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The basics of the model are that capital accumulation drives economic growth in the
short run
This can be achieved through economic policy that encourages people to save more.
However, in the long run, growth rates will revert to the rate of technological
progress
Consider an economy with a given level of supply of labor and technology which is
assumed to be constant over time.
Labor works with an aggregate capital stock K. the maximum amount that can be
produced depends on K according to an aggregate production function.
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Constant returns to scale – doubling all units will lead to doubling output –
assumed in this production function
This implies that as more capital is employed, given fixed labor, its
contribution to output declines.
Further increases in savings only increase the steady state level of capital and
not change output levels
•Tries to explain long run growth in terms of endogenous factor and all issues
not explained by Neo-classical but endogenously determined technological
change and human capital
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Assumptions:
•Two sectors: Goods production sector (one or all are symmetric) and Knowledge
production (R & D) sector
•Technology is non- rival/ public good
•There is constant return to scale at firm level and increasing return at aggregate
level (proportionality of change in output)
•Imperfect completion,
•There is market power and profit making causing increasing return and incentive
to invent
• New capital
• Y1= A(k) F (ki, Li)
• Y = out put of firm,
Where:- Ki and Li = capital and labor stock of firm,
F= aggregate stock of capital
A= the technological factor
• It did not show sustained endogenous growth.
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• The productivity of the factor after learning by doing – which will be higher.
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• The knowledge of a firm is a public good which other firms can have at zero cost.
• Each firm operates under constant returns to scale and the economy also be
same
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Luca’s Model
He developed an endogenous growth model based on Investment in human
capital.
He assumes that investment on education leads to production of human
capital which is the crucial determinant in the growth process
He makes distinction between the internal effects of human capital where
the individuals workers undergoing training becomes more productive,
and
external effects which spillover & increase the productivity of capital and
other workers in the economy.
Thus, it is not the accumulated knowledge and experience of the firms but
the average level of skills & knowledge in the economy that are crucial for
economic growth.
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Its Assumptions
Economic growth comes from technology change
Technological changes in Endogenous
Market incentive play all important role in making Technological
changes available to the economy.
Invention of a new design requires a specified amount of human
capital.
The Aggregate supply of human capital is fixed.
Knowledge or new design is assumed to be partially excludable and
retainable by the firm which invented the new design.
Technology is a non-rival input (Its use by one firm doesn't prevent its
use by another.)
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E.g. existing theory fails to explain low rates of factory capacity utilization in
low income countries where capital is scarce.
• In fact, poor incentive structures may be as responsible for sluggish GNP growth
as low rates of saving & human capital accumulation.
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•In many situations investment must be undertaken by many agents so that the
outcome can produce profit for any individual agent.
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• Coordination failure may occur when all agents are fully informed
about the preferred alternative equilibrium.
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•In developed countries too such effects are common in the analyses of
frontier technologies, in which the value of using an operating system, word-
processing, spread sheet program, instant messaging, and other software or
product standard depends on how many other users also adopt it.
•Thus, these models can be applied to the problems of least and most
developed countries, through in different ways.
• Firms will not enter a market if workers do not have the skill the firms
need, and worker will not acquire the skill if there are no firms to
employ them.
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•Middlemen can play a key role for quality assurance of the products they sell;
they can do this because they get to know the farmers from whom they buy
as well as the products.
•For the emergence of specialized agricultural market there needs to be a
sufficient number of concentrated producer with whom a middleman can
work effectively.
•But without available middlemen to whom the farmers can sell their products
they will not available to specialize and
•- will
prefer to continue producing their staple crop or a range of goods primarily for
personal consumption or sales with in village.
•The result can be an underdevelopment trap in which the region remains stuck
in subsistence agriculture;
•This is especially true when there is a lag between making an investment and
realizing the return on that investment.
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•In this case all parties expect a change to a better equilibrium; they will still be
inclined to wait until other parties have made their investments.
•Neither may be in a position to take the first step; each may be better off
waiting for the other parties to invest first.
•As another example, a new or modernizing firm using new technologies may
provide benefits to other firms that the adopting firms cannot capture,
•Although government can play important coordinating role, yet it is one of the
components of the development process that may contribute to the problem as
well as to the solution.
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•In much of economics such complementarities are not present. for example, in
competitive markets, when there is excessive demand, there is counter
pressure for prices to rise, restoring equilibrium.
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• For example several friends know that they will meet in Dire Dawa on a
certain day but have neglected to settle a specific location of the meeting
within the city.
• Now they are out of communication and can arrive only by chance or by very
clever guessing.
• They want to meet and consider themselves better off if they can do so, there
is no incentive to cheat.
• But, the face that all gain from coordination does not solves the
“where –to-meet problem”. There are many famous places in Dire
Dawa.
• There may be several good products from which to choose, but the
critical is for all the farmers to choose one, so that middlemen may
profitably bring the product to market.
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STARTINGECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT:
THE BIG PUSH
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•What is needed is a “big push” to undo the initial inertia of the stagnant
economy.
•The rationale for big push theory is based on the idea of external
economies
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Economies of scale:
• refer to the cost advantage experienced by a firm when it increases its level of
output
• arises due to the inverse relationship between per-unit fixed cost and the quantity
produced
Diseconomies of scale
Any increase in output beyond Q2 leads to a rise in
average costs. This is an example of diseconomies of
scale
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•if not removed through a “big push” will not permit the
emergence and transmission of ‘external economies’
What is indivisibility?
• The physical inability, or economic inappropriateness, of running
a machine or some other piece of equipment at below its optimal
operational capacity. ...
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•A ‘bit by bit’ approach to development would not enable the economy to overcome
indivisible economic obstacles
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• Moreover, these services are only indirectly productive and involve long
gestation periods.
• Besides, their “minimum feasible size” is large enough.
• Four types of indivisibilities of creating social overhead capital.
1. Indivisibility of time: The creation of social overhead capital must precede other
directly productive industries
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Introduction
• In order to get rid of vicious circle of poverty, underdeveloped
countries need investment on a large-scale.
•There are two theories concerning strategy of economic
development:
1. Theory of Balanced Growth: According to Rodan, Nurkse and
Lewis, economic development these economies should make
simultaneous investment in all sectors to achieve balance
growth.
2. Theory of Unbalanced Growth :According to Hirschman, Singer,
Fleming. These economies should create a situation of unbalance
by making large investment in anyone sector.
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•Fredrick List was first put forward the theory of balance growth.
•According to him a balance could be established among agriculture,
industries and trade.
•In the year 1928, Arthur Young gave the concept of different
industries were mutually interdependent, then all of them should be
developed simultaneously.
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1. Supply Side
Low Income →Low Saving→ Low investment →Low
productivity→ Low Income→--------
2. Demand Side
Low Income →Low Purchasing capacity→ Low investment
→Low productivity→-------
▪ Complementarity of Demand
▪ Intervention by the Government
▪ External Economies
▪ Accelerated Rate of Growth
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❖ External Economies
❖ Complementariness
❖ Social Overhead Capital or (SOC)
❖ Direct productive Activities or (DPA)
❖ Unbalancing the Economy through (SOC)
❖ Unbalancing the Economy with direct productive Activities(DPA)
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oDefinitions of Globalization
oTransnationalism
oTechnology and Communications
oCultural Globalization and Cultural
oHomogenization
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What is globalization?
o“Printed in Ethiopia with Australian Paper and German ink,
using Swiss technology and Japanese experts”.
oWhat does this statement convey?
oExchange or sharing of: Ideas
oInformation
oCapital (including human capital)
oTechnologies
oThis is connecting the human communities and capabilities
across national borders.
What is globalization?
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oAvoiding reinventing the wheel (to waste time and effort trying to
do something that someone else has already done well).
oIt has its own rules, logic and route that today directly or
indirectly influence the economies, politics, environment,
society, and thus lives of people of virtually every country in
the world.
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oSome may gain more from it than others, but all would eventually
gain.
oAnd action that interferes with free flow of capital goods and
services, and technology would produce sub- optimal results.
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▪Environment
▪Poverty and Population Growth (UNDP,WB)
▪AIDS (WHO)
▪Drugs (Producers- Thailand, Pakistan, Columbia, Peru and Bolivia.)
▪Trade and industry
▪Privatization
▪Terrorism
▪Migration, Trafficking, COVID, Vaccine politics and conspiracy, cyber security
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Transnationalism:
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▪However, we have also seen how the drive for increased productivity using more
and more advanced technologies can lead to environmental problems
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