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EV/Sales Price/Earnings
FB IPO suggested price as per industry averag 15.3 16.4 38.0 29.6
Facebook FB $ 34.00 10.1x 7.2x 51.5x 39.1x
$ 38.00 11.2x 8.0x 57.6x 43.7x
15.068663902
Price/Sales
2013E 2014E
1.6x 1.3x
3.3x 2.8x
1.9x 1.8x
5.4x 4.6x
3.4x 2.6x
12.7x 8.6x
3.4x 3.2x
4.1x 4.0x
4.5x 3.7x
4.5x 3.6x
3.4x 3.2x
10.0x 7.1x
11.2x 8.0x
VALUATION OF FACEBOOK, BASED ON PROF. ASWATH DAMODARAN
DCF
Assumptions:
Revenue growth rate
EBIT (Operating) margin
Tax rate
Increase in CAPEX + WC as % of sales
Cost of capital
Present value:
Cumulative discount factor
PV of FCFF and TV
Value of firm
- Debt
+ Excess Cash
Value of equity
- Cost of equity options (after tax)
Value of common equity
Pre-IPO number of shares (millions)
Estimated value /share
Price talk
Price as % of value
Assumtions ( in $ millions)
Revenues
Operating income or EBIT
Book value of equity
Book value of debt
Excess Cash
Pre-IPO number of shares (millions)
Current stock price
Effective tax rate (last 3 years)
Marginal tax rate
Market numbers
Riskfree rate
Initial cost of capital
Cost of capital after year 10
Debt
Pre-tax Cost of Debt
Marginal tax rate
Preferred Stock
Number of Preferred Shares
Current Market Price per Share
Annual Dividend per Share
2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
Base year 1 2 3 4
0.9004
357
This year
$ 3,711.0 $ 5,195.4
$ 1,695.0
$ 5,228.0
$ 1,587.0
$ 2,000.0
1,958.1
$ 38.00
40.00%
35.00%
40.00%
35.00%
1.50
2.0%
11.1%
8.0%
1958.1
$ 38.00
1.52
2.0%
6.00%
1.54
3.65%
35%
0
70
5
2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E Terminal
5 6 7 8 9 10 year