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CHAPTER 4
DETERMINATION OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
TO DO:
❖ 4.1 Aggregate Demand and It’s Components
❖ 4.2 Aggregate Supply and It’s Components
❖ 4.3 Consumption Demand
❖ 4.4 Consumption Function
❖ 4.4 Propensity to Consume
1. Average Propensity to Consume
2. Marginal Propensity to Consume
❖ 4.5 Savings Function
❖ 4.6 Propensity to Save
1. Average Propensity to Save
2. Marginal Propensity to Save
❖ 4.7 Relationship between MPC and MPS
❖ 4.8 Relationship between APC and APS
❖ 4.9 Investment Demand
❖ 4.8 Investment Demand
4.1 AGGREGATE DEMAND AND IT’S COMPONENTS –
4.1.1 Introduction
Aggregate demand in an economy is measured in terms of total expenditure on all the
goods and services in the economy as a whole (It is different from market demand. Market
demand refers to the demand for one commodity in the market)
Note: While measuring AD we always refer to planned expenditure (also called ex- ante
expenditure) by the people.
1) Private consumption demand (C) – It refers to the total amount of expenditure incurred
by the households on the purchase of goods and services for consumption purposes.
It is also called as the household consumption expenditure. Generally it depends on the level of
disposable income in the economy. Higher the level of disposable income higher is the private
consumption expenditure and vice versa.
2) Private Investment demand (I) - It refers to the total amount of expenditure incurred by
the private investors on currently produced capital assets/ real assets like buildings,
machines, raw materials etc. which help in production.
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Investment implies increase in the stock of capital goods or capital formation (Investment =
Capital formation) Rate of interest is the principal determinant of investment. Higher rate of
interest generally implies lower investment expenditure.
3) Government expenditure (G) – Government demand for goods and services refers to the
total amount of expenditure incurred by the government on the purchase of consumer and
capital goods to cater to the common needs of the society.
Exports refer to the demand for domestically produced goods by the rest of the world. Imports
refer to the demand by our residents for the goods produced abroad.
Accordingly, expenditure by foreigners on our goods is added to AD (or total expenditure) in the
economy, while expenditure on imports is subtracted. Thus, it is x – m (net exports) which is
added to AD.
Expenditure on imports is determined by the income level of our residents, while expenditure on
our exports is determined by the income level of the rest of the world. Relative prices (i.e. price
of exports in relation to imports) are also another determinant of net exports.
(Important Note: Keynes considers just 2 principal components of AD. According to Keynes
AD is the sum total of C and I. Keynes focused on closed economy with no exports/imports.
According to Keynes AD = C + I)
Aggregate demand depends upon the level of income. Greater the level of income, greater the
purchasing power and therefore, greater the demand. So, as the income increases, aggregate
demand tends to rise. But two things need to be noted here –
1) There is always some minimum level of demand even when income is zero. Because for
survival, we must eat something, and so demand something even when we have to
borrow from others or draw on our past savings. This is called as autonomous
consumption
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2) As income rises demand also rises, but after a particular level of income is reached
people start saving a part of their income. So the expenditure tends to lag behind the
rising income. In other words the rate at which the income increases exceeds the rate at
which expenditure increases.
Diagram
4.2.1 Introduction
According to Keynes, aggregate supply (AS) refers to aggregate production as planned by the
producers during an accounting year. It is the money value of final goods and services or
national product produced in an economy during an accounting year.
We know, production of goods and services implies ‘value addition’, and value addition implies
‘income generation’. According to National Income Accounting ‘value added and ‘income
generated’ are identical to each other. Therefore, AS also implies flow of income in the economy
during an accounting year.
We can thus define AS as flow of goods and services as planned by the producers during an
accounting year. It is identical with the flow of income during an accounting year.
According to Keynes AS is determined by (i) level of employment of resources and (ii) Level of
technology. But in short run technology remains constant. Therefore level ofemployment is
taken as the sole determinant of the level of production. In fact level of employment and
level of production are taken as identical to each other.
Keynes assumes AS to be perfectly elastic. It means that production in the economy always
adapts itself to the level of AD. If the level of AD is high, production tends to be high; if the
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level of AD is low, production tends to be low. This is possible becauseKeynes assumes that
in the economy resources are often not fully employed. So long as resources are available,
they can be employed to cope with the level of AD in the economy.
Geometrically, AS is shown as a 45 degree line from the origin. This is because, each point on
AS shows the same vertical distance as horizontal distance on X axis, showing the level of
income
45 degree line is also the line of reference showing the equality between AD (on the Y axis)
and AS (on the X axis)
Diagram
1) AS is the flow of goods and services as planned by the producers during an accounting
year. It is identical with the flow of income during an accounting year.
3) Level of employment is taken as the sole determinant of the level of production. In fact
level of employment and level of production are taken as identical to each other.
5) This is possible because Keynes assumes that in the economy resources are often not fully
employed
7) 45 degree line is the line of reference showing the equality between AD (on the Y axis) and
AS (on the X axis)
4.2.3 Components of AS –
AS implies level of income (Y) in the economy. Therefore Keynes has split AS into 2
components –
1) Consumption (C)
2) Savings (S)
AS = Y = C + S
4.3 CONSUMPTION DEMAND – Consumption demand is defined as the value of goods and
services that households are able and willing to buy at a particular time. It depends on many
variables such as price of goods and services, income, wealth, tastes and preferences, expected
income etc.
C = f (Y)
Where –
C = Consumption
_
C = Autonomous Consumption
y = Level of income
The slope of the consumption function is ‘b’. It measures the rate of change in consumption
per unit change in income (MPC)
MPC is greater than zero and less than one. MPC cannot be greater than 1 because change in
consumption cannot be more than change in income.
Break Even Point -This is the point where households’ consumption is exactly equal to income.
C = Y so saving is 0 here.
Dissaving – When households’ consumption exceeds income the households liquidate their
assets or ask for loans. This is the process of dissaving.
Give the meaning of autonomous consumption. (Delhi 2009, Foreign 2009)
Keynes in his famous psychological law of consumption states that as income increases
consumption also increases but less than proportionately. There is also some minimum level of
demand even when income is zero
The relationship between consumption and income is called as the consumption function.
Consumption function can be represented by following equation –
_
C = C + by
Based on these observations we can explain the consumption function through the following
schedule and diagram.
50 Crores. Likewise, Consumption expenditure rises only to Rs 50 Crores while income shoots
up tot Rs 60 Crores.
Diagram
If C was to increase at the same rate as Y or if C was always equal to Y then C curve would have
merged with the Y curve. Both curves would have been the same. But it is never like that. C
starts from 20 on the Y axis indicating minimum level of consumption even when income is zero
(autonomous consumption)
With reference to the above diagram, we may note the following observations –
PROPENSITY TO CONSUME
Average Marginal
Propensity to Propensity to
Consume Consume
It is the ratio between total consumption (C) and total income (Y) at a given level of income
in an economy. It is the proportion of income that is consumed.
APC = C/Y
For example, if income (Y) is 100 and consumption (C) is 80, then APC will be-
This indicates that at any given level of employment in an economy, 80 % of income is spent by
way of consumption expenditure.
MPC =∆C/∆Y
For example, if income of a country increases from Rs 1000 Crores to Rs 1,200 Crores and the
consumption expenditure increases from Rs 800 Crores to Rs 900 Crores then it means the
change in income by Rs 200 Crores has caused change in consumption expenditure by Rs 100
Crores. MPC will therefore be –
Generally MPC is greater than 0 and less than 1. MPC can not be greater than 1 because
change in consumption can not be more than change in income. The part of increase in
income which is not consumed is equal to saving.
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Saving function expresses the relationship between the level of saving and the level of
income. Income is either spent on consumption or it is saved i.e. Y = C+S
Therefore S = Y – C
Savings function is the counterpart of consumption function. It relates to the level of savings to
the level of income.
S = f(Y)
As income increases so does savings. Savings how ever can be both positive and negative.
Savings function can be expressed with the help of the equation given below –
_ _
S = -C + (MPS) Y OR S = - C + (1-b) Y
Savings function can be explained with the help of the following schedule and diagram-
Savings Function
1) In the above diagram, savings function is a straight line beginning on Y axis below the origin.
At 0 level of income saving is negative. This is because consumption at 0 level of income is
positive (autonomous consumption)
2) The savings function intersects the X axis at point E. At this point savings is equal to zero
because consumption is exactly equal to income. This is the break even point.
3) At any point to the left of E, there is dissaving because consumption is greater than income
4) At any point to the right of E, there is positive saving as consumption expenditure is less than
income.
Propensity to save may be defined as a schedule showing amounts that will be saved at
different levels of income.
PROPENSITY TO SAVE
Average Marginal
Propensity to Propensity to
save save
It is the ratio between total saving (S) and total income (Y) at a given level of income and
employment in the economy.
It can be expressed as follows –
APS = S/Y
This indicates that at a given level of income in an economy, 40% of income is saved. It implies
that 60% of income is consumed.
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It is the ratio between change in saving (∆S) caused by change in income (∆Y). It can be
expressed as follows –
MPS = ∆S / ∆Y
For example if income Y rises from Rs 100 Crores to Rs 200 Crores and consequently saving S
rises from Rs 20 Crores to Rs 80 Crores then change in income = Rs 100 Crores (200 – 100 =
100) and change in saving = Rs 60 Crores(80 – 20 = 60). MPS will therefore be –
So,
6) APC + APS = [C/Y + S/Y]
=C+S/Y
= Y/Y = 1
Or
7) APC + APS = 1
Or
APC = 1 – APS
And
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APS = 1 - APC
We know that
3) MPC =∆C/∆Y
And
4) MPS or (1-b) = ∆S / ∆Y
So,
6) MPC +MPS = ∆C/∆Y + ∆S / ∆Y
= ∆C + ∆S / ∆Y
= ∆Y/∆Y = 1
Or
7) MPC +MPS = 1
Or
MPC = 1 – MPS
And
MPS = 1 – MPC
Generally MPC is greater than 0 and less than 1. MPC can not be greater than 1 because change
in consumption cannot be more than change in income. The part of increase in income which is
not consumed is equal to saving. Thus, the aggregate of Marginal Propensity to Consume and
Marginal Propensity to Save is equal to unity. If half of the increase in income is spent on
consumption, then -
MPC = ½
Therefore
MPS = 1 – MPC i.e.1 – ½ = 0.5
Draw a diagram showing straight line Savings curve for an economy. From it derive the
Consumption curve. Show a point on the Consumption curve at which Average Propensity to
consume is equal to 1.
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Diagram
1) In the above diagram, savings function is a straight line beginning on Y axis below the origin.
At 0 level of income saving is negative. This is because consumption at 0 level ofincome is
positive (autonomous consumption)OC is the minimum level of consumption. It must be
incurred even when income(Y) =0 because survival needs consumption
2) The savings function intersects the X axis at point L. At this point savings is equal to zero
because consumption is exactly equal to income. Consumption curve CC passes through the
income curve Y. At point E, C = Y. This is the break even point.
APC = 1 when consumption is equal to income i.e. C=Y. This occurs at point E where saving =
0.
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Investment refers to the total amount of expenditure incurred by the producers on the
purchase of capital assets/ real assets like buildings, machines, and raw materials etc. which
help in production.
1) Induced investment - It is positively related to the level of income. It increases with the
increased level of income
At higher level of income, consumption expenditure will be higher. This raises the expected
profitability of the producers who are induced to make greater investments due to increased
level of demand.
Question Bank
1) Find out the marginal propensity to consume from the following data
Income (Rs) Consumption (Rs)
1,000 1,500
2,000 2,000
Answer:
Income Change in Consumption Change in
(Rs) Income(Rs) (Rs) Consumption(Rs)
(∆Y) (∆C)
1000 - 1500 -
2000 2000- 1000 = 1000 2000 2000-1500 =500
MPC = ∆C/∆Y = 500/1000 = 0.5
8) (i) How much is the MPC in an economy in which the MPS is 0.3
(ii) How much is the MPS in an economy where the MPC is 0.8
Answer:
(i) MPC = 1 – MPS
= 1 – 0.3 = 0.7
(ii) MPS = 1 – MPC
= 1 – 0.8 = 0.2
9) If the disposable income is Rs 1000 Crore and consumption expenditure is Rs 750 Crore, find
the APS.
Answer:
S=Y–C
Rs 1000 Crore – Rs 750 Crore = Rs 250 Crore
APS = S/Y = 250/1000 = 0.25
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11) Out of APC and MPC, the value of which can be greater than 1 and when?
Answer: APC can be greater than 1 in a situation when C > Y
(ii) C = 40 + 0.75y
C = 40 + 0.75(400)
C = 340
_
(iii) S = - C + (MPS)y
S = -40 + (0.25) y
S = -40 +0.25(400)
S = -40 + 100
S = 60
15) Complete the given chart and determine the equilibrium level of income
Aggregate Consumption Saving (Y-C) Investment Aggregate
Supply (Y) Demand (C+I)
100 140 40
200 220
300 300
400 380
500 460
600 540
700 620
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800 700
900 780
(Answer- Saving = (-) 40, (-) 20, 0, 20, 40, 60, 80, 100, 120 &Aggregate Demand = 180, 260,
340, 420, 500, 580, 660, 740, 820)
17) Suppose the planned saving function is S = -50 +0.2y and intended investment is
Rs 100.Find the equilibrium level of income.
(Answer – Y = Rs 750)
18) If planned consumption equals 40 + 0.9y and planned investment is Rs 50, find the
equilibrium level of income
(Answer – Y = Rs 900)
19) If saving function is S = - 15 + 0.15y and planned investment is Rs 75, find the equilibrium
level of income and savings
(Answer – Y = Rs600, S = Rs 75)
Note-Remember equilibrium condition is S= I
Giving reasons, state whether the following statements are true or false:- (Delhi, AI, Foreign 2010)
a) The value of MPS can never be negative
b) APS is always greater than zero
c) APS can never be less than zero
d) When APS is negative, MPS will also be negative.
e) Sum of APC and MPC is always equal to one.
f) The value of APS can never be greater than one
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TO DO:
❖ 4.10 AD- AS Approach
❖ 4.11 S-I Approach
❖ 4.12 Simultaneous Equality between AD and AS
The determination of equilibrium level of output, income and employment can be explained by
adopting two different approaches –
Explain the theory of determination of equilibrium level of income and employment with the
help of AD and AS curves
Why must AD be equal to AS at the equilibrium level of income and output. Explain with the
help of diagram and schedule. What happens when the two are not equal?
The economy in equilibrium when Aggregate Demand (AD) represented by C + I curve is equal
to total output or Aggregate Supply (AS). It can be explained with the help of a schedule and
diagram given below –
Diagram
3) The C+I curve i.e. AD curve shows the desired spending in the economy.
• AD curve is parallel to the Consumption function Cbecause investment i.e. I is
constant. (Note: We assume that there are only 2 sectors in the economy i.e. households
and firms. Therefore AD = Consumption demand + Investment demand only)
• The gap between the C and AD curve is equal to the value of investment i.e. I.
• Since C + I > C, therefore C + I function (AD) is drawn above the C function.
EQUILIBRIUM POSITION:-
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1) The economy is in equilibrium at point E where aggregate demand curve intersects the
45 degree line i.e. aggregate supply curve.
2) It is in equilibrium because the desired level of spending = total level of output. This is the
point of equality between AD and AS.
3) In such a situation all that is producedin the economy is fully purchased. The producers
do not suffer –
1) The burden of unwanted supplies (unsold stocks)
2) The loss of unfulfilled demand (due to lack of stocks)
In the schedule and the diagram the equilibrium point is at the output level of 40 Crores. The
aggregate demand is also 40 Crores and the employment is 40 Lakhs.
DISEQUILIBRIUM POSITIONS:-
At any other level of output there is disequilibrium which can be in the form of following two
situations –
The above equilibrium has been achieved at less than full employment level. It is termed as
under employment equilibrium.
Why should planned savings and planned investment be equal at equilibrium level of income?
Explain with the help of a schedule and a diagram.
Diagram
EQUILIBRIUM POSITION:-
1) In the above diagram, the saving and investment function intersect at point E.
2) At this point planned savings of households = planned investments of the firms.
3) This happens when the output level is 40 crores and employment is 40 lakhs.
DISEQUILIBRIUM POSITION:-
At any other level of output, there is disequilibrium which can be in the form of following two
situations –
• In this situation, the saving function lies above the investment function.
• Greater savings than investment implies a situation when buyers are not spending to
match the investment plans of the producers.
• As a result some goods will remain unsold. It would lead to an unplanned increase in
inventories.
• To cope with this situation lesser output would be planned for the following year.
• It implies
- lesser investment,
- lesser production,
- lesser income,
- lesser savings.
• This process will continue till S and I match (S =I)
• In this situation, the saving function lies below the investment function.
• It implies a situation where buyers are planning to spend beyond what the producers
are planning to invest.
• As a result output would fall short of demand. It leads to an unplanned decrease in
inventories.
• To cope with stronger demand in the market the producers would plan to increase
output.
• Consequently it would lead to
- greater investment,
- greater production,
- greater income,
- greater savings.
• This process will continue till S and I match (S =I) and the economy in equilibrium at
point E.
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Explain the equilibrium level of income with the help of consumption+ investment (C +I)
approach. If planned saving is greater than planned investment, what adjustments will bring
about equality between the two.
Diagram
The above diagram shows equality between AS and AD, as well as between S and I. Equality is
attained at point E when AS= AD, and S=I. OL is the equilibrium level of income, output and
employment.
If AS > AD
If AS < AD Explain from the previous pages (check only these headings)
If S>I
If S<I.
Question Bank
1)Equality between AS and AD implies the equality between S and I. Write equations to
prove this fact.
Answer: Equilibrium level of income and output refers to that level of income and output where,
in the economy as a whole
AD = AS
Since,
AD = C+I
And
AS = C+S
We can say that C is the common factor in both the equations, therefore equilibrium is struck
where
S=I
Thus there are 2 ways of looking at the equilibrium level of income, output and employment in
the economy –
i) AD = AS
ii) S = I
2) Does equilibrium level of income, output and employment necessarily mean full employment
in the economy?
Answer:Equilibrium level of income, output and employment does not necessarily mean
fullemployment in the economy. Equilibrium level of income, output and employment is
simply struck when AS = AD or when S = I .It is that level of output or employment where what
the producers plan to produce (ex – ante output) happens to match with what the buyers plan to
buy (ex – ante expenditure). In a free economy (or a capitalist economy) planned production
and planned expenditure have nothing to do with what happens to the level of employment
in the economy. What the producers plan to produce and what the buyers plan to buy may not
coincide with fuller utilization of resources. There can be underemployment equilibrium also.
For example resources in a country may permit production worth Rs 10 crores. But, with a view
to maximizing profits, the producers plan output worth Rs 5 crores only. Equilibrium will be
struck if buyers also plan expenditure worth Rs 5 crores. Therefore equilibrium can be struck
even though resources are not fully employed. It will be called as underemployment equilibrium
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3) When are actual stocks with the producers equal to the desired stocks?
Answer:When AS = AD actual stocks with the producers = desired stocks with the producers.
2)Involuntary unemployment – It occurs in a situation when some people are not getting jobs
even when they are able to work and are willing to work at the existing wage rate.
3) Voluntary employment – It is a situation where a worker is not willing to work at the current
wage rate, even when work is available.
5) Equilibrium situation – All that is produced in the economy is fully purchased or when AS =
AD.
6) Difference between planned investment (ex – ante investment) and actual investment (ex –
post investment)
TO DO:
❖ 4.13 Concept Deficient Demand & Deflationary Gap (Causes,
Consequences and Remedy)
❖ 4.14 Concept Excess Demand & Inflationary Gap (Causes, Consequences
and Remedy)
Deficient Demand refers to a situation when aggregate demand (AD) is short of aggregate
supply (AS) corresponding to full employment in the economy.
1) The level of aggregate demand happens to be short of its full employment level -In order
that the resources are fully employed and there is ‘full capacity’ production, the
entrepreneurs would expect aggregate demand to come up to the desired level. But it may
not. As a result full capacity production may not be possible. Resources will remain partly
unutilized and there will be some unemployment of labor. In other words, there will be
involuntary unemployment.
2) The level of aggregate demand fails to cope with the level of aggregate supply up to the
point of full employment in the economy - Accordingly aggregate supply is reduced to
match the existing level of demand. So that AD and AS become equal at a level lower than
the full employment level. In other words there is underemployment equilibrium in the
economy.
This gives rise to a situation known as deflationary gap. Deflationary gap is the difference
between the actual level of aggregate demand and the level of aggregate demand required
to establish the full employment equilibrium. It measures the shortfall in aggregate
demand.
It is a measure of the amount of deficiency of aggregate demand. In this sense, the economy
attains underemployment equilibrium. The deflationary gap is so called because it sets in motion
forces that cause a decline in the economy’s output, income and employment.
The concept of deficient demand can be explained with the help of the following diagram
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Diagram
In the above diagram ADU is the aggregate demand curve which intersects the 45 degree
aggregate supply curve AS at point EU. This is a situation of underemployment equilibrium or a
situation of deficient demand. The equilibrium quantity produced is Q. The desired level of
demand for full capacity production is indicated by ADF.The level of full employment output is
Q1
Deflationary gap is measured as the difference between the desired AD corresponding to full
employment and the actual AD corresponding to underemployment. Therefore in the above
diagram deflationary gap is equal to FG. It shows the extent of deficient demand. In order to
achieve full employment equilibrium aggregate demand (C + I) needs to increase to the extent of
the deflationary gap and intersect the 45 degree AS curve at point F.
1) When AD fails to catch up with full utilization of resources, producers will build up
inventory beyond what they desire (undesired inventory stock)
2) It will force the producers to plan lesser production for subsequent years
3) It will imply reduction in planned aggregate savings
4) It will further lead to reduction in income and employment.
Briefly economy is driven to the state of low level of output, income, employment
If aggregate demand is for a level of output less than the full employment level of output, then
the situation of deficient demand exists. In order to remedy the problem of deficient demand, the
aggregate demand has to be increased by an amount equal to the deflationary gap. This will
move the economy to the full employment equilibrium at point F.
The aggregate demand can be increased by taking recourse to fiscal policy, monetary policy or
both
1) Increase in Public Expenditure –In a situation of deficient demand the government should
raise its expenditure in the following ways -
a) Expenditure on public works programmes- for example construction of roads, dams,
bridges, canals etc. should be raised
b) Greater expenditure should be incurred on public health, education etc
c) Greater expenditure should be incurred on the maintenance of law and order and defence
of the country.
d) Greater expenditure should be incurred on subsidies and transfer payments
Increase in Government Expenditure will raise the level of employment. It will in turn increase
wages and purchasing power. Thus it will increase the AD.
If the Government Expenditure is increased by an amount equal to the deflationary gap, it will
restore the economy to the full employment equilibrium.
2) Reduction in Taxes – Taxes should be decreased leaving the households with more
purchasing power and the firms with more cash reserves.
A reduction in the level of taxes will increase the disposable income by the amount of reduction
in taxes. As a result, consumption demand will increase by an amount of MPC times the increase
in disposable income. The increase in consumption demand will increase the AD by an equal
amount. Thus, by lowering the taxes, the AD can be increased.
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3) Increase Deficit Financing – Deficit Financing ( by way of printing more notes for additional
expenditure) is increased during times of deficient demand so that the over all level of
purchasing power is increased in the economy.
1) Reducing the Cash Reserve Ratio – Cash Reserve Ratio refers to the minimum
percentage of bank’s total deposits which is required to be kept with the Central bank.
All the banks have to keep with the central banks a certain percentage of their deposits in the
form of minimum cash reserve ratio. For example, if the minimum reserve ratio is 10% and the
total deposit of a bank is Rs 100 crores, then it will have to keep Rs 10 crores with the central
bank. If the minimum reserve ratio is 20%, then the bank will have to keep Rs 20 crores with the
central bank.
When the cash flow or credit is to be increased, cash reserve ratio is reduced, thus giving
commercial banks greater ability to create credit.
2) Reduction in interest rates - Reduction in interest rate makes the credit cheaper.
Accordingly, the demand for credit expands.
There is an inverse relationship between the rate of interest and the level of investment demand.
If the central bank lowers the rate of interest then there would be an increase in investment
demand. This increase in investment demandwould cause an increase in AD. In this way the
economy can be restored to full employment equilibrium.
Excess Demand refers to a situation when aggregate demand (AD) is in excess of aggregate
supply (AS) corresponding to full employment in the economy.
The inflationary gap gives rise to sharp increase in prices. However, it has no effect on output,
income and employment as these are already at full employment level.
(Note very carefully –Be intelligent enough to understand that the inflationary gap occurs only
after a situation of full employment is reached. Hence there is no question of increase in output,
employment and income)
Excess demand and inflationary gap can be explained with the help of the following diagram –
Diagram
employment aggregate demand curve which intersects the aggregate supply curve AS at point E.
If the level of aggregate demand increases to ADB, it is in excess of what is required to maintain
full employment. ADB is aggregate demand beyond full employment. This causes increase in
prices while the output remains the same. In other words it leads to inflation within the
economy. The difference between ADB and ADF (FE) is the inflationary gap.
Inflation/ Excess demand is measured as the difference between ‘AD beyond full employment’
and ‘AD at full employment’
Inflationary gap/ Excess demand = ADB –ADF = FE
(Interesting Fact for your information – Due to inflation the economy is driven into a situation
of ‘wage – price – spiral’ where wages catch prices and prices catch wages. It is a situation of
escalating expenditure in the economy without a rise in the flow of goods and services. Cost of
production tends to rise due to mounting pressure on existing resources. Accordingly, prices of
final goods tend to rise and we have wage-price-spiral)
1) Decrease in Public Expenditure –In a situation of deficient demand the government should
decrease its expenditure in the following ways -
a) Expenditure on public works programmes- for example construction of roads, dams,
bridges, canals etc. should be decreased
b) Lesser expenditure should be incurred on public health, education etc
c) Lesser expenditure should be incurred on the maintenance of law and order and defence of
the country.
d) Lesser expenditure should be incurred on subsidies and transfer payments
Decrease in Government Expenditure will reduce the level of employment. It will in turn
decrease wages and purchasing power. Thus it will decrease the AD.
If the Government Expenditure is decreased by an amount equal to the inflationary gap, it will
restore the economy to the full employment equilibrium.
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2) Increase in Taxes – Taxes should be increased leaving the households with less purchasing
power and the firms with less cash reserves.
An increase in the level of taxes will decrease the disposable income by the amount of increase
in taxes. As a result, consumption demand will decrease by an amount of MPC times the
decrease in disposable income. The decrease in consumption demand will decrease the AD by an
equal amount. Thus, by increasing the taxes, the AD can be decreased.
3) Increase Public Borrowing- Public borrowing should be increased, so that people are left
with lesser purchasing power. Thus, during periods of excess demand, the government should
adopt the policy of surplus budget
4) Reduce Deficit Financing - Deficit Financing should be restricted. Printing of more notes
would only increase the rate of inflation. So it should be avoided.
1) Increasing the cash Reserve Ratio – cash Reserve Ratio refers to the minimum
percentage of bank’s total deposits which is required to be kept with the Central bank.
All the banks have to keep with the central banks a certain percentage of their deposits in the
form of minimum cash reserve ratio. For example, if the minimum reserve ratio is 10% and the
total deposit of a bank is Rs 100 crores, then it will have to keep Rs 10 crores with the central
bank. If the minimum reserve ratio is increased to 20%, then the bank will have to keep Rs 20
crores with the central bank.
When the cash flow or credit is to be decreased, minimum reserve ratio is increased, thus
reducing the ability of commercial banks to create credit.
2) Increasing the interest rates -Increasing the interest rate makes the credit costlier.
Accordingly, the demand for credit contracts.
There is an inverse relationship between the rate of interest and the level of investment demand.
If the central bank increases the rate of interest then there would be a decrease in investment
demand. This decrease in investment demandwould cause a decrease in AD. In this way the
economy can be restored to full employment equilibrium.
3) Cash reserve ratio is raised with a view to decrease the flow of credit
4) Liquidity ratio is raised to decrease lending in banks
5) Requirement of the margin is raised for speculative business activities so that borrowing
becomes costly and thus declines
6) Rationing of credit is introduced so that there is no excessive flow of credit
7) Commercial banks are generally advised to be selective in lending.
Question Bank
1) Explain the concept of underemployment equilibrium with the help of a diagram. On the
same diagram show the additional investment expenditure required to reach full employment
equilibrium
2) With the help of a diagram explain the concept of deflationary gap. Can deflationary gap
exist at equilibrium level of income?(Yes deflationary gap can exist at equilibrium level of
income- Explain through diagram)
3) Explain the situation of deficient demand in an economy with the help of a diagram
4) Define deficient demand OR When does a situation of deficient demand arise in an economy
5) When does the situation of deficient demand arise in an economy? Mention its impact on
output, employment and prices.
6) Give the meaning of deficient demand. Explain a few fiscal and monetary policies to correct
it
7) Explain 2 measures by which central bank can attempt to reduce the deflationary gap.
8) Define excess demand OR When does a situation of excess demand arise in an economy
9) Explain the concept of –(i) underemployment equilibrium (ii) excess demand in an economy
with the help of diagrams
10) With the help of a diagram explain the concept of inflationary gap.
11) Explain the situation of excess demand in an economy with the help of a diagram
12) When does the situation of excess demand arise in an economy? Mention its impact on
output and prices.
13) Give the meaning of excess demand. Explain a few fiscal and monetary policies to correct it
14) Explain 2 measures by which central bank can attempt to reduce the inflationary gap.
15) Does an excess AD over AS always imply a situation of inflationary gap
Answer: No, excess of AD over AS does not always imply a situation of inflationary gap.
Inflationary gap occurs only when AD is more than AS corresponding to the full employment
level of output.
16) Distinguish between deflationary gap and inflationary gap.
Answer:
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN DEFLATIONARY GAP AND INFLATIONARY GAP
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TO DO:
❖ 4.15 Introduction
❖ 4.16 Derivation of the expression of the multiplier
❖ 4.17 Relationship between Multiplier and Marginal Propensity to Consume
❖ 4.18 Working of the Multiplier
❖ 4.19 Multiplier Process
❖ 4.20 Importance of the multiplier
❖ 4.21 Paradox of thrift
4.15 Introduction
The multiplier is that number which when multiplied by the amount of change in investment
gives us the value of change in income.
For example – if investment increases by 100 crores and the income increases by 500 crore then
the multiplier is 5.
Thus,
K=∆Y/∆I = 500/100 = 5 Therefore K =5
Or
∆Y=K∆I = 5 x 100 = 500 Therefore ∆ Y = 500
Here,
K = Multiplier
∆ I = Change in investment
∆ Y = Change in income
In the above diagram, the equilibrium level of output is OQ. When investment is increased from
I0 to I1, the equilibrium shifts and is attained at OQ1 level of output. The change in output/income
i.e. QQ1 is greater than the change in investment i.e.I 0I1.
4.16 Derivation of the expression of multiplier –
At the point of equilibrium, we know that Y = C+I. Income is equal to the sum of consumption
and investment.
We also know that the consumption function equation
_
C = C + bY
C = Autonomous consumption
b = Marginal propensity to consume
Y = Income
_
Y = 1/ (1-b) (C + I)
We know that b = MPC.
So,
_
Y = 1/ (1 – MPC) (C + I)
_
Since C is constant so to find the effect of change in investment on income we come to the
following formula –
∆ Y = 1/ (1 – MPC) ∆ I
Or
∆Y=K∆I
Thus,
K = ∆ Y/∆ I
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Since, MPC is always greater than 0 and less than 1, therefore, the multiplier will always be
greater than 1 (K > 1). Hence, a change in investment will lead to a multiple change in
income/output
(Note: MPC is the ratio between change in consumption and change in income.
MPC =∆C / ∆Y).
The coefficient of multiplier i.e. K is positively related to the value of MPC. The larger the
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC), the larger will be the value of K and vice versa.
It is because from the point of view of the entire economy, expenditure of one individual is the
income of another.
They spend a part of the increased income on consumption and save the rest.
The amount of income people spend on consumption depends on their Marginal Propensity to
Consume (MPC).
If MPC is more, they will spend large portion of their income on consumption.
As a result of this expenditure on consumption, income of some other people will increase.
These people will also spend some part of their increased income on consumption which will
cause the income of yet other people to increase.
Higher the MPC, greater the value of multiplier and hence greater the increase in income
MPC and multiplier are directly related while MPS and multiplier are inversely related.
Thus,
K = 1/ 1 – MPC
Or
K = 1/ MPS
K = 1/1-MPC
= 1/ 1 – ½
= 1/ ½ = 2
i) K = ∆ Y / ∆ I
ii) K = 1/ 1 – MPC
iii) K = 1/ MPS
The working of the multiplier can be explained keeping in mind the following points –
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The entire process can be explained with the help of a table given below.
10 20 10 10
The process continues till the increase in investment is equal to the increase in saving through
successive rounds of income and consumption expenditure.
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∆I →∆Y →∆ C → ∆Y
1) Forward action of the multiplier: Forward action of multiplier indicates that as a result
of increase in initial investment there is several times more increase in ultimate income. For
instance supposing investment increases by Rs 100 crore and multiplier is 2 then income will
increase to Rs 100 crore x 2= Rs 200 crore
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The forward and backward action of the multiplier can be shown with the help of the following
diagram -
In the above diagram, income is shown on OX-axis and investment on OY axis. AS curve
indicates aggregate supply curve. Supposing initially the aggregate demand curve is AD. This
demand curve intersects aggregate supply curve at point M. Hence, equilibrium level of income
is OA. On account of increase in investment, demand curve shifts upward to AD 1 therefore the
equilibrium income also increases to OB. It is clear from the diagram that compared to II 1
increase in investment; AB increase in income is double. The reason being that value of
multiplier is 2. Forward action of the multiplier is shown by the movement from point A to
point B.
On the contrary, if investment decreases, the aggregate demand curve shifts downward as AD 2.
It intersects aggregate supply curve at point E. In this case equilibrium income will be OC. It is
obvious from the diagram that compared to II2 decrease in investment; decrease in income i.e.
AC is double, because multiplier is 2.Movement from point A to point C indicates backward
action of the multiplier.
Hence, multiplier is a two edged sword. As a result of it, any increase in investment leads to
many times more increase in income, likewise any decrease in investment may cause many times
more decrease in income
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The multiplier helps us to conclude that an economy can earn more and save more only by
increasing consumption. If an economy were to save the entire amount of additional income
generated due to additional investment, it would lose the additional rounds of income and this
would reduce the capacity to save. Thus, an attempt to increase savings may lead to a fall in
total savings. This is the paradox of thrift. Thus, though individual saving is a virtue, saving
by the economy as a whole is not desirable in the long run.
Question Bank
1) If the value of MPS is 0.25 what is the multiplier?
2) If MPC is 0.8 what is the value of multiplier?
3) As a result of an increase in investment of Rs 1000 in the economy the total N.I rises by Rs
5000. What’s the value of multiplier?
4) Given MPC is 0.9 and increase in investment is Rs 60 crores. Calculate ‘K’ and total increase
in income.
5) In an economy K =5. What is MPC?
6) Value of multiplier [K] =8. Find MPS.
7) In an economy investment is increased by Rs 500 crores. If the MPC=0.75, calculate the total
increase in income and consumption expenditure.
8) In an economy investment is increased by Rs 600 crores. If MPS=0.4, calculate the total
increase income and consumption expenditure.
9) In an economy investment is increased by Rs 750 crores, MPC=0.9. Calculate total increase
in income and amount of savings.
10) If MPS=0.1 and increase in National Income is Rs 500 crores. Calculate increase in
investment.
11) If MPS=0.2 and increase in investment is Rs 120 crores. Calculate increase in National
Income.
12) Increase in investment is Rs 125 crores and increase in National Income is Rs 500 crores.
Calculate MPS
13) In an economy level of income is Rs 2000 crores and MPC is 0.75. Calculate total increase in
income if investment increases by Rs 200 crores.
14) In an economy the actual level of income is Rs 500 crores whereas the full employment level
of income is Rs 800 crores. MPC is 0.75. Calculate the increase in investment required to
achieve the full employment level of income.
15) What increase in investment is needed to raise the income by Rs 1000 crores if MPC is 0.75?
16) There is an additional investment of Rs 50 crores in the economy. How much additional
income will be created if MPS=0.3?
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17) Calculate the value of MPC and MPS if an additional investment of Rs 200 crores guaranteed
an additional income of Rs 800 crores.
18) What is the value of MPC if an additional investment of Rs 40 crores leads to an increase in
income by Rs 100 crores.