PROYECTO DE INGENIERÍA MECÁNICA 2:

CODIGO MEC298
ASESORES: Moromisato Chinen, Andrea moromisato.a@pucp.pe
Huaynate Gü ere, Christian Edward chuaynateg@pucp.edu.pe
Espinoza Asencios, Carlos Enrique cespinozaa@pucp.edu.pe
Barrantes Peñ a, Enrique José ebarran@pucp.edu.pe

GRUPO: Grupo 06

CÓ DIGO NOMBRES CORREO

20142885 Carlos Rodrigo Leiva Briceñ o rleivab@pucp.pe
20160622 José Luis Pérez Trillo jperezt@pucp.edu.pe
20160801 Deyber Luiseduardo Rosas Alcalde a20160801@pucp.edu.pe
20165701 Julio César Béjar Vargas jcbejarv@pucp.edu.pe

PROYECTO: Diseñ o general de una Central Hidroeléctrica

DETALLE DE INVERSIÓN EN CENTRAL HIDROELECTRICA SAN GABÁN III ENTRE AÑOS DEL 2023 AL 2026
(Montos en Miles de Soles)

2023 2024 2025 2026

Obras Civiles 182,976.00 169,075.00 211,690.00 46,566.00
Equipamiento 55,563.00 25,028.00 104,729.00 92,495.00
Total 238,539.00 194,103.00 316,418.00 139,062.00

Total de Inversión 888,122.00

(Miles de S/.)

TABLA PARA HALLAR LOS FLUJOS DE CAJA

Prec Energ En Gen Ingreso Total
Año
(Miles de S/. / MWh) (MWh) (Miles de S/.)
2027 0.141 1263209.52 178,112.54
2028 0.148 1263209.52 186,955.01
2029 0.148 1263209.52 186,955.01
2030 0.153 1263209.52 193,271.06
2031 0.154 1263209.52 194,534.27
2032 0.163 1263209.52 205,903.15
2033 0.162 1263209.52 204,639.94
2034 0.168 1263209.52 212,219.20
2035 0.168 1263209.52 212,219.20
2036 0.173 1263209.52 218,535.25
2037 0.173 1263209.52 218,535.25
2038 0.183 1263209.52 231,167.34
2039 0.186 1263209.52 234,956.97
2040 0.189 1263209.52 238,746.60
2041 0.194 1263209.52 245,062.65
2042 0.201 1263209.52 253,905.11
2043 0.204 1263209.52 257,694.74
2044 0.207 1263209.52 261,484.37
2045 0.212 1263209.52 267,800.42
2046 0.214 1263209.52 270,326.84
2047 0.220 1263209.52 277,906.09
2048 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2049 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2050 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2051 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2052 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2053 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2054 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2055 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35
2056 0.226 1263209.52 285,485.35

TASA DE
INVERSIÓN
DESCUENTO

7.7% -888,122.00

*Inversión y Flujos de Cajas en Mile

TASA DE
DESCUENTO

0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
 30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%

Fuentes:
 CORREO
vab@pucp.pe
rezt@pucp.edu.pe
0160801@pucp.edu.pe
ejarv@pucp.edu.pe

ÑOS DEL 2023 AL 2026

Inversion Total por Sector Tiempo de Depreciación Depreciación

(Años)
Obras Civiles 610307.00 30 20343.57
Equipamiento 277815.00 25 11112.60

Pago a COES,MINEM, OSINERGMIN, ANA

Costos Operat-Mantenim Costos Administrativos Costos Entidades Estatales Costos Seguros
(Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.)
4,557.00 553.00 4,452.81 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 4,673.88 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 4,673.88 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 4,831.78 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 4,863.36 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,147.58 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,116.00 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,305.48 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,305.48 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,463.38 7,104.98
 4,557.00 553.00 5,463.38 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,779.18 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,873.92 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 5,968.66 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,126.57 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,347.63 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,442.37 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,537.11 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,695.01 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,758.17 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 6,947.65 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
4,557.00 553.00 7,137.13 7,104.98
*COES, MINEM, OSINERMIG, ANA

2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033

45,494.97 53,729.48 56,582.33 63,681.58 67,840.79 78,691.27 81,845.21

versión y Flujos de Cajas en Miles de Soles

VALOR
ACTUAL NETO
(VAN) Tasa de Descuento vs VAN para CH SGIII
2,695,694.16 3,000,000.00
717,906.34
-24,749.21
2,500,000.00
-350,982.38
-515,884.70
-609,622.10 2,000,000.00
Tasa de Descuento vs VAN para C
to (VAN)

1,500,000.00
 2,500,000.00

2,000,000.00
-668,133.54 Tasa de Descuento vs VAN para C
-707,414.83

Valor Actual Neto (VAN)

-735,315.79 1,500,000.00
-756,025.67
-771,943.76
-784,527.61 1,000,000.00
-794,707.23
-803,100.97
500,000.00
-810,134.54

0.00
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

-500,000.00

-1,000,000.00

Tasa de descuento (tdes)

Se aprecia que la grafica corta al eje de Tasa en aproximadamente Tasa = 9.74%

Tesis: https://e-archivo.uc3m.es/bitstream/handle/10016/29213/TFG_Jaime_Alesanco_Solis_2018.pdf?sequence=1
Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXcMnoWDjs8
Costos Seguros Costos de Explotación EBITDA Deprecia. de Obras Civiles
(Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.)
7,104.98 16,667.79 161,444.75 20,343.57
7,104.98 16,888.85 170,066.16 20,343.57
7,104.98 16,888.85 170,066.16 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,046.75 176,224.30 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,078.33 177,455.93 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,362.55 188,540.60 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,330.97 187,308.97 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,520.46 194,698.74 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,520.46 194,698.74 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,678.36 200,856.89 20,343.57
 7,104.98 17,678.36 200,856.89 20,343.57
7,104.98 17,994.16 213,173.18 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,088.90 216,868.07 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,183.64 220,562.96 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,341.54 226,721.10 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,562.60 235,342.51 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,657.34 239,037.40 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,752.09 242,732.29 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,909.99 248,890.43 20,343.57
7,104.98 18,973.15 251,353.69 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,162.63 258,743.47 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57
7,104.98 19,352.11 266,133.24 20,343.57

2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

90,939.16 95,593.81 104,647.61 110,127.76 118,134.35 120,536.32 122,938.30

AN para CH SGIII

Tasa de Descuento vs VAN para CH SGIII

 Tasa de Descuento vs VAN para CH SGIII

50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

es)

te Tasa = 9.74%

o_Solis_2018.pdf?sequence=1
Deprecia. de Equipamiento DEPRECIACIÓN TOTAL Costos Financieros EBITDA-DEPREC-GF
(Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.)
11,112.60 31,456.17 60,018.00 69,970.59
11,112.60 31,456.17 55,972.00 82,637.99
11,112.60 31,456.17 51,583.00 87,026.99
11,112.60 31,456.17 46,820.00 97,948.14
11,112.60 31,456.17 41,653.00 104,346.77
11,112.60 31,456.17 36,046.00 121,038.43
11,112.60 31,456.17 29,962.00 125,890.80
11,112.60 31,456.17 23,362.00 139,880.58
11,112.60 31,456.17 16,201.00 147,041.58
11,112.60 31,456.17 8,431.00 160,969.72
 11,112.60 31,456.17 - 169,400.72
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 181,717.02
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 185,411.90
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 189,106.79
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 195,264.94
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 203,886.34
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 207,581.23
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 211,276.12
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 217,434.27
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 219,897.52
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 227,287.30
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 234,677.08
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 234,677.08
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 234,677.08
11,112.60 31,456.17 - 234,677.08
- 20,343.57 - 245,789.68
- 20,343.57 - 245,789.68
- 20,343.57 - 245,789.68
- 20,343.57 - 245,789.68
- 20,343.57 - 245,789.68

2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047

126,941.60 132,546.21 134,948.19 137,350.16 141,353.46 142,954.78 147,758.73

EBITDA-DEPREC-GF Cost. Particip. Trabajad. Impuestos FLUJO DE CAJA
(Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.) (Miles de S/.)
69,970.59 3,498.53 20,991.18 45,480.88
82,637.99 4,131.90 24,791.40 53,714.69
87,026.99 4,351.35 26,108.10 56,567.54
97,948.14 4,897.41 29,384.44 63,666.29
104,346.77 5,217.34 31,304.03 67,825.40
121,038.43 6,051.92 36,311.53 78,674.98
125,890.80 6,294.54 37,767.24 81,829.02
139,880.58 6,994.03 41,964.17 90,922.37
147,041.58 7,352.08 44,112.47 95,577.02
160,969.72 8,048.49 48,290.92 104,630.32
169,400.72 8,470.04 50,820.22 110,110.47
181,717.02 9,085.85 54,515.10 118,116.06
185,411.90 9,270.60 55,623.57 120,517.74
189,106.79 9,455.34 56,732.04 122,919.41
195,264.94 9,763.25 58,579.48 126,922.21
203,886.34 10,194.32 61,165.90 132,526.12
207,581.23 10,379.06 62,274.37 134,927.80
211,276.12 10,563.81 63,382.84 137,329.48
217,434.27 10,871.71 65,230.28 141,332.27
219,897.52 10,994.88 65,969.26 142,933.39
227,287.30 11,364.36 68,186.19 147,736.74
234,677.08 11,733.85 70,403.12 152,540.10
234,677.08 11,733.85 70,403.12 152,540.10
234,677.08 11,733.85 70,403.12 152,540.10
234,677.08 11,733.85 70,403.12 152,540.10
245,789.68 12,289.48 73,736.90 159,763.29
245,789.68 12,289.48 73,736.90 159,763.29
245,789.68 12,289.48 73,736.90 159,763.29
245,789.68 12,289.48 73,736.90 159,763.29
245,789.68 12,289.48 73,736.90 159,763.29

2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054

152,562.68 152,562.68 152,562.68 152,562.68 159,785.87 159,785.87 159,785.87

 2055 2056 VAN TIR

159,785.87 159,785.87 237,204.66 9.74%

(Miles de S/)