M Aiman Askari | Siti Hariati Hastuti

Statistical Methods (Metstat)

Responsi Class-10

Try to solve all the questions below:

1. (Mendenhall p.300, Q:8.40 and additions) How likely are you to vote in the next
national election? In a survey by Pew Research, fully 77% of the registered Republican
voters are absolutely going to vote this year while only 65% of Democrats are
absolutely going to vote in the next election. The sample consisted of 469 registered
Republicans, 490 registered Democrats, and 480 registered Independents.
a) Construct a 98% confidence interval for the proportion of registered Republicans
who say they are absolutely going to vote in the next election. If a Republican
senator predicts that at least 85% of registered Republicans will absolutely vote in
the next election, is this figure realistic?
b) Construct a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of registered Democrats
who say they are absolutely going to vote in the next election.
c) Construct the lower bound of the 95% one-side confidence interval for the
proportion of registered Republicans who say they are absolutely going to vote in
the next election.
d) Construct the upper bound of the 99% one-side confidence interval for the
proportion of registered Democrats who say they are absolutely going to vote in
the next election.
e) How can you estimate the proportion of registered Democrats and Republicans
who say they are absolutely going to vote in the next election with a higher degree
of accuracy? (HINT: There are two answers.)
2. (Mendenhall p.306, Q:8.52) To compare the effect of stress in the form of noise on the
ability to perform a simple task, 70 subjects were divided into two groups. The first
group of 30 subjects acted as a control, while the second group of 40 were the
experimental group. Although each subject performed the task, the experimental group
subjects had to perform the task while loud rock music was played. The time to finish
the task was recorded for each subject and the following summary was obtained:

Control (1) Experimental (2)

𝑛 30 40
𝑥̅ 15 minutes 23 minutes
𝑠 4 minutes 10 minutes

a) Find a 99% confidence interval for the difference in mean completion times for
these two groups.
b) Based on the confidence interval in part (a), is there sufficient evidence to indicate
a difference in the average time to completion for the two groups? Explain.
3. (Mendenhall p.311, Q:8.64) Born between 1980 and 1990, Generation Next is engaged
with technology, and the vast majority is dependent upon it. Suppose that in a survey
of 500 female and 500 male students in Generation Next, 345 of the females and 365
of the males reported that they decided to attend college in order to make more money.
 M Aiman Askari | Siti Hariati Hastuti

a) Construct a 98% confidence interval for the difference in the proportions of female
and male students who decided to attend college in order to make more money.
b) What does it mean to say that you are “98% confident”?
c) Based on the confidence interval in part a, can you conclude that there is a
difference in the proportions of female and male students who decided to attend
college in order to make more money?
4. (Mendenhall p.385, Q:10.31 by edited) A pollution control inspector suspected that a
river community was releasing amounts of semitreated sewage into a river. To check
his theory, he drew five randomly selected specimens of river water at a location above
the town, and another five below. The dissolved oxygen readings (in parts per million)
are as follows:

Above Town (1) 4.8 5.2 5.0 4.9 5.1

Below Town (2) 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.8 4.9

Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference in the mean dissolved oxygen
contents for locations above and below the town. Can you conclude that there is a
difference in the mean oxygen content between above the town and below the town?
Explain.
[Hint: Firstly, check the equality of variance assumption]
5. (Mendenhall p.374, Q:10.8 by edited) An article in Archaeometry involved an analysis
of 26 samples of Romano-British pottery, found at four different kiln sites in the United
Kingdom. The samples were analyzed to determine their chemical composition and the
percentage of aluminum oxide in each of 10 samples at two sites is shown below.

Island Thorns (1) Ashley Rails (2)

18.3 17.7
15.8 18.3
18.0 16.7
14.1 16.0
20.8 19.1

Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference in the average percentage of
aluminium oxide at the two sites.
[Hint: Firstly, check the equality of variance assumption]

=======Good Luck =======