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The 2009 BCG Multilatinas


A Fresh Look at Latin America and How a New Breed
of Competitors Are Reshaping the Business Landscape
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mation, please visit www.bcg.com.
The 2009 BCG Multilatinas
A Fresh Look at Latin America and How a New Breed
of Competitors Are Reshaping the Business Landscape

I
t is time for a closer look at largest countries—accounting for 63 the worst since the Great Depression
Latin America. Today, the re- percent of regional nominal GDP. of the 1930s—has clearly made itself
gion offers some strong, resil- felt in Latin America, as elsewhere
ient economies with solid op- Latin America is also a growth mar- around the world. All countries in
portunities for growth that set ket. Although its GDP growth rate the region have been affected in a
them apart from other markets and over the past five years did not variety of ways, including falling pric-
from the region’s volatile history. match China’s spectacular growth es, shrinking export volumes, erosion
Within this new environment, a rate, it consistently ranged between of consumer confidence, credit scar-
group of bold Latin American com- 3.9 and 4.8 percent per year. city, limited liquidity, and capital
panies are expanding their opera- flight. These effects, in turn, have
tions internationally with impressive It is important to de-average these had negative impacts on financial
speed, ingenuity, and sophistication. overall regional data points and take markets, currency values, economic-
The growth paths and approaches a deep look into the risks and oppor- activity levels, consumer behavior
adopted by these thriving multilatinas tunities in each market. The region patterns, company performance lev-
may offer valuable lessons to others. has a volatile history, and some els, and market valuations. Further-
countries still have risky business more, several dozen companies,
A New Perspective and political environments. However, mostly in Brazil and Mexico, suffered
on Latin America in recent years some major countries severe losses in late 2008 as a result
have reduced their debt levels, of exposure to exchange rate deriva-
Latin America is a massive, diverse, strengthened their currency reserves, tives. The Bank for International Set-
and vibrant region. Its nominal GDP and applied discipline to their fiscal tlements estimated that Brazilian
($4.2 trillion in 2008) is equivalent to deficits. The results have been un- companies lost $25 billion in these
China’s, it has a very large popula- precedented reductions in country transactions whereas Mexican com-
tion (562 million), and its market cap- risk and interest rates, creating panies lost $4 billion.
italization ($1.6 trillion as of June unique opportunities for companies
2009) is greater than that of Eastern based both within and outside the On the positive side, Latin America
Europe and Russia combined. region. In fact, for the first time, the has been less affected by this crisis
region is now home to five invest- than by others in the past. In previ-
While it is home to 20 countries, the ment-grade economies: Brazil, Chile, ous crises, such as the Latin Ameri-
region is more coherent culturally Colombia, Mexico, and Peru, which can debt crisis in 1982 and the Tequi-
and linguistically than is Africa, Asia, together are responsible for 75 per- la Effect during 1994 and 1995, the
or Europe. Barriers to regional trade cent of the region’s nominal GDP. region was either at the epicenter or
are low and facilitated by regional (See Exhibit 1.) more severely affected than other re-
frameworks. And economic activity is gions. In contrast, with respect to the
concentrated in a few large markets, The Impact of the Economic Crisis. current crisis, the World Bank fore-
with Brazil and Mexico—the two The current global economic crisis— cast of June 2009 estimates that in

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2009, the GDP of countries in the Or- Second, the region is much better reserves (down to 22 percent in 2008
ganisation for Economic Co-opera- prepared to confront this crisis than from a high of 227 percent in 1982).
tion and Development will contract it was to face others in the past. Inflation rates are lower and stable,
by more than 4 percent on aggregate, Many indicators are more favorable averaging 8 percent per year across
while Latin America’s GDP will than they were at almost all other the region (versus 66 percent in
shrink by only 2.2 percent. moments of crisis in recent decades, 1982). Money market interest rates
providing unprecedented strength currently hover around 10 percent
Latin America’s relatively positive and room for policy responses. For (versus 67 percent in 1982), and
current position rests on two factors. instance, on average, Latin American unemployment is a manageable
First, the practices that triggered the governments are far less indebted in 7 percent.
crisis elsewhere are not present in terms of both net foreign debt as a
the region; household debt is, on av- percentage of GDP (down to 2 per- It should be noted, however, that the
erage, at manageable levels, and lo- cent at the end of 2008 from a high impact of the crisis varies significant-
cal banks are less leveraged and not of 30 percent during the 1982 Latin ly from country to country. Some,
directly exposed to toxic assets from American debt crisis) and short-term such as Venezuela, are particularly
overseas. debt as a percentage of international exposed to commodity prices and

Exhibit 1. Latin America’s Promising Economies Include Five That Have


Investment-Grade Ratings

Colombia
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.7%
Nominal GDP, 2008: $244 billion
371 Population, 2008: 48 million
Mexico Inflation, 2008: 7.0%
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 2.1%
Nominal GDP, 2008: $1,088 billion
Population, 2008: 110 million Venezuela
Inflation, 2008: 5.1% GDP growth, 2004–2008: 7.4%
1,617 Nominal GDP, 2008: $320 billion
459 Population, 2008: 28 million
Ecuador Inflation, 2008: 30.4%
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.4% 3,433
Nominal GDP, 2008: $55 billion
Population, 2008: 13 million
Inflation, 2008: 8.3% Brazil
383 421
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.0%
Peru Nominal GDP, 2008: $1,575 billion
Population, 2008: 192 million
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 5.5% Inflation, 2008: 5.7%
Nominal GDP, 2008: $127 billion
Population, 2008: 29 million
Inflation, 2008: 5.8%
Argentina
1,727 GDP growth, 2004–2008: 6.5%
276
Chile Nominal GDP, 2008: $328 billion
GDP growth, 2004–2008: 3.5% Population, 2008: 40 million
Nominal GDP, 2008: $169 billion Inflation, 2008: 8.6%
Population, 2008: 17 million
Inflation, 2008: 8.7%

J.P. Morgan EMBI+1


<500 501 to 1,000 >1,000 Investment-grade countries2
Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit; International Monetary Fund; Banco Central de Reserva del Perú; Thomson Reuters Datastream; BCG analysis.
Note: GDP growth from 2004 through 2008 is the compound annual growth rate of real GDP per person.
1
J.P. Morgan EMBI+ estimates of the risk premium required for investment.
2
Colombia is considered an investment-grade economy only by Standard & Poor’s; Moody’s and Fitch Ratings consider it investment grade only for the
long term in local currency.

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country risk. Others, such as Mexico, equity and debt); relatively low levels vate-sector debt as a percentage of
are affected because of their multiple of credit penetration; conservative GDP was 29 percent—much lower
connections to the U.S. economy. Still banking practices and sound finan- than other countries’ or regions’ lev-
others, such as Argentina, are partic- cial institutions; an increasingly di- els. For example, China’s 2008 pri-
ularly vulnerable because of their fis- versified and modern economy; vate-sector debt represented 103 per-
cal and debt situations. abundant natural resources; a young, cent of its GDP. In Western Europe
growing, and increasingly educated the percentage was 137, in the Unit-
In contrast, major countries, includ- ed States, 158 percent, and in Japan,
ing Brazil and most of the other in- We expect Latin 167 percent.
vestment-grade markets in the re-
American companies to
gion, are expected to quickly resume Conservative Banking Practices and
their growth trajectories. Analysts ex- sustain above-average Sound Financial Institutions. The re-
pect GDP to recover in 2010 across performance in the gion has a relatively low level of
the region, attaining GDP growth bank loans as a percentage of bank
rates ranging from 1.1 to 4.7 percent, medium to long term. deposits (77 percent for Latin Ameri-
with especially strong performance ca in 2008, compared with 137 per-
in Brazil, Chile, and Peru.1 population; improved access to infor- cent for Russia, 116 percent for West-
mation and global markets; crisis-sea- ern Europe, 103 percent for the
The Region’s Prospects for Profit- soned institutions and leaders; and United States, 92 percent for China,
able Growth. The global crisis re- the emergence of local companies and 86 percent for both South Korea
mains very serious. The world econo- with international aspirations. and Eastern Europe). This, among
my is likely to continue to suffer other factors, allowed banks in Latin
sluggish growth and uncertainty, pos- Structural Reductions in the Cost of American countries to suffer less im-
sibly for some years. As the crisis is Capital (Both Equity and Debt). This pact from the crisis than banks in
still unfolding, it is too early to fore- major achievement has been brought other countries, such as the United
see its ultimate implications for the about by improved fundamentals. In States, and to be better positioned to
region, particularly if the downturn is Brazil, for example, country risk as support the recovery of their local
protracted. measured by J.P. Morgan Emerging economies.
Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) is
Nonetheless, in our view, even in at 280 basis points ( June 2009 aver- An Increasingly Diversified and Modern
such an adverse global context, we age) compared with 670 basis points Economy. With the growth of strong
expect Latin America to sustain five years ago ( June 2004 average) regional players over the past decade,
above-average performance in the and 1,000-plus basis points ten years Latin America’s economy has be-
medium to long term. The region as a ago ( June 1999 average), while nomi- come increasingly diversified. These
whole is better prepared to face this nal benchmark interest rates are at companies compete with multina-
crisis than most, with the investment- unprecedented one-digit levels (9.25 tional corporations (MNCs) based
grade countries—Brazil, Chile, Co- percent in June 2009). Structural re- outside the region in various high-
lombia, Mexico, and Peru—leading ductions in the cost of capital have tech sectors, such as aerospace and
the pack and providing critical mass spurred the development of capital defense, transportation, telecommu-
for growth in the region. markets and created opportunities in nications, automotive, technology,
infrastructure, real estate, and other and soware design.
The resilience and growth potential long-term investments.
of Latin America’s major economies Abundant Natural Resources. This attri-
are based on significant structural Relatively Low Levels of Credit Penetra- bute of the Latin American region is
factors, which are especially striking tion. This condition will give compa-
in some countries, most notably Bra- nies ample room to use debt to fi-
zil (the region’s largest economy). nance growth once liquidity in the 1. These projections are based on June 2009
forecasts from the World Bank, J.P. Morgan,
These factors include structural re- markets returns to more normal lev- and Goldman Sachs for the seven largest
ductions in the cost of capital (both els. In Latin America in 2008, pri- economies in the region.

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exceptionally valuable in an increas- Latin American leaders bring to the resent 27 percent of the group of
ingly commodity-constrained world. present crisis has helped the region 471 but only 15 percent of its rev-
Latin America possesses 30 percent to be flexible and adapt to increased enues. They tend to concentrate in
of the world’s fresh water, 48 percent global volatility. specific industries—such as utili-
of its copper, 19 percent of its iron ties, media, distribution, and infra-
ore, 13 percent of its petroleum, 23 The Emergence of Local Companies structure—in which foreign own-
percent of its natural forests, and with International Aspirations. Local ership is limited as a matter of
more than 50 percent of its soybean government policy.
production. Clearly, these resources Latin American
provide a platform for growth and ◊ Exporters. Each exporter is based
companies’
specifically for competitiveness in in- in one Latin American country
dustries such as steel and paper. internationalization is and earns at least 10 percent of its
more advanced than revenues from exports. Together,
A Young, Growing, and Increasingly Ed- exporters represent 16 percent of
ucated Population. Latin America’s most observers realize. the group in terms of number of
population has grown at some 1.5 companies and 13 percent of the
percent per year over the past 10 companies are reshaping the region- group in terms of revenues. Many
years, and 57 percent of the popula- al competitive landscape as they ex- of these companies have support-
tion is under 30 years old. Moreover, pand outside their home countries, ing international commercial net-
the literacy rate among people aged across the region, and beyond. works.
15 years old and above increased
from 91.8 percent to 93.5 percent The Region’s Fast-Changing Cor- ◊ MNCs. These companies are based
over the past 10 years, while enroll- porate Landscape. The corporate outside the region and have oper-
ment in universities almost doubled landscape of Latin America is chang- ations in one or more Latin Amer-
from 1.7 percent to 2.9 percent of the ing rapidly. Over the past two dec- ican countries. They represent 36
total population. This “demographic ades, privatization, trade agreements, percent of the companies in the
bonus” will fuel growing consumer deregulation, the development of group and earn 38 percent of the
spending as the young, increasingly capital markets, and increased pres- revenues.
educated sector of the population sure from international competitors
comes into its prime years for estab- have contributed to a market envi- ◊ The 2009 BCG Multilatinas. These
lishing households. It will also sup- ronment dominated by private com- 100 companies are a thriving
port the region’s need for highly panies—an increasing number of breed of competitors that are
qualified workers and managers which are operating internationally. headquartered in Latin America
as national economies continue to and controlled by shareholders
expand. Our analysis shows that the interna- based in the region. All 100 BCG
tionalization process is both deeper multilatinas have significant oper-
Improved Access to Information and and more advanced than most ob- ations and foreign direct invest-
Global Markets. The increasing pene- servers might realize. For instance, ments outside their home-country
tration of new technologies, such we identified in our research 471 markets. They represent only
as the Internet and cellular phones, companies with 2007 regional reve- 21 percent of the companies in
is narrowing the information access nues of more than $500 million. We our study group but account for
gap and lowering transaction costs categorized them in four groups, an impressive 34 percent of its
relative to other regions. For exam- according to their international pro- revenues.2
ple, cellular phone penetration in the files:
region increased from 25 percent in 2. Some of the 2009 BCG Multilatinas are
2003 to some 80 percent in 2008. ◊ Local Companies. Each local com- listed in The 2009 BCG 100 New Global Chal-
pany is based in one Latin Ameri- lengers: How Companies from Rapidly Develop-
ing Economies Are Contending for Global Lead-
Crisis-Seasoned Institutions and Lead- can country and operates within ership, BCG report, January 2009, available at
ers. The experience and know-how its borders. Local companies rep- www.bcg.com/publications.

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Introducing the 2009 BCG economic volatility, sound fiscal Internationalization is not a play re-
Multilatinas and monetary policies, predictable served only for large corporations.
regulation, solid institutions, and Our analysis shows that company
The transformation of Latin Ameri- well-developed capital markets size (as measured by revenues) is not
can business environments began in correlated with internationalization
the 1990s, triggering a surge of inter- ◊ A fairly open economy with inter- (as measured by the number of
nationalization in the region, as local national reach, including partici- countries in which a company oper-
business leaders began to perceive ates). Entrepreneurship and competi-
the need to embrace globalization The 2009 BCG tive dynamics trump scale. For in-
for growth and sustainability. Out- stance, Sonda, a $540 million Chilean
Multilatinas have
ward foreign direct-investment flows company that offers IT services, plat-
from Latin American countries created spectacular forms, and applications, already op-
leaped from an average of $2.1 bil- shareholder value during erates in eight other countries, and
lion annually from 1990 through Grupo TACA, a $938 million compa-
1994 to $25.4 billion annually from their internationalization. ny based in El Salvador, was able to
2004 through 2008. Among the com- develop a regional footprint in the
panies leading this expansion across pation in regional blocs, a vast airline industry, competing against
the region and beyond have been network of bilateral trade and in- large incumbent players in other
the 2009 BCG Multilatinas. vestment agreements, and sup- countries.
portive institutions such as Fun-
A New Breed of Regional Contend- dación Chile and ProChile3 Value Creation and Strategic
ers. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas are Roles. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas
100 companies based in eight coun- Although multilatinas operate in all have created spectacular shareholder
tries across Latin America; all are op- industry sectors, their penetration value during their international ex-
erating internationally, and each varies widely. They have strong pres- pansion, even taking into account
earned 2007 revenues of at least ence in Latin American aerospace the impact of the current crisis on
$500 million. (See Exhibit 2 and the activities; basic materials (construc- their share prices. The total share-
sidebar “Methodology for Selecting tion materials, pulp and paper, oil holder return (TSR) of the 68 multi-
the 2009 BCG Multilatinas.”) and gas, and metals and mining); latinas that were publicly traded
transportation; media and entertain- over the past ten years was much
As the largest markets in the region, ment; food and beverage; and tele- higher than the TSR of the bench-
Brazil, with 34 multilatinas, and Mex- communications. But they have only mark markets, including the MSCI
ico, with 28, are home to 62 percent a negligible presence, relative to ex- Emerging Markets Index.
of the companies in the group. Nota- ternal MNCs, in automotive, technol-
bly, Chile, with a far smaller econo- ogy, and even agricultural commodi- A $100 investment made in June
my, nonetheless claims 21 multilati- ties. (See Exhibit 3.) 1999 in a hypothetical multilatinas
nas—a disproportionately high index would have grown at a com-
number. The revenues of multilatinas also pound annual growth rate of 19 per-
vary widely; in fact, seven companies cent, to reach a value of more than
We believe the success of Chile in are responsible for half of the total
breeding multilatinas highlights the revenues of the group. Moreover, the
3. Fundación Chile is a nonprofit platform
critical role of a clear strategic direc- group’s income is not evenly distrib- for interaction among the Chilean govern-
tion and a consistent ecosystem at uted across the many industries in ment, the private sector, and the academic
the country level. Chile offers the fol- which the multilatinas participate; community, aiming to introduce innovation
and develop human capital in the Chilean
lowing beneficial conditions for mul- half of their revenues come from economy’s key clusters. ProChile, the Trade
tilatinas: commodities and basic materials— Commission of Chile, is part of the General
sectors that outperformed the econo- Directorate of International Economic Af-
fairs of Chile’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Its
◊ A business-friendly environment, my as a whole over the period we purpose is to foster and promote Chilean ex-
including a growing economy, low analyzed. porting companies.

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Exhibit 2. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas Are Based in Eight Countries Across Latin America

El Salvador—1 Colombia—5
Grupo TACA Argos
Avianca
Grupo Nacional de Chocolates
Organización Terpel
SaludCoop

Mexico—28 Venezuela—1
Alpek Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA)
Alsea
América Móvil
Cemex Peru—3
Comex Group Alicorp
Corporación Interamericana de Entretenimiento Grupo Gloria
Empresas ICA Southern Copper Corporation (SCC)
Famsa
Femsa Brazil—34
Gruma
Alpargatas
Grupo Bal
América Latina Logística (ALL)
Grupo Bimbo
Andrade Gutierrez
Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua
Brasil Foods
Grupo Condumex
Braskem
Grupo Iusa
Coteminas
Grupo Lala
CSN
Grupo México
Embraer
Grupo Modelo
EMS Sigma Pharma
Grupo Salinas
Gerdau
Industrias CH
Globo Comunicação e Participações
Mabe
Grupo Camargo Corrêa
Mexichem
Argentina—7 Grupo Queiroz Galvão
Nemak
Arcor Grupo Votorantim
Sigma Alimentos
Atanor Iochpe-Maxion
Televisa
Grupo Pluspetrol1 Itautec
Telmex (Teléfonos de México)
Molinos Río de la Plata JBS-Friboi
Verzatec
Pan American Energy Klabin
Xignux
Tenaris Localiza
Chile—21 Ternium Magnesita Refratários
Marcopolo
Antofagasta Minerals
Marfrig Group
CAP
Minerva
Celulosa Arauco y Constitución
Natura Cosméticos
Cementos Bío Bío
Odebrecht
Cencosud
Petrobras
Compañía Cervecerías Unidas (CCU)
Randon
Compañía General de Electricidad (CGE)
TAM Linhas Aéreas
Compañía Sud Americana de Vapores (CSAV)
Tigre
Embotelladora Andina
Tramontina
Empresa Nacional del Petróleo (ENAP)
Ultrapar
Empresas Carozzi
Vale
Empresas CMPC
Votorantim Celulose e Papel (VCP)
Falabella
Weg
Farmacias Ahumada
LAN Airlines
Madeco
Masisa
Molibdenos y Metales (Molymet)
Sigdo Koppers
Sonda
SQM
Sources: Press search; companies’ Web sites and annual reports; BCG analysis.
Note: The sample does not include financial services companies.
1
Grupo Pluspetrol’s 2007 revenues were less than $500 million, but it is important for the region and had 2006 revenues of $704 million.

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Methodology for Selecting the 2009 BCG Multilatinas

To arrive at our list of the 2009 BCG groups. Next, the team undertook a BCG Multilatinas all have Latin
Multilatinas, a team of BCG consul- thorough study of these companies’ American equity control and all have
tants performed a comprehensive annual reports, Web sites, and press significant assets or operations (fac-
analysis of nonfinancial companies coverage and built a comprehensive tories, mines, ports, railways, or dis-
active in the region. The team first proprietary database that character- tribution centers) outside their
compiled a list of 471 such compa- izes each player according to the na- home countries. The analysis was
nies with 2007 revenues greater than tionality of its equity controller, the based entirely on publicly available
$500 million, based on international sectors and countries in which it op- sources.
and local rankings from Argentina, erates, and its business model and
Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and other Latin apparent strategy, as well as its rev-
American countries, and on a de- enues, net equity, number of em-
tailed consolidation of international ployees, and EBITDA. The 100 2009

Exhibit 3. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas Operate in All Industry Sectors to Varying Degrees

Estimated percentage of total 2007 regional revenues in each sector, by company type

Percentage of revenues
100 2
7 12 8
2
4 22 18
5 29
80 41 36
42 41
20 30 54 55 62 74
33
60 23 65
100 7 93
12 94
87 9
40 16 11
9 49 60
58 53
47 48 47 2
20 42 10
30 34
29 24
17 1 1 1
9 1 2 2
0 4 4 2
Aerospace Pulp Trans- Media Telecom- Consumer Wholesale Technology Agricultural
and and portation and munications goods and retail commodities
defense1 paper entertainment distribution

Construction Oil and Metals Food Chemicals Infrastructure Automotive Utilities


materials gas and mining and and real estate
beverages

2007 revenues ($billions)


5 33 17 422 33 193 17 149 136 53 32 12 182 179 52 135 44

Multilatinas Exporters Locals MNCs1

Sources: Press search; companies’ Web sites and annual reports; BCG analysis.
Note: Regional revenues include revenues of all Latin American countries represented by the 2009 BCG Multilatinas; the revenues of MNCs are estimated
on the basis of available data.
1
This sector’s figures exclude the MNC aerospace cluster in Mexico, for which individual company data are not available.

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$560 in 2009. (See Exhibit 4.) Un- growth. For instance, a recent BCG economic contributions, multilatinas
doubtedly this impressive financial study of a large sample of companies create a number of strategic benefits
performance reflects in part the rise in listed in Standard & Poor’s S&P 500 for their home countries—and indi-
commodity prices over the period, as showed that from 1988 through 2007, rectly for the rest of the region. Their
well as generally improved economic 68 percent of the companies’ value headquarters give rise to high-value-
environments, which have spurred creation came from growth. This re- adding jobs in corporate, research
higher valuation multiples. But we be- alization creates a solid rationale for and development, and back-office
lieve that there is more to it than that. strategies based on international ex- functions. They spur the develop-
pansion, even if by pursuing such ment of service clusters, including
In our view, internationalization strategies companies may achieve accounting, legal advice, and consult-
plays a critical role in enabling sus- lower profitability than they would ing. And they tend to inspire and
tainable growth and value creation. have had they remained at home— support the international expansion
The Boston Consulting Group’s anal- as long as profitability exceeds the of their business partners. Thus, mul-
yses of value creation over different cost of capital. tilatinas promote and sustain wealth
time periods and across regions and creation, talent retention, technology
industries show that long-term share- In addition to playing a central role development, knowledge and skill
holder return is driven primarily by in the region by means of their direct advancement, tax generation, and

Exhibit 4. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas Have Outperformed Overall Markets in TSR Growth

Ten-year TSR comparison,


June 1999 through June 2009 (per month, last day)
TSR index ( June 1999 = $100)
1,000

500

0
June 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 June 2009

BCG Multilatinas BM&F Bovespa (Brazil) BMV (Mexico) BCS (Chile)


MSCI Emerging Markets Merval (Argentina) S&P 500
Sources: Bloomberg; Thomson Financial; BCG analysis.
Note: Stock indexes are based on the major national stock exchanges; the TSR of multilatinas is weighted by market capitalization based on 68 companies
listed in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru; the selected equity classes (except for Atanor in Argentina) are currently traded and are the
most liquid.

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diversity and competition in the ily on targeting developed markets performed 19 outbound M&A deals,
business ecosystems around them. in the United States and Europe, as through 2007, when they concluded
Moreover, multilatinas have signifi- well as developing markets in Africa. 49. Mexican and Brazilian companies
cant symbolic value: they are a (See Exhibit 5.) led the charge during this period as
source of national pride and an indi- well, with a total of 73 and 70 deals,
cation that globalization can be a Industry Focus. Multilatinas are pres- respectively. That activity dropped
two-way street. ent in a balanced mix of industries, drastically in 2008 because of the
global financial crisis. However, we
How Multilatinas Compare with The multilatinas’ are confident that as economic con-
MNCs Based in Other RDEs.4 As a ditions improve, M&A activity will
challenge now is to
group, multilatinas differ from MNCs remain an important component of
based in other rapidly developing adapt their agendas multilatinas’ growth strategies.
economies (RDEs) chiefly in three to the new reality
ways: ownership, regional focus, and A Strategic Agenda
industry focus. of the financial crisis.
for Multilatinas
Ownership. Multilatinas are owned whereas MNCs based in other RDEs Multilatinas achieved their interna-
predominantly by private investors tend to be more concentrated in nar- tional growth in the context of a
(97 percent) and controlled by indi- rower bands of industries and also boom environment; their challenge
vidual families (77 percent). In con- have more representatives in tech- now is to adapt their agendas to the
trast, Russian multinationals, for ex- nology sectors. new reality presented by the finan-
ample, are 33 percent government cial crisis. Largely because of that
owned, and Chinese multinationals Like MNCs from other regions, most crisis, they are facing considerable
are 69 percent government owned. multilatinas (77 percent) have fueled risk and turbulence in their home
An important implication is that their growth by resorting to equity and international markets. There-
multilatinas are largely unaffected markets. Brazilian and Chilean mul- fore, their first priority should be to
by governmental or geopolitical ob- tilatinas have access to very highly protect their financial fundamentals
jectives. In addition, concentrated developed local capital markets and and existing businesses. As BCG
ownership oen confers an agility are more advanced in this process points out in more detail in its Col-
advantage, which can be crucial, for (79 percent of Brazilian multilatinas lateral Damage series of publica-
example, in merger and acquisition and 100 percent of Chilean multilati- tions, companies can deploy a num-
(M&A) activities. nas use this approach) than multilati- ber of tactics to achieve this
nas based in other countries. For protection:5
Regional Focus. Multilatinas are large- example, only 43 percent of multi-
ly regional contenders, focused on latinas from Argentina and 40 per- ◊ Protect cash and manage credit
their natural markets in the Ameri- cent of those from Colombia have risk by exercising tight cash man-
cas (although many of them also op- gone public. agement, reducing or postponing
erate farther afield). Argentina, the spending, and focusing on cash
United States, and Peru are the pri- Multilatinas are also aggressively lev- inflow
mary destinations for multilatinas’ eraging acquisitions to support their
international operations; 53 percent, overseas expansion. From January 4. In this section, we compare multilatinas
49 percent, and 42 percent of multi- 1998 through September 2008 they with MNCs based in other RDEs and listed
latinas are active in these locations, concluded 312 outbound M&A deals, in The 2009 BCG 100 New Global Challengers:
How Companies from Rapidly Developing
respectively. Brazilian multilatinas of which Mexican companies ac- Economies Are Contending for Global Leader-
are generally more focused on South counted for 153 and Brazilian com- ship, BCG report, January 2009, available at
American countries, and Mexican panies accounted for 98, or 80 per- www.bcg.com/publications.
multilatinas concentrate on markets cent of all deals. Multilatinas’ 5. For a complete list of publications in
BCG’s Collateral Damage series or informa-
in the United States. MNCs from In- outbound M&A activity grew partic- tion about how to obtain copies, please visit
dia and China have focused primar- ularly strongly from 2003, when they our Web site at www.bcg.com/publications.

T  BCG M 


◊ Optimize financial structure, im- ◊ Adapt product portfolio and pric- should soon be in position to take
proving the balance sheet by de- ing approaches advantage of the current crisis and
fining appropriate financial lever- continue to grow. For these compa-
age, and securing financing ◊ Reassess investments and divest nies, opportunities arising from the
noncore businesses crisis include acquiring discounted
◊ Improve cost and organizational assets, outperforming weakened
efficiency, streamlining the organi- ◊ Improve risk management by competitors, creating new capabili-
zation by delayering, increasing carefully controlling market, busi- ties, and envisioning new options.
spans of control, consolidating ness, and operational risks
and centralizing functions, and In contrast, highly leveraged compa-
discontinuing low-value-adding Fortunately, most multilatinas have nies will have to retrench and focus
functions low leverage ratios: 60 percent have on restructuring their balance sheets
ratios of net debt to earnings before and may become victims of the cri-
◊ Manage the top line aggressively interest, taxes, depreciation, and sis. To benefit fully from these op-
through customer retention initia- amortization (EBITDA) that are low- portunities, multilatinas can draw on
tives and by managing credit to er than 2, and for 73 percent, such the lessons they learned—and the
customers ratios are lower than 3. So they capabilities they developed—during

Exhibit 5. The 2009 BCG Multilatinas Operate Mainly in the Americas


but Also Far Beyond the Region

The number of multilatinas with foreign operations in each region, by home country, 2007

North America Europe


25 21
19 8
2 1 1
2 2 3 51 33
Brazil Chile Others
Brazil Chile Others Mexico Argentina
Mexico Argentina
22 Home country
Home country
24 12
Central America Asia
11 86 14
6
5 2 4 3 3
2 1 1
Brazil Chile Others Africa Brazil Chile Others
Mexico Argentina Mexico Argentina
8
Home country 1 2 1 Home country

South America and Mexico Brazil Chile Others


Mexico Argentina
29 Oceania
21 Home country 4
20 2

7 9 Brazil Chile Others


Mexico Argentina

Brazil Chile Others Home country


Mexico Argentina
Home country

Sources: Press search; companies’ Web sites and annual reports; BCG analysis.
Note: A company that has investments in more than one country in a region is counted only once; “others” includes Colombia, El Salvador, Peru, and
Venezuela.

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the early phases of their internation- of flag planting and empire building, ◊ Turning local engineering into
alization experience. multilatinas need to define a consis- global advantage
tent approach for their international
Lessons and Capabilities for the expansion, identifying core capabili- Embraer, for example, was able to
Future. BCG has worked closely ties that they can leverage and repli- turn local engineering into global ad-
with a number of multilatinas across cate to establish a winning strategy. vantage by developing a training pro-
the region to support their interna- Core capabilities for internationaliza- gram that allowed it to produce
tional expansion. In our view, the some 150 highly trained engineers
valuable lessons learned in the Value creation discipline each year. Over time, this program
course of that experience can pro- created a strong competitive advan-
requires taking risks
vide a sound basis for a strategic tage based on high-quality engineer-
agenda. The lessons themselves ap- and penetrating new ing and ingenious design solutions,
pear deceptively simple: build in val- markets—even at which Embraer was able to leverage
ue creation discipline; define an in- to grow internationally, targeting a
ternational growth strategy and lowered profitability. specific competitive space in midsize
philosophy around core capabilities; jets. Embraer also identified key
monitor global markets, and plan the tion include the ability to make ac- players to partner with in Asia, Cana-
evolution of the company’s interna- quisitions quickly or in rapid suc- da, Europe, and the United States,
tional footprint; manage timing care- cession; innovative operational, thus enhancing the company’s global
fully; and create and replicate organizational, or business models; reputation and pool of knowledge.
capabilities to enable sustainable in- efficient and replicable processes;
ternational growth. low-cost operations, from supply As a result, the company emerged
chains to distribution networks; from near bankruptcy to become the
Build in value creation discipline. A brand management; partnership third-largest player in the airline in-
disciplined approach to value cre- skills; and trained talent with inter- dustry and the world’s leading sup-
ation is a crucial requirement for suc- national experience and ambition. plier of jets that have up to 120 seats.
cess. It requires strategic perspective, Its newest commercial jets are in op-
quantitative rigor, and a strong align- Leveraging and extending the com- eration in more than 45 airline com-
ment of management processes, per- parative advantages of a company’s panies in more than 30 countries,
formance metrics, and incentives home country is a good starting and the company’s backlog of orders
with value creation goals. BCG has point, as is evident in multilatinas’ is worth some $20 billion.
supported several leading multilati- industry concentrations. But multi-
nas’ achievement of this discipline latinas oen go beyond their initial Monitor global markets, and plan the
through comprehensive value-man- home-country focus to leverage com- evolution of the company’s internation-
agement and investor-relations pro- petitive advantages by exploring var- al footprint. Deciding which regions
grams. As discussed above, value cre- ious growth models, including: and markets to explore and target
ation requires profitable growth and for expansion is a significant chal-
a disposition to take risks and pene- ◊ Rolling out new business models lenge. Leading multilatinas develop
trate new markets—even when do- to multiple markets and constantly monitor detailed
ing so may lower profitability.6 It is
critical to ensure that the interna- ◊ Acquiring natural resources
6. A recent BCG international survey indi-
tionalization path has a solid ratio- cated that even in the midst of the current
nale and execution, for example, by ◊ Monetizing local natural resources crisis, investors are willing to pay a premium
defining and tracking clear synergy globally for companies that offer long-term strategic
advantage and good prospects for growth.
targets for each acquisition. (This is based on 135 responses of profes-
◊ Taking local brands global sional investors and equity analysts in the
Define an international growth strategy United States and Europe, responsible for
more than $60 billion in assets under man-
and philosophy around core capabili- ◊ Assuming global category lead- agement covering a wide range of industries
ties. In order to avoid the temptations ership and regions.)

T  BCG M 


competitive maps of the global land- The governments of both countries a company’s competitive position,
scape, evaluate strategic rationales could further support the process for example, by acquiring assets or
and approaches for entry into specif- through trade and investment agree- setting up partnerships in foreign
ic markets, and identify and track ments. markets at attractive valuations.
potential acquisition targets. They
link opportunities with their capabil- América Móvil offers a good exam- Brazil-based Gerdau, the leading
ities and objectives. They also evalu- ple of a company that successfully manufacturer of long steel in the
ate competitors’ positions and appar- Americas, has a history of choosing
ent strategies to identify possible Multilatinas would structurally attractive targets that
moves and their likely implications were either underperforming rela-
do well to explore
for competitive dynamics. tive to their potential or having eco-
international expansion nomic difficulties.7 The company
In our view, as multilatinas evaluate opportunities within achieved credibility in the eyes of in-
possible next steps in their interna- vestors not only by timing its series
tional expansion, they would do well Latin America. of takeovers very carefully but also
to explore opportunities within Latin by turning around and boosting pro-
America. Not only has the region suf- developed a regional footprint in the ductivity in its plants, leading to an
fered relatively mild effects from the wireless segment to compete with impressive ten-year TSR of 38 per-
current crisis, but it is also expected Spanish multinational Telefónica. cent per year ( June 30, 1999, through
to recover sooner than developed Formed in 2000 as a result of a June 30, 2009), despite the recent
countries. Moreover, securing core spinoff from Telmex (Teléfonos de global turmoil.
markets is key to successful expan- México), América Móvil was a Mexi-
sion strategies, and Latin American co-based company with very small Create and replicate capabilities to en-
countries constitute “natural” mar- operations in Ecuador, Guatemala, able sustainable international growth.
kets for multilatinas because of cul- and the United States. Over the next Some capabilities are critical for
tural and geographical proximity as few years, the company made a players seeking to internationalize
well as established trade agreements. number of well-planned acquisitions their businesses. To benefit from op-
in Latin America to become the portunities for growth through acqui-
It is interesting that although Brazil third-largest wireless-telecommunica- sitions and to succeed as serial ac-
and Mexico are the region’s two larg- tions provider in the world, with op- quirers, multilatinas need both M&A
est markets, only 35 percent of multi- erations in 18 countries. In this proc- and postmerger integration capabili-
latinas from other countries have op- ess, the company grew from 10.1 ties. They also need strengths in cre-
erations in Brazil and 39 percent in million to 182.7 million subscribers, ating international organizations, in-
Mexico. Notably, only 38 percent of of whom Mexican users represent cluding structures and processes, so
Brazilian multilatinas have ventured only 31 percent (a decline from more that they can adapt flexibly to the
into Mexico, while only 43 percent of than 88 percent in 2000). challenges and specifics of each
Mexican multilatinas are present in phase of growth.
Brazil. Yet there are persuasive rea- Manage timing carefully. Choosing the
sons for multilatinas—and other right timing for expansion moves— Some companies develop teams of
companies—to explore opportunities and particularly for acquisitions— “missionaries” who are responsible
in both countries. Brazil presents can make the difference between for spearheading entry into new
unique growth opportunities that success and failure. Companies that markets and replicating capabilities
can be valuable for companies in have a clear endgame vision can use and cultures. Brazilian bus maker
view of the current depressed condi- time to their benefit, choosing the Marcopolo, for example, has devel-
tion of the U.S. market; and Mexico, right moment to advance and adapt-
of course, offers the advantage of ing their approaches to market con- 7. “Long steel” includes steel products, such
serving as a rehearsal stage for sub- ditions. Economic crises such as the as reinforcing bars and wire rods, used in
civil-engineering projects (including con-
sequent entry into the adjacent U.S. current one typically present un- struction and railroads) and various indus-
market once that economy recovers. equaled opportunities to strengthen trial applications.

 T B C G


oped a process to make sure that it operating model to a more decen- to do so by the lure of growth-based
succeeds when it enters a new mar- tralized and dynamic network. opportunities for value creation and
ket. The company has a group of key by the desire to use the competitive
executives responsible for building Finally, the company’s basic business advantages they have been develop-
and developing new factories in for- model, together with all its opera- ing, which they can replicate abroad.
eign countries. These executives tions, must be scalable and flexible But they will also be pushed to do so
have both know-how and a struc- so that the company can adapt to the by the fact that foreign MNCs will in-
tured method to ensure that a new internationalization process as need- creasingly target their home markets.
facility is up and running as fast as ed. For example, Nemak, a Mexico-
possible, the local employees are based automotive supplier, has While some multilatinas will be ac-
hired, and the right local suppliers achieved extraordinary growth over quired, others will emerge and take
and partners are selected. Once the the past 17 years by focusing on de- their places. Most will remain region-
job is done, the group moves on to veloping and replicating complex al contenders, continuing to operate
another challenge in a new market technical capabilities in aluminum and perhaps expand within Latin
or returns to headquarters. castings. During that period, Nemak America, more fully realizing the op-
expanded its footprint through both portunities of this promising region.
It is also critically important to be organic moves and acquisitions, from Others will follow the lessons
able to manage talent effectively operating only in Mexico to operat- learned by multilatinas during the
across frontiers. This capability en- ing in 13 countries. early phases of their international
tails adopting not just new human- expansion and will build core capa-
resources approaches and policies Looking Ahead. We expect that af- bilities that can be replicated to sus-
but a whole new global mindset. In ter a period of relative retrenchment, tain growth, becoming—as Cemex,
many cases, that mindset requires a multilatinas will resume their inter- Embraer, and Vale, for example, al-
shi from a headquarters-centered national growth. They will be pulled ready are—global contenders.

T  BCG M 


About the Authors Acknowledgments Jean Le Corre
Marcos Aguiar is a senior partner The authors would like to gratefully Partner and Managing Director
and managing director in the São acknowledge the substantive contri- lecorre.jean@bcg.com
Paulo office of The Boston Consult- butions to this report made by other
ing Group. You may contact him by BCG partners across Latin America, André Xavier
e-mail at aguiar.marcos@bcg.com. whose names and offices are listed Partner and Managing Director
below. They would also like to thank xavier.andre@bcg.com
Jorge Becerra is a senior partner their colleagues Jonathas Alverne,
and managing director in the firm’s Maurício Battistella, Arindam Bhat- Mexico
Buenos Aires and Santiago offices. tacharya, Daniela Bouissou, Leandro Jose Guevara
You may contact him by e-mail at Caldeira, Silmara Costa, Renato Partner and Managing Director
becerra.jorge@bcg.com. Cordeiro, Fernando Garcia-Puig, Jim guevara.jose@bcg.com
Hemerling, Kim Wee Koh, Debora
Jesús de Juan is a senior partner Mayer, Thiago Miskulin, Federica Roland Löhner
and managing director in BCG’s Padilla, Aidê Resende, Simon Targett, Senior Partner and Managing Director
Mexico City and Monterrey offices. Andrew Tratz, Juliana Turner, and loehner.roland@bcg.com
You may contact him by e-mail at Bernd Waltermann for their valuable
jesus.dejuan@bcg.com. contributions to this report. Finally,
they would like to thank Kathleen For inquiries about the Global Ad-
Eduardo León is a partner and man- Lancaster for her help in the writ- vantage practice, please contact one
aging director in the firm’s Monter- ing of the report and Barry Adler, of the global leaders of the practice:
rey office. You may contact him by Katherine Andrews, Gary Callahan,
e-mail at leon.eduardo@bcg.com. Angela DiBattista, Elyse Friedman, Arindam Bhattacharya
and Trudy Neuhaus for their contri- Partner and Managing Director
Gustavo Nieponice is a partner and butions to its editing, design, and pro- BCG New Delhi
managing director in BCG’s duction. bhattacharya.arindam@bcg.com
Buenos Aires and Santiago offices.
You may contact him by e-mail at Jim Hemerling
nieponice.gustavo@bcg.com. Senior Partner and Managing Director
For Further Contact BCG San Francisco
Ignacio Peña is a partner and man- BCG’s Global Advantage practice hemerling.jim@bcg.com
aging director in the firm’s São Paulo sponsored this Focus. If you would
office. You may contact him by e- like to discuss the issues in this Fo- Bernd Waltermann
mail at pena.ignacio@bcg.com. cus, please contact one of the au- Senior Partner and Managing Director
thors or BCG’s other partners based BCG Singapore
Michele Pikman is a project leader in the firm’s offices throughout Latin waltermann.bernd@bcg.com
in BCG’s São Paulo office. You may America.
contact her by e-mail at
pikman.michele@bcg.com. Argentina and Chile
Rodrigo Rivera
Masao Ukon is a principal in the Partner and Managing Director
firm’s São Paulo office. You may rivera.rodrigo@bcg.com
contact him by e-mail at
ukon.masao@bcg.com. Brazil
Olavo Cunha
Partner and Managing Director
cunha.olavo@bcg.com

 T B C G


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