RISK REDUCTION MANAGEMENT PLAN

Typhoon “Fernsy”

DESIGNATED UNIT:

 Risk Disaster Council.

Protects the lives and livelihoods of communities and individuals who are most vulnerable to
disasters or emergencies. Mainly in-charge of planning and controlling.
 Rescue Team.
Includes the following: coast guards, police, fire officers, volunteers.
 First Aid/Medical Team.
Diagnosis or treatment. The unit provides urgent medical care during disasters. 
 Weather Forecaster.
Report on the weather from the newsroom or from affected locations. Discuss breaking
weather-related news.
 Hotline team.
In-charge of contacting and communicating with the victims and rescue teams.
 Distribution of Food and Supplies
Organizes and disseminates the donation (e.g., food, clothing, water)

RATIONALE

 200 prospected families to be affected by the typhoon.

 Landfall: Polillo group of islands
 Signal no.5: maximum sustained winds of more than 220 km/h
RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS

I. Communicate and Consult

A. Internal Stakeholder:
 Risk Disaster Council Unit
 Rescue Team
 First Aid/Medical Team
 Weather Forecaster
 Hotline team
 Distribution of Food and Supplies Unit
B. External Stakeholder
 Government
 200 families from Polillo Group of Islands
 Philanthropists and donors
C. Method and medium of Communication and Consultation
Regular Updates and Exchange of Information about the risk through the following:
 Online Meetings through Google Meet and Zoom
 Face to Face Meetings between the units
 Telephone, Mobile Phone and Email
II. Establish the Context of the Risk
A. Internal Context
 To have strategic layout of the planning.
 To designate appropriate people to the tasks.
 To have synchronous monitoring of updates.
B. External Context
 To reduce injuries and death.
 To minimize the property damages.
C. Risk Management Context
 Signal #1: Disaster preparedness units are activated to alert status.
 Signal #2: Disaster preparedness are in action to alert their communities.
 Signal #3: Disaster preparedness and response are in action with appropriate
response to emergency.
 Signal #4: Disaster coordinating councils concerned and other disaster response
organizations are now fully responding to emergencies.
 Signal #5: The disaster coordinating councils concerned and other disaster
response organizations are now fully responding to emergencies and in full
readiness to immediately respond to possible calamity.
D. Risk Criteria
 Signal #1
 A tropical cyclone will threaten/affect an area.
 Winds of 30-60 kph is expected.
 Intermittent rains may be expected in at least 36 hours. (When the
tropical cyclone develops very close to an area, a shorter lead time of
the occurrence of the winds will be specified in the warning bulletin.)
  Twigs and branches of small trees may be broken.
 Some banana plants may be tilted or uprooted.
 Some houses of very light materials may be partially unroofed.
 Only very light or no damage may be sustained by areas affected.
 Rice crops in flowering stage may suffer significant damage.
 Signal #2:
 A tropical cyclone will affect an area.
 Winds of greater than 60 kph and up to 100 kph may be expected in at
least 24 hours.
 Some coconut trees may tilt; some of them may break.
 Few big trees may be uprooted.
 Many banana plants may be downed.
 Rice and corn crops may be affected.
 A large number of houses made of light materials may be unroofed.
 Old galvanized iron roofing may be peeled off.
 In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the
exposed communities.
 Signal #3:
 A tropical cyclone will affect an area.
 Winds of greater than 100 kph up to 185 kph may be expected in at
least 18 hours.
 Many coconut trees may be broken or destroyed.
 Almost all banana plants may be downed and a large number of trees
may be uprooted.
 Rice and corn crops may suffer heavy losses.
 Majority of light material houses may be unroofed or destroyed. There
may be considerable damage to structures of light to medium
construction.
 There may be widespread disruption of electrical power and
communication services.
 In general, moderate to heavy damage may be experienced, particularly
in the agricultural and industrial sectors.
 Signal #4:
 A very intense typhoon will affect the area.
 Very strong winds of more than 185 kph may be expected in at least 12
hours.
 Coconut plantations may suffer extensive damage.
 Many large trees may be uprooted.
 Rice and corn plantation may suffer severe losses.
 Most residential and institutional buildings of mixed construction may
be severely damaged.
 Electrical power distribution and communication services may be
severely disrupted.
  Damage to affected communities can be very heavy.
 Signal #5:
 A Super Typhoon will affect the area.
 Very strong winds of more than 200 kph may be expected in at least 12
hours.
 Almost total damage to structures of light materials, especially in highly
exposed coastal areas.
 Complete roof failure on many buildings. Severe and extensive window
and door damage.
 Most residential and institutional buildings of mixed construction may
be severely damaged.
 Electrical power distribution and communication services severely
disrupted.
 All signboards blown down.
 Total damage to banana plantation.
 Most tall trees are broken, uprooted, or defoliated.
 Coconut trees are stooped, broken, or uprooted.
 Few plants and tress survived.
E. Structure of the Risk
 Mainly focus on areas affected by signal no. 5 – Polillo Group of Islands.
III. Identify the Risk
A. Retrospective Risk
 Super Typhoon Karding, Signal #5 – Polillo Islands
 No Phone Signal.
 Large Damage on Properties due to strong winds.
 Extreme High Flood also cause by High Tide.
 Late Evacuation of Victims.
 Delay arrival and distribution of donations or food and supplies.
B. Prospective Risk
 Super Typhoon Fernsy, Signal #5 – Polillo Islands
 Unsynchronized implementation of objectives.
 No donations.
 Shortage of food and supplies.
IV. Analyze the Risk
 No telecom signal may cause unsynchronized implementation of objectives.
 Strong winds could uproot trees then damage properties.
 High flood may result to drowning or death.
 Large casualties due to late evacuation.
 Unequal distribution could cause shortage of food and supplies.
V. Evaluate the Risk
VI. Treat the Risk Discussed on the table (timeline of
VII. Monitor and Review the typhoon “Fernsy”)
 TIMELINE OF THE TYPHOON “FERNSY”
Includes the function of the units before, during and after the typhoon to lessen the aftermath.

Designated Unit
Condition of the First Distribution of
Date Risk Disaster Weather
Typhoon Rescue Team Aid/Medical Hotline Team Food &
Council Forecaster
Team Supplies
According to the
news, a new low-
pressure area (LPA)
formed inside the
Philippines Area of
responsibility (PAR).
This LPA has 60-70%
chance to develop
into a tropical
depression. As
stated by Pagasa,
rain will still prevail
over several areas in
the Philippines
11/16/202 particularly in
LADY KIM & DEANNE FERN ALYANNAH HOTLINE LAICA
2 Southern Luzon.
In this regard, the
public are advised
to continue
monitoring for
possible changes on
the forecast
scenario, undertake
precautionary
measures, and
remain vigilant
against unofficial
information coming
from unverified
sources.
11/17/202 Today through
2 tomorrow early
morning: Heavy to
intense with at
times torrential
rains possible over
CALABARZON and
MIMAROPA Region
over Cavite, Laguna,
Batangas, Rizal,
Quezon, Oriental
Mindoro,
Marinduque,
Occidental Mindoro,
Romblon, and
Palawan. The low-
pressure area will
be named Fernsy,
the Philippine
Atmospheric
 Geophysical and
Astronomical
Services
Administration
(PAG-ASA) said.
Under these
conditions flooding
and rain induced
landslides are
expected especially
in areas that are
highly or very highly
susceptible to these
hazard as identified
in hazard maps in
localities with
significant
antecedent rainfall.
Typhoon Fernsy is
forecast to track
generally southward
in the next 6 to 12
11/18/202
hours and will make
2
landfall in the
vicinity of the whole
Polillo group of
islands.
Official landfall of
11/19/202
Typhoon Fernsy,
2
5:00 AM
AFTER THE
TYPHOON