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Comments, Opinions, and Reviews

Atrial Fibrillation, Stroke, and Acute


Antithrombotic Therapy
Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials
Robert G. Hart, MD; Santiago Palacio, MD; Lesly A. Pearce, MS

Background—Strokes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are typically larger, are associated with higher early
mortality, and occur in older patients versus strokes in patients with sinus rhythm. Until recently, the value of
antithrombotic therapies for acute stroke management has been based on empiric evidence.
Summary of Review—We present a critical review of 3 randomized clinical trials testing aspirin, heparin/heparinoid, or
both involving 5029 patients with AF and acute stroke. Early recurrent ischemic stroke occurred in about 5% of patients
during the 2 to 4 weeks after initial stroke. Data conflict about whether early use of heparin/heparinoid reduced early
recurrent ischemic stroke but are consistent regarding its lack of overall benefit on long-term functional outcome.
Modest benefits for reduction of early recurrent stroke and functional outcome were associated with aspirin use, based
largely on subgroup analysis from a single, large, unblinded trial.
Conclusions—No benefit of heparin has been demonstrated for acute stroke patients with AF; whether selected subgroups
would respond differently remains to be proven. Aspirin followed by early initiation of warfarin for long-term secondary
prevention is reasonable antithrombotic management. (Stroke. 2002;33:2722-2727.)
Key Words: aspirin 䡲 atrial fibrillation 䡲 heparin 䡲 stroke 䡲 thrombolysis

A lthough 1 of 6 ischemic strokes is associated with atrial


fibrillation (AF), the value of early antithrombotic
therapy for AF patients with acute stroke has only recently
about treatment effects, but inclusion/exclusion criteria influ-
ence the external validity of their results and must be
examined carefully.
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been clarified by randomized trials. Most ischemic strokes in We critically analyze the benefits and risks of antithrom-
AF patients are due to cardiogenic embolism of left atrial botic/fibrinolytic agents for AF patients with acute stroke on
appendage thrombi. AF patients with stroke are typically the basis of data from all available randomized clinical trials
older (averaging approximately 75 years) with large hemi- (AF patients have been included in several other recent
spheric strokes and with higher early mortality compared randomized trials in acute ischemic stroke, but outcomes in
with ischemic stroke patients in sinus rhythm.1,2 These AF patients have not been reported separately6 –11). The
features, combined with the potential threat of early, recurrent implications of the trials’ results for the management of AF
cardiogenic embolism and frequent spontaneous lysis of patients with acute ischemic stroke are discussed.
cardioembolic occlusions, necessitate that the benefit versus
risk of antithrombotic therapies for acute stroke be examined Three Key Randomized Clinical Trials
separately in AF patients. In the International Stroke Trial (IST), 19 435 patients with
In the 1980s and early 1990s, numerous case series and suspected acute ischemic stroke within 48 hours (93% con-
case-control studies assessed the value of early heparin firmed as ischemic by early CT) at 467 hospitals were
anticoagulation in AF-associated stroke. Recent randomized randomly assigned to aspirin 300 mg/d versus no aspirin and,
trials provide higher-quality evidence that should supplant separately, to 1 of 2 dosages of subcutaneous heparin versus
earlier observations as the basis for management decisions. no heparin in a 2⫻3 factorial design (Table 1).3 Treatment
Outcomes in ⬎5000 patients with acute stroke and AF was not masked (ie, it was unblinded), and there were no
randomized to heparin, low-molecular-weight heparin, or prespecified criteria for early recurrent stroke; both features
aspirin in recent clinical trials are available (Table 1).2–5 Even augmented the potential for biased determination of early
so, no clinical trial is perfect or answers all questions about all recurrent stroke. Functional outcomes after 6 months were
issues, and relevant methodological aspects warrant scrutiny. assessed mainly by participant questionnaire. Results for the
Randomized clinical trials yield the most reliable information subgroup of 3169 participants (17%) with AF have been

Received March 5, 2002; final revision received May 21, 2002; accepted June 25, 2002.
From the Department of Medicine (Neurology), University of Texas Health Science Center, San Antonio (R.G.H., S.P.), and Minot, ND (L.A.P.).
Correspondence to Robert G. Hart, MD, Department of Medicine (Neurology), University of Texas Health Science Center, MSC 7883, 7703 Floyd
Curl Dr, San Antonio, TX 78229-3900. E-mail hartr@uthscsa.edu
© 2002 American Heart Association, Inc.
Stroke is available at http://www.strokeaha.org DOI: 10.1161/01.STR.0000035735.49388.4A

2722
Hart et al Acute Stroke With Atrial Fibrillation 2723

TABLE 1. Randomized Trials of Antithrombotic Therapy in Frequency of Early Recurrent


Acute Stroke and AF* Ischemic Stroke
% Patients With No. Early recurrent ischemic stroke appears to be slightly more
AF/Mean Time to With frequent in acute stroke patients with AF than in those in
Trial Treatment Interventions AF sinus rhythm.2,12,13 In the IST, the reported rate of recurrent
IST2,3 (1997) 17%/19 h 3169 ischemic stroke was 5% over 14 days among 1612 AF
Heparin 12 500 SC BID† 784 participants not receiving heparin (half received aspirin).3
Heparin 5000 SC BID† 773
With allowance for a 20% reduction in early ischemic stroke
recurrence by aspirin (see below), the rate of recurrent
No heparin 1612
ischemic stroke in the absence of aspirin from the IST results
Aspirin 300 mg/d‡ 1622
is estimated as 6% over 2 weeks. The HAEST reported
No aspirin‡ 1547 recurrent ischemic stroke within 2 weeks in 8% of 224 AF
CAST4 (1997) 7%/25 h 1411 patients with acute stroke given aspirin (although some
Aspirin 160 mg/d 696 portion of these recurrences may have been nonthrombotic
Placebo 715 worsening of the original deficit).5,14 The CAST found a 5%
HAEST5 (2000) 100%/21 h 449 frequency of recurrent ischemic stroke over 4 weeks among
696 AF patients given aspirin.12 When the results from
LMW heparin 224
participants receiving aspirin in these 3 clinical trials were
Aspirin 160 mg/d 225
combined, the rate of recurrent ischemic stroke within 2
LMW indicates low molecular weight. weeks in AF patients was approximately 5%.
*Other randomized trials included AF patients but did not report results
None of these 3 trials attempted to distinguish recurrent
separately for this subgroup.
†Half received aspirin.
ischemic stroke due to cardiogenic embolism from those due
‡Half received heparin. to other mechanisms. When those with AF versus sinus
rhythm in the IST were compared, the frequency of recurrent
ischemic strokes was only slightly higher in AF patients, and
reported: the mean age was 78 years, 56% were women, and the relative risk reduction by aspirin was similar, suggesting
the 14-day and 6-month mortality rates were 17% and 39%, that many recurrences could have been noncardioembolic.3
respectively.2 Symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation was
reported in 1% and was twice as frequent in AF participants Aspirin for Acute AF-Associated Stroke:
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as in those in sinus rhythm (P⬍0.05). IST and CAST


The Chinese Acute Stroke Trial (CAST) compared aspirin Aspirin reduced early recurrent ischemic/unknown strokes by
160 mg/d with placebo (double-blind) in 21 106 patients with approximately 25% in AF participants in the unblinded IST,3
suspected acute ischemic stroke within 48 hours (94% con- with a smaller effect (5% reduction) in the double-blinded
firmed as ischemic by early CT) at 413 hospitals in China, CAST,12 yielding a combined relative risk reduction of 21%
assessing outcomes after 4 weeks.4 There were apparently no (95% CI, ⫺5 to 41) (Table 2). Analysis confined to the
prespecified criteria for recurrent stroke. AF was present in smaller number of CT-proven ischemic recurrent strokes
only 7% (n⫽1411) of participants (probably reflecting the yielded a relative risk reduction of 30% (95% CI, ⫺4 to 53*)
relatively low mean age of the stroke cohort). Limited data (Appendix 2).12 Hemorrhagic stroke (including symptomatic
about the subgroup of AF patients from the CAST have been hemorrhagic transformation) occurred with nearly equal fre-
published,4 with additional outcome data available combining quency in those receiving aspirin versus no aspirin/placebo
AF patients assigned to aspirin in the CAST with those from (relative risk⫽1.0) (Table 2).12 The number of AF patients
the IST (Appendix 1). who would need to be treated with aspirin to prevent 1
The Heparin in Acute Embolic Stroke Trial (HAEST) ran- recurrent stroke over 2 to 4 weeks is approximately 100 on
domly assigned 449 AF patients with acute ischemic stroke (all the basis of the combined analysis of the IST and the CAST.12
The effect of aspirin on recurrent ischemic stroke among AF
confirmed by CT) within 30 hours of stroke onset from 45
participants in the IST and the CAST closely paralleled that
Norwegian centers to a low-molecular-weight heparin (daltepa-
for the larger number in sinus rhythm, suggesting that the
rin 100 IU/kg SC twice daily) or aspirin 160 mg/d in a
observed reduction in AF patients may not necessarily have
double-blind design, with the main outcomes of recurrent stroke
been due to prevention of recurrent cardiogenic embolism.
during the first 14 days and functional status or death after 3 All-cause mortality during the 2 to 4 weeks after stroke was
months.5 Criteria for recurrent stroke included persistent wors- not reduced by aspirin versus control in the combined
ening of the original deficit after the first 48 hours; progressive analysis of the 2 trials (13%; relative risk⫽1.0; 95% CI, 0.8
stroke was defined similarly except that it occurred within 48 to 1.2*) (Appendix 2), nor was the composite outcome of
hours of stroke onset and was more frequent than recurrent recurrent stroke or death reduced (relative risk⫽1.0; 95% CI,
stroke. The mean patient age was 80 years, and 55% were 0.8 to 1.1).12 A small favorable trend by aspirin for reducing
women, with an 8% 14-day mortality rate and a 17% 3-month death or dependency at 6 months among AF patients was
mortality rate. Extracranial bleeding was significantly increased reported in the IST (22% of those treated with aspirin versus
in those assigned dalteparin, confirming an in vivo antithrom- 20% of controls were alive and independent; relative risk of
botic effect by the dosage used. good outcome⫽1.1; 95% CI, 0.9 to 1.3; P⫽0.20) (Table 2).3
2724 Stroke November 2002

TABLE 2. Randomized Trials of Heparin or Aspirin in Acute Stroke With AF


Recurrent Ischemic Hemorrhagic All Strokes Good Outcome at
Trial (Duration of Follow-Up) n Strokes* Strokes (Estimated) 3– 6 mo
Atrial fibrillation
HAEST5 (14 d)
LMW heparin 224 19 (8%) 6 (25) 34%
Aspirin 225 17 (8%) 4 (21) 35%
IST2,3 (14 d)
Heparin 12 500 BID† 784 18 (2%)¶ 22 39 22%
Heparin 5000 BID† 773 26 (3%) 10 36 21%
No heparin† 1612 79 (5%) 7 86 21%
Aspirin‡ 1622 53 (3%) 22 75 22%
No aspirin‡ 1547 70 (5%) 17 87 20%
CAST4,12 (28 d)§
Aspirin 696 35 (5%) 17 (52) 䡠䡠䡠
Placebo 715 38 (5%) 20 (58) 䡠䡠䡠
Mixed cardioembolic sources
TOAST7 (7 d)㛳
LMW heparin 143 0 (0%) NR NR 48%
Placebo 123 2 (2%) NR NR 47%
FISS–bis15
LMW heparin 86 NR NR NR 22%
Placebo 62 NR NR NR 26%
CESG16 (14 d)
Heparin IV 24 0 (0%) 0 0 NR
No heparin 21 2 (10%) 0 2 NR
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LMW indicates low molecular weight; TOAST, Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment; FISS– bis, Fraxiparine
in Ischemic Stroke Study; CESG, Cerebral Embolism Study Group; and NR, not reported.
*For IST and CAST, includes proven ischemic strokes plus unknowns.
†Half received aspirin.
‡Half received heparin.
§Personal communication, Z.M. Chen (Appendix 1).
㛳Approximately 40% with AF.
¶P⫽0.001 for reduction by heparin vs no heparin.

Heparin and Heparinoids for Acute value, the trend toward a substantially larger reduction in
AF-Associated Stroke: IST and HAEST recurrent ischemic strokes by heparin among IST participants
Does the use of heparin/heparinoids reduce early recurrent with AF (44%) versus those in sinus rhythm (19%; P⫽0.09
ischemic stroke in AF patients? Data from the 2 relevant for heterogeneity of odds ratio) supports an effect on early
randomized clinical trials conflict. The double-blind HAEST recurrent cardiogenic embolism in AF patients.3
found no reduction in early recurrent ischemic stroke among However, the reduction in early recurrent ischemic stroke by
AF patients randomized to receive a low-molecular-weight heparin in the IST was almost entirely offset by increased
heparin versus aspirin (Table 2).5 In contrast, the IST found symptomatic brain hemorrhage: the frequency of recurrent
ischemic stroke combined with hemorrhagic stroke was approx-
“a clear and dose-dependent reduction in recurrent ischemic
imately 5% in both heparin arms and in those not receiving
stroke among patients allocated to heparin” (P⫽0.001) given
heparin (risk reduction by heparin⫽10%; 95% CI, ⫺20 to 40).
subcutaneously.2 The overall rates of recurrent ischemic
Neither the IST nor the HAEST showed a benefit of anticoag-
stroke in the control arms (5% in IST, 8% in HAEST) and of
ulation on functional outcome 3 to 6 months later, nor have other
secondary brain hemorrhage (2% in IST, 3% in HAEST) randomized trials of low-molecular-weight heparins in patients
among those given heparin/heparinoid were similar in the 2 with mixed cardioembolic sources shown such benefit.7,8,15
trials. Potential explanations for the discrepant effects of Table 2 summarizes the results of randomized trials of heparin or
heparin/heparinoid on recurrent ischemic stroke include bi- aspirin in acute stroke in patients with AF.2–5,7,12,15,16
ased detection of events in the unblinded IST, a different
effect of the 2 specific agents, inclusion of nonthrombotic Thrombolytic Therapy for Acute AF-Associated Stroke
causes of worsening among events in HAEST, the play of AF patients have been modestly overrepresented in case
chance, or a combination of these reasons. Taken at face series and clinical trials of acute stroke patients treated with
Hart et al Acute Stroke With Atrial Fibrillation 2725

thrombolytic therapy: 20% to 30% of patients receiving strokes).28 Transesophageal echocardiography demonstrates
intravenous thrombolytic agents and almost half of those left atrial appendage thrombus in approximately 25% of AF
undergoing intra-arterial thrombolysis have had AF.6,11,17–19 patients with prior stroke and in 10% of those without prior
This increased prevalence is likely explained by the abrupt, clinical stroke, but the prognostic value for proximate embo-
often dramatic, onset of major hemispheric deficits with lization has not been defined (the observation that AF patients
AF-associated stroke, prompting urgent evaluation within the without clinical embolism demonstrate appendage thrombi
restricted time limits for thrombolytic therapy. Hypotheti- suggests that thrombi visualized by transesophageal echocar-
cally, “old” thrombi from the left atrial appendage that diography do not always pose an immediate threat). Hemo-
subsequently embolize could be relatively refractory to static abnormalities may predict early recurrent strokes.29
thrombolysis; however, recanalization rates after tissue plas- Larger infarcts are more prone to symptomatic hemorrhagic
minogen activator (tPA) use appear to be high in AF worsening caused by antithrombotic and fibrinolytic thera-
patients.18 –20 Given the generally larger volume of brain pies; small infarcts could favorably shift the balance of
infarction in AF patients with stroke, thrombolytic therapy benefit and risk of heparin on the basis of the IST results (but
has been predictably associated with a higher likelihood of are of no consequence on the basis of the HAEST results).
symptomatic brain hemorrhage.18,21–24 By multivariate anal- The interval from stroke onset to treatment with heparin/hep-
ysis with adjustment for extent and severity of ischemia, AF arinoid averaged approximately 20 hours in the available
was not independently associated with secondary brain hem- randomized trials; early initiation of heparin within 6 hours
orrhage after thrombolysis.21–24 has been associated with improved outcome in a clinical case
While a recent case-control study reported improved out- series.30 No subgroup data from existing randomized trials are
comes in AF patients with acute stroke treated with intrave- available, and hence the relevance of these AF subgroups to
nous tPA,20 stronger evidence is from subgroup analysis of immediate antithrombotic management remains speculative.
the randomized National Institute of Neurological Disorders
and Stroke (NINDS) tPA trial. The trial included 115 AF Are the Key Randomized Trials Applicable to
patients with acute ischemic stroke (all confirmed by CT) Clinical Practice?
randomized to receive either intravenous tPA (0.9 mg/kg up Recent multicenter surveys of AF patients hospitalized for
to 100 mg maximum) or placebo within 3 hours of stroke acute ischemic stroke in Europe and in the United States
onset, given double-blind, with the primary outcome func- reported mean patient ages of 75 to 77 years, percentages of
tional status assessed 6 months after stroke.6 The use of tPA women of 50% to 60%, inpatient mortality rates of 18% to
within 3 hours of stroke doubled the likelihood of a favorable 19%, and a mortality rate of 33% after 3 months.1,31 In a large
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outcome among all trial participants, but specific results for clinical case series of AF patients treated with intravenous
the subgroup of AF patients have not been reported separate- heparin, the mean age was ⬎70 years and early mortality was
ly.25 There was no evident treatment interaction (P⫽0.96) 9%, with rates of recurrent ischemic stroke of 2% and
between a history of AF and benefit from tPA, but statistical symptomatic hemorrhagic stroke of 3%.30 Overall, these are
power to detect an interaction was limited.25 The focus of this similar to the features of AF participants in the IST and the
trial was on recovery from the initial ischemic deficit, and HAEST. No specific data are available for AF participants in
effects on early recurrent ischemic stroke are not available. the CAST, although the estimated early mortality among AF
The stakes are higher for thrombolytic treatment of AF patients appears to be relatively low (10% to 12% during the
patients with stroke: the inherently worse prognosis of AF- first month).12 In summary, AF patients enrolled in the IST
associated stroke accentuates both the risks and potential and the HAEST appear generally representative of AF pa-
benefits of intravenous tPA. Many AF patients with stroke are tients with stroke from hospital-based surveys; no informa-
elderly, but age alone does not appear to be a contraindication tion is available about AF participants in the CAST.
for the use of intravenous tPA.26 Additional data about the
efficacy and safety of thrombolysis in larger numbers of AF Summary and Conclusions
patients with acute stroke, and particularly those aged ⬎75 Early recurrent ischemic stroke occurred in approximately
years with large strokes, would be reassuring.27 The value of 5% of AF patients during the initial 2 weeks in recent
intra-arterial thrombolysis specifically in AF patients cannot randomized trials, but it is unclear whether most were
be determined from the published literature. cardioembolic. This analysis began with the premise that AF
patients with acute ischemic stroke may respond differently
Subgroups of AF Patients Defined by to antithrombotic therapies. However, when randomized tri-
Mechanism, Stroke Size, Presence of Left als that included both patients with AF and patients with sinus
Atrial Thrombi, or Other Factors rhythm (IST and CAST) were considered, the relative effects
On the basis of current concepts of ischemic stroke mecha- of antithrombotic therapy were not importantly different
nisms in AF, predictors of early recurrent embolism, and risk between AF patients and the larger number of patients in
factors for hemorrhagic worsening during anticoagulation, sinus rhythm. The mechanistic implications of this observa-
subgroups of AF patients who could respond differently to tion are undetermined because of the aforementioned vagar-
acute antithrombotic therapy can be postulated. Perhaps 25% ies of the trial designs, but the clinical implications are more
of ischemic strokes in AF patients are noncardioembolic, and clear.
the effects of acute antithrombotic therapy may differ in this Whether heparin/heparinoids reduce recurrent ischemic
subset (which tends to suffer smaller, less disabling stroke (and recurrent cardiogenic embolism) in AF patients is
2726 Stroke November 2002

uncertain because of the conflicting results of the HAEST and respectively).4 In a subsequent combined analysis that pooled pa-
the IST, but overall rates of recurrent stroke (ie, ischemic and tients from IST and CAST, the number of AF patients with recurrent
ischemic stroke was given as 46 versus 64 on aspirin versus no
hemorrhagic combined) and functional outcome are not
aspirin/placebo, but this was restricted to CT-confirmed recurrent
improved by the use of these agents. Some have argued that ischemic strokes.12 Dr Z.M. Chen of the CAST reanalyzed the data
early treatment with intravenous, adjusted-dose heparin (not and reported that when CT-confirmed and unknown strokes were
yet tested in randomized trials) would be more efficacious,32 combined (to be comparable with the IST report3), recurrent ische-
but this remains to be established. mic strokes among AF participants occurred in 35 versus 38 on
aspirin versus placebo, respectively (Z.M. Chen, written personal
With the caveat of potentially biased event detection in communication, January 2, 2002). The number of hemorrhagic
IST, analysis of 4551 AF patients randomized to aspirin strokes in the CAST was obtained by subtracting the IST patients3
versus control in the IST and the CAST treated a mean of from the combined total.12
approximately 20 hours after stroke onset shows trends
toward modest reduction in early recurrent stroke and toward Appendix 2
improved 6-month functional outcome. Given these trends Statistical Methods
combined with the safety and ease of use of aspirin, early Meta-analyses of the trials are presented as relative risk reductions
aspirin therapy is sensible for AF patients with acute ischemic for treatment groups compared with control groups. To estimate the
stroke (combined with low-dose subcutaneous heparin for relative risk reduction, the combined odds ratio estimate computed
with the use of the modified Mantel-Haenszel (Peto) method34 was
prevention of venous thrombosis if substantial leg weakness
subtracted from 1. Before risk reduction was estimated, the assump-
is present). tion of statistical homogeneity of treatment effect (across trials and
The fraction of AF patients with good outcomes 6 months within a specific scenario) was tested with the use of the QsubL
after stroke is distressingly small, emphasizing the impor- statistic for the relative odds scale,35 with lack of homogeneity
tance of stroke prevention and the need for more efficacious precluding estimation of overall treatment effect (probability values
are reported only if ⬍0.2). Estimates of relative risk reduction in
acute interventions. Intravenous tPA given within 3 hours of individual trials were computed by subtracting the estimated odds
stroke onset appears to offer the most potential benefit for AF ratio from 1. Meta-analysis results to estimate relative risk reduction
patients with acute ischemic stroke; however, this is based on in which only combined data were reported (ie, individual trial data
limited information about 115 AF patients in the NINDS tPA were not available) are indicated by an asterisk (*), and relative risk
trial, and more data are needed to be confident of the effect in reduction was calculated as if data were from a single trial.
AF patients.
When should warfarin be initiated for secondary preven-
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