Professional Documents
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availability, affordability: state-owned FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 3,800 GAR 7-45 day
FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 5,900 GAR 90-day
CSCKJ00 66.50 0.00
CSAKH00 185.00 +1.00
producer FOB Kalimantan (Geared Supramax) 5,000 GAR 90-day
Kalimantan Floating Crane
CSAKI00 115.00 -3.00
AKFCA00 3.00
■ Coal based power generation accounted for 69.9% Australia
■ Renewables not a threat to coal in immediate future FOB Newcastle 20% Ash 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAVUW00 210.35 0.00
■ CIL’s production in FY 2021-22 hit record high FOB Newcastle 23% Ash 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAVVB00 205.00 0.00
FOB Newcastle Ash Differential AAVVA00 1.79
India
CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 5,500 NAR 30-60 day CIWCI00 165.00 -2.00
CHINA DATA: Emission allowance CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 5,000 GAR 30-60 day TCAKP00 132.55 -3.00
CFR India West (Gearless Panamax) 4,200 GAR 30-60 day TCAKT00 97.50 -0.30
price rises 1.8% on week to $8.60/mtCO2e CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 5,500 NAR 30-60 day CIECI00 165.80 -2.00
CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 5,000 GAR 30-60 day TCAKJ00 130.90 -3.00
■ Trade volume at 361,731 mtCO2e over week ended July 29 CFR India East (Gearless Panamax) 4,200 GAR 30-60 day TCAKU00 95.85 -0.30
South Africa
FOB Richards Bay 5,500 NAR 7-45 day AAXEX00 242.90 +4.55
North America
FOB Baltimore 3%S 6,900 NAR 15-60 day CUATB04 275.00 -8.00
FOB Hampton Roads 1%S 6,000 NAR 15-60 day CUAEA04 237.75 0.00
FOB New Orleans 3%S 6,000 NAR 15-60 day CUAFA04 268.00 -8.00
FOB Long Beach 0.5%S 6,000 NAR 15-60 day CTLBA00 163.05 0.00
FOB Oakland 0.5%S 6,000 NAR 15-60 day CTOKA00 152.25 0.00
FOB Vancouver 0.5%S 5,000 NAR 15-60 day CTVCA00 60.10 0.00
Note: In the absence of transactional data, these assessments represent theoretical value
for export.
www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights www.twitter.com/SPGCICoal
PLATTS COAL TRADER INTERNATIONAL AUGUST 1, 2022
Lack of buying interest weighs WEEKLY PROMPT PHYSICAL THERMAL COAL PRICES, JUL 29
Code Kcal/kg Basis Sulfur $/mt Change
on Kalimantan thermal coal sentiment CIF Med 75kt CTCMT04 6,000 NAR 0.8% 315.00 -15.00
CIF Med 45kt CTCMA04 6,000 NAR 0.8% 330.00 -20.00
■ Chinese domestic prices stable at northern ports FOB Colombia CSABZ00 6,000 NAR 0.8% 325.00 +15.00
FOB Russia Baltic CSAKC00 6,000 NAR 0.5% 120.00 -15.00
■ Australian exports slump on month in July
FOB Russia Pacific CSAKG00 6,300 GAR 0.3% 158.00 -2.00
■ Off-spec Russian coal offers surface for buyers
prices at northern ports remaining stable at levels seen in the week Netbacks ($/st)
FOB US East Coast* COUSC00 12,500 GAR 1.0% 381.79 -14.06
ended July 29. FOB US Gulf Coast* COUGU00 11,500 GAR 2.9% 249.55 -7.55
Spot price of 5,500 kcal/kg NAR hovered at around Yuan 1,160/mt FOB Vancouver* COVCU00 8,800 GAR 0.8% 164.23 +0.21
($171.73) while that of 5,000 kcal/kg NAR was heard to be around Yuan * CV = Btu/lb
1,020/mt, according to a source.
A Chinese state-run utility was expected to issue a tender for Central Kalimantan was heard receiving rainfall, however mining
prompt seaborne procurement in the week that started Aug. 1. operations were not affected.
Some miners who need to make additional supplies to state-run
Asian supply sentiment PLN this year will start doing so from September.
Market participants expected prices of mid to low-cv Indonesian “We have our contracts and we have to make extra supplies to PLN.
coal to soften further while high-cv prices to stay stable at So we have no tonnage to offer even if Europeans were interested,”
current levels. another Indonesian miner said.
Unseasonal heavy rains in July disrupted supplies from Australia SPOT DRY BULK FREIGHT ASSESSMENTS, AUG 1
Platts symbol $/mt Chg
with miners running behind schedule. Capesize
According to Commodities at Sea data, Australian exports of non- Australia-China CDANC00 12.80 0.00
coking coal in July this year fell to 12.8 million mt against 18.10 million Queensland-Japan CIGAJ00 14.45 0.00
under pressure due to availability of cheaper Russian coal. Ventspils-Rotterdam CILTN00 11.00 0.00
USEC-India CDBUI00 47.25 0.00
Sources said that Russian coal prices were also easing to compete
USEC-Rotterdam CDBUR00 20.75 0.00
with falling Indonesian coal prices. Mobile-Rotterdam CDMAR00 26.25 0.00
“Off-spec Russian coal is also available cheaper than the branded Roberts Bank-Japan CDRBK00 22.40 -0.35
coal by an established company,” an Indonesia-based trader said. Australia-China CDBFA00 18.40 0.00
“Indonesia and Russia will have to compete and this I expect will lower Australia-India CDBFAI0 21.00 0.00
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01/08/2022 Offer CIF ARA 6000 NAR $434 50000 September globalCOAL Non-Russian origin
01/08/2022 Offer FOB Richards Bay 6000 NAR $380 50000 September Braemar
01/08/2022 Bid FOB Richards Bay 6000 NAR $325 50000 September Braemar
01/08/2022 Bid CIF ARA 6000 NAR $365 50000 September Braemar Non-Russian origin
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Baltimore 6900 NAR $260.88 0 September Broker
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Baltimore 6900 NAR $275 0 September Broker
01/08/2022 Indication FOB NOLA 6000 NAR $251.88 0 September Broker
01/08/2022 Indication FOB NOLA 6000 NAR $280 0 September Broker
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5500 NAR $185 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 4700 NAR $125 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $80 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $ 79-80 55000/75000 Aug Trader Geared vessel
01/08/2022 Offer CFR China 5500 NAR $151 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
01/08/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 4900 GAR $115 75000 Aug Producer Panamax
01/08/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $83 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
01/08/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 6000 GAR $240 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5000 GAR $ 98-102 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $78 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
01/08/2022 Indication CFR India 6000 NAR $175 130000 Aug Trader Capesize
01/08/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $ 81-82 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication CIF Med 6000 NAR $315 75000 August Market
29/07/2022 Indication CIF Med 6000 NAR $317 75000 August Market
29/07/2022 Indication CIF Med 6000 NAR $327 45000 August Market
29/07/2022 Indication CIF Med 6000 NAR $330 45000 August Market
29/07/2022 Offer CIF ARA 6000 NAR $420 50000 August globalCOAL Non-Russian origin
29/07/2022 Offer CIF ARA 6000 NAR $407 50000 September globalCOAL Non-Russian origin
29/07/2022 Bid FOB Richards Bay 6000 NAR $290 50000 September globalCOAL
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Baltimore 6900 NAR $275 0 September Broker
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Baltimore 6900 NAR $263.38 0 September Broker
29/07/2022 Indication FOB NOLA 6000 NAR $254.38 0 September Broker
29/07/2022 Indication FOB NOLA 6000 NAR $280 0 September Broker
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $83.5 75000 Aug Producer Panamax
29/07/2022 Trade FOB Kalimantan 5000 GAR $125 75000 Aug Producer Panamax
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Russia 6000 NAR $155 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication CFR India 6000 NAR $180-190 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5000 GAR $120 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5900 GAR $165 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5100 GAR $125 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5900 GAR $195 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $86-87 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Bid FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $84-85 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 5800 GAR $230 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication CFR China 5500 NAR $155-160 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication CFR China 6000 NAR $200 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication CFR China 6000 NAR $175-180 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication CFR South Korea 6000 NAR $220-230 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 6500 GAR $250.35 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5800 GAR $170.25 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 5000 GAR $120.75 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 4200 GAR $83 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 3400 GAR $53.9 55000/75000 Aug Producer Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Offer CFR China 5500 NAR $158 55000/75000 Aug Trader Geared vessel
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 4500 NAR $120 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 3800 NAR $86.5 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 3800 NAR $85 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Offer FOB Kalimantan 3700 NAR $86 75000 Aug Trader Panamax
29/07/2022 Indication FOB Kalimantan 3400 NAR $66.5 55000/75000 Aug Trader Geared vessel
Shifting sources
According to data from S&P Global Commodities at Sea, India
imported 5.3 million mt thermal coal from Russia in February-July,
which is 104% higher than volumes in February-July 2021.
South Africa remained the second-largest thermal coal supplier to
India in February-July, although supply volumes fell to 11.5 million mt
from 14.3 million mt during the same period in 2021.
Shifting trade dynamics seemed to have impacted thermal coal
supplies from Australia the most, with imports in February-July falling POWER PRICE FUNDAMENTALS
to 5.6 million mt from 10.9 million mt in the same period in 2021. 01-Aug-22 Change
Indonesia, which mainly supplies low and mid-CV thermal coal, has Brent oil (month ahead - $/b) AAYES00 99.450 -10.800
Coal CIF ARA (year ahead - $/mt) CSAY001 271.500 -2.500
not only retained its position as the top thermal coal supplier to India EEX EUA carbon (front December - Eur/mt) EADLP00 80.610 +2.080
but imports have in fact risen to 68.2 million mt in February-July from UK NBP gas (month ahead - p/th) NGAAE00 353.025 +48.025
38.5 million mt over the same period in the previous year. Dutch TTF gas (year ahead - Eur/MWh) GTFTZ00 157.850 +8.275
Thermal coal imports by India from the US fell 52% on the year to
3.4 million mt, helping Russia become the fourth largest supplier in
February-July.
“The fall in US exports to India though has improved the ability of
US exports to resupply Europe, as it looks for replacement tonnages
for Russian material ahead of the August ban and as coal is an integral
balancing fuel during this time of volatility,” according to Platts
Analytics.
Total thermal coal imports by India increased to 96.8 million mt in
this timeline from 75 million mt a year ago, as per data from S&P Global
Commodities at Sea.
Impact of prices
Significant drops in thermal coal imports from Australia and the US
coincided with surging prices. According to S&P Global data, the price
of Australian 5,500 kcal/kg NAR low-ash coal increased to $210.35/mt
July 29 from $163.4/mt FOB Feb. 24. The FOB price of Baltimore 6,900
kcal/kg NAR with 3% sulfur US coal increased 102% from $140.2/mt
Feb. 24 to $283/mt July 29.
The rise in Russian coal supplies is also a result of the price of
higher-grade Russian 6,300 kcal/kg GAR coal falling to $158/mt FOB
from $200/mt between Feb. 25 and July 29, amid spikes in coal prices
of other origins.
South African 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal price rose from $231.9/mt
FOB since the beginning of the war to $238.35/mt July 29. The rise in
the price of Indonesian coal was mild compared to hikes in Australian
and US coal rates, with Indonesian 4,200 kcal/kg GAR price rising from
$79.05/mt FOB Feb. 24 to $80.25/mt July 29. year ago. The country’s electricity generation from renewable sources
— Sarah Matthews,Rituparna Nath,Anupam Chatterjee,Pritish Raj was 11.4%, or 169.396 billion units, while coal based generation was
1,041.459 billion units.
“This amply underscores the importance of the need for judicious
India prefers coal for its abundance, energy transition from coal to renewables,” Agrawal said in the
availability, affordability: annual report, adding that India is different from the rest of the world
where the rallying cry is to move away from coal. “What makes coal
state-owned producer a preferred energy fuel, in India, is its abundance, availability and
■ Coal based power generation accounted for 69.9% affordability.”
■ Renewables not a threat to coal in immediate future Coal, which holds a 55% share in the country’s primary commercial
■ CIL’s production in FY 2021-22 hit record high energy, is the engine of growth for the energy sector, Agrawal
said. Over 70% of India’s power needs are met by coal, which has
The entry of renewable energy sources should not be viewed as a threat underpinned the expansion of electricity generation, and remains the
to coal’s standing at least in the immediate future as coal would continue largest single fuel in the energy mix.
to fuel India’s electricity generation going by the current consumption
pattern, Coal India’s chairman and managing director Pramod Agrawal Supply stability
said in the company’s latest annual report published July 30. Agrawal said that while international coal prices are much higher,
It was expected that the renewable energy sources will contribute CIL continues to supply coal to Indian consumers at highly competitive
to the country’s fast expanding energy basket. From an environmental prices, with no price increases over the last four years.
perspective, this is a welcome move in view of the climate Global thermal coal prices have remained elevated, hitting record
commitments made by India in COP26 at Glasgow, Agrawal said in the highs, as the Russia-Ukraine conflict since February disrupted trade
report. “But, till renewable energy starts contributing to the extent that flows amid additional demand from Europe due to sanctions imposed
it could take over coal’s role, coal cannot be dethroned from its energy on Russia.
pedestal.” According to S&P Global Commodity Insights data, Platts CIF ARA
According to CIL’s data, India’s coal based generation accounted for 6,000 kcal/kg NAR physical coal was assessed at $413.45/mt on July
69.9% of the country’s overall electricity generation of 1,490.277 billion 29, from $209/mt on Feb. 23, a day before Ukraine was invaded, and
units in fiscal year 2021-22 (April-March), a growth of 9.5% from a not far from the all-time record high of $432.50/mt on June 23.
Platts last assessed FOB Baltimore 6,900 kcal/kg NAR coal for WEEKLY AVERAGES FOR PLATTS THERMAL COAL PRICE
August loading at $283/mt, averaging $206.05/mt so far this year, S&P ASSESSMENTS ($/mt)
Global data showed. This is nearly three times the 2021 average of CV (kcal/kg) Basis Week ending Week ending Change
29-Jul 22-Jul
$73.80/mt. Platts FOB Nola 6,000 kcal/kg NAR was assessed at $276/ FOB Kalimantan 5,900 GAR 184.550 184.400 +0.150
mt, near record highs. FOB Kalimantan 5,000 GAR 120.650 126.590 -5.940
FOB Kalimantan 4,200 GAR 81.290 82.090 -0.800
Platts FOB Richards Bay 5,500 kcal/kg NAR and FOB Kalimantan FOB Kalimantan 3,800 GAR 66.330 65.400 +0.930
4,200 kcal/kg GAR prices have eased after rising to record high levels
in March and April. FOB Richards Bay 5,500 kcal/kg NAR was assessed
at $238.35/mt on July 29, while the 7-45 day price of FOB Kalimantan MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY AVERAGES FOR PLATTS FORWARD
4,200 kcal/kg GAR coal was assessed at $80.25/mt, S&P Global BENCHMARK COAL PRICE ASSESSMENTS ($/mt)
data showed CV (kcal/kg) Basis Jul-22 Jun-22 May-22 Q2-22 Q1-22
Platts SEAT 4,200 GAR 98.20 103.28 107.86 106.23 103.25
Platts NEAT 5,750 NAR 235.70 230.99 253.80 241.16 216.52
Production uptake amid robust demand CFR Pakistan 5,750 NAR 348.20 349.40 354.69 343.75 269.27
CFR Bangladesh 5,000 GAR 147.34 160.30 166.92 163.88 146.67
CIL’s production in FY 2021-22 rose to 622.63 million mt, highest Sulfur Differential 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30
ever since the company came into being, up 4.4 % on the year. As CIF ARA 6,000 NAR 395.11 371.01 327.88 339.38 233.90
European Blended Price 6,000 NAR 313.88 289.85 261.64 265.74 191.11
domestic demand shot up and prices of imports rose, India’s total coal EBP Differential 6,000 NAR -81.22 -81.16 -66.24 -73.64 -42.79
production rose to 777 million mt in FY 2021-22 from 716 million mt in FOB Richards Bay 5,500 NAR 254.60 259.40 262.78 257.49 205.67
FOB Newcastle 20% Ash 5,500 NAR 196.66 187.70 208.31 197.83 178.11
FY 2020-21, the coal ministry data showed. FOB Newcastle 23% Ash 5,500 NAR 191.63 182.92 202.99 192.79 173.57
Meanwhile, total coal production in the first quarter ended June FOB Kalimantan 5,900 GAR 186.29 193.38 198.61 194.38 165.23
FOB Kalimantan 5,000 GAR 128.12 136.76 143.84 141.43 126.05
stood at 205.56 million mt, against 155.85 million mt in the previous FOB Kalimantan 4,200 GAR 83.35 86.04 89.96 88.97 86.52
fiscal year. CIL produced 159.8 million mt coal in April-June, up 28.9% FOB Kalimantan 3,800 GAR 66.46 68.22 70.45 71.17 70.09
CFR India West 5,500 NAR 186.06 213.16 233.44 222.08 199.53
on the year. CFR India West 5,000 GAR 147.03 158.63 165.22 161.87 143.44
To increase production further, CIL and the boards of its CFR India West 4,200 GAR 102.26 107.91 111.34 109.41 103.91
CFR India East 5,500 NAR 186.30 212.36 232.64 221.28 198.63
subsidiaries have approved 16 mining projects in FY 2021-22, having CFR India East 5,000 GAR 145.18 156.41 163.14 159.85 141.81
sanctioned a capacity of 99.84 million mt/year, Agrawal said in the CFR India East 4,200 GAR 100.41 105.68 109.26 107.39 102.28
CIF Med 75kt 6,000 NAR 305.00 262.00 257.50 265.75 204.92
report, adding that five mining projects with an overall capacity of CIF Med 45kt 6,000 NAR 324.60 280.00 276.50 289.67 225.04
12.60 million mt/year were completed in FY 2021-22. FOB Baltimore 6,000 NAR 242.31 214.00 185.51 196.12 141.89
FOB Hampton Roads 6,000 NAR 225.63 209.13 192.53 195.99 140.20
Agrawal said CIL plans to operationalize 14 mines through FOB New Orleans 6,000 NAR 268.05 241.57 210.14 215.66 152.23
engagement of Mine Developer cum Operators model, or MDO, FOB Baltimore 6,900 NAR 278.65 246.10 213.33 225.53 163.18
FOB Colombia 6,000 NAR 302.53 270.27 290.73 285.14 212.25
having a proposed capacity of 165.58 million mt/year. Of these, 10 are Russia Baltic 6,000 NAR 160.00 195.00 200.00 201.25 219.42
opencast projects with total projected capacity of 161.50 million mt/ Russia Pacific 6,300 GAR 161.60 179.00 170.00 173.54 201.21
year and four underground projects with total capacity of 4.08 million
mt/year.
However, as many as 42 of its projects are running behind schedule SEEE, which currently hosts the online trading platform for China’s
due to delay in clearances and land possession issues, according to compliance emission trading scheme. It does not provide information
the annual report. on bids, offers and counterparties.
— Pritish Raj In the voluntary carbon market, the weekly trade volume of China
Certified Emission Reductions, or CCERs, totaled 324,967 mtCO2e in
the week ended July 29, up from 91,976 mtCO2e in the previous week,
CHINA DATA: Emission allowance according to Singapore-based digital exchange MetaVerse Green
price rises 1.8% on week to $8.60/mtCO2e Exchange (MVGX).
MVGX data showed Sichuan United Environment Exchange
■ Trade volume at 361,731 mtCO2e over week ended July 29 continued to lead the voluntary market, contributing nearly half of the
■ Domestic voluntary carbon credits at around $9.90-$12.23/mtCO2e weekly trade volume. For all CCERs traded in the Sichuan exchange
during the week, the weighted average price was Yuan 66.79/mtCO2e
The China Emission Allowance (CEA) price in the national (approx. $9.90/mtCO2e).
compliance market was at Yuan 58.00/mtCO2 ($8.60/mtCO2e) Based on available data, SEEE reported the highest weekly average
July 29, while the CEA trade volume for the week reached CCER price for the week, which was Yuan 82.5/mtCO2e (approx.
361,731 mtCO2e, according to Shanghai Environment and Energy $12.23/mtCO2e), while the Shanghai exchange had a relatively low
Exchange (SEEE). weekly trade volume of 200 mtCO2e, MVGX said.
The CEA weekly trade volume rose 53.9% from 235,054 mtCO2e in CCERs are considered eligible under the Carbon Offsetting and
the previous week, driven by growths in block trade volumes. The CEA Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA). S&P Global
price was up 1.8% week on week, in line with the growth in demand. assessed the CORSIA-eligible carbon credit price at $2.95/mtCO2e
The CEA price and volume data are published on daily basis by July 29.
In the energy transition and carbon market, recent highlights operational resumption could be pushed back, which might create
included – needs for alternative LNG procurements for the winter natural gas
■ On July 23, over 157 power plants and users in Yunnan, Guizhou and demand for heating.”
Guangdong provinces completed the first batch of cross-provincial — Takeo Kumagai
spot transactions of electricity through the southern regional
power market trading platform, the state grid company China
Southern Power Grid said. This pilot program lays the foundation Japan’s JERA shuts 243 MW
for cross-provincial power trading and the establishment of a No. 3-7 Kawagoe gas-fired units on glitch
uniform, national power market, which is crucial for China to further
boost renewable energy adoption and tackle the supply-demand Japan’s largest power generation company JERA shut its 243 MW
imbalance in different regions. No. 3-7 combined cycle gas-fired unit at 7:18 am local time (2218
— Ivy Yin GMT) Aug. 1 at the Kawagoe thermal power plant due to a glitch at its
turbine related facility, the company said in its filing to Hatsuden Joho
Kokai System.
Japan’s Osaka Gas slashes FY 2022-23 income The shutdown of the No. 3-7 Kawagoe unit follows JERA’s
forecast on US Freeport LNG outage costs shutdown of its No. 3-1 combined cycle gas-fired unit at 23:38 pm local
time on July 31 as a result of a glitch at its turbine related facility.
■ Lifts 2.32 million mt/year Freeport LNG, accounts for 19% It remains unclear when both the Kawagoe gas-fired units will
handling volume restart.
■ Freeport LNG scheduled to resume partial liquefaction operations The shutdown of JERA’s gas-fired units come amid an increasing
early Oct number of outages and issues at power plants in recent weeks in the
midst of the country’s peak summer power demand season.
Japan’s Osaka Gas said Aug. 1 it slashed its fiscal year 2022-23 (April- The Japan Electric Power Exchange extended gains Aug. 1,
March) income forecast as it has estimated an associated loss of Yen marking its 24-hour day-ahead price at Yen 33.20/kWh for Aug. 2, up
79.5 billion ($599.6 million) incurring from an extended outage of the 6.9% from Yen 31.07/kWh the previous day.
US Freeport LNG project. JEPX marked the day-ahead daytime (8 am-10 pm Japan Standard
Osaka Gas now expects to post a net profit of Yen 31.5 billion for FY Time) price at Yen 42.95/kWh, up 7.4% from Yen 39.98/kWh the
2022-23, down 61.6% from the April 26 forecast of Yen 82 billion. The previous day, with the day-ahead peak having risen 5.5% to Yen 48.81/
company had posted a net profit of Yen 130.421 billion for FY 2021-22. kWh from Yen 46.27/kWh.
Osaka Gas attributed its downward income forecast revision to the JERA restarted on July 30 the 1.1882-GW No. 7-1 combined cycle
extended outage of the US Freeport LNG, where it lifts 2.32 million mt/ gas-fired units at the Nishi Nagoya thermal power plant after shutting
year of LNG, accounting for 19% of its total handling volume. it down on July 25 due to leakage of lubricant oil at a pipe of the
The Freeport LNG terminal’s operator has said it expects its turbine.
resumption of partial liquefaction operations will be early October — Takeo Kumagai
2022, following a June 8 fire at its liquefaction site, and target year-end
for a return to full production.
Osaka Gas said its incurring US Freeport LNG loss include from Czech hard coal miner OKD
alternative LNG procurements and other associated costs. extracts just over 500,000 mt in H1
Of the Yen 79.5 billion loss, alternative LNG procurement costs
and the company’s cancellation of supplying and associated hedging ■ Output slightly above H1 target
contracts for Freeport LNG to customers mostly account for roughly ■ Full-year target at 1.3 million mt
Yen 65 billion, said an Osaka Gas spokesperson, adding that a portion ■ Coal taken from reserves to meet demand
of the cancellations is greater than the LNG procurement costs.
The remaining Yen 14.5 billion loss came from reduced income as a Czech hard coal miner OKD extracted 502,000 mt of coal during the
stakeholder in the Freeport LNG, the spokesperson added. first half of 2022, 7,000 mt above its target, the state-owned company
The extended outage at the US Freeport LNG terminal is worrisome said in its monthly Miner publication published July 29.
for some Japanese LNG importers, as any further delays in operational The company also processed around 200,000 mt of hard coal taken
resumptions could impact winter supply arrangements. from storage between mid-February and mid-April to meet hard coal
“Actual resumption of the Freeport LNG terminal operations demand from customers, it said.
would largely depend on regulatory approvals from the Federal Energy OKD previously put its full year 2022 target at 1.3 million mt of coal
Regulatory Commission and the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials from its two mines, with production usually divided equally between
Safety Administration,” said Takayuki Nogami, chief economist at coking coal and thermal coal.
Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corp, or Jogmec. The miner had been set to close down mid-2023, but it was
“Depending on the progress of procedures with these regulators, announced June 30 that operations would be extended until at least
the end of 2023 and possibly to 2024 or 2025 due to high prices and The number of loadings was 0.2% lower on the month and 5.4%
strong demand. lower on the year. It was slightly lower than the 2021 average number
OKD also plans to produce 1.3 million mt in 2023, with around of weekly coal train loadings at 75.3 trains/d.
880,000 mt likely to be used for heat and power production, due to the The Northern Appalachia region decreased coal train loadings
shortage of Russian hard coal and traditional imports from Poland. by the most significant margin nationwide, down 39% on the week
— Chris Johnstone to 5.5 trains/d. Compared with the year-ago week, NAPP coal train
loadings were 41.1% lower. The latest Platts assessment by S&P Global
Commodity Insights for prompt-quarter Northern Appalachia 13,000
May utility coal deliveries Btu/lb rail coal was July 29 at $180.35/st, up $9.85 from the previous
rise 10% on month: EIA week’s session.
The Illinois Basin loaded the fewest coal trains of any major coal-
■ Spot deliveries climb 33.3% producing region at 5.1 trains/d. The volume was 29.5% higher on the
■ Rail shipments increase 11.3% week and 3.2% higher on the year. The latest Platts assessment for
■ Average subbituminous delivery cost at $37.52/st prompt-quarter ILB 11,800 Btu/lb rail coal was July 29 at $177.40/st, up
$5.75 on the session.
Coal delivered to US power plants rose 10% on the month and 1.7% on The Powder River Basin, which consists primarily of Wyoming and
the year to 38.4 million st in May, US Energy Information Administration Montana, increased coal train loadings by 3.6% on the week to 45.7
data showed July 29. trains/d. It was a 17-week high for PRB loadings. Compared to the year-
Through the first five months of 2022, coal deliveries totaled 186.9 ago week, PRB coal train loadings were 1.9% lower. The latest Platts
million st, up from 176.8 million st during the same period in 2021. assessment for prompt-quarter PRB 8,800 Btu/lb coal was July 29
Most coal deliveries were contract shipments, purchases with a at$17.25/st, down 20 cents on the session.
term of one year or longer, at 33.6 million st. Contract coal purchases Central Appalachia increased coal train loadings by 9.9% on the
rose 6% on the month and 2.4% on the year in May, EIA data showed. week and 2.5% on the year to 12.8 trains/d, which was a four-week
Spot coal, or contract deliveries less than one year, accounted for high. Platts assessed prompt-quarter Central Appalachia 12,500 Btu/lb
10.5% of May deliveries to power plants at 4 million st, up 33.3% from 3 rail coal July 29 at $185/st, up $7.50 from the previous week’s session.
million st the prior month, but down from 4.9 million st in May 2022. Coal train loadings in non-primary coal-producing regions fell
Average delivery costs for subbituminous coals to regulated plants 7.7% on the week to six trains/d in the latest week, STB data showed.
was $37.52/st in May, compared with $36.54 in April and $31.70/st Compared with the year-ago week, non-primary loadings were flat.
in the year-ago month. For bituminous coals, average delivery costs
were $66.77/st, up from $64.10/st in April and $51.72/st in the year-
ago month.
Subbituminous shipments to US power plants were 21.7 million st
in May, up 10.2% from April and flat on the year. From January through
May 2022, subbituminous shipments were 107.6 million st, up from 97.1
million st in May 2021.
Bituminous shipments were 12.7 million st in May, up from 12.2
million st in April and 12.6 million st in the year-ago month. Through the
first five months of 2022, bituminous shipments were at 61 million st,
declining from 61.4 million st in the year-ago period.
Rail deliveries of coal to US power plants rose 11.3% on the month
to 26.7 million st in May, EIA data showed. Compared with the year-ago
month, rail coal deliveries were flat. Barge coal deliveries fell 2% on the — Morgan Snook
month and 8% on the year to 4.6 million st in May.
— Morgan Snook
Asia met coal PLV CFR China prices fall
below $300/mt amid limited buying interest
US coal train loadings nearly flat on week: STB
■ China’s local coking coal market stabilizes, PLV CFR China weak
■ ILB loads fewest coal trains ■ Buying interest seen in FOB Australia market at $167-$171/mt
■ Total loadings fall 5.4% on year
Asia met coal PLV FOB prices edged downward amid supply pressures
Weekly US coal train loadings were nearly flat from the previous week Aug. 1 while delivered prices to China continued to rise despite a
at 75.1 trains/day in the week ended July 22, according to Surface stabilizing domestic coking coal market.
Transportation Board data released July 29. Premium low vol was assessed down $2.50/mt at $188.50/mt
FOB Australia, and CFR China was down $1.00/mt at $299/mt CFR The best offer was heard at $80/mt FOB on Supramax basis for
China Aug. 1, according to the Platts assessment from S&P Global August-loading.
Commodity Insights. The above rationale applies to the FOB Kalimantan 4,200 GAR
Sentiment improved in China with most of Shanxi’s coking coal assessment, with the associated code: CSBKI00
auctions fetching results. Some of them concluded above the
starting prices in signs of stabilization in the coking coal market Platts Hard Coking Coal Premium Low Vol CFR China Daily
upon restocking demand as steel mills are expected to recover some Rationale
production in August, sources said. Premium low-Vol HCC was at $299/mt CFR China Aug. 1, down $1/
However, limited fixed price buying interest for imported prime mt on the day, according to Platts assessment from S&P Global
coking coals continued to be seen as buyers said domestic supply Commodity Insights.
was sufficient and that they would be more likely to engage in Tradable values were placed around $270-$320/mt CFR China for
opportunistic buying. US low vol Blue Creek No. 7 and Oak Grove, both normalized by a $2/mt
“We would only consider imported cargoes if the prices are discount to Platts PLV CFR China. The highest indicative bid was placed
attractive enough,” a Chinese end-user said. at $250/mt CFR China for the same type of coal.
Another Chinese end-user said that amid the current volatile Exclusions: No data was excluded from the Aug. 1 assessment.
coking coal market, a discount of “at least Yuan 200/mt” was needed The above rationale applies to Platts Premium Low Vol CFR China
to cushion the downside risks of imported cargoes with late arrival assessment (PLVHC00) & TSI Prem JM25 CFR Jingtang (TS01044).
laycans.
In China’s coke market, a Yuan 100/mt price increase was proposed Platts Hard Coking Coal Premium Low Vol FOB Australia
by merchant cokeries in the northwestern region and the possibility Daily Rationale
of price upticks in the Shanxi region was also discussed by market Premium low vol HCC was at $188.50/mt FOB Australia Aug. 1, down
participants, citing restocking needs amid low coking coal inventory, $2.50/mt on the day, in line with the bid and offer range reported for
sources said. the day, according to Platts assessment from S&P Global Commodity
“The current futures market opened a window of arbitrage Insights.
profits by purchasing current spot stocks and selling high in forward An offer was heard at $200/mt for 75,000mt of globalCOAL HCCLV
contracts, providing some upward pressure for the physical met coke Peak Downs, with a September laycan, normalized by a premium of $2/
prices,” a China-based coke trader said. mt to Platts PLV FOB Australia at $198/mt FOB Australia.
Another source said that with merchant cokeries operating at near Meanwhile, a bid was heard at $167/mt FOB Australia for the same
50% production capacity, talks of a possible near term supply squeeze type of coal.
might provide further support for price upticks. Exclusions: No data was excluded from the Aug. 1 assessment.
However, an international trader said that the downstream The above rationale applies to Platts Premium Low Vol FOB
steel demand was yet to improve significantly and that the positive Australia assessment (PLVHA00) & TSI Premium Hard Coking Coal
sentiments might be short-lived. Australia Export FOB East Coast Port (TS01034).
The FOB Australia market continued to see weak demand with
opportunistic buying interest at around $167-$171/mt FOB Australia for
Australian PHCC, while an offer was heard at $200/mt FOB Australia for SUBSCRIBER NOTES
75,000 mt of September-loading globalCOAL HCCLV Peak Downs.
“Genuine demand for coking coal seems to be lacking despite a Platts corrects July 22-29 TSI Premium HCC FOB Australia
slight recovery in the steel market,” an Indian trader said. derivative forward curve assessments
Another international trader said that supply pressure in terms of Platts, part of S&P Global Commodity Insights, has corrected
reselling interest from end-users would continue to weigh down the one of the TSI Premium HCC FOB Australia derivative forward curve
coking coal market in the short term. assessments for July 22, 25, 26, 27, 28 and 29.
— Staff The assessment concerned is TSI PREMIUM HCC FOB AUSTRALIA
DERIVATIVE FORWARD CURVE Q2 2023 (MCPLQ03).
The correct values are as follows:
ASSESSMENT RATIONALES
CORRECTED ORIGINAL
DESCRIPTION SYMBOL DATE
VALUE VALUE
TSI PREMIUM HCC FOB
Platts Thermal Coal Indonesia Daily Rationale AUSTRALIA DERIVATIVE MCPLQ03 278.00 281 July 22
Platts assessed the 7-45 day price of FOB Kalimantan 4,200 kcal/kg FORWARD CURVE Q2 2023
GAR coal at $79.95/mt on Aug 1, down $0.30/mt day on day, just below TSI PREMIUM HCC FOB
AUSTRALIA DERIVATIVE MCPLQ03 275.25 281 July 25
best offer amid weakening demand. FORWARD CURVE Q2 2023
No trades or bids were heard before the Platts Market on Close TSI PREMIUM HCC FOB
assessment process. AUSTRALIA DERIVATIVE MCPLQ03 260.50 281 July 26
FORWARD CURVE Q2 2023
Platts to change FOB Australia metallurgical coal timing The assessments are published in SBB Steel Markets Daily, Coal
specifications to 15-60 days forward Trader International, on the real-time Platts Steel & Raw Materials Alert
Following industry consultation, Platts, part of S&P Global on pages 205 and 1064, in Platts Dimensions Pro and in the Platts price
Commodity Insights, will change the timing specifications of its database under the symbols mentioned above.
seaborne coking coal and PCI coal assessments basis FOB Australia to For written comments, please provide a clear indication if
15-60 days forward, effective Sept. 1, 2022. comments are not intended for publication by Platts for public viewing.
The change from the current 7-60 days follows initial market Platts will consider all comments received and will make comments
feedback that spot cargos loading in 7 days may be deemed too not marked as confidential available upon request.
prompt for vessel nomination. The change aims to reflect adequate
nomination time, and typical market practice. Under this change, spot Singapore National Day publishing schedule for Platts Asia
cargoes with a loading window outside of 15-60 days forward would thermal coal
not be considered for the assessment process. S&P Global Commodity Insights’ office in Singapore will be closed
The proposal to change was published May 26 in a subscriber note Tuesday, Aug. 9, 2022 as it is a gazetted public holiday for National
available here: https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/our- Day, and there will be no Asian thermal coal assessments on that
methodology/subscriber-notes/052622-platts-proposes-to-change- day.
fob-australia-metallurgical-coal-timing-specifications-to-15-60-days- Additionally, Platts in Asia will close its Market on Close assessment
forward process early on Aug. 8, and all assessments will be basis 12:30 pm
The following metallurgical coal assessments would be affected: Singapore time (0430 GMT).
Normal Singapore publishing schedules will resume on Wednesday,
Laycan Symbol
Aug. 10.
Current Proposed For full details of Platts’ publishing schedule and services affected,
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