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Dussault, C., Poulin, M., Courtois, R. & Ouellet, J-P. 2006: Temporal and spa-
tial distribution of moose-vehicle accidents in the Laurentides Wildlife Reserve,
Quebec, Canada. - Wildl. Biol. 12: 415-425.
Key words: accident, habitat, moose, period, road, brackish pools, weather
Deer-vehicle accidents (DVAs) are an important prob- (Finder et al. 1999, Rea 2003). The presence of mine
lem in many regions of the world, especially in North rals, particularly sodium, is likely to attract cervids along
America, Scandinavia and Japan. Such accidents almost roads (Fraser 1980, Jolicoeur & Crête 1994). Sodium is
always result in considerable material damage, in death usually rare in the environment, but it is required by mam-
of the wounded animal and physical injury or death of mals for many reasons, including regulation of osmotic
human beings (Lavsund & Sandegren 1991, Haikonen & pressure, reproduction, lactation and moulting (Belovsky
Summala 2001). Groot-Bruinderink & Hazebroek (1996) & Jordan 1981, Robbins 1993). The sodium originating
estimated the annual number of road accidents involv- from road de-icers in boreal regions can concentrate in
ing an ungulate in Europe (excluding Russia) at 507,000, brackish pools that are as attractive to cervids as natural
which resulted in 300 human deaths, 30,000 other mineral licks (Fraser et al. 1982, Jolicoeur & Crête 1994,
injured persons and material damage of 1 billion US$. Bechtold 1996).
In the United States, DVAs have increased from 200,000 Since annual peaks in DVAs often coincide with peaks
in 1980 to 500,000 in 1991 (Romin & Bissonette 1996a) in animal activity, one could expect certain weather vari-
and cost more than 1 billion US$ annually (Conover ables to be associated with DVAs. Indeed, weather (such
1997). These numbers alone explain why the reduction as temperature) may directly affect animal and drivers’
of DVAs is a priority for wildlife and transportation agen- behaviour (Dussault et al. 2004, Mysterud 2004). To our
cies in many regions (Sullivan & Messmer 2003). knowledge, the influence of weather and human-relat-
One of the first steps necessary in elaborating effec- ed factors on DVAs is, however, poorly understood (but
tive mitigation measures is to determine environmental see Gundersen & Andreassen 1998) and most analyses
factors and conditions associated with the occurrence of to date have focused on habitat-related factors. Increasing
DVAs (Malo et al. 2004, Seiler 2004, 2005). Significant darkness may reduce drivers’ ability to detect a travers-
regional variations exist in the timing and causes of ing animal (Haikonen & Summala 2001). Also, one could
DVAs (Groot-Bruinderink & Hazebroek 1996). Once expect driver distraction and fatigue as well as vehicle
local parameters are known, it should be possible to iden- speed to modify a driver’s reaction time when attempt-
tify risky road sectors and propose measures to improve ing to avoid a collision, but there is little published lit-
drivers’ safety (Putman 1997). We can identify four po erature on this topic (Seiler 2005).
tential components to the DVA problem: wildlife-relat- During 1990-2002 in Quebec, Canada, road accidents
ed causes (e.g. animal density or behaviour), habitat- with large mammals involved 161-310 moose Alces alces,
related factors (e.g. availability of food), weather con- 1,847-2,803 white-tailed deer Odocoileus virginianus
ditions (that affect visibility or animal behaviour) and and 18-77 black bears Ursus americanus, annually (Seb
human causes (e.g. driver distraction or fatigue and level bane & Courtois 2000). As in other jurisdictions, the
of road traffic). number of accidents could have been underestimated by
Rate of DVAs is clearly related to deer density (Modaf as much as 50% (Child et al. 1991, Lavsund & Sandegren
feri 1991, Oosenbrug et al. 1991, Joyce & Mahoney 1991). The Laurentides Wildlife Reserve is a prime ex
2001, Mysterud 2004); therefore it is not surprising that ample of an area having a persistent problem of vehicle
most European countries and United States have report- accidents involving moose (Grenier 1974). Moose-vehi-
ed an increase in DVAs during recent decades. Many cle accidents (MVAs) constitute over 50% of all vehi-
studies have also found increased collision frequencies cle accidents on some road segments. Past studies indi-
at dawn and dusk when deer activity peaks (Gundersen cated that accidents in the reserve occurred mostly in
& Andreassen 1998, Haikonen & Summala 2001). In summer (Grenier 1974) and that these accidents were in
terms of habitat, DVAs have been reported to occur in part associated with the presence of brackish pools along
areas where forest cover is dense (Madsen et al. 2002, the roadway (Jolicoeur & Crête 1994). As in most juris-
Seiler 2004) or diverse (Malo et al. 2004). Rights-of- dictions having similar problems, analyses in this wild-
way, such as roads, may be attractive to cervids in many life reserve have mostly been restricted to a descriptive
respects. Roads offer abundant food resources that are analysis of the phenomenon and the general habitat with-
spatially more concentrated than in the nearby forest out an assessment of other associated factors. MVAs
Study area
The Laurentides Wildlife Reserve is a large forested area
(7,861 km2) located north of Quebec City, Canada, that
is traversed by two major provincial roads in a north-
south direction (Routes No. 175 and 169; Fig. 1). These
roads are paved and mostly one-way in each direction.
In 2002, mean daily traffic was estimated to be 1,460
vehicles on Route 169 (sector 1, length of 60 km), 2,800 Figure 1. Study area with the two provincial roads (Routes No. 175 and
169) that traverse the Laurentides Wildlife Reserve in a north-south
vehicles on Route 175 N (sector 2, 48 km) and 4,800 direction. Three sectors of differing lengths and levels of traffic volume
vehicles on Route 175 S (sector 3, 82 km; see Fig. 1). were defined (see text).
The maximum speed allowed in the study area is 90 km/
hour.
Forest stands are typical of the boreal forest (Dussault tive hunting regulations for the last decade. Caribou Ran
et al. 2001). Coniferous stands with balsam fir Abies bal- gifer tarandus, white-tailed deer and black bear are the
samea and black spruce Picea mariana are dominant on other large mammals found in the study area. Natural
high plateaus whereas lower altitudes and river valleys predators of moose are timber wolf Canis lupus and
are covered with mixed and deciduous stands, mostly black bear.
white birch Betula papyrifera, trembling aspen Populus Winters in the Laurentides Wildlife Reserve are espe-
tremuloides, yellow birch B. alleghaniensis and maples cially harsh since this area receives among the highest
Acer spp. Forest harvesting existed in the study area for annual snowfalls in the world. Snow begins to accumu-
several decades, resulting in a heterogeneous mosaic of late on the ground in early November, reaches its max-
mature and regenerating stands. A severe spruce budworm imal depth of over 100 cm around mid-March and per-
Choristoneura fumiferana outbreak occurred approxi- sists until early June under forest cover (Québec Ministry
mately 20 years ago and contributed to rejuvenating the of Environment). Minimum and maximum daily tem-
forest. The topography along the two roads is broken with peratures are, respectively, -21.7 and -9.0°C in January,
many hills rising > 150 m above the road surface and some and 9.5 and 21.7°C in July.
major river valleys falling off to 300 m below.
The forest mosaic of young and mature stands pro- Moose-vehicle accident data
vides high-quality habitat for moose. Moose density in We used the MVA database compiled by the Quebec
the reserve is relatively high and was 2.2 moose/10 km2 Ministry of Transportation (QMT) during 1990-2002.
in the winter of 1994 (including 8.0 moose/10 km2 in Data collected for each accident included the date and
some sectors; St-Onge et al. 1995, Dussault 2002), but time of collision as well as the position of the accident
density is likely increasing due to the adoption of restric- with respect to the closest 1-km road marker. We evalu-
© WILDLIFE BIOLOGY · 12:4 (2006)
417
20
Statistical analyses
10
0
We first utilised separate χ2 tests to determine the effect 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
6 0.20 4000
Dawn
5
150
0.15 3000
4
100
3 0.10 2000
MVA
2
50
0.05 Traffic 1000
1
0 0
0.00 0
May
Jan
Feb
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Nov
Dec
Mar
Apr
Oct
ANNUAL PERIOD
y
ay
ay
y
ay
ay
da
da
ay
rid
d
sd
nd
es
on
r
sd
tu
0,30
F
ur
Su
Tu
M
ne
Sa
B)
Th
ed
RATE OF MVAs / HOUR / 10,000
W
0,25 Night
Dusk DAY OF THE WEEK
0,20
Dawn
VEHICLES
Day
0,15
Figure 4. Daily number of MVAs and mean road traffic volume in the
0,10
Laurentides Wildlife Reserve by day of the week during 1990-2002.
0,05
0,00
May
Mar
Nov
Apr
Oct
Jan
Feb
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Dec
ANNUAL PERIOD
0.957). The risk for individual drivers appeared to be
even higher at night after the hourly accident rate was
corrected for road traffic volume (see Fig. 3B). The risk
Figure 3. Mean number of MVAs per year (A) and mean rate of MVAs
corrected for traffic level and daily period length (B) in the Laurentides of accident by vehicle appeared at least 2-3 times high-
Wildlife Reserve by semi-monthly period and time of day. Data were er at night than during any other time of the day, as it
averaged over a 13-year period (1990-2002). can be demonstrated using a response variable correct-
ed for traffic level and daily period length (hourly acci-
dent rate by 10,000 vehicles; see Fig. 3B). In addition,
yearly variation (χ2 = 35.1, df = 12, P < 0.001). Annual MVAs were > 42% more frequent on Fridays when road
numbers of accidents were 40-50 before 1994 but then traffic levels were highest (χ2 = 27.3, df = 6, P < 0.001;
increased to and stabilised at 50-70 thereafter (Fig. 2). Fig. 4).
Number of MVAs varied between semi-monthly peri- The logistic regression also showed variations in acci-
ods (χ2 = 532.2, df = 21, P < 0.001) and the pattern did dent rate between years, semi-monthly periods and days
not differ between years (χ2 = 265.5, df = 252, P = of the week (Table 2). Also, maximum daily temperature
0.268). Accidents were not frequent from mid-November and minimum daily atmospheric pressure significantly
to mid-April (Fig. 3A). The period with the highest num- influenced the probability of MVAs to occur on a giv-
ber of accidents was the second half of June, but the en day. On average, the probability of an MVA increased
number of accidents remained relatively high from mid- when both air temperature and atmospheric pressure
May to late August. were high (Fig. 5). The ROC value of the final logistic
Visual examination of Figure 3A showed that varia- regression model was 0.81 which can be considered an
tions in numbers of MVAs between semi-monthly peri- excellent fit (Hosmer & Lemeshow 2000).
ods were not simply related to changes in road traffic
levels, especially during early summer. Indeed, the peri-
od during which traffic volume was highest (early August)
Table 2. Results of logistic regression testing the effect of year,
did not correspond to the period when MVAs occurred semi-monthly period, day of the week and weather variables on the
most. From early August until late November, howev- probability of MVAs occurring on a given day in the Laurentides
er, the reduction in MVAs closely followed the reduc- Wildlife Reserve during 1990-2002.
tion in mean traffic volume.
Variable df Wald χ2 P
MVAs were also not uniformly distributed among the
Year 12 31.41 0.002
different times of day (χ2 = 571.2, df = 3, P < 0.001). Semi-monthly period 23 102.47 <0.001
The number of MVAs was highest at night, followed by Day of the week 3 17.65 <0.001
dusk, dawn and day (see Fig. 3A) and this trend did not Maximum daily temperature 1 17.28 <0.001
change throughout the year (χ2 = 42.6, df = 60, P = Minimum daily atmospheric pressure 2 11.34 0.004
NUMBER OF MVAs
6
0.2 5
4
3
0.1 2
1
0
0 0-0.1 0.1-0.2 0.2-0.3 0.3-0.4 0.4-0.5 0.5-0.6 0.6-0.7
Low Medium High MOOSE DENSITY/KM
2
0.4 B)
NUMBER OF MVAs / DAY ± SE
0.1