Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Reference: 839
June 2021
Procedures for Estimating
the Lightning Performance
of Transmission Lines –
New Aspects
WG C4.23
Members
Corresponding Members
M. ISHII JP J. LUNDQUIST SE
I. MOHAMED RAWI MY P MIKROPOULOS GR
MOHD ZAINAL ABIDIN AB-KADIR MY C.A. NUCCI IT
S. OKABE JP S. PODKORITNIK SI
D. PROCTOR US F. RIZK CA
U. SCHMIDT DE L. SCHWALT AT
Copyright © 2021
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ISBN : 978-2-85873-544-0
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Executive summary
Lightning remains one of the main causes of outages on transmission lines even though it has been
studied extensively since the beginnings of power transmission. Over the years several approaches have
been formalized to estimate the lightning outage rates of transmission lines. The principles and procedures
used in this regard are now well established throughout the power industry, but there is a need to update
these to benefit from the latest lightning research and computational techniques. The following
developments may be mentioned:
Many countries have now access to detailed information on lightning activity from lightning location
systems (LLS), which provide improved input data to performance studies.
Significant new research has been done to understand the attachment process of lightning flashes
to structures. This improved understanding can be applied to obtain better designs of shielding to
protect phase conductors from direct lightning strikes.
Advanced computational techniques, such as the Method of Moments (MoM) and Finite-Difference
Time Domain (FDTD) formulations, are finding increasing use for calculating the electromagnetic
transients (EMT) in electrical power networks. Results from these advanced techniques can be
used to improve high-frequency models of ground electrodes and tall transmission line structures
for more widely available and computationally efficient circuit-based methods such as the various
EMT implementations.
Finally, modern personal computers provide greatly improved computing power which allow for
more sophisticated modelling of the interaction of lightning with transmission line structures,
thereby reducing the need for simplified methods.
The purpose with this Technical brochure is to complement and update CIGRE brochure 63 “Guide to
procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines”, by modernizing the information
and by describing the latest techniques and assumptions used to calculate the lightning outage
performance of overhead transmission lines. A number of important CIGRE brochures form the basis for
this revision:
No. 72: Guidelines for the evaluation of the dielectric strength of external insulation,
No. 376: Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Parameters derived from Lightning Location Systems. The
Effects of System Performance,
No. 440: Use of Surge Arresters for Lightning Protection of Transmission Lines,
No. 549: Lightning Parameters for Engineering Applications,
No. 704: Evaluation of lightning shielding analysis methods for EHV and UHV DC and AC
transmission lines,
No. 781: Impact of soil-parameter frequency dependence on the response of grounding
electrodes and on the lightning performance of electrical systems,
No. 785: Electromagnetic computation methods for lightning surge studies with emphasis on the
FDTD method.
Summaries of the relevant information are included together with guidance on how to apply this knowledge
to estimate the lightning performance of transmission lines. An important contribution in this regard is the
proposal of a new simplified lightning stroke attachment model, which can be used as an alternative to the
Electro-Geometric Method, to improve the prediction of lightning incidence when upward leaders play a
significant role in the attachment process.
The introductory chapter provides the background, scope, and approach for this brochure. This is followed
in Chapter 2 with descriptions of the physical characteristics and development of a lightning flash as it
pertains to the performance of overhead transmission lines. This chapter further introduces the basic
assumptions and methodology used to calculate the lightning performance of transmission lines.
Chapter 3 provides a summary of lightning observation techniques in use today, together with pertinent
characteristics related to frequency and severity of lightning events, which may be useful for calculating the
lightning outage rate of transmission lines. It summarizes previous CIGRE and IEEE reference documents
which should be consulted for more details on the state of the art and background information.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Lightning stroke attraction models are discussed in Chapter 4. These models are used to calculate
lightning incidence to transmission lines and to design the shielding arrangements to protect phase
conductors from direct strikes.
An overview of modelling concepts is provided in Chapter 5 with a view of providing guidance when using
high-frequency circuit-based models for calculating the lightning overvoltages on transmission lines. This
chapter is written as a complement to Chapter 5 of brochure 63 [15], therefore only focusing on recent
developments in representing the lightning stroke, transmission line towers, the frequency dependence of
ground electrodes, and in the modelling of insulator flashover. The chapter closes with specific guidance in
developing models for the calculation of the overvoltages during backflashover.
This brochure closes with Chapter 6, where proposals for future research needs are listed. This includes a
request for further benchmarking of the proposed simplified stroke attachment model. It is further noted
that there is a continuing need for improved statistics on the lightning stroke parameters relevant to the
prediction of outage rates on transmission lines.
Several appendixes are attached to this brochure in which supporting materials are presented:
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Contents
Executive summary............................................................................................................. 3
Contents .............................................................................................................................. 5
1 Introduction................................................................................................................ 8
1.1 Background ................................................................................................................................................ 8
1.2 Scope .......................................................................................................................................................... 9
1.3 Approach .................................................................................................................................................... 9
1.4 Overview of the brochure ........................................................................................................................ 10
2 Basics ........................................................................................................................11
2.1 Basic lightning terminology .................................................................................................................... 11
2.2 Development of a negative downward flash .......................................................................................... 11
2.3 A summary of typical cloud-to-ground flash parameters ..................................................................... 12
2.4 Lightning effects on transmission lines ................................................................................................ 13
3 Characteristics of lightning......................................................................................16
3.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 16
3.2 Lightning occurrence .............................................................................................................................. 16
3.2.1 Ground based lightning detection networks ....................................................................................... 17
3.2.2 Lightning flash counters ..................................................................................................................... 17
3.2.3 Satellite based lightning detection ...................................................................................................... 18
3.2.4 Thunderstorm days (keraunic level) and thunderstorm hours ............................................................ 19
3.2.5 Considerations for calculating the line outage performance ............................................................... 19
3.3 Lightning current parameters ................................................................................................................. 19
3.3.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 19
3.3.2 General characteristics of strokes in negative downward CG flashes ................................................ 20
3.3.3 Considerations for obtaining lightning current parameters ................................................................. 23
3.3.4 The return stroke peak current ........................................................................................................... 23
3.3.5 Front time parameters and steepness ................................................................................................ 25
3.3.6 Duration (time to half-value) ............................................................................................................... 27
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
7 References ................................................................................................................73
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
Lightning remains one of the main causes of outages on transmission lines even though it has been
studied extensively since the beginnings of power transmission. Over the years several approaches have
been formalized to aid transmission line designers to optimize their designs with respect to its lightning
performance. Important landmarks in the development of procedures for estimating the lightning
performance of transmission lines are:
1950: The basic principles for calculating the lightning performance of transmission lines are
introduced by the AIEE [1].
1982: Publication of a step-by-step simplified method for hand or programmable calculators by
EPRI [2]
1985-1997: Adoption and refinement of the EPRI simplified method by the IEEE [3][4] which has
subsequently been published as the IEEE standard 1243 [5], and has been implemented as an
open-source tool, IEEE-Flash, for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines [8]. At
publication, the latest version is 2.05 (2013) which is made available on SourceForge under the
General Public License (GPL) version 3 open-source license.
1991: Publication of the CIGRE brochure 63 “Guide to procedures for estimating the lightning
performance of transmission lines” [6]
1999: Publication of the book Insulation coordination for power systems, by A.R. Hileman [7]
providing details and background information on the simplified methods proposed within CIGRE
and the IEEE.
The principles and procedures introduced in these references are now well established throughout the
power industry, but these need to be updated to benefit from the latest findings in lightning research and
computational techniques.
Many countries have now access to detailed information on lightning activity from lightning location
systems (LLS) [14]. Such systems have seen continual development in terms of detection efficiency (i.e.
the proportion of the total number of lightning strokes, or flashes detected), location accuracy (i.e. the
distance between the LLS reported location and true ground striking point), classification accuracy (i.e. if
all cloud-to-ground and intercloud strokes are correctly identified) and lightning peak current estimates (i.e.
the ability of the LLS to estimate the peak current of a stroke).
Significant new research has been done to understand the attachment process of lightning flashes to
structures [10]. This enables an improved estimate of how many lightning flashes will hit a line and it will
also allow for a better placement of lightning shielding air terminals or conductors to reduce the number of
direct lightning flashes to phase conductors. Furthermore, video evidence of lightning flashes to overhead
lines and towers suggests that standard shielding calculation methods, such as the Electro-Geometric
Method (EGM) may fail to accurately predict stroke attraction when upward leaders play a significant role
in the attachment process, such as is the case of tall structures and Extra-High and Ultra-High Voltage
conductors.
Advanced computational techniques, such as the Method of Moments (MoM) and Finite-Difference Time
Domain (FDTD) formulations, are finding increasing use for calculating the electromagnetic transients
(EMT) in electrical power networks [12]. These so-called Numerical Electromagnetic Analysis (NEA)
methods, which rely on a direct numerical solution of Maxwell’s equations, allow for a more accurate
simulation of the response to lightning strokes of relatively short structures with non-uniform parameters
such as transmission line towers and ground electrodes. Results from these advanced techniques can
then be used to develop improved high-frequency models of ground electrodes and tall transmission line
structures for more widely available and computationally efficient circuit-based methods such as the
various EMT program implementations.
Finally, modern personal computers provide greatly improved computing power over those used in the
1990s, to allow for more sophisticated modelling of the interaction of lightning with transmission line
structures, thereby reducing the need for simplified methods. This ability is certainly needed when
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
evaluating the use of line arresters as a way to improve the lightning performance of transmission
lines[13].
1.2 Scope
The purpose with this Technical brochure is to complement and update CIGRE brochure 63 “Guide to
procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines”, by modernizing the information
and by describing the latest techniques and assumptions used to calculate the lightning outage
performance of overhead transmission lines. In addition, the brochure includes application examples to
serve as benchmarks and to allow for a sensitivity analysis of the selected modelling
techniques/parameters.
1.3 Approach
CIGRE brochure 63, published in 1991 [6], is a comprehensive document still used by many as a basis for
performing lightning performance calculations. Importantly, it is recognized that most of the information
contained in the brochure is still relevant and applicable. It was therefore decided to issue this brochure as
a complementary document to brochure 63, in which new or updated aspects are presented. Brochure 63
is also republished in the new CIGRE format. When necessary, cross-references to this document are
included.
Since the publication of brochure 63, CIGRE has published several reference works which form the basis
for this document:
No. 72: Guidelines for the evaluation of the dielectric strength of external insulation, [15]
No. 376: Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Parameters derived from Lightning Location Systems. The
Effects of System Performance, [14]
No. 440: Use of Surge Arresters for Lightning Protection of Transmission Lines, [13]
No. 549: Lightning Parameters for Engineering Applications, [9]
No. 704: Evaluation of lightning shielding analysis methods for EHV and UHV DC and AC
transmission lines, [10]
No. 781: Impact of soil-parameter frequency dependence on the response of grounding
electrodes and on the lightning performance of electrical systems, [11]
No. 785: Electromagnetic computation methods for lightning surge studies with emphasis on the
FDTD method, [12]
The main task of the working group was to distil the relevant information from these brochures to produce
recommendations and guidelines for interpreting and applying the latest findings to the problem of
estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines. Rather than replicate the information of these
documents, summaries are provided of salient facts which are applicable when estimating the lightning
performance of transmission lines.
This working group also worked to identify a practical alternative to the presently used Electro-Geometric
Method (EGM), because the results from the EGM becomes unreliable when upward leaders play a
significant role in the attachment process. This is typically the case for tall structures or on energized
conductors when the power system AC or DC voltage bias may influence the formation of an upward
leader, as is the case on Extra-High Voltage, Ultra-High Voltage and HVDC lines. This was done in
recognition that more physically reasonable models, such as those loosely grouped under the term
“Leader Progression Models” (LPM), are more computationally intensive and consequently less likely to be
implemented for generalized lightning performance calculations. On the initiative of this working group
possibilities have been explored of simplifying a LPM with a view of easing the calculation burden, but
without a significant loss in the accuracy in the outcome. This resulted in the simplified Rizk lightning
attachment model [90].
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
2 Basics
2.1 Basic lightning terminology
Lightning, which is a high current, atmospheric electrostatic discharge, is usually identified as a “lightning
flash”, and if it involves an object on the ground or in the air, it may also be referred to as a “lightning
strike” [58]. Most lightning flashes do not involve ground and occur between charge pockets inside the
same cloud (Intra-Cloud), between clouds (Inter-Cloud) and even between cloud and air. These are often
grouped under the identifier “IC”. Only about a quarter of the total lightning flashes occur to ground and
they are identified as cloud-to-ground or by the identifier “CG”. For ground-based objects such as
transmission lines, only CG flashes are of concern and they are accordingly the focus of this brochure.
A cloud-to-ground lightning flash is categorized by the development direction of the initial breakdown
through the air, i.e. the direction of leader development, and by the polarity of the charge transfer from
cloud to ground. Consequently, four types of lightning flash are identified (a) Downward Negative, (b)
Upward Negative, (c) Downward Positive, and (d) Upward Positive as illustrated in Figure 2-1. As indicated
in the figure, upward flashes are typically only observed from tall structures with an effective height of over
100 m and are therefore unlikely to occur on common transmission line structures. They are therefore
generally not considered when assessing the lightning performance of transmission lines. A fifth category,
bi-polar lightning, transfers both negative and positive charges during the same flash. Bi-polar flashes are
usually initiated as upward flashes from tall structures and are, therefore, also of no consequence to typical
transmission lines.
(a) Downward Negative (b) Upward Negative (c) Downward Positive (d) Upward Positive
Figure 2-1 – The four types of cloud-to-ground lightning flashes.
Of the downward lightning flashes, those of negative polarity (Type a) are the most prevalent and it is
conservatively estimated to account for about 90 % of the global cloud-to-ground flashes. Those of positive
polarity (Type c), make up about 10 % of the total. For this reason, only downward negative (Type a)
flashes are generally considered for estimating the lightning outage performance of transmission lines.
A negative CG flash comprises one or more return strokes (RS), usually simply referred to as strokes. A
distinction is made between the first stroke, which is the first high current pulse that occurs after the
electrical breakdown of the air is complete, and subsequent strokes which often (but not always) follow the
same breakdown path as the first stroke. Notably, the parameters of the first stroke current are very
different from those of subsequent strokes, which is a distinction that must be considered when
considering lightning performance of transmission lines. In this context it is recognized that the median
current of first strokes is significantly higher than that of subsequent strokes, which identifies first strokes
as the primary cause of lightning outages on transmission lines.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
After this first stroke, several subsequent strokes may follow down, approximately the same path –
although this is not always the case. Each subsequent stroke is initiated by a leader which appears as a
continuously downward moving dart, from which it derives the name “dart leader”. The differences in the
behaviour of the stepped and dart leaders are related to the fact that stepped leaders form in virgin air
while dart leaders propagate along previously ionized channels left by preceding strokes. Examples of (a)
a stepped including multiple branches and (b) a dart leader following a previously formed channel are
shown in Figure 2-2.
The initial high-current pulse of a stroke may be followed by a “continuing current”, which typically has a
current magnitude in the range of 10 to 1000 Ampere and may last for up to hundreds of milliseconds.
Over 50 % of all negative cloud-to-ground flashes comprise more than one ground strike point. In such
cases, the subsequent stroke will be preceded partly by a dart leader along the existing channel and
change to a stepped leader attaching to the new ground strike point. These are therefore identified as “dart
stepped leaders”.
a) Stepped Leaders (before first stroke) b) Dart Leader (before subsequent stroke)
Figure 2-2 – Examples of a stepped and dart leader of a cloud-to-ground lightning flash.
(Licensed from: Tom Warner / WeatherVideoHD.TV)
Positive cloud to ground flashes are more likely to comprise of a single stroke, have high stroke currents
and are generally more energetic. They should, therefore, be considered when evaluating the risk for
damage to, for example, overhead ground wires and line surge arresters. They can be the prevalent type
of CG lightning during the cold season (Winter lightning) in temperate regions, or when lightning storms
dissipate.
CG discharges make up only about 25 % of the global lightning activity, the rest being IC.
Upward flashes occur mainly from very tall structures, such as double circuit UHV towers, or
mountain-top installations[49][58],. Furthermore, only a few of them include return strokes and the
peak currents of these are generally low and comparable to that of subsequent return strokes in
CG flashes.
Negative polarity flashes make up at least 90 % and positive polarity less than 10 % of all
downward lightning flashes. The percentage of positive polarity downward flashes may, however,
be significantly higher for individual thunderstorms, especially during winter.
More than 80 % of CG flashes comprise multiple strokes [9], which is significantly higher than the
range of between 45 to 55 % previously given in brochure 63 and closer to the assumption of
100 % implied in IEEE Standard 1243 [5].
A typical negative cloud to ground flash comprises of 3 to 5 strokes. The largest number of strokes
observed and reported in a flash was 26 [9].
The mean inter-stroke interval is about 60 milliseconds. Inter-stroke time intervals may be shorter
than 1 ms and be as long as several hundreds of milliseconds. For example, in flashes which
contain strokes with long continuing currents (i.e. long continuing current is defined as having a
duration of longer than 40 ms, but they can last for up to some hundreds of milliseconds).
From direct current measurements, it is found that the first stroke current is typically 2 to 3 times
higher than subsequent strokes. However, about a third of CG flashes contain at least one
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
subsequent stroke with a higher peak current than the first stroke. The conditional probability that
one of several subsequent strokes will exceed a weak first stroke shielding failure current
approaches unity [5].
Each cloud-to-ground lightning flash involves a total energy of the order of 109 J (1 GJ or
278 kWh). Most of the energy is dissipated in producing superheated air, thunder, visible and
ultraviolet light. Only one hundredth to one thousandth of the total is available as electrical energy,
with peak power on the order of 1012 W (1000 GW).
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 2-3 – Overview of the methodology used to calculate the lightning performance of an overhead line.
The input data and subprocesses of this methodology can be described as follows:
The number of flashes to the line (Box “B” in -Figure 2-3) is determined by calculating an attractive
area, within which lightning flashes will hit the line. This collection area is then multiplied with the
lightning ground flash density to determine the total number of flashes to the line.
o The attractive area is calculated by applying stroke attraction models (Box “D” in -Figure 2-3).
In Chapter 4, stroke attraction models and their application are explained. Historically the so-
called electro-geometric methods (EGM) – see Section 4.2 – have commonly been used
because they offer the simplest way to determine the number of flashes to the shield wires and
phase conductors. Leader progression methods (LPM) – see Section 4.3 – are more detailed
attempts to simulate the development of the stepped leader and the electric fields that govern
it, to determine the striking point. In this brochure, a simplified leader progression method is
proposed in Section 4.4 to overcome the shortcomings of the EGM, but without the heavy
calculation burden associated with the LPM.
o The frequency of occurrence of lightning applicable to transmission systems is expressed in
terms of the lightning ground flash density (Box “C” in Figure 2-3). In Section 3.2, sources of
information on the frequency of occurrence of lightning are provided, including Lightning
Location Systems (LLS) and other historical sources of data.
The probability of exceeding the critical current (Box “F” in -Figure 2-3) is calculated from lightning
current statistics and the determined critical current (Box “G” in -Figure 2-3). Statistical
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
distributions that describe the probability of exceeding a specified current magnitude are presented
in Section 3.3.4 of this document.
Several steps are required to calculate the critical current (Box “G” in -Figure 2-3):
o Flashover models are used to evaluate whether, or not, the line insulation will flash over for the
calculated insulation stress. It is not possible to directly apply laboratory test results for this
purpose since the lightning surge has a very different wave shape from that applied during
testing – i.e. the standard lightning impulse. The lightning impulse strength of the line
insulation (Box “I” in -Figure 2-3) and the various flashover models available, are discussed in
Section 5.5.
o The insulation stress (Box “H” in -Figure 2-3) is calculated by utilizing high-frequency electro-
magnetic transient modelling techniques. The lightning stroke is considered a current source
and its amplitude and waveshape determine the response of the transmission line. These
characteristics are discussed in Section 3.3. An overview of the specialized high-frequency
models necessary for lightning performance calculations is provided in Chapter 5. This
includes sections on the modelling of the supporting structure (Section 5.3), as well as the
earth electrode (section 5.4).
Estimates of the lightning performance of high-voltage transmission lines (TL) are typically based on the
response of the line to the first return stroke currents of negative cloud-to-ground flashes, as these
represent more than 90 % of cloud-to-ground flashes and their median peak current is typically two to
three times higher than that of subsequent strokes [9]. Subsequent strokes may be a significant contributor
to the outage rate only in very specific cases:
Shielding failures: In about 15-20 % of multiple-stroke flashes, one of the subsequent strokes will
have a higher peak current than the first stroke. For the low-current first strokes associated with
shielding failures this probability is much higher [47]. It is therefore quite likely that the initial stroke
causing the shielding failure is followed by a higher current subsequent stroke that will flash over
the line insulation.
Backflashovers: Subsequent strokes may cause backflashovers on lines with thin (e.g. single pole
structures) and relatively tall supporting structures (i.e. > 30 m) in combination with a very low
tower-footing impedance. In these cases, the steep rate of rise associated with subsequent
strokes results in a high voltage drop along the supporting structure, which can be comparable to
that of first strokes [50], [51]. These types of lines, however, have typically a low, and in many
cases an acceptable, backflashover rate.
Furthermore, lightning outages on transmission lines are transient in nature, which means that the line may
be re-energized immediately after the fault has been cleared. It is therefore customary to estimate the
long-term average outage rate of the line. The actual yearly performance may strongly deviate from the
long-term average due to the stochastic and year-to-year climatic variations in the lightning activity [2]. This
has the following consequences:
The flashover probability characteristics of the line insulation is ignored because its standard
deviation is negligible compared to the statistical dispersion of the lightning generated overvoltage
surges.
The dielectric strength of the line insulation is defined in terms of the 50 % flashover voltage, U50,
and not the withstand voltage as is customary for other insulation co-ordination studies.
Estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines is a complex task, based on many assumptions
and simplifications. Consequently, the achievable accuracy of the results is relatively limited, and also the
uncertainty limits, which can be used to avoid an overestimation of the model results, is not well defined.
Therefore, the need remains to further improve and update procedures and models based on the latest
research.
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3 Characteristics of lightning
3.1 Introduction
The lightning performance of transmission lines is directly related to frequency and severity of lightning
events:
The frequency of occurrence of lightning flashes is typically expressed in terms of the average
lightning ground flash density (GFD in flashes per km 2 per year) [28]. The GFD is preferably
determined from lightning observations over a large spatial area and over a long period of time.
This may include collecting data on the maximum and average flash rates per unit area, as well as
variations in flash characteristics as a function of location, time of year, time of day and storm type.
A consolidation of such data may provide a useful statistical basis for engineering calculations. For
example, past performance of a line can be assessed by correlating stroke data with line outages,
or an estimate of the prospective performance of the line can be extrapolated from historical data,
such as is done when doing design calculations.
The severity of a lightning event is generally expressed in terms of one or more parameters that
describe the current or charge of the lightning stroke. Lightning current parameters are preferably
obtained from direct current measurements on structures that resemble transmission line towers.
In general, this means obtaining measurements from masts, chimneys or transmission lines, which
are less than 60 m tall to avoid including data from upward lightning strokes. CIGRE brochure 549
provides a comprehensive review of all parameters that characterize the severity of a lightning
flash [9].
In this Chapter a summary of lightning characteristics pertinent to the lightning outage rate of transmission
lines is given. It relies heavily on previous CIGRE and IEEE publications and it is recommended that these
be consulted for more details and background information.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
extraction that separately identifies all ground strike points in a flash [9]. If only the overall ground flash
density (i.e. highest level of abstraction) is available, a correction factor of about 1.5 to 1.7 should be
applied to compensate for the fact that each flash may have more than one ground strike point.
Figure 3-1 – Worldwide cloud to ground flash densities (flashes/km2/yr) based on 5 years of data (2013-2017)
from the GLD360 LD network. Courtesy of Vaisala [17].
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
resolution (grids larger than 1200 km2), they are considered very robust. The relevance of such systems is,
however, much reduced since the advent of modern LLS, whose spatial resolution is in the order of 1 km2.
Historical data collected through these counters may still provide a valuable input for lightning performance
calculations and these LFC can provide useful ground truthing data for the GFD obtained from other
sources such as satellite or global detection networks. The flash grouping algorithm for a specific LFC,
such as the 1-s / 20 km grouping model in a CIGRE 10-kHZ LFC, should, however, be considered in any
intercomparison with advanced LLS providing individual stroke data.
Figure 3-2 – World map of lightning activity produced by the NASA LIS/OTD Science Team. Sum of intercloud
and cloud-to-ground flashes per km2 per year [39].
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The compiled satellite data can, however, be used as a basis for obtaining a first estimate of the ground
flash density. This was especially useful in regions not covered by ground-based lightning location systems
prior to the deployment of global detection networks. A comparison of data from the satellite-based
lightning detectors to other ground flash density measurements around the world showed that the average
ratio of the satellite lightning flash density to GFD was 4:1, but it could vary between 3:1 to 5:1 [40].
The local GFD may be estimated from satellite data by first determining an appropriate conversion factor
and then applying this factor to the specific region of interest. The conversion factor may be determined by
comparing the satellite lightning flash density shown in Figure 3-2, to either the corresponding CG flash
density presented in Figure 3-1 or an average flash density obtained from lightning flash counters (see
section 3.2.2).
3.2.4 Thunderstorm days (keraunic level) and thunderstorm hours
One of the earliest methods used to quantify thunderstorm activity was “thunderstorm days” (Td) or in some
regions, “thunderstorm hours” (Th). A thunderstorm day is defined as a calendar day on which thunder is
heard irrespective of whether the lightning flashes are nearby or some distance away, and thunderstorm
hours give the yearly duration of thunderstorms.
Due to the subjective nature for acquiring the data, the strong local variations, and the resulting possibility
for inaccuracies, thunderstorm day and thunderstorm hour data should no longer be used to estimate the
GFD. In areas without LLS coverage, an indication of the GFD can be obtained by other means, such as
from satellite-based observations of lightning – see previous section [41].
The long-term average of the ground flash density is used as a basis for performance calculations.
The long-term average of the GFD should be based on data spanning at least 10 years, to obtain
a consistent calculation of the GFD of a region.
Preferential sources for obtaining lightning GFD data ranked from best to worst are: lightning
location systems, lightning flash counters, satellites and, finally when no other options are
available (such as in the Arctic and Antarctic), keraunic levels.
The GFD of any individual year may differ significantly from the long-term average. This will induce similar
variations in the yearly outage rate so that the actual annual line performance may differ significantly from
the calculated long-term average. This may be due to the natural fluctuations from year to year in the GFD
and also because of the stochastic nature of the distribution of lightning strokes in a given area [30]. This
latter effect can easily be quantified by applying a Poisson distribution to obtain the confidence interval of
the average number of strokes to the line. Unfortunately, there is presently not much information publicly
available on the year-to-year variations in GFD.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Flashover of the line insulation is typically associated with the high peak current and short duration pulses
at the beginning of the negative first and subsequent return strokes (RS) striking the line. Return strokes
affecting transmission lines may also occur in positive flashes and in about 20 % to 50 % of upward
lightning flashes, following the initial continuous current. Positive flashes have generally been ignored for
lightning performance calculations, because make up only about 10% of all CG flashes. The return strokes
in upward flashes have also been ignored because their peak currents are similar to subsequent strokes
which reduce their significance to the performance of overhead lines [58][9].
Since this brochure focuses mainly on the lightning outage rate of lines, the emphasis here is to provide a
summary on the main parameters of the first and subsequent RS currents of negative downward CG
flashes.
3.3.2 General characteristics of strokes in negative downward CG flashes
Lightning stroke characteristics may vary considerably from stroke to stroke and are therefore usually
expressed in terms of statistical variables. However, some general trends may be identified from the
typical examples presented in Figure 3-3 of the first and subsequent return stroke current obtained from
direct measurements on a short, instrumented tower [106]. It shows the general features of, and
differences between first and subsequent stroke currents of negative downward flashes. Essentially these
are the same as those reported earlier [6], and include:
A concave wavefront with the maximum steepness of the wave occurring close to the first peak.
The wavefront of the first stroke (≈ 10 μs) is markedly longer than that of the subsequent stroke
(< 1 μs).
Multiple peaks of which the highest do not necessarily correspond to the first peak.
The median magnitude of subsequent strokes is significantly lower than that of first strokes.
The tail time (as expressed by the time to half value th) of the first stroke (≈ 100 μs) is longer than
that of the subsequent stroke (≈ 50 μs).
20
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
(a) first return stroke of a multiple-stroke flash measured on December 11, 2013
21
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 3-4 – Definition of front parameters for a lightning current impulse of negative polarity.
See Table 3-1 for descriptions of the parameters.
Table 3-1 – Description of front parameters for a lightning current impulse of negative polarity shown in Figure
3-4.
Parameter Description
IF Final (overall) peak of current (i.e. peak current)
I100 = II Initial peak of current
I10 10 % intercept along the stroke current waveshape
I30 30 % intercept along the stroke current waveshape
I90 90 % intercept along the stroke current waveshape
T10/90 Time between I10 and I90 intercepts on the wavefront
T30/90 Time between I10 and I90 intercepts on the wavefront
S10 Instantaneous rate-of-rise of current at I10
S10/90 Average steepness (through I10 and I90 intercepts)
S30/90 Average steepness (through I10 and I90 intercepts)
Sm Maximum rate-of-rise of current along wave-front, typically at I90
td 10/90 Equivalent linear wave-front duration derived as T10/90 / 0.8
td 30/90 Equivalent linear wave-front duration derived as T30/90 / 0.6
tm Equivalent linear wave-front duration derived from IF / Sm
th Tail time to half value
QI Impulse charge – time integral of current
W Specific energy (action integral) – time integral of the square current
22
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Mount San Salvatore station in Switzerland (MSS): Berger et al (1975) compiled the largest
database for temperate regions from the direct measurements of lightning currents on
instrumented towers Mont San Salvatore Station (MSS), in Lugano Switzerland [52]. This dataset
was later revised by Anderson and Eriksson (1980) [53].
Transmission line towers in Japan (TLJ): Takami and Okabe (2007) compiled another important
database from measurements performed on instrumented towers of transmission lines in Japan
with tower heights from 60 to 140 m.[56]
Morro do Cachimbo Station (MCS): Silveira and Visacro (2019) compiled data from direct
measurements of lightning currents on a 60-m high instrumented tower at the Morro do Cachimbo
Station, in Brazil. To date, this is the only dataset, with statistical significance of RS currents in
tropical regions [55] [54].
These datasets are summarized in 9. The first two data sets were considered in CIGRE brochure 549 [9],
and the latter has been updated with the latest available stroke data. The recommendations of this
chapter, therefore, follows those of brochure 549, but with updates from the datasets summarized in 9 as
appropriate.
Table 3-2 – Parameters of the cumulative statistical distributions of return stroke peak currents based on the
MSS dataset [9].
Standard deviation of ln/Log of % of cases exceeding
Median
the variable tabulated values [kA]
M [kA] σlnI [β] (base e) σlgI (base 10) 95 % 50 % 5%
Negative First strokes 30 0.610 0.265 11 30 80
Negative Subsequent strokes 12 0.610 0.265 4.6 12 30
Positive strokes 35 1.253 0.544 4.6 35 250
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Probability [%]
99.99 Negative First
99.95 Negative Subsequent
99.9
Positive
Combined Negative and Positive
99
98
95
90
80
70
50
30
20
10
5
2
1
0.1
0.05
0.01
1 10 100 1000
Ipeak [kA]
Figure 3-5 - Cumulative statistical distributions of return stroke peak currents based on the MSS dataset [9].
The cumulative distributions based on the MSS dataset are compared to the previous recommendations of
CIGRE [6] and IEEE [31] in Figure 3-6. The following observations may be made:
There is good agreement between the recommended distribution and that of CIGRE-63 for first
return stroke current above 20 kA. It has been suggested that the change in slope below 20 kA in
the CIGRE-63 distribution was because data from different populations were combined [9].
The IEEE distributions for negative first and subsequent strokes [31] [5] are described by the
equations of Table 9-4, and gives the peak current distribution of first stroke current of both
polarities [57] [9]. This explains the good agreement in Figure 3-6 between the IEEE first stroke
current distribution and the calculated peak current distribution for both polarities.
Probability [%]
Probability [%]
0.1 0.1
0.05 0.05
0.01 0.01
24
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Probability [%]
Probability [%]
99.99 MSS (Switzerland) 99.99 MSS (Switzerland)
99.95 99.95
99.9 TLJ (Japan) 99.9 MCS (Brazil)
MCS (Brazil)
99 99
98 98
95 95
90 90
80 80
70 70
50 50
30 30
20 20
10 10
5 5
2 2
1 1
0.1 0.1
0.05 0.05
0.01 0.01
Table 3-3 – Parameters of the cumulative statistical distributions of return stroke peak currents for the TLJ
and MCS datasets [9].
Standard deviation % of cases exceeding
Median
of ln of the variable tabulated values [kA]
M [kA] σlnI [β] (base e) 95 % 50 % 5%
TLJ 29.3 0.64 10.1 29.3 84.9
Negative First strokes
MCS 43.3 0.47 20 43.3 93.6
Negative Subsequent strokes MCS 17.3 0.54 7.1 17.3 42
Based on the present understanding of lightning stroke attraction to grounded structures it may be
expected that the distributions of peak currents determined from direct measurements on towers may be
biased towards higher currents compared to strokes to flat terrain [9]. Depending on which stroke attraction
model (i.e. striking distance equation) is used, this increase should be in the order of 20 to 40 % [63],
although, this increase may be mitigated to some extent by the influence of neighbouring objects such as
buildings and trees. However, to date no such height bias is evident from measurements taken on towers
of different heights [53] [64].
The steepness of the lightning current is an important parameter to replicate when calculating lightning
overvoltages. The parameters of the Log-Normal distribution for the lightning current wave-front steepness
are listed in Table 3-4 for first strokes and for subsequent strokes in Table 3-5. In general, selecting a
higher steepness will result in higher overvoltages.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Table 3-4 – Lightning current front parameters of log-normal distribution for negative first stroke currents.
Table 3-5 – Lightning current front parameters of log-normal distribution for negative subsequent stroke
currents.
Approximation by lognormal Percent of cases exceeding
Sample
Parameter Local distribution tabulated values
size
Geometric mean 95 % 50 % 5%
MSS 114 0.75 0.92 0.125 0.75 3.5
td 10/90
TLJ - - - - - -
[µs]
MCS 77 0.82 0.75 0.24 0.82 2.8
MSS 114 0.67 1.01 0.17 0.67 3
td 30/90
TLJ - - - - - -
[µs]
MCS 77 0.62 0.70 0.2 0.62 1.96
MSS 113 39.9 0.85 9.9 39.9 161.5
Sm
TLJ - - - - - -
[kA/µs]
MCS 77 35.1 0.70 11.1 35.1 111
MSS: Mount San Salvatore [53] [52]; MCS: Morro do Cachimbo Station [55]; TLJ: Transmission Line in Japan [56]
corresponds to the standard deviation for base e.
The complexity of performing lightning performance studies may be reduced by utilizing correlations
between the peak current and wave front parameters to reduce the number of cases that need to be
considered. In CIGRE brochure 63 the relations in Table 3-6 are suggested.
Table 3-6 – CIGRE correlations between the peak lightning current and wave front parameters for negative
downward flashes [6].
Steepness Front time
Input Parameter IF
Sm σlnI [β] (base e) tm (IF/Sm) td 30/90 σlnI [β] (base e)
Shielding failure –3 < IF ≤ 20 kA 12. 0𝐼𝐹0.171 0.554 2.51 1. 77𝐼𝐹0.188 0.494
Backflashover – IF > 20 kA 6.50𝐼𝐹0.376 0.554 1.37 0. 9060.411
𝐹 0.494
From more recent measurements of lightning currents to transmission lines in Japan the relationships in
Table 3-7 were derived [65]. Those derived from Brazilian dataset are listed in Table 3-7 [55]. This latter
dataset showed no correlation between the peak current and maximum steepness.
Table 3-7 – Correlations between the peak current and lightning current front parameters for negative
downward flashes based on measurements in Japan (TLJ) [65].
Input Parameter IF Steepness Sm Front time td 30/90
Negative first stroke 1.40𝐼𝐹0.77 1.39𝐼𝐹0.25
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Table 3-8 – Correlations between the peak current and lightning current front parameters for negative
downward flashes based on measurements in Brazil (MCS) [55].
As shown in Figure 3-8, these relationships give similar values and fall within the normal spread of
measurements, in the range of often occurring lightning currents with peaks from 20 to 80 kA. More
pronounced differences occur in the high current region, especially for the relationships derived from the
Brazilian data set. Since each of these datasets comprise a modest number of measurements, (51 flashes
from Brazil, approximately 90 negative downward flashes from Switzerland and 120 negative downward
flashes from Japan), care should be taken when extrapolating these relationships.
100 100
Cigre - Sm Cigre td 30/90
10
1 0.1
1 10 100 1000 1 10 100 1000
Peak Current IF [kA] Peak Current IF [kA]
Figure 3-8 – Relationships between maximum steepness, equivalent front time and peak current.
The relationships between peak current and maximum steepness derived from the Japanese data resulted
in an equivalent linear wave-front duration (tm = IF/Sm) of between 1.8 and 2.2 µs for lightning current
amplitudes in the range 50 kA to 130 kA which is typical for backflashover analyses. The equivalent linear
wave-front duration for the CIGRE relationships is longer, and in the range 2.0 to 3.0 µs over the same
current range. The Japanese relationships in Table 3-7 is therefore more conservative, and comparable to
the 2 µs linear front historically used for simplified calculations [2] [3] [4] [5].
Table 3-10 - Statistics of duration (time to half-value th) of subsequent return stroke currents.
Percent of cases exceeding tabulated values
Dataset
95 % 50 % 5%
MSS [52] 6.5 32 140
MCS [55] 1.84 15.1 123.9
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 4-1 – Components of the stepped leader. Drawing adapted from [7].
Photograph licensed from: Tom Warner / WeatherVideoHD.TV
The stepped leader acts as the conducting path which carries the charge from the cloud to ground. It has
been shown that there is a good relationship between the current of the first return stroke and the charge
stored in the stepped leader channel. It is still, however, unclear, how exactly the charge is distributed
along the stepped leader. For modelling purposes, a uniform, linearly increasing or exponentially
increasing charge distributions have been assumed. For the linearly and exponentially increasing charge
distributions it is assumed that the charge density increases towards the leader tip.
28
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The geometry of, and charge concentration at the leader tip, results in a very high electric field which then
results in the ionization of the air due to electron avalanches. These ionized filaments are called
“streamers” and they form a streamer zone in front of the leader tip. Streamers are the precursors of the
leader and they supply the current to heat up the air to form the leader. The streamer is not as conductive
as the leader, but it maintains a constant voltage gradient along its length, which is approximately
500 kV/m and for positive polarity and about 1 000 kV/m for negative streamers. Initially the gradient along
the leader channel is about the same as that for streamers, but it quickly reduces to an ultimate value of
about 1 kV/m [69] as the leader channel heats up. The streamer zone comprises both positive and
negative streamers. The positive streamers reach backward from the edge of the streamer zone to the
leader tip and the negative streamers extend from the edge of the streamer zone a short distance into the
remaining gap.
As the stepped leader approaches ground, the electric field around grounded objects will be increasing,
with the highest fields occurring at the extremities of the grounded structures. At a certain point, the electric
field becomes high enough to ionize the air, triggering the formation of streamers in the high field regions.
As before, the streamers consolidate into a leader channel as the streamer currents heat up the air [67]
and so the upward leader is established. It will grow towards the downward stepped leader if the streamers
at the leader tip supply enough energy to maintain the hot leader channel.
Important parameters [70] [67] that influence the inception of the upward leader are (1) the amount of
charge in the tip of the downward leader, (2) the distance between the downward leader tip and the
structure, (3) the height of the structure. An additional factor that influences the initiation and formation of
the upward leader on overhead lines, is the instantaneous value of the operating voltage on the conductor.
The resulting E-field around the conductor either enhances (in case of a positive polarity voltage) or
inhibits (in case of a negative polarity voltage) the formation of the upward leader. Factors that influence
the growth of the upward leader is (a) the impedance of the structure and its ground connection and (b) the
speed of propagation of the downward leader.
Figure 4-2 – Depiction of a leader approaching a grounded object, just before the final jump.
Photograph licensed from: Tom Warner / WeatherVideoHD.TV.
Both the downward and upward leaders grow generally in the direction of the highest field, but there is
significant randomness in the growth pattern so that they do not exactly follow the path along the highest
potential gradient. This is caused by the shielding effect provided by the corona and streamers in front of
the leader tip. However, during the last few steps of the leader development before the final jump, the
29
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
background electric field becomes strong enough to overcome the local potential grading effect of the
streamers and the leaders may turn towards each other [67]. This situation is illustrated in Figure 4-2.
Conditions for the “final jump” are reached when the streamer zone bridges the remaining distance
between the tips of downward and connecting leader [67]. At this stage flashover is unavoidable, even if
the voltage driving the process would be removed, because so much charge has accumulated along the
leaders. The length of the final jump can be determined from the estimates available for the potential of the
leader channel (which is a function of the prospective return stroke current) and by assuming an average
voltage gradient of 500 kV/m across the streamer zone. Several upward leaders may compete to connect
with the downward stepped leader and the winner is the first one for which the final jump conditions are
fulfilled.
An extensive review of the lightning stroke attachment to transmission lines and methods for evaluating it
can be found in CIGRE brochure 704 [10]. In general, two approaches are taken to evaluate the
attractiveness of transmission lines:
1. The Electro-Geometric Method (EGM) is a simple method and easy to implement. It uses the
“Striking Distance” associated with first return stroke peak current as a basis for evaluating the
attractiveness of transmission lines.
2. The Leader-Progression Method is more computationally intensive as it attempts to simulate the
attachment process of lightning to grounded structures. It uses the “Attractive Distance” as a basis
for evaluating the attractiveness of transmission lines. Note, the “attractive distance” is defined
similarly to the more commonly used “attractive radius”, which describes lightning attachment to
towers, masts and generally slender ground objects.
The striking distance and attractive distance are shown in Figure 4-3 and are defined as follows:
Striking Distance: The distance between the tip of the downward leader and the future termination
point on the conductor (or structure) at the time that the conditions for the final jump are fulfilled.
Attractive Distance: The horizontal distance between the vertical shaft of the downward leader and
the conductor (or structure) at the time that the conditions for the final jump are fulfilled.
Figure 4-3 – Definition of the striking distance and attractive distance at the time that the conditions for the
final jump are fulfilled.
30
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
These striking or attractive distances can then be used to estimate the number of flashes to the shield
wires or supporting structures (for evaluating the backflashover performance) and to the phase conductors
(for evaluating the shielding performance). A measure for the adequacy of a model for the lightning stroke
attachment process is how well its estimates of the flash incidence match the observed rates.
Where:
r the striking distance
Ip the peak of the prospective lightning current.
A, b constants that are dependent on the specific strike equation used.
The general approach of the Electro-Geometric method is illustrated on the right-hand side of Figure 4-4.
For each prospective first stroke current, the exposed distances Dg and Dc are calculated. These
represents the zones within which the first return stroke will terminate on the shield wire and phase
conductor, respectively.
Figure 4-4 - Lightning attachment to overhead transmission line conductors based on the attractive distance
(left) and striking distance (right) [10].
31
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Several different values were proposed for “A” and “b” of the striking distance equation, as is summarized
in Table 3.2.1 of CIGRE brochure 704 [10], which conveniently, also includes equations for evaluating the
exposure width (DC) and the maximum shielding failure current (Imsf).
None of these striking distance equations take directly account of the fact that taller objects attract more
lightning than shorter ones, as is evident in Equation 4-1 that lacks a height term. Rather, in some models,
this is done indirectly by reducing the attractive distance to ground relative to that of the conductor by the
application of a correction factor that is dependent on the conductor height. However, this approach has
been criticised as not strictly correct because the height adjustment is made to the striking distance to
ground which is not physically justified [7] [74].
In CIGRE brochure 63 [6] it was suggested that the Brown-Whitehead striking distance equations
(Equation 4-2) be used while in the more recently published IEEE [5] Equation 4-3 is recommended.
Equation 4-3[4], which is also used in the source code for the IEEE Flash program V1.8 and higher, is an
empirical approximation for the ratio of ground to conductor striking distance as a function of phase
conductor height [85].
Where:
rc the striking distance to the phase conductors and shield wires
rg the striking distance to the surface of the ground
hs the height of the shield wire.
Where:
Ng the regional ground flash density. [flashes / km2 / year].
l the length of the line [km].
Sg the distance between the shield wires [m].
Dg(I)the exposed distance of the ground wires [m] as a function of
the prospective lightning current, I [kA].
f(I) the probability density function of the occurrence of the peak lightning current.
The factor 2 in the equation assumes a bilateral symmetry of the line.
The exposed distance is geometrically determined based on the striking distance according to the EGM
model employed.
This has been simplified to express the flash incidence in terms of the average attractive distance, ra [6]:
𝑁𝑔
𝑁𝐿 = (2 ∙ 𝑟𝑎 + 𝑏) [Flashes /100 km /year] Equation 4-5
10
Where:
ra the average attractive distance of the line [m].
32
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Where:
HT the average tower height [m].
4.2.3 Shielding analysis
The total shielding failure rate (SFR) is the sum of the flash incidences to each phase conductor. The flash
incidence to each of the phase conductors can be calculated as follows:
𝐼𝑚𝑠𝑓
𝑁𝑔 𝑙
SFR = ∫ 𝐷𝐶 (𝐼)𝑓(𝐼)𝑑𝐼 [Flashes per year] Equation 4-7
1000
𝐼=0
Where:
Ng the regional ground flash density [flashes / km2 / year].
l the length of the line [km].
DC(I) the exposed distance of the phase conductors [m] as a function of
the prospective lightning current, I [kA].
f(I) the probability density function of the occurrence of the peak lightning current.
The upper integration limit is the maximum shielding failure current [Imsf, kA].
Likewise, the shielding failure flashover rate (SFFOR) is the sum of the shielding failure flashovers to each
phase conductor and the SFFOR for each phase conductor is calculated as follows:
𝐼𝑚𝑠𝑓
𝑁𝑔 𝑙
SFFOR = ∫ 𝐷𝐶 (𝐼)𝑓(𝐼)𝑑𝐼 [Flashovers per year] Equation 4-8
1000
𝐼=I𝐶
Where:
The lower integration limit is the critical current, IC, which is the minimum current required for a
flashover of the line insulation.
For the usual case where there are several subsequent strokes in a flash, SFFOR approaches SFR. It is,
namely, quite likely that the initial stroke causing the shielding failure, which is often less than the median
peak subsequent stroke amplitude of 12 kA, will be followed by a higher current subsequent stroke that
flash over the line insulation [9].
The following observations may be made with respect to the input parameters:
The shielding analysis is usually based on the average heights of the conductors.
It is recommended by Hileman [7] and endorsed by IEEE [5], that the choice of shielding angle be
based on a small non-zero value for the shielding failure flashover rate; for example 0.05
flashovers per 100 km of line length per year.
A conservative estimate of the critical stroke current is given by[76]:
−
𝑈50
𝐼𝑐 = 2 [kA] Equation 4-9
𝑍
Where:
33
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
U-50, the negative polarity full-wave lightning impulse strength of the line insulation which is taken
as the voltage with a 50 % probability for flashover [kV]
– see Section 5.5.1 for guidance on the estimation of the U50.
Z the surge impedance of the phase conductor [Ω]
Power frequency voltage bias on energized conductors is neglected for calculating the critical
current as it is assumed that the average value of this voltage is zero and that any polarity effects
between the phases would average out over time. Furthermore, if the polarity effect is included for
the calculation of the critical current, it would predict that most shielding failures would occur on
the negative polarity half cycle. This is contrary to some field experience from both AC and DC
systems that show a bias towards more shielding failures to conductors which carry a positive
polarity voltage [77] [78] [10].
Where:
L the attractive distance
Ip the peak of the prospective lightning current.
h the height of the conductor
E, F constants that are dependent on the specific LPM used.
The calculated attractive distances are then used to determine the first stroke incidence to the shield wires
and phase conductors, as illustrated on the left-hand side of Figure 4-4. Again, Dg and DC represents the
exposed distances of the shield wire and phase conductor, respectively.
The LPM involve a step-by-step simulation of the approaching downward stepped leader, at each step
solving the quasistatic fields, to determine the inception of the upward leader and the direction that both
34
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
the leaders would take on the next step. Schematic depictions of two leader progression models are
shown in Figure 4-5.
Different sets of assumptions underpin the various leader progression models, which may result in
significant differences in the calculated attractive/striking distances. These differences include:
For the Downward leader:
Whether the trajectory of the downward leader is attracted by the upward leader or continues to
extend straight down to the ground.
How the charge is distributed in the leader channel. Assumptions made in the past include.
o Uniform charge distribution along the leader channel.
o A linearly increasing charge distribution from the cloud base to the leader tip.
o An exponential charge distribution with a distinct charge concentration at the leader tip.
How the total charge and the voltage of the leader is related to the peak prospective current.
The speed by which the leader tip propagates down to earth.
For the Upward leader:
Criteria for the inception of the upward leader. This could be defined as an inception E-field
gradient, a threshold value for the space potential at the structure or it could be determined
through a detailed model of the ionization process.
How the path of the propagation of the upward leader is determined.
Criteria for determining when the final jump occurs and when the upward leader fails to connect
with the downward leader.
Further details on the various leader progression models, including main parameters defining them, are
provided in CIGRE brochure 704 [10]. This includes descriptions of the downward leader model, the
upward leader model, leader inception model, and final jump model. A review and recommendations are
also provided on the selection of important input parameters, such as the cloud potential, charge
distribution in the leader channel, the charge of upward leader, velocities of upward and downward
leaders, as well as the initial velocity of upward leader.
Several studies have been performed to demonstrate the ability of the LPM to correctly predict shielding
failures as observed on UHV lines where the EGM fails. This is in part because these methods can
35
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
account for the effect of phase conductor voltage magnitude and polarity on the inception conditions of the
upward leader. However, they have not seen widespread application, despite presenting a more physically
sound and rigorous account of the attachment process, because they are more complex and
computationally intensive.
The basic method, simplifications and validation are described in Appendix 11.2 [90]. It greatly reduces the
calculation effort to apply the Rizk lightning attachment model, without a significant loss in the accuracy. At
present the simplified method is only applicable to lines on flat ground.
The basic principle of the method is illustrated in Figure 4-6. The attractive distances to all conductors are
calculated as a function of the instantaneous voltage and the prospective first stroke current, I. The
instantaneous voltage is defined by the phase angle, θ, of the power frequency voltage at the instant of the
first return stroke.
For this method, Lds_s(I, θ) is the attractive distance to the shield wire and Lds_p(I, θ) is that to the phase
conductors.
Figure 4-6 – Lightning attractive distance to overhead transmission line conductors as defined in the Rizk
lightning attachment model.
36
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Where:
Δθ the step size in phase angle. If twelve phase angles are selected, then Δθ is π/6.
DC(I) the exposed distance of the phase conductors as a function of the prospective lightning
current, I, and the power frequency phase angle, θ [Radians].
IC (the lower integration limit) the critical current, which is the minimum current required for a
flashover of the line insulation. A sufficient estimate of the critical stroke current is given by
Equation 4-13.
The total shielding failure is the sum of the SFFOR of all the phase conductors.
A conservative estimate of the critical stroke current is given by [76]:
−
𝑈50 2
𝐼𝑐 (θ) = 2 + √ 𝑈𝑚 ∙ 𝑠𝑖𝑛(𝜔𝑡 + 𝜃) [kA] Equation 4-13
𝑍 3
Where:
U-50, the negative polarity lightning impulse strength of the line insulation which is taken as the
voltage with a 50 % probability for flashover [kV]
(note that the negative polarity of this voltage should be correctly inputted into the equation)
– see Section 5.5.1 for guidance on the estimation of the U50.
Z the surge impedance of the phase conductor [Ω]
Um the maximum system voltage [kV]
4.4.4 Validation
The simplified method was validated for several case studies for which the line shielding performance is
known, of which the results are presented in Appendix 11.2.11. The accuracy of the simplifications was
37
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
demonstrated in [90]. In general, it is found that the simplified method adequately predicts the number of
strokes to the line and the shielding failure rate for lines traversing flat terrain.
Not all examples fulfilled the “flat-terrain” criterion which resulted in a discrepancy between the predicted
and actual shielding failure rates. On sloping terrain, the phase facing away from the slope will be more
vulnerable to shielding failures and those facing the slope will be more protected. This effect can be
approximated by considering that the downward negative leader during the attachment phase will descend
not vertically but perpendicularly to the ridge. Conductor heights and lateral displacements must be
recalculated accordingly [90].
Finally, it must be realized that the data available is too few to make firm conclusions, also considering the
effect of geography on the performance of real lines which was not considered in the calculations. Further
benchmarking is therefore still required.
38
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The magnitude of the current source is equal to the prospective stroke current that would be
injected into the ground if it is perfectly conducting.
The waveshape is chosen to reflect the essential characteristics of the first or subsequent stroke
current, depending on which is considered for the study. This aspect is further discussed in the
next section.
The impedance, Zch, which is usually referred to as the equivalent impedance of the lightning
channel, is typically assumed to be a constant value [9][143].
Figure 5-1 – Equivalent current source representing the return stroke channel.
A limited number of studies were done to estimate the equivalent impedance of the lightning channel from
direct measurements of lightning current [9] or to infer the channel impedance from theoretical models
[144]. It was found that the channel impedance is a stochastic parameter that is dependent on the return
stroke peak current. Reported estimates of the channel impedance varies from approximately 460 Ω up to
9000 Ω [142], which is, in most cases, significantly higher than the impedance of the transmission line
earthing system presented to the stroke when it hits the line. Consequently, the lightning stroke may be
approximated as an ideal current source, i.e. Zch = ∞, without significantly affecting the accuracy of the
calculation.
39
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
-20
Current [kA]
Current [kA]
-20
Linear part -30
Linear part
-30
-40
-40
First peak -50
First peak
-50 -60
Second peak Second peak
-60 Time [μs] -70 Time [μs]
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
0 0
-5 Concave part SAS Concave part TLJ
-10 -5
Current [kA]
-15
Current [kA]
-20 -10
-25 Linear part Linear part
-30 -15
-35
-40 -20 First peak
First peak
-45 Second peak Second peak
-50 -25
Figure 5-2 – Typical current wave shapes for first downward negative stroke. MSS- Mount San Salvatore [155],
MCS- Morro do Cachimbo[55], SAS- South Africa stations [156] and TLJ – Japanese Transmission lines [56].
Note that the shapes of the measured first stroke currents in Figure 5-2 are quite different from the well-
known normalized median waveshape obtained from the Berger measurements [52] which is shown in
Figure 5-3. This is because the ‘‘averaging process’’ adopted for developing this median curve resulted in
a loss of the original distinct patterns [59].
Time [μs]
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
0
-0.2
Current [p.u. of final peak]
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1
-1.2
Figure 5-3 – Normalized median current wave shape of first downward negative strokes derived from the
Berger measurements [52].
40
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
A triangular, ramp-slope type function with a 2 µs front has been recommended by CIGRE and
IEEE for simplified lightning performance calculations [2] [3] [4] [5]. The linear rising wave-front
time was selected so that the wave front has the maximum steepness, Sm.
A double-exponential waveform, also with a 2 µs front, has been used, mainly to avoid additional
transients caused by the discontinuity at the peak of the ramp-slope type wave. The double
exponential is also easily reproduced in high-voltage laboratories [61]. However, the peak rate of
rise Sm of this waveform occurs at t = 0 and falls to zero at the current peak which is not a realistic
representation of the first stroke current wave front.
CIGRE-concave waveform [6], which utilizes separate expressions to independently represent the
current wave-front and wave-tail. This waveform has found widespread application.
Special waveforms, such the Heidler function [60] have been developed for an improved
representation of the wave-front, while maintaining a single equation implementation [58]. It is
continuously differentiable and Sm for a single Heidler function occurs at 50% of the peak.
A Double-peaked waveform [59], is a summation of seven Heidler functions to reproduce the
median value of all relevant amplitude and time parameters of first return stroke currents (i.e. first
and second peaks, front times Td10 and Td30, time-to-half peak and maximum steepness).
The above-mentioned waveforms are compared in Figure 5-4 with the wave parameters selected to
reproduce the median parameters of Mont San Salvatore (MSS) dataset. Note that the peak of single-
peaked waveforms, which corresponds to the initial peak of the typical return stroke current – see Figure
5-2, occurs much earlier than the second, or final, peak. This is to a certain extent the outcome of selected
maximum steepness. For the double-peaked waveform these parameters are decoupled, and more
realistic front times can be achieved.
35
Absolute Lightning Current [kA]
30
25
20
15 Cigre
10 Double peak
Equation 5-1 shows that the maximum voltage across the tower body occurs when the injected lightning
current reaches its maximum steepness and that the maximum voltage across the ground electrode occurs
41
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
at the peak of the injected lightning current. With typical values of LT = 30 H for a 30-m single pole tower,
dt = 2 s and RE = 20 Ω, the ratio VTT / I(t) becomes (15 + 20) V/A so both terms in Equation 5-1 are
important. The waveform chosen to represent the first stroke should therefore have the maximum
steepness of the wavefront occurring just before the first peak, as this is the worst case. The waveshapes
fulfilling this criterion are (1) the triangular ramp-slope function, (2) the CIGRE curve and (3) the Double-
Peaked wave. Equations for implementing the CIGRE and Double-Peaked wave shapes are provided in
10. Double-exponential and single Heidler functions do not have Sm occurring close to the peak current and
should thus not be used in backflashover calculations.
The front-time of the current wave is also important. On shielded lines, a part of the lightning current
travels along the shield wires to adjacent structures where it is conducted to ground via the foundations
and earth electrodes. This sets up a negative reflected wave, which returns to the stricken tower, that
reduces the tower top voltage when it reaches it. The time it takes for these negative reflections is at
minimum twice the travel time of one span and for typical transmission lines is in the order of some micro-
seconds. For a stroke with a long front time, reflections from neighbouring towers may arrive back at the
stricken tower before the lightning current reaches its peak and thus contribute to lowering the peak tower
top voltage. Wave shapes with a short front time may not arrive in time and have less of a mitigation effect.
The characteristics of first strokes, necessary for selecting the waveshape parameters, are provided in
Section 3.3.
5.2.2.3 Analytical representations of the current waveform of subsequent return strokes
Examples of typical subsequent return stroke waveshapes captured at different stations are presented in
Figure 5-7. These wave shapes are characterised by a fast rise in the current to a single peak value, with a
front duration of about 0.2 to 5 μs, after which it decays with some oscillations back to zero with a time to
half value in the order of 30 μs [9].
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25 -30
Time [μs]
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
0
-10 SAS
-20
Current [kA]
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
-80
-90
Figure 5-5 – Typical current wave shapes for subsequent negative strokes. MSS- Mount San Salvatore [155],
MCS- Morro do Cachimbo[55], and SAS- South Africa stations [156].
42
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Time [μs]
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
0
-0.2
Current [kA]
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1
-1.2
Figure 5-6 – Normalized median current wave shape of subsequent downward negative strokes derived from
the Berger measurements [52].
The median parameters of amplitude and time derived from the currents measured at Mount San
Salvatore Station, as shown in Figure 5-6, [52] adequately represents the general features of subsequent
strokes. It can be represented in lightning performance studies by the sum of two Heidler functions [62], as
explained in Appendix 10.4 and with the parameters are selected according to the characteristics provided
in Section 3.3. The resulting wave shape representing the median subsequent stroke current is illustrated
in Figure 5-7.
14
12
10
Current (kA)
0
0 2 4 6 8 10
Time (s)
Figure 5-7 – Representation of subsequent return stroke currents by Heidler functions considering median
peak current parameters of subsequent return stroke currents measured at MSS [52].
II = 11.8 kA, td 30/90 = 0.4 μS, Sm 39.9 kA/μS, th = 32 μS.
43
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝜃 𝜃 𝜃 𝑍1 ∙ 𝑍2
𝑍𝑇 = 60 {𝑙𝑛 [cot ( )] − 1} 𝑍𝑇 = 60 {𝑙𝑛 [cot ( )]} 𝑍𝑇 = 60 {𝑙𝑛 [cot ( )]} 𝑍𝑇 =
2 2 2 𝑍1 + 𝑍2
𝑟𝑎𝑣 2𝐻𝑡
𝜃 = tan−1 ( ) 𝑍1 = 60 ∙ [𝑙𝑛 (√2 ) − 1]
𝐻𝑡 𝑟
𝑟
𝜃 = tan−1 ( )
𝐻𝑡 2𝐻𝑡
𝑟1 ℎ2 + 𝑟2 𝐻𝑡 + 𝑟3 ℎ1 𝑑 ∙ 60𝑙𝑛 ( ) + 𝐻𝑡 ∙ 𝑍2
𝑟𝑎𝑣 = 𝑍2 = 𝑟
𝐻𝑡 𝐻𝑡 + 𝑑
𝐻𝑡 𝐻𝑡 1 𝐻𝑡 ∙ 𝑍1 ∙ (𝑑 + 𝐻𝑡 ) ∙ 𝑍2
𝑡𝑡 = : towers with crossarms or 𝑡𝑡 = : towers without crossarms 𝑡𝑡 =
0.85∙𝑐 𝑐 𝑐 ∙ 𝑍𝑇 𝐻𝑡 ∙ 𝑍1 + (𝑑 + 𝐻𝑡 ) ∙ 𝑍2
All surge impedance equations presented in this section are valid for round shapes, as shown in the
figures. For box shaped structures, such as typical for lattice towers, an equivalent radius must be
calculated so that the circumferences (or perimeter) of the two shapes are the same. For example, for a
lattice tower having a rectangular cross section with width “ a” and depth “b” the equivalent radius, req, is:
(𝑎 + 𝑏)
𝑟𝑒𝑞 = [m] Equation 5-2
𝜋
For practical purposes, the travel time of surges along towers without crossarms, as those shown in Table
5-1, is equal to the tower height divided by the speed of light. For towers with crossarms, it was found
experimentally that the apparent propagation along the tower is slowed down to approximately 85 % of the
speed of light, because of the additional mean path length presented by the crossarms. On more detailed
44
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
models, this effect may be included by representing the crossarms as short stub transmission lines with its
surge impedance calculated with Equation 5-3 [37].
ℎ
𝑍 = 60 cosh−1 ( ) [Ω] Equation 5-3
𝑟
Where:
l the section length [m]
c the speed of light [3 x 108 m/s].
2ℎ
The approximation to Equation 5-3, 𝑍 = 60 𝑙𝑛 ( ), is valid when h >> r.
𝑟
Equation 5-3 is valid for both horizontal and vertical directions of propagation and can therefore be used
for both tower sections and crossarms.
For a box shaped crossarms, the equivalent radius is calculated with Equation 5-2. For a triangular
tapering crossarm, with a width “a” and depth “b” at the base of the crossarm, the equivalent radius
becomes:
(𝑎 + 2𝑏)
𝑟𝑒𝑞 = [m]
2𝜋
Equation 5-5
(𝑎 + 𝑏)
𝑟𝑒𝑞 = [m]
2𝜋
𝑉
𝑟𝐶 = 2ℎ
𝐸0 𝑙𝑛 ( ) [m] Equation 5-6
𝑟𝑐
Where:
V: an estimate of the insulation flashover voltage under backflashover, which may be taken as
1.8 times its positive polarity 50 % flashover voltage [kV].
E0: the limiting corona gradient below which the corona will not extend further [kV/m]. A value of
1500 kV/m is suggested.
h: the height of the conductor which should be taken as the pole height [m].
The initial value of rC is usually taken as 0.01 m and the recursive substitution converges quickly.
Presently, insulating support structures are mostly used on systems of 145 kV or lower, which means that
most downleads are used on lines with an insulation distance of 2 m or less. Based on these parameters,
the upper limit for the corona radius is estimated to be 0.25 m.
45
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The corona envelope around the earth wire modifies the wire capacitance but not the inductance. Thus,
the surge impedance equation is modified as follows:
2ℎ 2ℎ
𝑍𝑐 = 60 [√𝑙𝑛 ( ) 𝑙𝑛 ( ) − 1] [Ω] Equation 5-7
𝑟𝐶 𝑟
Where:
r the radius of the earth wire [m].
The corona will also slow down the propagation of the surge down the wire and a conservative estimate of
the surge travel time is given by:
𝐻𝑡
𝑡𝑡 = [s] Equation 5-8
0.85 ∙ 𝑐
𝑍𝑇
𝐿𝑇 = ∙ 𝐻𝑡 [H] Equation 5-9
𝑐
This representation is, however, only suitable for simplified hand calculations or in case of short towers
with a high footing resistance. Equation 5-9 may also be used to simplify the representation of towers more
than two spans away from the stricken point to reduce the complexity and size of the transient model.
46
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
In this example, the tower is divided into four sections with the surge impedance in each section calculated
as follows:
The surge impedance of the tower base (ZTd in Figure 5-8) is calculated with the equation given for
a waist tower in Table 5-1. The values of r1, r2 and r3 are selected so that the tower base
resembles a truncated cone.
The surge impedance of the upper sections is calculated with Equation 5-3, based on the
equivalent radius and height of each section.
When multiple reflections and transmissions among segments are included, better estimates of voltages at
each phase conductor height are developed than with a model using constant surge impedance. The
variable impedance model also allows for adding crossarms, as explained in section 5.3.2.2.
Where:
Detailed electro-magnetic analyses [96][97][98] confirm this effect but the cause was identified as a
dependence of the tower surge impedances, ZTa…ZTd in Figure 5-8, on the direction of the travelling wave.
For example, a conical tower has a constant surge impedance for waves travelling down the tower, and
highly variable surge impedance for waves travelling up the tower, as defined by Equation 5-3 with height
measured up from ground level. Circuit based models cannot support this formulation and should rely on
the approximation introduced above (Equation 5-10).
47
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝑅𝑖 = ∆𝑅𝑖 ∙ 𝑙𝑖
2 ∙ 𝑍𝑇𝑑 1
For the tower base: ∆𝑅𝑑 = 𝑙𝑛 ( )
ℎ𝑑 𝛼𝑑 [ohm] Equation 5-11
2 ∙ 𝑍𝑇𝑖 1
For the upper sections: ∆𝑅𝑖 = 𝑙𝑛 ( )
(ℎ𝑎 − ℎ𝑑 ) 𝛼𝑖
Where:
i identifies the tower section from “a” to “d”
li the length of tower section “i”
ZTi the surge impedance of tower section “i”
α the attenuation coefficient, which is set to 0.89 for all tower sections
c the speed of light – 3 x 108 m/s
Other variables are defined in Figure 5-9.
The inductors in parallel with the attenuation resistors are added to damp the effect of the resistors after
the initial current transient [101] and are selected so that the time constant of the R-L branch is about two
times the travel time of the tower [102].
ℎ𝑎
𝐿𝑖 = 2 ∙ 𝜏 ∙ 𝑅𝑖 with 𝜏 = [H] Equation 5-12
𝑐
This multistorey model has been verified against field measurements and electromagnetic computation
methods as a good alternative to predict insulator voltages over a wide range of tower footing resistances
[101].
5.3.8 Representation of the tower surge impedance in TL lightning-performance studies
The use of more sophisticated tower models, such as those in sections 5.3.5 to 5.3.7, becomes more
important in situations where it may be expected that the voltage build up along the tower will be a
significant contributor to the insulator voltages. Equation 5-1 provides a simple insight into the problem.
Detailed models should be considered when:
Using:
48
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 5-10 - A Simplified circuit representing ground electrodes as a series of connected distributed circuits
(RL, LL, are the per-unit-length longitudinal Resistance and Inductance, RE, CE are the shunt Resistance and
Capacitance of the electrode).
The electrode is modelled as a series connection of a number of T-elements. Here, the electrode wire
impedance is represented by RL (internal resistance of the wire) and LL (Inductance of the wire) while RE
and CE represent the dissipation resistance and capacitance, respectively. RE is shown as a non-linear
resistor, indicating that it may change due to soil ionization when high currents are discharged into the soil.
Expressions for RE, LL and CE in uniform soil are provided in Table 5-2 [112].
Table 5-2 - Expressions for RE, LL and CE of earth electrodes.
Conductor orientation RE [Ωm] LL [H/m] CE [F/m] With
Vertical 𝜌 𝜇0 2𝜋𝜀0 𝜀𝑟 4𝑙
𝑅𝐸 = 𝐴 𝐿𝐿 = 𝐴 𝐶𝐸 = 𝐴1 = 𝑙𝑛 ( ) − 1
2𝜋 1 2𝜋 1 𝐴1 𝑟
Horizontal 𝜌 𝜇0 𝜋𝜀0 𝜀𝑟 2𝑙
𝑅𝐸 = 𝐴2 𝐿𝐿 = 𝐴 𝐶𝐸 = 𝐴2 = 𝑙𝑛 ( )−1
𝜋 2𝜋 2 𝐴2 √2𝑟𝑑
In the equations above:
l the conductor length [m]
r the conductor radius [m] (r << l)
d the burial depth [m] (d << l)
ρ the uniform soil resistivity [Ωm]
μ0 the permeability of free space (4𝜋 × 10−7 H/m)
ε0 the permittivity of free space (8.85 × 10−12 F/m)
εr the permittivity of the soil (typically ≈ 10 - 20)
The total impedance of the equivalent circuit in Figure 5-10 will be frequency dependent due to the
presence of the inductive and capacitive elements. The capacitive elements will tend to lower the electrode
impedance as the frequency goes up and at the same time the inductive elements will tend to increase the
overall impedance. This frequency dependency is illustrated in Figure 5-11 which shows the overall
impedance Z(ω) of a counterpoise wire as a function of frequency. Four cases are shown including two
lengths of counterpoise and two levels of soil resistivity. The impedance Z(ω) curves were calculated with
an electromagnetic model, HEM [109].
49
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
ρ0 = 300 Ωm
For typical transmission line earth electrodes, including vertical and horizontal buried wires, the low-
frequency dissipation resistance, RLF, can adequately be estimated from [104]:
𝜌 1 11.8 ∙ 𝑔2 1 𝐴
𝑅𝐿𝐹 = [ 𝑙𝑛 ( )+ 𝑙𝑛 ( )] [Ω] Equation 5-14
2𝜋 𝑔 𝐴 𝐿𝑤 𝐹 ∙ 𝐴𝑤
Where:
Equation 5-14 shows that there is a linear relationship between the electrode resistance and the soil
resistivity. This is also reflected in Figure 5-11, which shows that increase in soil resistivity of 3.3 times
from 300 Ωm to 1000 Ωm results in the same 3.3 times increase of the electrode resistance. The ratio of
resistivity to RLF defines the effective perimeter, P = /RLF of a hemispheric electrode with the same RLF.
Further inspection of Equation 5-14 shows that there are two terms within the square brackets. The first
term, named “Geometric” resistance, is the resistance of an equivalent solid electrode of the same
50
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
dimensions and the second, named the “Contact” resistance, corrects for the fact that the electrode is not
a solid but is comprised of wires. The importance of the electrode size and conductor length is also
illustrated in Figure 5-11 which shows that RLF of the 30 m electrode is about 2.5 times lower than that of
the 10 m one. The effective perimeter, P, of the 30 m electrode is about 17 m and P for the 10-m horizontal
buried wire is 7 m.
5.4.3 High frequency response
5.4.3.1 General observations
Figure 5-11 shows that the electrode impedance starts to deviate from the low-frequency resistance at
frequencies above 1 to 10 kHz. At these higher frequencies, the reactive (ωLL) and capacitive (1/ωCE)
impedance of the buried wires become more prominent, and this results in a significant voltage drop along
the earth conductor. Since the whole electrode is no longer at the same voltage – as was the case at low
frequencies – its impedance can no longer be approximated by RE ≈ RLF. A further contribution to the
change in impedance is the frequency dependence of the soil parameters, which results in a reduction in
the dissipation resistance [23].
Other observations that may be made from the results in Figure 5-11 include:
For all electrodes there is a tendency at increasing frequencies for the impedance to first become
capacitive (negative phase angle) before becoming inductive (positive phase angle).
In the MHz range, the impedance of the four example electrodes, converge into a small range of
60-80 Ω which corresponds roughly to the ground plane surge impedance.
For frequencies associated with lightning currents, i.e. 100 kHz and higher, the earth electrode can
either be capacitive or inductive, depending on the electrode size and soil characteristics.
In high resistivity soils the capacitive effects tend to be stronger which results in a larger reduction
of the impedance as the frequency increases. This can be explained in terms of the longer RECE
time constant.
Both the electrode length and the soil resistivity influence the frequency at which the transition
between the low- and high-frequency impedance values occur.
The resistivity of soil tends to decrease with an increase in frequency. This is apparent in the
graphs shown in Figure 5-11 as the reduction in impedance from low frequency up to the transition
frequency.
In the time domain, the counterpoise wire can be considered as a non-uniform and lossy transmission line.
A current pulse impressed onto one end of the wire will propagate along it, and while propagating, will be
attenuated and distorted due to the current dissipation into the surrounding soil. This attenuation is
greatest in low resistivity soil and it also becomes greater at higher frequencies because of the frequency
dependence of the soil resistivity [113]. This behaviour manifests itself as a change in the apparent
electrode impedance over time. For a steeply rising impulse, the initial impedance will be the surge
impedance of the electrode which then changes over a few micro-seconds to the low frequency impedance
[105]. This transition is usually complete after a few round-trip travel times to the far end of the conductor
[112]. For long buried horizontal wires, the initial impedance is usually higher than the low frequency
impedance, but in very high resistivity soil (e.g. ρ >1000 Ωm) the reverse may be true.
51
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 5-12 - Measured and simulated earth potential rise of a 9.6 m long electrode buried 0.5m deep in 1400
Ωm low-frequency resistivity soil due to the impression of lightning-patterned current with front time of 0.4 μs.
Adapted from [23].
The following causal expressions, which are based on many field measurements, are proposed to describe
the resistivity and relative permittivity of soils, in the range of 100-Hz to 4-MHz [23].
𝜌0
𝜌= [Ωm] Equation 5-15
1 + (4.7 × 10−6 ∙ 𝜌00.73 ) ∙ (𝑓)0.54
A first estimate of Zp for a four-legged counterpoise as shown in Figure 5-13 may be obtained from [110]:
Where:
ρ0 the low frequency soil resistivity, assuming uniform soil [Ωm].
l the average length of the counterpoise arms [m]
Figure 5-13 – A typical four-legged counterpoise defining the parameters of Equation 5-17 [110].
52
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
For other arrangements of counterpoise wires a first estimate of Zp can be obtained by applying a factor of
4/n to the result from Equation 5-17, where “n” is the number of counterpoise wires in the arrangement and
less than 4. Alternatively, a more accurate estimate may be obtained from the impulse coefficient IC
(defined in section 5.4.4.3 below) and the low-frequency grounding resistance RLF as follows:
Where:
IC The impulse coefficient - given by Equation 5-21 below.
RLF The low frequency resistance of the electrode which could either be measured or calculated.
The expressions above are valid for electrode lengths shorter than or equal to the effective length (see
next section).
5.4.4.2 The effective length of counterpoise electrodes
It has long been recognized that counterpoise wires longer than 60 – 100 m become less effective when
considering high-frequency effects such as lightning [105]. This is primarily because of the dissipation of
the surge as it propagates along the wire, which means that the extremities of the electrode, where most of
the surge is already dissipated, have negligible current density and contribute therefore little to the rise of
the ground potential at the tower. It is therefore desirable, when designing earth electrodes, to know what
the maximum length the counterpose should be to achieve a cost-effective electrode with a good lightning
performance. This limiting length is defined as the effective length, lEF.
The effective length is defined in terms of the impulse impedance ZP as shown in Figure 5-14. In this
example the impulse impedance is given by the peak of the voltage wave divided by the applied current
peak of 11.8 kA. The calculated impulse impedance for this series of tests is shown on the right.
The results in Figure 5-14 show that ZP decrease for an increase in counterpoise length up to about 15 m
after which it remains constant. This means that the part of the counterpoise further away than 15 m does
not contribute to reduce the peak electrode voltage at the tower. For this example, the effective length (lEF)
of the counterpoise is therefore 15 m.
160 12
L=5m Zp
140 L = 10 m
10
L = 20 m
Impulse Impedance [Ω]
120
L = 40 m
8
100
Voltage [kV]
80 6
60
4
40
2
20
lEF
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 0 10 20 30 40 50
Time [μs] Length of Counterpoise [m]
53
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝑍𝑝
𝐼𝐶 = Equation 5-20
𝑅𝐿𝐹
IC is a useful parameter to determine ZP from a measured low frequency resistance RLF [115]. A typical
profile of IC as a function of electrode length is shown schematically in Figure 5-15.
Figure 5-15 - Typical profile of the impulse coefficient IC as a function of the electrode length.
It is generally found that the impulse coefficient is a constant value if the electrode is shorter than the
effective length. This is because both Zp and RLF have approximately the same dependency on the length
of the electrode. Considering the frequency dependence of the soil resistivity, it is found that Zp is usually
smaller than RLF. For electrode lengths less that lEF, IC may vary from 0.4 in high resistivity soils to 1.0 in
low resistivity soils. For electrodes longer than lEF, Zp remains constant while RLF further reduces with
increased electrode length. Consequently, IC shows an increasing trend as shown in Figure 5-15. Further
details may be found in [111].
The following expression is proposed for obtaining a first estimate of the impulse coefficient ( IC) for
counterpoise electrodes shorter than lEF as a function of the low-frequency soil resistivity ρ0 [110]:
Equation 5-21 shows that IC is only governed by the soil parameters. Thus it also provides a valid
estimate of IC for other tower footing electrode arrangements, provided that the extent of the electrode
does not exceed lEF.
54
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝑅𝐿𝐹
𝑅𝐼 = 𝐼
for I ≥ IPI
√1+𝐼 [Ω] Equation 5-22
𝑃𝐼
𝜌𝐸0
𝐼𝑃𝐼 = 2 [kA] Equation 5-23
2𝜋𝑅𝐿𝐹
Where:
Utilising the equations above it can be estimated that the maximum extent of the soil ionization in high
resistivity soil will rarely exceed 10 m [99]. The effect of ionization on backflashover rate using Equation
5-22 and Equation 5-23 is strong for an effective electrode perimeter /RLF = 10 m, corresponding to a
hemisphere with 1.6 m radius, but negligible for /RLF = 40 m [7].
The general expression for RLF (Equation 5-14) of wire-frame electrodes, such as a buried horizontal wire
approximating a vertical metal plate, can be is utilized to obtain a second estimate of the electrode
resistance when partly or fully ionized. An assumption is made that rw and Aw in Equation 5-14 will
increase as the electrode ionizes, to the extent that the contact resistance term can be neglected. Thus,
the estimate of ionized resistance is based only on the geometric resistance term in Equation 5-14:
𝜌 1 11.8 ∙ 𝑔2
𝑅𝐼 = [ 𝑙𝑛 ( )] [Ω] Equation 5-24
2𝜋 𝑔 𝐴
Where:
Equation 5-24 generally overestimates the effect of the soil ionization for large sized earth electrodes
typically found on transmission lines compared to detailed numerical models found in [24] that have a
different value of rw for each segment of a buried wire exhibiting ionization.
Neither of these simplified models include the time delays measured in of the ionization and de-ionization
process, leading to overestimation of the effect of soil ionization at the peak of the lightning current and
thus an underestimation of the peak insulator voltages.
55
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
earth electrode. Figure 5-16 also includes a case where the earth electrode was represented by its low-
frequency resistance, RLF. The results from this case deviated, however, strongly from that obtained with
the physical representation of the electrode.
Similar results were obtained for other typical transmission lines [114]. These studies covered lines with a
range of operating voltages and considered different electrode arrangements, electrode lengths, as well as
a wide range of soil-resistivities.
Another advantage of using the impulse impedance is that it is practically invariant in the range of front-
times associated with first return strokes [23], and therefore relatively easy to determine.
Figure 5-16 - Outage rates of a 138-kV transmission line obtained under ZP, RLF and physical representations
of electrodes, using an electromagnetic model and the DE method (flashover criterion). Soils of 600 and 2000
Ωm. Electrodes: counterpoise wires of length L. Towers: 30 m high and single shielding wire. N g of 2.4
flashes/km2/year [114].
ZP can be measured by using earthing impedance meters which utilize an impulse excitation of the
ground electrode [118] [119], though some of these measurements are still somewhat complex
and requires that specific procedures be followed to prevent surge impedance coupling effects.
Determining ZP by using analytical expressions, as those provided earlier in this section, for ZP for
counterpoise wires (Equation 5-17), as they take the frequency dependence of soil parameters
into account.
Determining ZP directly from the product RLF × IC (Impulse coefficient measured or calculated from
the low frequency resistance RLF) because on real transmission lines, the earth electrodes are in
most cases shorter than the effective length. This method can be extended to longer electrodes,
by using the RLF value determined for an electrode with the length equal to lEF.
The first-stroke impulse impedance, determined according to the guidance above, does not account for soil
ionization. Several authors have recommended that ionization be ignored when evaluating the lightning
performance of transmission lines, claiming that it has a limited effect on the backflashover performance
because the effective perimeter of foundations is large. The argument rests on the fact that the extent of
soil ionization is dependent on the size of the earth electrode and that it has the greatest effect on
concentrated (short) electrodes. Such short electrodes with an effective perimeter less than 10 m are
typically only utilized in low resistivity soil where it is easy to achieve electrode impedances of below 10 Ω.
The backflashover of such a line will already be acceptable and a further reduction in the electrode
impedance, due to ionization, would only result in a modest further reduction in the backflashover rate.
Conversely, in high resistivity soils, an acceptable backflashover rate can only be achieved with large
electrodes, which may extend to about 50 m. The effect of ionization on these electrodes will be limited, if
present at all, because the current density and associated electric field may not be high enough to ionize
the soil. Thus, also in this case soil ionization may be ignored without significantly affecting the calculated
backflashover rate.
It is, however, possible to include the favourable effect of soil ionization in the simplified approach
proposed above. As a first approximation, it is suggested to replace RLF in Weck’s simplified approach with
56
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
the impulse impedance ZP. It is further suggested that a higher value for critical breakdown E-field is used
in high resistivity soil, for instance estimated E0 = 1000 kV/ m [95] or preferably measured on local soil
samples, to estimate the true effect of soil ionization in these conditions.
Negative polarity:
−
𝑈50_𝑟𝑝 = 950 ∙ 𝑑0.8 [kV] and for 1 m ≤ d ≤ 8 m Equation 5-26
The gap factor (kg) is applied as follows to estimate the lightning impulse strength of air gaps:
Positive polarity:
+ +
𝑈50 = (0.75 + 0.25𝑘𝑔 ) ∙ 𝑈50_rp [kV] Equation 5-27
57
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Positive polarity:
+
𝑈50 = 560 ∙ 𝑑 [kV] Equation 5-29
Negative polarity:
−
𝑈50 = 605 ∙ d [kV] Equation 5-30
These estimates are valid for conventional transmission lines not utilizing wood or insulating materials as
part of the supporting structure.
The insulation strength of the insulation of lines at altitude may be estimated by the application of the
altitude correction factor as defined in IEC 60071-2[123]:
𝑈50
𝑈50_𝑎𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑒 = [kV]
𝐾𝑎
Equation 5-31
𝐻
𝑚×
𝐾𝑎 = 𝑒 8150 [p.u.]
Where:
Ka the altitude correction factor
H the height above sea level [m]
U50 the flashover strength at sea level
U50_altitude is the flashover at an altitude of H
m a constant and equal to 1.0 for lightning impulse voltages
When calculating outage rates, it is recognized that the statistical dispersion of the overvoltages generated
by lightning to transmission lines is much larger than the standard deviation of the flashover probability of
the line insulation. The latter may therefore be neglected when evaluating the flashover performance of the
line [123].
Figure 5-18 – Calculated insulator voltages on lines with different rated voltages [139].
In brochure 63 [6] it is suggested that the duration of the wave tail may be estimated from the line
parameters as follows:
58
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝑍𝑔 ∙ 𝑙𝑠𝑝
t ℎ = 0.693 [µs] Equation 5-32
𝑅𝐸 ∙ 𝑐
Where:
th the tail time [μs]
Zg the shield wire surge impedance [Ω]
RE the structure footing impedance [Ω]
lsp the length of the span, [m],
c the speed of light equal to 300 m/µs
For lines with a single ground wire th typically varies between 5 and 20 µs, and for lines with double shield
wires values are in the range from 2 to 10 µs. These estimates agree well with results from detailed
backflashover studies, such as those presented in Figure 5-18 [139]. It shows the voltage across insulators
of transmission lines with different rated voltages and line configurations. The tail times determined from
these and other studies ranged from 2 to 10 μs [134] [135] [136].
Experimental studies have shown that the shape of the applied impulse significantly influences the
flashover strength of the insulation. Specifically, a shorter time to half value (i.e. less than 50 μs) results in
an increase in the flashover voltage [15] [15] and an upper bound on this increase is the flashover voltage
of a 1/5 μs impulse [134]. It is, therefore, necessary to adjust the U50 values determined through
standardized testing, for the different shapes of the lightning surge when evaluating flashover of the line
insulation.
A second aspect that needs to be accounted for is the time it takes for the flashover to develop across the
insulation. It is dependent on the applied voltage stress, with shorter times to flashover occurring when
higher voltages are applied. This characteristic is known as a volt-time curve (or V-T curve). Examples of
volt-time curves derived from experimental data on four common gap types are presented in Figure 5-19
[15].
2 2
Negative Upper Limit Negative Upper Limit
Peak of the applied voltage [p.u. of U50]
Peak of the applied voltage [p.u. of U50]
1.4 1.4
1.2 1.2
1 1
1.4 1.4
1.2 1.2
1 1
Figure 5-19 –Voltage – time to breakdown (V-T) curves for standard lightning impulses and gap lengths
between 1 m and 6 m. Adapted from [15].
59
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The timing of the insulation flashover is important when considering remedial measures to improve the
lightning performance of the line. Most of these measures are applied some distance away from the
insulation (for example, the ground electrode is typically at least 20 m away), which means that there is a
time delay before it can influence the voltage across the insulation. This could mean that the voltage
mitigation effect arrives too late to prevent flashover.
The strength of line insulation under non-standard conditions have been extensively studied [125] [126]
[127] [128] [129] [130] [131] [132] [139] with an aim of developing predictive methods which can be
programmed into simulation programs, such as the various EMT implementations. An overview of these is
given in this section.
Where:
Ubr the peak of the applied voltage [kV]
tbr the time at which break down of the gap occurs [μs]
d the gap length [m]
U0 the voltage below which no breakdown is possible [kV]
A, b constants determined experimentally
Equation 5-34 can, however, not be applied to all insulation configurations because it assumes a fixed
flashover gradient for all configurations. A more generally applicable formulation may be obtained by
normalizing Equation 5-33 to the determined U50, which allows it to be scaled to reflect the actual flashover
strength of the line insulation.
From lightning tests on transmission line configurations, it has been established that the breakdown
voltage at 2 μs is about 1.4 to 1.73 times U50, and at 3 μs this ratio falls between 1.24 to 1.45 [7]. Using
these relationships, Equation 5-34 may be normalized to the 50 % flashover voltage as follows:
𝑈𝑏𝑟 −0.75
(𝑡 ) = 1.455 𝑡𝑏𝑟 + 0.82 for tbr < 16 s Equation 5-35
𝑈50 𝑏𝑟
Hileman [7] proposed a different version of this equation (also shown in Figure 5-19):
𝑈𝑏𝑟 −0.5
(𝑡 ) = 1.39 𝑡𝑏𝑟 + 0.58 for tbr < 11 s Equation 5-36
𝑈50 𝑏𝑟
Voltage-Time curve penetration was used in the earlier simplified methods [2] [3] [4] . The critical flashover
voltage is evaluated at times to breakdown (tbr) of 2 and 6 μs.
The simple volt-time curve flashover model has significant deficiencies. The equations provided are
normalized only to the insulation length without a corresponding adjustment to the time to breakdown,
relying on the constants found in [132] for dry arc distance from 5.6 to 11.2 m. After subtracting a fixed
1 s time observed to form streamers [125], the volt-time curve in Equation 5-34 suggests that the average
leader velocity increases dramatically as average stress approaches 1000 kV/m. The V-T curve methods
also do not consider the variation of voltage before the intersection point, which is inconsistent with the
physical process of flashover development. Despite these problems, the V-T curve approach provides
convenient and accurate estimates of backflashover rates, even with hand calculations [2].
60
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Where:
U(t) the voltage across the insulation [kV]
U0 an onset voltage across the insulation [kV]
U50 the 50 % flashover voltage across the insulation [kV]
n a constant
DE a function of U50, n, dielectric material, and other factors
The two coefficients are determined so that the integration model fits the V-T curve when considering a
standard lightning impulse. The coefficients have no physical meaning and may vary for different types of
insulators or gaps. A review of parameters Equation 5-37 may be found in references [124] and [134]. It is
endorsed that a preference should be given for selecting the lowest value of “n” that still results in an
adequate fit of the chosen V-T curve [134]. Integration method modelling using high values of “n” is
unreasonably sensitive to narrow, high peak voltages associated with tower surge impedance effects.
Where:
ti time to corona inception,
ts the time necessary streamer development, and
tl the leader development time.
61
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 5-21 – Overview of the discharge development under a lightning impulse [15].
Figure 5-22 – A schematic representation of the evaluation of flashover with a physical model.
With reference to Figure 5-22, flashover is evaluated according to the following steps:
The insulation configuration is modelled together with the source supplying the voltage across the
insulator. It is important to accurately model the source impedance as these physical models
include an estimate of the pre-discharge current which may influence flashover development in
cases of a weak source or if there is an intentional impedance (such as a surge arrester) in the
flashover circuit.
The corona initiation time (ti) is normally neglected because of the fast rate of rise of lightning
impulses and because the corona inception voltage is typically far below the breakdown voltage.
The time duration of the streamer phase (ts) is evaluated, but as a simplification it is often assumed
that the streamer phase is complete when the instantaneous voltage stress across the insulation
62
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
reaches a fixed value E0. As a rough approximation, E0 may be assumed to be equal to the 50 %
flashover stress – i.e. U50/d. The streamer current is normally neglected.
Finally, the leader development time is evaluated based on the assumption that leader
development starts after the streamer spans the length of the gap. The length of the leader,
l = (d - x) is calculated by evaluating the speed of the leader growth, v, as a function of its length
and the voltage across the insulation, U(t). For this phase the pre-discharge current is also
calculated as a function of the leader velocity. Flashover occurs when the leader spans the
complete gap length, d. Leader progression stops when the instantaneous voltage stress in the
remaining gap falls below E0.
The model has found several different implementations of which a few are presented here:
Pigini et al [131]:
Where:
Ep the peak voltage stress across the insulation [kV per meter of insulation length]
E50 the flashover stress across the insulation [kV per meter of insulation length]
E50 = U50/d
Leader velocity:
𝑑𝑙 𝑈(𝑡) 𝑈(𝑡)
= 170 ∙ 𝑑 ∙ 𝑒 (0.0015 𝑑 ) [ − 𝐸0 ] [m/s] Equation 5-40
𝑑𝑡 𝑥
Where:
E0 the inception voltage stress across the insulation [kV per meter of insulation length]
E0 is assumed to equal to E50
U(t) the applied voltage across the insulation [kV]
Leader current:
𝑑𝑙
𝑖𝑙 = 𝑞 ∙ [A] Equation 5-41
𝑑𝑡
CIGRE [6]:
Leader velocity:
𝑑𝑙 𝑈(𝑡)
= 𝑘1 ∙ 𝑈(𝑡) ∙ [ − 𝐸0 ] [m/s] Equation 5-43
𝑑𝑡 𝑥
63
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Leader current:
𝑑𝑙
𝑖𝑙 = 𝑞 ∙ [A] Equation 5-44
𝑑𝑡
1 𝑡𝑠
∫ 𝑈(𝑡) > 𝑘2 ∙ 𝑑 + 𝑘3 [μs] Equation 5-45
𝑡𝑠 𝑡=0
Leader velocity:
This model assumes leader growth from both gap electrodes therefore x = d - 2l
𝑑𝑙 𝑈(𝑡) 𝑑
= 𝑘4 ∙ [ − 𝐸0 ] [m/s] and for 0 ≤ 2𝑙 ≤
𝑑𝑡 𝑑 − 2𝑙 2
Equation 5-46
𝑑𝑙 𝑈(𝑡)
= 𝑘5 ∙ [ − 𝐸′] + 𝑣 ′ [m/s] and for
𝑑
≤ 2𝑙 ≤ 𝐷
𝑑𝑡 𝑑 − 2𝑙 2
with k4 and k5 determined from Table 5-4 and E’ and v’ determined as follows:
𝑈(𝑡)
𝐸′ =
𝑑 − 2𝑙
𝑑
When 2𝑙 = Equation 5-47
𝑑𝑙 2
′
𝑣 =
𝑑𝑡
Leader current:
𝑑𝑙
𝑖𝑙 = 2 ∙ 𝑞 ∙ [A] Equation 5-48
𝑑𝑡
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Wang et al [139]:
Streamer development time:
The streamer development time is evaluated with Equation 5-45, but with k2 and k3 determined
from Table 5-5, which is based on experimental results.
Leader velocity:
𝑑𝑙 𝑈(𝑡)
= 𝑘6 ∙ [ − 𝐸0 ] [m/s] Equation 5-49
𝑑𝑡 𝑥
with
Leader current:
𝑑𝑙
𝑖𝑙 = 𝑞 ∙ [A] Equation 5-51
𝑑𝑡
Equation 5-34
5
CIGRE
Pigini
4 Motoyama / Mozumi
Shindo [E120]
3
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Time to flashover: tbr [μs]
Figure 5-23 – A comparison of the V-T curves produced by various LP insulator flashover models for an
insulator string length of 1.86 m adapted from [140].
65
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Figure 5-23 shows that the Motoyama and CIGRE models fits Equation 5-35 for times to breakdown in the
range 0.5 to 3 s. The CIGRE, Pigini and Shindo [130] models replicate the V-T curve from about 6 s.
Some experimentation may therefore be required to choose the model which best reproduce the voltage-
time curve in the range of times to breakdown expected for the line insulation. In practise, this could result
in utilizing models that accurately replicate relatively long times to flashover on lines with short squat
towers and long spans,
e.g. (LT + LGP) x Sm < RE, and those more accurate in reproducing short times to flashover on lines with
short spans and tall, slender towers, e.g. (LT + LGP) x Sm ≥ RE.
It was further shown to be important to [141] to include the predischarge current flowing in the gap during
the leader phase (il ) in the model as it generally slows down the leader development, thereby resulting in
higher value of the critical current (and therefore a better backflashover rate) than when the predischarge
current is not included in the model [141].
5.5.2.4 Calculation of insulator flashover in TL lightning-performance studies
Both the integration and physical models are presently used to evaluate flashover of the line insulation
under non-standard lightning overvoltages. Physical models are shown to provide an acceptable accuracy
over a wide range of air gap configurations covering gap factors ( kg) from 1.0 to 1.4 [15] and gap distances
of over 1 m [124]. The models have the additional advantage of providing an estimate of the pre-discharge
current which is important to account for on longer gap lengths and gaps containing a series impedance
such as those found on externally gapped line arresters. On the other hand, it was found that these
physical models did not have a good accuracy in cases where the discharge developed along insulators
such as is the case on rod-plane gap containing a disc insulator string [15].
The use of integration methods is recommended for air gaps smaller than 1,2 m [124], and where the
flashover develops across insulators – provide that the parameters of the method are selected from tests
on a similar configuration [15].
66
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
line surge arrester will take up a voltage of Up minus the arrester voltage drop. A process of reflection and
transmission continues, and dynamic voltages are produced across (1) the air insulation within the span as
well as (2) across the air insulation or insulators at the tower.
Figure 5-24 – Voltages generated when lightning strikes a shield wire. Up is the voltage on the shield wire and
C is the coupling factor between the shield wire and phase conductor.
The highest shield wires voltage occurs at the stroke location and its magnitude will decrease with every
transmission past an impedance discontinuity. On the other hand, the largest clearance and insulation
strength are typically found midspan and the lowest at the tower. For a complete evaluation it is, therefore,
required that the voltages across all insulation points be evaluated against the insulation strength at each
point to determine where the flashover occurs. It has been shown [7], however, that most flashovers will
occur at the tower, even for lightning flashes within the span. This is true provided that the span is not too
long, and that the clearance between the shield wire and conductor is much larger than the insulation
distances in the tower. With important differences between sags of steel shield wires and aluminium/steel
phase conductors, this is nearly always true on transmission lines. Thus, for most cases flashovers in the
span may be neglected when evaluating the backflashover performance of a line.
Furthermore, it has also been shown [7] that the highest voltages across the tower insulation occur when
the lightning stroke directly hits the tower. Strokes within the span generally result in lower tower insulation
voltages because of the better current sharing between the neighbouring towers. Consequently, a
conservative estimate will be obtained if it is assumed that all strokes to the line occur at the tower, and
none of them occur in the span. A comparative analysis [7] [6] has shown that the BFR when all possible
stroke locations are considered, is about 60 % of that when all strokes are assumed to hit the tower.
Thus, the calculation of the BFR may be simplified considerably by only considering strokes at the tower.
This leads to the simplified model shown in Figure 5-25.
Figure 5-25 – A simplified schematic diagram of a transient model for calculating backflashover performance.
The aim with this model is to determine the minimum lightning current which will result in a flashover of the
line insulation (i.e. the critical current, IC). Variables that must be considered in this process include (1) the
instantaneous power frequency voltage on the phase conductors, (2) variations in the span length and (3)
67
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
variations in the tower footing impedance. Guidelines for building the backflashover model are provided in
the following paragraphs.
The model should include the central, stricken tower plus at least four neighbouring towers on
either side as shown in Figure 5-25.
The travel time to the termination of the detailed line model should be at least 5 μs which means
about 1.5 km from the stricken tower.
The detailed line model is terminated with resistances equal to the equivalent characteristic surge
impedance of the line in the phase domain, to eliminate reflections from the ends of the detailed
line model.
The variation of span length, lsp, along the line should be analysed utilizing descriptive statistics to obtain
the mean span length. A log-logistic cumulative distribution function (CDF) – Equation 5-52 – suits this
purpose well as it can easily be fitted to transmission line data using the least squares method [146].
1
𝐶𝐷𝐹 = 𝑙𝑠𝑝 𝛼
Equation 5-52
1+( )
𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛
For most purposes it is sufficient to model the line with equal span lengths set to the mean span length of
the line [146].
68
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
for by applying descriptive statistics. It has been shown that the dispersion of tower footing resistances well
represented by a log-normal distribution function [146].
A good estimate of the total line performance may be obtained by combining the results from at least 10
tower footing impedance values (R1 … R10). These values are selected from the cumulative probability
curve describing the variation in tower footing impedance [146] of the line under study. The most accurate
results are obtained if the resistance values are selected at a uniform interval of probability (i.e. 0.95,
0.85, … 0.15, 0.05) as shown in Figure 5-26. In this example ten resistance values are selected, namely:
3.9, 6.4, 8.6, 11, 14, 17, 21, 26, 35 and 58 Ω. Each of these resistance values represents the performance
of one tenth (1/10) of the line length.
1
Probability of exceeding the absyssa [p.u.]
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1 R1 R2 R3 10 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 100
Tower Footing Resistance [Ω]
Figure 5-27 - Optimized selection of the phase angle of the power frequency voltage
The 3-phase power-frequency voltage is modelled as a voltage source and for backflashover studies it is
not necessary to include a Thevenin network equivalent impedance.
5.6.8.2 Flashover
In the simplest case, flashover of the line insulation may be represented by an ideal switch across the
insulation gap in the tower. The switch closes as soon as the conditions for flashover has been reached as
69
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
determined by the flashover model. The fast closing of the switch may, however, result in an unrealistically
steep voltage collapse, which could in turn, lead to excessively high overvoltages on un-faulted phases.
This is specifically a problem when using small time steps. A more realistic chopped wave voltage collapse
may be achieved by including a small inductance in series with the switch, to represent the inductance of
the arc (approximately 1 μH/m of arc length).
The insulator may be represented by a lumped capacitance in parallel with the switch and arc impedance.
A typical cap-and-pin disc has a capacitance of 40 pF and a string of ten discs would have 4 pF.
Capacitance of polymer insulators is negligible and can be ignored.
It is good practice to monitor the current through the modeled insulator as well as the leader current during
the simulation, to confirm modeling assumptions and to check for excessive porcelain insulator current
(i.e. > 13 A) [157] which may suggest the possibility of steep-wave puncture damage.
5.6.9 Lightning stroke
The backflashover calculation is based on the characteristics of the first return stroke of the negative cloud
to ground flash. The stroke is either modeled as an ideal current source or with a Norton equivalent
impedance of 1000 Ω as described in section 5.2. The current magnitude and wave shape parameters are
selected according to the first return stroke characteristics provided in Chapter 3. In this regard it is
important to take regional effects into account, as far as they are available.
The lightning stroke is applied to the central tower in the model.
The purpose of the model is to successively increase the magnitude of the lightning current until flashover
of one or more insulators is achieved. The minimum current that will result in a flashover is called the
critical current, IC, and is further used in the statistical calculation of the backflashover rate. The critical
current is usually determined as a function of the instantaneous value of the power frequency voltage as
designated by the phase angle of the power frequency voltage source.
For single circuit lines and in simplified calculations the determination of the critical current is stopped after
the first flashover is identified. On double circuit lines, the calculation is usually continued to determine
additional values of the critical current where multiple phases flash over [152] [153]. An example of the
calculation of the critical currents per phase of a double circuit line is presented in Figure 5-28. From this
information the backflashover on a per circuit bases can be calculated as is presented in Figure 5-29.
For these calculations it is important to account for the changes in the circuit parameters introduced by the
flashover of the line insulation. This includes a change in the impedance presented to the lightning stroke,
improved voltage coupling of the lightning current injected into the faulted phases to the remaining un-
faulted phases, and the introduction of new reflection points introduced by the flashover [152].
350
Critical Lightning Current [kA]
300
Phase ID
250 Flashovers on
Circuit 1 A
Phase C and C'
Flashovers on
200
Phase B and B'
Circuit 1 B
FO on Ph A' Flashover on Ph C FO on Ph A'
150 Circuit 1 C
Circuit 2 A'
100
No Flashovers Circuit 2 B'
50
Circuit 2 C'
0
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360
Power Frequency Voltage Phase Angle [Degrees]
Figure 5-28 - Calculated critical lightning current per phase for a 380 kV double-circuit line, low-reactance
phase configuration.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
350
200 Circuit ID
FO on Ckt 2 Flashover on Circuit 1 FO on Ckt 2
150 Circuit 1
Circuit 2
100
No Flashovers
50
0
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360
Power Frequency Voltage Phase Angle [Degrees]
Figure 5-29 - Calculated critical lightning current per circuit for a 380 kV double-circuit line, low-reactance
phase configuration.
In Appendix 3 of CIGRE brochure 63 [6] it was indicated that the span factor, KSF, typically varies between
0.63 and 0.42 depending on the calculated critical current at the tower. On this basis, the use of KSF = 0.6
has been recommended [2]. This recommendation may not be justified in all cases, however, as recent
studies [149][150] have shown that KSF is influenced by several parameters such as the span length, the
insulation strength, and tower-footing grounding impedance. Indications are that KSF may be significantly
higher than 0.6 for TLs with an operating voltage below 230 kV (e.g. 138 kV) and significantly lower than
0.6 for lines with an operating voltage above 230 kV (e.g. 500 kV). Further studies are required to provide
more detailed guidance on how to select appropriate values for KSF.
Alternatively, the use of KSF may be avoided by extending the backflashover calculation to also consider
lightning strokes to the span. In such a case the BFR is calculated for a stroke to the tower and for strokes
to number of span sections, and then summed to obtain the total BFR rate.
71
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
72
TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
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[136] A. Inoue and S.-I. Kanao, “Observation and analysis of multiple-phase grounding fault caused by lightning,”
IEEE Trans. Power Del., vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 353–360, Jan. 1996.
[137] H. Motoyama, “Experimental study and analysis of breakdown characteristics of long air gaps with short tail
lightning impulse,” IEEE Trans. Power Delivery, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 972-979, April 1996.
[138] T. Mozumi, Y. Baba, M. Ishii, N. Nagaoka, and A. Ametani, “Numerical electromagnetic field analysis of archorn
voltages during back-flashover on a 500-kV twin-circuit line,” IEEE Trans. Power Delivery, vol. 18, no. 1, pp.
207-213, January 2003.
[139] X. Wang, Z. Yu, and J. He, “Breakdown process experiments of 110- to 500-kV insulator strings under short tail
lightning impulse,” IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, Vol. 29, No. 5, Oct. 2014, pp 2394 – 2401.
[140] Z. G. Datsios, P. N. Mikropoulos, T. E. Tsovilis, Insulator String Flashover Modeling with the aid of an ATPDraw
Object, UPEC 2011 ∙ 46th International Universities' Power Engineering Conference ∙ 5-8th September 2011 ∙
Soest ∙ Germany.
[141] Z. G. Datsios, P. N. Mikropoulos, Implementation of Leader Development Models in ATP-EMTP Using a Type-
94 Circuit Component, 2014 International Conference on Lightning Protection (ICLP), Shanghai, China
[142] Z.G. Datsios Z.G. et al.: “Effects of lightning channel equivalent impedance on lightning performance of
overhead transmission lines,” IEEE Trans. Electromagnetic Compatibility, vol.61, no.3, pp.623-630, Jun. 2019.
[143] A. Ametani, T. Kawamura, A Method of a Lightning Surge Analysis Recommended in Japan Using EMTP, IEEE
Transactions on Power Delivery, Vol. 20, No. 2, April 2005, pp 867 – 875.
[144] V. Cooray, The Lightning Flash, IET Power and Energy Series 69, 2nd Edition, 2014.
[145] IEEE Task force on Fast front transients, "Modeling guidelines for fast front transients," in IEEE Transactions on
Power Delivery, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 493-506, Jan. 1996
[146] Chisholm W. A., de Almeida de Graaff S., Adapting the statistics of soil properties into existing and future
lightning protection standards and guides, International Symposium on Lightning Protection (XIII SIPDA), 2015.
[147] A. De Conti, S. Visacro, Analytical representation of singe- and double-peaked lightning current waveforms,
IEEE Transactions on Electromagnetic Compatibility, Vol. 49, No. 2, May 2007
[148] A.J. Oliveira, M.A.O. Schroeder, Adjustment of current waveform parameters for first lightning strokes:
Representation by Heidler functions, 2017 International Symposium on Lightning Protection (XIV SIPDA)
[149] F. H. Silveira et al.: “The impact of the distribution of lightning strikes along the span on backflashover rate of
transmission lines,” in Proc. 34th International Conference on Lightning Protection (ICLP), Rzeszow, 2018.
[150] Z.G. Datsios et al.: “Estimation of the minimum backflashover current of 150 and 400 kV overhead transmission
lines through ATP-EMTP Simulations: Effect of the lightning stroke location along line spans,” in Proc. 21st Int.
Symp. High Voltage Eng., Budapest, Hungary, 2019, paper no. 993.
[151] Z.G. Datsios et al.: “Closed-form expressions for the estimation of the minimum backflashover current of
overhead transmission lines,” in IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, doi: 10.1109/TPWRD.2020.2984423.
[152] Sargent M.A. Darveniza M., The Calculation of Double Circuit Outage Rate of Transmission Lines, IEEE
Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, Vol. PAS-86, No. 6, 1967.
[153] Sargent M.A. Darveniza M., Lightning Performance of Double-Circuit Transmission Lines, IEEE Transactions on
Power Apparatus and Systems, Vol. PAS-89, No. 5, 1970.
[154] VISACRO, S.; SILVEIRA, F. H.; CONTI, A. R., The use of underbuilt wires to improve the lightning performance
of transmission lines. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, v. 27, p. 205-213, 2012.
[155] Berger K., Novel Observations on lightning discharges: Results of research on mount San Salvatore, Journal of
the Franklin Institute, Vol. 283, No. 6, June 1967.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
[156] Eriksson A.J., The lightning ground flash: an engineering study, Thesis, University of Natal, December 1979.
[157] Lantz A. D., Measuring the Lightning Strength of High-Voltage Insulators, Transactions of the American Institute
of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems, Vol. 79, No. 3, 1960
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80
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The log-logistic distribution function approximates the log-normal distribution well except at the extremes,
which is acceptable for calculating the lightning performance of transmission lines. For substation
insulation coordination studies, however, the use of the log-normal distribution function is preferred [7].
The log-logistic equations as applied by the IEEE and those derived from the MCS dataset are provided in
Table 9-4.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Table 9-1 – Parameters of the first stroke current of negative downward flashes.
Approximation by log-normal Percent of cases exceeding tabulated
Sample distribution values
Parameter Local
size
Geometric mean * 95 % 50 % 5%
MSS 75 27.7 0.46 12.9 27.7 59.5
II TLJ 120 27.7 0.64 9.8 27.7 78.7
[kA]
MCS 51 37.6 0.46 17.7 37.6 80.2
MSS 80 31.1 0.48 14.1 31.1 68.5
IF TLJ 120 29.3 0.64 10.1 29.3 84.9
[kA]
MCS 51 43.3 0.47 20 43.3 93.6
MSS 80 5.63 0.58 2.25 5.63 14.125
td 10/90 TLJ 120 4.8 0.39 2.5 4.8 9.0
[µs]
MCS 51 6.4 0.41 3.3 6.4 12.5
MSS 80 3.83 0.55 1.5 3.83 9.67
td 30/90 TLJ 120 3.2 0.41 1.6 3.2 6.2
[µs]
MCS 51 4.2 0.50 1.9 4.2 9.6
MSS 75 24.3 0.60 9.1 24.3 65
Sm TLJ 120 18.9 0.60 7.0 18.9 51.2
[kA/µs]
MCS 51 20.8 0.3 12.7 20.8 34.1
MSS 90 75 - 30 75 200
th TLJ 120 36.5 0.81 9.5 36.5 139.7
[µs]
MCS 51 56.2 0.68 18.4 56.2 171.5
MSS 90 4.5 - 1.1 4.5 20
QI TLJ - - - - -
[C]
MCS 51 5.7 0.63 2 5.7 16.1
MSS 91 5.5 - 0.6 5.5 55
Specific Energy
TLJ - - - - - -
[A2.s] × 104
MCS 51 9.79 1.19 1.4 9.79 68.95
MSS: Mount San Salvatore [53] [52]; MCS: Morro do Cachimbo Station [55]; TLJ: Transmission Line in Japan [56].
Table 9-2 – Parameters of the subsequent stroke current of negative downward flashes.
Approximation by log-normal Percent of cases exceeding tabulated
Sample distribution values
Parameter Local
size
Geometric mean * 95 % 50 % 5%
MSS 114 12.3 0.53 5.2 12.3 29.2
IF TLJ - - - - - -
[kA]
MCS 77 17.3 0.54 7.1 17.3 42
MSS 114 0.75 0.92 0.125 0.75 3.5
td 10/90 TLJ - - - - - -
[µs]
MCS 77 0.82 0.75 0.24 0.82 2.81
MSS 114 0.67 1.01 0.17 0.67 3
td 30/90 TLJ - - - - - -
[µs]
MCS 77 0.62 0.7 0.2 0.62 1.955
MSS 113 39.9 0.85 9.9 39.9 161.5
Sm TLJ - - - - - -
[kA/µs]
MCS 77 35.1 0.7 11.1 35.1 111
MSS 115 32 6.5 32 140
th TLJ - - - - - -
[µs]
MCS 76 15.1 1.28 1.84 15.1 123.9
MSS 117 0.95 0.22 0.95 4.0
QI TLJ - - - - - -
[C]
MCS 77 1.28 1.21 0.175 1.28 9.37
MSS 88 0.6 - 0.055 0.6 5.2
Specific Energy
TLJ - - - - - -
[A2.s] × 104
MCS 77 0.707 1.58 0.053 0.707 9.51
MSS: Mount San Salvatore [53] [52]; MCS: Morro do Cachimbo Station [55]; TLJ: Transmission Line in Japan [56].
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Table 9-3 – Definition of front parameters for a lightning current impulse of negative polarity.
Parameter Description
IF Final (overall) peak of current (i.e. peak current)
I100 = II Initial peak of current
I10 10 % intercept along the stroke current waveshape
I30 30 % intercept along the stroke current waveshape
I90 90 % intercept along the stroke current waveshape
T10/90 Time between I10 and I90 intercepts on the wavefront
T30/90 Time between I30 and I90 intercepts on the wavefront
Sm Maximum rate-of-rise of current along wave-front, typically at I90
td 10/90 Equivalent linear wave-front duration derived as T10/90 / 0.8
td 30/90 Equivalent linear wave-front duration derived as T30/90 / 0.6
th Tail time to half value
QI Impulse charge – time integral of current
W Specific energy (action integral) – time integral of the square current
Table 9-4 – The log-logistic approximations of the cumulative statistical distributions of return stroke peak
currents.
Negative first stroke Negative subsequent stroke
1 1
IEEE [31] 𝑃(𝐼) = 2.6 𝑃(𝐼) = 2.7
1 + (𝐼⁄31) 1 + (𝐼⁄12)
1 1
MCS [55] 𝑃(𝐼) = 3.8 𝑃(𝐼) = 3.2
1 + (𝐼⁄43.3) 1 + (𝐼⁄17.3)
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for first strokes the correct average steepness expressed as the front time passing through the
30 % and the 90 % values of the current. This front time must be larger than the current amplitude
divided by the maximum steepness, thus resulting in the concave shape. For subsequent strokes
this parameter may be neglected.
Many mathematical expressions may be suitable to fulfil these requirements and the one given here is only
one proposal. Its disadvantage is that the current front and the current tail are not described by a single
expression, but are separated into two parts, one describing the front up to 90 % of the amplitude, the
other, the amplitude range on the tail.
Ip : Impulse amplitude
Sm: Maximum rate of rise
t f: Equivalent front duration
Figure 10-1 - Analytically derived lightning current impulse, showing the front parameters.
𝐼 = 𝐴𝑡 + 𝐵𝑡 𝑛 Equation 10-1
The basic assumption is that the current shape reaches the instant of maximum steepness (90 %
amplitude) at a time tn dependent on the exponent n. In principle, both variables have to be evaluated by
an iterative solution of the generalised equation.
3𝑥 𝑥(𝑛−1) 3𝑥𝑛
(1 − ) (1 − 𝑥)𝑛 = + (1 − ) (1 − 𝑥) Equation 10-2
2𝑆𝑁 2𝑆𝑁 2𝑆𝑁
with
𝑆𝑚 𝑡𝑓 0.6𝑡𝑓
𝑆𝑁 = 𝑋𝑁 =
𝐼 𝑡𝑛
I current amplitude
Sm maximum steepness
tf front time (td30)
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𝐼 = 𝑆𝑀 𝑡𝑓 Equation 10-4
to have the maximum steepness at its beginning thus providing a steady transition from one part to
the other
to reach the correct amplitude value
to describe the current tail. In order to avoid iterative procedures, the last requirement is not
mathematically correctly fulfilled in the following proposal, but absolutely sufficient for practical
purposes.
A suitable expression is:
𝑡−𝑡𝑛 𝑡−𝑡𝑛
−[ ] −[ ] Equation 10-5
𝐼 = 𝐼1 𝑒 𝑡1 − 𝐼2 𝑒 𝑡2
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Figure 10-2 – Parameters used to characterize return-stroke current, showing the front parameters.
With:
𝜂𝑘 = 𝑒𝑥𝑝[−(𝜏1𝑘 /𝜏2𝑘 )(𝑛𝑘 𝑡2𝑘 /𝑡1𝑘 )1/𝑛𝑘 ] Equation 10-7
Table 10-2 – Parameters for approximation of first stroke currents measured in two different datasets.
Dataset 1 Dataset 2
k 𝐼0𝑘 𝜏1𝑘 𝜏2𝑘 𝐼0𝑘 𝜏1𝑘 𝜏2𝑘
𝜂𝑘 𝜂𝑘
(kA) (µs) (µs) (kA) (µs) (µs)
1 6 2 3 76 3 2 3 76
2 5 3 3.5 10 4.5 3 3.5 25
3 5 5 4.8 30 3 5 5.2 20
4 8 9 6 26 3.8 7 6 60
5 16.5 30 7 23.2 13.6 44 6.6 60
6 17 2 70 200 11 2 100 600
7 12 14 12 26 5.7 15 11.7 48.5
Applying these values leads to a current wave shown in Figure 10-2 and the following comparison of
median (measured) parameters and calculated values.
Table 10-3 – Comparison of measured parameters for two different datasets.
Ip1 Ip2 T10 T30 T50 S10 S30 Sm
Dataset Data
(kA) (kA) (µs) (µs) (µs) (kA/µs) (kA/µs) (kA/µs)
Measured 40.4 45.3 5.6 2.9 53.5 5.8 8.4 19.4
1
Calculated 40.1 45.3 5.2 3.0 53.8 6.2 8.0 20.2
Measured 27.7 31.1 4.5 2.3 75.0 5.0 7.2 24.3
2
Calculated 27.8 31.0 4.6 2.3 75.0 4.8 7.2 24.4
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a b
Figure 10-3 – Normalized double peaked waveshape current for two datasets.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
τ2k is intuitive and acts directly on T 50, its use is not convenient due to observed influence on the values of
Ip1 and Ip2. The adjustment by ηk also presents the same disadvantage, however, with lower intensity, and
may be useful in situations where the lightning current decay time plays an important role.
Figure 10-4 – Normalized double peaked waveshape current for two datasets.
3. The retrieved parameters of the first peak amplitude (Ip1), first peak time (tp1) and maximum
steepness (Sm) are compared to the required values. The input parameters of the Heidler functions
are corrected with a factor equal to the difference, where σ is used for the first peak amplitude, ω
is used for the first peak time and φ for the maximum steepness.
4. Since these changes affect the complete waveshape the sub routine is called again.
5. The retrieved parameters of the second peak amplitude (Ip2) are compared to the required values.
The input parameter of the Heidler function is corrected with a factor equal to the difference, where
λ is used for the second peak amplitude.
Steps 2 to 5 can be repeated several times until the accuracy seems acceptable.
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𝜏1𝑘 = 𝜷 [𝜏11 𝜏12 𝜏13 𝜏14 𝜏15 × 𝝎 𝜏16 𝜏17 ] µs Equation 10-13
𝜏2𝑘 = 𝜷 [𝜏21 𝜏22 𝜏23 𝜏24 𝜏25 × 𝝎 𝜏26 𝜏27 × 𝒙] µs Equation 10-14
𝜂𝑘 = [𝜂1 𝜂2 𝜂3 𝜂4 𝜂5 𝜂6 𝜂7 × 𝜸 ] µs Equation 10-15
a b
Initial
waveshape c d
Retrieve
shape points
Adjust
Ip1, tp1, sm
Repeat
Retrieve
shape points e f
Adjust
Ip2
Final
waveshape
Figure 10-5 – Flowchart. Figure 10-6 – Output with variation of input parameters.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
rg
rc
rc
rc
re
Figure 11-1 – Conceptual diagram of lightning stroke to transmission lines based on the EGM.
Since the striking distance differs depending on the lightning current peak value, the distribution of
lightning current peak values is taken into consideration. In addition, the distribution of lightning stroke
angles is taken into consideration within the range ±90° with a vertical downward approach as standard.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Lightning stroke in the area of the transmission lines (flashes / 100 km / year)
· Calculation of the tower surge · Calculation of the tower surge · Calculation of the ground wire
impedance ZT by stroke to impedance ZST by stroke to surge impedance ZS by stroke
tower span to span Failure rate
· Calculation of the coupling · Calculation of the coupling · Calculation of the coupling calculation
factor “C” factor “C” factor “C”
· Calculation of the potential · Calculation of the potential
distribution coefficient distribution coefficient
Non-F.O Non-F.O.
Judgment of 1F.O. . Judgment of F.O. Judgment of F.O.
(1) Non-F.O (2) (3)
.
F.O. F.O. F.O.
Judgment Probability of
F.O.
of simultaneous F.O. the shielding
(4) failure (1LG)
Non-F.O.
Non-F.O
Judgment of 2F.O. .
(1) Probability of the back
flashover on tower (1LG)
F.O
.
· Calculation of the tower surge impedance Z’’T, Z’’ST after 2LG
· Calculation of the coupling factor “C” after 2LG
F.O.
Probability of the back
flashover on tower (2LG)
Judgment of 3F.O. Non-F.O.
(1)
F.O
· Calculation of . ST after 3LG
Z’’’T, C’’’
space
Figure 11-2 – Flowchart to calculate the lightning outage rate of transmission lines.
(Notes 1 to 4 and explanation of symbols follow on next page).
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Next, for the lightning stroke probability to each conductor, the probability of a flashover across the air gap
insulation of the transmission lines (mainly between arcing horns) is calculated. Here, the chance of a
flashover occurring is judged and determined based on a comparison of the increased potential caused by
a lightning stroke, also taking account of the AC phase of phase conductors, with the air gap withstand
voltage between arcing horns. Subsequently, after a single line-to-ground (1-LG) event, whether flashover
will occur on other phases is judged in consideration of the potential decrease rate after the ground fault
and thus calculation is continued and repeated for 2-LG or a ground fault on additional phases.
The chance of a flashover occurring between conductors (e.g. ground wire – upper phase conductor) is
also judged for lightning strokes to ground wires in mid-span. Whether a flashover caused by a lightning
stroke will occur between arcing horns or between the ground wire and the upper phase conductor is
predicted by calculation of the overvoltage across each insulation gap, based on distributed constant
circuit theory. Simultaneous flashover is now also taken into consideration. The correction factors for
estimating the flashover rate to the ground wire and to the ground have also been revised.
Ground Wire
38 m OPGW500 mm2 1
32 m
500 kV transmission Line
31 m Ground Wire
19 m 22.6 m OPGW290 mm2 1
Phase Conductor 28 m
ACSR410 mm2 8
32 m
19 m
11 m 16.0 m
Phase Conductor
33 m ACSR610 mm2 4
16.8 m
11 m
17.6 m
70 m
50 m
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
200 200
150 150
100 100
50 50
0 0
Observation Calculation Observation Calculation
(NL=6.7) (NL=6.7) (NL=4.4) (NL=4.4)
Figure 11-4 - Lightning stroke rate to ground wires -calculations and observations.
5
Lightning stroke rate (flash/100km/year)/
3
Lightning stroke to upper phase Lightning stroke to upper phase
Lightning stroke to middle phase Lightning stroke to middle phase
4 Lightning stroke to lower phase Lightning stroke to lower phase
2
3
2
1
1
0 0
Observation Calculation Observation Calculation
(NL=5.2) (NL=5.2) (NL=4.9) (NL=4.9)
0.5
0.5
0
0 Observation Calculation
Observation Calculation
(NL = 4.9) (NL = 4.9)
(NL = 4.7) (NL = 4.7)
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Conventional calculations tended to underestimate the actual outage rate in both UHV designed and
500 kV transmission lines. The difference in UHV designed transmission lines is caused by lightning
strokes to the phase conductor, where the prediction is lower than the actuality, as well as the differing
aspect of lightning outages, e.g. fewer predicted outages at upper phase conductors.
In contrast, the present technique presents predictions closer to the observed facts of lightning stroke rates
to transmission lines. Furthermore, the lightning outage rate, which is calculated based on the lightning
stroke rate, is also closer to the reality in terms of both the total number of outages and the occurrence of
outages on different phases.
Figure 11-7 – Lightning attractive distance to overhead transmission line conductors as defined in the
simplified Rizk lightning attachment model.
Symbols used in the simplified approach include:
Usp space potential
Usp0 space potential in absence of other conductors
Ulc continuous upward leader onset space potential
Ulc0 corresponding value for individual free conductor
ksp space potential proximity factor
ksp0 proximity factor in charge cloud field
qs quasi-stationary induced charge per unit length
R geometric parameter for determination of Ulc
Eg electric field due to cloud charge before negative leader descent
Egm maximum value of Eg
Uci corona onset space potential
Ui magnitude of the space potential at the conductor position due to downward negative leader
charge
Udc magnitude of the space potential due to cloud charge
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
Upf power frequency voltage level of the conductor, assumed constant within the short time
interval under consideration
kspi a proximity factor due to the presence of other conductors considering Ui, Udc and Upf
Two important input parameters are:
Hcl height of cloud base
Eg Background electric field at ground level prior to negative leader development
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
The calculation of the correction factors Fpr, Feg and Fov is explained in the sections that follow. It should be
noted that the correction factors only apply to systems of 345 kV and above, for which it is assumed that
the upward leaders play a significant role in the attachment process.
Lds0
5 hc
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝑞𝑠
B 𝑘𝑠𝑝0 = With qs and qs0 from formula's below.
𝑞𝑠0
𝑞𝑠 = 𝐴−1 ∙ 𝑉
or in matrix form:
where
𝑉𝑛 = 𝐸𝑔 ∙ ℎ𝑐_𝑛
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
2247
The basic positive leader onset potential Ulco of a single conductor
𝑈𝑙𝑐𝑜 = 5.15−5.49∙𝑙𝑛(𝑟𝑒 ) above ground can be calculated based on this formula, with input:
C 1+ 2ℎ
ℎ𝑐 ∙𝑙𝑛( 𝑟 𝑐 ) hc = height of conductor (m)
𝑒
re = equivalent radius of the conductor(bundle) (m)
2247
𝑈𝑙𝑐 = 10.30−10.98∙𝑙𝑛(𝑟𝑒 ) The positive leader onset space potential for configurations other than
1 1+ 2ℎ
𝑅∙𝑙𝑛( 𝑟 𝑐 ) a single conductor above ground is expressed by Ulc.
𝑒
The parameter R can be found by placing an arbitrary charge Q o at the
conductor position, with the conductor in question removed, and
determining the induced potential due to the ground plane and the
2 𝑅 is not calculated
other grounded conductors in the vicinity of the position of Q0. With
proximity effects, it is found that R < 2h, so that Ulc
becomes lower than Ulc0.
3 𝑈𝑙𝑐0 Refer to C.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
𝑘𝑠𝑝0 ∙𝐸𝑔 ∙ℎ𝑐 0.303 𝐸𝑔 ∙ℎ𝑐 0.846 Below corona onset this formula is applicable.
G 𝐹𝑒𝑔 = 1 + 3.818 ( ) ∙( )
𝑘𝑙 𝑈𝑙𝑐𝑜 𝑈0 (Eg < Eci)
𝑘𝑠𝑝0 ∙𝐸𝑔 ∙ℎ𝑐 0.620 Above corona onset this formula is applicable
H 𝐹𝑒𝑔 (𝐸𝑔 ) = 1 + [𝐹𝑒𝑔 (𝐸𝑔𝑐𝑖 ) − 1] ∙ ( )
𝑈𝑐𝑖 (Eg ≥ Eci)
The corona onset space potential for a single
conductor or bundle conductor becomes Uci
1 𝑈𝑐𝑖 = 𝐴 𝑛 𝑞𝑐𝑖 according to the presented formula, with:
Potential A in m/F
Number of sub-conductors n, for shield wires n = 1
At corona onset the conductor charge becomes qci
2 𝑞𝑐𝑖 = 2𝜋𝑟𝑐 𝜖0 𝐸𝑐𝑖 according to the presented formula, with: radius rc ,
in meters
The corona onset gradient for a single conductor is
0.24
3 𝐸𝑐𝑖 = 33.7𝑥102 𝑚 (1 + ) given by the Whitehead Formula radius rc, in
√100𝑟𝑐
meters, and roughness factor m = 0.6
𝑈𝑐𝑖
Egci is the corona onset ground field, determined by
4 𝐸𝑔𝑐𝑖 = dividing the corona onset space potential by the
𝑘𝑠𝑝0 ℎ𝑐
height of the conductor hc multiplied with ksp0.
𝑘𝑠𝑝0 ∙𝐸𝑔𝑐𝑖 ∙ℎ𝑐 0.303 𝐸𝑔𝑐𝑖 ∙ℎ𝑐 0.846
5 𝐹𝑒𝑔 = 1 + 3.818 ( ) ∙( ) Calculate Feg at Egci - 𝐹𝑒𝑔 (𝐸𝑔𝑐𝑖 )
𝑘𝑙 𝑈𝑙𝑐𝑜 𝑈0
6 𝑘𝑠𝑝0 Refer to B
7 𝑈𝑙𝑐0 Refer to C.
8 𝑘𝑙 Refer to D.
9 𝑈0 Refer to E.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
or in matrix form:
Calculate the induced charge qksv per conductor from
𝑞𝑘𝑠𝑣1 𝐴11 ⋯ 𝐴1𝑛 −1 𝑈ph_1 the applied AC voltage (Vph) and the inverted potential
4 [ ⋮ ]=[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ] ∙[ ⋮ ] coefficient matrix A-1, with dimension F/m. The inverted
𝑞𝑘𝑠𝑣𝑛 𝐴𝑛1 ⋯ 𝐴𝑛𝑛 𝑈𝑝ℎ_𝑛 potential coefficient matrix is the capacitance matrix of
or the line.
𝑞𝑘𝑠𝑣1 𝐶11 ⋯ 𝐶1𝑛 𝑈ph_1
[ ⋮ ]=[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ]∙[ ⋮ ]
𝑞𝑘𝑠𝑣𝑛 𝐶𝑛1 ⋯ 𝐶𝑛𝑛 𝑈𝑝ℎ_𝑛
The charge qksv0 is equal to the instantaneous voltage
5 𝑞𝑘𝑠𝑣0 = 𝑈𝑝ℎ_𝑛 𝐶
multiplied by the conductor capacitance.
2𝜋𝜖0 Capacitance of a conductor, with input:
6 𝐶= 2ℎ𝑐 hc = height of conductor (m)
𝑙𝑛( )
𝑟𝑒
re = equivalent radius of the conductor (bundle) (m)
7 𝑈𝑙𝑐0 Refer to C.
8 𝑘𝑙 Refer to D.
9 𝑈0 Refer to E.
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
11.2.9 Example
Input parameters
Diameter No. Bundle Voltage Angle Horizontal Heigth
conductor conductors separation ph-ph distance
cm -- cm kV ° m m
1 3,33 6 66 1150 90 -24 22
2 3,33 6 66 1150 -30 0 22
3 3,33 6 66 1150 210 24 22
4 3 1 0 0 0 -19 37
5 3 1 0 0 0 19 37
Eg = 10 kV/m
I0 = 28kA
Hcl = 2500m
Equivalent
diameter
m
1 0,964
Equivalent diameter 2 0,964
3 0,964
4 0,030
5 0,030
Uinst
kV
1 939
Instantaneous voltage 2 -469
3 -469
4 0
5 0
Conductor
capacitance
F
1 1.23E-11
Conductor capacitance 2 1.23E-11
3 1.23E-11
4 6.54E-12
5 6.54E-12
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
qs qs0 V ksp0
1 1,67E-09 1 2,71E-09 1 220 1 0,616
2 1,44E-09 2 2,71E-09 2 220 2 0,530
3 1,67E-09 3 2,71E-09 3 220 3 0,616
4 1,75E-09 4 2,42E-09 4 370 4 0,722
5 1,75E-09 5 2,42E-09 5 370 5 0,722
Ulc Ulco kl rs
1 1431 1 2057 1 0,990 1 5,221
2 1431 2 2057 2 0,990 2 5,221
3 1431 3 2057 3 0,990 3 5,221
4 1902 4 2062 4 0,950 4 5,190
5 1902 5 2062 5 0,950 5 5,190
Intermediate results
Lds0 x Fpr x Feg x Fov x Kcor = Lds(28kA)
1 57.394 0.825 1.049 1.381 1.019 69.913
2 57.394 0.750 1.047 0.799 0.991 35.687
3 57.394 0.825 1.049 0.836 0.992 41.182
3 <0 m
4 19 + 71.66 = 90.66
Note: separation width of the shield wires plus the attractive distance
5 19 + 71.66 = 90.66
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TB 839 - Procedures for estimating the lightning performance of transmission lines – new aspects
11.2.10 Comparison
In the table below the results from the calculation method as described in this annex is compared with the
numerical examples in the reference paper [90].
Niagara Mohawk 345 Cigre 109 Niagara Mohawk 765 Russian UHV
Rizk Cigre Rizk Cigre Rizk Cigre Rizk Cigre
Bundle Bundle Bundle Bundle Bundle Bundle Bundle Bundle
Conductor
GW GW GW GW GW GW GW GW
10.21 10.21 43 43 24.28 24.28 22 22
hc,m
17.79 17.17 50 50 40.07 40.07 37 37
0.086 0.086 0.145 0.145 0.218 0.218 0.482 0.482
re,m
0.00556 0.00556 0.006 0.006 0.00556 0.00556 0.015 0.015
10 10 9 9 15 15 28 28
I0, kA
10 10 9 9 15 15 28 28
Hcl, m 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500
q0, μC/m 291 270.9 383.4 586.1 586.1
rs, m 2.605 2.393 3.412 5.22 5.221
21.97 21.97 38.72 38.75 41.48 41.48 57.39 57.39
Lds0, m
28 28 41.14 41.18 50.76 50.76 70.77 70.77
na 0 na 0 na na
Uci, kV
130.2 130.2 154.5 154.5 142.3 142.3 309 308.5
1685 1685 2125 2125 2037 2037 2057 2057
Ulc0, kV
1848 1848 2176 2103 2066 2066 2061 2062
7061 7045 9863 9863 11109 11096 14240 14281
U0,(I0,hc) kV
8402 8402 10156 10156 12583 12584 16711 16684
0.59 0.59 0.508 0.518 0.569 0.569 0.616 0.616
Ksp0, pu
0.7 0.7 0.549 0.554 0.699 0.699 0.722 0.722
0.92 0.92 0.896 0.92 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.99
Kl, pu
0.86 0.86 0.84 0.86 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.95
20 20 10 10 20 20 10 10
Egm, kV/m
20 20 10 10 20 20 10 10
323 323.3 472 487.5 750 749.5 1065 1079.8
Uphe, kV
na 0 na 0 na 0 na 0
21.59 21.6 36.31 36.32 48.89 48.87 69.65 69.91
Lds(I0), m
27.87 27.87 34.99 35.72 50.57 50.58 70.68 71.66
Fpr 0.733 0.666 0.741 0.825
Feg 1.088 1.14 1.149 1.049 1.049
Fov 1.21 1.235 1.321 1.377 1.381
Kcor 1.019 1 1.048 1.018 1.019
All the deviations noted in the table are considered insignificant and the result of rounding off errors, which
may be accumulated due to the sequence of calculations. However, the impact of these errors on the
outcome is minor and are therefore not a concern.
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110
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