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Abstract
This paper evaluates the effect of infrastructure and logistics performance on
economic performance. In addition, the mediating role of international trade on
the relationship between infrastructure and economic performance, and logistics
performance and economic performance, respectively. Generalized Structured
Component Analysis (GSCA) was proposed as a Component-Based Approach to
Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to test several hypotheses regarding the inter-
action of the latent variable. Furthermore, the mediation analysis using regression
was performed. Based on data from middle income selected countries, the hypoth-
esis about the mediation role of international trade was partially supported. Our
results also suggest that infrastructure and logistics performance improvements
may enhance middle-income countries sustainable growth with increasing interna-
tional trade volume.
1
Institute of Transportation and Logistics, School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University, Changsha,
China.
2
School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University, Changsha, China.
Corresponding author:
Alassane Dounignatieme Yeo, Institute of Transportation and Logistics, School of Economics and Trade,
Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China.
E-mail: yad.elisec@gmail.com
2 Foreign Trade Review
Keywords
Infrastructure, logistics performance, international trade, economic growth, inter-
national trade, GSCA, SEM, mediation analysis
Introduction
The assessment of the impact of infrastructure on economic growth in developing
countries has been the focus of academic discussion over many years. Accord-
ing to Srinivasu and Rao (2013) infrastructure, is essentially the foundation on
which economic growth is based. Infrastructure is the hub of the global economy
and a necessary component of all economic production. The role of infrastructure
in economic growth is critical to the prosperity of the nation and the health and
well-being of its people (Szreter, 1997). The quality of infrastructure has an im-
pact on a country’s economy, affecting business productivity, GDP, employment,
national and international trade and international competitiveness. Roads, water
systems, mass transportation, airports and utilities are all examples of infrastruc-
ture. Also, it covers those supporting services that help the growth of directly
productive activities like agriculture and industry (Sakai, 2006; Xueliang, 2008).
Recently, logistics performance and its impact on international trade and
economic performance has entered the discussion and has offered a large scope of
study in this area. According to Gani (2017), international trade is based on logi-
stics services. Good logistics reduce the cost of trade, knowing that supply chains
are as good as their weakest link. The logistics industry has begun to focus on
eliminating some of the inefficiencies associated with traditional shipping and
delivery business models. Today, all industries depend on the logistics sector, and
the logistics dimensions of transport and communication have a considerable impact
on economic growth in OECD countries (Sezer & Abasiz, 2017). Therefore, new
technologies are targeting a variety of logistics services, including automated
scheduling, consolidation of deliveries from multiple shippers, on-demand trucking
and data analysis by carriers. These new techniques have brought innovation in
trade facilitation, helping lower costs related to the movement of goods and services,
and increase the volume of trade between nations (Miroudot et al., 2009).
Most countries are implementing reforms or investing in infrastructure as well
as in the logistics sector to facilitate transport and trade and to promote modern
and efficient services. However, despite these efforts, relevant studies reveal a
large difference in the development of logistics between countries. High-income
countries have a logistics performance score that is 48 per cent higher, on average
than in low-income countries (Martí et al., 2014). For developing countries,
improving logistics depends on their infrastructure, customs procedures, level of
logistical skills and regulations. The logistics sector is constantly improving all
over the world, and the level of competition in this area is also increasing. As a
result, companies are continually developing in terms of costs, human resources,
the quality of activities and management processes, efficiency and technology
(Batarlienė et al., 2017). Recently, logistics has emerged as a dynamic sector that
is developing rapidly on a global scale and therefore has a very prominent role in
international trade and economic success.
Yeo A. et al. 3
supply chains and distribution networks for producers (Hassanain & Loov, 2003;
Limao & Venables, 2001).
Method
Sample
This study considered data from 62 selected lower-middle and upper-middle-
income countries every two years, considering the availability of data. The data
cover the period of 2010 to 2018 and are obtained from the following sources:
World Development Indicator, World Bank Logistics Performance Index, WEF’s
Global Competitiveness Report and the Doing Business report. The data for GDP
are taken per capita in US dollars. Thus, all the indicators are rescaled on a range of
0 (lowest performer) to 1 (top performer) using the min-max normalisation method.
Results
Measurement Model
The measurement model specifies the rules of correspondence between measu-
red and latent variables. The constructs were tested validity and reliability. The
8 Foreign Trade Review
INF ICT BTE INS CUS QTI EOS LSE EOT TIM EXP IMP PGDP
INF 1
ICT .476** 1
BTE .350** .314** 1
INS .647** .424** .283** 1
CUS .465** .413** .326** .420** 1
QTI .505** .465** .304** .387** .823** 1
EOS .407** .405** .319** .267** .664** .709** 1
LSE .459** .403** .388** .307** .735** .825** .731** 1
EOT .381** .362** .343** .229** .612** .733** .690** .834** 1
TIM .292** .301** .336** .259** .508** .631** .651** .734** .787** 1
EXP .274** .115* .034 .177** .345** .488** .378** .448** .405** .340** 1
IMP .283** .112* .053 .183** .359** .503** .394** .469** .425** .355** .996** 1
PGDP .222** .090 .009 .137* .298** .449** .333** .413** .372** .306** .977** .978** 1
Source:
Note: *Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). **Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
10 Foreign Trade Review
Structural Model
With appropriate reliability, convergent and discriminant validity, researchers can
proceed to verify the accuracy and prove the hypotheses of the structural model
(Hulland, 1999). The structural model and its latent variables represent the theo-
retical and conceptual link between the observed input and output data. Based on
the structural model, the goal of the analysis is to predict the output layer data by
means of the input layer data. In other words, the structural model is used to illus-
trate one or more dependence relationships according to the construction of the
hypothesized model.
The structural model was developed to analyse the path relationships of differ-
ent constructs in the hypothetical model. The hypotheses are tested in two steps.
First, we tested the significance of direct path analysis of the variables; in which
we analysed the significance of the path coefficient through bootstrapping of
5,000 subsamples. Bootstrapping is a non-parametric re-sampling procedure that
involves repeated random sampling with replacement from the original sample
(Hair et al., 2006). Second, we analysed the mediation effect of international trade
between infrastructure and economic performance, and logistics performance and
economic performance, respectively. We used the R-squared (R2) value in the
dependent variable to measure the explanatory power of the structural model. The
study tests the association between the independent and dependent variables by
path coefficient (β) and t-statistics. According to Table 3 and Figure 2, there is
direct and positive significant relationship of LP on IT (β = 0.016, p < .001) and
EP (β = 0.427, p < .001), and IN on IT (β = 0.021, p < .001). Therefore, H1, H5
and H6 are supported. Similarly, LP has positive and indirect relationship on EP
through IT (β = 0.444, p < .001). Thus, hypothesis H7 is accepted. There is a posi-
tive and significant correlation between LP and IN. Thus, hypothesis H8 is
accepted. EP have not significant relationship on IN (β = 0.131, p = .163), and IT
(β = –0.110, p = .175). Thus, hypothesis H2 and H4 are not supported. Further, IN
has found no relationship with EP through IT (β = –0.043, p = .383). Therefore,
H3 is not supported.
Discussion
This paper has developed a conceptual framework for assessing the effects of infra-
structure and logistics performance on the economic performance of middle-income
countries through international trade. Economic growth is the most powerful instru-
ment for reducing poverty and improving the quality of life in developing countries.
The recent development of logistics has certainly facilitated international trade to
such an extent that logistics has become increasingly important. This study develops
a hypothetical model to assess the relationships between each latent variable. Finally,
this study evaluated the mediating effect of international trade in the relationship
between infrastructure and economic performance, and logistics performance and
economic performance, respectively.
The findings of this research indicate that international trade can mediate the
relationship between infrastructure and economic performance, and logistics per-
formance and economic performance in the middle-income countries. This implies
that lower-middle-income countries need to improve their infrastructure and
logistics performance in order to improve economic performance. The empirical
evidence shows the higher correlation between infrastructure and logistics perfor-
mance. It means that the development of infrastructure as well as logistic perfor-
mance is essential for the growth of a country and especially for less developed
countries.
This study contributes theoretically to the literature on logistics performance,
infrastructure and growth in several ways. The mediating effect of international
trade completes the link between infrastructure, logistics and economic perfor-
mance. Countries can achieve superior performance by promoting trade through
the creation of adequate roads and other infrastructure to facilitate trade (Abe &
Wilson, 2009; Bougheas et al., 1999). Trade facilitation needs to consider the
whole range of hard and soft infrastructure, including better logistics services.
Inter-organisational integration of supply, operations and logistics activities and
their concern for the welfare of the people can be considered as effective tools for
improving sustainable economic performance (Liu et al., 2012; Sarkis et al., 2010).
Yeo A. et al. 13
Conclusion
The research attempted to find the relationship between infrastructure and logistics
performance and how they could improve economic performance through inter-
national trade. This study adopts Generalized Structured Component Analysis
(GSCA) to examine the performance outcomes of infrastructure, logistics per-
formance, international trade and economic performance. Mediation analysis using
regression provides empirical evidence of the mediating effect of international trade
between infrastructure and economic performance, and logistics performance and
economic performance. Improving infrastructure and logistics performance are the
best way for the les pays à revenu intermédiaire pour renforcer le commerce
international, thus enhance economic performance. The study result found a positive
correlation of independent variables. International trade has also been found to act
as a mediator between infrastructure and economic performance, and between
logistics performance and economic performance. Furthermore, this analysis
provides insights through multilaterally agreed measures to strengthen the provision
of logistics services and the efficiency of international supply chains. It also
encourages organizations to increase funding towards trade facilitation, to help
middle-income countries enhance international trade. We provide insight into the
need for lower-middle and upper-middle-income countries to increase investment in
logistics services and infrastructure to achieve sustainable competitive advantages.
Limitation
Despite the theoretical and practical contributions mentioned above, it is
essential to recognize the limitations of our study that may provide opportunities for
future research. First, data were collected only from lower middle-income-and
14 Foreign Trade Review
upper-middle-income countries. Future studies may include low income and high-
income countries. Secondly, the data has been collected on different websites. The
future target studies should include the opinions of managers from companies in a
variety of fields, such as industry, commerce, transport, health. Thirdly, this study
examines the mediation effect. Future research may include moderator in strategic
and use other technics to examine the relationship between infrastructure, logistics
performance, international trade and economic performance.
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship and/or publication
of this article.
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