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H. KEEN
S. N G T A N G F U I
may also be associated, for varying periods of time, with less urgent
manifestations, with asymptomatic impairment of glucose tolerance or even
with normal metabolism (Irvine, Gray and Steel, 1980; Gorsuch et al, 1981).
It also appears probable that similar clinical types of diabetes will, on some
occasions or in some populations, be generated by quite different
mechanisms. Unless this is understood, the effort to incorporate both
clinical manifestations and causal mechanisms in the same classification
scheme is likely to be misleading and to lead to fruitless argument.
the top one, two or five (or whatever) per cent of the population of
glycaemic responses. However, there must be reservations in the use of a
method which enables one to make diabetes as rare, or as common, as one
decides; variability in blood glucose ranges between populations would lead
to great variation in 'cut-off' values. Diagnostic values may be based on the
opinion of clinical experts, but West's (1975) findings show the lack of
unanimity which excludes such a strategy. A rational, though by no means
convenient, approach to validation is the empirical one, namely to ask the
question 'what degree of glucose intolerance is associated with increased
risk of adverse outcome?' rather than 'what glucose values define DM?'.
The answer to this question requires adequate observation of the evolution
and natural history in people with those degrees of hyperglycaemia or
glucose intolerance which span the region of diagnostic contention. Even
this empirical approach has the drawback that given degrees of glucose
intolerance may have variable effects in different people, determined by a
variety of secondary genetic and environmental factors. These and other
epidemiological aspects of diagnosis were considered at length at a Kroc
Foundation International Conference (1979).
Age and diabetes diagnosis
The diagnosis of diabetes by glucose tolerance test is most often made in
older adults, but early criteria were based on small samples o f selected
healthy young subjects. Variation with age occurs in the case of many
biological variables such as body weight, blood pressure, plasma lipids and
thyroid function, and this extends to oral glucose tolerance responses
(Andres, 1971; Davidson, 1979). Cross-sectional population studies all
agree that glucose tolerance 'deteriorates' with increasing age, particularly
after 50 years. The average 2 H P G rises approximately 10 mg/dl (0.5
mmol/1) each decade after the fifth and some recommend a correction to
'allow' for this. However, it is not clear whether the loss o f glucose
tolerance in the elderly should be regarded as benign or pathological, a
physiological consequence of ageing or the emergence of diabetes with time.
A recent review (Keen and Fuller, 1980) concluded that, particularly in
respect of risk of arterial disease, glucose intolerance was a hazard at all
ages. However, Davidson (1979) recommended that diabetes should be
diagnosed in the elderly only if fasting hyperglycaemia were present.
but excluding known diabetics) were randomly sampled from the whole
cooperating population, stratifying for age and sex. A full, standard 50 g
glucose O G T T was performed on the 572 of those who agreed (random
sample).
The 2 HBG concentrations in both glycosuric and random samples were
unimodally and 'continuously' distributed, positively skewed towards the
higher values and lacking any natural division which would differentiate a
normal from a diabetic subpopulation. Mean values in the random sample
rose steadily with age, due to progressive spreading of values to the right.
There was no justification in these distributions for the then prevailing
diagnostic 2 HBG values, nor did they clearly suggest any other.
Application of the 1964 British Diabetic Association diagnostic criteria
(Fitzgerald and Keen, 1964) (a peak response >/180 mg/dl and a two-hour
value of >i 120 mg/dl) to the random sample responses gave an overall
prevalence of diabetes of 12 to 14 per cent (predominantly from those aged
50 years or more), a dramatically higher estimate than the widely quoted
figure of one to two per cent. As a basis for a prospective diagnostic and
therapeutic evaluation, a three-tier classification of the blood glucose
responses was, therefore, proposed.
1. Diabetes mellitus. A two-hour capillary blood glucose >/ 200 mg/dl
(11.1 mmol/1) was taken as diagnostic o f DM, being acceptable as such by
virtually all authorities.
2. Non-diabetic. A two-hour value < 120 mg/dl (6.7 mmol/1) was
designated as non-diabetic since this too was very widely acceptable as
normal, even by the most inclusive sets of criteria.
3. Borderline diabetes. The range of two-hour blood glucose values
between 120 and 200 mg/dl (6.7 and 11.1 mmol/1) was designated
'borderline diabetes'. This demarcated a zone of diagnostic uncertainty
where authoritative sources differed in their interpretation and which was,
therefore, ideally suited for planned, long-term evaluation of pathological
significance.
The prevalence of retinal and renal abnormalities and of clinical/electro-
cardiographic evidences of arterial disease was studied systematically using
standardized methods in the borderline diabetic and the newly diagnosed
diabetic groups, and also in a matched proved normoglycaemic group
selected without bias from the random sample.
At inception, the key 'borderline diabetic' group showed very little
evidence of retinal abnormality, the 1.3 per cent affected having at most
two microaneurysms in one eye, in contrast with the six to seven per cent
affected diabetics, in whom lesions were considerably more numerous
(Jarrett and Keen, 1976). Arterial disease was, by comparison, distinctly
more abundant in borderline diabetics than in normoglycaemic subjects,
and intermediate in frequency between normoglycaemic and diabetic
subjects (Keen et al, 1965).
The borderline diabetics were submitted (with their fully informed
consent) to a double-blind, randomly allocated clinical trial of tolbutamide
286 H. KEEN AND S. NG TANG FUI
C o m p a r a b l e results w e r e o b t a i n e d in t h e p r o s p e c t i v e W h i t e h a l l s t u d y o f
204 s u b j e c t s w i t h ' b o r d e r l i n e d i a b e t e s ' d e t e c t e d in a s y s t e m a t i c s c r e e n i n g
s t u d y o f 2 0 0 0 0 m a l e civil s e r v a n t s a g e d 40 y e a r s o r m o r e ( R e i d et al, 1974).
A f t e r f i v e y e a r s , 27 m e n h a d ' w o r s e n e d to d i a b e t e s ' , a r a t e o f less t h a n t w o
p e r c e n t p e r y e a r ( J a r r e t t et al, 1979) a n d o f t h e s a m e o r d e r as f o r t h e
B e d f o r d b o r d e r l i n e g r o u p . M o r t a l i t y a s c r i b e d to c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e w a s
d o u b l e d b y c o m p a r i s o n w i t h n o r m o g l y c a e m i c m e n ( F u l l e r et al, 1980) b u t
n o d i a b e t i c r e t i n o p a t h y was o b s e r v e d in t h e b o r d e r l i n e g r o u p ( J a r r e t t a n d
A1 S a y e g h , 1978; A1 S a y e g h a n d J a r r e t t , 1979).
D E F I N I T I O N AND CLASSIFICATION 287
Table 2. Mortality at lO-yearfollow-up in Bedford study in the three glycaemic groups defined
in 1962
Normoglycaemic Borderline Newly found
control diabetic diabetic
Men Women Men Women Men Women
Number 104 85 130 119 51 63
All causes of mortality °/0 15.4 9.4 18.7 20.9 25.9 25.5
Cardiovascular death % 10.0 4.0 13.5 14.8 19.9 20.0
Table 3. Glycaemica'b criteria for diagnosis of diabetes mellitus (DM) and impaired glucose
tolerance (IGT) from the 75G OGTT
Fasting Two-hour Inter
DM:
WHO c /> 8.0 (140) >/ 11.0 (200) n.r. d
NDDG e i> 140 (7.8) /> 200 (11.1) >~ 200 (11.1)
EASDf >--8.0 (140) >~ 11.0 (200) ~> 11.0 (200)
IGTg:
WHO < 8.0 (140) 8-11 (140-200)
NDDG < 140 (7.8) 140-200 (7.8-11.1) /> 2O0 (11.1)
EASD < 8.0 (140) 8-11 (140-200)
aValues for venous plasma; for venous whole blood subtract 1.0 or 20; for capillary whole
blood, fasting as for VWB, post-load add 1.0 or 20.
bSmaller values mmol/l; larger mg/dl. WHO and EASD 'rounded up' to nearest mmol/1;
NDDG gave precise equivalence.
CWHO permits diagnosis of DM on one of these if symptoms of diabetes are present. In their
absence, an additional abnormal confirmatory value is required in the same or a further test.
aRaised intervening value not required by WHO for diagnosis, though it can be used for
'confirmatory' purposes.
eNDDG accepts as diagnostic FBG elevated on more than one occasion without further GTT;
or an elevated 2 HBG plus an elevated intermediate value on more than one occasion. For
children, FBG, IBG and 2 HBG must all be abnormal. (Special requirements for pregnancy,
see below.)
ZEASD proposed that FBG and 2 HBG and intermediate BG exceed limits for diagnosis.
gWHO requires only a qualifying 2 HBG for IGT; NDDG requires elevated IBG also; EASD
also accepts abnormal values failing to meet DM.
NDDG criteria for gestational diabetes (O'Sullivan and M ahan, 1964): 100 g oral glucose load.
BG at 0, 60, 120 and 180 rains. Two or more values to exceed 105, 190, 165, 145 mg/dl
respectively. Gestational 'IGT' suggested when 2 HBG 120 to 164 mg/dl. WHO and EASD
suggest use of normal criteria.
WHO - - World Health Organisation Expert Committee on Diabetes Mellitus. 2rid Report,
1980; NDDG - - National Diabetes Data Group, 1979; EASD - - Keen, Jarrett and Alberti,
1979.
. T h e r e is a g r e e m e n t t h a t t h e O G T T is o f t e n u n n e c e s s a r y to e s t a b l i s h t h e
d i a g n o s i s o f d i a b e t e s . I n p a t i e n t s w i t h c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s y m p t o m s s u c h as
p o l y u r i a a n d p o l y d i p s i a , d i a g n o s i s is u s u a l l y e s t a b l i s h e d b y a single
u n e q u i v o c a l l y e l e v a t e d b l o o d g l u c o s e c o n c e n t r a t i o n , t h a t is, a r a n d o m
p l a s m a g l u c o s e / > 11.1 m m o l / 1 (200 m g / d l ) a n d / o r a f a s t i n g v a l u e >/7.8
m m o l / 1 (140 m g / d l ) . T w o studies ( W a t k i n s , 1979; B a r k e r , G a r d n e r a n d
P o w e r , 1982) s u g g e s t t h a t this is a d e q u a t e in 80 p e r c e n t o r m o r e o f
d i a b e t i c s p r e s e n t i n g c l i n i c a l l y f o r m e d i c a l care.
2. W h e n O G T T is p e r f o r m e d , t h e t h r e e g r o u p s r e c o m m e n d a n o r a l g l u c o s e
l o a d o f 75 g (in c h i l d r e n 1.75 g / k g i d e a l b o d y w e i g h t t o a m a x i m u m o f
75 g; in p r e g n a n c y N D D G c o n t i n u e s t o r e c o m m e n d t h e 100 g l o a d ,
a p p r o p r i a t e t o t h e O ' S u l l i v a n a n d M a h a n (1964) d i a g n o s t i c c r i t e r i a f o r
g e s t a t i o n a l d i a b e t e s (see b e l o w ) ) . T h i s n e w s t a n d a r d l o a d has b o t h
s c i e n t i f i c a n d p r a c t i c a l j u s t i f i c a t i o n . T h e 100 g test w i d e l y u s e d in N o r t h
A m e r i c a s o m e t i m e s c a u s e s n a u s e a a n d t h e 50 g l o a d u s e d in E u r o p e ,
p a r t i c u l a r l y in t h e U K , is a s u b m a x i m a l s t i m u l u s . T h e 75 g l o a d has b e e n
w i d e l y u s e d in e p i d e m i o l o g i c a l studies a n d w o u l d b e a c c e p t a b l e i n t e r -
n a t i o n a l l y . It w a s n o t m a d e clear w h e t h e r t h e w e i g h t r e c o m m e n d e d
290 H. KEEN AND S. NG TA N G FUI
Table 4. Classification o f diabetes mellitus and related conditions (from NDDG, 1979)
Clinical classes
Diabetes mellitus (DM):
Meets glycaemic criteria in Table 3.
Insulin-dependent type (IDDM; 'type 1'): 'classical' type, formerly known as juvenile-
onset, ketosis-prone, HLA-D/DR and autoimmune associations. Virus infection(s) may
be directly or indirectly involved. Commoner in youth, abrupt onset with ketosis, insulin
treatment mandatory.
Non-insulin-dependent type (NIDDM; 'type 2'): subdivided into
(i) non-obese NIDDM (BMI males < 25 females< 27)
(ii) obese NIDDM (BMImales >i 25 females~<27)
Formerly known as maturity-onset, ketosis-resistant. Probably multiple causation, strong
association with obesity in some. Familial pattern common. Insidious onset, often in later
life, rarely ketosis associated, insulin treatment optional.
Other types: DM associated with or due to other distinctive disorders, drugs, etc.
Comprehensive listing of named syndromes, primary disorders, drugs, etc. in NDDG
(1969). Subdivided into (i) pancreatic (ii) hormonal (iii) drug-induced (iv) insulin/receptor
abnormalities (v) genetic syndromes (vi) other associations.
Gestational diabetes (GDM): onset or detection in pregnancy. Reclassify postpartum.
Fetal morbidity/mortality and fetomegaly risk enhanced. Increased risk of later maternal
DM. WHO and NDDG criteria differ (q.v.)
Impaired glucose tolerance (IGT):
Determined only by GTT, see criteria Table 3
Subdivided into (i) non-obese IGT (ii) obese IGT (obesity criteria for NIDDM) (iii)
secondary IGT (see Other types DM for subclasses). Formerly known as chemical, latent,
borderline diabetes. Highly heterogeneous, associated with age. Increased risk of
worsening to DM and arterial disease.
Statistical risk classes
Previous abnormality of glucose tolerance (PrevAGT):
Formerly known as latent or prediabetes. OGTT normal,, hut past IGT or DM. Includes
remitted DM, GDM or IGT whether spontaneous or after treatment.
Potential abnormality of glucose tolerance (PotAGT):
Formerly known as potential diabetes or prediabetes. No history or presence of glucose
intolerance. Characterized by increased statistical risk of later DM of varying degree/
specificity. Risk indicator(s) should be stated.
CONCLUSION
Criteria a n d classification of disease are b o t h attractive a n d repellent
subjects. They s h a r p e n the critical a n d logical faculties, b u t they are
d o o m e d f r o m the start to failure because they always represent a n a t t e m p t
based o n i n a d e q u a t e i n f o r m a t i o n to impose d i v i s i o n s u p o n N a t u r e , which
k n o w s n o n e . They are essential as a structure for t h o u g h t , research a n d , to
a n extent, clinical practice. F o r this reason, N D D G stated that classification
'will need to be a m e n d e d a n d revised'; W H O c o n c l u d e d that ' a new
a p p r o a c h to classification is r e q u i r e d ' . Neither of t h e m , for example,
considered at length the p r o b l e m o f i n t r o d u c i n g a ' s t a g i n g ' d i m e n s i o n into
classification, as suggested b y T a b l e 6. T h a t is for the future. F o r the
present, there can be little d o u b t that, despite m a n y imperfections, the
revised views described here represent a n a d v a n c e o n what went before a n d
should be systematically applied to the diabetic s y n d r o m e a n d allied
conditions.
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