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Table of Contents
1. Introductions ..................................................................................................................... 1
1. INTRODUCTIONS
7KH LVVXH RI 3D\RXW SROLF\ DQG LWV HIIHFW RQ ILUP¶V VWRFN SULFH KDG EHHQ GHEDWHG VLQFH
1961 after the work of Franco Modigliani and Merton H. Miller with different names and
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RQWKLVLVVXH%ODFNZURWH³WKHKDUGHUZHORRNDWWKHGLYLGHQGSLFWXUHWKHPore it
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ten unresolved problems in the finance literature and we have not an adequate explanation
for the observed dividend behavior of the firms.
Before the Miller and Modigliani (1961), lots of empirical work has been done to on
dividend policy, and there was almost consensus among the researchers that stock price is
affected by the corporate payout policy. Graham and Dodd (1951) believe that
corporations exist onl\WRSD\GLYLGHQGV%XW00¶VZRUNRQGLYLGHQGSROLF\KDVFKDQJHG
WKH SUHYLRXV YLHZ WKDW GLYLGHQG SD\PHQW LV RQO\ WKH SXUSRVH RI ILUP¶V H[LVWHQFH 00
DUJXHGWKDWILUP¶VEDVLFHDUQLQJSRZHUDQGEXVLQHVVULVNGHWHUPLQHGLWVYDOXH$QGILUP¶V
value is not affected by its dividend payout policy at all in perfect capital market, if
investors are rational in their behavior, and there is perfect certainty in the market.
Although, most assumptions set by MM are very difficult to meet in real world but his
work set a ground for the future researchers. After his work, lot of work has been done to
study the relationship between corporate payout policy and stock price. As a result of this
work, different types of theories are established which elaborate the relationship of
payout policy and stock Price.
According to bird in hand theory, shareholders or new investors always desire current
dividends in spite of future expectation of capital gain for minimizing the uncertainty risk
related to future cash flows. Tax effect theory argues that there are high tax rates on
dividend income as compared to capital gains. Therefore, large investors prefer capital
gains to dividend. So, stock price is not influence by corporate payout policy. Another
argument differs with previous researchers and merged with the name of Agency theory
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wealth. Managers can use retained earnings in bad project or projects with negative NPV
due to their own interests or incapability. Therefore large part of earning should be paid
as dividend so there should be less money in the hands of managers who can use this
money in non profitable projects.
Another theory exist in literature of corporate finance with the name of Signaling Theory
which argue that as all stockholders (e.g. managers, stock holders and potential investors)
have not equal information about the earning of the firm. In this situations management
has to pay large portion of earnings as dividends to signal the stakeholders that firm is
generating healthy profits out of its assets. According to catering theory, decision whether
to payout dividend or not should be determined by the current investors demand. They
argued that managers should provide incentives to the stock holders keeping in view their
needs and wants and should pay dividends when investors prefer those firms which pay
dividends and should keep the earnings with the firm when investors prefer capital gains
to dividends.
Lot of empirical work has been done in developed and emerging economies to find and
prove the relationship of corporate payout policy and stock price. Different Researches
has been made in Pakistan also on corporate payout policy and its relations with stock
price of the firm by Nishat & Saghir (1991), Nishat (1992), Nishat & Bilgrami (1994),
Nishat (1995), Nishat (1999), Nishat and Irfan (2001), Naeem & Nasr (2007), Nishat &
Waliullah (2009), Ahmed & Javid (2009), Nazir et al. (2010), and Imran (2011).
Although a lot of studies have beeQ FRQGXFWHG WKDW GLVFXVV WKH UHODWLRQVKLS RI ILUP¶V
payout policy with different factors, but there is no work on relationship of payout policy
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about the total worth of WKHILUPHJLIWKHVWRFNSULFHRIDILUPLVRQHFDQ¶WHVWLPDWH
the total value of the firm. Market capitalization shows total value of the corporation in
the market. As stock price fluctuate, market capitalization has to face fluctuations because
market capitalization is dependent on stock prices and calculated by multiplying stock
price with no. of shares outstanding. A huge increase or decrease in stock prices may
result in overnight changes in value of corporations. Therefore there is need to study and
monitor all the elements which may directly or indirectly affect the behavior of stock
prices. And with this, corporation has to monitor changes in market capitalization either
due to stock price movements or while changing no of shares outstanding. As there is no
study on payout policy with reference to market capitalization, Therefore, we have
selected this topic for present research. As there is no literature related to our dependent
variable, and we are using stock price as the proxy of market capitalization. So, we have
Ito revise the previous studies related to stock prices movements.
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K\SRWKHVLV $FFRUGLQJ WR 00 $ ILUP¶V YDOXH LV QRW DIIHFWHG E\ LWV GLYLGHQG Sayout
policy at all in perfect capital market, Investors are rational in their behavior, and there is
perfect certainty in the market. MM made three assumptions to support his view point.
These assumptions are perfect market, rational behavior and perfect certainty. First of all,
ZHVKDOOGLVFXVVWKHVHDVVXPSWLRQVLQGHWDLO00GHVFULEHG³SHUIHFWFDSLWDOPDUNHW´DVD
market where neither buyer nor seller can rule over prevailing prices by his transactions.
Every stakeholder have full reach to all informatioQ IUHHO\ DERXW VKDUHµV FKDUDFWHULVWLFV
and prices. Transactions of securities bear no transaction cost, brokerage fee or transfer
taxes. Capital gains, dividends, undistributed and distributed earnings have equal tax
rates. But there is no such market in tKHZRUOGWKDWFDQIXOILOO00¶VDVVXPSWLRQVDQGFDQ
be declare as perfect capital market. Because there are transfer taxes, brokerage fees and
transaction costs in all markets. There are also differences in tax rates on capital gains and
dividends. And all WKH VWDNHKROGHUV HJ PDQDJHUV ILUP¶V VKDUHKROGHUV DQG SRWHQWLDO
LQYHVWRUVRIPDUNHWGRQ¶WKDYHIUHHDQGHTXDODFFHVVWRWKHLQIRUPDWLRQ*HQHUDOO\LWLV
observed that management only convey positive information about the current and future
prospects of the firms to the market, while any negative information is set aside for
maintaining good perception about the firm. Another condition of perfect capital market
is that no seller or buyer of the securities may affect the stock prices by his transaction.
But it is observed that most stock of the companies are held by large investors, (e.g.
investment institutions, wealthy people and by the people who are part of management),
these investors can affect the prices of the stocks by their transactions.
developed economies that can fulfill this assumption up to some level. But all firms of the
developed and emerging economies may not be sure about their future profits and
investment plans. Therefore this assumption could be true to some extent.
Now we would talk about Pakistan keeping in view above discussed assumptions. There
is uncertainty prevailing everywhere as per political, economic and security conditions in
Pakistan. Investors are shifting their business in foreign countries due to many reasons
like shortage of electricity and gas, security conditions e.g. a large portion of our textile
sector has been moved to Bangladesh due to bad economic conditions in Pakistan. New
investors are not coming to Pakistan due to security conditions, poor infrastructure,
corruption, bad governance etc. All investors of Pakistan are not rationDO DV SHU 00¶V
assumption; all of them do not prefer capital gains on dividend payments. There are some
small investors who needs regular stream of funds to meet their needs. There exist large
investors who can influence the ruling stock prices by their transactions. All the investors
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tax rates on capital gains and dividends and transactions cost, taxes also exist in capital
market of the Pakistan. Therefore, by keeping in view this discussion we can build our
hypothesis that, dividend payout policy has effect on the market capitalization of the firm
in Pakistan because assumptions made by MM are not fully met in our market.
Our Research Objective is to find either corporate payout policy may have an impact on
market capitalization or not, and if there exist some association then what is the direction
of this relation. Is market capitalization only influenced by corporate payout policy? Or
WKHUH¶UHRWKHUIDFWRUVZKLFKPD\ also affect market capitalization. To meet our research
objective, at first step, we have to go through the studies related to corporate payout
policies, stock prices movements and stock price determinants. As our main variable
market capitalization is dependent on stock prices mostly. In theoretical framework, we
will go through the theories related to payout policy and stock price movement. In next
section, we will examine empirical work done on this topic. Last section of our research
will include sample and data description, Model, variable definition, calculations on
variables by applying correlation, regression, fixed and random effect techniques and
analysis of these calculations and conclusion.
2. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
either fRUPRIFDVKRULQFUHDVHLQVWRFNYDOXH$QG³3HUIHFWFHUWDLQW\´LVDVLWXDWLRQZKHQ
all investors are fully assured about future earnings and investment plans of all
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profits generated by its assets, not how those profits are split between retained earnings
and dividends. They set the assumption that managers and investor have identical
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capital is not affected by dividend payout policy. So, if Dividend Payout Policy has not
any significant effect, then it is irrelevant.
firms with low payout policy .ii) Capital gains taxes are payable only when stock is being
sold. By considering time value effects, a dollar of tax paid in future has a lower effective
cost than a dollar paid today. iii) There is no capital gain tax payable towards
beneficiaries if a person held the stock until his death. Investors choose firms regarding
their preference of dividends and capital gains. Individuals in low tax brackets may prefer
firms which pay high dividends. No firm can increase its value by changing its dividend
payout policy as there are many firms to satisfy all types of investors.
the long run costs and then make the dividend payment decision. The empirical work
regarding catering theory shows that rates of omission or initiation of dividends are
dependent upon the prevailing dividend premium. There is need to compare existing
stock prices of dividend payer firms with those firms which are not currently paying
dividends. To test these hypotheses, four share price base measures were introduced to
observe demands of investors about payers or non payer firms. The results show that non
payer firms likely to start paying dividends when there is high demand of dividends and
other firms which are paying dividends stop paying dividend at the time of low demand.
This theory is only argued that firms should pay dividend or not, it does not tell how
much dividend should pay. Once a firm start paying dividend, it is up to the management
to raise or reduce the dividends according to earnings of the firms.
3. LITERATURE REVIEW
Payout policy is discussed after 1950 but most work on this issue was done in developed
countries. Developing countries study this issue very late. In Pakistan, work on this issue
ZDV VWDUWHG E\ 1LVKDW DIWHU ¶V :H KDYH RYHUYLHZHG WKH ZRUN Gone on this topic
around the world. First of all, we are presenting the work performed in developed
countries, then we move to developing countries, and at the end we will see the
researches done in Pakistan.
Gordon (1959) study the reasons that why should investor buy the stock of the certain
firm. He selected his sample firms from steel, machine tools, chemical and food industry
and made his analysis for the period of two years. He made three hypothesis; firstly to get
earnings and dividends, secondly for the dividend, and thirdly for the earnings. He apply
different regression model on the cross section data and found that stock price are
VWURQJO\DIIHFWHGE\GLYLGHQGSD\PHQWVWKDQUHWDLQHGHDUQLQJVDQGDVWRFN¶VUHTXLUHGUDWH
of return increases as the fraction of retained earnings due to uncertainty of future
earnings. Fisher (1961) examines the dividend payout relation with stock price in UK. He
selected his sample for the period of nine years from 1949-1957. The results show that
stock prices are widely influenced by dividend payout policy as compared to retained
earnings.
Friend and Puckett (1964) study the association between dividend and stock prices at
United States. They use per share price, dividends, and retained earnings as their study
variables. And control other factors which could affect a firm. They found little evidence
that a dollar of dividends has several times the impact on price of a dollar of retained
earnings. They also found that stock price of the firms, having no or less growth
opportunities are affected by dividend payments, but dividend payments have less or no
impact on stock price of the firms having larger growth potential. They suggested that
these results could be helpful for the managers for increasing share prices of their firms
by paying dividends if firm has less or no growth opportunities and by retaining their
earnings if their firms have high growth potentials.
Diamond (1967) studied the relationship of retained earnings and dividend with stock
price in United States. He selected 255 firms from eight different industries for the period
of two years from 1961-1962. The result shows little evidence that investor prefer
dividends to retained earnings. But investors prefer retained earnings in high growth
industries while dividends are ideal in low growth industries. Ball et al. (1979) studied the
impact of payout policy on value of the firms in Australia. They made their study for the
period of ten years from 1960-7KHUHVXOWVVKRZWKDWDILUP¶VYDOXHLVDIIHFWHGE\
dividend payout policy of the firms. Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1982) examine that
either information effect or tax effect of dividend cause stock price movements in United
States. They made their study for the period of twenty one years from 1940 to 1960. They
found that a non linear positive relationship exists between stock return and firP¶V
dividend yields. The expected dividend yield can be predicted by the information
available to the investors.
Rozeff (1982) presented an optimal dividend payment model that increase in payout ratio
minimizes the agency cost but it enlarge the transaction cost for the firm related external
finance in United States. He used a sample of 200 companies for the period of seven
years through 1974 to 1980. He use average payout ratio, percentage of common stock
held by insiders, average growth rate of revenues, YDOXHOLQH¶VIRUHFDVWRIDYHUDJHJURZWK
rate of revenues, beta coefficient, and number of common stock holder as their study
variables. The results showed that there is positive association between payout ratio and
number of common stockholders and negative associations exist between payout ratio and
percentage of stock held by insiders. It means that if large stocks of the firms are held by
outside shareholder, they want higher dividend payout. It also found that firms with less
ownership dispersion and large inside ownership have less benefit of dividends to reduce
agency cost problems.
Baker et.al (1985) examined the dividend payout policy of to study its impact on stock
prices in USA. They select a sample of 562 firms from wholesale / retail, manufacturing,
and utility firms listed at New York stock exchange. They use pattern of past dividends,
anticipated future earnings, cash availability and concern regarding increasing or
maintaining price as determinants of dividend payout policy. They use mail questionnaire
to get information about dividend payout policy. They found that payout policy of the
firms have significant impact on the share price movements of the firms. Baker and
Powel (1999) collected the views of managers of different companies to find out
relationship between payout policy and share price movements in USA. They selected
603 firms from New York stock exchange for their study and found that dividend payout
policy has strong impact on share price movements. Managers took into account the
consistency in dividend payments while deciding the payout ratio of the firm.
Baskin (1989) found a significant and dominating negative relationship between dividend
yield and stock price volatility. The high degree of association between the two measures
of dividend policy caused him to drop the payout measure from his regression analysis.
Allen & Rachim (1996) examine the relationship between of dividend payout policy and
share price of the firms in Australia. They selected 173 companies from Australian stock
exchange and made his analysis for the period of fourteen years through 1972 to 1985.
They use price volatility as independent variable, dividend yield and payout ratio as
independent variables, and earning volatility, size, growth and leverage as control
variables. They imply cross sectional ordinary least squares regression technique on the
data and regress dependent variable price volatility against independent variables payout
ratio and dividend yield. The results showed that a significant negative relationship exists
between the dividend payout ratio and share price volatility and a significant positive
relationship exist among share price volatility and leverage. It means that stock price is
not affected by dividend yield while dividend payout ratio, earnings volatility, leverage,
size of the firm is major determinants of stock price. They do not found any arbitrage or
duration effect. On the other hand, rate of return effect proposes that payout ratio and
dividend yield both have impact on stock return volatility. The fact that dividend yield
has no significant impact does not mean that rate of return impact does not matter. The
duration effect and rate of return is expected to be associated with growth rate of the firm.
If this correlation is important, then growth rate must have significant effect on the
coefficients for the payout ratio or dividend yield when it is added to the regression.
Morgan and Thomas (1998) examine the stock returns and dividend yield to study the
relationship between dividend payout policy and stock price movements in equity market
of UK. They selected their sample for the period of nineteen years through 1975-1993.
The results show that there is positive correlation between stock returns and dividend
yield, they also found non linear correlation between dividend yield and risk adjusted
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Conroy et al. (2000) study the pricing effect of dividend and earning announcement in
Japan. They studied the firms listed on the 1st section of Tokyo stock exchange for the
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GLYLGHQGV DQG IRUHFDVW RI QH[W \HDU¶V HDUQLQJV DQG QH[W \HDU¶V GLYLGHQG WR WHVW SULFLQJ
impacts. They found that earnings of the firm dominate to explain stock price movements,
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QH[W\HDU¶VGLYLGHQGKDVDVPDOOEXWVLJQLILFDQWLPSDFWRQVKDUHSULFHPRYHPHQWV
Gill et.al (2010) examine in USA. They selected 266 companies from manufacturing and
service industries of USA. They use dividend payout ratio, profitability, sales growth,
cash flow, corporate taxes, market to book value, debt to equity ratio, and industry as
their study variables. The results show that payout ratio is the function of sales growth,
profit margin, debt to equity ratio, and corporate taxes. For manufacturing firms, payout
ratio is the function of corporate taxes, profit margin and market to book value. For
services firms, payout ratio is the function of sales growth, profit margin, corporate taxes
and debt to equity ratio.
Hussainey et.al (2011) tries to find out the relationship between payout policy and
changes in stock prices in UK. They made their analysis on publically quoted companies
in London stock exchange during 1998 to 2007 for ten year time period. They took price
volatility as dependent variable, dividend yield and payout ratio as independent variable,
and earning volatility, size, long term debt, and growth in assets as control variables.
They apply multiple regression analysis and found that a significant negative relation
exists between dividend payout ratio and share price volatility of the firm and there is a
negative relation between dividend yield and stock price volatility. It means that a stock
price of a firm is less volatile if the payout ratio of that firm is higher. They propose the
payout ratio as the main determinant of share price volatility. Debt and size has highest
correlation with stock price volatility among control variable. There exist significant
negative relations between size and share price volatility. They also found that debt has a
significant positive relationship with share price volatility which means that if a firm is
more leveraged, its stock price would be more volatile. And there is a significant negative
relationship between the size and share price volatility which means as a firm is larger, its
share price volatility is less.
Al-Ajmi and Abo Hussain (2011) examine impacts of cash flows on payout policy of the
corporations, determinants of payout policy in Saudi Arabia. They selected fifty four
listed firms of Saudi Arabia and made their study for the period of seventeen years from
1990 -2006. Their variables include previous dividends, cash flow, profitability, leverage,
size, controlling shareholders, government ownership, life cycle and tangibility. The
UHVXOWV VKRZ WKDW IOH[LEOH SD\RXW SROLFLHV DV WKH\ GRQ¶W SD\ LQ ORVVHV DQG WU\ WR VNLS LQ
ORZSURILWV7KH\IRXQGWKDWODVW\HDU¶VGLYLGHnds, cash flows, profitability and life cycle
as determinants of payout policy. Zakat play significant role in payout decisions.
Rashid and Rehman (2008) examine relationship between dividend payout policy and
stock price volatility in Bangladesh. They select one hundred and four firms from non
financial sector. They use price volatility, dividend yield, payout ratio, earning volatility,
growth in assets, long term debt, and size as study variable and apply cross sectional
regression analysis on the data and found that there is non-significant positive relationship
between share price volatility and dividend yield.
Anil & Kapoor (2008) study the dividend payout policy determinant in India. They study
the firms from IT from 2000 to 2006 for the period of seven years. They use dividend
payout ratio as dependent variable, and current and anticipated earnings, corporate taxes,
liquidity, growth opportunities and risk as their independent variables and apply
correlation and regression method to find out relations among these variables. The results
show that only liquidity and risk determines the dividend payout policy. it means Indian
IT firms are highly liquid, and these firms are highly profitable and can payout large
dividends. However they also rHSRUWHGWKDW³H[LVWLQJYDULDEOHVH[SODLQMXVWRI,QGLDQ
Information technology dividend Behavior.
Abor and Bokpin (2010) examine the effect of investment opportunity and corporate
finance on the payout policy in the firms of emerging markets. They selected publicly
traded firms of emerging market from thirty four countries for the period of 17 years from
1990-2006. Emerging markets of various countries include; Zimbabwe, Venezuela,
Turkey, Thailand, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Spain, South Africa, Slovenia, Slovakia, Singapore,
Russian Federation, Portugal, Poland, Philippines, Peru, Pakistan, Morocco, Mexico,
Malaysia, South Korea, Israel, Indonesia, India, Hungary, Hong Kong, Greece, Egypt,
Czech, Columbia, China, Chile, Brazil, Argentina. They selected dividend payout as
dependent variable, and financial leverage, external finance, and debt maturity as
independent variables. They introduced profitability, Size, Inflation, GDP per capita and
risk as control variables. They applied fixed effect model on panel data and found that
Warne and Insan (2011) examined the relationship among earnings, ownership structure
and dividend payout policy in India. They made their analysis for the period of eight
years from 2001 to 2008 by taking data from TATA Steel Limited. They use Total
Capital, equity capital, reserves and surplus, debt, net worth, EBIT, interest EBT and
EAT as stXG\ YDULDEOHV DQGXVHGLIIHUHQW VWDWLVWLFV WHFKQLTXHV OLNH3HDUVRQ¶VFRUUHODWLRQ
and t-test to analyze the relationship among the variables. They found that there is strong
relationship between ownership structure and payout policy and conservative payout
policies are followed by the firm.
Farooq et al. (2012) examine the dividend payout policy and stock price volatility in
Morocco selecting the sample from Morocco stock exchange for the period of five years
from 2003 to 2007. The time duration was determined in such a manner that they could
evaluate the signaling value of dividend policy during the period of high and stable
growth. For this purpose, they assume 2003-2005 as constant growth period and 2006-
2007 as high growth period. They use stock price volatility, payout ratio and market
DGMXVWHG UHWXUQV DV WKHLU VWXG\ YDULDEOHV 7KH\ DOVR LQWURGXFH FRQWURO YDULDEOH RI ILUP¶V
size, asset growth, choice of auditors, operating earnings to total assets ratio and long
term debt to total assets. They use share price volatility as dependent variable and payout
ratio as independent variable, and industry dummies and year dummies in regression
equation to test their hypothesis. The results show that there is a significant negative
association between payout ratio and share price volatility and significant positive
association between payout ratio and stock returns in constant growth period. But during
high growth period, association between payout ratio and share price volatility and
correlation of payout policy and market adjusted returns break down, Because investor
may be paying less concentration to the signaling value of dividend during the high return
period as they are getting high returns on investments.
Naeem and Nasr (2007) investigated the dividend trends and its determinants in Pakistan.
They selected 108 firms (77 Non-financial and 31 financial) listed at KSE and made their
analysis for the period of six years from 1999 to 2004. The results showed that the payout
ratio of most firms in Pakistan is very low. Non financial sector payout ratio is higher as
compared to financial sectors. Leverage, liquidity and investment opportunities are
negatively correlated with dividend payouts. Firms with higher net income payout large
GLYLGHQGV DQG FXUUHQW \HDU¶V HDUQLQJV DUH PDMRU GHWHUPLQDQW RI SD\RXW SROicy. Larger
financial firms have high payout ratio in when they have low growth opportunities and
non financial firms have to invest more funds in fixed assets that have negative impact on
their payouts.
Ahmed & Javid (2009) examine the determinants of dividend policy in Pakistan. They
selected three hundred and twenty firms of Karachi stock exchange from non-financial
sector and made his analysis for the period of six years from 2001 through 2006. They
apply fixed effect model, random effect model, pool with common effect model and
GMM techniques for their analysis. They use dividend yield, net earnings, ownership
structure, market to book value, turnover, slack, size, sales growth, and leverage as
variables for their study. They found that firms rely on last year dividend per share and
earnings of the current year to set their dividend payout policy for the year. However,
current earning play vital role to set the dividend payout policy. They also found that
firms with high profitability and stable earnings have more free cash flows, therefore, pay
more earnings as dividends. Furthermore, market liquidity and ownership concentration
have positive effect on payout policy. Leverage and investment opportunities have
negative effect on payout policy. The size and market capitalization have negative effect
on payout policy.
Nazir et.al (2010) examines the determinants of stock price volatility in Pakistan. They
selected seventy three firms from KSE-100 index and made his analysis for the period of
six years from 2003-2008. They took price volatility as dependent variable, dividend
yield and payout ratio as independent variable and leverage, assets growth, earning
volatility and size as control variables. They implied fixed effect approach and random
effect approach on the panel data. The results show that there exist strong significant
association between dividend payout policy and stock price volatility in Karachi stock
exchange. Payout ratio has significant effect at lower level of significance but the impact
of dividend yield to share price volatility enlarged. The leverage and size created negative
non significant impact on share price volatility.
Akbar and Baig (2010) examine stock price reactions against dividend announcements in
Pakistan. They selected seventy nine firms from Karachi stock exchange and made their
analysis for the period of four years through 2004-2007. They study stock price
movement against cash dividend announcement, stock dividend announcement, and cash
and stock dividend announcement. They apply Wilcoxon signed rank test and t-test on the
data and found that cash dividend announcements have no significant impact on stock
price while stock dividends has positive significant impact on stock prices. And cash and
stock dividend also have positive significant impact on stock prices.
Imran (2011) try to study determinants of dividend policy in Pakistan. He selected thirty
six firms of Karachi stock exchange from engineering sector and made his analysis for the
period of twelve years from 1996 through 2008. He took dividend per share as dependent
YDULDEOHDQGH[DPLQHGLWDJDLQVWHDUQLQJVSHUVKDUHSURILWDELOLW\ILUP¶VFDVKIORZVVDOHV
growth, size and liquidity by applying different panel data techniques like fixed effect,
random effect and pooled estimation approach. He found that the most critical elements in
determining dividend payout policy are previous dividend per share, Profitability, earning
per share, sales growth, cash flows and size of the firm. He examined that per share
dividend is a positive function of the last years dividend, profitability, earning per share,
size of the firm and sales growth and is negatively associated with cash flows. It means if
a firm has higher sales and profitability, it has enough cash to payout cash dividend to its
shareholders. Larger firms are keener to raise cash dividend because it has more access to
various sources of finance. Management tries to increase or meet the payout ratio of last
\HDU 0DQDJHUV DUH UHOXFWDQW WR FXW WKH GLYLGHQG IURP SULRU \HDU¶V payout ratio. The
results show that there is negative association between payout and cash flows which
SURSRVH WKDW ILUPV SORXJK EDFN LWV H[WUD FDVK 7KH ILUP¶V OLTXLGLW\ LV QRW XQUHODWHG WR
payout policy in engineering sector of Pakistan.
Asghar et.al (2011) studies the effect of payout policy on share price in Pakistan. They
choose firms from sugar, chemical, cement, synthetic & fiber and engineering sector of
the economy and made their study for the period of five years from 2005 to 2009. They
use price volatility as dependent variable, and payout ratio, dividend yield, growth in
assets and earning volatility as independent variables. They use descriptive statistics,
regression and correlation techniques for their analysis. They found that dividend yield is
strongly correlated with the stock price movements while growth in assets is negatively
correlated with stock price movement. Besides, stock price movement is also affected by
other variables.
Khan et.al (2011) studies the impact of dividend decisions o stock prices at Karachi stock
exchange. They selected fifty five firms from KSE-100 index and made their analysis for
the period of ten years through 2001 to 2010. They use stock price as independent
variable, dividend yield and retention ratio as independent variable, and return on equity,
profit after tax and earnings per share as control variables, they use fixed effect model and
random effect model to elaborate the relations among variables. The results of this study
show that earnings per share, dividend yield, profit after tax and return on equity has
positive correlation with stock price, and retention is negatively correlated with stock
prices. They also consider dividend policy as signaling device about the performance of
the firms.
Asif et.al (2011) examines the impact of leverage on payout policy in Pakistan. They
choose 403 firms from Karachi stock exchange and made their analysis for seven years
for the period of 2000-2008. They dividend per share as dependent variable, debt ratio
and dividend yield as independent variables, and change in earning as dummy variable.
They apply descriptive analysis, correlation coefficient, fixed effect model, random effect
model techniques to find out the relationship among variables. The result show that
leverage has significant impact on dividend per share but negative effect on dividend
payouts which means highly leverage firms pay less dividends. They also found that
dividend yield has positive effect on dividend policy while there is no impact of change in
earnings on dividend payout policy.
Khan et al. (2011) examined the managerial view about payout policy in Pakistan. They
FRQGXFWWKHLQWHUYLHZVRIILUP¶VPDQDJHUVWRDQDO\]HWKHLUYLHZVDERXWSD\RXWSROLF\
The results showed that the payout policy decisions are similar to developed markets.
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GHWHUPLQDQWV RI SD\RXW SROLF\ DQG FXUUHQW GLYLGHQGV DUH QRW DIIHFWHG E\ SDVW \HDU¶V
dividends
Dividend yield and payout ratio are used as the measures of corporate dividend policy.
Based upon the review of literature discussed above, our proposed hypothesis to be tested
is as follow;
4. RESEARCH DESIGN
4.2 MODEL
Different statistical Techniques are applied on our panel data to measure the effect of
corporate payout policy on its market capitalization. We use fixed effect and random
effect techniques for this purpose. We use following regression model to measure the
effect of dividend payout policy and market capitalization. The model is similar to that of
Nazir et al (2010), Allen and Rachim (1996), Nishat (1992), and Baskin (1989)
MC = a1 + a2DYj + a3PRj + ej
The close relation among market capitalization and dividend policy may cause some
problem as there are a number of factors that influence dividend policy. In this study,
there are number of factor which can affect Market Capitalization. We include those
factors as control variable in our model for limiting their impact.
a = Constant
MC = Market Capitalization
DY = Dividend Yield
PR = Payout Ratio
LVRG = Leverage
Size = Size
I = Interest rates
E = Error Term
Average stock price = {Highest stock price ± Lowest stock price / avg. (low and high)} 2
Payout Policy has been taken as independent variable, dividend yield and payout ratio of
the firm are used as the measure of corporate payout policy.
Payout Ratio = Total cash Dividend distributed in a year / Total earning in a year
Dividend Yield (DY) = sum of all cash dividends/ average market value of common stock
Following factors may also affect the stock market capitalization of the firm, so these
factors have been taken as control variable in our research.
Interest rates (I) are inversely related with stock market capitalization. As interest rates
increases in the economy, people transfer their funds to the banks and with a decrease in
interest rates, people invest in stock of the companies in hope of high yield. Six month
KIBOR is converted to annual rate for our analysis.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has positive relation with stock market capitalization.
As GDP increases, per capita income increases, and people have more saving to invest.
Five years GDP growth is taken for present study.
Earnings per share (EPS) if firm is earning profits, it is able to pay dividend. Baker et
al. (1985) found that an important determinant of dividend payout is the predicted level of
future earnings. Baker (1989) reported that poor earning is a major reason for not paying
dividends. DeAngelo & DeAngelo (1990) found that when some firms faces continues
losses for five years; those firms have the propensity to omit its dividends entirely. Pruitt
& Gitman (1991) found that past years and current year earnings have foremost influence
on dividend payments. Conroy et al. (2000) reported that earnings of the firms dominate
to explain share price movements in Japan. Jenson et al. (1992), Aivazian et al. (2003),
Amidu & Abor (2006) reported that there should be positive relationship between profits
and dividend payments. Net earnings per share are calculated dividing total earnings by
total shares of common stock.
Assets Growth (Growth) Bhattacharya (1979) wrote that the high growth firms are
smoother to pay their dividends to shareholders. Asset growth is calculated by subtracting
Total assets of previous year from total assets of Current year and dividing it by total
assets of Last year.
Leverage (LVRG) has negative effect on dividend payouts. Higgins (1972) and McCabe
(1979) found that if firm is highly leveraged, its free cash flow is more risky. Rozeff
(1982) found that highly leverage firm pay less dividends to avoid the cost of raising
external capital. Leverage is calculated dividing total debt of the firms by total asset.
Size (Size) Large firms are often more diversified in their activities and are best choice
for investors. Scott & Martin (1975) found that the size of the firm may affect its payout
policy. Baskin (1989) found that firms with a more dispersed body of shareholders may
be more disposed towards using dividend policy as a signaling device. Aivazian et.al
(2003) reported that market size is used as an alternative to the capital market access.
Firms which have more access to the market may be able to payout higher dividends. Size
LV FDOFXODWHG GLYLGLQJ WRWDO VKDUHKROGHU¶V HTXLW\ FRPPRQ VWRFN UHWDLning earning, and
reserves) by dividing outstanding shares of the firm. As there appear some negative
values, so we take square root of it and then find natural log of the size to use in
calculation.
5. RESULTS
Table 1 shows the details of all these descriptive statistics. Mean value of our dependent
variable of market capitalization (MC) is 10.5305 and median is 10.4782 with the
standard deviation of 2.0001. Minimum and maximum values of MC are 4.6952 and
15.7081 respectively. Skewness in our dependent variable is -.033 which means
frequency distribution of MC is negatively skew and. Kurtosis value is .139 which is less
than 3 that means curve of kurtosis is very peaked which is called platy kutric.
Independent variable dividend yield (DY) carries the mean value of .0451 with the
standard deviation of .0727. Minimum value is .0000, maximum value reaches to .9410,
and middle value (median) of DY is .0296. Skewness is 6.318 which show that frequency
distribution is positively skewed. And value of Kurtosis is 72.265 which is greater than 3
which means curve of kurtosis is high which is called Lepto kutric.
Mean for our independent variable Payout ratio (PR) is .4478 with the standard deviation
of .7612. Minimum and maximum value ranges from -3.0883 to 24.0161 with the median
of 7.8529. Skewness value is 6.318 which show data is positively skewed. Kurtosis is
55.338 which mean curve of kurtosis is high. Means value of our control variable size is
8.0725 with the standard deviation of 4.2321. Minimum value of the Size is -3.0883 and
maximum value is 24.0161 with the median of 10.4823. Frequency distribution is
positively skew with the value of .047. Kurtosis curve is peaked with the value of 1.110.
Control variable earnings per share have mean value of 25.3108 with the standard
deviation of 57.0489. Minimum and maximum values are -87.5179 and 531.5707
respectively with the median of 10.4823. Skewness of 5.294 shows the positively skewed
frequency distribution. Value of kurtosis is 36.448 showing high peak of the curve.
Growth has mean value of .5454 with the standard deviation of .3102. Minimum and
maximum values are -.8812 and 12.2152 respectively with the median of .1336.
Frequency is positively skew with the value of 10.297. And curve of kurtosis is very high
with the value of 124.211. Leverage has the mean value of .5454 with the standard
deviation of .3102. Minimum and maximum values are .0237 and 3.1482 with the median
of .5694. Skewness and Kurtosis values are 3.011 and 22.030 respectively that shows
frequency distribution is positively skewed and has high peak. GDP variable of economy
has mean value of .0510 with the standard deviation of .0184. Minimum and maximum
values range from .0200 to .0700 and the value of median is .0580. Frequency distribution
is negatively skewed with the value of -.650. Kurtosis value is -1.056 shows the flatness
of the curve. Mean value of interest rate is .1079 and value of median is .1076 with the
standard deviation of .0069. Minimum and maximum values are .0983 and .1179
respectively. Frequency distribution is positively skewed with .069 coefficient of
skewness. Kurtosis of -1.297 shows that curve of kurtosis is at peak.
We have discussed the overall descriptive statistics of the 68 companies for five years.
Now we are going to discuss the year wise descriptive statistics of each variable. We have
calculated mean, median, standard deviation, minimum, and maximum of five years from
2006 to 2010 for each variable. Table 2 gives the values of mean, median, standard
deviation, minimum, and maximum of market capitalization for five years.
Mean value of market capitalization for year 2006 is 10.0350 with standard deviation of
1.9655. Minimum and maximum values range from 5.3579 to 14.9469 respectively with
the median of 10.0350. In year 2007, mean value is 10.2489 followed by an increase of
.21 and standard deviation of 1.6355 which is less from previous year. Minimum and
maximum values are 5.3154 and 13.6686 having the median of 10.2109. Overall there is
an increase in mean and median while minimum and maximum are decreasing during
2007. Mean value during the year 2008 is 11.0623 followed by an increase of .82 and
standard deviation of 2.3203. Minimum and maximum values range from 5.2608 to
15.7081 with the median of 11.0283 which is higher than previous years. There is an
increase in values of mean and median during 2008. Year 2009 also brings an increase in
mean and median with the values of 11.1081 and 11.0283 respectively. Minimum,
maximum, and standard deviation for the year is 6.2914, 15.2307 and 1.9244. we have
seen an increase during 2006 to 2009. But in year 2010, there is decrease in all measures.
Mean value is 10.1983 which is less from previous year, Value of median is 10.1645
followed by decrease of .86, minimum and maximum values range from 4.6952 to
14.9428 and standard deviation is 1.8835 for the year. Overall there is not a very big
change in the values during five years, first four years was good having consistent
increase only year 5 brings a decrease in values of mean and median.
Table 3Table 3 shows the year wise descriptive statistics for dividend yield (DY). The mean
value of dividend yield is .0458 for 2007 with the median of .0294. Minimum and
maximum values range from .0000 to .9410 and standard deviation of .1150. Year 2007
brings a decrease in mean and median values. Mean value for the year is .0268 with the
standard deviation of .0269 while minimum and maximum values are .0000 and .1162
respectively with standard deviation of .0269. Mean for 2008 is .0346 is more than the
mean of 2007, but still it is less from 2006. Value of median also increases by .01.
Minimum and maximum values are .0000 to .1531, and standard deviation for the year is
.0357. 2009 followed by a good increase, mean value of .0588 and median of .0415 which
is greater than all previous years. Maximum value of dividend yield also increases to
.4669. In year 2010, the trends of increase also continue. Mean value is .0596 with the
standard deviation of .0694. Minimum and maximum values range from .0000 to .4017
with the median of .0442.
Table 4 shows the Mean value of payout ratio for year 2006 is .5219 with standard
deviation of 1.1034. Minimum and maximum values range from .0000 to 8.5596
respectively with the median of .2981. In year 2007, mean value is .3914 followed by a
decrease of .13 and standard deviation of .4665 which is less from previous year.
Minimum and maximum values are .0000 and 2.5508 having the median of .2887.
Overall there decrease in mean and median. Mean value during the year 2008 is .4417
followed by an increase of .05 and standard deviation of .7446. Minimum and maximum
values range from .0000 to 5.8329 with the median of .3191 which is higher than previous
years. There is an increase in values of mean and median during 2008. Year 2009 also
brings an increase in mean and median with the values of .4756 and .3566 respectively.
Minimum, maximum, and standard deviation for the year is -.3844, 6.4000 and .8370. We
have seen an increase during 2006 to 2009. But in year 2010, there is decrease in all
measures. Mean value is .4083 which is less from previous year, Value of median is
.3111 followed by decrease of .04, minimum and maximum values range from -.8250 to
2.2275 and standard deviation is .4800 for the year. Overall value of mean is fluctuating
during five years.
Table 5 shows the Mean value of size for year 2006 is 7.8227 with standard deviation of
3.9027. Minimum and maximum values range from -2.9568 to 17.0436 respectively with
the median of 7.8529. In year 2007, mean value is 7.9465 followed by an increase of .12
and standard deviation of 4.2379 which is less from previous year. Minimum and
maximum values are -2.9384 and 17.6177 having the median of 7.7016. Overall there is
an increase in mean while median is decreasing during 2007. Mean value during the year
2008 is 8.0770 followed by an increase of .13 and standard deviation of 4.2064.
Minimum and maximum values range from -2.9857 to 19.8473 with the median of 7.4536
which is less than previous years. There is an increase in values of mean and decrease in
value of median during 2008. Year 2009 also brings a decrease in mean and an increase
in median with the values of 7.9820 and 7.6253 respectively. Minimum, maximum, and
standard deviation for the year is -3.0883, 18.4683 and 4.4314. In year 2010, there is an
increase in values of all measures. Mean value is 8.5342 which is greater than previous
year, Value of median is 8.0334 followed by an increase of .41, minimum and maximum
values range from -2.9463 to 24.0161 and standard deviation is 4.9444 for the year.
Overall first three years are good having consistent increase only year 4 brings a decrease
in values of mean and median.
Table 6 shows the Mean value of earnings per share for year 2006 is 22.1912 with standard
deviation of 37.3507. Minimum and maximum values range from -6.5542 to 267.0359
respectively with the median of 11.7178. In year 2007, mean value is 25.5829 followed
by an increase and standard deviation of 51.7382. Minimum and maximum values are -
14.6888 and 300.8731 having the median of 52.2328. Overall there is an increase in mean
while median is decreasing during 2007. Mean value during the year 2008 is 27.5506
followed by an increase and standard deviation of 52.2328. Minimum and maximum
values range from -39.0540 to 496.2485 with the median of 8.5108 which is less than
previous years. There is an increase in values of mean and decrease in value of median
during 2008. Year 2009 also brings a decrease in mean and median with the values of
22.9331 and 8.5108 respectively. Minimum, maximum, and standard deviation for the
year are -39.0540, 496.2485 and 66.0125. In year 2010, there is an increase in values of
all measures. Mean value is 28.2965 which is greater than previous year, Value of median
is 10.0192 followed by an increase, minimum and maximum values range from -87.5179
to 531.5707 and standard deviation is 72.6604 for the year. Overall first three years are
good having consistent increase only year 4 brings a decrease in values of mean.
Table 7 shows the Mean value of assets growth for year 2006 is .3055 with standard
deviation of .3480. Minimum and maximum values range from-.0669 to 1.6897
respectively with the median of .1906. In year 2007, mean value is .1854 followed by
decrease and standard deviation of .2374. Minimum and maximum values are -.2087 and
1.3877 having the median of .1110. Overall there is a decrease in values of mean and
median during 2007. Mean value during the year 2008 is .1744 followed by a decrease
and standard deviation of .2830. Minimum and maximum values range from-.8091 to
1.1034 with the median of .1561 which is greater than previous years. There is an
increase in values of mean and decrease in value of median during 2008. Year 2009
brings an increase in mean and a decrease in median with the values of .4125 and .1164
respectively. Minimum, maximum, and standard deviation for the year are -.8812,
12.2152 and 1.5743. In year 2010, there is a decrease in values of all measures. Mean
value is .2855 which is less than previous year, Value of median is .1111 followed by a
decrease, minimum and maximum values range from -.6691 to 9.1246 and standard
deviation is 1.1127 for the year. Overall first three years are good having consistent
increase only year 4 brings a decrease in values of mean. Overall value of mean is
fluctuating during five years.
Table 8 shows the Mean value of Leverage for year 2006 is .5001 with standard deviation
of .2156. Minimum and maximum values range from .0592 to .9987 respectively with the
median of .2156. In year 2007, mean value is .5569 followed by an increase and standard
deviation of .3633. Minimum and maximum values are .737 and 2.8286 having the
median of .5894. Overall there is a decrease in values of mean and increase in value of
median during 2007. Mean value during the year 2008 is .5568 followed by a decrease
and standard deviation of .2763. Minimum and maximum values range from .0237 to
1.6500 with the median of .5981 which is greater than previous years. There is a decrease
in values of mean and increase in value of median during 2008. Year 2009 brings an
increase in mean and a decrease in median with the values of .5890 and .5938
respectively. Minimum, maximum, and standard deviation for the year are .0782, 3.1482
and .3981. In year 2010, there is a decrease in values of all measures. Mean value is .5240
which is less than previous year, Value of median is .5398 followed by a decrease, and
minimum and maximum values range from .0913 to 1.1883 and standard deviation is
.2626 for the year. Overall mean value shows fluctuation during the five years.
Table 9 shows the mean and median of economy variable GDP for year 2006 which is
.0660. In 2007 there is an increase in mean value .0700 which shows a GDP growth. But
this GDP growth could not continue and fall to .0580 in 2008 and .0200 in 2009. In 2010
there is an increase in mean value .0410. Values of mean, median, minimum and
maximum remain the same over the five year. Table 10 shows a consistent increase in the
interest rates in the economy. Mean value of 2006 is .0983 that increases to .1028 in
2007. This value increases by .1076, .1126 and .1179 in 2008, 2009, and 2010
respectively. All the values are same during the yea
5.2.1.1 CORRELATION
In Table 11, we apply correlation on pooled technique of average data. We exclude GDP
and I from the table, because values of GDP and I are same for all 68 observations, as
average values of GDP and I are same in whole data, we omit these variables. DY carries
negative correlation with MC which is significant at .01 levels. PR is negatively
associated with MC having value of .254 which is significant at .05 levels. Significant
level decrease from .01 to .05 in case of PR and MC in pooled data. Size owns positive
correlation with MC having value of .435 and .05 confidence levels. EPS has negative
significant association with MC having value of .453 with .05 significant levels. EPS also
have negative correlation with Size having values of .245 at .005 levels of significance.
Growth carries negative correlation with MC having value of -.060 which is not
significant. LVRG has positive correlation with MC at .05 confidence levels. LVRG is
also inversely correlated with PR at .05 significant levels. Major change we observe in
our pooled technique is that we have found a significant negative relationship which leads
to reject our null hypothesis and prove that DY has significant effect on MC. PR results
also rejected our null hypothesis and prove that PR has significant effect on corporate
payout policy. Panel technique results show that corporate payout policy has significant
effect on its market capitalization. Our analysis on prove that this relationship negative
which means decrease in payout ratio leads to increase in stock prices.
5.2.1.2 REGRESSION
Table 12 shows the relationship between independent variable DY and MC is negative
having value of -10.4992 at .05 level of significant. Control variable size has positive
relationship with MC. This shows that big size firms have high market capitalization. EPS
has negative significant relationship with MC. It means decrease in earnings leads to high
market capitalization. This results show that Pakistani investors prefer capital gains as
compared to earnings. Growth has negative relationship with market capitalization which
is insignificant. LVRG carries positive significant relationship with MC that shows that
increase in debt leads to high MC because funds are used in profitable projects which
send positive signals in the market.
In table 13, we run separate regression of each independent and control variable. The
results show independent variable DY has negative correlation with MC with strong
impact. Independent variable PR also has negative and significant association with MC.
Size owns positive and significant association with MC. Growth has negative
insignificant association with MC. Growth has significant negative relationship with MC.
LVRG carries significant positive association with MC. The results are consistent with
Table 12 simple regression model.
17 shows stepwise regression of our model. It shows PR, Size, EPS, LVRG and GDP has
significant relationship with MC. Results are almost consistent with our above discussion
as size and LVRG has positive relationship with Y and PR, EPS and GDP has negative
relationship with MC.
5.2.2.1 CORRELATION
Table 18 VKRZVWKH&RUUHODWLRQDPRQJDOOYDULDEOHVUHODWHGWRRXUVWXG\'<¶V&RUUHODWLRQ
with MC is negative having value of -.050, but it is insignificant which support our null
hypothesis (H0) and prove that dividend yield has no effect on corporate payout policies.
PR has significant negative correlation with MC having value of -.141 with 99%
confidence level which reject our null Hypothesis (H3) and prove that Payout ratio has
significant impact on market capitalizations of the companies.
multicollinarity diagnose test, we found that multicollinarity between GDP and I creates
serious problem. Therefore, we run separate regression models using GDP and I.
Table 19 gives the results of fixed and random effect models excluding control variable of
Interest. In fixed effect, DY, Growth and GDP have inverse relationship with MC while
remaining variables show positive relationships. Values of EPS and GDP are significant.
Values of DY, PR, Size, EPS, Growth, LVRG, and GDP are -.848, .011, .025, .004, -.025,
.049 and -14.398 respectively. In random effect model, DY, PR, EPS, Growth, and GDP
have negative relationship with MC while values of Size and LVRG are positively related
with MC. In random effect model, size and GDP has significant values. Values of DY,
PR, Size, EPS, Growth, LVRG, and GDP are -1.147, -.017, .121, -.002, -.004, .291, and -
13.781 respectively.
Table 20 gives the results of fixed and random effect models excluding control variable of
GDP. In fixed effect, PR, DY and Growth have inverse relationship with MC while
remaining variables show positive relationships. Values of EPS and I are significant.
Values of DY, PR, Size, EPS, Growth, LVRG, and I are -.266, - .015, .018, .003, -.003,
.107 and 21.675 respectively. In random effect model, DY, PR and EPS have negative
relationship with MC while values of Size, Growth, LVRG and I are positively related
with MC. In random effect model, size and I has significant values. Values of DY, PR,
Size, EPS, Growth, LVRG, and GDP are -.586, -.044, .120, -.002, .016, .355 and 19.568
respectively. Overall results are consistent with over above findings but there is
difference of significant level.
Table 21, we used eight models, in all models, dependent variable MC is run with each
variable separately excluding all other variables. Model 1 suggests that DY has
6. DISCUSSION
6.1 LIMITATIONS
Present study is a systematic effort to address the research problems. But certain
limitations remained as we can use the data for only 68 firms listed at KSE-100 index
from non financial sectors of the economy for a short period of 5 years from 2006 to
2010.
6.3 CONCLUSION
Present study examine the relationship between corporate payout policy and market
capitalization using sample of 68 firms from non financial sector listed at KSE-100 index
over the period of five years through 2006-2010. We use Market Capitalization as
dependent variable, Dividend Yield and Payout ratio as independent variable, We apply
GLIIHUHQW VWDWLVWLFDO RI FRUUHODWLRQ DQG UHJUHVVLRQ OLNH 3HDUVRQ¶V FRUUHODWLRQ VLPSOH
regression model, fixed effect model and random effect model on pooled and panel data
to find the relationship between corporate payout policy and market capitalization. The
empirical results suggest that corporate payout policy has relationship with market
capitalization. Pooled data results show that measures of corporate payout policy has
strong negative relationship with market capitalization. It means that as dividend yield
decrease market capitalization of the corporations increases, which draws the conclusion
that investor prefer capital gains in Pakistan. Large corporations have high market
capitalization. Corporation that uses more debt has high market capitalization. Low
earnings per share leads to high market capitalization that shows funds of the companies
are invested in profitable projects which sends positive signal in the market, these positive
signals result in high market capitalization. Overall results prove that corporate payout
policy has significant impact of market capitalizations of the firms in Pakistan Results are
consistent with previous studies and
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ĂŶĚDĂƌŬĞƚĨĨŝĐŝĞŶĐLJŝŶWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ͘dŚĞ>ĂŚŽƌĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϭϱ;ϭͿ͕ϭϬϯͲϭϮϱ͘
ůͲũŵŝ͕:͕͘ΘďŽ,ƵƐƐĂŝŶ͕,͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘ŽƌƉŽƌĂƚĞĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐĚĞĐŝƐŝŽŶƐ͗ĞǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵ^ĂƵĚŝ
ƌĂďŝĂ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨZŝƐŬ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϭϮ;ϭͿ͕ϰϭͲϱϲ͘
ůůĞŶ͕͕͘͘ΘZĂĐŚŝŵ͕s͘^͘;ϭϵϵϲͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉŽůŝĐLJĂŶĚƐƚŽĐŬƉƌŝĐĞǀŽůĂƚŝůŝƚLJ͗ƵƐƚƌĂůŝĂŶ
ĞǀŝĚĞŶĐĞ͘ƉƉůŝĞĚ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϲ;ϮͿ͕ϭϳϱͲϭϴϴ͘
ŵŝĚƵ͕D͕͘ΘďŽƌ͕:͘;ϮϬϬϲͿ͘ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWĂLJŽƵƚZĂƚŝŽƐŝŶ'ŚĂŶĂ͘dŚĞ
:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨZŝƐŬ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϳ;ϮͿ͕ϭϯϲͲϭϰϱ͘
Ŷŝů͕<͕͘Θ<ĂƉŽŽƌ͕^͘;ϮϬϬϴͿ͘ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWĂLJŽƵƚZĂƚŝŽƐͲ^ƚƵĚLJŽĨ/ŶĚŝĂŶ
/ŶĨŽƌŵĂƚŝŽŶdĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJ^ĞĐƚŽƌ͘/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ
;ϭϱͿ͕ϲϯͲϳϭ͘
ƐŐŚĂƌ͕D͕͘^ŚĂŚ͕^͕͘͘,ĂŵŝĚ͕<͕͘Θ^ƵůĞŵĂŶ͕D͘d͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘/ŵƉĂĐƚŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJŽŶ
^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞZŝƐŬ͗ŵƉŝƌŝĐĂůǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵƋƵŝƚLJDĂƌŬĞƚŽĨWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ͘&ĂƌĂƐƚ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ
WƐLJĐŚŽůŽŐLJĂŶĚƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͕ϰ;ϭͿ͕ϰϱͲϱϮ͘
ƐŝĨ͕͕͘ZĂƐŽŽů͕t͕͘Θ<ĂŵĂů͕z͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘/ŵƉĂĐƚŽĨĨŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůůĞǀĞƌĂŐĞŽŶĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉŽůŝĐLJ͗
ŵƉŝƌŝĐĂůĞǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵ<ĂƌĂĐŚŝ^ƚŽĐŬdžĐŚĂŶŐĞͲůŝƐƚĞĚĐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐ͘ĨƌŝĐĂŶ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ
ƵƐŝŶĞƐƐDĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͕ϱ;ϰͿ͕ϭϯϭϮͲϭϯϮϰ͘
ĂŬĞƌ͕,͘<͘;ϭϵϴϵͿ͘tŚLJŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐƉĂLJŶŽĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͘ŬƌŽŶƵƐŝŶĞƐƐĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐ
ZĞǀŝĞǁ͕ϮϬ͕ϰϴͲϲϭ͘
ĂŬĞƌ͕,͘<͕͘ΘWŽǁĞůů͕'͘͘;ϭϵϵϵͿ͘,ŽǁŽƌƉŽƌĂƚĞDĂŶĂŐĞƌƐǀŝĞǁŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJ͘
YƵĂƌƚĞƌůLJ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨƵƐŝŶĞƐƐĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϯϴ;ϮͿ͕ϭϳͲϯϱ͘
ĂŬĞƌ͕,͘<͕͘&ĂƌƌĞůůLJ͕'͕͘͘ΘĚĞůŵĂŶ͕Z͘͘;ϭϵϴϱͿ͘^ƵƌǀĞLJŽĨDĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚsŝĞǁƐŽŶ
ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJ͘&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůDĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͕ϭϰ;ϯͿ͕ϳϴͲϴϰ͘
ĂŬĞƌ͕D͕͘ΘtƵƌŐůĞƌ͕:͘;ϮϬϬϰͿ͘ĂƚĞƌŝŶŐdŚĞŽƌLJŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕
ϱϵ;ϯͿ͕ϭϭϮϱͲϭϭϲϱ͘
Ăůů͕ZĂLJ͕ƌŽǁŶ͕W͕͘&ƌĂŶŬ͕:͘&͕͘ΘKĨĨŝĐĞƌ͕Z͘Z͘;ϭϵϳϵͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĂŶĚƚŚĞsĂůƵĞŽĨƚŚĞ
&ŝƌŵ͗ǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵƚŚĞƵƐƚƌĂůŝĂŶƋƵŝƚLJDĂƌŬĞƚ͘ƵƐƚƌĂůŝĂŶ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨDĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͕
ϰ͕ϭϯͲϮϲ͘
ĂƐŬŝŶ͕:͘;ϭϵϴϵͿ͘͞ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJĂŶĚƚŚĞsŽůĂƚŝůŝƚLJŽĨŽŵŵŽŶ^ƚŽĐŬ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ
WŽƌƚĨŽůŝŽDĂŶĂŐŵĞŶƚ͕ϭϱ;ϯͿ͕ϭϵͲϮϱ͘
ŚĂƚƚĂĐŚĂƌLJĂ͕^͘;ϭϵϳϵͿ͘/ŵƉĞƌĨĞĐƚ/ŶĨŽƌŵĂƚŝŽŶ͕ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJ͕ĂŶĚΗdŚĞŝƌĚŝŶƚŚĞ
,ĂŶĚΗ&ĂůůĂĐLJ͘dŚĞĞůů:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϭϬ;ϭͿ͕ϮϱϵͲϮϳϬ͘
ůĂĐŬ͕&͘;ϭϵϳϲͿ͘dŚĞŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWƵnjnjůĞ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨWŽƌƚĨŽůŝŽDĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͕Ϯ͕ϱͲϴ͘
ŽŶƌŽLJ͕Z͘D͕͘ĂĚĞƐ͕<͘D͕͘Θ,ĂƌƌŝƐ͕Z͘^͘;ϮϬϬϬͿ͘dĞƐƚŽĨƚŚĞZĞůĂƚŝǀĞWƌŝĐŝŶŐĨĨĞĐƚƐŽĨ
ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐĂŶĚĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ͗ǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵ^ŝŵƵůƚĂŶĞŽƵƐŶŶŽƵŶĐĞŵĞŶƚƐŝŶ:ĂƉĂŶ͘dŚĞ
:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϱϱ;ϯͿ͕ϭϭϵϵͲϭϮϮϳ͘
ĞŶŐĞůŽ͕,͕͘ΘĞŶŐĞůŽ͕>͘;ϭϵϵϬͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉŽůŝĐLJĂŶĚ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĚŝƐƚƌĞƐƐ͗ĂŶĞƉŝƌŝĐĂů
ŝŶǀĞƐƚŝŐĂƚŝŽŶŽĨƚƌŽƵďůĞĚEz^ĨŝƌŵƐ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϰϱ͕ϭϰϭϱͲϭϰϯϭ͘
ŝĂŵŽŶĚ͕:͘:͘;ϭϵϲϳͿ͘ĂƌŶŝŶŐƐŝƐƚƌŝďƵƚŝŽŶĂŶĚƚŚĞsĂůƵĂƚŝŽŶŽĨƚŚĞƐŚĂƌĞƐ͗^ŽŵĞ
ZĞĐĞŶƚǀŝĚĞŶĐĞ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĂŶĚYƵĂŶƚŝƚĂƚŝǀĞŶĂůLJƐŝƐ;ϮͿ͕ϭϱͲϯϬ͘
ĂƐƚĞƌďƌŽŽŬ͕&͘,͘;ϭϵϴϰͿ͘dǁŽŐĞŶĐLJͲŽƐƚdžƉůĂŶĂƚŝŽŶƐŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͘dŚĞŵĞƌŝĐĂŶ
ĐŽŶŽŵŝĐZĞǀŝĞǁ͕ϳϰ;ϰͿ͕ϲϱϱϬͲϲϱϵ͘
&ĂŵĂ͕͘&͕͘Θ&ƌĞŶĐŚ͕<͘Z͘;ϮϬϬϭͿ͘ŝƐĂƉƉĞĂƌŝŶŐĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͗ĐŚĂŶŐŝŶŐĨŝƌŵĐŚĂƌĂĐƚĞƌŝƐƚŝĐƐ
ŽƌůŽǁĞƌƉƌŽƉĞŶƐŝƚLJƚŽƉĂLJ͍:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϲϬ͕ϯͲϰϯ͘
&ĂƌŽŽƋ͕K͕͘^ĂŽƵĚ͕^͕͘ΘŐŶĂŽƵ͕^͘;ϮϬϭϮͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJĂƐĂ^ŝŐŶĂůŝŶŐDĞĐŚĂŶŝƐŵ
ƵŶĚĞƌŝĨĨĞƌĞŶƚDĂƌŬĞƚŽŶĚŝƚŝŽŶƐ͗ǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵƚŚĞĂƐĂďůĂŶĐĂ^ƚŽĐŬdžĐŚĂŶŐĞ͘
/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ;ϴϯͿ͕ϭϴϳͲϭϵϴ͘
&ŝƐŚĞƌ͕'͘Z͘;ϭϵϲϭͿ͘^ŽŵĞĨĂĐƚŽƌƐŝŶĨůƵĞŶĐŝŶŐƐŚĂƌĞƉƌŝĐĞƐ͘dŚĞĐŽŶŽŵŝĐ:ŽƵƌŶĂů͕ϳϭ
;ϮϴϭͿ͕ϭϮϭͲϭϰϭ͘
&ƌŝĞŶĚ͕/͕͘ΘWƵĐŬĞƚƚ͕D͘;ϭϵϲϰͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĂŶĚ^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞƐ͘dŚĞŵĞƌŝĐĂŶĐŽŶŽŵŝĐ
ZĞǀŝĞǁ͕ϱϰ;ϱͿ͕ϲϱϲͲϲϴϮ͘
'ŝůů͕͕͘ŝŐĞƌ͕E͕͘ΘdŝďƌĞǁĂůĂ͕Z͘;ϮϬϭϬͿ͘ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWĂLJŽƵƚZĂƚŝŽƐ͗
ǀŝĚĞŶĐĞĨƌŽŵhŶŝƚĞĚ^ƚĂƚĞƐ͘dŚĞKƉĞŶƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ:ŽƵƌŶĂů͕ϯ͕ϴͲϭϰ͘
'ŽƌĚŽŶ͕D͘:͘;ϭϵϱϵͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͕ĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ͕ĂŶĚ^ƚŽĐŬƉƌŝĐĞƐ͘dŚĞZĞǀŝĞǁŽĨĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ
ĂŶĚ^ƚĂƚŝƐƚŝĐƐ͕ϰϭ;ϮͿ͕ϵϵͲϭϬϱ͘
'ŽƌĚŽŶ͕D͘;ϭϵϲϯͿ͘KƉƚŝŵĂů/ŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚĂŶĚ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝŶŐWŽůŝĐLJ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϭϴ
;ϮͿ͕ϮϲϰͲϮϳϮ͘
'ƌĂŚĂŵ͕͕͘ΘŽĚĚ͕͘>͘;ϭϵϱϭͿ͘^ĞĐƵƌŝƚLJŶĂůLJƐŝƐ͗WƌŝŶĐŝƉůĞƐĂŶĚdĞĐŚŶŝƋƵĞƐ;ϯĞĚ͘Ϳ͘
EĞǁzŽƌŬ͗DĐ'ƌĂǁ,ŝůů͘
'ƌƵůůŽŶ͕'͕͘DŝĐŚĂĞůLJ͕Z͕͘Θ^ǁĂŵŝŶĂƚŚĂŶ͕͘;ϮϬϬϮͿ͘ƌĞĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĐŚĂŶŐĞƐĂƐŝŐŶŽĨ
DĂƚƵƌŝƚLJ͍:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͕ϳϱ;ϯͿ͕ϯϴϳͲϰϮϰ͘
,ĂƌŬĂǀLJ͕K͘;ϭϵϱϯͿ͘dŚĞZĞůĂƚŝŽŶĞƚǁĞĞŶZĞƚĂŝŶĞĚĂƌŶŝŶŐƐĂŶĚŽŵŵŽŶ^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞƐ
ĨŽƌ>ĂƌŐĞ͕>ŝƐƚĞĚŽƌƉŽƌĂƚŝŽŶƐ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϴ;ϯͿ͕ϮϴϯͲϮϵϳ͘
,ƵƐƐĂŝŶĞLJ͕<͕͘DŐďĂŵĞ͕͘K͕͘ΘDŐďĂŵĞ͕͘D͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉŽůŝĐLJĂŶĚƐŚĂƌĞƉƌŝĐĞ
ǀŽůĂƚŝůŝƚLJ͗h<ĞǀŝĚĞŶĐĞ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨZŝƐŬ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϭϮ;ϭͿ͕ϱϳͲϲϴ͘
/ŵƌĂŶ͕<͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWĂLJŽƵƚWŽůŝĐLJ͗ĂƐĞŽĨWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶŶŐŝŶĞĞƌŝŶŐ
^ĞĐƚŽƌ͘dŚĞZŽŵĂŶŝĂŶĐŽŶŽŵŝĐ:ŽƵƌŶĂů͕y/s;ϰϭͿ͕ϰϳͲϲϬ͘
:ĞŶƐŽŶ͕'ĞƌĂůĚ͕Z͕͘ŽŶĂůĚ͕W͘^͕͘ΘdŚŽŵĂƐ͕^͘͘;ϭϵϵϮͿ͘^ŝŵƵůƚĂŶĞŽƵƐĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂƚŝŽŶŽĨ
/ŶƐŝĚĞƌKǁŶĞƌƐŚŝƉ͕Ğďƚ͕ĂŶĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐŝĞƐ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĂŶĚYƵĂŶƚŝƚĂƚŝǀĞ
ŶĂůLJƐŝƐ͕Ϯϳ͕ϮϲϯͲϮϳϰ͘
:ĞŶƐŽŶ͕D͘͘;ϭϵϴϲͿ͘ŐĞŶĐLJŽƐƚƐŽĨ&ƌĞĞĂƐŚ&ůŽǁ͕ŽƌƉŽƌĂƚĞ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ĂŶĚdĂŬĞŽǀĞƌƐ͘
dŚĞŵĞƌŝĐĂŶĐŽŶŽŵŝĐZĞǀŝĞǁ͕ϳϲ;ϮͿ͕ϯϮϯͲϯϮϵ͘
:ĞŶƐŽŶ͕D͕͘͘ΘDĞĐŬůŝŶŐ͕t͘,͘;ϭϵϳϲͿ͘dŚĞŽƌLJŽĨƚŚĞ&ŝƌŵ͗DĂŶĂŐĞƌŝĂůĞŚĂǀŝŽƌ͕
ŐĞŶĐLJŽƐƚƐĂŶĚKǁŶĞƌƐŚŝƉ^ƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϯ;ϰͿ͕ϯϬϱͲϯϲϬ͘
:ŽŚŶ͕<͕͘ΘtŝůůŝĂŵƐ͕:͘;ϭϵϴϱͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͕ŝůƵƚŝŽŶ͕ĂŶĚdĂdžĞƐ͗^ŝŐŶĂůůŝŶŐƋƵŝůŝďƌŝƵŵ͘
dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϰϬ;ϰͿ͕ϭϬϱϯͲϭϬϳϬ͘
<ŚĂŶ͕<͘/͕͘Ăŵŝƌ͕D͕͘YĂLJLJƵŵ͕͕͘EĂƐŝƌ͕͕͘Θ<ŚĂŶ͕D͘/͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘ĂŶŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĞĐŝƐŝŽŶƐ
ĨĨĞĐƚƚŚĞ^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞƐ͗ĂƐĞŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWĂLJŝŶŐŽŵƉĂŶŝĞƐŽĨ<^͘/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂů
ZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ;ϳϲͿ͕ϲϳͲϳϰ͘
<ŚĂŶ͕E͘h͕͘ƵƌƚŽŶ͕͘D͕͘ΘWŽǁĞƌ͕͘D͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘DĂŶĂŐĞƌŝĂůǀŝĞǁƐĂďŽƵƚĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚ
ƉŽůŝĐLJŝŶWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ͘DĂŶĂŐĞƌŝĂů&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϯϳ;ϭϬͿ͕ϵϱϯͲϵϳϬ͘
>ĞĂƐĞ͕Z͕͘:ŽŚŶ͕<͕͘<ĂůĂLJ͕͕͘>ŽĞǁĞŶƐƚĞŝŶ͕h͕͘Θ^ĂƌŝŐ͕K͘;ϮϬϬϬͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJ͗/ƚƐ
/ŵƉĂĐƚŽŶ&ŝƌŵsĂůƵĞ͘,ĂƌǀĂƌĚƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ^ĐŚŽŽůWƌĞƐƐŽƐƚŽŶ͕D͘
>ŝŶƚŶĞƌ͕:͘;ϭϵϱϲͿ͘ŝƐƚƌŝďƵƚŝŽŶŽĨ/ŶĐŽŵĞƐŽĨŽƌƉŽƌĂƚŝŽŶƐŵŽŶŐŝǀŝĚĞŶƐ͕ZĞƚĂŝŶĞĚ
ĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ͕ĂŶĚdĂdžĞƐ͘dŚĞŵĞƌŝĐĂŶĐŽŶŽŵŝĐZĞǀŝĞǁ͕ϰϲ;ϮͿ͕ϵϳͲϭϭϯ͘
>ŝŶƚŶĞƌ͕:͘;ϭϵϲϮͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐ͕ĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ͕>ĞǀĞƌĂŐĞ͕^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞƐĂŶĚƚŚĞ^ƵƉƉůLJŽĨĂƉŝƚĂůƚŽ
ŽƌƉŽƌĂƚŝŽŶƐ͘ZĞǀŝĞǁŽĨĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐĂŶĚ^ƚĂƚŝƐƚŝĐƐ͕ϲϰ;ϯͿ͕ϮϰϯͲϮϲϵ͘
>ŝƚnjĞŶďĞƌŐĞƌ͕Z͘,͕͘ΘZĂŵĂƐǁĂŵLJ͘;ϭϵϴϮͿ͘dŚĞĨĨĞĐƚƐŽĨŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƐŽŶŽŵŵŽŶ^ƚŽĐŬ
WƌŝĐĞƐdĂdžĨĨĞĐƚƐŽƌ/ŶĨŽƌŵĂƚŝŽŶĨĨĞĐƚƐ͍dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϯϳ;ϮͿ͕ϰϮϵͲϰϰϯ͘
DŝůůĞƌ͕D͘,͕͘ΘDŽĚŝŐůŝĂŶŝ͕&͘;ϭϵϲϭͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJ͕'ƌŽǁƚŚ͕ĂŶĚƚŚĞsĂůƵĂƚŝŽŶŽĨ
^ŚĂƌĞƐ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͕ϯϰ;ϰͿ͕ϰϭϭͲϰϯϯ͘
DŝůůĞƌ͕D͘,͕͘ΘZŽĐŬ͕<͘;ϭϵϴϱͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJhŶĚĞƌƐLJŵŵĞƚƌŝĐ/ŶĨŽƌŵĂƚŝŽŶ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂů
ŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϰϬ͕ϭϬϯϭͲϭϬϱϭ͘
DŝůůĞƌ͕D͘,͕͘Θ^ĐŚŽůĞƐ͕D͘^͘;ϭϵϳϴͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĂŶĚdĂdžĞƐ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ
͕ϲ͕ϯϯϯͲϯϲϰ͘
DŝƚƚŽŶ͕d͘;ϮϬϬϮͿ͘ƌŽƐƐͲ&ŝƌŵŶĂůLJƐŝƐŽĨƚŚĞ/ŵƉĂĐƚŽĨŽƌƉŽƌĂƚĞ'ŽǀĞƌŶĂŶĐĞŽŶƚŚĞ
ĂƐƚƐŝĂŶ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůƌŝƐŝƐ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϲϰ;ϮͿ͕ϮϭϱͲϮϰϭ͘
DŽƌŐĂŶ͕'͕͘ΘdŚŽŵĂƐ͕^͘;ϭϵϵϴͿ͘dĂdžĞƐ͕ĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚLJŝĞůĚƐĂŶĚƌĞƚƵƌŶƐŝŶƚŚĞh<ĞƋƵŝƚLJ
ŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨĂŶŬŝŶŐΘ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϮϮ͕ϰϬϱͲϰϮϯ͘
EĂĐĞƵƌ͕^͕͘͘'ŽĂŝĞĚ͕D͕͘ΘĞůĂŶĞƐ͕͘;ϮϬϬϲͿ͘KŶƚŚĞĚĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐĂŶĚĚLJŶĂŵŝĐƐŽĨ
ĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉŽůŝĐLJ͘/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůZĞǀŝĞǁŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϲ;ϭͿ͕ϭͲϮϯ͘
EĂĞĞŵ͕^͕͘ΘEĂƐƌ͕D͘;ϮϬϬϳͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJŽĨWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶŝ&ŝƌŵƐ͗dƌĞŶĚƐĂŶĚ
ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐ͘/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůZĞǀŝĞǁŽĨƵƐŝŶĞƐƐZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚWĂƉĞƌƐ͕ϯ;ϯͿ͕ϮϰϮͲϮϱϰ͘
EĂnjŝƌ͕D͘^͕͘EĂǁĂnj͕D͘D͕͘ŶǁĂƌ͕t͕͘ΘŚŵĞĚ͕&͘;ϮϬϭϬͿ͘ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐŽĨ^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞ
sŽůĂƚŝůŝƚLJŝŶ<ĂƌĂĐŚŝ^ƚŽĐŬdžĐŚĂŶŐĞ͗dŚĞDĞĚŝĂƚŝŶŐZŽůĞŽĨŽƌƉŽƌĂƚĞŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJ͘
/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ;ϱϱͿ͕ϭϬϬͲϭϬϳ͘
EŝƐŚĂƚ͕D͘;ϭϵϵϱͿ͘ĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĞŶƚƐŽĨƐƚŽĐŬƉƌŝĐĞƐŝŶWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ͘/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚĂƚŝŽŶĂů:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ
ĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚĂŶŬŝŶŐ͕ϭϯ;ϮͿ͕ϯϳͲϰϮ͘
EŝƐŚĂƚ͕D͘;ϭϵϵϮͿ͘^ŚĂƌĞWƌŝĐĞƐ͕ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĂŶĚZĞƚĂŝŶĞĚĂƌŶŝŶŐƐĞŚĂǀŝŽƵƌŝŶWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ
^ƚŽĐŬDĂƌŬĞƚ͘dŚĞ/ŶĚŝĂŶĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ:ŽƵƌŶĂů͕ϰϬ;ϮͿ͕ϱϳͲϲϱ͘
EŝƐŚĂƚ͕D͘;ϭϵϵϵͿ͘dŚĞ/ŵƉĂĐƚŽĨ/ŶƐƚŝƚƵƚŝŽŶĂůĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚŽŶ^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞƐŝŶWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ͘
ŽĐƚŽƌĂůŝƐƐĞƌƚĂƚŝŽŶ͕ƵĐŬůĂŶĚƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ^ĐŚŽŽů͕hŶŝǀĞƌƐŝƚLJŽĨƵĐŬůĂŶĚ͘
EŝƐŚĂƚ͕D͕͘ΘŝůŐƌĂŵŝ͕E͘;ϭϵϵϰͿ͘tŚŽƉĂLJƐĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚͲŶĞdžƉůŽƌĂƚŽƌLJĂŶĂůLJƐŝƐŽĨĨŝƌŵƐ
ůŝƐƚĞĚǁŝƚŚ<ĂƌĂĐŚŝƐƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚ͘^ĂǀŝŶŐĂŶĚĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚ͕ϯ;ys///Ϳ͕ϯϯϱͲϯϰϯ͘
EŝƐŚĂƚ͕D͕͘Θ/ƌĨĂŶ͕͘D͘;ϮϬϬϯͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJĂŶĚ^ƚŽĐŬƉƌŝĐĞsŽůĂƚŝůŝƚLJŝŶWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ͘
WĂƉĞƌƉƌĞƐĞŶƚĞĚĂƚϭϭƚŚWĂĐŝĨŝĐĂƐŝŶ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐĂŶĚĐĐŽƵŶƚŝŶŐŽŶĨĞƌĞŶĐĞ͘
EŝƐŚĂƚ͕D͕͘Θ^ĂŐŚŝƌ͕͘;ϭϵϵϭͿ͘dŚĞ^ƚŽĐŬŵĂƌŬĞƚĂŶĚWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶĞĐŽŶŽŵLJ͘^ĂǀŝŶŐĂŶĚ
ĞǀĞůŽƉŵĞŶƚ͕Ϯ;ϭϱͿ͕ϭϯͲϭϲ͘
WƌƵŝƚƚ͕^͘t͕͘Θ'ŝƚŵĂŶ͕>͘:͘;ϭϵϵϭͿ͘dŚĞŝŶƚĞƌĂĐƚŝŽŶƐďĞƚǁĞĞŶƚŚĞŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚ͕ĨŝŶĂŶĐŝŶŐ͕
ĂŶĚĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĚĞĐŝƐŝŽŶƐŽĨŵĂũŽƌh^ĨŝƌŵƐ͘dŚĞ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůZĞǀŝĞǁ͕Ϯϲ;ϯͿ͕ϰϬϵͲϰϯϬ͘
ZĂƐŚŝĚ͕͕͘ΘZĞŚŵĂŶ͕͘͘;ϮϬϬϴͿ͘ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚWŽůŝĐLJĂŶĚ^ƚŽĐŬWƌŝĐĞsŽůĂƚŝůŝƚLJ͗ǀŝĚĞŶĐĞ
ĨƌŽŵĂŶŐůĂĚĞƐŚ͘:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨƉƉůŝĞĚƵƐŝŶĞƐƐĂŶĚĐŽŶŽŵŝĐƐ͕ϴ;ϰͿ͕ϳϭͲϴϬ͘
ZŽnjĞĨĨ͕D͘^͘;ϭϵϴϮͿ͘'ƌŽǁƚŚ͕ĞƚĂĂŶĚŐĞŶĐLJĐŽƐƚƐĂƐĚĞƚĞƌŵŝŶĂŶƚƐŽĨĚŝǀŝĚĞŶĚƉĂLJŽƵƚ
ƌĂƚŝŽƐ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂůZĞƐĞĂƌĐŚ͕ϯ͕ϮϰϵͲϮϱϵ͘
^ĐŽƚƚ͕͘&͕͘ΘDĂƌƚŝŶ͕:͘͘;ϭϵϳϱͿ͘/ŶĚƵƐƚĞƌLJ/ŶĨůƵĞŶĐĞƐŽŶ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů^ƚƌƵĐƚƵƌĞ͘&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů
DĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͕ϲϳͲϳϯ͘
^ŚůĞŝĨĞƌ͕͕͘ΘsŝƐŚŶLJ͕Z͘t͘;ϭϵϵϳͿ͘dŚĞ>ŝŵŝƚƐŽĨƌďŝƚƌĂŐĞ͘dŚĞ:ŽƵƌŶĂůŽĨ&ŝŶĂŶĐĞ͕ϱϮ
;ϭͿ͕ϯϱͲϱϱ͘
tĂƌŶĞ͕͕͘Θ/ŶƐĂŶ͕W͘;ϮϬϭϭͿ͘ĂƌŶŝŶŐƐ͕ŝǀŝĚĞŶĚĂŶĚ&ŝŶĂŶĐŝĂů>ĞǀĞƌĂŐĞ͗^ƚƵĚLJŽĨ
ddƐƚĞĞů>ƚĚ͘/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂů:ŽƵƌŶĂůĨŽƌƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ͕^ƚƌĂƚĞŐLJΘDĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͕ϭ;ϭͿ͕ϭͲϴ͘
7. APPENDICES I
Standard
Mean Median Deviation Skewness Kurtosis Minimum Maximum
MC
DY
PR
Size
EPS
Growth
LVRG
GDP
DY -.315**
PR -.254* .741**
DY -9.431*
(5.38)
PR -1.093*
(0.63)
Size 0.193***
(0.05)
EPS -0.016
(0.01)
Growth -0.308
(1.08)
LVRG 2.104**
(1.05)
(0.96) (0.55)
LVRG 2.331***
(0.76)
Model Summary
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients Collinearity Statistics
a. Dependent Variable: MC
DY -.050
PR -.141** .669**
MODEL-FE MODEL-RE
(0.83) (0.83)
(0.06) (0.07)
(0.03) (0.04)
(0.00) (0.00)
(0.05) (0.04)
(0.18) (0.21)
(1.91) (2.05)
(0.28) (0.51)
F-Value 11.552***
N 340.000 340.000
MODEL FE MODEL RE
(0.98) (1.03)
(0.09) (0.10)
(0.04) (0.04)
(0.00) (0.00)
(0.06) (0.05)
(0.21) (0.24)
(6.37) (7.30)
(0.70) (0.82)
F-Value 4.375***
N 340.000 340.000
DY -1.370
(2.52)
PR -0.371**
(0.15)
Size 0.184***
(0.03)
EPS -
0.013***
(0.00)
Growth -0.049
(0.12)
LVRG 1.199**
*
(0.42)
GDP -
13.941**
(5.59)
I 22.714
(15.21)
a. Dependent Variable: MC
8. APPENDICES II
KSE-100 Index include total 75 companies of Non-Financial sector, Out of which we
selected 68 companies, Complete Data for remaining 7 companies are not found.
Following is the list of our sample companies.
Table 25 List of sample firms listed at KSE-100 Index from non financial sector
^ƌ͘η ŽŵƉĂŶLJEĂŵĞ
ϭ K'
Ϯ WĂŬWĞƚƌŽůĞƵŵ>ƚĚ
ϯ &ĂƵũŝ&ĞƌƚŝůŝnjĞƌĐŽ
ϰ EĞƐƚůĞWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ
ϱ WĂŬKŝůĨŝĞůĚƐ>ƚĚ
ϲ hŶŝůĞǀĞƌWĂŬ>ƚĚ
ϳ &ĂƵũŝ&ĞƌƚŝůŝnjĞƌŝŶYĂƐŝŵ
ϴ WĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ^ƚĂƚĞKŝů
ϵ ,ƵďWŽǁĞƌŽ͘
ϭϬ Wd>
ϭϭ ŶŐƌŽŽƌƉŽƌĂƚŝŽŶ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϮ <ŽƚĚĚƵWŽǁĞƌĐŽ͘
ϭϯ ƚƚŽĐŬWĞƚƌŽůĞƵŵ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϰ >ƵĐŬLJĞŵĞŶƚ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϱ ŽůŐĂƚĞWĂůŵŽůŝǀĞ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϲ ZĂĨŚĂŶDĂŝnjĞWƌŽĚƵĐƚ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϳ //WĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϴ EĂƚŝŽŶĂůZĞĨŝŶĞƌLJ>ƚĚ͘
ϭϵ ĂǁŽŽĚ,ĞƌĐƵůĞƐ>ƚĚ
ϮϬ ƌĞĂŵǁŽƌůĚ>ƚĚ
Ϯϭ /ŶĚƵƐDŽƚŽƌĐŽ͘
ϮϮ ^ƵŝƐŽƵƚŚĞƌŶ'ĂƐĐŽ͘
Ϯϯ 'ůĂdžŽ^ŵŝƚŚŬůŝŶĞWĂŬ>ƚĚ͘
Ϯϰ >ŽƚƚĞWĂŬWdůƚĚ͘
Ϯϱ EŝƐŚĂƚDŝůůƐ>ƚĚ
Ϯϲ WĂŬdŽďĂĐĐŽĐŽ͘
Ϯϳ DŝůůĂƚdƌĂĐƚŽƌ>ƚĚ
Ϯϴ ^ŚĞůůWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ>ƚĚ͘
Ϯϵ hŶŝůŝǀĞƌWĂŬĨŽŽĚƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϯϬ ďďŽƚƚ>ĂďŽƌĂƚŽƌŝĞƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϯϭ ƚƚŽĐŬZĞĨŝŶĞƌLJ>ƚĚ͘
ϯϮ ^ƵŝEŽƌƚŚĞƌŶ'ĂƐĐŽ͘
ϯϯ ƚůĂƐ,ŽŶĚĂ>ƚĚ
ϯϰ WŚŝůŝƉDŽƌƌŝƐWĂŬ
ϯϱ /ďƌĂŚŝŵ&ŝďĞƌƐ>ƚĚ͘
^ƌ͘η ŽŵƉĂŶLJEĂŵĞ
ϯϲ '<ĞŵĞŶƚĐŽ͘
ϯϳ DĂƌŝ'ĂƐĐŽ
ϯϴ WĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůĐŽŶƚĂŝŶĞƌƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϯϵ ^ŝĞŵĞŶƐ;WĂŬŝͿŶŐ͘Ž͘
ϰϬ ů'ŚĂnjŝdƌĂĐƚŽƌƐy
ϰϭ /ŶĚƵƐLJŝŶŐĐŽ͘
ϰϮ WĂĐŬĂŐĞƐůƚĚ
ϰϯ LJĐŽWĞƚƌŽůĞƵŵ>ƚĚ͘
ϰϰ dĂŶĚůŝĂŶǁĂůĂƐƵŐĂƌDŝůůƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϰϱ dŚĂůůƚĚ
ϰϲ ĂƚĂWĂŬůƚĚ
ϰϳ ůĂƌŝĂŶƚWĂŬŝƐƚĂŶůƚĚ
ϰϴ WĂŬ^ƵnjƵŬŝDŽƚŽƌƐĐŽ͘
ϰϵ dƌŝWĂĐŬ&ŝůŵƐůƚĚ͘
ϱϬ :͘͘t͘ƐƵŐĂƌDŝůůƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϱϭ ƚƚŽĐŬĐĞŵĞŶƚ>ƚĚ͘
ϱϮ 'ŚĂŶŝ'ůĂƐƐůƚĚ
ϱϯ /ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂů/ŶĚƵƐƚƌŝĞƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϱϰ ^ŚŝĨĂ/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂů,ŽƐƉŝƚĂů
ϱϱ DƵƌĞĞƌĞǁĞƌLJ
ϱϲ WĂŬŝƐƚĂŶĂďůĞƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϱϳ EĞƚƐŽůĞdĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐŝĞƐ>ƚĚ͘
ϱϴ ^ĞĐƵƌŝƚLJWĂƉĞƌ>ƚĚ͘
ϱϵ WĂŬŝƐƚĂŶ/ŶƚĞƌŶĂƚŝŽŶĂůŝƌůŝŶĞƐŽŵƉĂŶLJ
ϲϬ EŝƐŚĂƚŚƵŶŝĂůƚĚ͘
ϲϭ ĞƐƚǁĂLJĞŵĞŶƚůƚĚ͘
ϲϮ WĂŬ^ĞƌǀŝĐĞƐůƚĚ͘
ϲϯ 'ƌĂLJƐŽĨĂŵďƌŝĚŐĞ
ϲϰ <͘͘^͘͘
ϲϱ :ĂǀĞĚĂŶĞŵĞŶƚůƚĚ͘
ϲϲ &ĞƌŽnjĞϭϴϴϴDŝůůƐ
ϲϳ WĂŬdĞůĞƉŚŽŶĞĐĂďůĞƐůƚĚ͘
ϲϴ dZ'WĂŬŝƐƚĂŶůƚĚ
Table 26 List of Non-financial firms listed at KSE-100 Index Excluded from the Sample