Public Policy Analysis

Joel V. Mangahas
DMF Structure
Steps in DMF Preparation
❑ Identify results (outputs and outcome) and the
causal relationships between them.
❑ Identify alignment with the broader thematic,
sector-, or country-level results (impact).
❑ Identify the external factors that could
influence success or cause failure (risks and
critical assumptions).
❑ Select indicators to measure performance,
identify baselines, and decide on targets to be
achieved.
Steps in DMF Preparation
❑ Implement activities to deliver outputs.
❑ Measure and analyze data and use them to
assess project performance (monitoring and
evaluation).
❑ Report on results achievement and make
project management decisions based on
evidence of performance.
❑ Learn about successes and failures and
integrate the lessons back into the project
cycle.
DMF Milestones
Example Results Chain
Differences between Results
Levels
Outputs tips
Outcome Tips
Activities Tips
Activities Tips
Input Tips
Tips for Measuring Quality
Quantitatively
Selecting Performance
Indicators
Targets, Performance, and
Baseline
Options for Target Setting
Options for Target Setting
Tips for Performance
Indicators
Tips for Performance
Indicators
Tips for Data Sources and
Reporting
Tips for Data Source and
Reporting
Assumptions and Risks in the
Results Chain
Assumptions vs Risks
Decision Tree for Identifying
Critical Assumptions
Risk Analysis Matrix
Mitigation Tip
Risk Tips