5190122, 207 Pa Rupee gains another Rs1.2in interbank as Pakistan closes in on IMF deal - Business - DAWN.COM
DAWN
‘TODAY'S PAPER | MAY 30,2022
Rupee gains another Rs1.2 in interbank as Pakistan
closes in on IMF deal
Talgeen Zubairi | Published May 30, 2022 - | Updated about an hour ago
aad”
a person holding US dollar bills. — AFP/File
Afile pl
Continuing its recovery, the rupee on Monday appreciated by Rs1.2 against the US
dollar in the interbank trade, a development which is largely being attributed to the
change in market sentiments over the government's expected deal with the
hitpsiwww. dawn cominewsiprin 1692284 wisien, 207 a Rupee gains another Rst.2 interbank as Pakistan closes non MF deal - Busines - DAWN.COM
International Monetary Fund (IMF) after it complied with its condition to raise fuel
prices.
According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), at around 11am, the greenback depreciated to
Rs198.40 — down Rsi.20 against Friday's close of Rs199.60.
This is the second continuous session during which the dollar is depreciating against the rupee. On
Friday, the greenback had lost Rs2.35.
Since the PMI-N-led coalition government took over on April 11, when the dollar was valued at
Rs182.30, the greenback rose around Rs20 to breach Rs202 by May 26.
But after weeks of persistent declines — which had been largely attributed to the country's rising
import bill, widening current account deficit and depleting foreign exchange reserves — on Friday,
the rupee finally broke its losing streak after the government decided to lift the fuel price cap to
comply with the conditions of the IMF.
Komal Mansoor, head of research at Tresmark, told Dawn.com that the recovery of the rupee
reflected the change in sentiments on the back of an expected IMF deal, which appeared to be very
close and would boost the country’s foreign exchange reserves.
“Rupee lost value this month over concerns of depleted reserves, hence, any positive news regarding
the reserves will naturally support the rupee," she said, pointing out the rupee "is materially
undervalued" on an REER [real effective exchange rate] basis — the weighted average of a country’s
currency in relation to an index or basket of other major currencies.
Mansoor added that exporters were now looking forward and the market was eyeing further gains
with Rs196 as the interim target.
General secretary of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan, Zafar Paracha, was confident
that the rupee's recovery would continue this week. "In the upcoming days, there are chances of the
greenback depreciating further which will help the economy.”
Meanwhile, the CEO of Alpha Beta Core, Khurram Shehzad, said that while the government was well
aware of the rupee's external devaluation, the internal devaluation of the currency was synonymous
with austerity measures.
"For instance, individual members of a currency union like Euro are unable to do anything about the
common currency if they find themselves in a difficult economic situation. They have no option but to
hitpsiwww. dawn cominewsiprin 1692284 anasin02, 207 Pe Rupee goin another Rst.2in interbank as Pakistan closes in on IMF deal - Business - DAWN.COM
cut down salaries of government employees, privatise and sacrifice growth to achieve stability,” he
explained.
This option was available to Pakistan as well if it did not want the currency to further devalue,
Shehzad added.
Last week, the government raised the prices of all petroleum products by Rs3o per litre — the
highest-ever inerease in the prices of all petroleum produets in one go — in a bid to rein in the fuel
subsidies that had been a sticking point in talks with the IMF and resumption of a $6 billion facility,
which has been stalled since early April.
An official earlier told Dawn that this was the first step towards convincing the IMF to release the
next tranche of $1bn at the earliest.
Announcing the price hike, Finance Minister Miftah Ismail expressed the hope that now the exchange
rate would improve, markets would stabilise, economy would balance out and investors would take
the decision positively.
Dawn's weekly rupee-dollar parity report, published on Monday, showed that after the government's
decision was announced, the rupee started appreciating,
hitpsiwww. dawn cominewsiprin 1692284 anaRupee gains another Rs1.2in interbank as Pakistan closes in on IMF deal - Business ~ DAWN.COM
i interbank Ml Open market
5190/22, 207 PM
Chart by PA
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