales ROS
247
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Gross Margin
% Gross Margin =
Net Sales
248
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
249
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Net Income
Net Profit
% Net Income
Profit Margin =
Net Sales
250
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
EBITDA
% EBITDA =
Net Sales
251
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Net Income
ROA
(Return on Assets) =
Assets
252
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Net Income
ROE
(Return on Equity) =
Equity
253
ROE decomposition
254
ROE can be decomposed into other ratios. Below one example
Net Income
ROE = = ROA x Equity Multiplier
Equity
255
ROE can be decomposed into other ratios. Below one example
256
Liquidity ratios –
Overview
257
There are plenty of liquidity ratios used. Below the most popular ones
258
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Current Assets
Current Ratio (CR) =
Current Liabilities
259
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Inventory &
Current Assets -
Prepayments
Quick Ratio (QR) =
Current Liabilities
260
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
261
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
262
Activity / Efficiency ratios –
Overview
263
There are plenty of activity / efficiency ratios used. Below the most popular
ones
Receivables
Asset turnover
conversion period
Payables conversion
period
264
Conversion periods have alternative names that are widely used
265
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Inventory
Inventory conversion
= x 365 days
period
COGS
266
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Receivables
Receivables
= x 365 days
conversion period
Net Sales
267
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Account Payables
Payables conversion
= x 365 days
period
COGS
268
Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) we calculate using previous ratios
269
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Net Sales
Asset Turnover =
Assets
270
Debt ratios –
Overview
271
There are plenty of debt ratios used. Below the most popular ones
272
Debt Ratio can be defined in 2 ways
Debt
Debt Ratio =
Assets
Liabilities
Debt Ratio =
Assets
273
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
Debt
Debt to Equity ratio
=
(D/E)
Equity
274
Let’s have a look at the definition of ratios and what they tell us
275
Analyses of the Financial Model
276
Analyses of the Financial Model
– Introduction
277
Let’s imagine that you will use the financial model of ceramic products
producer to analyze his current position & draw conclusion from it. 278
A few information about the firm
280
Valuation Case study–
Introduction
281
In this section we will discuss the following things
Introduction to using
Case study
multipliers for valuation
282
We are going back to our example of ceramic tiles producer and we will
see what kind of methods we can use to estimate its valuation. 283
Just as a reminder a few information about the firm
284
Introduction to Valuation
285
You can try to estimate the value of 2 different categories
Enterprise Value
286
For valuations you can use 2 groups of valuations methods
287
Introduction to
DCF methods
288
In DCF model you use forecast of cash flows to estimate the value of the
company
𝒕
Step 3 – Calculate the 𝑪𝑭𝒊 𝑻𝒆𝒓𝒎𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒍 𝑽𝒂𝒍𝒖𝒆
+
Valuation (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒊 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕+𝟏
𝒊=𝟏
289
In the next lecture we will use 2 different methods for DCF valuation
290
Difference between
FCFF and FCFE
291
In the next lecture we will use 2 different methods for DCF valuation
292
FCFF and FCFE evaluate different things
Enterprise Value
293
Introduction to using
multipliers for valuation
294
For simplicity often valuation is calculated using multipliers. Multipliers also
help you check the valuation from DCF which is subject to many assumptions
295
Using the Multiplier method of valuation is relatively easy
296
The methods we discussed estimate different values
Enterprise Value
297
Below how we can use the EV/EBIT multiplier to estimate the Equity
Value in 2 steps
298
Using P/E ratio is even easier
299