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Research Paper Aviation 3
Research Paper Aviation 3
Abstract—Intense drone traffic, exceeding human capabilities about 140 000 citizens, one central airport, and low-height
of manual control, is expected to occur during the last stage of buildings. As a contrast case, we also discuss a city with 3.2
Unified Traffic Management (UTM) and Unmanned Airspace million inhabitants, one central airport, and high-rise building,
System (UAS) service deployment in cities. In this paper, we for which traffic simulation is currently being developed.
discuss how humans and automation could collaborate to manage
this airspace. We review theory on options for UTM airspace The European U4 stage (step 4 in the foreseen
structure (volumes, points, networks, layers), machine learning, development) of drone traffic services is predicted to be the
optimization, and human-automation collaboration. Based on most profitable stage, with a focus on cities.
simulation and visualization of two cities, we discuss four
abilities: to discern traffic patterns, to recognize situations, to
Each U step builds upon the previous one. While U1 and
predict situational developments, and to function in varying U2 are organization and structure for basic information needs
conditions of rule-following habits of airspace users. We then and the interactions are on a rudimentary level. The U1 / U2
discuss the challenge of collaborating though the use of advanced system support are supporting initial autonomy whereas U3
visual dashboards, for human-in-the loop AI but also for society- and U4 benefit from technology; Artificial Intelligence (AI),
in-the-loop. Finally, we discuss how the challenge of human- aeronautical information management (AIM), and smart
automation collaboration can be expected to shift, as the algorithms. Autonomy and high level of automation will cater
capabilities of the machine increases. for efficiency and safety related to the usage of airspace and
consequently impact on the conventional Air Traffic
Keywords— Unified Traffic Management; Urban Traffic Management (ATM) services.
Management; UTM; Deep Learning; Optimization; Traffic
management; Airspace design; Airspace management; Human- Key distinguishing characteristics of the U4 [2] stage from
automation collaboration; HMI; Interface design; Cognitive Work previous stages include increased traffic intensity and
Analysis; complexity as well as increased ground risk. This means that
some simplification that are useful in U1-U3 cannot be
I. INTRODUCTION assumed to hold for U4 solutions. Examples of simplifications
that do not apply to U4 include (1) to always exclusively
AI-assistance and automated (e.g. optimization) tools are a reserve airspace for single drones or mission operators (shared
pre-requisite for intense city drone traffic management. To airspace is required), (2) to always avoid drones over people
assess future issues, a drone traffic simulation was developed (safe trajectories over populated areas are required) and (3) to
and used in a workshop series with domain stakeholders to assume that there is always plenty of space (congestion
explore future concepts for Unified Traffic Management hotspots will instead emerge).
(UTM). Previous studies [1] has showed that using basic
airspace structures (e.g., geofencing) to resolve first-order When services mature as a consequence of technological
issues (e.g., the need to enclose traffic or keep it out), second- developments and regulations, services such as the transport of
order issues emerge (e.g., congestion around geofence edges). people will be undoubtedly a reality and will most likely need
These new issues require new interventions. The intervention to operate at altitudes around 2000 feet in order to minimize
tasks could be manual or automated. In this paper, we discuss the noise footprint. In many city areas, there is an airport in the
how humans and automation could collaborate in AI- assisted vicinity, which means that the airspace might be the limiting
city UTM. factor for providing services in these urban environments and
in particular if the altitudes exceed very low levels. Hence, the
Since there is currently no intense city drone traffic to integration of airspace users (whether they are manned,
study, we use a simulation as the point of departure. As a basis unmanned or fully autonomous) points at an argument for an
for our analysis, we use simulated drone traffic over a city with integration of ATM/AIM/UTM services.
This paper was supported by an internal funding from the University of Sharjah
through the project number 1702040585-P, and supported by the Swedish
Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems (VINNOVA).
XXX-X-XXXX-XXXX-X/XX/$XX.00 ©20XX IEEE
II. CASES
Since no intense city drone traffic existed in the cities
involved in this study, an interactive traffic simulation and
visualization was developed. This enables exploration of
potential solutions and traffic situations, of UTM as a first-of-
a-kind system [1, 3]. To design and evaluate solutions, a triple
helix approach was used, where experts from academia worked
together with domain stakeholders. In particular, with air traffic
management experts, and regulatory experts, but also with
experts in related areas (e.g. drone hardware).
The simulation allows exploration of solution ideas, and
side-effects, and provides common ground for discussion. In Fig. 2. Congestion at geofence corners, close-up. Background generated
the simulation, extremes can be tested, such as the minimal from GSD-Ortofoto25 and GSD-Höjddata, grid 2+ © Lantmäteriet.
airport geofences in Figures 1 and 4. Further, future services
can be explored and their impact can be assessed, see e.g. the The system used in this case study consists of a drone
service locations in Figure 5 and the traffic patterns in Figures traffic simulator, with services dispatching drones to perform
1-3. These thus do not reflect current rules/regulation, but by tasks, and a touch-table interface with visualization, statistics
placing them in the simulation, we can observe/measure some and interaction support. See [3] for more details on the design
effects that these designs and conditions for traffic could have. of the system and the traffic scenarios for Norrköping. As
shown in Figures 1-3, lines represent the drone trajectories,
For this study, two cities were selected. Firstly, the city of while the current drone altitudes are indicated by different
Norrköping (140 000 inhabitants) in Sweden was selected, colors. In addition, spheres indicate the drone positions. Light
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shading of selected areas indicate the presence of geofences in III. DRONE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT
these areas. CONCEPTS OF OPERATION
axi
Point- Separation of individual moving volumes, e.g. by
based direct control, by setting constraints on
on eT 1.Aerodrome
6. Dr
4. Delivery
ction
3.Inspe
2Agriculture Layers complication of controlling/monitoring
6. DroneTaxi movement between/through layers
Fig. 5. Potential service locations, used for simulation development. Vertical volume slices, e.g. sub-dividing volumes
Grids
into a grid of increasingly smaller volumes
B. Traffic patterns
When combining drone usage (e.g. high-density
commercial services, leisure use), with airspace elements
(Table II), traffic patterns (Figure 1-3) emerge. In Figure 1, for
instance, direct point-to-point traffic is used (going around
geofences). We see that the delivery from a warehouse at the
top of the figure results in a characteristic “fan” pattern of
traffic.
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We also see the effect on traffic of a minimal airport 3. Global Detect and Avoid (D&A) “pushing” traffic off-
geofence in Figure 1 (another geofence example is shown in track, into geofences. (geofences together with
Figure 4). These geofences are drawn to be as small as possible algorithm for detect-and-avoid).
around the airport movements for the respective cities, by
ATM experts in the respective areas. Depending on the 4. Drones viloating geofenced areas (e.g. new geofences
effectiveness of the UTM system in actually controlling the together with pre-existing traffic that is slow to move
traffic, or due to other separation requirements, the geofence out).
may need to be larger. There could also be fences-within-
fences, allowing some traffic closer to the airport, and other The UTM system thus needs to monitor and manage both new
traffic further away. (perhaps surprising) and known (perhaps accurately
anticipated) secondary effects, as structures change, and as
Figure 2 illustrates a key issue reported in [1], congested traffic changes over time.
geofence corners. In Figure 3, we see another issue reported in
[1], e.g. conflicting intense traffic. In Figure 3, the rightmost IV. THEORY
hub delivers goods to the area to the left – across the leftmost
hub that delivers goods to the area to the right. This leads to A. Human-Automation Collaboration
two conflicting delivery fan patterns. Automation is often seen as a progression from low to high
Figure 5 shows some potential service locations that are levels of automation (LOA) [8]. The various variants of LOA
used for simulation development. Since the Dubai area in industry and academia mainly vary regarding the number of
contains high-rise buildings, for this area, route networks (over levels used. The main principle of all LOA taxonomies is
roads, between buildings) are considered a central part of the however the same, with all functions allocated to humans at the
solution. Lines indicate the shortest point-to-point paths, actual lowest level (manual control) and all functions allocated to the
routes will be longer, following the road network. machine at the highest level (full automation).
A wide range of well-known problems [9-11] are however
C. Event Horizon associated with high levels of automation in safety-critical
The event horizon of current operations consist of the domains, designed with a “black box” approach that excludes
currently moving drones and what is known about their the human. For instance, automation surprise, where the
planned movements. This also includes any temporal automation produces puzzling and sometimes fatal situations,
characteristics on current structures, e.g. current geofences that in some cases with humans wrestling for system control with
will expire. automation.
Regarding planned operations, this includes both what is With high levels of automation, we thus need to consider
planned to depart in the short run (e.g. a taxi has been ordered the case when planning is allocated to the machine in the LOA
for immediate dispatch) and what is planned in the long run taxonomies. In this case, we need to consider how humans
(e.g. package deliveries that are known a longer time in could and should work together with automation.
advance, perhaps hours or even days before departure). This This can be addressed from human-centric perspective
also includes pre-planned structures such as geofences. known as cognitive systems engineering (CSE) [12-14]. The
When it comes to expected traffic, there are various sources CSE perspective is particularly well- suited, since it is based on
of expectations. One source may be previous traffic in similar human control of real-time processes, and has been applied in
situations. Another source may be the reservation of airspace numerous safety-critical domains. The CSE perspective
capacity for specific kinds of services (e.g. reserving the addresses granularity of control, from “hands-on” contextual
capacity to deliver 100 packages during one hour in a specific action-oriented control based on demands of the immediate
area, but without planning specific deliveries or specific route situation, to “hands-off” high level control based on long-term
plans at the time of the reservation). goals and targets. We use a basic level structure that has
previously been used for UTM [3].
D. Side-effects of combining structural elements and traffic For UTM, a central concern, initially addressed in [3], is to
patterns decide on what cognitive control level(s) humans work, versus
Previous work [1] has also identified side-effects of putting at what levels of autonomy that automated systems work.
various components together into an airspace structure with air For instance, an emergency transport situation, that requires
traffic patterns (partially shaped by the movements required by a traffic management intervention to get it through as quickly
drone services and partially shaped by the airspace structure as possible (level 6). The system then needs to set/alter goals
itself): for emergency transports (level 5), change or measure actual
1. Congestion, e.g. around geofence edges or at corners airspace goal priorities/qualities (level 4); decide on the types
(geofences together with traffic patterns). of plans, functions, airspace object types (Table 1) used to
make room for the drone (level 3); decide how they are
2. Long routes, resulting from the need to go around large implemented (level 2), implementing them through resources
geofences such as those around airports near or in that are available to the system (level 1).
cities (geofences together with traffic patterns).
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What aspects of this process are then automated? Does the capacity [15] and noise [16]. Does the human then set a
automation monitor the human, or does the human monitor the congestion limit (level 4), with the automation then adjusting
automation? What aspects are done collaboratively versus
being assigned to human or automation? At what levels traffic accordingly (levels 1-3)? Or does the automation display
could/should human operators be able to monitor automation both the current and desired congestion limit (level 4), and the
and intervene? human adjusts the traffic (levels 1-3)?
Taking another example, we can consider the division of To collaborate with automation, to monitor, to adjust
work in an UTM system with automated sub-systems, where automation thus requires automation to have leverage points
the human has the ultimate responsibility for managing and transparency at various levels, which can e.g. be designed
airspace quality (level 6, generic approach, relying extensively through an approach called ecological interface design, EID
on level 4 control), considering process goals such as airspace [17]
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C. Optimization earlier, also has to do with events in the city life such as
As mentioned earlier, for cities with high-rise buildings, the community events. Hence, an AI solution must be able to
suggested airspace design includes layers and grids within the process data, not only from the drones per se, but also variables
layers. The idea is to use two layers with two different altitudes related to the city’s social life and pulse. For AI to be effective
and two potential speeds for the drones. In addition, the grid here, needed is a multiparameter model of social city events
system includes a conflict-free intersection system. and the “rhythm” of the city. Such a model must include
patterns on human social living during different time-periods,
One of the major potential services that the proposed weekends and religious ceremonials/events such as periods of
approach focuses on is related to parcel deliveries. The changed daytime eating. Knowledge of these social patterns
approach assumes that for a fixed planning horizon, such as 24 will be crucial to predict and plan the city airspace. Visualizing
hours, the transport demand is known, in terms of the these traffic patterns in real time as well as showing predictive
quantities to be transported and their corresponding origins future traffic patterns, and social patterns will be key as well as
(such as warehouses) and destinations. In addition, given the finding suitable GUI solutions for this. Hence, since the above
grid structure of the airspace, Manhattan distance is used to is contextual, such a model must be developed for the specific
determine the shortest distance between every pair of points in city.
the network. The demands, the distances, the initial battery
levels of the drones (autonomy) and the drone carrying B. Recognizing situations
capacities are then used to determine the optimal points and
their sequence of visit for each drone, i.e. its optimal route, as It is likely that ATCOs will need attentional support to
well as the quantities to be delivered by each drone. Different identify different situations and traffic patterns. Typically, and
priorities for the transport demand can be assumed, which from a technical standpoint, ML approaches are, at present,
corresponds to the common practice in the delivery industry. better at identifying common patterns in a stream of data than
the opposite, which is, finding rarer events and outliers. Hence,
The problem formulation is inspired by the existing works in
the literature [21-24]. It is modelled using integer programming traditional ML analysis engines can be used to identify
and solved using the CPLEX solver for small size instances common traffic patterns that may or may not need special
and a heuristic approach for large size instances. attention from the ATCO to be resolved. However, needed also
is attentional support to find unusual events and trends out of
Given the structure of airspace, although the shortest the ordinary. There are approaches to this problem such as
distance between every two points in the network is unique, autoencoder neural networks and long-short term memory
this shortest distance may correspond to more than one neural networks (LSTMs) that can detect anomalies and that
possible route. Therefore, once the sequence of visit of the perform well in detecting complex relationships in
delivery points is known for one drone, choosing the route multiparameter time-series data. Nevertheless, important is that
(path) to follow in order to go from any point in the solution to the chosen approach can provide adequate information for the
the following point in the sequence requires further processing. ATCO to act on, such as providing information on which
neural input variables and metrics that are the significant
After pre-processing the optimization problem, the factors in a classification or a prediction.
obtained solutions, including the sequence of visits for each
drone, the timings, and the quantities, are then transferred to
the simulation system to be visualized. C. Predict development of situations over time
In highly automated control environments it is important
V. DISCUSSION : HUMAN-IN-THE-LOOP-AI that the operator can form a view of possible future states. It is
also important, for the operator, to assess capabilities and
In the following section, we discuss how humans and shortages in the automation per se. One solution for UTM,
automation could collaborate to manage the UTM airspace. We could be predictive displays that shows future traffic
first discuss four abilities: to discern traffic patterns, to developments and also provides simulation capability. With
recognize situations, to predict situational developments, and to such a feature, the operator could – as part of operations – test
function in varying conditions of rule-following habits of different traffic/city configurations and evaluate the outcomes
airspace users. We then discuss the challenge of collaborating and, in effect, understand relationship between automation
though the use of advanced visual dashboards, for human-in- predictions and actual outcomes. Additionally, this approach
the loop AI but also for society-in-the-loop. Finally, we discuss would also be a source for a supervised ML algorithm to get
how the challenge of human-automation collaboration can be operator input – closing the learning feedback loop in the
expected to shift, as the capabilities of the machine increases. system.
A. Discern traffic patterns In addition, predicting the traffic status in order to detect
some situations requiring the attention of the ATCO can be
Spatio-temporal traffic patterns will be important to done by combining optimization of traffic routing with
monitor, identify and manage such as congested geofence simulation. As described earlier, an interface can allow the
corners or varying high-intensity local traffic during lunch users to input the problem parameters, such as selecting on a
hours. An AI-algorithm needs to identify and predict these map the locations of the delivery points using a touch screen,
patterns timely for the supervisory ATCO to act since better which allows the system to determine their coordinates. An
control can be achieved resolving negative traffic patterns interactive interface may allow the user to input the other
preemptively (event horizon). The problem, as discussed required information. The acquired input information is then
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sent to be processed by the optimization system and the results divided into different zones, each having different properties.
are visualized. As mentioned earlier, a further processing may This could, for example, be controlled changes in altitudes,
allow to use the optimization results to distribute the traffic on speeds etc. By simultaneously visualizing KPIs for several
the network so that the imbalance in the traffic density may be regions, one could facilitate the decision-making process by
minimized. This approach allows to test the impact on hot getting a quick overview of differences and similarities
spots such as the corners of geofences and to visualize this between the regions which can facilitate the decision-making
impact. Using this approach in an on/off mode may allow to process.
determine the resulting situations of traffic and the effect of
For predictive analysis using ML approaches, dashboards
using this approach on the traffic density in general.
could be an effective tool in order to present a quick overview
Moreover, in case a new geofence is created dynamically, of current and future scenarios. Dashboards that present
while the implementation of the results is being visualized, relevant KPIs for different predictions can then be used to
then a post-processing algorithm is needed in order to take the interactively modify the simulation and in this way help the
coordinates of this area, from the user, and to re-route the operator to find the “best” solution.
traffic that was supposed to cross the newly geofenced area
To address the above challenges, it would not be sufficient
without considering the other traffic outside the geofence.
with traditional dashboards with simple bar charts or line
Another point that is worth mentioning here, is that some graphs. Focus will instead be on more complex representations
traffic management rules are to be considered in the airspace such as theme river [26], space-time cube [27] and parallel
design, such as the rules to avoid conflicts especially at the coordinates [28], which will be modified to meet the specific
intersections of the grid. Using these policies may also have an tasks. In particular, a 3D version of parallel coordinates has
impact on the traffic situations especially at certain points in been found to be efficient in identifying temporal patterns [29].
the network and are worth investigation.
Since the application is designed for a touch table an
The final barrier to protect against having conflictual additional challenge is to design intuitive touch-based
situations is the use of the detect-and-avoid technology. The interaction techniques for dashboards.
use of this technology appears to be necessary in the grid arcs
where two drones are following each other, but also at the F. Society-in-the-loop
intersection points especially for two flows of drones which are The perspective of society-in-the-loop that evolves from the
going to merge into one. human-in-the-loop approach is a natural step in the
implementation of services in particular for urban
D. Uniqueness of patterns and situations environments. The urban environment will be different, the
Since UTM is contextual and dynamic, each city operator need for transport and monitoring of areas, people, traffic and
may need to train ML nets to suit the local and situational developments will still be there but the services will be carried
demands. This is both due to variations in what services that out differently and especially supported by automation. Views
are being used, and due to priorities by drone operators. will vary, but the people and society’s need, expectations and
worries must be addressed. The interactive visualization
Although all drone operators should prioritize rules first, presented in this paper used for a human / society-in-the-loop
some may nevertheless decide to perform their own assessment exercises may become a best practice for the implementation of
of situations (and sometimes then disregard rules), while others U3/4 services and beyond. What is clear is that there is a huge
may go one step further and do what they themselves believe need for citizens, regulators, city planners and decision makers
that they have the right to do. This creates uncertainty and to have a pre view of the possible future developments. The
unpredictability in the system. Such behavior may over time idea of using an advanced dashboard may not only facilitate
evolve into habits and may even become a cultural or sub- UTM operations, but also to society-in-the loop.
cultural factor, re-introducing a degree of predictability.
However, variations between cultures/habits between
cities/areas and over time, nevertheless reduce the G. Man - Intelligent Machine interface modes Current and
generalizability between areas/times of trained ML nets. Future Issues:
UTM involves additional challenges beyond the usual ones
E. The challenge of designing visual dashboards in managing manned aviation. Dealing with both types of
Aerial Vehicles; UAV’s and manned aircraft, simultaneously,
The complexity of managing and controlling hundreds, or
adds more complexity, requirements and features to the already
even thousands of simultaneously moving UAVs is a complex
challenging air traffic management field. One such easy,
task that could be facilitated by interactive information
though, not efficient way to handle the complexity is
visualization, so called dashboards. Visualization is a proven
geofencing and/or separation between the two types of
technique for conveying large, complex and temporal data sets,
aviation. Regardless, the fact remains that in UTM both man
as well as for translating these into applicable knowledge [25].
and intelligent machine(s), whether controlling a UAV or
In this particular area this is a challenging task due to several
managing the traffic space (in the future), have to work side by
reasons. Real-time data is particularly difficult to comprehend
side.
by humans due to our bad memory when tracking multiple
moving objects. Hence, developing interactive dashboards for “Two heads are better than one” that was the title of a
such data is not an easy task, especially if the airspace is keynote speech of Herbert Simon in the opening of
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ORSA/TIMS Conference in Miami October 1986, later he That is one reason why override control of intelligent machines
published a paper with the same title in Interface [30]. The two is a challenge that need to be further researched, especially in
heads Simon referred to were Operations Research and AI. The the UTM domain, to develop the optimal arrangements or
same phrase still holds true, however, the two heads for UTM alternative solutions.
are Man and Intelligent Machine. It is evident that teaming
Humans are expected to gain more intelligence, skills and
between the cognitive capabilities of man and intelligent
knowledge by interfacing with intelligent machines. This will
machines will lead to better performance that cannot be
happen in several ways, for example, humans will learn from
achieved with either one alone. Teaming between Humans and
the decisions taken by intelligent machines. At the same time,
Intelligent machine or Autonomous Machines, HAT, has been
as AI advances, intelligent agents will carry out more tasks.
considered as the way for the future [31].
Humans will carry the remaining tasks that require higher level
of cognitive abilities (otherwise it would have been
TABLE III. ISSUES AND CHALLENGES WITH automated), therefore one can expect that future workers will
DIFFERENT COMBINATIONS OF MAN AND INTELLIGENT MACHINES
have and will gain more intelligence by working with
intelligent machines.
Agent
To summarize, more developments in Man and Intelligent
Man Machine Machines integration will take place in the years to come. In
Table IV, a macro roadmap for the same is given. It is
Human errors Communication
preferably to read the table from the bottom up. The UTM field
Less efficient / less productive Takeover option is, definitely, one domain where these developments will be
Man
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