Deseason

Period Demand
Year Quarter alized MA(4) Ft St Seas Fact Ft
t Dt
Demand
1 Year 1 1 8,000 18963 0.42 0.47 8944.385
2 2 13,000 19487 0.67 0.68 13317.23
3 3 23,000 19,750 19,500 20010 1.15 1.17 23426.36
4 4 34,000 20,625 20,000 20534 1.66 1.66 34177.57
5 Year 2 1 10,000 21,250 21,250 21058 0.47 0.47 9932.668
6 2 18,000 21,750 21,250 21582 0.83 0.68 14749.13
7 3 23,000 22,500 22,250 22106 1.04 1.17 25879.27
8 4 38,000 22,125 22,750 22629 1.68 1.66 37664.93
9 Year 3 1 12,000 22,625 21,500 23153 0.52 0.47 10882.04
10 2 13,000 24,125 23,750 23677 0.55 0.68 16100.42
11 3 32,000 24,500 24201 1.32 1.17 28315.04
12 4 41,000 24725 1.66 1.66 41043.01

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.958065
R Square 0.917889
Adjusted R 0.904204
Standard E 414.5033
Observatio 8

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 11523810 11523810 67.07182 0.000179
Residual 6 1030878 171813
Total 7 12554688

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 18438.99 440.8087 41.82991 1.249E-08 17360.37 19517.61 17360.37 19517.61
X Variable 523.8095 63.95925 8.189738 0.000179 367.3069 680.3122 367.3069 680.3122
 YOO

45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
 3 4
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