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Aika - A3 IRR and NPV Analysis Final
Aika - A3 IRR and NPV Analysis Final
Yr
10% year
Discount rate 0.15 1 48600000
Land Cost -2800000 2 53460000
Land rehabilitation Costs -5500000 3 58806000
Land Sale Income 18000000 4 64686600
Building development & Construction Costs -13000000 5 71155260
Depreciation Buildings - to zero 0.1 6 78270786
P&E -7000000 7 86097864.6
Depreciation P&E - diminishing 0.2 8 94707651.06
Salvage P&E only -0.09 9 104178416.166
Tax rate - 1-3 -0.2 10 114596257.783
Tax rate - 4 onwards -0.25
Yr 1 Sales - Increase at 10%/yr 48600000
Cost of Sales -0.65
Yr 1 Fixed Cost - Increase at 5%/yr -11500000
Working cap -0.06
CF from Land Sale before tax 12500000
CF from Land Sale after tax 9375000
Sales inc @
Yr
10% year
Discount rate 0.15 1 45000000
Land Cost 0 2 49500000
Land rehabilitation Costs 0 3 54450000
Land Sale Income 0 4 59895000
Building development & Construction Costs -15000000 5 65884500
Depreciation Buildings - to zero 0.1 6 72472950
P&E -6000000 7 79720245
Depreciation P&E - diminishing 0.2 8 87692269.5
Salvage P&E only -0.11 9 96461496.45
Tax rate - 1-3 -0.3 10 106107646.095
Tax rate - 4 onwards -0.3
Yr 1 Sales - Increase at 10%/yr 45000000
Cost of Sales -0.75
Yr 1 Fixed Cost - Increase at 5%/yr -4000000
Working cap -0.06
CF from Land Sale before tax 0
CF from Land Sale after tax 0
increase in fixed cost 0.05
2032
10
114596257.7826
-74487567.5587
-17840274.4838
-1300000
$ (187,904.82)
20780510.92096
-5195127.73024
15585383.19072
17,073,288.01
6875775.466956
30404.8192
9375000
33,354,468.30
P&E
Depreceation Amt Book Value
Depreceation
1 $ (1,200,000.00) $ (4,800,000.00)
2 $ (960,000.00) $ (3,840,000.00)
3 $ (768,000.00) $ (3,072,000.00)
4 $ (614,400.00) $ (2,457,600.00)
5 $ (491,520.00) $ (1,966,080.00)
6 $ (393,216.00) $ (1,572,864.00)
7 $ (314,572.80) $ (1,258,291.20)
8 $ (251,658.24) $ (1,006,632.96)
9 $ (201,326.59) $ (805,306.37)
10 $ (161,061.27) $ (644,245.09)
Acc Dep $ (5,355,754.91)
Salvage -660000
Gain / (Loss) -1304245.0944 book value at yr 10 + salvage value
Tax credit 391273.52832 gain/loss * tax rate
Net Csh Salvage -268726.47168 salvage value + tax credit or loss
2032
10
112341728.4995
-84256296.3746
-6205312.86391
-1500000
$ (161,061.27)
-165000
20054057.98736
-6016217.39621
14037840.59116
15698901.86476
0
6740503.709971
391273.52832
0
22830679.10305
scenario 1 0 1 2
Djakarta Plant 2022 2023 2024
Cost of Land 2800
Development and Construction of building 13000
Cost of plant and equipment 7000
Sale of land -terminal year
Sale of land -terminal year - Taxable Value
Salvage Value-Building
Salvage Value-P&E
Rehabilitation cost
Change in working capital @6% 2916 3207.6
scenario 2 0 1 2
Gladstone Plant 2022 2023 2024
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
770
18000
15200
1170
5500
6875.775467 46473.53
114596.25778
0 11640
74487.567559
17840.274484
167.23528909
1300
20801.180451 11640
-4160.23609 2910
16640.944361 8730
64581.709786 55203.53
0.3219732366 0.321973
20793.582125 17774.06
68080.900376 85854.96
-69.1531927 -39.28957
10 10
2032 Terminal
660
0
1350
4963.8398735 37304.41
$82,730.66
2010
($62,048)
6205.3128639
143.3445335
1300
137130.00558 2010
41139.001674 603
65 65
95926.003906 1342
134673.75794 38646.41
0.2471847061 0.247185
33289.293278 9552.801
345263.14843 354815.9
-137.2990476 -124.4592
equipment dereciation scenarion 1
year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year 6 year 7 year 8 year 9
value 6230 4984 3987.2 3189.76 2551.808 2041.446 1633.157 1306.526 1045.221
depreciation 1246 996.8 797.44 637.952 510.3616 408.2893 326.6314 261.3051 209.0441
Cases
Normal case
Year 0 Year 1
Particulars 0 1
Initial Investemnt $ 5,000,000.00
Cash Flows $ 2,687,500.00
less: Variable cost $ 675,000.00
Normal case
Fixed cost $ 50,000.00
Cash inflows $ (5,000,000.00) $ 1,962,500.00
PVF >7.0431 $ 1.00 $ 0.93
PV of cash flows $ (5,000,000.00) $ 1,833,374.21
NPV $ 1,836,184.00
Best case
Year 0 Year 1
Particulars $ - $ 1.00
Initial Investemnt $ 5,000,000.00
Cash Flows $ 3,262,500.00
less: Variable cost $ 450,000.00
Best Case
Fixed cost $ 50,000.00
Cash inflows $ (5,000,000.00) $ 2,762,500.00
PVF @7.0431 $ 1.00 $ 0.93
PV of cash flows $ (5,000,000.00) $ 2,580,736.95
NPV $ 4,620,931.34
Worst case
Year 0 Year 1
Worst case
Particulars $ - $ 1.00
Initial Investemnt $ 5,000,000.00
Cash Flows $ 1,803,750.00
less: Variable cost $ 1,175,000.00
Worst case
Fixed cost $ 50,000.00
Cash inflows $ (5,000,000.00) $ 578,750.00
PVF @7.0431 $ 1.00 $ 0.93
PV of cash flows $ (5,000,000.00) $ 540,670.23
NPV $ (2,980,558.67)
WACC for Hydro Vital using excel
Cost of Equity 19.19%
Cost of Debt 8.25%
D/E 0.43
Tax rate 34%
WACC 28.3800%
Chart T
Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 $3,000,000.00
$ 2.00 $ 3.00 $ 4.00
$2,500,000.00
$-
1 2
normal case Be
Chart Title
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
$-
1 2 3 4