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2.3.

Industry Demand Determinants


Worldwide automobile demand is tied to vehicle prices, per capita disposable income, fuel prices and
product innovation. On the supply end, vehicle prices stem from material and equipment costs, with
higher steel and plastic prices raising manufacturers' purchasing costs and, ultimately, retail prices. During
the past five years, automakers have been plagued with high steel and plastics prices, which have raised
manufacturing costs and product prices. On the demand side, per capita disposable incomes determine
affordability for consumers. As incomes increase, the propensity to purchase motor vehicles increases as
they become more affordable. Incentives are used to generate sales during periods of low economic
growth. Over the past five years, there has been a significant increase in the number of automobile
financing companies being established in the BRICs. This has resulted in the number and range of
automobile loans increasing, which has contributed to stronger industry demand. In the developed world,
overall improved quality among most manufacturers has caused buyers to feel freer to use price to
differentiate similar products. Consumers are increasingly better informed about a vehicle's actual cost
and less likely to accept large annual price increases.
In an era of low inflation, customers familiar with dealer cost information from consumer publications and
the internet have become more astute when negotiating the purchase of a vehicle. In this way, consumer
awareness and access to information can determine demand. Movements in fuel prices also generally
influence the demand for vehicles by type. During periods of high fuel prices, more fuel-efficient vehicles
are in demand. Over the past five years, the price of fuel has been rising, which has encouraged the
adoption of hybrid and other fuel-efficient models. For example, Japanese carmakers offering more fuel-
efficient vehicles took market share from manufacturers of large vehicles throughout the latter half of the
past decade. Last, product innovation can spur demand, especially with regard to more fuel-efficient
vehicles such as hybrids and electric models. The more fuel-efficient a model is, the more likely a
consumer will be willing to invest up front in a new car for potential savings on fuel costs down the road.

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