Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Thesis Proposal
Submitted To The Department Of Business Management, To rift vally University, In Partial
Fulfillment Of The Requirements For The Degree Of Masters Of Business Administration
By
TIZITA BEGASHAW
JULY 2022
Adama, Ethiopia
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Contents
1. Introduction 1
1.2. Statement of the problem 1
1.3 Research question 2
1.4. Objective of the study 2
1.5. Significance of the Study 3
1.6. Scope of the study 3
1.7. Limitations of the Study 4
1.8. Operational Definition 4
1.9. Organization of the Study 5
2. Literature Review 6
2.2. Theoretical of the study 6
2.3. Conceptual Framework 7
2.4. Relationship Lending and Credit Repayment Performance 8
2.5. Factors of loan repayment performance 10
2.5.1. High Interest Rate 11
2.6. Empirical of the study 11
2.7. Studies in other countries 11
2.8. As Studies Indicated in Ethiopia 12
3. Methodology 14
3.1 Introduction 14
3.2. The Research Design 14
3.3. Study Area and Population 14
3.4. Sources of Data 14
3.5. Data Collection Techniques 14
3.6. Method of data analysis And Interpretation 14
4. Time Schedule and Financial Budget 16
4.1. Time Schedule 16
4.2. Financial Budget 16
5. Reference 17
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1. Introduction
Banks role in the economy of any country is very significant. They play intermediation
function in that they collect money from those who have excess and lend it to others who
need it for their investment. Availing credit to borrowers is one means by which banks
contribute to the growth of economies. Lending represents the heart of the banking industry.
Loans are the dominant asset and represent 50-75 percent of the total amount at most
banks, generate the largest share of operating income and represent the banks greater risk
exposure Mac Donald and Koch,(12006). Moreover, its contribution to the growth of any
country is huge in that they are the main intermediaries between depositors and those in need
of fund for their viable projects. But most banks financial statement shows that the collections
of loans from borrowers are not satisfactory. This result a hung amounts of non-performing
loans (NBE, Annual Report, 2011). Loans taken from credit institutions vary from country to
country, region to region, sector to sector. However, credits of developing countries were found
to share one common characteristic suffer from a considerable amount of default rate (the
amount of loans not collected on current and past due loans for the reference period (Kashuliza,
A, 1993). There are many socio economic and institutional factors influencing repayment rates.
Lending institutions are faced with four major problems in the course of undertaking credit
activity, a) to ascertain what kind of risk the potential borrower is(adverse selection), b) to
make sure the borrower will utilize the loan properly once made, so that he will be repay
it(moral hazard), c) to learn how the project really did in case the borrowers declares his
inability to repay and d) to find methods to force the borrowers to repay the loan if the borrower
is reluctant to do so(enforcement) (Ghatak Maitreesh & Guinnane Timothy w., 1999).
Therefore, this study try will to paying attention to this sector of the economy by identifying the
factors affecting loan repayment performance of Dashen bank of Ethiopia in Adama branch.
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The bank also has done a lot in setting determinants to ensure that the loans are repaid back in
time without clashing with the clients so as to maintain the good relation between the client and
the bank (Mboya, Kevin M,2011). However, evidence has shown that, despite the efforts done
by Dashen banks in ensuring that all loans are recovered on time, a substantial amount of these
loans remain un-recovered. This problem does not only endanger the achievement of
objectives, but also threaten bank’s sustainability and efficiency. These results stimulated this
research to investigate and provide empirical evidences on the determinants of the loan
repayment in Dashen banks so that we can better understand the common reasons for poor loan
repayment and hence provide some guidelines to increase the probability of success and good
performance of lending program (in terms of repayment of the loan) carried out by the Dashen
bank of Ethiopia Adama branch.
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5. To examine the major problems and challenges faced by the loan beneficiaries faces in the re-
payment process.
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1.7. Limitations of the Study
Time will be a major constraint in this study. As a result of limited time within which to com-
plete this work, the study will be carried out using a case study approach. There will be the possi-
bility that some issues regarding the topic might not come up if such issues are irregular to some
banks that will not cover in the study. This limitation will dealt with by conducting the study on
DB on Adama Branch one of the banks with diversified loan portfolio in almost all major sectors
of the economy. The study will further narrow down to some loan officers and some manage-
ment staff of the bank, from whom primary data will be obtained. This also caused a limitation
since there may be some biases regarding the information obtained. In dealing with this limita-
tion, the study will adapt objective questionnaires and interview guides for all respondents to re-
duce their personal perceptions. Again, respondents will assure of their confidentiality in order to
give information that represents the facts and figures on the ground. Accessibility to data wills
also a constraint in view of the confidentiality of information in banks. This limitation will mini-
mize by relying on published annual reports and financial statements of the bank, both in the
print and electronic media. The researcher’s association with the bank will also very helpful in
this direction. As an important measure to these limitations, time and resources will judiciously
manage to achieve the objectives of the study within the stipulate time frame for completion of
the work.
Nonperforming loans - a loan whose credit quality has deteriorated and the full collection of
Principal and/or interest as per the contractual repayment terms of the loan/advances is in ques-
tion and delayed for more than 90 days (DB, 2008).
Credit risk – the risk arise as result when the borrower fail to conclude its financial contract
according to the agreement with lender.
Borrower: - the one who borrows money from the lender (Bank).
Lending: - provision of loan by one party (lender) to another party (Borrower)
Bank specific factors: - are variables that are under the control of bank management. They can
be directly/ indirectly stated in the financial statements of banks.
Macroeconomic factors: - are variables in which the bank management has no power to control
them. Rather, these variables are related with the fiscal and monetary policies of the country.
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1.9. Organization of the Study
This proposal will be organized into four chapters. The first chapter starts with presenting
background of the study, statement of the problem, research question, and objective of the study,
significance of the study, scope of the study, limitation of the study, definition of the
organizational terms and organization of the study. The second chapter focuses on theoretical
study, conceptual frame work, relationship lending and credit repayment performance, factors of
loan repayment performance, empirical of the study, studies in other countries and as study
indicated in Ethiopia. The third chapter deals with the research methodology which includes
research design, study area and population, source of data, data collection techniques, sample
size, sampling techniques and methods of data analysis and interpretation. Chapter four deals
with both time schedule and financial budget.
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2. Literature Review
In this section the review of related literature will be presents. It starts on the theoretical
foundation of the study. Subsequently the relationship between lending and credit repayment
performance types of loan and factors of loan repayment performance will also present
respectively which is followed by empirical evidence that shows the determinants of loan
repayment performance in Ethiopia and study in other country. At the end of this chapter
conceptual framework is presented.
The link between credit and economic development has captured the attention of economists
since long (SchumpeterJ.A.,1933). With improved financial intermediation, the proportion of
financial savings that is diverted by the financial system into non-productive uses fails, and the
rate of capital accumulation increases for a given saving rate (Mensah, 1999.)He further
elaborates the importance of financial intermediation as it enhances saving mobilization by
providing a variety of safe financial instruments to savers and ensuring tangible returns on
savings. The financial sector contributes to the efficiency of the entire economy by spreading
information about expectations and allocation of resources to investors.
In more explicit analysis of the association between finance and economic development
(Shumpeter, 1933)treated the banking system and entrepreneurship as the two key enabling
agents of development. He argues that the banking system’s capacity to supply initiative and
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entrepreneurship in addition to credit creation enabled it to transfer resources from less
productive uses to more economically rewarding uses because those who control existing
resource or have claims on current wealth are not necessarily those best suited to use these
resources. The banking system credit creation equipped entrepreneurs with purchasing power
with which they were able to express overriding command over real productive resources.
Financial theorists argue that if economic units relied completely on self-finance, investment will
be constrained by the ability and willingness of each unit to save, as well as by its capacity and
readiness to invest (Mensah, 1999). In his contribution to the role of financial institutions, (Von
Piscke. J.D. 1991) admitted that even though finance is a catalyst for investment, it is also a
catalyst for poor investment, political patronage, corruption and other types of opportunism.
A credit market differs from standard markets (for goods and services) in two important respects.
First standard markets, which are the focus of classical competitive theory, involve a number of
agents who are buying and selling a homogeneous commodity. Second in standard markets, the
delivery of a commodity by a seller and payment for the commodity by a buyer occur
simultaneously. In contrast, credit received today by an individual or firm in exchange for a
promise of repayment in the future. But one person’s promise is not as good as another.
Promises are frequently broken and there may be no objective way to determine the likelihood
that promise will be kept (Jaffee Dwight, and Joseph Stiglitz, 1990). Banks in many developing
countries hold a truly alarming volume in non-performing assets. Differences between promised
and actual repayments on loans are the result of uncertainty concerning the borrower’s ability or
willingness to make the repayments when they are due which creates the risk of borrowers
default (Pischke, 1991; Vigano, 1993; Kitchen, 1989). The inapplicability of the standard
demand and supply model for credit market give rise to credit rationing phenomena. Credit
rationing as defined by (Jaffee M. Dwight1971)is the difference between the quantity of loans
demanded and loans supplied at the ruling interest rate. In this case lending institutions make use
of their own screening criteria to identify credit worthy borrowers so as to decrease the
probability of default.
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variables and customer operations variables. Variables that related to bank operations are credit
policy, credit appraisal, competition and under or over financing
Variable those are related to customer operations are moral hazards, inadequate business, finan-
cial, marketing, entrepreneurship and management skills, fund diversion and multiple loans
Poor credit appraisal; credit appraisal is an important part of determining the eligibility for loan,
and the quantity of the loan. A prospective borrower has to go through the various stages of the
credit appraisal process of the bank to assure the repayment capacity of the borrower -whether
the borrower is capable of repaying the loan and on due times. Failure to conform to this leads to
the state of Non-performing loans.
Poor banking policy; in this type of banking policy does not assure loan repayment , so these
kinds of policies lead to Non-performing loans due to the fact that banking policies especially
credit policies when they are not conducive. On the other hand, business skills like financial
management skills, Accounting and Book-keeping skills, marketing skills and entrepreneurship
skills are very important in business operation, so inadequacy skills affect loan repayments lead-
ing to non-performing loans
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larger loans to borrowers with lower default probability and attempt to reduce the delay in
repayment. The financial institution will develop incentive mechanisms so as to meet these
objectives. The main factors influencing repayment are either related to information
asymmetries, to adverse shocks affecting the borrower, or to the low performance of institutions
(Elsas and Krahnen, 2000. )
The theoretical foundations of relationship banking are found in the modern literature of
financial intermediation that acknowledges the special role of banks in alleviating the
informational asymmetries in the credit markets. Early works of (Brown & Zehnder 2006 )stress
the information production function of banks. Screening and monitoring procedures give an
information advantage to banks that allow them to overcome information and incentive problems
between the bank and the borrower. Therefore, the main benefit attributed to bank financing with
respect to other sources of finance is that banks help overcome problems of asymmetric
information by producing and analyzing information and by designing loan contracts that
improve borrowers' incentives. Bank financing may also entail some costs. Degryse & Cayseele
2000 develop a model of loan pricing in which firms bear search costs to find a new bank. They
show that loan rates offered by the relationship bank are higher than those offered at competing
banks, because the latter are willing to offer an interest lower than their funding cost in order to
capture the firm. The critical assumption in that model is the existence of exogenous search
costs. In the early nineties, two influential papers warned about the potential costs of bank
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lending even when there are no exogenous costs of starting a relationship. (Elsas and Krahnen,
2000. ) Present a model in which relationships arise endogenously. A bank that lends to a firm
learns more about that borrower's characteristics than do other banks.
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Literature categorizes determinants of loan repayment performance. The following paragraphs
were discussed about determinants of nonperforming loans.
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higher repayment rate. (Olagunju et.al. 2007)Also analyzed the determinants of repayment
decision among small holder farmers in southwestern Nigeria. The result showed that the number
of visits made by loan officers to the borrowers, higher level of education, and time of loan
disbursement would have a better repayment performance. Moreover, borrowers with lower
number of household members would meet their repayment obligation better than those with
high number of household members. And having access to business related information and
providing training to the clients are increasing the loan repayment rate of the borrowers.
(Abafita 2003) Analyzed the microfinance repayment performance of Oromia credit and saving
institution in Kuyu, Ethiopia. According to his finding; sex, loan size and number of dependents
are negatively related to loan repayment. On the other hand age was found to be positive, while
age squared turned to be negative. Income from activities financed by loan, repayment period
suitability and loan supervision are positively and significantly related to loan repayment
performance. Moreover, loan diversion is significant and negatively related to loan repayment
rate. The negative sign implies that the use of diverted funds for non-income generating
purposes.
(Assefa B.A., 2002) Employed a logit model to estimate the effects of hypothesized explanatory
variables on the repayment performance of rural women credit beneficiaries in Dire Dewa,
Ethiopia. Out of the twelve variables hypothesized to influence the loan repayment performance
of borrowers, six variables were found to be statistically significant. Some of these variables are
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farm size, annual farm revenue, celebration of social ceremonies, loan diversion, group effect
and location of borrowers from lending institution.
(Abreham G.2002) Studied on the loan repayment and its determinants in small-scale enterprise
financing in Ethiopia around Zeway area. The estimation result employing Tobit model. He is
found out other sources of income, education, and work experience related economic activities
before the loan are enhancing loan repayment. While extended loan repayment period is
influence the repayment performance negatively.
(Retta 2000) Employed probit model for loan repayment performance of women fuel wood
carriers in Addis Ababa. His finding is frequency of loan, supervision, suitability of repayment
period and other income sources are found to encourage repayment hence reduce the probability
of loan default. While educational level is negatively related to loan repayment.
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3. Methodology
3.1 Introduction
This chapter discusses the methods used in collecting required information for the study.
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percentages and interpretation followed. This allowed the researcher to summarize, organize and
present data in a meaningful way and bring clear meaning to the users.
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4. Time Schedule and Financial Budget
4.1. Time Schedule
Activities Aug Sempt Octo Nov
2021 2021 2021 2021
Title selection
Proposal writing
Review of literature and preparation of questioner
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