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Population Proportion
( 1 Sample Test)
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A Summary of Forms for Null and Alternative
Hypotheses About a Population Proportion
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The equality part of the hypotheses always appears
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in the null hypothesis.
n In general, a hypothesis test about the value of a
population proportion p must take one of the
following three forms (where p0 is the hypothesized
value of the population proportion).
H 0 : p ³ p0 H 0 : p £ p0 H 0 : p = p0
H a : p < p0 H a : p > p0 H a : p ¹ p0
Slide 2
Tests About a Population Proportion
n Test Statistic
p - p0
z=
sp
where:
p0 (1 - p0 )
M sp =
an
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assuming np > 5 and n(1 – p) > 5
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Tests About a Population Proportion
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n Rejection Rule: Critical Value Approach C
H0: p < p0 Reject H0 if z > za (1-tailed Upper)
Slide 4
Test About a
Population Proportion
n Example: National Safety Council
For a Christmas and New Year’s week, the
National Safety Council estimated that
500 people would be killed and 25,000
injured on the nation’s roads. The
NSC claimed that 50% of the
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accidents would be caused by
an
drunk driving.
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Test About a
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Population Proportion
n Example: National Safety Council
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A sample of 120 accidents showed that
67 were caused by drunk driving. Use
these data to test the NSC’s claim with
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a = .05.
Slide 6
Test About a
Population Proportion
n Critical Value Approaches
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3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
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p0 (1 - p0 ) .5(1 - .5)
sp = = = .045644
n 120
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a common
error is using p - p0 (67 /120) - .5
p in this z= = = 1.28
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formula sp .045644
Slide 7
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Two-Tailed Test About a
Population Proportion
n Critical Value Approach
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4. Determine the critical value and rejection rule,
And Determine whether to reject H0.
Slide 8
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean:
s Known
n Using Z-Table
Sampling
distribution
of z = x - m 0 1.28
s/ n
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Reject H0 Do Not Reject H0 Reject H0
an z
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-1.96 0 1.96
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Because 1.278 > -1.96 and < 1.96, we cannot reject H0.
Slide 9
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Two-Tailed Test About a
Population Proportion
n Critical Value Approach
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5. Conclusion C
Because we cannot reject H0 (1.278 > -1.96 and < 1.96)
Claim of NSC is right, that 50% of the accidents
would be caused by drunk driving.
Slide 10
Conclusion
M
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C