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t is time for a closer look at largest countries—accounting for 63 the worst since the Great Depression
Latin America. Today, the re- percent of regional nominal GDP. of the 1930s—has clearly made itself
gion offers some strong, resil- felt in Latin America, as elsewhere
ient economies with solid op- Latin America is also a growth mar- around the world. All countries in
portunities for growth that set ket. Although its GDP growth rate the region have been affected in a
them apart from other markets and over the past five years did not variety of ways, including falling pric-
from the region’s volatile history. match China’s spectacular growth es, shrinking export volumes, erosion
Within this new environment, a rate, it consistently ranged between of consumer confidence, credit scar-
group of bold Latin American com- 3.9 and 4.8 percent per year. city, limited liquidity, and capital
panies are expanding their opera- flight. These effects, in turn, have
tions internationally with impressive It is important to de-average these had negative impacts on financial
speed, ingenuity, and sophistication. overall regional data points and take markets, currency values, economic-
The growth paths and approaches a deep look into the risks and oppor- activity levels, consumer behavior
adopted by these thriving multilatinas tunities in each market. The region patterns, company performance lev-
may offer valuable lessons to others. has a volatile history, and some els, and market valuations. Further-
countries still have risky business more, several dozen companies,
A New Perspective and political environments. However, mostly in Brazil and Mexico, suffered
on Latin America in recent years some major countries severe losses in late 2008 as a result
have reduced their debt levels, of exposure to exchange rate deriva-
Latin America is a massive, diverse, strengthened their currency reserves, tives. The Bank for International Set-
and vibrant region. Its nominal GDP and applied discipline to their fiscal tlements estimated that Brazilian
($4.2 trillion in 2008) is equivalent to deficits. The results have been un- companies lost $25 billion in these
China’s, it has a very large popula- precedented reductions in country transactions whereas Mexican com-
tion (562 million), and its market cap- risk and interest rates, creating panies lost $4 billion.
italization ($1.6 trillion as of June unique opportunities for companies
2009) is greater than that of Eastern based both within and outside the On the positive side, Latin America
Europe and Russia combined. region. In fact, for the first time, the has been less affected by this crisis
region is now home to five invest- than by others in the past. In previ-
While it is home to 20 countries, the ment-grade economies: Brazil, Chile, ous crises, such as the Latin Ameri-
region is more coherent culturally Colombia, Mexico, and Peru, which can debt crisis in 1982 and the Tequi-
and linguistically than is Africa, Asia, together are responsible for 75 per- la Effect during 1994 and 1995, the
or Europe. Barriers to regional trade cent of the region’s nominal GDP. region was either at the epicenter or
are low and facilitated by regional (See Exhibit 1.) more severely affected than other re-
frameworks. And economic activity is gions. In contrast, with respect to the
concentrated in a few large markets, The Impact of the Economic Crisis. current crisis, the World Bank fore-
with Brazil and Mexico—the two The current global economic crisis— cast of June 2009 estimates that in
Colombia
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.7%
Nominal GDP, 2008: $244 billion
371 Population, 2008: 48 million
Mexico Inflation, 2008: 7.0%
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 2.1%
Nominal GDP, 2008: $1,088 billion
Population, 2008: 110 million Venezuela
Inflation, 2008: 5.1% GDP growth, 2004–2008: 7.4%
1,617 Nominal GDP, 2008: $320 billion
459 Population, 2008: 28 million
Ecuador Inflation, 2008: 30.4%
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.4% 3,433
Nominal GDP, 2008: $55 billion
Population, 2008: 13 million
Inflation, 2008: 8.3% Brazil
383 421
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.0%
Peru Nominal GDP, 2008: $1,575 billion
Population, 2008: 192 million
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 5.5% Inflation, 2008: 5.7%
Nominal GDP, 2008: $127 billion
Population, 2008: 29 million
Inflation, 2008: 5.8%
Argentina
1,727 GDP growth, 2004–2008: 6.5%
276
Chile Nominal GDP, 2008: $328 billion
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.5% Population, 2008: 40 million
Nominal GDP, 2008: $169 billion Inflation, 2008: 8.6%
Population, 2008: 17 million
Inflation, 2008: 8.7%
El Salvador—1 Colombia—5
Grupo TACA Argos
Avianca
Grupo Nacional de Chocolates
Organización Terpel
SaludCoop
Mexico—28 Venezuela—1
Alpek Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA)
Alsea
América Móvil
Cemex Peru—3
Comex Group Alicorp
Corporación Interamericana de Entretenimiento Grupo Gloria
Empresas ICA Southern Copper Corporation (SCC)
Famsa
Femsa Brazil—34
Gruma
Alpargatas
Grupo Bal
América Latina Logística (ALL)
Grupo Bimbo
Andrade Gutierrez
Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua
Brasil Foods
Grupo Condumex
Braskem
Grupo Iusa
Coteminas
Grupo Lala
CSN
Grupo México
Embraer
Grupo Modelo
EMS Sigma Pharma
Grupo Salinas
Gerdau
Industrias CH
Globo Comunicação e Participações
Mabe
Grupo Camargo Corrêa
Mexichem
Argentina—7 Grupo Queiroz Galvão
Nemak
Arcor Grupo Votorantim
Sigma Alimentos
Atanor Iochpe-Maxion
Televisa
Grupo Pluspetrol1 Itautec
Telmex (Teléfonos de México)
Molinos Río de la Plata JBS-Friboi
Verzatec
Pan American Energy Klabin
Xignux
Tenaris Localiza
Chile—21 Ternium Magnesita Refratários
Marcopolo
Antofagasta Minerals
Marfrig Group
CAP
Minerva
Celulosa Arauco y Constitución
Natura Cosméticos
Cementos Bío Bío
Odebrecht
Cencosud
Petrobras
Compañía Cervecerías Unidas (CCU)
Randon
Compañía General de Electricidad (CGE)
TAM Linhas Aéreas
Compañía Sud Americana de Vapores (CSAV)
Tigre
Embotelladora Andina
Tramontina
Empresa Nacional del Petróleo (ENAP)
Ultrapar
Empresas Carozzi
Vale
Empresas CMPC
Votorantim Celulose e Papel (VCP)
Falabella
Weg
Farmacias Ahumada
LAN Airlines
Madeco
Masisa
Molibdenos y Metales (Molymet)
Sigdo Koppers
Sonda
SQM
Sources: Press search; companies’ Web sites and annual reports; BCG analysis.
Note: The sample does not include financial services companies.
1
Grupo Pluspetrol’s 2007 revenues were less than $500 million, but it is important for the region and had 2006 revenues of $704 million.
To arrive at our list of the 2009 BCG groups. Next, the team undertook a BCG Multilatinas all have Latin
Multilatinas, a team of BCG consul- thorough study of these companies’ American equity control and all have
tants performed a comprehensive annual reports, Web sites, and press significant assets or operations (fac-
analysis of nonfinancial companies coverage and built a comprehensive tories, mines, ports, railways, or dis-
active in the region. The team first proprietary database that character- tribution centers) outside their
compiled a list of 471 such compa- izes each player according to the na- home countries. The analysis was
nies with 2007 revenues greater than tionality of its equity controller, the based entirely on publicly available
$500 million, based on international sectors and countries in which it op- sources.
and local rankings from Argentina, erates, and its business model and
Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and other Latin apparent strategy, as well as its rev-
American countries, and on a de- enues, net equity, number of em-
tailed consolidation of international ployees, and EBITDA. The 100 2009
Exhibit 3. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas Operate in All Industry Sectors to Varying Degrees
Estimated percentage of total 2007 regional revenues in each sector, by company type
Percentage of revenues
100 2
7 12 8
2
4 22 18
5 29
80 41 36
42 41
20 30 54 55 62 74
33
60 23 65
100 7 93
12 94
87 9
40 16 11
9 49 60
58 53
47 48 47 2
20 42 10
30 34
29 24
17 1 1 1
9 1 2 2
0 4 4 2
Aerospace Pulp Trans- Media Telecom- Consumer Wholesale Technology Agricultural
and and portation and munications goods and retail commodities
defense1 paper entertainment distribution
Sources: Press search; companies’ Web sites and annual reports; BCG analysis.
Note: Regional revenues include revenues of all Latin American countries represented by the 2009 BCG Multilatinas; the revenues of MNCs are estimated
on the basis of available data.
1
This sector’s figures exclude the MNC aerospace cluster in Mexico, for which individual company data are not available.
Exhibit 4. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas Have Outperformed Overall Markets in TSR Growth
500
0
June 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 June 2009
The number of multilatinas with foreign operations in each region, by home country, 2007
Sources: Press search; companies’ Web sites and annual reports; BCG analysis.
Note: A company that has investments in more than one country in a region is counted only once; “others” includes Colombia, El Salvador, Peru, and
Venezuela.
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