PHAN TICH MAU HINH BIEU DOFred KH Tam Lim Tat Seng = Tan Kong Huat PHAN TiICH MAU HINH BIEU DO NHUNG BI QUYET GIUP NHA GIAO DICH SIEU HANG DAN ZANGER BIEN 11 NGHIN DO THANH 42 TRIEU DO TRONG 23 THANG DICH GIA Khiuic Ngoc Tuyén Truong Minh Huy (D NHAXUATBANHONGDUC [ACHART PATTERNS ANALYSIS How A Super Trader Made $42 Million With $11 ,000 Within 23 Months Trading Stocks Fred KH Tam, Lim Tat Seng, Tan Kong Huat. ISBN 978-967-419-150-4 Copyright © Mentor Publishing Sdn. Bhd, Fred KH Tam, Lim Tat Seng, Tan Kong Huat. All rights reserved. : This book, or parts thereof, may not be produced in any form without permis- sion from the publisher; exceptions are made for excerpts used in printed reviews and other media-related materials as Long as proper attribution is made. This authorized Vietnam translation edition is jointly published by Fred KH Tam, Lim Tat Seng, Tan Kong Huat and PHAMLEMINH Company Limited. This edition is authorized for sale in Socialist Republic of Vietnam. PHAN TICH MAU HINH BIEU DO Nhiing Bi Quyét Gitip Nha Giao Dich Siéu Hang Dan Zanger Bién 11 Nghin D6 Thanh 42 Tri¢u D6 Trong 23 Thang Khiic Ngoc Tuyén, Tong Minh Huy (Bién Dich) Xudt ban va phét hinh dn ban tiéng Viét trén toan thé gidi theo hop déng chuyén giao ban quyén gitia Fred KH Tam, Lim Tat Seng, Tan Kong Huat va. Cong ty TNHH Pham Lé Minh. Ban quyén tiéng Viét @PHAMLEMINH CO., LTD 2021. Khéng phan nao trong n phém nay dugc phép sao chép, in &n, phat hanh dudi bat ky hinh thite va phuong tién nao khac (dién tit, tu d6ng héa, photo copy, .ghi 4m, scan...) hoac hiu trif trong céc co sé dé ligu, cdc hé thong truy cap ma khéng duigc su cho phép bing van ban cia Cong ty TNHH Pham Lé Minh.LOI DE TANG Xin giti t6i tat cd cdc sinh vién, hoc vién, céng su va ban be da tot nghiép Hoc vién Fl cia tdi. Sv dong vién va hé tro cua céc ban da giip ching toi hodn thanh m6t cuén sdch tuyét voi. Fred KH Tam ‘Ting tat cd cdc nha phan tich ky thuat trén todn thé gidi, nhitng ngudi cé chung tiéng ndi trong ddu tu ching khodn. Lim Tat Seng Gti vo tdi Hooi Lean va con gai Yi Wei vi long tét, su bao dung va kién nhan cia hai me con, va dé tuéng nhé Datuk Lim Sun Hoe, ngudi da dan dat t6i vao thé gidi dau tu thi vi nay. Tan Kong HuatKHUYEN CAO: Céc khoan dau tu luén cé ri ro, bao gém ca kha nang mat v6n géc va cdc t6n that khdc. Cuén sdch nay duige viét nhu mét cong cy dao tao dé nang cao hiéu biét cia ban vé phan tich cc mau hinh biéu 46, Néu can dau tu va tu van, ban nén tim kiém dich vu ca mét ngudi cé nang lc chuyén mén. Céc téc gid va nha xudt ban sé khong chju tréch nhiém vé bat ky tén that hodc mat mat loi nhuan nao do cdc quyét dinh dau tu dya trén viec sii dung ky thuat va nhting thong tin thu duigc tit cuén sdch nay.LOITUA Cuén sach nay, Phan Tich Mdu Hinh Biéu Dé - Nhiing bi quyét giip nha giao dich siéu hang Dan Zanger bién 11 nghin dé thanh 42 triéu dé la trong 23 thang, la cuén sach bat budc phai doc déi véi tat cd cdc nha giao dich. Fred Tam 14 mét trong nhiing nha phan tich Ay thuat hang dau trong nganh. Tdi da biét Fred dugc 20 nam va ching tdi da cing nhau day cdc lép vé phan tich ky thuat. Mac dit cé nhiing cach goi khéc nhau, nhung cdc mau hinh giéng nhau xuat hién hét lan nay dén lan khdc. Moi ky nang dang gid déu cén c6 thoi gian dé hoc, nhung thao trudng dé mé hdi thi chign truéng it 46 mau, va thanh qua sé xting dang véi thdi gian ban bé ra. Ong Lim Tat Seng va éng Tan Kong Huat cting la ban ciia toi. Lim 1a Pho chi tich Hiép H6i Cac Nha Phan Tich Ky Thuat Singapore (TASS), trong khi Tan la Giang Vién Cao Cap tai trudng phan tich ky thuat cha Fred Tam. Ba chuyén gia cing nhau viét lén cuén sach nay, day chinh 1a mot trong s6 ly do rat thuyét phuc cho thay phuong phap trong cudn sdch nay dang dé hoc hdi. Khi ndi dén su thay déi gid, sau khi tat c4 cdc phan tich co ban da dugc doc, tim hiéu va danh gid, chinh quy luat cung va cau khong thé bac bé 14 nguyén nhan gay ra moi su thay déi vé gia. Néu cé nhiéu ngudi mua san sang mua hon ngudi ban san sang ban thi gid phai ting. Néu cé nhiéu ngudi ban sin sing ban hon ngudi mua sin sang mua thi gid phai giam. Va néu mua va ban ngang nhau, gid phai gitt nguyén. Ching cé gi khdc ngoai cung va cau, cdu va cung, Day chinh xdc la nhiing gi phan tich ky thuat cé ging lam - truc tiép dua ban dén thang cau tra Ii. Tom Dorsey Nha sang lap Dorsey Wright & Associates, Richmond, VA, USA www.dorseywright.com viiLOI NOI PAU Giao dich thanh céng dua trén ba tru cOt: (I) tam If, (2) phan tich thi trudng va hé thong giao dich, (3) quan tri tién. Dan Zanger cé mot chién luge d$c dao cho ca ba tru c6t nay, diéu gitp éng kiém dugc loi nhuén phi thudng hang nghin phan tram. Tuy nhién, dé gidi thich day dit cdc chién luge cita Dan Zanger vé ca ba tru cét ké trén trong mét cuén sdch Ja diéu rat kh6. Tht nhét, mét 86 thi khéng thé dugc day tii mét cuén sdch. Vi dy, ban chat linh hoat cua thj trudng.tai chinh sé khé duigc giai thich mét cach toan dién chi trong mét cuén sdch. Hon nfia, dé giai thich day da cdc chién huge, cén phai cd mét lugng kién thtic nang cao vé nhiéu linh vic nhw sy luan chuyén nganh (sector rotation), phan tich ky thuat va quan tri tién. Theo dé, dé dam bao phn quan trong nhat trong chién lugc cha Dan Zanger dugc chia sé cho tat cd nhiing ai quan tam, cuén sdch nay tap trung vao khia canh chai chét nhat trong chién luge cha Dan Zanger, dé la phan tich mau hinh biéu 46. Cu6n sdch sé tap trung vao viéc x4c dinh, minh hoa va giai thich c4ch phan tfch cdc mu hinh biéu dé, 1a cong cu da gitip Dan kiém dtigc 42.000.000 dé la trong 23 thang. C6 rat nhiéu sdch trén thj trudng, danh cho'cd ngudi mdi bat dau va ngudi da cé kinh nghiém, dé cép dén cdc try cot khdc trong giao dich, cé thé la vé tam ly hgc hay cdc nguyén tac quan tri tién. Tuy nhién, khong cé qua nhiéu tai ligu ndi vé nghé thuat phan tich ky thuat, va cling tuong d6i it tai ligu néivé phan tich céc mau hinh biéu dé, von 1a trai tim trong chién luge cita Dan Zanger.Patterns Phan tich Char tina MAU HINH BIEU DO Diéu thu vj can luu y 1a ky thuat thiét yéu trong chién lugc dem lai thanh céng cho Dan Zanger - phan tich c4c mau hinh biéu d6, khong duigc dé cép ding mtic va khéng duigc nhén manh trong nhiéu cuén sach vé giao dich. Co rat it dong gép trong linh vic nay ké tit sau cdc céng trinh néi tiéng cha Richard W. Schabacker, 1a ngudi da viét ba cuén sdch tuyét vi vé cdc mau hinh biéu dé vao dau nhiing nam 1930. Schabacker duigc coi 1a cha dé cla phan tich ky thuat. Cuén sdch cudi cing cla éng duc xudt ban vao nam 1934, cé tua dé “Stock Market Profits (Kiém Léi Tit Thi Truéng Chitng Khodn)”. Phai téi 14 nam sau, cdc chdu trai cia éng la Robert Edwards va John Magee mdi tiép tuc cong viéc cia Schabacker, ho cho ra déi cuén “Technical Analysis of Stock Trends - Phan Tich Ky Thuat vé Xu Huéng Chitng Khodn”. Cuén sdch nay dugc xuat ban lén dau tién vao nam 1948. Khong ai hoc phan tich mau hinh biéu dé dam ty coi minh 1a ngwéi toan dién ma khéng doc cdc tac phém kinh dién cla Schabacker, Edward va Magee. Nhung phan tich m4u hinh biéu 46 van khéng dat dugc sy néi bat xting dang cho dén khi Dan Zanger xudt hién. Chinh Dan Zanger la ngudi da phé bién cac cuén sach cita Schabacker, Edwards va Magee khi nha giao dich siéu hang nay chitng minh cho ca thé gidi thay ky thuat nay co thé manh mé dén mtic nao. Ong da khién ca thé gidi phai kinh ngac vao nam 2000 khi tich liy dugc 42 trigu dé la chi v6i sé vén ban dau 11 nghin dé la, trong vong 23 thang giao dich cdc c6 phiéu trong “siéu séng” tang gid trén san NASDAQ. Hiéu suat dang kinh ngac cia Ong da chitng minh cho ching ta thay hiéu qua cia ky thuat nay. Ong cing chiing minh phan tich mdu hinh biéu 46 vin rat phu hgp trong mdi trudng thi trudng ngay nay, chang khac gi khi n6 duge Schabacker phat hién lan dau tién vao dau nhiing nam 1930. Hay luu y cdc mau hinh biéu dé cha Schabacker da dugc tim thay trudéc day cting vin dugec tim thay trong cdc cé phiéu théi nay, thé hién qua biéu dé cia 4 cé phiéu dudi day:Patterns LOINOI BAU Char tara C6 PHIEU DAYANG - MALASIA SANG ERTDCEL AY TAMA CTH Béngtrén > Gik dong cita, <4 Thin nén Gid. md cita | oa e berger eae coo ecrie 2004 2005 boos Chii 9 lien tip cdc dinh sau thép hon dinh trube va déy sau thap hon déy trudc. H thdp hon H1, H2, H3, H3, H5 va L1 thép hon L2, L3, L4, L5, L6. 43Patterns Phan tich Char tins: MAU HINH BIEU DO Biéu D6 4.4. JURONG TECH (Singapore) - Vi Dy Mot Cé Phiéu Dang Trong Xu Huéng Gidm il lili dil tlls Hat a | Lu kK (ull fl lp ll i i a All enh Chit y lién tiép cdc dinh sau thdp hon dinh trudc va day sau thdp hon day truéc. H5 thdp hon H4, H3, H2, H1, H va L5 thép hon L4, L3, L2, L1, L. Dinh nghia XU HUONG DI NGANG (hay thi trudng tich wy): Xu hutdng di ngang la mot chuéi CAC DINH NAM NGANG va CAC DAY NAM NGANG. (xem So D6 4.3). So Dé 4.3. Thi Truéng Di Ngang hay Tich Luy H1 H2 L1 L2 Luu § céc dinh (H) va day (L) nam ngang