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Article history: A more efficient use of China’s coal resources is key to rapidly promoting the growth of the country’s
Received 26 May 2020 industrializing economy. As such, it is essential that an effective approach for measuring and evaluating
Received in revised form the current efficiency of coal resources is developed. This paper measures the efficiency of coal resources
22 December 2020
in 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2015 using an improved DEA model of Bootstrap, and it uses Tobit
Accepted 1 January 2021
Available online 6 January 2021
regression to analyze the influencing factors on the efficiency of coal resources. The results illustrate that:
1) The proposed approach could significantly improve upon the accuracy of the measurement of the
traditional DEA model. 2) The efficiency of coal resources shows an uptrend of fluctuation for the
Keywords:
Energy efficiency of coal resources
research period. With respect to the influential factors, total coal consumption has the least influence on
Bootstrap-DEA the efficiency of coal resources. In contrast, local financial science and technology expenditures have
Influential factors greatest influence on the efficiency of coal resources. Among all the influential factors, local financial
Tobit science and technology expenditures have the greatest negative impact on energy efficiency of coal
Coal resources and it is very critical that the government increases investment in scientific and technological
Spatial effect investment in the mining industry.
© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction some extent alleviate energy shortage. The share of coal resources
has a downward trend, but it still represents approximately 70% of
Energy is indispensable to economic development. The issue of total primary energy source production Fig. 1 [6]. Regardless of the
energy shortage is critical around the world, and especially for China National Energy Administration’s directives for imple-
China [1,2]. China has experienced decades of high speed economic mentation of the 13th five-year plan that directs that proportion of
growth, and demand for energy is continually growing. At the same clean and new energy resources should be increased in the up-
time, production of coal is experiencing a slow down due to coming years, the dominant position of coal resources will not be
ongoing economic restructuring to reduce excess production ca- taken over for some time. According to British Petroleum, China’s
pacity and adjust industrial structure [3e5]. In 2017, total energy coal production was 1.75 billion tons of oil equivalent, accounting
production in China was 3.59 billion tons of coal equivalent, while for 47.4% of worldwide coal production. Although coal resources are
energy consumption was 4.49 billion tons of coal equivalent, which a pillar energy source in China, the public attitude towards them is
created a 0.90 billion tons of coal equivalent shortage. How to not commensurate with its status [7].
guarantee energy security is of strategic significance to China, to Due to the dirtiness, low efficiency and high accident rate
address this problem, utilizing efficiently existing energy can to associated with coal [8,9], coal energy is frequently criticized for its
contributions as a pollutant and carbon emissions. Furthermore, in
comparison with energy efficiency studies on whole energy sour-
* Corresponding author.
ces, oil, gas, etc., relatively few studies have been conducted on this
** Corresponding author. important energy source. Because of the lack of investigation
*** Corresponding author. regarding energy efficiency of coal, we analyze energy efficiency of
E-mail addresses: liming-xue@163.com (L. Xue), ckgczhangwenjie@163.com coal resources in order to fill this gap in the literature. China has
(W. Zhang), zx-zheng@pku.edu.cn (Z. Zheng).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.119763
0360-5442/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
3.1. Correction of Bootstrap-DEA model deviation for efficiency of Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) is a method through
coal resources which to test whether there is spatial dependence and spatial
heterogeneity among the research regions [30]. Spatial correlation
Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is non-parametric total factor analysis is one of the core components of ESDA and provides
efficiency measurement method and does not requiring production measurement of degree of agglomeration of spatial unit attribute
function of decision-making units [27]. However, the traditional values, including global spatial autocorrelation test and local spatial
DEA ignores the statistical test problem, and stability and feasibility autocorrelation test [31].
of conclusions cannot be guaranteed for the lack of statistical
properties of some indicators. Simar and Wilson [28] based on (1) Global space test method: Global spatial autocorrelation can
empirical data and used the repeated sampling to improve the analyze the overall degree of correlation, spatial distribution
traditional DEA that is called the Bootstrap-DEA. This model can pattern and significance of an attribute of all the spatial ob-
correct the deviation of confidence intervals and improve credi- jects in the research regions. This paper uses the classical
bility of traditional DEA [29].The Bootstrap-DEA is used in this indicator that is called global Moran’s I to reflect global
paper to measure efficiency of coal resources and the specific al- spatial agglomeration or decentralization characteristics. The
gorithm is as follows: global Moran’s I [32] equals:
Pn Pn
(1) Given input-output sample data ðxi ; yi Þ of ith decision unit
i¼1 jsi wij ðxi xÞ xj x
DMU, using the traditional DEA to calculate the estimated IG ¼ 2
Pn Pn (5)
S i¼1 jsi wij
efficiency to obtain efficiency value qb of ith region by solving
i
linear programming model.
n
P n
P
( ) In Eq. (5), x ¼ 1n xi ; S2 ¼ 1n ðxi xÞ2 ; xi is ith province
n
X n
X i¼1 i¼1
qbi ¼ min q gi yi ; qxi gi xi ; q 0; gi ¼ 1; gi 0 value of efficiency of coal resources, n is number of provinces, wij
i¼1 i¼1 is a weight matrix of the spatial relationship between two
(1) adjacent regions, which can be used to represent the spatial
relationship of research unit. When ith region is adjacent to jth
region, wij ¼ 1, or else, wij ¼ 0, then Moran’s index I is
(2) Based on efficiency value qbi , i ¼ 1, 2 … n of each region ob- between 1 and 1. The closer to 1 value of Moran’s I, the
tained, we use the Bootstrap method to generate n random stronger positive correlation there is with respect to efficiency of
efficiency values q*1b ,. . ., q*nb , where b represents bth iteration coal resources between two regions. Vice versa, where the
closer value of Moran’s I is to 1, the stronger the negative
when using the Bootstrap method, and q*1b stands for ith
correlation of efficiency of coal resources between two regions.
random value of bth iteration of q*1b ,. . ., q*nb . When Moran’s I is close to 0, it indicates that there is no spatial
(3) Calculating the simulated sample ðx*ib ; yi Þ based on the correlation between two regions. The significance test is carried
Bootstrap method, where x*ib ¼ ð qbi =bq nb Þ*xi , i ¼ 1, 2,. . ., n. out by the standardized Moran’s I, which is named ZI as follows.
(4) For each Bootstrap simulation sample, we use the DEA model
* I EðIÞ
to calculate efficiency estimate value b
q bi , i ¼ 1, 2 … n. ZI ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi (6)
(5) After repeating steps (2) to (4) B times, a set of efficiency VarðIÞ
*
estimates is obtained where b q bi , i ¼ 1,. . . n, b ¼ 1, 2 … B
(B ¼ 2000). In Eq. (6), EðIÞ is expectancy value and Var (I) is variance.
(6) Further estimating deviation of the modified DEA efficiency, (2) Local space test method: Global spatial autocorrelation as-
we find: sumes that space is stationary, which is an overall identifi-
cation of correlation of all spatial units. However, it cannot
reveal features of adjacent regions. The local spatial auto-
* * *
q i ¼ E bq i bq i
bias b (2) correlation statistic cannot only identify different spatial
correlation modes of different spatial locations but can also
reveal local agglomeration characteristics of research area. It
The estimator of deviation is: can provide a basis for research regarding efficiency of coal
resources of the regions. The local Moran’s I [33] of a spatial
B
unit IL is defined as Eq. (7), where
* X *
d b
blas q i ¼ B1 b
q bi (3)
n
X
b¼1
IL ¼ zi wij zj (7)
isj
The efficiency value obtained after being corrected by the
Bootstrap method is as follows:
In Eq. (7), zi and zj are the standardized values of efficiency of
coal resources, and wij is element of spatial weight matrix after
* * B
X *
~
q ¼ qbi blas
d b q i ¼ 2bq i B1 b
q bi (4) row standardization. The local Moran’s I is positive (negative),
b¼1 which indicates elements of the similar (different) type attribute
values are adjacent, and a larger absolute value indicates a
higher degree of proximity. The research area can be divided
3
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
into four efficiency of coal resources agglomeration types: H-H is depicted through the Bootstrap-DEA and the traditional DEA of
agglomeration, L-L agglomeration, H-L agglomeration and L-H 30 provinces in 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015. we can conclude that
agglomeration according to local Moran’s I. efficiency of coal resources based on the Bootstrap-DEA are smaller
than the traditional DEA. This is because the Bootstrap-DEA solves
deviation of the traditional DEA in the case of small samples, which
proves reliability and stability of the Bootstrap-DEA in Table 2.
3.3. The Tobit regression model
The Tobit regression model is as below in this paper: 4.2. Spatial and temporal differentiation analysis of efficiency of
coal resources
lnECRt;i ¼ b þ a1 lnGDPt;i þ a2 lnSECt;i þ a3 lnTERt;i þ a4 lnRPYt;i
Efficiency of coal resources are calculated by the Bootstrap-DEA
þ a5 lnCOCt;i þ a6 lnFSTt;i þ a7 lnIPCt;i þ εt;i model are listed in Table 3. The efficiency coal resources was be-
(8) tween 0.37 and 0.81 for the 30 provinces during the research
period, which shows China’s coal resources are not fully utilized
In Eq (8). i represent city, t represents year, and ε is N1 vector of
and uneconomical use is more serious. In fact, there are two main
random error. a1 ; a2 /a10 are coefficients of explanatory variables.
reasons to explain the low levels of coal resource efficiency: the first
In order to eliminate heterogeneity between variables, the loga-
is the overcapacity of coal resources within some of the years, and
rithm of N1 vector of each variable is applied in this paper: lnECR,
the second involves falling coal prices for some of the years.
lnGDP, lnSEC, lnTER, lnFST, lnCOC, lnIPC and lnRPY.
With respect to the time dimension, from 2000 to 2006, effi-
By using Eviews software, this paper selects seven influencing
ciency of coal resource fell to a minimum of 0.53 in 2006, but ef-
factors as independent variables to analyze efficiency of coal re-
ficiency of coal resources has shown a general upward trend that
sources. The results are demonstrated in Table 1. In significance test,
has risen from 0.53 in 2006 to its highest point of 0.71 in 2013.
the null hypothesis is: H0: bi ¼ 0, and the alternative hypothesis is:
Recently however, a fluctuating downtrend was noted for two
Hi: bis0.
years, indicating that the utilization of coal resources had improved
in these years. However, the gap between the maximum and the
4. Results and discussion minimum was 0.18, implying that the growth of efficiency of coal
resources is not promising. The reason for this trend could be that
4.1. Measurement and analysis of efficiency of coal resources the government developed new policies and eliminated outdated
industrial capacity in order to save coal resources. However, the
This paper uses the Bootstrap-DEA model and R software to effects of the policy implementation have not been obvious, and so
calculate efficiency of coal resources of 30 provinces from 2000 to have led to this status with respect to coal resources.
2015 and set number of sampling times at 2000, confidence coef- From the perspective of spatial patterns, efficiency of coal re-
ficient is 95%. The radar chart of efficiency of coal resources in Fig. 2 sources has significant discrepancies between the regions. The
Table 1
The regression results of Tobit modela.
Note: ***, **, * represent significant level for p < 0.01, p < 0.05, p < 0.1.
a
The results of the intercept is not equal to zero, when they are rounded to the hundredth, the “C” is shown as “0.00”.
4
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
average efficiency values show that Beijing, Shanghai, Xinjiang, and evolution types: stationary types and fluctuation types, stationary
Jiangsu are superior to other provinces, and that Anhui, Gansu, types are divided into two subcategories: stable in high efficiency
Shanxi and Henan are inferior to other provinces. Moreover, the and stable in low efficiency, fluctuation types also are divided into
most efficient region is Beijing, with an efficiency of 0.81. It has 2.19 two subcategories: increased tendency for fluctuation and
times the efficiency of Anhui, which has the least efficiency of 0.37. decreased tendency for fluctuation [29].
There are big variations in the efficiency trends over the research The stable in high efficiency type is that the efficiency values
years and between the different regions. The regions with higher make adjustments between the relatively efficient and efficient
fluctuating ranges are Chongqing, Guangdong, Guizhou, where the groups. These provinces are Beijing, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Zhejiang,
gap between the maximum and minimum are 0.55, 0.54, and 0.51 Shandong, and Guangdong. Beijing and Tianjin advocates the
respectively. The relatively stable areas are Shandong, Shaanxi and vigorous development of new energy and new technologies, and
Hebei, where the gap between the maximum and the minimum are replace coal-fired heating with clean energy throughout the region.
0.10, 0.09, and 0.09, which shows that the different provinces have The government strictly controls the growth of energy consump-
huge discrepancies in capital, labor, coal resource reserves. tion in key industries and guides the high-pollution and high-
This paper examines the spatial and temporal integration with energy-consuming enterprises to transform into clean energy en-
respect to efficiency of coal resources of 30 provinces in 2000, 2005, terprises. In addition, the government requires the implementation
2010 and 2015 in Fig. 3, Arcgis software is used to depict the spatial of a coal-to-gas project for the clean transformation of coal-fired
and temporal characters of efficiency of coal resources. Represented facilities and the replacement of inferior coal with high-quality
by colors varying from dark to light, the four efficiency groups are: coal, these policies will reduce the waste of coal and improve the
inefficient, relatively inefficient, relatively efficient and efficient. As efficiency of coal resources. Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and
implied in Fig. 3, efficiency of coal resources constantly makes Guangdong are big provinces of coal consumption, these provinces
adjustments between efficiency groups in 30 provinces. Therefore, are advancing the merger and reorganization of coal mine enter-
The efficiency groups are divided into two spatial and temporal prises, establishing a normal verification mechanism for coal mine
5
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
Table 2 coal trading market system, these measures have further promoted
Comparison of efficiency of coal resources between Bootstrap - DEA and Traditional the improvement of efficiency of coal resources.
-DEA in 2015.
Examples of stable in low efficiency include Hebei, Shanxi,
Province T-DEA B-DEA Dev. L.B. U.B. Anhui, Henan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Sichuan and Gansu. Among these
Beijing 1.00 0.80 0.20 0.63 0.99 provinces, Hebei, Shanxi, Anhui, Henan and Guizhou are the main
Tianjin 1.00 0.87 0.13 0.78 0.99 coal production and export provinces. Taking Shanxi Province as an
Hebei 0.53 0.48 0.05 0.43 0.52 example, this province is facing serious problems of increasingly
Shanxi 0.36 0.33 0.03 0.30 0.36
prominent energy and environmental constraints. Solving the
Inner Mongolia 1.00 0.82 0.18 0.69 0.99
Liaoning 1.00 0.88 0.12 0.80 0.99 problem of energy conservation and environmental protection is a
Jilin 0.82 0.74 0.08 0.67 0.81 primary issue. The treatment of polluted air and damaged land
Heilongjiang 0.49 0.44 0.05 0.40 0.49 need a lot of money that greatly increases the production cost of
Shanghai 1.00 0.79 0.21 0.65 0.98
coal, which is a major reason for the low efficiency of coal resources.
Jiangsu 1.00 0.82 0.18 0.67 0.99
Zhejiang 0.79 0.68 0.11 0.58 0.78
The remaining other provinces are located in western China, the
Anhui 0.50 0.46 0.05 0.41 0.50 economic development of provinces in the western region is rela-
Fujian 0.84 0.75 0.09 0.65 0.83 tively backward, compared with other provinces, there is a clear
Jiangxi 0.57 0.50 0.07 0.44 0.57 gap in coal mining technology, coal production is relatively low, and
Shandong 0.79 0.68 0.11 0.56 0.78
it requires a lot of manpower to participate in coal mine production
Henan 0.56 0.50 0.06 0.44 0.55
Hubei 0.92 0.84 0.08 0.78 0.91 activities, which reduces corporate profits and efficiency of coal
Hunan 0.77 0.70 0.07 0.65 0.76 resources.
Guangdong 1.00 0.79 0.21 0.63 0.99 The provinces of increased tendency for fluctuation are Liaon-
Guangxi 0.71 0.64 0.07 0.58 0.70 ing, Ningxia, Jilin, Hunan and Hubei, the coal resource efficiency of
Hainan 1.00 0.79 0.21 0.63 0.99
Chongqing 0.65 0.58 0.07 0.52 0.65
these provinces has shifted from the inefficiency group to the ef-
Sichuan 0.69 0.62 0.07 0.53 0.68 ficiency group, these provinces adjust the structure of the coal in-
Guizhou 0.55 0.50 0.05 0.45 0.54 dustry, and improve the percentage rate and utilization efficiency
Yunnan 0.59 0.53 0.06 0.48 0.58 of coal resources, these provinces also promote the comprehensive
Shaanxi 1.00 0.87 0.13 0.77 0.99
development in utilization of coal and associated resources and
Gansu 0.48 0.43 0.05 0.38 0.48
Qinghai 1.00 0.84 0.16 0.69 0.99 strengthen management to increase benefits, and build a coal
Ningxia 1.00 0.84 0.16 0.70 0.99 reserve base and a coal trading platform to improve the coal supply
Xinjiang 0.71 0.63 0.08 0.56 0.70 system.
The provinces of decreased tendency for fluctuation where this
is seen include Heilongjiang, Xinjiang, Jiangxi. The coal resources of
production capacity, accelerating the elimination of backward these two provinces are very rich, and the enterprises are carrying
production capacity, and actively promoting the construction of the out large-scale production. At the same time, the coal consumption
Table 3
Estimations of efficiency of coal resources in 30 provinces.
Province 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average
Beijing 0.85 0.84 0.77 0.79 0.85 0.80 0.71 0.77 0.81 0.85 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.81
Tianjin 0.61 0.58 0.60 0.60 0.56 0.63 0.63 0.77 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.75
Hebei 0.46 0.56 0.56 0.49 0.45 0.42 0.43 0.53 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.48 0.52
Shanxi 0.38 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.43 0.41 0.51 0.52 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.33 0.42
Inner Mongolia 0.65 0.46 0.54 0.65 0.69 0.81 0.90 0.81 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.84 0.82 0.75
Liaoning 0.53 0.46 0.45 0.41 0.35 0.40 0.41 0.59 0.83 0.89 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.66
Jilin 0.55 0.47 0.50 0.50 0.45 0.51 0.53 0.71 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.83 0.74 0.68
Heilongjiang 0.72 0.57 0.58 0.57 0.50 0.53 0.52 0.61 0.64 0.59 0.66 0.76 0.66 0.63 0.55 0.44 0.60
Shanghai 0.83 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.82 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.80
Jiangsu 0.59 0.78 0.79 0.70 0.74 0.79 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.84 0.82 0.83 0.82 0.77
Zhejiang 0.63 0.59 0.71 0.67 0.62 0.59 0.61 0.62 0.78 0.77 0.80 0.76 0.77 0.72 0.69 0.68 0.69
Anhui 0.44 0.50 0.37 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.33 0.35 0.41 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.46 0.37
Fujian 0.77 0.80 0.75 0.84 0.70 0.61 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.61 0.71 0.67 0.69 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.70
Jiangxi 0.51 0.43 0.58 0.54 0.53 0.66 0.47 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.58 0.53 0.50 0.54
Shandong 0.58 0.54 0.57 0.71 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.84 0.84 0.80 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.72 0.68 0.73
Henan 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.34 0.28 0.39 0.42 0.51 0.56 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.46
Hubei 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.32 0.34 0.29 0.38 0.42 0.54 0.58 0.66 0.77 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.51
Hunan 0.49 0.48 0.49 0.44 0.43 0.37 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.45 0.46 0.56 0.65 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.50
Guangdong 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.77
Guangxi 0.47 0.48 0.51 0.53 0.45 0.45 0.40 0.42 0.52 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.57 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.51
Hainan 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.79 0.77
Chongqing 0.65 0.66 0.64 0.57 0.55 0.49 0.44 0.57 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.71 0.64 0.57 0.56 0.58 0.60
Sichuan 0.37 0.45 0.43 0.34 0.32 0.36 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.51 0.63 0.66 0.71 0.67 0.62 0.48
Guizhou 0.31 0.45 0.59 0.53 0.52 0.48 0.42 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.43 0.48 0.54 0.56 0.50 0.48
Yunnan 0.70 0.57 0.53 0.48 0.48 0.44 0.43 0.51 0.50 0.47 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.51
Shaanxi 0.45 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.37 0.36 0.40 0.51 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.57 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.87 0.56
Gansu 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.27 0.51 0.34 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.47 0.52 0.50 0.51 0.50 0.43 0.41
Qinghai 0.74 0.67 0.69 0.73 0.62 0.75 0.60 0.61 0.67 0.68 0.74 0.78 0.80 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.73
Ningxia 0.57 0.50 0.50 0.47 0.50 0.52 0.50 0.58 0.60 0.56 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.86 0.84 0.65
Xinjiang 0.86 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.82 0.75 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.74 0.82 0.84 0.76 0.69 0.71 0.63 0.79
Average 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.54 0.56 0.53 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.67 0.62
6
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
has also increased, and the coal utilization rate is not high. The task Table 4. The Moran’s I is positive over the research period, indi-
of reducing coal production capacity and eliminating backward coal cating that there is a spatial correlation of efficiency of coal re-
mines in Jiangxi is incomplete, which causes a decline in efficiency sources from a provincial perspective. It can be seen that value of
of coal resources. Moran’s I and test results fluctuated from 2000 to 2015, and they
passed the 1% significance test. These results demonstrate that ef-
4.3. Spatial autocorrelation analysis of efficiency of coal resources ficiency of coal resources has significant spatial correlation among
China’s provinces.
This paper utilizes Geoda software to estimate global autocor- The global spatial correlation test is based on the overall
relation of Moran’s I in 30 provinces from 2000 to 2015 and uses research of object to carry out the overall autocorrelation analysis,
Monte Carlo to make 999 simulations. The results are listed in which cannot accurately explain the spatial agglomeration phe-
nomenon of local area. Therefore, this paper uses a local spatial
autocorrelation test for further analysis.
Table 4 The Moran’s I scatter plot reflects the spatial clustering char-
Moran’s I and significance test.
acteristics in four quadrants. The first quadrant shows provinces
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 with high efficiency of coal resources that are surrounded by
Moran’s I 0.74 0.707 0.79 0.81 0.81 0.92 0.66 0.78 provinces with high efficiency of coal resources. The second
P-value 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 quadrant shows provinces with low efficiency of coal resources that
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 are surrounded by provinces with high efficiency of coal resources.
Moran’s I 0.78 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.86
The third quadrant shows provinces with low efficiency of coal
P-value 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
7
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
resources that are surrounded by provinces of low efficiency of coal spatial correlation of efficiency of coal resources is becoming more
resources. The fourth quadrant shows provinces of high efficiency significant. Additionally, the LISA agglomeration map shows that
of coal resources that are surrounded by provinces with low effi- High-High agglomeration type is transferred toward country’s
ciency of coal resources. The provinces in the first and third eastern regions, including provinces such as Guangdong, Fujian,
quadrants of the Moran scatter plot display spatial clustering Jiangsu, Shanghai, and some western regions such as Xinjiang,
characteristics, indicating that these provinces have similar attri- Qinghai, and Inner Mongolia. The Low-Low agglomeration type is
butes. Conversely, provinces in the second and fourth quadrants concentrated in the central regions such as in Shanxi, Henan, Anhui,
have spatial heterogeneity, indicating that these provinces have Hubei, and mostly in the western regions such as in Guangxi,
different attributes from those in the surrounding provinces. Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Shaanxi, and Gansu. Hence, coal
The Moran’s I scatter plot in Fig. 4 shows the local Moran scatter resource efficiencies of 30 provinces have significant spatial cor-
plots for 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015. The circles represent levels of relation, both with respect to global spatial correlation and local
the provinces’ efficiency of coal resources; the red line is regression spatial autocorrelation.
line of Moran’s I global test; and its slope represents test statistic.
Fig. 4 indicates the Moran Scatter Plots of every province in the four
quadrants respectively. These provinces are mostly distributed in
the first and the third quadrants, and there are hardly any provinces 5. Analyzing influential factors on efficiency of coal resources
that fall into the second and fourth quadrants. Because statistic test
of Moran’s I is not significant in the fourth quadrant, it indicates 5.1. Variables and significance test
that China’s provincial efficiency of coal resources is characterized
by spatial clustering. Based on the previous literature, in order to avoid multi-
Fig. 5 illustrates the clustering characteristics in 2000, 2005, collinearity between the variables [34], one must perform stepwise
2010 and 2015 in the LISA agglomeration map. This paper uses regression analysis between dependent variables and independent
different colors to indicate High-High, Low-How, Low-Low and variables and delete variables of multicollinearity. Variables are
High-Low agglomeration types of the provincial coal resource ef- divided into four categories in Fig. 6. The results of significance tests
ficiencies. The numbers in the parentheses indicate total number of are depicted in Figs. 7e13. Provinces in white represent that
provinces that passed significance test at the 1% level for each selecting variables do not have an impact on efficiency of coal re-
agglomeration type. sources, bi ¼ 0, and the marked provinces indicate that they have
As time goes on, the numbers of High-High, Low-Low agglom- passed significance test, bis0. The following is result of provinces’
eration types are increasing except in 2015, which indicates that the analysis in turn.
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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
5.2. Comparative discussion of variables efficiency of coal resources in Hubei, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan,
Ningxia, Shaanxi, Hainan, Shanxi, and Sichuan. Hubei, Anhui,
(1) Total coal consumption. Total coal consumption has nega- and Sichuan passed the 1% level of significance; Jiangxi,
tive impact on efficiency of coal resources in Zhejiang, Fujian, Henan, and Ningxia passed the 5% level of significance;
Yunnan, Shanghai, Beijing, Liaoning, Heilongjiang. Zhejiang, Shaanxi, Hainan, and Shanxi passed the 10% level of signifi-
Fujian, and Yunnan passed the 1% level of significance. cance. In comparison with several other variables, this vari-
Shanghai passed the 5% level of significance. Beijing, Liaon- able does not have significant effect on efficiency of coal
ing, and Heilongjiang passed the 10% level of significance. resources. The annual mean of the resident population at the
The total coal consumption of the annual mean for Liaoning end of the year for Henan, Sichuan, Hebei and Anhui is 0.095
and Zhejiang is 0.15 billion tons and 0.12 billion tons billion persons, 0.082 billion persons, 0.071 billion persons,
respectively, and they rank 7th and 10th. Liaoning is pri- 0.061 billion persons, and these provinces rank 3rd, 4th, 6th,
marily involved in coal mining and washing industries, as 8th respectively. The annual mean of resident population at
well as ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing in- the end of the year in manufacturing in Henan is 6.15e12.11
dustries, in manufacturing and electricity, heat production million. Within construction industry it is 3.96e7.01 million,
and the supply industries with respect to electricity, gas, and in mining it is 0.49e0.57 million. In Sichuan, there are
water production and supply industry. Liaoning and Zhejiang 46.6e48.5 million persons in farming, forestry, animal hus-
improve the salvaging ratio of coal consumption in the above bandry and the fishery, 3.46e5.91 million persons in
industries to increase efficiency of coal resources. manufacturing, and 1.01e1.21 million persons in mining. In
(2) Resident population at the end of the year. Resident pop- Anhui, there are 13.96e15.84 million persons in farming,
ulation at the end of the year has negative influence on forestry, animal husbandry and the fishery, 5.28e7.14 million
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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
persons in manufacturing, and 0.71e0.53 million persons in (3) Gross domestic production of region. Gross domestic pro-
mining. We can conclude that the number of people in duction of region has negative impact on efficiency of coal
business at the end of the year is least according to the resources in Guangxi, Hebei, Hubei, Hainan, Guizhou,
provincial bureau of statistics and comparing farming, Yunnan, Jiangxi, and Henan. Guangxi, Hebei, Hubei, Hainan,
forestry, animal husbandry and fishery and manufacturing. Guizhou, and Yunnan passed the 1% level of significance.
The government is supposed to adjust number of people in Jiangxi and Henan passed the 10% level of significance. The
business at the end of year to augment number who work in annual mean value of gross domestic production of Henan
mining. and Hebei is 555.1 billion yuan and 549.9 billion yuan
respectively, and they rank 5th and 6th. Although Henan’s
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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
Fig. 9. Distribution map of coefficient of GDP. Fig. 11. Distribution map of coefficient of TER.
GDP value is among the better ones in country, its focus of (4) Completed investment of industrial pollution control.
development must be shifted from information industry, Completed investment of industrial pollution control has
such as electronics to coal industry. Increasing intensity of negative influence on efficiency of coal resources in
industrial adjustment and introducing advanced information Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangxi, Shandong,
technology into coal mining industry would further promote Gansu, and Qinghai. Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, and
development of intelligent mines and improved efficiency of Guangxi passed the 1% level of significance test. Shandong,
coal resources. Gansu, and Qinghai passed the 5% level of significance test.
Fig. 10. Distribution map of coefficient of IPC. Fig. 12. Distribution map of coefficient of FST.
11
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763
Chinese government ought to increase investment in science and RPY Resident population at the end of the year(10000
technology in coal industry. The mining industry is stepping into person)
development of the intelligent mine, and intelligent mining in coal COC Total coal consumption(10000 ton)
sector of the industry will be the developmental tendency of the IPC Completed investment of industrial pollution control
future. The introduction of advanced internet technology is a FST Local financial science and technology expenditures
necessary condition for improving efficiency of coal resources in T-DEA Traditional-DEA
mining industry. Furthermore, gross domestic product of region, B-DEA Bootstrap-DEA
completed investment in industrial pollution control and the in- L.B Low Boundary
cremental value of secondary industry have negative impacts on U.B Up Boundary
efficiency of coal resources in 8 provinces, total coal consumption
has negative impact on efficiency of coal resources in 6 provinces, Credit author statement
the incremental value of tertiary industry and resident population
at the end of year have negative impacts on efficiency of coal re- This paper does not involve academic misconduct.
sources including in 11 provinces and 9 provinces respectively. In
terms of the incremental value of tertiary industry, development of References
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