MYANMAR – OPPORTUNITIES & THREATS

S No Factor
OPPORTUNITIES
(a) Mil Junta’s approach to stem insurgency & refugee migration
(b) Religious, Kinship & Historical Affinities with People in Myanmar

(c) Existing Informal Trade Linkages

(d) Enhanced Economic Activity
(e) Mil Junta’s assurance for democratic transition
(f) Counter Chinese Hegemonic Aspirations
(g) Military alliances & Joint Mechanisms for Counter Insurgency and Drug
Trafficking
(h) Participation in Regional Groupings (BIMSTEC, ASEAN, EAS etc)
(j) Enhanced cooperation for Maritime Security cooperation in Bay of Bengal
THREATS
(k) Insurgency and Camps across borders
(l) Refugee Influx post coup in Myanmar
(m) Porous & Unmanned Borders
(n) Predominance of Informal Economy
(o) Local Produce & Manufacture not part of Formal & Informal Trade
(p) Low FDI inflow into NER as compared to other states
(q) Smuggling – Drugs & Arms

Bangladesh– OPPORTUNITIES & THREATS

Opportunities
1. Bangla factor to negate ISI.
2. Economic assistance to build infrastructure to access NE
3. Utilise ports offered by B’Desh.
4. Water sharing to improve relations & connectivity.

Threats
1. Vulnerable to Chinese pressure.
2. Illegal migration.
3. Infiltration of ISI.
4. Support elements- ISI/insurgent groups