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Speaker: Srinivas Mantripragada
It is imperative to understand the intricacies of the business decisions which impact a company's
growth. So, how does any company grow?
Every company grows by investing in resources to achieve business growth, goals like expanding
productive capacity, updating technological as well as manpower resources, etc.
All these business goals are undertaken via the medium of projects. Every project requires some
sort of investment over a period of time after which it starts giving returns. All these investments
also come with risks which have the ability to hamper your company's growth curve.
As a business manager, when you decide whether any project is worth undertaking or an
investment is worth making, you would want to estimate if the returns on the investment would be
greater than the costs incurred.
Additionally, the returns also should be at least equal to or more than what the company's average
returns are. To evaluate an investment on both these parameters, there are several project
evaluation techniques.
Most of these techniques are built on the same fundamental concept known as the time value of
money, which explains how the value of money changes over time.
You will learn about the concept in greater detail in the first session of this module. Every project
evaluation technique evaluates the projects by analysing whether the project will add value to the
company or not.
Speaker: Puja Aggarwal
Welcome to the first session on the introduction to the time value of money. Suppose that a friend
of yours has borrowed rupees 10,000 from you, and given you two options, either he pays back the
entire amount immediately or he keeps the money for two years and then pays back rupees 10,000.
Obviously, you will prefer to receive your money back immediately. Wouldn't you? If you receive the
money now, then you can make multiple uses of the cash received.
Speaker: Srinivas Mantripragada
Let's start with a simple case. Let's say Rajiv, your friend is considering investing in a fixed deposit
and does not know how it works. His friends are saying, or you are one of them and saying, the
interest is compounded quarterly by Indian banks.
He goes to a branch of state bank of India who informed him that if he invests rupees one lakh for
one year, the amount he will get at the end of the first year will be 1,06,032, the maturity value of
the FD, this is the maturity value.
And that the rate of interest is 5.90% per annum compounded quarterly. Now he doesn't know how
this 1,06,032 has come above.
He understands 5.90%. He understands that he needs to invest one lakh, but he really is struggling
to ascertain how 1,06,032 has come above.
This is where compounding comes in. Indian banks compound the fixed deposit amounts on
quarterly basis. That is, the amount you deposit at the beginning of the first quarter earns interest
for one quarter.
Let's say you invest on 1st of January, interest at this specified rate will be calculated for three
months, and it will be added to the amount of deposit.
Now, your total amount, which comes up at the end of the first quarter, that is 31st March is a little
higher. By how much? By the amount of interest.
Speaker: Srinivas Mantripragada
Now let's look at Rajiv's case once again. Now having understood Rajiv wants to use this
knowledge that he has so far acquired on time value of money, to build a fund of five lakhs at the
end of four years.
Let's say he wants to buy a car, and he knows that the rate of interest is 5.90%, which is the SBI rate
of interest. He wants to calculate how much should he invest now.
What is he wanting to calculate? The present value because he knows the future value. Future
value is the five lakhs at the end of 4 years. He wants to calculate the present value. Well, let's go
straight to excel and find out how we can use this.
Simply which function will you use? You will use the PV or the present value function because you
have already been given an FV or future value.
So, PV, parenthesis open, 5.90 divided by 4, 16, 0, minus 5 lakhs, 0 parenthesis close, is equal to,
now the Excel will return the value as 3,95,572.
It means that you need to invest 3,95,572 at the beginning of year one. Let us say today, let's say
he's investing on the 1st of April on a particular year, and four years later he will get rupees five
lakhs.
On 1st of April, that is today, he will invest 3,95,572 and earn, keep on earning interest of 5.90%
compounded quarterly. At the end of four years, he will get rupees five lakhs.
Speaker: Dhaval Doshi
A project has multiple cash flows associated with it. So, it is important for you to know how to
estimate the present worth of multiple cash inflows in the future. So, let's start by evaluating the
present worth of a periodical set of investments.
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Speaker: Puja Aggarwal
Suppose that you want to buy a machine worth rupees one crore and you expect it to produce
goods worth rupees 25 lakhs every year for five years, which is it's estimated useful life.
Now to buy the machine, you have decided to take a loan of rupees one crore from a bank, which is
charging you an interest rate of 10% on loan.
You need to analyse whether buying the machine would be beneficial for you. Let's break down the
cashflow of five years into yearly cash flows.
So, the first cash flow would look like an investment made at present, which gives you a return of
twenty-five lakhs at the end of the first year.
Thus, the present value for the first cash flow would be rupees 25 lakhs divided by 1 plus 10% which
is rupees 23 lakhs. Similarly, the second cash flow would look like an investment made at present
and would give you a return of rupees 25 lakhs at the end of the second year.
So, now we would use the formula you learned to calculate the present value for N time periods.
Thus, the present value for the second cash flow would be 25 lakhs divided by 1 plus 10%, raised to
the power two which is rupees 21 lakhs.
Similarly, the present value for the third cash flow would be rupees 19 lakhs, and the present value
for the fourth cash flow would be rupees 17 lakhs.
Finally, the present value for the fifth cashflow would be rupees 15 lakhs. In order to find out the
total present value, you simply add the present value for all the cash flows.
Thus, the total present value is rupees 95 lakhs. Thus, we can conclude that the present value of
the returns from the machine would be rupees 95 lakhs. It is five lakhs less than the cost of the
machine.
So, the rational decision in this case would be not to buy the machine. In this example, the machine
had generated returns of rupees 25 lakhs every year. This concept of fixed sum of money paid or
received every year is known as annuity.
Now you have learned how to calculate present and future values of an annuity. However, if you
want to gain speed and automation, excel has a host of inbuilt functions that can make the
calculations easier for you. Let's explore this further.
Speaker: Srinivas Mantripragada
Let us know consider what an annuity is. Rajiv wishes to generate a Corpus of 25 lakhs at the end
of five years itself because he wants to buy an apartment.
His issue is how much should he invest on a monthly basis to generate the desired amount given
the interest is 5.90% per annum compounded monthly. This time it is compounded monthly.
This can be calculated as follows. A is equal to FV divided by a particular term and that term is
further divided by R. What is this A? This A is my monthly deposit. That is the amount of deposit that
Rajiv wants to invest.
FV is the future value, which in our case is 25 lakhs. We know R, so let's look at these and plot them
into the formula and calculate how much Rajiv will require to invest.
R, as we know is 5.90%, and we said it is being compounded monthly. Now to explain the concept,
we have taken the compounding on a monthly basis instead of quarterly that we have looked at
earlier.
The rate of interest is obviously 5.90% divided by 12 gives you 0.492% on a monthly basis. What are
the number of months? The number of months is 60 in this case. Why? Five years into twelve.
Solving this, we get A is equal to FV 25 lakhs divided by this term by substituting R and N, you will
get, A is equal to 35,924 which means Rajiv invest 35,924 at the end of every month, he will get 25
lakhs after five years at the rate of interest, which is compounded monthly.
This is a very powerful tool to accumulate a certain amount of money to meet different needs of
individuals.
The same thing can be done by corporates as well, but corporates would typically not keep money
idle at such low rates of interest because they want to earn a higher rate of interest because they
carry a lot of risk.
Speaker: Srinivas Mantripragada
Now, as we said, the above principles can be applied in a variety of ways with some variation in day
to day life, to decide following.
Some of the examples, how much to invest monthly or quarterly or annually to receive a desired
amount at the end of the period.
Like we saw, Rajiv wants to get five lakhs at the end of four years. How much should he invest now?
But this is one-time investment. Mind you, this is one-time investment.
But at the same time, if he were to find out how much we can invest on a quarterly basis, annually
or monthly, the formula can be used for that purpose also. This is called recurring deposit.
Another case is where you decide how much should be invested now as a lump sum to keep
receiving a fixed amount, monthly or quarterly or annually.
That means you invest a certain amount now and keep receiving a fixed amount in the future, either
on a monthly basis or quarterly basis or semi-annually or annually. This is called annuity.
The third is how much do we invest on a monthly or quarterly basis or annually or whatever time
period to develop or generate a Corpus by the end of a specified term, which Corpus will then
generate fixed monthly or periodic payments. This is a combination of a recurring deposit and an
ending.