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Energy 221 (2021) 119763

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Energy
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Measurement and influential factors of the efficiency of coal resources


of China’s provinces: Based on Bootstrap-DEA and Tobit
Liming Xue a, *, Wenjie Zhang a, **, Zhixue Zheng b, ***, Zhe Liu a, Shuo Meng a,
Huaqing Li a, Yulin Du c
a
College of Energy and Mining, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), 100083, Beijing, China
b
College of Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China
c
China Electronics Standardization Institute, 100007, Beijing, China

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: A more efficient use of China’s coal resources is key to rapidly promoting the growth of the country’s
Received 26 May 2020 industrializing economy. As such, it is essential that an effective approach for measuring and evaluating
Received in revised form the current efficiency of coal resources is developed. This paper measures the efficiency of coal resources
22 December 2020
in 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2015 using an improved DEA model of Bootstrap, and it uses Tobit
Accepted 1 January 2021
Available online 6 January 2021
regression to analyze the influencing factors on the efficiency of coal resources. The results illustrate that:
1) The proposed approach could significantly improve upon the accuracy of the measurement of the
traditional DEA model. 2) The efficiency of coal resources shows an uptrend of fluctuation for the
Keywords:
Energy efficiency of coal resources
research period. With respect to the influential factors, total coal consumption has the least influence on
Bootstrap-DEA the efficiency of coal resources. In contrast, local financial science and technology expenditures have
Influential factors greatest influence on the efficiency of coal resources. Among all the influential factors, local financial
Tobit science and technology expenditures have the greatest negative impact on energy efficiency of coal
Coal resources and it is very critical that the government increases investment in scientific and technological
Spatial effect investment in the mining industry.
© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction some extent alleviate energy shortage. The share of coal resources
has a downward trend, but it still represents approximately 70% of
Energy is indispensable to economic development. The issue of total primary energy source production Fig. 1 [6]. Regardless of the
energy shortage is critical around the world, and especially for China National Energy Administration’s directives for imple-
China [1,2]. China has experienced decades of high speed economic mentation of the 13th five-year plan that directs that proportion of
growth, and demand for energy is continually growing. At the same clean and new energy resources should be increased in the up-
time, production of coal is experiencing a slow down due to coming years, the dominant position of coal resources will not be
ongoing economic restructuring to reduce excess production ca- taken over for some time. According to British Petroleum, China’s
pacity and adjust industrial structure [3e5]. In 2017, total energy coal production was 1.75 billion tons of oil equivalent, accounting
production in China was 3.59 billion tons of coal equivalent, while for 47.4% of worldwide coal production. Although coal resources are
energy consumption was 4.49 billion tons of coal equivalent, which a pillar energy source in China, the public attitude towards them is
created a 0.90 billion tons of coal equivalent shortage. How to not commensurate with its status [7].
guarantee energy security is of strategic significance to China, to Due to the dirtiness, low efficiency and high accident rate
address this problem, utilizing efficiently existing energy can to associated with coal [8,9], coal energy is frequently criticized for its
contributions as a pollutant and carbon emissions. Furthermore, in
comparison with energy efficiency studies on whole energy sour-
* Corresponding author.
ces, oil, gas, etc., relatively few studies have been conducted on this
** Corresponding author. important energy source. Because of the lack of investigation
*** Corresponding author. regarding energy efficiency of coal, we analyze energy efficiency of
E-mail addresses: liming-xue@163.com (L. Xue), ckgczhangwenjie@163.com coal resources in order to fill this gap in the literature. China has
(W. Zhang), zx-zheng@pku.edu.cn (Z. Zheng).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.119763
0360-5442/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

efficiency of various types of energy sources in China’s provinces.


The impact of different factors on energy efficiency show great
variance in China. For example, Bai et al. used the super efficiency
DEA method to measure energy efficiency, the results prove that
technological progress is the main methods to improve energy ef-
ficiency [17]. Yang et al. focused on investigating the influential
factors of China’s energy intensity, the results reveal that total
population is the most important factor and energy prices are the
least important factor [18]. Zhao et al. used three-stage DEA model
to evaluate China’s provincial energy efficiency, the results illus-
trate that ratio of the incremental value of secondary industry on
GDP has positive impact on energy efficiency, investment in fixed
assets and energy consumption have negative impact on energy
efficiency [19]. Thereafter, Pan et al. used slacks-based measure
data envelopment analysis method to calculate energy efficiency,
the results illustrate that foreign direct investment has positive
impact on energy efficiency [20].
In addition, when scope of energy efficiency value is between
Fig. 1. Energy consumption and production in China from 2000 to 2017. 0 and 1, a normal regression model cannot regard energy efficiency
as a dependent variable with a limited value, and the general
estimation method will lead to biases and inconsistent estimation
huge geographical area and there has been substantial disparity of results such as Ordinary Least Square. Tobit regression is based on
coal production due to the lack of balance in development of its principle of maximum likelihood estimation. Tobit firstly put for-
provinces [10]. Understanding energy efficiency of coal resources in ward Tobit regression model, which is a type of econometric model,
regions of country will lead to development of better policy im- and belongs to the limited dependent variables or truncation
plications that would be of benefit to China. econometric model. According to this model, the dependent vari-
able can only be observed in a restricted way [21]. Tobit regression
2. Literature review is widely used among scholars. Xiong et al. analyzed impact of in-
dustrial structure efficiency using Tobit regression model. They
The conception of energy efficiency is a measure of the useful found that adjustment of the industrial structure can improve en-
work produced per unit of energy used in an energy conversion ergy efficiency of industry [22]. Yu et al. measured the regional
[11]. At present, there are two methods for studying energy effi- heterogeneity of China’s energy efficiency and analyzed the pri-
ciency, the first is single factor energy efficiency, and the second is mary influential factors using Tobit regression. The results reveal
total factor energy efficiency. Single factor energy efficiency has that government intervention and market openness have negative
obvious limitations, when studying energy efficiency, it only impact on energy efficiency [23]. Yang et al. used Tobit model to
considered energy as a single input element. To avoid the disad- analyze the influential factors on urban energy efficiency. The re-
vantages of single factor energy efficiency. The concept of total sults show that economic development and city scale can promote
factor energy efficiency is proposed based on the DEA model [12], urban energy efficiency while government expenditure, industrial
many scholars have used total factor energy efficiency to do many structures, energy prices etc. have negative impact on urban energy
studies, some scholars have calculated the energy efficiency of a efficiency [24].
single type of energy source in the steel and coal industries using Furthermore, some scholars have used Tobit regression to
different approaches and analyzed the influential factors. For evaluate energy efficiency of industrial sectors and analyzed their
example, Wu et al. analyzed the influence of external factors on the influential factors. For example, Wang et al. measured energy effi-
power efficiency of the steel industry in China by using the three- ciency of 35 sub-industrial sectors in Beijing and analyzed the
stage DEA model. Their results reveal that improving trade open- influential factors of energy efficiency using Tobit regression. The
ness and optimizing industrial structure can improve power effi- results reveal that energy consumption structure has negative in-
ciency [13]. In term of the efficiency of coal consumption, scholars fluence on industrial energy efficiency while market concentration
have analyzed statistics of coal consumption at both the macro and and foreign direct investment have positive influence on industrial
micro levels. Long et al. studied differences in the efficiency of coal energy efficiency [25]. Liu et al. calculated energy efficiency and
consumption and pattern classification in China based on the data analyzed the influential factors on China’s transport sector through
envelopment analysis model and the Malmquist index. Their re- use of censored model and truncated model. The results show that
sults reveal that technical and efficiency changes have a negative per capital GDP, industrial structure, transport structure etc. have
growth effect on the total-factor energy efficiency of coal con- positive impact on energy efficiency [26].
sumption [14]. Guo et al. used slack based measurement- This summary of the existing literature reveals that the previous
undesirable approach to calculate the total factor coal consump- research on efficiency of coal resources has only focused on mea-
tion efficiency of the provinces and regions in China and applied the surement and evaluation of efficiency values. Based on the afore-
meta-frontier Malmquist index to analyze the efficiency of coal mentioned studies, this paper examines the following influential
consumption. Their the results indicate that technological progress factors in Fig. 6. As such, this paper analyzes the influencing factors
is the main driver of regional energy efficiency [15]. Furthermore, on efficiency of coal resources in order to supplement the de-
Wu et al. used an epsilon-based measure evaluation model to ficiencies in the previous literature as they pertain to evaluating
analyze the production efficiency of coal enterprises. They found both time-dimension and spatial distribution of efficiency of coal
that the input and output inefficiency were primarily affected by resources.
radial inefficiency [16].
In terms of energy efficiency measurement and analysis of
influencing factors, several scholars have measured energy
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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

3. Methodology 3.2. Exploratory spatial data analysis

3.1. Correction of Bootstrap-DEA model deviation for efficiency of Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) is a method through
coal resources which to test whether there is spatial dependence and spatial
heterogeneity among the research regions [30]. Spatial correlation
Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is non-parametric total factor analysis is one of the core components of ESDA and provides
efficiency measurement method and does not requiring production measurement of degree of agglomeration of spatial unit attribute
function of decision-making units [27]. However, the traditional values, including global spatial autocorrelation test and local spatial
DEA ignores the statistical test problem, and stability and feasibility autocorrelation test [31].
of conclusions cannot be guaranteed for the lack of statistical
properties of some indicators. Simar and Wilson [28] based on (1) Global space test method: Global spatial autocorrelation can
empirical data and used the repeated sampling to improve the analyze the overall degree of correlation, spatial distribution
traditional DEA that is called the Bootstrap-DEA. This model can pattern and significance of an attribute of all the spatial ob-
correct the deviation of confidence intervals and improve credi- jects in the research regions. This paper uses the classical
bility of traditional DEA [29].The Bootstrap-DEA is used in this indicator that is called global Moran’s I to reflect global
paper to measure efficiency of coal resources and the specific al- spatial agglomeration or decentralization characteristics. The
gorithm is as follows: global Moran’s I [32] equals:

Pn Pn  
(1) Given input-output sample data ðxi ; yi Þ of ith decision unit
i¼1 jsi wij ðxi  xÞ xj x
DMU, using the traditional DEA to calculate the estimated IG ¼ 2
Pn Pn (5)
S i¼1 jsi wij
efficiency to obtain efficiency value qb of ith region by solving
i
linear programming model.
n
P n
P
( ) In Eq. (5), x ¼ 1n xi ; S2 ¼ 1n ðxi  xÞ2 ; xi is ith province
n
X n
X i¼1 i¼1
qbi ¼ min q  gi yi ; qxi  gi xi ; q  0; gi ¼ 1; gi  0 value of efficiency of coal resources, n is number of provinces, wij
i¼1 i¼1 is a weight matrix of the spatial relationship between two
(1) adjacent regions, which can be used to represent the spatial
relationship of research unit. When ith region is adjacent to jth
region, wij ¼ 1, or else, wij ¼ 0, then Moran’s index I is
(2) Based on efficiency value qbi , i ¼ 1, 2 … n of each region ob- between 1 and 1. The closer to 1 value of Moran’s I, the
tained, we use the Bootstrap method to generate n random stronger positive correlation there is with respect to efficiency of
efficiency values q*1b ,. . ., q*nb , where b represents bth iteration coal resources between two regions. Vice versa, where the
closer value of Moran’s I is to 1, the stronger the negative
when using the Bootstrap method, and q*1b stands for ith
correlation of efficiency of coal resources between two regions.
random value of bth iteration of q*1b ,. . ., q*nb . When Moran’s I is close to 0, it indicates that there is no spatial
(3) Calculating the simulated sample ðx*ib ; yi Þ based on the correlation between two regions. The significance test is carried
Bootstrap method, where x*ib ¼ ð qbi =bq nb Þ*xi , i ¼ 1, 2,. . ., n. out by the standardized Moran’s I, which is named ZI as follows.
(4) For each Bootstrap simulation sample, we use the DEA model
* I  EðIÞ
to calculate efficiency estimate value b
q bi , i ¼ 1, 2 … n. ZI ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi (6)
(5) After repeating steps (2) to (4) B times, a set of efficiency VarðIÞ
*
estimates is obtained where b q bi , i ¼ 1,. . . n, b ¼ 1, 2 … B
(B ¼ 2000). In Eq. (6), EðIÞ is expectancy value and Var (I) is variance.
(6) Further estimating deviation of the modified DEA efficiency, (2) Local space test method: Global spatial autocorrelation as-
we find: sumes that space is stationary, which is an overall identifi-
cation of correlation of all spatial units. However, it cannot
    reveal features of adjacent regions. The local spatial auto-
* * *
q i ¼ E bq i  bq i
bias b (2) correlation statistic cannot only identify different spatial
correlation modes of different spatial locations but can also
reveal local agglomeration characteristics of research area. It
The estimator of deviation is: can provide a basis for research regarding efficiency of coal
resources of the regions. The local Moran’s I [33] of a spatial
  B
unit IL is defined as Eq. (7), where
* X *
d b
blas q i ¼ B1 b
q bi (3)
n
X
b¼1
IL ¼ zi wij zj (7)
isj
The efficiency value obtained after being corrected by the
Bootstrap method is as follows:
In Eq. (7), zi and zj are the standardized values of efficiency of
  coal resources, and wij is element of spatial weight matrix after
* * B
X *
~
q ¼ qbi  blas
d b q i ¼ 2bq i  B1 b
q bi (4) row standardization. The local Moran’s I is positive (negative),
b¼1 which indicates elements of the similar (different) type attribute
values are adjacent, and a larger absolute value indicates a
higher degree of proximity. The research area can be divided
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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

into four efficiency of coal resources agglomeration types: H-H is depicted through the Bootstrap-DEA and the traditional DEA of
agglomeration, L-L agglomeration, H-L agglomeration and L-H 30 provinces in 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015. we can conclude that
agglomeration according to local Moran’s I. efficiency of coal resources based on the Bootstrap-DEA are smaller
than the traditional DEA. This is because the Bootstrap-DEA solves
deviation of the traditional DEA in the case of small samples, which
proves reliability and stability of the Bootstrap-DEA in Table 2.
3.3. The Tobit regression model

The Tobit regression model is as below in this paper: 4.2. Spatial and temporal differentiation analysis of efficiency of
coal resources
lnECRt;i ¼ b þ a1 lnGDPt;i þ a2 lnSECt;i þ a3 lnTERt;i þ a4 lnRPYt;i
Efficiency of coal resources are calculated by the Bootstrap-DEA
þ a5 lnCOCt;i þ a6 lnFSTt;i þ a7 lnIPCt;i þ εt;i model are listed in Table 3. The efficiency coal resources was be-
(8) tween 0.37 and 0.81 for the 30 provinces during the research
period, which shows China’s coal resources are not fully utilized
In Eq (8). i represent city, t represents year, and ε is N1 vector of
and uneconomical use is more serious. In fact, there are two main
random error. a1 ; a2 /a10 are coefficients of explanatory variables.
reasons to explain the low levels of coal resource efficiency: the first
In order to eliminate heterogeneity between variables, the loga-
is the overcapacity of coal resources within some of the years, and
rithm of N1 vector of each variable is applied in this paper: lnECR,
the second involves falling coal prices for some of the years.
lnGDP, lnSEC, lnTER, lnFST, lnCOC, lnIPC and lnRPY.
With respect to the time dimension, from 2000 to 2006, effi-
By using Eviews software, this paper selects seven influencing
ciency of coal resource fell to a minimum of 0.53 in 2006, but ef-
factors as independent variables to analyze efficiency of coal re-
ficiency of coal resources has shown a general upward trend that
sources. The results are demonstrated in Table 1. In significance test,
has risen from 0.53 in 2006 to its highest point of 0.71 in 2013.
the null hypothesis is: H0: bi ¼ 0, and the alternative hypothesis is:
Recently however, a fluctuating downtrend was noted for two
Hi: bis0.
years, indicating that the utilization of coal resources had improved
in these years. However, the gap between the maximum and the
4. Results and discussion minimum was 0.18, implying that the growth of efficiency of coal
resources is not promising. The reason for this trend could be that
4.1. Measurement and analysis of efficiency of coal resources the government developed new policies and eliminated outdated
industrial capacity in order to save coal resources. However, the
This paper uses the Bootstrap-DEA model and R software to effects of the policy implementation have not been obvious, and so
calculate efficiency of coal resources of 30 provinces from 2000 to have led to this status with respect to coal resources.
2015 and set number of sampling times at 2000, confidence coef- From the perspective of spatial patterns, efficiency of coal re-
ficient is 95%. The radar chart of efficiency of coal resources in Fig. 2 sources has significant discrepancies between the regions. The

Table 1
The regression results of Tobit modela.

Province lnCOC lnRPY lnGDP lnIPC lnSEC lnTER lnFST C

Beijing 0.80* 1.55*** 12.79 0.02 4.02 ** 8.01 1.95 0.00


Tianjin 0.05 1.73*** 0.15 0.02 0.23*** 0.16 0.74*** 0.00
Hebei 1.95*** 0.74*** 2.31*** 0.43*** 3.56*** 1.91*** 2.14*** 0.00
Shanxi 3.99*** 2.12* 0.05 0.81*** 1.27*** 1.02 1.36*** 0.00
Inner Mongolia 0.85 3.01*** 3.43*** 0.06 0.85*** 2.77*** 0.32** 0.00
Liaoning 0.72* 1.90*** 0.78*** 0.03 0.28 1.25** 0.28*** 0.00
Jilin 0.98** 0.44 1.07* 0.12 0.89*** 0.27** 1.13* 0.00
Heilongjiang 0.54* 0.83*** 2.56** * 0.16 2.84*** 0.04 0.65** 0.00
Shanghai 1.28** 2.31** 0.98 1.14*** 0.04 0.17 1.55 0.00
Jiangsu 0.13 0.95 2.12 0.17*** 1.58* 0.21 0.72*** 0.00
Zhejiang 11.45*** 16.00*** 1.30*** 0.58*** 2.71*** 0.90*** 4.19*** 0.00
Anhui 0.41* 0.30*** 0.53 0.05 1.06** 0.08 0.13 0.00
Fujian 1.65*** 0.77 0.05 0.50*** 1.08*** 1.02*** 1.06** 0.00
Jiangxi 1.94 4.95** 1.46* 0.50 5.90*** 1.57** 0.74 0.00
Shandong 0.32 2.52*** 5.08*** 0.07** 2.54*** 2.33*** 0.70*** 0.00
Henan 0.71 0.88* 3.33* 0.08 2.62* 0.16 0.95** 0.00
Hubei 0.55*** 0.58*** 0.68*** 0.22*** 0.28** 0.05 0.02 0.00
Hunan 0.04 0.17 1.80 0.12 1.17 0.52 1.13 0.00
Guangdong 1.22*** 0.68 0.74 0.20** 1.13** 0.68*** 0.02 0.00
Guangxi 0.35*** 0.09** 1.33** * 0.15*** 0.86*** 0.50** 0.03 0.00
Hainan 0.97*** 0.48* 2.19*** 0.75*** 0.14 2.29*** 0.52** 0.00
Chongqing 1.36*** 0.42 1.19*** 0.41* 0.44 1.84*** 0.31 0.00
Sichuan 0.43*** 0.58*** 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.56** 0.57*** 0.00
Guizhou 1.45*** 1.20*** 0.78*** 0.30*** 0.93*** 0.15 0.18** 0.00
Yunnan 0.70*** 0.90*** 1.28*** 0.44*** 0.84*** 0.76*** 0.36*** 0.00
Shaanxi 3.26** 2.82* 0.75 0.09 0.25 0.94 0.15 0.00
Gansu 0.44 3.65** 0.08 0.56** 2.73*** 1.89** 1.96*** 0.00
Qinghai 0.27* 0.05 1.59*** 0.24** 0.41 1.30*** 1.15*** 0.00
Ningxia 2.06*** 0.78** 0.52 0.13 0.04 0.15 0.25* 0.00
Xinjiang 0.29 0.29 0.74*** 0.35*** 1.71*** 0.75*** 0.75** 0.00

Note: ***, **, * represent significant level for p < 0.01, p < 0.05, p < 0.1.
a
The results of the intercept is not equal to zero, when they are rounded to the hundredth, the “C” is shown as “0.00”.

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Fig. 2. Comparison of measurement results.

average efficiency values show that Beijing, Shanghai, Xinjiang, and evolution types: stationary types and fluctuation types, stationary
Jiangsu are superior to other provinces, and that Anhui, Gansu, types are divided into two subcategories: stable in high efficiency
Shanxi and Henan are inferior to other provinces. Moreover, the and stable in low efficiency, fluctuation types also are divided into
most efficient region is Beijing, with an efficiency of 0.81. It has 2.19 two subcategories: increased tendency for fluctuation and
times the efficiency of Anhui, which has the least efficiency of 0.37. decreased tendency for fluctuation [29].
There are big variations in the efficiency trends over the research The stable in high efficiency type is that the efficiency values
years and between the different regions. The regions with higher make adjustments between the relatively efficient and efficient
fluctuating ranges are Chongqing, Guangdong, Guizhou, where the groups. These provinces are Beijing, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Zhejiang,
gap between the maximum and minimum are 0.55, 0.54, and 0.51 Shandong, and Guangdong. Beijing and Tianjin advocates the
respectively. The relatively stable areas are Shandong, Shaanxi and vigorous development of new energy and new technologies, and
Hebei, where the gap between the maximum and the minimum are replace coal-fired heating with clean energy throughout the region.
0.10, 0.09, and 0.09, which shows that the different provinces have The government strictly controls the growth of energy consump-
huge discrepancies in capital, labor, coal resource reserves. tion in key industries and guides the high-pollution and high-
This paper examines the spatial and temporal integration with energy-consuming enterprises to transform into clean energy en-
respect to efficiency of coal resources of 30 provinces in 2000, 2005, terprises. In addition, the government requires the implementation
2010 and 2015 in Fig. 3, Arcgis software is used to depict the spatial of a coal-to-gas project for the clean transformation of coal-fired
and temporal characters of efficiency of coal resources. Represented facilities and the replacement of inferior coal with high-quality
by colors varying from dark to light, the four efficiency groups are: coal, these policies will reduce the waste of coal and improve the
inefficient, relatively inefficient, relatively efficient and efficient. As efficiency of coal resources. Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and
implied in Fig. 3, efficiency of coal resources constantly makes Guangdong are big provinces of coal consumption, these provinces
adjustments between efficiency groups in 30 provinces. Therefore, are advancing the merger and reorganization of coal mine enter-
The efficiency groups are divided into two spatial and temporal prises, establishing a normal verification mechanism for coal mine

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Table 2 coal trading market system, these measures have further promoted
Comparison of efficiency of coal resources between Bootstrap - DEA and Traditional the improvement of efficiency of coal resources.
-DEA in 2015.
Examples of stable in low efficiency include Hebei, Shanxi,
Province T-DEA B-DEA Dev. L.B. U.B. Anhui, Henan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Sichuan and Gansu. Among these
Beijing 1.00 0.80 0.20 0.63 0.99 provinces, Hebei, Shanxi, Anhui, Henan and Guizhou are the main
Tianjin 1.00 0.87 0.13 0.78 0.99 coal production and export provinces. Taking Shanxi Province as an
Hebei 0.53 0.48 0.05 0.43 0.52 example, this province is facing serious problems of increasingly
Shanxi 0.36 0.33 0.03 0.30 0.36
prominent energy and environmental constraints. Solving the
Inner Mongolia 1.00 0.82 0.18 0.69 0.99
Liaoning 1.00 0.88 0.12 0.80 0.99 problem of energy conservation and environmental protection is a
Jilin 0.82 0.74 0.08 0.67 0.81 primary issue. The treatment of polluted air and damaged land
Heilongjiang 0.49 0.44 0.05 0.40 0.49 need a lot of money that greatly increases the production cost of
Shanghai 1.00 0.79 0.21 0.65 0.98
coal, which is a major reason for the low efficiency of coal resources.
Jiangsu 1.00 0.82 0.18 0.67 0.99
Zhejiang 0.79 0.68 0.11 0.58 0.78
The remaining other provinces are located in western China, the
Anhui 0.50 0.46 0.05 0.41 0.50 economic development of provinces in the western region is rela-
Fujian 0.84 0.75 0.09 0.65 0.83 tively backward, compared with other provinces, there is a clear
Jiangxi 0.57 0.50 0.07 0.44 0.57 gap in coal mining technology, coal production is relatively low, and
Shandong 0.79 0.68 0.11 0.56 0.78
it requires a lot of manpower to participate in coal mine production
Henan 0.56 0.50 0.06 0.44 0.55
Hubei 0.92 0.84 0.08 0.78 0.91 activities, which reduces corporate profits and efficiency of coal
Hunan 0.77 0.70 0.07 0.65 0.76 resources.
Guangdong 1.00 0.79 0.21 0.63 0.99 The provinces of increased tendency for fluctuation are Liaon-
Guangxi 0.71 0.64 0.07 0.58 0.70 ing, Ningxia, Jilin, Hunan and Hubei, the coal resource efficiency of
Hainan 1.00 0.79 0.21 0.63 0.99
Chongqing 0.65 0.58 0.07 0.52 0.65
these provinces has shifted from the inefficiency group to the ef-
Sichuan 0.69 0.62 0.07 0.53 0.68 ficiency group, these provinces adjust the structure of the coal in-
Guizhou 0.55 0.50 0.05 0.45 0.54 dustry, and improve the percentage rate and utilization efficiency
Yunnan 0.59 0.53 0.06 0.48 0.58 of coal resources, these provinces also promote the comprehensive
Shaanxi 1.00 0.87 0.13 0.77 0.99
development in utilization of coal and associated resources and
Gansu 0.48 0.43 0.05 0.38 0.48
Qinghai 1.00 0.84 0.16 0.69 0.99 strengthen management to increase benefits, and build a coal
Ningxia 1.00 0.84 0.16 0.70 0.99 reserve base and a coal trading platform to improve the coal supply
Xinjiang 0.71 0.63 0.08 0.56 0.70 system.
The provinces of decreased tendency for fluctuation where this
is seen include Heilongjiang, Xinjiang, Jiangxi. The coal resources of
production capacity, accelerating the elimination of backward these two provinces are very rich, and the enterprises are carrying
production capacity, and actively promoting the construction of the out large-scale production. At the same time, the coal consumption

Table 3
Estimations of efficiency of coal resources in 30 provinces.

Province 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average

Beijing 0.85 0.84 0.77 0.79 0.85 0.80 0.71 0.77 0.81 0.85 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.81
Tianjin 0.61 0.58 0.60 0.60 0.56 0.63 0.63 0.77 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.75
Hebei 0.46 0.56 0.56 0.49 0.45 0.42 0.43 0.53 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.48 0.52
Shanxi 0.38 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.43 0.41 0.51 0.52 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.33 0.42
Inner Mongolia 0.65 0.46 0.54 0.65 0.69 0.81 0.90 0.81 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.84 0.82 0.75
Liaoning 0.53 0.46 0.45 0.41 0.35 0.40 0.41 0.59 0.83 0.89 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.66
Jilin 0.55 0.47 0.50 0.50 0.45 0.51 0.53 0.71 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.83 0.74 0.68
Heilongjiang 0.72 0.57 0.58 0.57 0.50 0.53 0.52 0.61 0.64 0.59 0.66 0.76 0.66 0.63 0.55 0.44 0.60
Shanghai 0.83 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.82 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.80
Jiangsu 0.59 0.78 0.79 0.70 0.74 0.79 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.84 0.82 0.83 0.82 0.77
Zhejiang 0.63 0.59 0.71 0.67 0.62 0.59 0.61 0.62 0.78 0.77 0.80 0.76 0.77 0.72 0.69 0.68 0.69
Anhui 0.44 0.50 0.37 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.33 0.35 0.41 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.46 0.37
Fujian 0.77 0.80 0.75 0.84 0.70 0.61 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.61 0.71 0.67 0.69 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.70
Jiangxi 0.51 0.43 0.58 0.54 0.53 0.66 0.47 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.58 0.53 0.50 0.54
Shandong 0.58 0.54 0.57 0.71 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.84 0.84 0.80 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.72 0.68 0.73
Henan 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.34 0.28 0.39 0.42 0.51 0.56 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.46
Hubei 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.32 0.34 0.29 0.38 0.42 0.54 0.58 0.66 0.77 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.51
Hunan 0.49 0.48 0.49 0.44 0.43 0.37 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.45 0.46 0.56 0.65 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.50
Guangdong 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.77
Guangxi 0.47 0.48 0.51 0.53 0.45 0.45 0.40 0.42 0.52 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.57 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.51
Hainan 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.79 0.77
Chongqing 0.65 0.66 0.64 0.57 0.55 0.49 0.44 0.57 0.64 0.65 0.65 0.71 0.64 0.57 0.56 0.58 0.60
Sichuan 0.37 0.45 0.43 0.34 0.32 0.36 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.51 0.63 0.66 0.71 0.67 0.62 0.48
Guizhou 0.31 0.45 0.59 0.53 0.52 0.48 0.42 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.43 0.48 0.54 0.56 0.50 0.48
Yunnan 0.70 0.57 0.53 0.48 0.48 0.44 0.43 0.51 0.50 0.47 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.51
Shaanxi 0.45 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.37 0.36 0.40 0.51 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.57 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.87 0.56
Gansu 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.27 0.51 0.34 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.47 0.52 0.50 0.51 0.50 0.43 0.41
Qinghai 0.74 0.67 0.69 0.73 0.62 0.75 0.60 0.61 0.67 0.68 0.74 0.78 0.80 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.73
Ningxia 0.57 0.50 0.50 0.47 0.50 0.52 0.50 0.58 0.60 0.56 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.86 0.84 0.65
Xinjiang 0.86 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.82 0.75 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.74 0.82 0.84 0.76 0.69 0.71 0.63 0.79
Average 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.54 0.56 0.53 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.67 0.62

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Fig. 3. Spatial-temporal evolution of efficiency of coal resources.

has also increased, and the coal utilization rate is not high. The task Table 4. The Moran’s I is positive over the research period, indi-
of reducing coal production capacity and eliminating backward coal cating that there is a spatial correlation of efficiency of coal re-
mines in Jiangxi is incomplete, which causes a decline in efficiency sources from a provincial perspective. It can be seen that value of
of coal resources. Moran’s I and test results fluctuated from 2000 to 2015, and they
passed the 1% significance test. These results demonstrate that ef-
4.3. Spatial autocorrelation analysis of efficiency of coal resources ficiency of coal resources has significant spatial correlation among
China’s provinces.
This paper utilizes Geoda software to estimate global autocor- The global spatial correlation test is based on the overall
relation of Moran’s I in 30 provinces from 2000 to 2015 and uses research of object to carry out the overall autocorrelation analysis,
Monte Carlo to make 999 simulations. The results are listed in which cannot accurately explain the spatial agglomeration phe-
nomenon of local area. Therefore, this paper uses a local spatial
autocorrelation test for further analysis.
Table 4 The Moran’s I scatter plot reflects the spatial clustering char-
Moran’s I and significance test.
acteristics in four quadrants. The first quadrant shows provinces
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 with high efficiency of coal resources that are surrounded by
Moran’s I 0.74 0.707 0.79 0.81 0.81 0.92 0.66 0.78 provinces with high efficiency of coal resources. The second
P-value 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 quadrant shows provinces with low efficiency of coal resources that
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 are surrounded by provinces with high efficiency of coal resources.
Moran’s I 0.78 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.86
The third quadrant shows provinces with low efficiency of coal
P-value 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Fig. 4. Moran scatter plot for China’s efficiency of coal resources.

resources that are surrounded by provinces of low efficiency of coal spatial correlation of efficiency of coal resources is becoming more
resources. The fourth quadrant shows provinces of high efficiency significant. Additionally, the LISA agglomeration map shows that
of coal resources that are surrounded by provinces with low effi- High-High agglomeration type is transferred toward country’s
ciency of coal resources. The provinces in the first and third eastern regions, including provinces such as Guangdong, Fujian,
quadrants of the Moran scatter plot display spatial clustering Jiangsu, Shanghai, and some western regions such as Xinjiang,
characteristics, indicating that these provinces have similar attri- Qinghai, and Inner Mongolia. The Low-Low agglomeration type is
butes. Conversely, provinces in the second and fourth quadrants concentrated in the central regions such as in Shanxi, Henan, Anhui,
have spatial heterogeneity, indicating that these provinces have Hubei, and mostly in the western regions such as in Guangxi,
different attributes from those in the surrounding provinces. Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Shaanxi, and Gansu. Hence, coal
The Moran’s I scatter plot in Fig. 4 shows the local Moran scatter resource efficiencies of 30 provinces have significant spatial cor-
plots for 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015. The circles represent levels of relation, both with respect to global spatial correlation and local
the provinces’ efficiency of coal resources; the red line is regression spatial autocorrelation.
line of Moran’s I global test; and its slope represents test statistic.
Fig. 4 indicates the Moran Scatter Plots of every province in the four
quadrants respectively. These provinces are mostly distributed in
the first and the third quadrants, and there are hardly any provinces 5. Analyzing influential factors on efficiency of coal resources
that fall into the second and fourth quadrants. Because statistic test
of Moran’s I is not significant in the fourth quadrant, it indicates 5.1. Variables and significance test
that China’s provincial efficiency of coal resources is characterized
by spatial clustering. Based on the previous literature, in order to avoid multi-
Fig. 5 illustrates the clustering characteristics in 2000, 2005, collinearity between the variables [34], one must perform stepwise
2010 and 2015 in the LISA agglomeration map. This paper uses regression analysis between dependent variables and independent
different colors to indicate High-High, Low-How, Low-Low and variables and delete variables of multicollinearity. Variables are
High-Low agglomeration types of the provincial coal resource ef- divided into four categories in Fig. 6. The results of significance tests
ficiencies. The numbers in the parentheses indicate total number of are depicted in Figs. 7e13. Provinces in white represent that
provinces that passed significance test at the 1% level for each selecting variables do not have an impact on efficiency of coal re-
agglomeration type. sources, bi ¼ 0, and the marked provinces indicate that they have
As time goes on, the numbers of High-High, Low-Low agglom- passed significance test, bis0. The following is result of provinces’
eration types are increasing except in 2015, which indicates that the analysis in turn.
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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Fig. 5. LISA agglomeration map.

5.2. Comparative discussion of variables efficiency of coal resources in Hubei, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan,
Ningxia, Shaanxi, Hainan, Shanxi, and Sichuan. Hubei, Anhui,
(1) Total coal consumption. Total coal consumption has nega- and Sichuan passed the 1% level of significance; Jiangxi,
tive impact on efficiency of coal resources in Zhejiang, Fujian, Henan, and Ningxia passed the 5% level of significance;
Yunnan, Shanghai, Beijing, Liaoning, Heilongjiang. Zhejiang, Shaanxi, Hainan, and Shanxi passed the 10% level of signifi-
Fujian, and Yunnan passed the 1% level of significance. cance. In comparison with several other variables, this vari-
Shanghai passed the 5% level of significance. Beijing, Liaon- able does not have significant effect on efficiency of coal
ing, and Heilongjiang passed the 10% level of significance. resources. The annual mean of the resident population at the
The total coal consumption of the annual mean for Liaoning end of the year for Henan, Sichuan, Hebei and Anhui is 0.095
and Zhejiang is 0.15 billion tons and 0.12 billion tons billion persons, 0.082 billion persons, 0.071 billion persons,
respectively, and they rank 7th and 10th. Liaoning is pri- 0.061 billion persons, and these provinces rank 3rd, 4th, 6th,
marily involved in coal mining and washing industries, as 8th respectively. The annual mean of resident population at
well as ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing in- the end of the year in manufacturing in Henan is 6.15e12.11
dustries, in manufacturing and electricity, heat production million. Within construction industry it is 3.96e7.01 million,
and the supply industries with respect to electricity, gas, and in mining it is 0.49e0.57 million. In Sichuan, there are
water production and supply industry. Liaoning and Zhejiang 46.6e48.5 million persons in farming, forestry, animal hus-
improve the salvaging ratio of coal consumption in the above bandry and the fishery, 3.46e5.91 million persons in
industries to increase efficiency of coal resources. manufacturing, and 1.01e1.21 million persons in mining. In
(2) Resident population at the end of the year. Resident pop- Anhui, there are 13.96e15.84 million persons in farming,
ulation at the end of the year has negative influence on forestry, animal husbandry and the fishery, 5.28e7.14 million

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Fig. 6. Flowchart of categories of variables.

persons in manufacturing, and 0.71e0.53 million persons in (3) Gross domestic production of region. Gross domestic pro-
mining. We can conclude that the number of people in duction of region has negative impact on efficiency of coal
business at the end of the year is least according to the resources in Guangxi, Hebei, Hubei, Hainan, Guizhou,
provincial bureau of statistics and comparing farming, Yunnan, Jiangxi, and Henan. Guangxi, Hebei, Hubei, Hainan,
forestry, animal husbandry and fishery and manufacturing. Guizhou, and Yunnan passed the 1% level of significance.
The government is supposed to adjust number of people in Jiangxi and Henan passed the 10% level of significance. The
business at the end of year to augment number who work in annual mean value of gross domestic production of Henan
mining. and Hebei is 555.1 billion yuan and 549.9 billion yuan
respectively, and they rank 5th and 6th. Although Henan’s

Fig. 7. Distribution map of coefficient of COC.


Fig. 8. Distribution map of coefficient of RPY.

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Fig. 9. Distribution map of coefficient of GDP. Fig. 11. Distribution map of coefficient of TER.

GDP value is among the better ones in country, its focus of (4) Completed investment of industrial pollution control.
development must be shifted from information industry, Completed investment of industrial pollution control has
such as electronics to coal industry. Increasing intensity of negative influence on efficiency of coal resources in
industrial adjustment and introducing advanced information Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangxi, Shandong,
technology into coal mining industry would further promote Gansu, and Qinghai. Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, and
development of intelligent mines and improved efficiency of Guangxi passed the 1% level of significance test. Shandong,
coal resources. Gansu, and Qinghai passed the 5% level of significance test.

Fig. 10. Distribution map of coefficient of IPC. Fig. 12. Distribution map of coefficient of FST.

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L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

should comprehensively increase the overall level of devel-


opment of coal resources by integrating coal resources and
promoting the effective protection, rational exploitation, and
efficient utilization of coal resources. The incremental value
of tertiary industry has negative impact on efficiency of coal
resources in Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Fujian, Shandong,
Guangdong, Chongqing, Qinghai, Liaoning, Jilin, Jiangxi, and
Sichuan. Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Fujian, Shandong, Guang-
dong, Chongqing, and Qinghai passed the 1% level of signif-
icance. Liaoning, Jilin, Jiangxi, and Sichuan passed the 5%
level of significance. The annual mean values of the incre-
mental value of the tertiary industries of Guangdong, Shan-
dong, Liaoning, Hebei, and Sichuan are 521.6 billion yuan,
319.7 billion yuan, 199.4 billion yuan, 187.0 billion yuan, 170.2
billion yuan respectively, and these provinces rank 1st, 3rd,
7th, 8th, 10th. Judging from the results of the four censuses,
the proportion of tertiary industry continues to rise steadily,
and the average annual growth rate from 2008 to 2013 was
10.3%. From the results of the analysis, the annual mean
values of the incremental value of tertiary industries of
Guangdong, Shandong, Liaoning, Hebei, and Sichuan rank at
forefront of 30 provinces, and total coal consumption in
Shandong, Hebei, Liaoning, Guangdong, Sichuan rank 1st,
3rd, 7th, 8th, and 15th. Therefore, while developing tertiary
industry, we do not ignore development of coal industry as a
result of shortage of coal resources, and it is estimated that
Fig. 13. Distribution map of coefficient of SEC. proportion of coal will be 50% of Chinese energy structure by
2050 [35].
(6) Local financial science and technology expenditures. Local
The annual mean values of completed investment in indus- financial science and technology expenditures have negative
trial pollution control for Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and influence on efficiency of coal resources in Tianjin, Hebei,
Fujian respectively are 7.55 billion yuan, 4.32 billion yuan, Shanxi, Liaoning, Zhejiang, Shandong, Yunnan, Gansu, Lnner
3.49 billion yuan, and 2.70 billion yuan, and they rank 1st, Mongolia, Henan, Hainan, Guizhou, Ningxia, and Xinjiang.
2nd, 5th, 10th. The China Statistical Yearbook shows that Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Liaoning, Zhejiang, Shandong,
sulfur dioxide emissions, nitrogen oxide emissions, smoke Yunnan, and Gansu passed the 1% level of significance. Inner
(powder) dust emissions decreased over time in Shandong, Mongolia, Henan, Hainan, Guizhou, and Xinjiang passed the
Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, but that total wastewater emissions 5% level of significance. Ningxia passed the 10% level of sig-
did not decrease over time except in Shandong. Shandong, nificance. The annual mean values of local financial science
Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian are enormous provinces of coal and technology expenditures in Henan and Shanxi are 20.5
consumption. It can be seen that coal consumption is directly billion yuan and 6.7 billion yuan, and these provinces rank
related to investment in control of environmental pollutants. 3rd and 10th respectively. The local financial science and
But the essential problem involves increasing investments so technology expenditures of Henan account for 1.2%e1.4% of
as to improve desulfurization, denitrification and wastewater public financial expenditures and education accounts for
purification technologies in order to improve efficiency of 18.7%e22.1%. The local financial science and technology ex-
coal resources. penditures of Shanxi is 1.1%e1.6%, and that for education is
(5) Industry structure. Industry structure is represented by in- 17.6%e23.5%. As we can see, there is a tremendous gap be-
cremental values of secondary and tertiary industry. The tween expenditures on financial science and technology and
incremental value of secondary industry has negative impact on education. Hence, government departments in Henan and
on efficiency of coal resources in Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, Shanxi need to augment their spending on financial science
Jiangxi, Shandong, Guangxi, Guizhou, Anhui, and Jiangsu. and technology more than do other provinces in order to
Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Shandong, Guangxi, and increase their coal resource efficiencies.
Guizhou passed the 1% level of significance. Anhui passed the
5% level of significance, and Jiangsu passed the 10% level of 6. Conclusions and policy implications
significance. Annual mean values of the incremental value of
secondary industry in Jiangsu, Shandong, Zhejiang, and This paper uses an improved DEA model of Bootstrap to mea-
Heilongjiang are 458.6 billion yuan, 432.3 billion yuan, 333.5 sure energy efficiency of coal resources of 30 provinces in China
billion yuan, 180.7 billion yuan respectively and they rank from 2000 to 2015. Our results show that the proposed approach
2nd, 3rd, 4th, 9th. With the continuous advancement of coal can significantly improve accuracy of measurement of a traditional
industry in resolving excess capacity, production of raw coal DEA model. This paper also analyzes seven influencing factors on
is gradually decreasing at an average annual decline of 1.7% efficiency of coal resources using panel data of 30 provinces from
in Jiangsu. The production of raw coal shows a clear down- 2000 to 2015 through Tobit regression. Overall, this paper draws
ward trend in Shandong and Heilongjiang from 2011 to 2015. the following conclusions:
However, these provinces rank higher in coal consumption, The finding that local financial science and technology expen-
and to maintain coal consumption by imports whereas in- diture has negative impact on efficiency of coal resource utilization
crease cost of import. To solve this problem, government is the most serious, particularly for 14 provinces in China. As such,
12
L. Xue, W. Zhang, Z. Zheng et al. Energy 221 (2021) 119763

Chinese government ought to increase investment in science and RPY Resident population at the end of the year(10000
technology in coal industry. The mining industry is stepping into person)
development of the intelligent mine, and intelligent mining in coal COC Total coal consumption(10000 ton)
sector of the industry will be the developmental tendency of the IPC Completed investment of industrial pollution control
future. The introduction of advanced internet technology is a FST Local financial science and technology expenditures
necessary condition for improving efficiency of coal resources in T-DEA Traditional-DEA
mining industry. Furthermore, gross domestic product of region, B-DEA Bootstrap-DEA
completed investment in industrial pollution control and the in- L.B Low Boundary
cremental value of secondary industry have negative impacts on U.B Up Boundary
efficiency of coal resources in 8 provinces, total coal consumption
has negative impact on efficiency of coal resources in 6 provinces, Credit author statement
the incremental value of tertiary industry and resident population
at the end of year have negative impacts on efficiency of coal re- This paper does not involve academic misconduct.
sources including in 11 provinces and 9 provinces respectively. In
terms of the incremental value of tertiary industry, development of References
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