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The Impact of Intellectual Capital Spillover on Total Factor Productivity An Empirical


Study in Coastal Regions of China
Author(s): Fan Tian and Liu Liu
Source: Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 94: Selected Topics in Coastal
Research: Engineering, Industry, Economy, and Sustainable Development (SUMMER 2019),
pp. 920-925
Published by: Coastal Education & Research Foundation, Inc.
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Journal of Coastal Research SI 94 920–925 Coconut Creek, Florida 2019

The Impact of Intellectual Capital Spillover on Total Factor


Productivity: An Empirical Study in Coastal Regions of
China
Fan Tian†* and Liu Liu††
† ††
Institute of Social Development Department of Public Administration
Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research Chinese Communist Party School of Nan Jing, China
Beijing 100044, China Beijing 100044, China

ABSTRACT
Tian, F. and Liu, L. 2019. The impact of intellectual capital spillover on total factor productivity: An empirical study in
coastal regions of China. In: Gong, D.; Zhu, H., and Liu, R. (eds.), Selected Topics in Coastal Research: Engineering,
Industry, Economy, and Sustainable Development. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 94, pp. 576–583.
Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 94, pp. 920–925. Coconut
Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.

This article incorporates foreign intellectual capital in trade channels and in foreign direct investment channels into the
unified analysis framework, using 1990–2015 transnational panel data to calculate the effects of domestic, especially in
coastal regions and foreign intellectual capital spillover on total factor productivity of host countries. It is found that
domestic intellectual capital investment is the main source of technological progress in host countries, and from the
whole sample, foreign direct investment is the main channel for cross-border overflow of intellectual capital, while import
trade has no significant impact on total factor productivity. According to the grouping, only developing countries will
experience intellectual capital overflow through import trade with developed countries, while foreign direct investment
between various types of countries will promote growth of total factor productivity.

ADDITIONAL INDEX WORDS: Intellectual capital, foreign direct investment, import trade, spillover, total factor
productivity.

INTRODUCTION spillover effect of social return of enterprise R&D investment


The research on the connotation and classification of was higher (Hall et al., 1999).
intellectual capital has been developing ever since the The improvement of a country’s technology level is not only
American economist John Kenneth Galbraith put forward the attributed to the input of domestic intellectual capital but also
concept in 1969 (Huifang et al., 2014). Since the 1980s, the to the transnational spread of foreign intellectual capital.
world economy stepped into a period of industrial restructuring Studies show this even in the United States, which has the
as the pattern of economic development began to shift from highest productivity where the contribution of foreign intellec-
investment-driven to innovation-driven, and economic devel- tual capital has reached 40% (Eaton et al., 1999). For most
opment entered the era of intellectual economy. In the process, developing countries, the foreign source of technological
intellectual capital separated from other factors of production progress has even accounted for 90% of the productivity growth
to become the engine for technological progress and economic (Keller W., 2004); therefore, the pattern of technological
growth. advancement in the world is, to a great extent, influenced by
In 1981, Griliches proposed a measurement model of R&D the degree of international intellectual capital spillover.
capital and the production function of intellectual capital. In The knowledge transferred to others can be divided into
1986, he studied the measurement method of intellectual ‘embodied knowledge’ and ‘disembodied knowledge’ (Gholami
capital, proposed that the enterprise stock market value was et al., 2009). A large amount of evidence indicates that
determined by tangible capital (labour force, material capital) international intellectual capital spillover generated from
and intangible intellectual capital, and proposed to use the imports and FDI has become the main determinant of global
technological progress (Keller, 2009).
R&D capital stock and the number of authorised patents as the
Import trade can promote knowledge spillover and technol-
variable to measure intellectual capital (Griliches et al., 1986).
ogy diffusion among trading partners and interrelate produc-
In 1999, Hall made a systematic evaluation of the literature
tivity levels of different countries. Theoretical research shows
on measurement of R&D investment returns and measured the
that, through the import trade, a country can import more
spillover effect of enterprise R&D investment, and the results
diversified or higher-quality intermediate and capital goods,
showed that the return of enterprise R&D investment was
imitate and study more advanced production methods and
higher than that of other material capital investment, and the
management experiences from abroad, encourage local com-
panies to pursue more novel ideas and technologies, allocate
DOI: 10.2112/SI94-181.1 received 20 March 2019; accepted in
revision 3 May 2019.
various domestic resources more effectively and reduce R&D
*
Corresponding Author: njdxliuliu@foxmail.com rehandling to lift a country’s technical level (Grossman et al.,
Ó
Coastal Education and Research Foundation, Inc. 2019 1991). By taking developed countries as research samples, Coe

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The Impact of Intellectual Capital Spillover on Total Factor Productivity: An Empirical Study in Coastal Regions of China 921

 
and Helpman (1993) and Coe et al. (2008) confirmed that Yit ¼ Aðkit ; Eit ; SEit ÞF Lit bL ; Kit bK ð1Þ
positive R&D spillover effects exist among trading partners
and import trade can promote the total factor productivity in In the equation, Y represents real GDP, L represents labour
developed countries (Coe et al., 1993; Coe et al., 2008). input, K represents capital stock, b represents the elasticity of
However, the import and export trade in China is mainly in each factor of production, and A denotes the technology
the coastal areas due to the natural resource advantages. So, transfer parameter, which in turn is the function of the
the research samples in this paper are mainly concentrated in unobserved technical change parameter. The parameter is
the coastal areas. obtained according to D ln kit ¼ ai þ gt þ tit, national specific
Since MacDougall proposed the spillover effect of foreign (intellectual) capital E and spillover effect. After taking the
direct investment in the 1960s, FDI has become an increasingly logarithm of equation (1) and adjusting it, equation (2) can be
important channel for countries around the world, especially obtained:
developing countries, to acquire advanced foreign technologies.
In 2000, Xu studied 20 developed countries and 20 developing ln Yit ¼ bi Lit þ bk Kit þ be Eit þ bse SEit þ kit ð2Þ
countries and found that the R&D of multinational companies According to the growth accounting method, we assume
in the United States had a significant promoting effect on the competitive input market (labour and traditional capital are
technological progress of host countries (Xu B, 2000). provided by marginal output) and input depletion (all income is
Some scholars have included import trade and FDI in the used to pay for factors). This forms the equilibrium condition
same measurement framework, analysed and compared the that the input factor shares (a) are equal to their output
intellectual capital spillover effects from the two channels. One elasticity (b). With this hypothesis, we can obtain the TFP
interesting thing about these studies is different empirical growth rate measurement indicators in the following equation:
studies have some inconsistent conclusions. Hejazi et al. (1999)
studied 22 OECD countries and found that foreign R&D capital ln TPFit ¼ ln Yit  bl ln Lit  bk ln Kit ð3Þ
spillover through FDI as the channel significantly promoted As in the previous studies, we have replaced national
technological progress in developed countries, while import as intellectual capital with R&D capital R. In terms of the spill
the channel had no significant impact on total factor produc- over intellectual capital, it is assumed that the spill over capital
tivity (Hejazi et al., 1999). Wang Jianhua et al. (2014) studied is determined by FDI SEfdi and import trade SEim, and thus
27 developed countries and 15 developing countries and found equations (4) and (5) can be obtained:
that FDI had significant effect on international R&D spillover,
while import had insignificant R&D spillover effect (Jianhua et E ¼ R; ð4Þ
al., 2014).
 b  b
Based on the previous studies, this paper makes important SE ¼ SEim im SEfdi fdi ð5Þ
contributions to the existing literature from two aspects.
First, this paper reviews the international spillover of After the integration of equations (2), (3), (4) and (5), the
intellectual capital and verifies whether the previous re- regression model equation (6) used in this paper is finally
search results are still applicable when the data set is obtained:
updated. Second, in view of the different conclusions
ln TFPij ¼ br ln Rit þ bim ln SEim it þ bfdi ln SEfdi it þ kit ð6Þ
mentioned above, this paper further subdivides the model
analysis. We will subdivide the foreign intellectual capital of In accordance with equation (6), the first hypothesis of this
the two sample groups according to the source again and paper is proposed:
calculate the impact of foreign intellectual capital on the total Hypothesis 1: Intellectual capital has spillover effect inter-
factor productivity from other developed countries in devel- nationally, and there is a significant positive correlation
oped countries, from developing countries in the developed between domestic TFP growth and foreign intellectual capital.
countries, from the developed countries in developing Since this paper examines the influence of foreign intellec-
countries, and from other developing countries in developing tual capital through FDI as the channel as well as trade as the
countries. In addition, this study will also have important channel on TFP in the meantime, Hypothesis 1 should be
practical policy significance because if international intellec- disassembled into the following two hypotheses:
tual spillovers do occur, this paper will support a greater Hypothesis 1-1: There is a significant positive correlation
degree of opening up to the outside world and may even between domestic TFP growth and foreign intellectual capital
encourage more investment and imports from knowledge- spillover through FDI.
intensive economies. Hypothesis 1-1: There is a significant positive correlation
between domestic TFP growth and foreign intellectual capital
MODELLING AND RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS spill over through FDI.
Based on the endogenous growth model driven by innovation, Hypothesis 1-2: There is a significant positive correlation
this paper uses the regression framework of international R&D between domestic TFP growth and foreign intellectual capital
spillover analysed by Coe and Helpman (1993, referred to as spillover through trade.
CH) and Xu (1999) for reference;( Gholami R.; Guo X. and Lee Hypothesis 1-2: There is a significant positive correlation
S., 2009), to assume that the total production function has the between domestic TFP growth and foreign intellectual capital
form of Cobb-Douglas: spill over through trade.

Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 94, 2019

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922 Tian and Liu

The literature on international spill overs highlights the fact the emission reduction is small. When the emission reduction is
that countries differ in how they benefit from foreign spillovers. high, the unit cost will be reduced accordingly.
Previous studies have suggested that the TFP of an industri-
alized country is more responsive to the domestic intellectual
Data Source and Description
Before introducing the data sources and processing methods
capital, because the larger the economy is, the more extensive
of each variable, two points need to be noted. First, since some
the intellectual activities it launches. Coe et al. (1993) also said
national data can only be traced back to 1990, in order to
that developing economies with low intellectual capital would
maintain the data integrity, the period span examined in this
benefit from intellectual activities in developed countries (Coe
paper is confined from 1990 to 2015. Second, we selected 36
et al., 1993). To understand the spill over phenomenon better,
this paper divides the spill over countries into two categories, countries as sample economies after referencing the article by
developed and developing countries, and measures variables Gholami (2009), in which the developed countries include
and makes regression analysis for the two types of countries Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland,
according to the same method. By comparing the results of the France, Germany, Ireland, Japan, Italy, South Korea, the
regression analysis, we intend to explore the second hypothe- Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Britain
sis: and the United States, while the developing countries include
Hypothesis 2: For recipient countries, intellectual capital Argentina, Brazil, Bulgaria, Chile, China, Czech Republic,
spill over from developed countries is stronger than from Hungary, India, Malaysia, Mexico, Poland, Romania, Russia,
developing countries. Slovakia, Thailand, Turkey and Venezuela (Gholami et al.,
Similarly, Hypothesis 2 is disassembled into the following 2014).
four hypotheses: The method of calculating the R&D capital stock is the same
Hypothesis 2-1: For developed countries, the impact of as that of the physical capital stock. The R&D capital stock of
foreign intellectual capital spill over from other developed each economy over the years is calculated by the perpetual
countries through FDI on domestic TFP is greater than that inventory method: Rt¼ (1-d) RCt-1þ RDt, in which t stands for
from developing countries through FDI. year, d for depreciation rate, RC for R&D capital stock, and RD
Hypothesis 2-2: For developing countries, the impact of for R&D expenditure fixed price which with the data obtained
foreign intellectual capital spill over from developed countries in this paper by multiplying the fixed price of GDP in each year
through FDI on domestic TFP is greater than that from other by the total amount of R&D expenditure in each year. This
developing countries through FDI. paper sets the depreciation rate of R&D capital stock at 15%,
Hypothesis 2-3: For developed countries, the impact of considering that the economic lifecycle of knowledge is shorter
foreign intellectual capital spillover from other developed than that of physical capital, and the depreciation rate of R&D
countries through trade on domestic TFP is greater than that capital stock is usually higher than that of physical capital
from developing countries through trade. stock . R0 stands for base period R&D capital stock. This paper
Hypothesis 2-4: For developing countries, the impact of takes 1990 as the base period and uses the method of Griliches
foreign intellectual capital spill over from developed countries (1979) to calculate R0: R1990¼RD1990/(g þ d)( Griliches. et al.,
through trade on domestic TFP is greater than that from other 1979.), in which R1990 represents the R&D capital stock in
developing countries through trade 1985, RD1990 is the fixed price of R&D expenditure in 1985, g
is the average growth rate of the fixed price of R&D
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS expenditure from 1985 to 2016, and d is depreciation rate
For the sake of clarity, it is assumed that there are two port- (15% in the paper).
property companies in the same area that use the same The key to measure the foreign intellectual capital through
technology to produce homogeneous products, which have the trade spillover lies in the selection of the weighting method.
same marginal social costs (MSC). Quantitatively, the margin- Currently, the CH weighting method and LP weighting method
al social cost is equal to the sum of the marginal production cost are relatively common. The CH weighting method takes the
of the port-property company (MC) and the marginal external bilateral import share of the native country and the trading
cost (MEC) of the environmental pollution, that is: partner as the weight, which presents the problem of
MSC ¼ MC þ MEC. Under the condition that the production aggregation bias, while the LP weighting method takes the
scale, the input factors proportion, and the technology level are ratio of bilateral import volume to the GDP of the trading
fixed, for most companies, the marginal social cost is tilted partner as the weight coefficient, which presents the problem of
upwards because the marginal cost of production rises with the crowding effect. Regarding these deficiencies, Kwark and Shyn
increase in the production of port-property companies, and (2006) proposed to take the export share of the country of origin
with the increase of the pollution, the harm to the environment as the weight coefficient to calculate the R&D capital stock
has also increased. However, due to the different emission spillover through import as the channel (i.e., KS weighting
reduction technologies used, there are differences in the method), which can not only solve the problem of aggregated
marginal abatement costs (MCA) of the two companies, which bias but also is not bound by the trade model of country of origin
are MCA1, MCA2respectively. In the short term, the marginal (Kwark and Shyn et al.,2006). Based on this, KS weighting
abatement costs of port-property companies should be tilted method used by Chen Chao et al. (2016) is adopted in this paper
downwards due to the fixed level of emission reductions. to calculate foreign R&D capital spillover through trade (Chen
P
Because emission reductions require the installation of specific Chao et al., 2016). The formula of KCim: KCimit¼ (Xjit/
emission reduction equipment, the unit cost will be higher if Xjt)KCjt(i„j) can be obtained after the appropriate modifica-

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The Impact of Intellectual Capital Spillover on Total Factor Productivity: An Empirical Study in Coastal Regions of China 923

Table 1. Correlation coefficient matrix of each variable Table 2. Results of unit root test

Variable lnR lnSEim lnSEfdi Variable Order LLC B IPS F


lnRC 1 lnTFP 0 0.18 (0.62) 4.03 (0.98) -0.31 (0.32) 56.40 (0.52)
lnSEim 0.684 1 1 20.64 (0.04) 4.63 (0.97) 4.12 (0.00) 164.71 (0.00)
lnSEfdi 0.792 0.384 1 lnR 0 1.06 (0.12) 0.32 (0.62) 37.00 (0.32) 70.03 (0.18)
1 13.21 (0.00) 0.12 (0.48) 3.87 (0.00) 115.82 (0.00)
lnSEfdi 0 2.75 (0.96) 1.03 (0.87) 5.42 (0.75) 25.12 (0.96)
tion for KS weighting method, in which i and j represent
1 25.19 (0.00) 1.76 (0.03) 3.76 (0.00) 137.87 (0.00)
economy, t represents the year, im represents the import lnSEim 0 6.01 (0.98) 10.45 (0.99) 5.54 (0.98) 8.26 (0.98)
symbol, KCim is foreign intellectual capital spillover that 1 8.26 (0.00) 1.82 (0.94) 6.14 (0.00) 78.12 (0.04)
economy i obtains through import as the channel in year t, KCjt
is economy j’s domestic intellectual capital in year t, Xjt is the not stable in the Breitung (B) Test, indicating that each
total exports of economy j to trading partners in year t, and Xjit variable is stable under the condition of the first-order
is economy j’s exports to economy i in year t. difference; therefore, it can be judged that the variables used
In this paper, the method used by Ciruelos et al. (2005) is in the model are of the same order. Since all variables in the
adopted to calculate the foreign intellectual capital variable model are non-stationary homogeneous variables through the
SEfdi spillover from FDI, which is also calculation method panel unit root test, the Pedroni Test was used in this paper to
based on KS weighting method(Ciruelos et al., 2005). The conduct the panel co-integration test. To save space, as shown
P
formula is: SEfdi¼ (OFDIjit/OFDIjt) SEjt(i„j), in which in Table 3, all models passed the co-integration test at a
SEfdi refers to the foreign intellectual capital spillover of significance level of 5%.
economy i through FDI in year t, and OFDIjit refers to the total
stock of direct investment of economy j to investment partners
Analysis of Regression
Model 1 in the second column of Table 3 is the total sample
in year t. As for data sources, since the stock data of FDI from
model. The regression results show that the R2 of Model 1 is
1990 to 2015 of the sample countries selected in this paper
0.893 and the overall fitting degree is good. According to the
cannot be obtained completely, in order to maintain the
model results, every 1% increase in lnSEfdi leads to a 0.203%
consistency and integrity of the data, this paper takes reference
increase in lnTFP, and every 1% increase in lnR leads to a
of Tang et al. (2008) and Chen (2016), to select the G7 countries
0.314% increase in lnTFP. lnR (coefficient 0.203, 1% significant
(the United States, Japan, Britain, Canada, Germany, France
level) has a significantly greater influence on total factor
and Italy) and the BRICS countries (China, Russia, India and
productivity than lnSEfdi (coefficient 0.203, 1% significant
Brazil) as the source of FDI(Tang et al. , 2008. Chen Chao et al.,
level), while lnSEim has no significant influence on total factor
2016 ).
productivity. In general, the contribution of domestic intellec-
The data used in this paper are from the UN as well as the
tual capital to total factor productivity is greater than that of
websites of the OECD, World Bank and the Conference Board,
foreign intellectual capital to total factor productivity. Mean-
which provides the data on total factor productivity. Regarding
while, the impact of foreign intellectual capital on TFP in the
some missing data in some countries, this paper estimates the
case of total sample mainly comes from the spill over from FDI.
trend of these data varying with the year.
According to the regression results of Model 1, Hypothesis 1 is
Test on Time Series preliminarily verified.
In this paper, a correlation coefficient matrix is used to test Model 2 in the second column and Model 3 in the third
the multicollinearity of the model, and the severity of multi- column of Table 3 show the regression analysis results of the
collinearity is judged through the method used by Chen Chao influence of foreign intellectual capital from developing
(2016), that is, if the correlation coefficient between two countries and foreign intellectual capital from developed
variables is greater than 0.85, the model is considered to have countries on the total factor production of developing countries
severe multicollinearity(Chen Chao et al., 2016). On the other respectively. According to the results of Model 2, every 1%
hand, if the correlation coefficient between two variables is less increase in lnSEfdi leads to a 0.198% increase in lnTFP, and
than 0.85, the existence of multicollinearity has no significant every 1% increase in lnR leads to a 0.321% increase in lnTFP;
influence on the estimated results. As can be seen from the therefore, lnSEfdi has no significant impact on total factor
results in Table 1, none of the correlation coefficient between productivity. According to the results of Model 3, every 1%
the explanatory variables in pairs exceeds 0.85; therefore, it increase in lnSEfdi leads to a 0.201% increase in lnTFP, every
can be judged that the multicollinearity problem will not affect 1% increase in lnSEim leads to a 0.127% increase in lnTFP, and
the accuracy of the estimated results. every 1% increase in lnR leads to a 0.291% increase in lnTFP.
To avoid false regression, the panel unit root should be used In developing countries, in addition to the imports from other
to test the stationarity of each variable. To improve the developing countries, the foreign intellectual capital spillovers
reliability of test results, the panel unit root test of each from other channels have made significant contribution to the
variable would be conducted by using the widely-used Levin- total factor productivity, and meanwhile the contribution of
Lin-Chu (LLC) Test, Im-Pesaran-Shin (IPS) Test, Breitung (B) foreign intellectual capital spillover from developed countries
Test and Fisher-ADF (F) Test, as shown in Table 2. In the to TFP is greater than that from developing countries.
stationarity test, the p value of each test method is above 0.1, Model 4 in the fifth column and Model 5 in the sixth column of
indicating that all variables are non-stationary. In the first- Table 3 respectively show the regression analysis results of the
order test, all the test methods except lnTFP and lnR are still influence of foreign intellectual capital from developing

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924 Tian and Liu

Table 3. Results of Regression Analysis

Developing Country Developed Country


Foreign Foreign
Foreign Foreign intellectual capital intellectual capital
intellectual capital from intellectual capital from spill over from spill over from
Total Sample developing countries developed countries developing countries developed countries
Variable Model One Model Two Model Three Model Four Model Five
lnSEfdi 0.203*** 0.198*** 0.201*** 0.052* 0.187***
(4.213) (5.307) (19.412) (9.697) (12.339)
lnSEim 0.051 0.047 0.127*** 0.021 0.102
(1.032) (0.809) (18.513) (1.018) (0.987)
lnR 0.314*** 0.321*** 0.291*** 0.325*** 0.394***
(10.412) (8.741) (9.124) (11.819) (16.542)
R2 0.893 0.861 0.913 0.721 0.895
Co-integration or not Yes*** Yes*** Yes*** Yes*** Yes***

countries and foreign intellectual capital from developed home, and in the process of trading with developed countries,
countries on the total factor production of developed countries. developing countries have gained more.
According to the results of Model 4, every 1% increase in As developed countries have higher levels of intellectual
lnSEfdi leads to a 0.102% increase in lnTFP, and every 1% capital and are also better informed about new technologies
increase in lnR leads to a 0.325% increase in lnTFP; therefore, and how they can be implemented successfully, the intellectual
lnSEfdi has no significant impact on total factor productivity. capital gained by developing countries through importing trade
According to the results of Model 5, every 1% increase in with or attracting FDI from developed countries can better
lnSEfdi leads to a 0.187% increase in lnTFP, every 1% increase boost economic growth.
in lnSEim leads to a 0.102% increase in lnTFP, and every 1% It can also be speculated from the empirical results of this
increase in lnR leads to a 0.394% increase in lnTFP. For paper that, for countries with different economic levels, the
developed countries, the spillover of foreign intellectual capital extent and scope of the impact of foreign intellectual capital
from import can hardly make a significant contribution to the spill over on TFP will differ.
total factor productivity, and it can be found that the spillover From a practical perspective, the conclusion of this paper
of foreign intellectual capital from FDI of developed countries supports the existence of international intellectual capital spill
contributes more to TFP than foreign intellectual capital from over, which means that an economy can benefit from the
FDI of developing countries. intellectual capital of other economies. From the conclusions of
From the results of each model, Hypothesis 1-1 is verified, this paper alone, it is reasonable to support greater economic
while Hypothesis 1-2 depends on specific conditions. Hypoth-
integration, as developing countries will increase their poten-
esis 2-1, 2-2 and 2-4 have been verified, while Hypothesis 2-3
tial to absorb knowledge spill overs from other countries by
has not. For developed countries, the spillover of foreign
attracting investment or importing from knowledge-intensive
intellectual capital generated by import trade is difficult to
economies to a larger extent. Although the international
make a significant contribution to TFP.
situation has increased in complexity, more open foreign
policies and measures to facilitate knowledge exchange will
CONCLUSION
still have important practical value for developing countries
This paper shows that when the foreign intellectual capital
planning to catch up with the frontrunners for some time to
brought by FDI and that brought by import trade are analysed
come.
together in the same model, the foreign intellectual capital
brought by FDI has a significant promoting effect on a country’s
TFP, although this effect is not as obvious as the domestic LITERATURE CITED
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The Impact of Intellectual Capital Spillover on Total Factor Productivity: An Empirical Study in Coastal Regions of China 925

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Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 94, 2019

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