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WELCOME INSIDE THIS ISSUE

Welcome to GPCA’s quarterly 16th Annual GPCA Forum 04


publication Insight, the go-to to take place in Riyadh
source for the latest news and The 16th Annual Forum, GPCA’s
analysis from your regional flagship event, will be held on 13-
association, GPCA, and its 15 December in the Saudi Arabian
member companies. In this capital this year

issue, we turn our focus to an


array of fast-moving issues
impacting the chemical and
petrochemical markets today. GPCA holds Gulf Process 06
Safety Network kick off
Do read the preview of this meeting
year’s Supply Chain The meeting, which took place
Conference and GPCA over two days, was followed by a
Plastics Conference, held respectively on 17-19 May in Dubai and Process Safety workshop led by
25-26 May in Riyadh, to learn more about the program and what to industry experts
expect from the two GPCA annual events. I am also
extremely pleased to announce the new dates and location for the
16th Annual GPCA Forum which will take place on 13-15 Sustaining growth 12
December in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, attracting industry leaders from GPCA Insight speaks exclusively
the region and globally to address the theme ‘From Purpose to with Abdullah Al-Saadoon, CEO,
Action: Shaping a Sustainable Future with Chemicals’. Sipchem, about the company’s
plans for expansion into new
In a must-read interview with Eng. Abdullah Saif Al-Saadoon, CEO, markets, pursuing new mergers
Sipchem, we discuss the new industry landscape, as crude oil pric- and acquisitions and leveraging the
current growth momentum
es stand at a seven-year high amid heightened demand and limited
supply and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Container shipping: the 16
On the theme of sustainability, David Hanna, VP of Business challenges and the
Development for North Asia at Argus, discusses the energy solutions
transition, and how the shift from traditional fossil fuels to green
A special interview with Christopher
energy is affecting the petrochemical industry. In another expert Cook, Managing Director – UAE,
piece, Paul McConnell, Executive Director, S&P Global Commodity Oman, Qatar, Maersk
Insights, delves a little deeper into the energy security, climate, and
the low-carbon transition.

Super charge your supply chain strategy with an expert analysis by


Polymer waste 20
Stuti Chawla, Managing Editor, India Pricing, Petrochemicals and
management
Container Freight, S&P Global Commodity Insights, who Anwesha Banerjee, Senior
addresses everything you need to know about the worldwide Consultant, and Aparajith Balan,
container shortage, plus how to overcome the crisis, prepare for Global Practice Leader, Chemicals
and Materials Practice, Frost &
any future disruptions and much more.
Sullivan, discuss the latest trends
I hope you enjoy reading this edition and do get in touch with your
feedback and recommendations.

Putting the “Transition” 24


back into the Energy
Transition
Dr. Abdulwahab Al-Sadoun Most of the world has got the
Secretary General energy transition wrong. David
Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association Hanna, Argus VP of Business
Development for North Asia,
explains why

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 3


GPCA NEWS
16th Annual GPCA Forum to take
place in Riyadh
The 16th Annual Forum, GPCA’s flagship event, will be held on
13-15 December in the Saudi Arabian capital this year

GPCA is pleased to confirm that the 16th With the ESG agenda and sustainability Building on its reputation over the last 16
Annual Forum will take place on 13-15 dominating global and regional headlines, the years, delegates will enjoy an insightful
December in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, attracting theme of this year’s event will focus on provid- conference program, delivered by expert
industry leaders from the region and globally to ing the strategies and means for chemical and speakers from across the value chain. An array
address the theme ‘From Purpose to Action: petrochemical leaders to realize their com- of benefits, including access to exclusive
Shaping a Sustainable Future with Chemicals’. mitment towards the planet and take tangible market intelligence, exposure to a highly
steps towards change. Chemicals, as the targeted audience of senior decision makers
Having established itself as the most mother of all industries, can play an instru- and an opportunity to influence the chemical
prestigious gathering of senior industry leaders mental role in making a positive impact on the industry agenda, make it one of the most
globally, the forum will be held in Saudi Arabia environment through the myriad of products it important gatherings in the chemical industry
for the first time, underlying the kingdom’s role helps to produce. Collaboration and innovation calendar.
in driving continuous growth and being the will be key drivers in enabling this transition
epicentre of innovation and investment for the and there is no better place than the Annual
chemical industry in the region. Forum to facilitate strategic discussions that
will propel the industry to success.

GPCA Plastics Conference


arrives in Saudi Arabia to shape
the future of plastics
The conference will take place on 25-26 May at the Fairmont Hotel,
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia will host the 11th edition of the This May, leaders from across the region and Al-Meer, Sustainability Director, Supreme
GPCA Plastics Conference for the first time at the world will converge at GPCA Plastics Committee for Delivery and Legacy, Qatar.
the Fairmont Hotel in Riyadh on 25-26 May, Conference to discuss solutions and the path
attracting senior industry leaders to discuss forward to this exciting new future. With the shift to a circular economy estimated
the future of plastics in the Arabian Gulf region to reduce plastics entering oceans by over
and beyond. The conference will take place Welcoming delegates on day one, Naser 80% and save governments USD 70 billion by
under the theme ‘Plastics Reimagined: A Aldousari, CEO, EQUATE, and Chair of the 2040, the next session, led by Ronald Richa,
Circular Future Awaits’ and provide a GPCA Plastics Committee, will deliver the General Manager, Veolia, and Mark Vester,
platform to exchange ground-breaking ideas welcome address at the conference to set the Global Leader, Circular Economy, SABIC, will
to transform the plastics industry and bring stage for the two-day event. His address will examine whether circularity is the answer to
the circular economy to the Arabian Gulf. be followed by an executive panel featuring addressing the plastics waste challenge.
Mutlaq Al-Morished, CEO, TASNEE, and
Today petrochemical producers are faced Marwan Frem, President, Napco National. A Delivering the welcome address on day two
with a formidable task – to meet the needs of must attend plenary address about best will be Nadia Al Hajji, Deputy Chief Executive
modern-day society with advanced plas- practices in waste management from the Officer, Projects and Business Development,
tic solutions, while ensuring their products upcoming 2022 FIFA World Cup will be PIC, and Vice–Chair, GPCA Plastics
contribute to the global sustainability goals by presented by Eng. Bodour Mohammed Committee. Chemical recycling will also come
investing in innovation, advanced under the spotlight in the keynote
technology and recycling. To be successful address on day two presented by Tim
in this endeavor, the future of plastics would Stedman, CEO, Agilyx.
need to be completely reimagined.

4 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


GPCA NEWS
Next GPCA Conference to
Examine the Future of Supply
Chains
The 13th edition of the GPCA Supply Chain Conference will take place
under the theme ‘Future-Proofing Supply Chains – The Time is Now’

GPCA will welcome industry leaders from Over 20 speakers will descend to Dubai for about the GCC Rail and why it is a game
across the chemical and petrochemical, three days of insightful conversations changer for the logistics sector and the supply
logistics, consulting and technology sectors encompassing over 15 conference sessions chain in the region. Saleh Al-Suwaiti, CEO,
to the 13th GPCA Supply Chain Conference and 25 networking hours. They will draw FAHSS-TUV, and Chairman, GPCA Supply
on 17-19 May 2022 at the Hilton Dubai Al upon the lessons learned from the COVID-19 Chain Committee, will present the welcome
Habtoor City, UAE to examine the changing pandemic and shed light on a raft of fast- address on day one. The welcome address on
future of supply chains. The leading industry moving issues including but not limited to day two will be delivered by Aslam Moola, Vice
conference organized by GPCA will focus on growing container shortages, the Chairman, GPCA Supply Chain Committee.
ways in which business players can fu- implications of continuously high freight rates
ture-proof their supply chains against on petrochemical exports and progress on Other key speakers at the conference include:
complex disruptions and overcome the the long-awaited USD 250 billion GCC Rail • Hosam Al Zamil, VP Global Supply Chain,
challenges facing them today. Esteemed project. SABIC
industry experts will seek to answer burning • Fouzia Boutobza, Industry Commercial
questions about driving customer centricity, On day one, delegates will learn from expert Head, Energy & Manufacturing – MEA,
the impact of the Environment, Social and speakers in the field, including Dr. Bashar Al Microsoft
Governance (ESG) agenda on chemical supply Malik, CEO, Saudi Railway Company (SAR), • Dheeraj Bhatia, Senior Managing Director,
chains, reverse logistics, reducing Scope 3 and Dr. Faisal Al-Faqeer, CEO, Sadara Region Middle East, Hapag Lloyd
emissions and many more. Chemical Company, who will engage in the • Christopher Cook, Managing Director –
conference’s first-of-its-kind executive panel UAE, Oman, Qatar, Maersk

GPCA Leaders Forum tackles


the chemical industry’s role in
achieving net-zero goals
The second edition of the forum took place in Dubai under the theme
‘Breaking New Ground in 2022: The Regional Industry in Transformation’
The downstream hydrocarbon industry in the development and facilitating international in current long-term forecasts of the oil
Arabian Gulf plays a critical role in achieving cooperation and collaboration. Achieving market, discussed the true impact of
net zero goals, said speakers at the second net-zero goals will require complete renewable energy on the oil market and
edition of the GPCA Leaders Forum, which transformation of businesses, supported by touched upon the key areas from which the
was held on the 2nd of March at The Address policy makers, investors, companies and petrochemical industry can benefit.
Dubai Mall Hotel in Dubai, UAE. consumers.
The event hosted an industry led high-level
Delivering the Inaugural address at the Forum, Following Al-Benyan’s address, a session on session under the theme ‘Leading the energy
Yousef Al-Benyan, Chairman, GPCA, and Vice ‘The Future of the oil market under carbon transition through innovation and
Chairman and CEO, SABIC, stated that the neutrality policies’ was delivered by Dr. Anas Al technology: A GCC perspective’ with
long journey to carbon neutrality begins with Hajji, Managing Partner of Energy Outlook A participation from esteemed speakers
a few steps which include creating a baseline, dvisors and Editorial Advisor for Attaqa.net. Dr. including Dr. Bob Maughon, Executive VP
setting emission reduction targets, and Al Hajji shared his insights on the shortcomings of Sustainability, Technology and Innovation,
establishing strong governance. He also CTO at SABIC, Dr. Marco Ziegler, Senior
highlighted the role of policy makers in Partner at McKinsey & Company and Dr.
shaping the pathway for hydrogen Noura Mansouri, Research Fellow at the
energy think-tank KAPSARC.

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 5


GPCA NEWS
GPCA holds Gulf Process Safety
Network kick off meeting
The meeting, which took place over two days, was followed by a
Process Safety workshop led by industry experts in Shangri-la hotel,
Dubai and attended by over 70 process safety professionals

Safety is a top priority for the regional chemical 2021 to enable the exchange of knowledge The kick off meeting was followed by a
industry. GPCA’s flagship program Responsible in process safety and promote collaboration process safety workshop which was held
Care® has been helping GPCA member among GPCA member companies. under the theme “Process Safety Excellence
companies enhance their environmental, via SMART and VIBRANT Metrics”. The
health, safety, and security (EHS&S) On 20-21 March, the network met for their
workshop also took place in Shangri-la Hotel,
performance through a keen focus on the kick off meeting to set the pace for process
Dubai, UAE and provided a great opportunity
health and safety of their employees, safety excellence in the region. The network is
for the company’s EHS heads and safety
contractors, the communities in which they the first-of-its-kind in the Arabian Gulf,
experts to learn more about process
operate, as well as on the environment. In fostering a platform where experts come
safety performance monitoring metrics, as
terms of EHS&S, key priorities identified by the together to address regional process safety
well as share and recommend good practices,
regional industry’s leadership, Process Safety challenges, promoting the importance of
exchange learnings, challenges, and advanced
ranks among the top three. transparent sharing of incidents and sharing
applications with other participating
knowledge to elevate the process safety
professionals.
Considering this, GPCA established the Gulf management culture across the region.
Process Safety Network (GPSN) in October

GPCA hosts Gulf SQAS


Assessors’ training workshop in
Dubai
The workshop was attended by certification bodies, manufactures and
logistic service providers (LSPs)

The Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals the knowledge and best practices they need LSPs who nominated suitable participants to
Association (GPCA) recently hosted a training to successfully conduct Gulf SQAS assess- attend the session and conduct internal
workshop for Gulf SQAS assessors in Dubai ments. The workshop was part of GPCA’s assessments at their respective organizations.
specifically tailored for the chemical industry efforts to support the effective implementation In addition, representatives from
and its value chain partners in the region. of Gulf SQAS and raise the environment, manufacturing companies attended the
The workshop was attended by certification health, safety, security and quality workshop to equip themselves with the
bodies, manufactures and logistic service performance of the chemical industry’s logis- relevant knowledge to fully integrate the Gulf
providers (LSPs) from across the Arabian Gulf. tics operations. SQAS system into their organizations.
The training covered four Gulf SQAS active Six certification bodies nominated their
modules, namely: the Core Module, Transport lead assessors to attend the training which
Services, Warehouses, and Tank Cleaning. allowed GPCA to introduce 16 highly qualified
Global and regional subject matter experts led Gulf SQAS assessors into the market. For the
the two-day training to equip assessors with first time, the training saw the participation of

6 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


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GPCA NEWS
GPCA publishes new report on
plastic conversion
The report is exclusively available to GPCA members

The GCC plastic conversion industry is gaining Much of the efforts across the region are Offering a comprehensive view into the
momentum as the region looks to further focused on creating and capturing value from profile of the GCC polymer industry as well
diversify downstream in the hydrocarbon value product exports and stimulating the as the plastic conversion industry, the report
chain. To shed light on the topic, GPCA has development of downstream industries, highlights the challenges in developing the
released a new report for members entitled including the plastic conversion industry. Key GCC plastic conversion sector alongside the
‘The Plastic Conversion Opportunity in the enablers for the development of the sector in necessary steps for its success. A must read
GCC: Moulding a Sustainable Future Towards the region include workforce availability, for investors and market players of all size, it
a Plastics Circular Economy’. According to the technology acquisitions, acquisitions of concludes by focusing on the opportunities to
report, the GCC industrial development is at a polymer converters, government support and build a circular economy and its relationship
turning point as governments seek to diversify policies, and joint ventures with polymer with plastic conversion. To access the report,
economies to meet the aspirations of future converters among others, GPCA says. visit the GPCA website.
generations.

Predictive analytics key


technology for supply chain
strategy, finds GPCA report
The new report was developed by GPCA in collaboration with IBM

Predictive analytics are a key technology for an The publication provides an overview of digital importance of these imperatives to the
enterprise’s supply chain strategy, according to technology adoption across supply chains in enterprise’s supply chain and the effectiveness
GPCA members. This was revealed in a new the GCC and globally along with key trends of the supply chain function. Furthermore, it
report developed by GPCA in collaboration and success stories from the region and the assesses the impact of predictive analytics on
with IBM. To gauge the state of supply chain world. It features must-read case studies supply chain objectives, and places supply
digitalization in the GCC region, GPCA from BASF, Monsanto, Qatar Energy, SABIC, chain among the different departments in
collected 24 responses from its member Aramco, Sipchem and Sadara. The report terms of level of investment in digital
companies in the Arabian Gulf in 2022. also offers recommendations and summarizes technologies over the next three years and
Respondents included CEOs, CSCOs, VPs/ the challenges pertaining to digital technology the level of maturity in implementing a digital
GMs of Supply Chain, Directors/Managers of adoption which regional stakeholders can learn supply chain strategy in the GCC. Finally, it
Supply Chain and others. The report provides about, and subsequently implement examines the most effective chemical supply
an analysis of the GPCA survey data and a within their respective organizations. chain organizations and their view on adopting
comparison with a global IBM study. The digital technologies, their supply chain
comparison study, recently conducted by The survey goes on to identify the main imperatives gaps, and how they are enabling
the IBM Institute for Business Value (IBV) and performance objectives supported by the GCC and managing change.
Oxford Economics, surveyed 460 chemical supply chain along with gaps between the
leaders in 19 countries.

8 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


GPCA NEWS
GPCA welcomes new Treasurer
and Plastics Committee
Chairman
Hazeem Al Suwaidi, CEO, Borouge, and Naser Aldousari, President and
CEO, EQUATE Group, have been appointed as GPCA Treasurer and
Chairman of the GPCA Plastics Committee, respectively

GPCA is pleased to welcome Naser and marketing activities as well as the Aldousari also served as the Chief Operating
Aldousari, President and CEO, EQUATE development and implementation of long-term Officer and Director of Corporate Strategy
Group, as the new Chairman of the Plastics strategies within the region. at MEGlobal, a wholly owned subsidiary of
Committee and Hazeem Al Suwaidi, CEO, EQUATE Group.
Borouge, as the GPCA Treasure and Member Mr. Aldousari was appointed as President and
of Executive Committee of the GPCA Board. CEO of EQUATE Group in October 2020, Dr. Abdulwahab Al Sadoun, Secretary General,
having served as EQUATE’s Senior Vice GPCA, commented: “I am pleased to welcome
With over 15 years of experience working in President since November 2017. With a career both esteemed leaders – Naser Aldousari and
the petrochemical sector in the UAE, Mr. Al spanning over 20 years, Aldousari’s industry Hazeem Al Suwaidi – to their new leadership
Suwaidi is the current CEO of Borouge. He experience has included roles at roles and I look forward to having their valuable
previously served as the CEO of ADNOC Petrochemical Industries Company (PIC) in contribution and expertise on board to help
Fertilizers from 2017-2019. Prior to that, he operations, corporate business processes, fulfil the association’s strategic objectives
was the SVP for Middle East, Africa and quality and environmental management, aimed at advancing the industry’s position and
Exports (MEAE) at Borouge, where he was joint ventures, olefins business development, safeguarding its performance and growth.”
responsible for leading the company’s sales as well as business analysis and planning.

GPCA Membership Portal Welcome to our new members in 2022

officially launched
The portal is now live for all members to use
GPCA’s Membership Portal, a new and contentment with the recent launch of this
exclusive member benefit, has officially complex project. She said: “As part of our
launched, providing member companies with values, GPCA always strives to improve how
a unique opportunity to keep abreast with our members network and connect with one
the latest GPCA updates, network and form another. It is also important for us to ensure
meaningful relationships within the GPCA our members enjoy the thought leadership
community. For the first time, each member products that the association has worked hard
company will enjoy multiple user access to to develop for their benefit. The portal is a one
the exclusive content and enhanced industry stop shop for all of this and more, allowing
database provided by the association. ease of access to the most relevant
professional at each member company who
In addition to this, members can now visit
can now enjoy all of its features without any
dedicated areas within the portal to discuss
limitations.”
important industry topics and share their latest
company updates. Members are also invited She added: “We are also excited to enable a
to share their thought leadership on the brand direct messaging service and are working hard
new members’ blog and directly connect with behind the scenes to introduce more updates
GPCA Committees, the main drivers of all and enhancements to the portal before end of
strategic GPCA activities. the year.”
Dima Al Horani, Head of Marcom and To learn more, please contact:
Membership at GPCA, expressed her members@gpca.org.ae.

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 9


GPCA NEWS

GPCA Youth Council reaffirms


its mission with new brand
identity
The council was established in December 2021 at the 15th Annual GPCA
Forum in Dubai

The GPCA Youth Council, the association’s faces today, the chemical industry generates To achieve its vision and create a meaningful
latest initiative dedicated to championing the socio-economic benefits for the vast impact, the council will partner with GPCA
Leaders of Tomorrow program and supporting communities in the region, helping to improve working committees and act as an
talent development in the region, has received their quality of life and serving as a building ambassador for change. Furthermore, it will
a new brand identity, designed to connect with block for myriad of products. By establishing lead and grow the GPCA Leaders of Tomorrow
the new generation of industry professionals the Youth Council, GPCA aspires to empower program as well as organize tailored upskilling
and help support its mission. The council was the chemical industry’s young professionals to workshops and programs for young
established in December 2021 and launched focus on a number of advocacy issues, professionals at GPCA member companies.
at the 15th Annual GPCA Forum in Dubai as a including environmental sustainability, the As true digital natives, members of the council
platform for young professionals from GPCA industry’s image among the public as well as will actively participate in GPCA’s social media
member companies to learn, connect, share increasing its attractiveness to the region’s channels, helping to drive engaging
knowledge, and advocate the chemical youth. Finally, the association’s aims to evolve conversations and promoting the industry’s
industry’s position in the Arabian Gulf. the Council as a social networking platform role to millions of people in the region and
for upskilling young professionals at GPCA across the globe.
Besides being a solutions provider to the member companies.
environmental challenges our planet

10 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


INTERVIEW

Sustaining growth
GPCA Insight speaks exclusively with Abdullah Al-Saadoon, CEO,
Sipchem, about the company’s plans for expansion into new
markets, pursuing new mergers and acquisitions and leveraging the
current growth momentum

Over the last year, Sipchem strategy also enabled us to realize a synergy
reported a net profit increase of value of SAR 298 million in 2021.
1,942% in 2021. Can you give us
some insight into the reasons What is your forecast for the rest
behind this growth and how it has of 2022 and 2023 and how do you
helped you recover from the expect it to impact Sipchem and
negative implications of the petrochemical players in the GCC
COVID-19 pandemic? region?

Sipchem’s exceptional performance through- While we believe 2022 is going to be


out the pandemic period reflects the another strong year for the petrochemical
company’s deeply rooted culture of safety, industry, it is also a year that brings with it
reliability, and continuous improvement, which different sets of challenges that have the po- With hopes for high
enabled us to achieve record production and tential to either dampen the robust demand profitability and growth this year,
sales levels. Our agile business approach we have seen in 2021 and Q1 2022 or push are you planning any new
allowed us to adapt to rapidly evolving the markets even higher. investments – be that in Saudi
circumstances, overcome challenges, and
Arabia or elsewhere globally?
During Q1 2022, we have seen continued If so, which industry segments or
meet the needs of the customers and the
demand and hence strong prices of most products can we expect to see
expectations of the shareholders. Following
of our basics, intermediates, and polymers Sipchem focus on?
the merger of legacy Sipchem and Sahara in
products. Despite the challenges in the
2019, we made a strategic and purposeful Sustainable, long-term growth is naturally a
supply chain and geopolitical pressure,
effort to diversify our output and create a key strategic pillar for Sipchem. Our history
Sipchem and other GCC players, thanks to
balanced product portfolio mix, which of growth since the company establishment
our geographical location, are well placed to
enabled Sipchem to capitalize on the cyclical in 1999 has been impressive and we are
service the key growth markets globally,
upturn during 2021. committed to continue growing. With the
including India, Africa, the Far East and
Europe. In addition, we expect to further launching of Shareek by H.R.H. Crown Prince
In addition, our strong marketing and physical
expand into Latin America and Oceania as Mohammed Bin Salman bin Abdulaziz and
presence in key markets across Europe and
demand continues to grow for several of our aims to increase domestic investments of
Asia played a key role in ensuring we were
products. private sector companies to reach SAR 5
well placed to take advantage of prevailing
trillion by 2030 through the support and
market demand and seamlessly leverage our
The current energy prices, where crude unlocking of government-approved
operational capabilities.
oil prices surpassed USD 100 per barrel, incentives, Sipchem expediated its growth
Sipchem also benefited from bold decision supported the petrochemical prices from agenda to match the kingdom’s ambitions
making and active JV portfolio management dropping significantly compared to Q4 of of growth. Therefore, we are aggressively
through the acquisition of additional stakes 2021 and in fact, some of the products have exploring various major green field projects
in International Acetyl Company, International seen increased prices. growth opportunities.
Vinyl Acetate Company, and International
For the rest of 2022 and into 2023, we are We are also looking to expand the scope of
Diol Company, coupled with the mothballing
optimistic that demand for Sipchem’s our current product portfolio through
of economically unviable plants. Our robust
products will continue to be strong across all assessing various organic and inorganic
sales and operations planning practices
the regions in which we service our growth opportunities. Any new endeavors
allowed us to adjust the feedstock mix to
customers. We also expect to grow our and initiatives will be announced in due time.
maximize contribution margin, while
geographical reach even further with some of
Sipchem’s robust synergy realization
our products.

12 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


INTERVIEW

According to some analysts, the Certainly, the current supply chain crisis has In line with HRH the Crown Prince’s
current market environment is ripe had a major impact on our global customers. aspirational targets unveiled in the Saudi
for new investments, mergers and However, we have been successful in Green Initiative and 2060 net-zero target,
acquisitions. Are you eyeing any navigating the crisis with fewer dents by we have recently enshrined sustainability as
new M&A deals this year or in the taking more targeted strategies and making one of our strategic pillars and redefined our
short term? sure our customers are aware of the situation sustainability strategy with greater ambition.
ahead of time. The key is to have transparent We are finalizing our sustainability strategy
2022 marks the third year of the merger and clear communication with customers so and GHG reduction target in view of the
between Sipchem International Petrochemical that they can plan accordingly at their end. kingdom’s ambitions. The intention is to
Company (Sipchem) and Sahara We should be aware that supply chain announce Sipchem’s sustainability targets
Petrochemical Company (Sahara). The challenges will continue to be with us for to meet the Net Zero agenda later this year.
merged company Sahara International the rest of the year and potentially beyond. Within our ESG sustainability strategy, and
Petrochemical Company (Sipchem) was a Keeping that in mind, we as a company have as a first wave, we will be addressing six key
success story in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia tailored our strategy to tackle the unique sustainability topics. In the Environment, the
where it paved the road for various other M&A challenges of each region such as port focus will be in (a) Scope 1 and 2 emission
deals within the kingdom in different sectors. congestion, the shortage of truck drivers reduction, (b) circular products, and (c) waste
Through this experience, we are proud to and ports manpower, freight rate increases, management. In the Social, the focus will be
share that we have built the necessary toolkit and high consumer demand, so that we can in (d) safety, and (e) diversity. In Governance,
within our organization to execute such M&A effectively navigate supply chain crises. the focus will be in (f) responsible
deals smoothly and efficiently and will use this procurement.
to our advantage in the future. In addition, the We have taken several risk management
synergy realized, and the exceptional results measures that include access to shipping It is important to mention that Sipchem
achieved during year 2022 boosted the from the west side of Saudi Arabia, in continues to be a responsible company
confidence of the shareholders and specific, at King Abdullah Port, which enabled with several success stories and efforts in
encouraged the company to place M&A as us to cut transit times to certain regions by reducing GHG emissions. One such success
one of the main drivers of the company’s 20-30%; exploring multi-year freight contracts is the recent partnership with a neighboring
growth strategy. With this in mind, we are to mitigate container shipping risk so as to company to re-use significant CO2 volumes
now considering potential M&A capitalize on the long-term partnerships we for existing process units. In addition, we
opportunities and will make our intentions have with shipping lines and secure volumes have been utilizing ethanol as a bio feedstock
public once decisions have been reached. with reliable parties to ship our product, and for our ethyl acetate plant and have targets to
continually serve our markets. In addition, we expand our efforts in this field. We have also
Despite projected industry growth are increasing the number of chemical tanks received a recognition from the
in 2022 off the back of strong on lease that are closer to our customers so Saudi Energy Efficiency Center (SEEC) for our
demand and margins, the that we can continue to service their evolving excellent compliance record during the SEEC
petrochemical industry is still requirements. first cycle, with commitment to sustain such
facing some formidable supply improvement in energy efficiency during the
chain challenges in the form of In the view of the recent second cycle.
container shortages, continuously announcement of the kingdom’s
high freight rates, etc. How is commitment to net-zero by 2060,
Sipchem being affected and how what is Sipchem’s strategy
do you plan to address these to towards sustainability and, in
stay competitive and meet specific, carbon neutrality targets?
customer expectations?

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 13


PROACTIVELY
INVESTING TO ELEVATE
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COLLABORATION.
IT’S MAKING THE CIRCULAR
ECONOMY GO ROUND.
SABIC teamwork is rethinking recycling.
SABIC’s collaborations are making it possible to create materials
of high enough quality for food packaging by breaking complex,
low quality waste plastics down to their original state. We can use,
reuse and repurpose more of our resources without needing new
ones. It’s ground-breaking technology that’s making the circular
economy reality with Chemistry that Matters™.

Meet one of the world’s leading


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INTERVIEW

Container shipping:
the challenges and
the solutions
In a special interview with GPCA Insight, Christopher Cook, Managing
Director – UAE, Oman, Qatar, Maersk, sheds light on the challenges
and lessons learned from the container shipping crisis and shares his
view on the “new normal” for the shipping industry moving forward

The container shipping shortage is The next two reasons, which are more recent The imbalance between demand and supply
a major challenge that’s affecting issues, have been tackled through several was caused due to the large stimulus being
supply chains across the globe, operational solutions as below: paid in the western markets. With people not
and the chemical industry is no being able to spend their money on
exception. Can you tell us more i. Resilience in operations experiential activities, there was a rising
about the issue, and what are the • As logistics partners, solutions that will
demand for goods in the market. This meant
reasons for this to happen more bring ease, speed, predictability, and
a lot of consumer items had to be transported
than two years since the flexibility to customers’ supply chains
around the world with not enough capacity
pandemic? are required
available. However, with lockdowns reducing
in different parts of the world, there is some
The container shortage has been a challenge normalization that will return to the demand
• Clear and relevant delivery promises
over the last 2+ years owing to three main and supply equation eventually and the
from both sides must be institution-
reasons: imbalance will reduce with it.
alized with guaranteed fulfilment and
high predictability in customers’ supply
1. At the pandemic’s start, it was because of The solution to the container
chain enabling them to reduce inven-
the strict lockdowns in China, where the shortage crisis would require a
tory costs and better capture market
production of new containers fell by 40% multi-stakeholder approach. What
opportunities
in the first half of 2020. in your view is needed to solve the
ii. Adoption of digitalization shortage and restore the smooth
2. Then there was an imbalance between functioning of the industry once
imports and exports in different markets, • Digital solutions that provide increased more?
leading to empty containers not being visibility and performance management
to enable planning ahead and taking On a broader level, every stakeholder in the
where they were required.
timely mitigating actions have become supply chain needs to be an active
essential to supply chains participant in creating an ecosystem that is
3. Productivity at ports has been down,
better prepared for such crises in the future.
and congestion is high, leading to longer
• There is a need to modernize our Prior to the COVID pandemic, we, as the
waiting time for vessels at sea before they logistics partner, would do an annual plan of
infrastructure with digital solutions
can discharge containers or for containers and drive standardization to reduce equipment requirement and deployment as
to be stuck in transit. complexity in supply chains per the needs of the market. Now, we are
doing the planning at least twice a year and
During the period of the pandemic, when • Automation and leveraging IoT across adjusting it, if necessary, through constant
the industry was facing an actual shortage physical assets to ultimately have dialogue with our customers/partners and
of containers, 5.9 million TEUs (Twenty-feet better control on their movement will understanding their requirements more
Equivalent units of containers) including help us have the right equipment at the proactively.
around 745,000 were reefers (refrigerated right place at the right time
containers) were in-fleeted. This represented
a 12% growth in the total container fleet of
the industry - one of the largest in-fleeting
done by the shipping industry to tackle the
container shortage crisis.

16 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


INTERVIEW

We are also more proactive in pre-empting production and procurement, it does not look electronic transfer of documentation. Unless
the market requirements by studying the like nearshoring can take over global trade all the stakeholders in the supply chains
customer behavior and acting rapidly. any time soon. However, manufacturers are across the entire journey of the cargo are not
looking at options for multi-sourcing to ensure onboard with the platform, it will not function
For example, we have lockdowns in China that they are not dependent on specific at its best efficiency.
due to a current COVID outbreak. However, geographies for all their requirements. This
we are prepared to tackle the situation by will continue to develop over the years and What will the “new normal” look
having adequate equipment already avail- we will see more markets being connected to like for the shipping industry
able in the region. This means that when the the global trade from both manufacturing as moving forward considering all
restrictions are lifted, there is usually a sudden well as consumption perspective. the major disruptions taking place
surge in demand and we are in a position to currently, and how can chemical
handle it. The COVID-19 pandemic companies prepare for the new
accelerated the digitalization of era?
Enough thought needs to be put into being supply chains. Are you seeing this
able to predict the changing consumer trend continuing currently and We live in an ever-evolving world. What the
behaviors. We have seen a drastic change what challenges/gaps is the pandemic did was change and accelerate the
in the way retail buying has converted to logistics industry still facing when course of evolution for all of us. The
eCommerce in recent times. This calls for a it comes to technology adoption disruptions in supply chains changed the way
different level of thinking and forecasting how and digitalization in your view? we operate and did it for the good eventually.
the demands change in the market and be We have found new ways of working that are
prepared with solutions that cater to them. Digitalization has been one of the key far more resilient than before. We are
We must leverage the data from the market highlights of what the industry gained out of collaborating with customers and partners
to make this happen. the pandemic crisis. The digital transforma- far more than before. We have digitalized our
tion that would have otherwise taken years, processes and systems. We have diversified
During the coronavirus pandemic got accelerated and we have already seen solutions to make them even more suitable
we saw a trend of supply chain a lot of solutions becoming mainstream in for our customers. We are providing
onshoring. Is this trend continuing supply chains. Overall, there is also a much integrated solutions to customers that
at the moment, and what risks and higher level of acceptance for digitalization connect and simplify their supply chains. We
benefits does it present? than there was some years ago. have accelerated out sustainability goals and
are acting on a green future already.
With international borders closing and no The biggest challenge for digitalization has
sight on how and when they would open, been the adoption across all stakeholders of These are all the elements that make the new
there was a lot of talk around nearshoring and the supply chains. This is especially noticed normal up. It is a better version of yesterday,
reducing the dependence on global market. when we look at solutions such as and it has come sooner than it would have in
However, given the nature of the global trade, TradeLens, a blockchain-underpinned normal circumstances.
availability of resources and capabilities of platform that offers great visibility and allows

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 17


ANALYSIS

Where did all the containers


disappear, and are they coming
back?
By Stuti Chawla, Managing Editor India Pricing; Kristen Hays, Global Market Lead – Polymers; Heng Hui,
Senior Editor – Polymers; David Lademan, Associate Editor – Container Shipping, S&P Global Commodity
Insights
At the end of 2019, when the coronavirus unheard of earlier. Asia polymer freights had This has produced the dual effect of
was just beginning to come into focus, no risen more than fourfold since 2020, creating logjams in the domestic US
one could have predicted how disruptive it according to S&P Global Commodity intermodal network, while also stymieing US
would be to the global economy and to the Insights data. exporters, particularly those moving resin and
petrochemical and freight markets. other chemical supplies.
And it wasn’t just container or vessel
It would be an understatement to say that the shortage, adding fuel to the fire were port And the economic forces driving the trade
last souple of years have been unusual for congestions and a sharp drop in schedule imbalance are clear when looking at the
container shipping. There was an unprece- reliability. spread between market rates. Platts
dented rise in container freight, an unforeseen Container Rate 6 – East Coast North
imbalance in equipment shortage, a record Cargo delays stretched up to two to three America-to-North Asia – was assessed at
number of blank sailings, far more port months, and in many markets, producers USD 1,150/FEU on April 19, while PCR 5
congestions, and the list goes on. selling on the CFR basis have been asking – North Asia-to-East Coast North America –
for longer LCs and shipping schedules of two was assessed at USD 11,850/FEU, more than
Shippers were scrambling for containers and months or more because they aren’t sure a 10-fold increase against the export rate.
if they did manage to find a container, then about delivery.
began the struggle to find a ship willing to This has had a notable impact on US polymer
load it. And the mayhem is far from over. The status now exporters, who, despite strong demand for
their product, have little ability to secure much
This severe equipment shortage has Two years on, the container trade remains
sought-after export bookings and equipment,
heavily imbalanced as ocean carriers look to
meaning domestic warehouses are full even
predicably led to the sky-high container rates, reposition boxes to north Asian
as buying activity in demand locales such as
particularly on routes originating in Asia, which production hubs in a bit to capture high
South America, remain high.
in turn has changed polymer trade flows US import revenues. Moreover, current
globally. market disruptions are the product not of a Looking forward, S&P Global Commodity
global demand boom, but growth largely Insights analytics forecasts a downward
In many cases shipping freight made up to centered around North America and the US. trending rate environment, but the possibility
20% of the total deal size for cargoes
for rate spikes as the market adjusts remains
originating in Asia –something that was
high.

18 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


ANALYSIS

The Americas market is in the historical polypropylene manufactured at its five US These delays have hampered arbitrage
off-season after the lunar new year, production sites based on discussions with opportunities globally. Polymer supplies from
compounded by weak demand out of Asia major railroads that anticipate restricting traffic US are finding it hard to reach markets in
due to COVID lockdowns, but even so, import to clear out clogs in their systems, Europe due to export logjams.
volume projections are expected at-or-near according to a customer letter seen by S&P
record highs at least through July. Global Commodity Insights. That would limit Far East Asian producers too are unable to
rail car movements from production plants to cash in on the absence of US supplies in
Supply chain bottlenecks adding to packaging warehouses. Europe and Latin America due to the
shipping woes lockdowns as well as poor equipment
However, market sources say the chassis and availability, space shortage and longer lead
In the US, the influx of containerized imports, truck driver squeeze hinders ability to clear times for shipping.
largely from Asia, has commanded already out warehouses.
tight supply of chassis and truck drivers as This has led to a disconnect between polymer
ocean vessels diverted from US West Coast Impact on polymer trade flows prices in US, Europe and Asia.
ports to other major resin-exporting ports,
including those in Houston and Charleston, The prevailing container logistical issues The situation is unlikely to improve for the
South Carolina. means it has taken longer for polymer rest of 2022 unless a recession hits and
demand and supply to reach any equilibrium. consumption and imports slow down in North
That lack of necessary equipment and labor America.
to move empty containers to packaging Lowered factory shutdowns following
warehouses to load polyethylene, lockdowns in China have stoked concerns Chinese ports may be shipping out less cargo
polypropylene and polyvinyl chloride and of escalating port congestions and polymer now because of lockdowns, but it will roar
transport those cargoes to ports to load on supply chain backlogs. Inland transportation back once those lockdowns ease, and US
ships has left warehouses largely full. remained a challenge in China, with delays ports – where most of the world’s logistics
reported to polymer shipments. holdups are – will get hit with more.
INEOS Olefins & Polymers on April 14
declared force majeure on polyethylene and

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 19


ANALYSIS

Polymer waste management


global and regional trends
By Anwesha Banerjee, Senior Consultant, and Aparajith Balan, Global Practice Leader, Chemicals and
Materials Practice, Frost & Sullivan

Polymers, with their light weight, functional Plastics Europe, in 2021 plastic producers plastics in new products by 2025. Plastics
properties and low cost, are major in the European Union planned to increase Europe aims to increase recycled content in
contributors to mega trends shaping the investments in chemical recycling from EUR plastic packaging to 30% by 2030.
global economy. However, their contribution 2.6 billion in 2025 to EUR 7.2 billion in 2030.
to waste generation is significant. High Pyrolysis (both solvent and catalytic) will be In Asia, policies and frameworks differ
landfilling rates and mounting global pressure most adopted in the short term. In 2021 significantly among countries. In general,
of environment leakage are important BASF, Quantafuel and REMONDIS partnered governmental policies are more focused
considerations that have raised concerns to build a scalable pyrolysis plant as part of on reducing waste. China was the leading
across regions. BASF’s ChemCycling project. Similarly, SABIC country to ban the import of plastic wastes
collaborated with Malaysia-based HHI to in 2018. China has also put a strict limit
The global perspective develop polymers from ocean-bound plastics (0.5%) of allowed contamination in imported
According to Frost & Sullivan, global polymer through pyrolysis. plastics. Although efforts are being made on
production, estimated at approximately ~381 the legislation side, there is a varying degree
MMT in 2021, will reach ~538 MMT by 2030. Regulatory landscape in other of implementation of these policies. For
Global polymer waste generation, which regions example, India banned the manufacture, sale
accounted for about 95% of the polymer and use of single-use plastics in 2022, but
Governments across the world have set implementation remains the key to success.
production in 2021, will reduce to ~86% of
varying regulations to achieve environmental Southeast Asian countries share the same
the production by 2030. Asia currently
targets. goal of tackling marine waste, yet there is no
contributes to ~50% of total waste, and 50%
of this is by China alone. collaboration in policy implementation.
Europe is the frontrunner in polymer waste
management, focusing mainly on In the Americas, the US is more focused on
Historically, waste to energy (WTE) was a
packaging. Implementing plastic taxes based increasing recycling rates while Canada is
preferred option for polymer waste
on non-recycled plastic packaging waste is working to reduce waste. The US, which
management. Growing concerns about
an important part of the Green Deal, which currently recycles about 9% of polymer
emissions associated with WTE have driven
aims to reduce carbon emissions and wastes, introduced the Plastic Waste
efforts toward recycling. Chemical recycling
promote the move toward a circular Reduction and Recycling Act in 2020 as a
is gradually gaining more attention than
economy. The Circular Plastics Alliance has step to meet its long-term goal to be the
mechanical recycling, which often results
set a target to use 10 MMT of recycled global leader in recycling by leading
in inferior product properties. According to
innovation. The Canada-Wide Action Plan
on Zero Plastic Waste (phase-I and phase-II)
Figure 1: Global polymer production and waste generation forecast, 2020-2030F aims to reduce plastic pollution and ultimately
(Source: Frost & Sullivan) achieve zero plastic waste by 2030.

MENA overview and regulatory


aspects
800
Production: 3.9%
Waste: 2.8% In MENA, packaging largely contributed
by low-density polyethylene (LDPE), linear
600 538 low-density polyethylene (LLDPE) and
445 polyethylene terephthalate (PET) accounts
367 381 for the largest share of polymer waste.
400 464 Apart from this, construction and demolition
404 (C&D) waste and municipal wastes account
352 362 for a substantial volume. At the GCC level,
200 individual country governments have set their
targets to achieve sustainability. Long-term
policies are focused on building synergies
0 between industries and creating a closed
2020 2021E 2025F 2030F loop, especially in key countries such as KSA
and the UAE.
Production Waste Generated

20 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


ANALYSIS
Figure 2: Global polymer waste regulatory pressure (Source: Frost & Sullivan)

DESIGN USAGE WASTE MANGEMENT


Simplification in Ban/levy on Ban on Ban on foreign Zero polymer Targets for
product design to single-use microplastics plastic waste waste to landfill polymer recycling
increase plastics imports
recyclability

Criticality Criticality Criticality Criticality

PRODUCTION
Use of alternate materials (bio-based, Shift from high level of customization Standards and mandates for use
etc.), phasing out difficult-to-recycle of recycled polymer
polymers

Criticality Criticality Criticality

In most cases, there are no polymer specific Investment is currently focused on WTE since market. Disruptive research and
waste management plans. For example, it can tackle mixed waste. WTE is also collaborations are important to develop the
through the National Strategy Vision 2030, preferred over recycling due to its ease of ecosystem. The process has to start from
Saudi Investment Recycling Company (SIRC) scalability and modularity. Recycling is the design stage to build easily recyclable
plans to increase the waste recycling rate to dominated by mechanical recycling methods polymers. The focus should be on
85% by 2030. Qatar is committed to making taken up by individual companies as part of combining technologies—WTE and
the 2022 FIFA World Cup a carbon-neu- their sustainability strategies. For example, recycling—to ensure effective waste diversion
tral event. There is a gradual drift toward NAPCO has two plastics recycling plants in from landfills. Advancements in technology
plastic-specific plans in some countries. UAE KSA where it sorts, washes, and mechanically are imperative to facilitate the recycling of
launched the Scale 360 Initiative in 2019, recycles polymer waste to manufacture resins hard-to-recycle polymers, multi-material
which aims to achieve circularity in plastics that it can use for converting. Global leaders products and composites. Composite
and electronics through advanced from the region have circularity initiatives, but materials will be a priority in the long term.
technologies. In Abu Dhabi, Coalition Circle these are mainly focused outside the region. Innovation related to novel upcycling methods
(Coalition of Innovation in Recycling towards a For example, SABIC and Plastic Energy have will also drive results.
Closed-Loop Economy) includes key set up an advanced recycling plant in the
manufacturers and governmental bodies to Netherlands to convert waste plastics into Governments play a pivotal role in
expand the closed-loop circular system to recycled oils to create virgin polymers. transforming the plastic value chain across
combat plastic waste pollution. The industries. Establishing national targets for
Government of Oman, in collaboration with The way forward polymer circularity, including mandates for
Be’ah, has set up reverse vending machines minimum recycled content contribution
GCC petrochemical producers rely on across key sectors, is important.
to collect and recycle PET bottles across the
international markets, where end-user Additionally, authorities need to specify
country.
companies have set specific sustainability standards and guidelines for recyclates
Polymer waste management is still at a mandates for suppliers. Therefore, and strengthen plastic waste incentives
nascent stage in the region. Lack of aware- regional producers need to implement and penalties for producers. Investment in
ness of source segregation and a lack of changes across the value chain to infrastructure related to collection, sorting and
reliable data on waste characterization have synchronize with the circularity goals of end recycling would be required to overcome the
limited recycling options. users and be competitive in the global lack of awareness of source segregation and
sub-optimal infrastructure.
Figure 3: WTE plans, GCC (Source: Frost & Sullivan)
As the ecosystem develops, more
WTE INVESTMENTS, GCC collaboration and value chain partners,
including technology providers, recyclers and
KSA (PIF Target) UAE (Multiple)
Waste Handling end users, will join the move toward
Capacities 85% of circularity. GCC players can lead by example
(all materials including 50 MMT and reshape the flow of polymers worldwide.
polymers), WTE recyclable
Investments materials
1,800 KT

Kuwait Bahrain Qatar

990 KT 390 KT 72 KT

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 21


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www.gpca.org.ae
ANALYSIS

Putting the “Transition” back


into the Energy Transition
By David Hanna, Argus VP of Business Development for North Asia

The global shift from traditional fossil fuels pandemic. China was the most notable pandemic broke out in late 2019, in 2018
to green energy is affecting all sectors, and exception, setting its sights on a 2060 target, Aramco estimated that over the next 25
petrochemicals is among the most heavily hit. partly because its economy is simply more years, some USD 20 trillion would be needed
But even before events in Ukraine and Russia dependent than most on coal, but also to meet the relentless growth in demand as
unfolded in recent weeks, it was already because state planners have traditionally certain oilfields see natural declines in output.
clear that most of the world, quite simply, got erred on the side of caution and probably Oil E&D investment peaked at USD 800-
the energy transition wrong. The “transition” understood that the 2050 goal is unrealistic, billion in 2014, according to the IEA.
part of the Energy Transition seems to have and – at least for now – they happen to be
been overlooked, or at least vastly under- right. So when the world’s leading economies
estimated. “The word ‘transition’ suggests started to crawl back from the COVID
we know where we are going, that there is a While PR firms were advising companies on pandemic and demand for transportation
well-thought-out plan, and that the period of the favorable optics of abandoning plastics fuels picked up, the result was almost
‘transition’ will be painless and short. None of for paper – even though the carbon footprint inevitable: energy prices in general – and
these seems to be the case,” said Argus from manufacturing paper straws and spoons natural gas, crude oil and coal in
Senior Vice President of Editorial, Neil is greater than for traditional plastic utensils particular – surged. Natural gas prices
Fleming. So where does this leave the – politicians and activist investors were busy in Europe ballooned by two full orders of
petrochemical sector? shutting down thermal and nuclear power magnitude to just Euro 4/MWh in mid-2020
capacity and clamping down on funding for to a peak of almost Euro 210 earlier this year;
Petrochemical feedstock price rise future investments in fossil fuel production coal saw a single order of magnitude increase
driven largely by renewable energy capacity, resulting in the current energy from USD 48/mt FOB Newcastle to a peak
gap shortage and historically high inflation rates. of USD 380/mt; and WTI crude witnessed a
In effect, economic decisions were made for more than doubling to USD 100/b +/- during
2020 was a watershed year in which most political reasons. The disconnect between the same period.
industrialized countries eagerly rushed to politically popular ideals and economic reality
announce in close succession a united goal is being felt in today’s markets. Almost all of the incremental capacity
of achieving net zero carbon emissions by additions for electric power generation in
2050. US President Biden declared a plan for Meanwhile, OPEC was struggling to bring 2020, 90% according to the IEA, were in fact
a “green recovery” at the height of the back crude oil production and make up for in the form of renewables. But renewables still
economic devastation from the COVID the shortfall in E&P investments that had built account for an insignificant share of the
up over the years. Even before the COVID overall energy pie. Moreover, while the
increment was impressive, it still lagged
250 430 behind global demand growth for renewable
WTI month 1 ($/bl) (left-hand axis) energy based on the current global
Natural gas TTF (€/MWh) (left-hand axis) 380 decarbonization targets. As a result, the
200 Coal API 6 index ($/t) (right-hand axis) gap between renewable energy supply and
demand is actually getting bigger, not smaller.
330
In principle, this is where traditional fossil fuels
150 can help by serving as a bridge to green
280 energy until this gap can be filled, which
will take anywhere from five to 10 years,
100 230 depending on who you talk to. Paradoxically,
we need fossil fuels to wean ourselves from
180 fossil fuels.
50
130 The immediate effect on petrochemicals of
— Argus rushing into the energy transition too hastily
0 80 can be seen in price behavior. If we look into
Jun 21 Aug 21 Oct 21 Dec 21 Feb 22 Apr 22 the petrochemical price complex, we can
discern a clear trend of increasing volatility
as we move up the chain, with the result that
margins are getting squeezed further down.
For example, while Asian polyethylene prices

24 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


ANALYSIS
140 1,500
Nymex WTI ($/bl) (left-hand axis) 3.0
LDPE-WTI spread WTI
130 Naphtha Singapore ($/bl) (left-hand axis) 1,400
Ethylene ($/t) (right-hand axis) 2.5 Naphtha Ethylene
120 LDPE
LLDPE ($/t) (right-hand axis) 1,300
2.0
110
1,200
100 1.5
1,100
90 1.0
1,000
80 0.5
70 — Argus 900 — Argus
0.0
60 800 Jan 21 Apr 21 Jul 21 Oct 21 Jan 22 Apr 22
Jun 21 Aug 21 Oct 21 Dec 21 Feb 22 Apr 22

have shown an impressive doubling over the Venezia. “You can (1) close refineries, (2) con- This may drive up prices until alternative
past year, crude oil prices have almost tripled. vert them to biodiesel/fuel production, or (3) feedstocks take over, particularly in Asia.
Part of the cost push has been absorbed by promote oil to chemicals (COTC),” he noted.
manufacturers down the chain, but much of it These scenarios are not mutually exclusive Japan’s “Dual-Sector, Three-
has been passed onto to consumers of final and in fact are already being carried out either Aspects” approach to carbon net
goods, contributing to the current cycle of simultaneously or in staggered stages. As neutrality
extreme inflation. Chuck pointed out, scenarios #2 and #3 are
expensive, so scenario #1 is a relatively easy Japan can serve as an illustrative example of
Unlike other heavy industries that produce win, especially since the world has a surplus how a major petrochemical production center
basic materials like steel, paper, glass and of refining capacity. is approaching the decarbonization issue.
cement, the petrochemical sector relies on Industry and government are working closely
petroleum products more for feedstocks than However, as integrated producers pursue together to create a roadmap for
for power generation. So the focus for the 2050 goal, it would be wise to be weary decarbonization since the country’s then
petrochemical producers seeking to achieve of potential unintended consequences. In Prime Minister Soga announced Japan’s
the 2050 target has been mostly on particular, while you would expect the price of 2050 goal in 2020.
carbon-neutral or carbon-minimal production naphtha relative to crude to go down as the
processes, as well as raising efficiency and structure of crude demand gradually shifts While the Ministry of Economy, Trade and
managing carbon disposal or processing. from transportation fuels to petrochemical Industry (METI) has announced an impressive
feedstocks in tandem with the rise of electric number of detailed roadmaps covering a wide
Three scenarios vehicles, in fact this may not be the case. range of industries, in point of fact, both the
Recall solution #1, shutting in capacity. As this government and many of the affected
As petrochemical producers around the world route is pursued over the coming years and industries – including petrochemicals – are
rise to the challenge of going net carbon global crude oil demand peaks out, probably rushing to back-fill the goals with concrete
neutral by 2050, there are primarily three by 2030, give or take a few years, the sheer steps for getting there. “We got the news that
scenarios they are looking at, according to volume of naphtha available will shrink. 2050 is the decarbonization deadline, so we
Argus Senior VP for Petrochemicals, Chuck are very busy trying to work out the details

Japan’s “Dual-Sector, Three-Aspects” Approach to CN

• Hydrogen/Ammonia • Renewables (Wind) • CCUS (Carbon


(1) Energy: • Biomass Capture, Usage
• Nuclear
Fossil Fuels (wood chips) and Storage)
• Operational Efficiency
(Coal, Oil) • Carbon Credits
• Energy Conservation

• Bio-naphtha • COTC (Crude to Chems) • CR (Chemical


(2) Materials: • Biomass Recycling),
• MTO/CTO
Plastics • ROG • MR (Material
• Bio-Degradable plastics
(Petchems) (refinery off-gases) Recycling)

Fuel, Feedstock Process Carbon


Choices Technologies Disposal

— Argus

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 25


ANALYSIS

of exactly how we will achieve this goal,” a recovery and utilization of ROG’s (refinery off ammonia mixed with coal. Japan is also
senior executive at a major petrochemical gases) have been promoted, backed by developing a carbon credit trade market to
company said. government funding. A number of trading help offset the remaining carbon footprint
houses are working with petrochemical in its various production processes. Don’t
To put Japan’s petrochemical industry in producers to start producing and importing forget, the goal is carbon net neutrality, with
context, in 2019 heavy industry accounted bionaphtha. In 2021, Japan’s Mitsui the emphasis on “net.”
for 35% of Japan’s total CO2 emissions of Chemicals Inc and Toyota Tsusho teamed up
1 billion tons, according to METI. This was with Neste to invest in what will become In fact, the “net” of “carbon net neutral” is
followed by transportation at 19%. Out of the Japan’s first commercial-scale production often overlooked. Japan’s move away from
35% share for heavy industry, facility for polyolefins, olefins and aromatics carbon does not mean that it will
chemicals accounted for 15%, or 57 million using bio-based hydrocarbons, based on completely give up coal and oil in the long
tons, a distant #2 after steel and metals, Neste’s proprietary “RE” process technology. term. As long as heavy industry can offset its
which comes in at 42%. Within the 15% Ahead of this project, late last year Mitsui carbon emissions in the international carbon
share for chemicals, petrochemicals accounts took delivery of its first 3,000-ton cargo of markets (a domestic carbon market is widely
for 48%, or 27 million tons. And within bio-naphtha from Neste. Prime Polymer, in expected to be established later this year or
petrochemicals, it is estimated that basic which Mitsui is a major stakeholder, will use early next year), it will stay within its com-
chemicals like olefins and their derivatives bio-naphtha to produce bio-polypropylene, mitments. The local Toyo Keizai magazine
account for roughly half this figure. while Mitsui itself has already produced recently reported that Eneos has forecast that
bio-phenol from its earlier purchase of Japan’s refined products demand will shrink
Although METI does not state this explicitly or bio-naphtha. by roughly half the current level over the next
attach any special phraseology to its Carbon 20 years, or by about 2060. What’s interest-
Net Neutral program, the country’s approach In addition, while CTO and MTO appears to ing about this estimate is the timing: it implies
appears to have a dual-sector focus on be slowly falling out of favor in China, Japan that Japan will still be burning fossil fuels,
energy (minimizing the use of coal and oil) and has included these two processes in its albeit much less than now, well past the 2050
materials (plastics, rubber, and arsenal of technologies to be deployed for carbon net neutrality deadline. This is not a
petrochemicals) covering three broad aspects bringing down CO2 emissions (see METI’s problem, as long as offsets are used.
for both sectors: fuel and feedstock choices, Road Map).
process technologies, and carbon disposal CCUS (Carbon Capture, Usage and Storage)
measures. The main change recommended for in-house will also play a significant role for
heat and power generation has been to shift petrochemical producers in Japan. METI’s
For feedstocks, a combination of low carbon from coal to biomass, primarily wood pellets, timetable provides for a gradual buildup
feedstocks, including bio-naphtha, and and nitrogen, most likely in the form of toward its 2050 goal during the first phase

26 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


ANALYSIS
from 2020 to 2030, followed by an Refiners and petrochemical producers are sector to three main players, Eneos,
accelerated plan for the remaining two seeking to reduce their carbon emissions Idemitsu-Shell, and Cosmo.
decades to 2050. Specifically, reliance on from power generation. For example, Toa Oil
traditional production technologies would plans to import methyl cyclohexane (MCH) The bigger question is, is this enough? Just
need to be reduced steadily to 88% by 2030, as a carrier of hydrogen, then separate the this week METI came out with its own verdict:
while reliance on processes that involve hydrogen for use in power generation at no, it’s not enough. Japan needs to triple its
hydrogen or are used in tandem with CCUS its complex in Kawasaki. Also in Kawasaki, annual spending to Yen 17 trillion by 2030 to
would be about 9% and 11%, respectively. petrochemical producer Showa Denko, along meet its goals by 2050, according to the
But by 2050, reliance on CCUS would jump with refiner Eneos and electric utility giant Ministry. Although the details of the path to
to 67%, while legacy technologies would JERA have consolidated their power carbon net neutrality are still in the making,
drop to only about 6%. Use of hydrogen generation operations. one thing is clear: the industry has a firm
would climb to about 13% during this second grasp of the monumental scale of the
phase. In addition, Idemitsu and Eneos have joined changes taking place in the global economy,
the ranks of Japan’s top 30 PPS’s (private a once-in-a-century upending of the very
In addition to carbon sequestering, Japan is power suppliers, or “Shin Denryoku”) to basis of economic prosperity and way of life.
also looking to bolster recycling of plastics enhance their operational efficiency. Japan, along with the rest of the world, is
and rubber. Currently, 84% of plastics in Mitsubishi Gas Chemical and Sekisui slowly but surely turning away from the old
Japan are recycled, but out of this figure, Chemical have also broken into the PPS world oil-based economy and moving
57% is simply burned for electric space. inexorably toward a minimal carbon age.
power generation, or “thermal recycling.” The
government and industry are seeking to raise Two other measures that will help Japanese
the remaining 27% recycling rate to over 50% petrochemical producers advance toward
before 2050, emphasizing both traditional carbon net neutrality are mergers and
material recycling and chemical recycling to vertical integration, although these avenues
recover usable monomers. The government for improving competitiveness have been in
has allocated Yen 126 billion (rough USD 1 progress for at least a decade, culminating in
billion) for this purpose. the consolidation of the refining/petrochemical

METI’s Road Map

Enr Conserv, Efficiency, improved Ops, Enr recovery, Processes - Energy Conser-
vation,
Steam Efficiency,
Crack Transition to Nat Gas Ammonia/H2 for feedstocks New Feed-
+CCUS stocks
Basic Petrochemicals

Off-gases as Feedstocks - CO2 Recovery

Basic Input Chems from Biomass


New process
Polymers from Biomass technologies to
Feedstock Changes

Decar - use CO2 & biomass


Artificial Photosynthesis bonized

Methanol from H2, CO2, Syn Gas Power e-fuel, syn fuels

Supply Use of renewable


MTO, CTO
energy to eliminate
CCUS process-related
Olefins from H2 - based process
emissions

High Performance Chems from CO2

Methane from H2 - based process

Light yet Strong Materials ( eg, Cellulose Nanofiber) Multiple efficiency


measures
End
High Efficiency Production Technologies ““““
Products GHG reduction
Nitrous oxide abatement technologies technology

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 27


Leaders of Tomorrow is an initiative launched by GPCA which aims to build the local human capital in the region. Supported
by GPCA members, the initiative falls under advocacy, one of the three pillars of GPCA, which aims to highlight STEM education
and bridge the gap between academia and the industry. Leaders of Tomorrow is considered the first official collective step where
industry stakeholders collaborate in shaping skills and preparing the future industry leaders with the required skills set.

The initiative consists of a year round program where GPCA member companies sponsor students to attend the GPCA yearly
conferences. Each conference caters to the participating students by encompassing an element of the initiative in the form of
a seminar, workshop, roundtable and site visit. The main goals of these activities are to provide the students opportunities to
learn more about industry trends, give an overview of the skill set that are required to face new challenges and support member
companies with the local talent acquisition process.

For more information please visit: www.gpca.org.ae/leaders/

Secure the future of the chemical industry. Sponsor students to attend the Leaders of Tomorrow program in 2022 at:

11th GPCA Plastics Conference 7th GPCA Research And Innovation Conference
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

12th GPCA Agri-Nutrients Conference 16th Annual GPCA Forum


Dubai, UAE Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Sponsors

Content partners

To sponsor students, email aastha@gpca.org.ae


ANALYSIS
Energy security, climate, and the
low-carbon transition
By Paul McConnell, Executive Director, S&P Global Commodity Insights

By the end of 2021, over 150 countries Early in 2022, as policymakers debated how are to some degree antagonistic. In order to
worldwide had committed to achieving to achieve decarbonization goals, a new reduce its own emissions, the United States
net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by variable fundamentally altered the calculus must reduce consumption of fossil fuels. But
mid-century. Two further countries – of global geopolitical strategy. The Ukraine this may lead to reduced production, and
China and Saudi Arabia – had committed to conflict has upended decades-long ultimately to a reduction in energy exports.
net- zero by 2060, with India choosing 2070 assumptions about reliance on energy Many other energy exporters face these
as the point at which its economy would imports from Russia, and prompted a wider conflicting priorities, but for emerging market
become completely decarbonized. Taken debate around security of supply. A curtail- producers whose economies are dependent
collectively, net-zero commitments now cover ment of oil, gas and coal exports from Russia on exports of fossil fuels, the issue is particu-
over 90% of global GHG emissions and the suddenly looks entirely plausible. Even the larly acute.
vast majority of global GDP. threat of curtailed supply has been enough
to prompt historic volatility across commodity A third group of countries – characterized by
Many countries have also committed to markets. Security of supply now sits along- China and India, as well as other fast-
nearer-term decarbonization goals through side decarbonization as a driver of countries’ growing emerging markets – are net
the Paris Agreement of 2015. Parties to this energy strategies. But can these two drivers importers of energy, but have adopted
UN- driven multilateral framework submit co-exist? Our analysis indicates that for some climate goals which allow emissions to grow
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) countries, the two drivers may be antagonis- in absolute terms over time. In many cases,
which outline plans to reduce or reverse tic; elsewhere they may act in concert. these targets are loose enough that they are
emissions growth in the years to 2030. Paris expected to be met with room to spare under
Agreement NDCs are diverse, and feature The EU is the region most exposed to most base case forecasts. If threatened,
a broad range of ambition. Many emerging Russian energy exports, but it also has an energy security could be reinforced by a
markets have established targets that allow extremely ambitious Paris Agreement target: renewed reliance on domestic energy sources
GHG emissions to grow over time (though to reduce emissions to 55% below 1990 over imports (e.g., coal in favor of gas) even
less slowly than under business-as- usual levels by 2030. The EU’s response to the if the outcome is a slowing of attempts to
forecasts), in order to allow room for their Ukraine crisis has been to accelerate efforts decarbonize economies.
economies to expand and for their citizens’ to deploy clean energy, and by doing so
incomes to rise. Developed markets have advance decarbonization goals while also Assessing the balance between the twin
typically adopted targets to drive down reducing reliance on energy imported from drivers of energy security and decarbonization
emissions in absolute terms. While the broad Russia. In Europe, the twin drivers are acting allows a better understanding of how
trend of falling emissions has been underway in concert. countries’ energy strategies may evolve. But
in developed markets for some time, Paris the actual evolution of energy demand and
Agreement NDCs for the United States, the The United States has a similarly challenging of the pace of decarbonization will depend
EU, the UK and others are ambitious, and Paris Agreement goal (to reduce emissions not only on strategy but implementation of
would require a step-change relative to the by 50-52% below 2005 levels by 2030) but technology, on the relative prices of energy
historic rate of decarbonization, in order for unlike Europe, the country is a net energy commodities – and on the evolution of the
their 2030 targets to be met. exporter, rather than an importer. Here, the Ukraine conflict itself.
two drivers of security and decarbonization

Energy insecurity (reliance on imported supply) versus difficulty of reaching Paris Agreement NDCs
'(###
High Uncomfortable choices Mainland China Room to manoeuvre
High

&## European Union

"##
Energy Insecurity :;;2,(<

India
$##
Japan
South Korea
4(2'(-(.78'2.9/('!"&"

%##
United Kingdom Mexico
South Africa
#
Nigeria
United States UAE Brazil
!%## Indonesia
Canada
Australia
Low

!$## Saudi Arabia


Conflicting priorities
!"##
!)#* !$#* !+#* !%#* !'#* #* '#* %#* +#* $#* )#*

More difficult !"#$ %!"&"'()*++*,-'.(/012*,-'.(30*.(/'0-/(.'456


2030 Paris Agreement target Less difficult

Source: IHS Markit © 2022 IHS Markit

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 29


ANALYSIS

Smart supply chains


By Noora Mukhtar, Research Specialist, GPCA

The GCC chemical industry, like its global effect and impacted organizations’ ability to Companies are now obliged to modernize the
counterparts, is rapidly advancing into the age maintain production, sanction new tools they use for forecasting demand and
of the 4th Industrial Revolution, implementing development, or even explore new markets planning how to meet it. The latest applica-
transformative technologies to improve its and business opportunities. tions involve artificial intelligence, machine
operational processes and cost efficiencies. learning, and data analytics to speed up
According to Accenture, global digital maturity Amid all this, chemical companies in the decision-making and pave the way for
of the manufacturing industry (of various Arabian Gulf will need to plan for greater autonomous planning. This requires real-time
sectors, including the chemical industry) in transformation and innovation to differentiate and actionable data, trusted sources, and
2020 was at 39%, whereas for the themselves from their global competitors. In insights that empower them to better run their
chemical industry this figure stood at 42%. addition, society, shareholders, and business. Supply chain data management
This indicates that most of the chemical employees have higher expectations for can facilitate this by providing an efficient,
producers worldwide are in the stage of responsible value chains, as well as resilience high-quality and easy-to-access, centralized
scaling up the deployment of digital to the cyclical economic challenges the and trusted sources for all products,
solutions at various sites or functions within industry still faces. The Industrial Internet of materials, and supply tiers, enabling a
their operations. Things (IIoT), artificial intelligence (AI) and digital supply chain that dynamically predicts
predictive analysis are critical components demand patterns and improves visibility
The move towards digitalization by all designed to help organizations be better and asset reliability. The digital technologies
industries was already apparent before the equipped to respond with agility and drive applied in most effective organizations for
COVID-19 pandemic, but it is now business performance with new approaches supply chain activities to achieve supply chain
accelerating. During the pandemic, demand and ideas. It is essential to catalyze the value imperatives are listed in Figure 1.
and supply fluctuations have driven the scale chain with digital technologies in the GCC
down of manufacturing production to match region to not only tackle uncertainty but also Against this backdrop, GPCA is developing
short-term volatility and reduce both working address the growing complexity in customer a report, in collaboration with IBM, about the
capital and operating expenses. Supply/ and product portfolios. digital technology adoption in chemical supply
demand imbalances have caused a ripple chains, highlighting the rising need for crafting

Figure 1: Digital technologies adopted in different supply chain activities and imperatives

•Predictive analytics • Internet of Things


•Mobile technologies and applications • Cloud computing
•Machine-to-machine connectivity • RFID / location technologies
Digital •Artificial intelligence / cognitive computing
technologies

•Demand planning & forecasting • Asset management


•Warehousing & distribution • Fulfillment
•Sourcing & supplier management • Risk assessment
Supply chain •Transportation management • Internal supply chain
activities •Customer service

•Improve demand forecasting • Manage material quality and risks


• Increase analytics around supply-chain
•Enhance supply chain collaboration
data and costs
•Improve supply allocation and distribution decisions
• Increase real-time visibility into operations
Supply cahin •Integrate financial, sales and operational planning
• Manage transportation disruptions
imperatives •Determine unplanned event scenarios
• Improve service responsiveness

Source: GPCA survey, IBM services

30 | May 2022 | GPCA INSIGHT www.gpca.org.ae


ANALYSIS

demand-driven supply chains amid global chain visibility, and intelligent assets effectiveness of the supply chain function.
disruptions in chemical business models maximizes supply chain performance in all It also assesses the impact of predictive
through the emerging technology trends. The supply chain dimensions and introduces an analytics on supply chain imperatives, places
report delves into what digital technology in end-to-end framework for enabling a digital supply chain among the different
supply chain means, its implementation and supply chain future with five key levers, departments in terms of level of investment in
the various factors influencing its adoption in departing from the past linear architecture. digital technologies over the next three years,
chemical supply chains. and the level of maturity in implementing a
The IBM Institute for Business Value (IBV) and digital supply chain strategy in the GCC. The
It provides an overview of digital technology Oxford Economics surveyed 460 chemical survey examines the most effective chemical
adoption in the global and GCC supply chain leaders in 19 countries recently. GPCA supply chain organizations and their view on
markets along with key trends and success collected 24 responses from its member adopting digital technologies, their supply
stories both globally and regionally. It features companies in the Arabian Gulf in 2022. chain imperatives gaps, and how they are
must read success stories from BASF, Respondents included CEOs, CSCOs, VPs/ enabling and managing change.
Monsanto, Qatar Energy, SABIC, Aramco, GMs of Supply Chain, Directors/Managers of
Sipchem and Sadara, followed by Supply Chain and others. The report provides Global chemical respondents see cloud, IoT
recommendations and challenges pertaining an analysis of the GPCA survey data with a and predictive analytics as the key
to digital technology adoption which regional comparison with the IBM global study. technologies for the supply chain, while
stakeholders can learn about, and GPCA respondents emphasize on
subsequently implement within their From the survey’s analysis, the main predictive analytics for enterprise’s supply
respective organizations to drive the digital performance objectives supported by the chain strategy.
technology innovation. The report GCC supply chain are identified along with
showcases how implementing digital supply gaps between the importance of imperatives
chains through integrated planning, value to the enterprise’s supply chain and the

Figure 2: Digital technology intersects digital supply chains

96%

• of chemicals company executives tell us collaboration is the most


important imperative for their supply chains

21%

• of executives from leading organizations have a fully executed


digital supply chain strategy, or a fully thought-out strategy and
execution plan

33%

• of executives from leading organizations have implemented broadly


predictive analysis as well as Artificial Intelligence in their supply chains

Source: GPCA survey, IBM services

www.gpca.org.ae GPCA INSIGHT | May 2022 | 31


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