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Chapter 2

Key Financial
Concepts:
Time Value of Money

Dr. Wolfgang Messner

https://www.amazon.com/Making-Compelling-Business-
Case-Decision-Making/dp/1137340568/ref=sr_1_1
Someone offers you money.
Which option do you take?

£ 87
today
£ 100
in 2 years
time
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Time value of money

A dollar today is worth more than a dollar


tomorrow

Why?
▪ Today’s dollar can be invested to start earning interest immediately
▪ Tomorrow’s dollar can only be invested tomorrow

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Future value

Invest $500,000 in securities at 5% p.a.


What do we get a year from now?

Rate of return

$500,000 ∗ 1.05 = $525,000

Present value Future value

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Future value

What do we get two years from now?

Rate of return

$525,000 ∗ 1.05 = $551,250

Future value Future value


(1 year from (2 years from
now) now)

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Future value (n years from now)

What do we get n years from now?

Rate of return

𝑛
𝐹𝑉 = 𝑥 ∙ 1 + 𝑟

years
Present value

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Compound interest

▪ When interest is earned on interest, period after period

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Effect of compound interest

Time until
Interest
doubling
rate r
= 2

0.50% 139.0 years


1.00% 69.7 years
1.50% 46.6 years
2.00% 35.0 years
3.00% 23.4 years
4.00% 17.7 years
5.00% 14.2 years
7.50% 9.6 years
10.00% 7.3 years
15.00% 5.0 years
20.00% 3.8 years
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Present value

▪ We already know the likely future payoff C


▪ What is its present value?

Expected
payoff a year
from now

1
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶 ∗
1+𝑟

Discount factor

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Present value

▪ If cash flow C takes place two years from now

1
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶2 ∗ 2
1+𝑟

▪ If cash flow C takes place t years from now

1
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶𝑡 ∗ 𝑡
1+𝑟

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Discount rate r

▪ The interest rate used in discounting future cash flows


▪ Also called
- Hurdle rate

- Internal rate of return

- Opportunity cost of capital

- …

▪ Provided by the organization’s financial management


▪ Typical discount rate is somewhere between 5% and 15%

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Time value of money in business cases

▪ Used to understand the additional return offered by an investment


proposition as compared to putting the same money in government
securities
▪ If the investment proposition offers less than the prevalent interest rate in
government securities, it’s better to stay away from it

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Thank you for your attention!

Wolfgang Messner
Dr. rer. pol. (Univ. Kassel), MBA (Univ. of Wales), Dipl.-Inform. (Techn. Univ. Munich)

Clinical Professor

wolfgang.messner@moore.sc.edu

www.wolfgangmessner.com | moore.sc.edu

Disclaimer: The material and information in the slides is provided “as is” in good faith and without warranties of any kind, either
expressed or implied. It is your responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of any opinions, advice, services
or other information provided.

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