Professional Documents
Culture Documents
rse
Public Course
ou
cC
Valuation Issues
bli
Pu
T
AM
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
T
AM
Public Courses
For over 20 years, we have been providing financial modeling
and valuation training to investment banks, private equity firms,
business schools and management consultancies.
rse
professionals
• we turn ‘know how’ into ‘can do’, using practical application
and real life examples
ou
• our training is fast paced, information intensive and hands on
• we make number crunching, fun, lively and relevant to your work
cC
*Figures taken from 2012 to 2017
Contents
Valuation Issues1
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
T
AM
Disclaimer
Edition 2021
Copyright Adkins Matchett & Toy Limited
(“AMT”) 2008–2021. All rights reserved
Adkins Matchett & Toy Limited is part of
Whilst every effort has been made to ensure accuracy regarding the
Wilmington plc.
content of these slides/notes, Adkins Matchett & Toy cannot be held
AMT owns legally and beneficially all of the
responsible in any way for consequences arising from the information
Intellectual Property Rights in the content of
given.
this document.
No reproduction, copy or transmission
whatsoever of any part of the document may No decision should be taken on the basis of information included in the
be made without prior written permission. slides/notes without reference to specialist advice.
Please be advised AMT will vigorously
prosecute any unauthorised use.
Bookstore
We have a range of books, shortcut guides and interactive
workbooks to help develop your skills and support for your
career.
Bestsellers
rse
Our Crunch The Numbers series describe key financial topics
ou
in a succinct fashion so you have access to the information
wherever and whenever you need it.
cC
Ultimate Set Essential Series
A set of 6 lightweight A5 sized books A set of 3 lightweight A5 sized books
covering the following topics: covering the following topics:
bli
• Valuation • Valuation
• Advanced Accounting
• Power Modeling (Excel 2007/2010) Find out more by visiting
T
Expert Series
A set of 3 lightweight A5 sized books
covering the following topics:
• Advanced Accounting
• Power Modeling (Excel 2007/2010)
• Merger Modeling and Analysis
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
T
AM
rse
Valuation Issues
ou
cC
bli
Pu
T
AM
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
T
AM
Valuation
rse
Complex issues
ou
cC
bli
Pu
Overview
• Enterprise value
T
• Stock-based compensation
• Noncontrolling interest
AM
Enterprise value
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
Enterprise value
Two definitions of EV
Core EV Total EV
T
equivalents equivalents
Debt & Debt &
debt equivalents debt equivalents
Non-core & non-
controlled assets
• Includes net operating assets of the business • Values net operating assets of the business AND
only non-core and non-controlled assets
• Values all other assets separately • Used in transactions and shows the total amount
• Used for DCF and majority of comparables of funding needed to acquire a business
calculations
Equity Preferred
affiliates stock
rse
Non core
NCI
Total assets
enterprise
value • Pension surplus?
• Derivatives?
• Assets held for sale
ou
Enterprise Diluted
value • Equity investments equity value
• Investments in debt
securities
cC
5
bli
Pu
T
AM
Stock-based compensation
Stock options, restricted stock, performance stock
Accounting rules
• The rules apply to stock-based payments made by the company, typically for
executive compensation
• The fair value of the payment is estimated at grant date
• The value is expensed to the income statement over the service period
(grant date to vesting date)
• A non-cash add-back is made when calculating operating cash flow
rse
• Detailed information is found in the footnotes to the financials and is very
useful for valuation
ou
cC
7
bli
Pu
Diluted EPS
rse
price and n is number of dilutive Net new shares (100 – 42) 58
instruments outstanding
Number of diluted shares outstanding 1,058
Diluted equity value (1,058 * 12) 12,700
Intrinsic value of one option (12 – 5) 7
2. Calculating diluted equity value as
ou
Intrinsic value of all options (100 * 7) 700
sum of basic equity value plus
intrinsic value of dilutive instruments Basic equity value (1,000 * 12) 12,000
Diluted equity value (12,000 + 700) 12,700
cC
9
bli
Pu
Cash
Debt
EBIT / EBITDA
is net of the
stock-based
compensation expense
Past stock
EV awards
Basic equity
(ex. dilution)
10
rse
ou
cC
11
bli
Pu
Cash
Debt
FCF
is net of the
stock-based
compensation expense
Past stock
EV awards
Basic equity
(ex. dilution)
12
Company A Company B
Pays staff a $1,000 cash bonus Pays staff a bonus by issuing $1,000
share options to them
Issues $1,000 share options to the market
rse
Should DCF value these companies differently?
ou
cC
13
bli
Pu
WACC Use the diluted equity weighting for cost of equity in WACC
14
Vesting conditions:
Conditions Typically have service conditions. May also have performance conditions
rse
(e.g. sales growth, stock price performance, etc.)
Noncontrolling interest
Control without full ownership
Non-strategic (passive)
‘Financial investment’ < 20% Financial asset
investment
Equity affiliate
Strategic investment Equity method
(US GAAP) 20% to 50%
without control consolidation
rse
Associate (IFRS)
Strategic investment
No ownership Depends on type of
where control is shared Joint arrangement
threshold arrangement
with other investors
ou
Strategic investment with
Subsidiary > 50% Full consolidation
control
cC
17
bli
Pu
• Example:
70% 30%
ownership ownership Other
Co A Co B shareholders
(NCI)
18
rse
ou
cC
19
bli
Pu
Cash
AM
Debt
NCI
EBIT / EBITDA is
BEFORE deducting EV
NCI income
NI / EPS is AFTER
deducting NCI income
Equity
20
rse
EBIT / EBITDA, without making
Denominator Diluted EPS (post NCI deduction)
any NCI adjustments
ou
cC
21
bli
Pu
NCI valuation depends on whether the NCI shares are traded, on the
T
EBIT / NOPAT/
Do not make any NCI adjustment to EBIT, NOPAT or FCF
FCF
EV-to-equity Include the NCI value in the bridge (thus separating the NCI from the
bridge equity value attributable to the controlling shareholders)
rse
WACC Include NCI in WACC calculation at appropriate cost of equity
ou
cC
23
bli
Pu
T
AM
• Equity affiliates / associates are equity investments where the investor has
no control but can exercise ‘significant influence’
• Joint ventures are equity investments where control is shared between
two or more investors
• Equity method of accounting
• Equity income is shown on the IS
rse
• Cost plus % of post-acquisition retained earnings is shown on the BS
• Dividends received are shown on the CFS
• Footnotes provide additional information
ou
cC
25
bli
Pu
or excluded from EV
AM
Other non-core
assets
Equity invs. /
JVs
Total
EV Consolidated
Core EV
EV
26
Earnings EBIT / EBITDA excludes EBIT / EBITDA includes EBIT / EBITDA includes
rse
calculation any equity income and non- equity income but excludes earnings from all assets
core asset earnings non-core asset earnings including equity affiliates
and other non-core assets
(except for cash)
Purpose of Comparables analysis Helpful when the EV is Useful in transactions
ou
calculation (improves comparability used to estimate the value where all the assets are
across the set) of all strategic assets and being acquired
the equity affiliates are
considered to be strategic
cC
27
bli
Pu
28
rse
EV / EBIT 980 / 76 = 12.9x P/E 480 / 23 = 20.9x
Consolidated EV / EBIT is P / E remains the same
ou
different from core EV / EBIT cC
29
bli
Pu
Affiliate / associate valuation depends on whether the affiliate / associate shares are
T
30
Cash
Equity method
Debt
investments
rse
FCF
Should not
include equity EV
income
Equity
ou
cC
31
bli
Pu
EV-to-equity bridge Include equity affiliate / associate as a separate item in the bridge
32
Leases
IFRS and US GAAP
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
Leases
Key valuation issues
• Valuation multiples
T
34
Lessee accounting
Overview
Right-of-use asset,
Balance sheet
rse
Lease liability
Depreciation / amortization,
Income statement Rent expense
Interest expense
Interest payment,
Cash flow statement Rent payment
ou
Repayment of lease liability
cC
35
bli
Pu
US GAAP Comparability
US GAAP
(operating leases) adjustment
(finance leases)
AM
36
rse
D&A (RoU asset) 495 2 495
Adjusted
EBIT 136 213
EBIT
Interest expense on lease liability 77 1 77
Other net interest expense 8 8
Profit before tax 128 128
2 ou
Interest on lease liability = Lease liability * interest rate = 1,517 * 5.4% = 77
Depreciation on RoU asset = Rent expense – interest = 572 – 77 = 495
cC
37
bli
Pu
Cash
AM
Equity
38
rse
EV-to-Equity
Include the lease liability in debt
bridge
ou
The resulting EV is inclusive of the lease debt
Note: this method can also be applied to US GAAP operating leases after replacing the rent expense with
cC
implied depreciation and interest expense
39
bli
Pu
EBIT / NOPAT/ FCF Keep the rent expense in your forecast (do not reverse it out)
40
Appendix
Estimating the lease liability
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
Capitalization methods
Two methods
– Multiple method
• IFRS and US GAAP use the PV method
• Warning: the two methods do not give the same results
42
Capitalization methods
Method 1: PV method
• Discount the future rent payments to the present
• Data on future rent payments is found in the notes to the financial statements
(check ‘commitments’ or ‘lease’)
– Commitments after year 5 are usually disclosed as a single figure (total)
• Must be split into a series of yearly payments
– IFRS: commitments for years 2 to 5 are disclosed as a single figure
• Must be spread (e.g. as an average) over years 2 to 5
rse
• Discount rate
– Ideally, should be the discount rate associated with the leases, however this is usually not
disclosed
– Alternative estimation approaches:
ou
• Company’s cost of debt / Incremental cost of borrowing
• Average interest rate: Interest expense / average debt outstanding
cC
43
bli
Pu
Capitalization methods
Method 1: PV method - example
Year 1 43
T
Year 2 40
AM
Year 3 36
Year 4 31
Year 5 29
Thereafter 162
No. of years (162 / 29) (rounded) 6
Year 6 - 11 'annual' payment (162 / 6) 27
NPV at 6% - Debt equivalent 251.8
44
Capitalization methods
Method 2: Multiple method
rse
– Average life of the leased assets, and
– Discount factor
• Moody’s industry multiples were often used as source. However,
Moody’s no longer estimates the lease liability (unless the company does not
ou
capitalize leases on balance sheet)
cC
45
bli
Pu
Capitalization methods
Method 2: Sector multiples - illustrative only
Multiple Selected Industries
T
Aerospace & Defense, Alcoholic Beverage, Automobile Manufacturer and Supplier, Building Materials, Chemical,
AM
Construction, Consumer Durables and Electronics, Homebuilding & Property Development, Integrated Oil & Gas,
Manufacturing, Medical Product & Device, Mining, Oilfield Services, Packaged Goods, Packaging Manufacturers,
3 Paper & Forest Products, Passenger Railway, Pay TV-Cable & Direct-to-Home Satellite Operators,
Pharmaceutical, Postal & Express Delivery, Regulated Water Utilities, Semiconductor, Shipping, Soft Beverage,
Software, Steel, Surface Transportation & Logistics, Technology Hardware and Services, Telecommunications,
Tobacco, Trading Companies
Apparel, Broadcast & Advertising Related, Consumer Services, Gaming, Healthcare Service Providers, Insurance
4 Brokers, Insurers, Large Global Diversified Media, Publishing, Regulated Electric & Gas Networks, Regulated
Electric & Gas Utilities, REITs
5 Communications Infrastructure, Lodging & Cruise, Passenger Airlines, Retail, Securities Firms
Asset Managers, Generic Project Finance, Natural Gas Pipelines, Privately Managed Airports & Related Issuers,
6
Privately Managed Port Companies, Restaurant, Unregulated Power Companies, Unregulated Utilities
46
• The multiple method gives a valuation of 424 but the present value method
gives only 252. Why?
– The multiple may imply a longer useful life than the contractual payments
• We used a relatively high multiple of 8x
– The PV method uses the minimum contractual payments, which typically result in a
declining schedule (because lease contracts expire over time)
– Minimum contractual payments may be lower than the actual payments
rse
• The multiple method may be preferable for a going concern
– Equity valuation view
– But it all depends on the choice of multiple
• The PV method may be preferable on a break-up basis
ou
– Credit view
cC
47
bli
Pu
T
AM
Employee benefits
Pensions and other post-employment benefits
Employee benefits
• Post-employment benefits
• Two key categories:
– Pension benefits
– Non-pension benefits (aka OPEBs)
• E.g. life insurance, medical insurance, etc.
• Types of benefit plans:
rse
– Defined contribution: contributions into the plan are guaranteed
– Defined benefit: benefit payments are guaranteed
• Only defined benefit plans give rise to potential valuation issues
ou
cC
49
bli
Pu
Funded Unfunded
T
Company
Company
Cash contributions Assets Obligations
Pension plan
• Company pays pensions
Assets Obligations
• Balance sheet reports the total
• Plan pays pensions pension liabilities
• Balance sheet reports the
net position (surplus or deficit)
50
Valuation
Deficit or surplus?
Key measurements:
– Market value of plan assets
– Present value of expected benefit payments
rse
Present value
Value Surplus
─ of benefit =
of plan assets (Deficit)
obligations
ou
cC
51
bli
Pu
Adjusting the EV
52
• The net position (surplus or deficit) is provided in the notes to the financial
statements
– Always use the information in the notes
– Do not rely on the balance sheet presentation
• Valuing the deficit
– Use the value from the notes
– Consider making a tax adjustment
rse
• Reflects tax deduction on future cash payments to fund the deficit
• Use deferred tax disclosure or estimate it using MTR
• Valuing the surplus
– Do not treat as a cash equivalent
ou
– Valuation depends on manner of recovery, tax implications and other considerations
cC
53
bli
Pu
expense
+ Interest cost X Financial expense Below EBIT
54
EBIT calculation
Year 2 Year 1
Keep in EBIT
Service cost $186 $177
Interest cost 318 311
These are Expected return on plan assets (281) (291)
financial items
and should be
Amortization of prior service cost 28 5
rse
removed from EBIT Recognized net actuarial (gain) loss 31 3
Total $282 $205
ou
cC and should be removed from EBIT
55
bli
Pu
– The other components of the defined benefit expense below operating income
• Similarly, IFRS companies report:
– Service cost in operating income
– Interest cost and the return on plan assets within financial income / expense on the
income statement
56
Value drivers
Return on
Plan Interest cost
plan assets assets Plan
obligations
Cash
rse
Service cost Debt
EV
ou
Equity
cC
57
bli
Pu
58
rse
Equity 400 Equity 400
Enterprise value 900 Adjusted enterprise value 998
ou
cC
59
bli
Pu
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
62
rse
3. If fair value is available (e.g. listed company) and stock is not held for trading:
use fair value through OCI accounting (aka ‘available for sale’ accounting)
– Changes in the investment value are recognized in an equity account and the accumulated gain or
ou
loss is reflected in the income statement only when the investment is sold
Investment 20 Equity (OCI) 20
cC
63
bli
Pu
• These investments are financial in nature and therefore any P&L impact
T
64
rse
are considered to be long-term
ou
cC
65
bli
Pu
T
AM
Preferred stock
Debt Equity
rse
\
Ranking is important.
Downside risk At the bottom of the ranking
May have collateral
ou
Capital appreciation and
Reward Interest
dividends
cC
67
bli
Pu
68
Cash
Debt
rse
EBIT / EBITDA
is BEFORE deducting
preferred stock Preferred
dividends stock
EV
EPS is AFTER
ou
deducting preferred
Equity stock dividends
cC
69
bli
Pu
70
Include the preferred stock value in the bridge (thus separating the
EV-to-equity
preferred stock from the equity value attributable to the holders of
bridge
common / ordinary shares)
rse
WACC Include preferred stock in the WACC calculation *
ou
* Check whether preference dividends are tax deductible for the issuer
cC
71
bli
Pu
T
AM
Cash
Accounting rules
• On the balance sheet but check the footnotes to see if there are any
restrictions
• Cash equivalents may be shown on a separate line since the accounting
definition is very narrow
• Interest income is in the ‘financial’ section of the income statement
rse
ou
cC
73
bli
Pu
– The level is judgmental (e.g. a casino will need more than a manufacturing business)
• Excess cash should be treated as part of the capital structure and shown
either separately in the valuation or netted against debt
• Interest income is below EBIT / EBITDA
74
Cash
DCF adjustments
Operating cash Excess cash
rse
EV to equity calc No adjustment for operating cash Adjust for excess cash
ou
*Note: In practice, the differentiation between excess and operating cash can be difficult. The
most common approach is to treat all cash as if it were excess cash
cC
75
bli
Pu
Restricted cash
What to do?
• Cash may be restricted for debt repayment (sinking fund) and therefore it
AM
76
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
Provisions
What are they?
Quasi debt provisions Quasi operational provisions
T
78
Provisions
Accounting example
• Company A expenses 2,000 in year 1, and 1,000 in year 2 in respect of a
legal claim
• Settlement of the litigation was expected in Year 3 but happens in Year 4
Year Assets L&E Provision balance
rse
Year 2 NA RE (1,000) Balance: 3,000
Provisions 1,000
ou
• If provision is expensed as an operating item, should EBIT / EBITDA be
adjusted and how ?
cC
79
bli
Pu
Provisions
Dealing with comparables
EBIT (post provision): 200 Debt: 600
T
Method 1: Method 2:
Embed provision in EV calc Provision is valued separately at 315 (45 * 7)
Equity = 910
80
Provisions
Dealing with comparables
rse
Cash = 110 Cash = 110 Cash = 110
Debt = 600 Debt = 600 Debt = 600
ou
Equity = 910 Equity = 1,180
cC
81
bli
Pu
Provisions
Dealing with DCF
Method 1 Method 2 Method 3
T
Provision expenses in Add back provision expenses to Add back all provision expenses to
AM
EV to
Include provisions using an
equity No provision No provision
‘appropriate’ valuation
value
82
Contingent liabilities
rse
guarantees
• Contingent liabilities are off balance sheet. They are disclosed in the notes to
the accounts, unless remote
• No expense is reflected in the income statement
ou
cC
83
bli
Pu
Contingent liabilities
Dealing with comparables
84
Contingent liabilities
Dealing with DCF
rse
ou
cC
85
bli
Pu
T
AM
Other items
Assets held for sale
Derivatives
Dividend payable
• Assets held for sale (net of liabilities held for sale) is the ring fenced book
value of discontinued operations
• These should be treated separately for the for comparables and DCF as non-
core non-continuing items
• In general, consolidated company income statement is already cleaned out
from earnings from discontinued operations (assets held for sale). Therefore
rse
no adjustment is necessary for EBIT/ EBITDA and FCF calculations
• Use earnings after discontinued operations for EPS calculations for P/E
multiples
ou
cC
87
bli
Pu
88
Derivatives
Hedge accounting basics
Fair value hedge Cash flow hedge
The underlying item is marked –to- market in the The underlying item is marked –to- market in the
Balance sheet balance sheet balance sheet
The hedging instrument is also marked-to-market The hedging instrument is also marked-to-market
rse
lines) Gains and losses on derivative are taken to equity
and then recycled to the IS, when the hedged cash
flow happens.
Income statement Gains and losses on the derivative are also taken
on the IS, but potentially only the ineffective
portion of hedge goes to “other” section. Over hedge on the derivative is taken to IS
immediately
This approach assumes the match between
ou
gains / losses in the same line item otherwise
cC
89
bli
Pu
Derivatives
Adjustments
• Option 1:
T
– Do not clean out gains and losses on the underlying and the derivative from the IS
AM
– Take the balance sheet debt numbers post fair value adjustments (you might have to look
in the footnotes)
• Option 2:
– Clean out the hedging items on the IS (both for the underlying and the derivative); this
could be very challenging
– Use debt figures before fair value adjustments for EV calculation
90
Number of shares
Free float
Free float
–Not held by long term investors
–Available for trading
–Establish liquidity of share price
Outstanding
–Issued less treasury stock
Issued
rse
Authorized
ou
cC
91
bli
Pu
– Cum-div
AM
Price
Dividend amount
92
rse
• Ex-div price
– Equity value does not include value of dividend to be paid
– Additional dividend liability should be recognized in calculation of EV as the dividend is
due, but has not yet been paid
ou
– Adjustment should be made until the dividend payment date
cC
93
bli
Pu
94
rse
• Cash 500
EV
2,500
Equity
1,000
ou
Enterprise value calculation should not include a
separate dividend liability as dividend is included in
the cum-div price
cC
95
bli
Pu
Equity
Enterprise value calculation needs a separate 900
dividend liability as the dividend is not included in
the ex-div price and has not been paid
96
rse
• Cash 400
EV
2,500
Equity
900
ou
Enterprise value calculation should not include a
separate dividend liability as the dividend is not
included in the ex-div price and has been paid
cC
97
bli
Pu
• Check the pricing settings of the data provider that being used for pricing
T
information
AM
98
rse
London | New York | Hong Kong
Please note:
ou
cC
All materials are the intellectual property of AMT Training. Please visit us on: www.amttraining.com
99
bli
Pu
T
AM
rse
ou
cC
bli
Pu
T
AM
rse
ou
cC
EMEA Asia Pacific
bli
E1 8QS Central
Office: +44 20 7324 2385 Hong Kong
Email: info@amttraining.com Tel. number: +852 3905 3059
Email: info@amttraining.com
Americas
T
31 W. 34th Street
Suite #8080
AM
8th floor
Manhattan Social media:
New York
NY 10001
Office: +1 347 325-0525
Email: info@amttraining.com