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Rapidly defining a new gold province
DEG-ASX A$1.06
DEG is an Australian-based gold exploration and development company, focused on its
Mallina Gold Project (MGP) located 60km south of Port Hedland in Western Australia.
Market Data Hemi could grow Mallina Resource to +5Moz by mid-2021. Since its discovery in
52-Week Range (A$) : 0.04 - 1.22
late 2019, Hemi has emerged as one of the most meaningful recent discoveries in the
Avg Daily Vol (M) : 10.8
Market Cap (A$M) : 1,267.7
Australian gold space and changed the scale of DEG's 2.2Moz MGP markedly. DEG has
Shares Out. (M) : 1,195.9 increased its exploration efforts as the scale of Hemi continues to grow, and currently
Enterprise Value (A$M) : 1,275 has six drill rigs on site (2x Diamond, 2x RC, 2x Aircore). Hemi is now defined across
Cash (A$M) : 28.6 three main zones (Brolga, Aquila and Crow) and has a footprint of ~2.5km (N/S) by
Long-Term Debt (A$) : 0.0 ~2km (E/W). Current drilling efforts are largely focused on expanding the scope of the
NAV /Shr (A$) : 1.38
project, with strike extensions open in most directions and few holes drilled beyond
NAV /Shr (5%) (A$) : 2.03
Major Shareholders: DGO Gold 16%
~300m depth. We expect DEG to release a maiden Resource for Hemi in mid-2021,
which will be the culmination of +18 months of drilling. Based on our calculations, we
see potential for Hemi's initial Resource to be 3-4Moz at ~1.4-1.6g/t, and importantly,
1.4
expect >50% to be in the Indicated category. Naturally, we have made some broad
1.2 assumptions in deriving the estimate, but in most cases have erred on the side of
conservatism and point to DEG's publicly stated goal of the greater Hemi project being
1
a +5Moz Resource as offering comfort that our assumptions will be met or exceeded
0.8 over time. Further upside exists via step-out drilling plus results from the greater Hemi
targets (Scooby, Shaggy, Antwerp), which should be drill tested in the 2H 2020.
0.6
Existing Resource to potentially fold into larger production scenario. Not to be
0.4 overlooked, DEG has an existing Resource base for Mallina of 2.2Moz (1.8g/t), which
has been the subject of Mining Studies and, in our view, could potentially support an
0.2
80-100kozpa production scenario irrespective of Hemi. With the inclusion of Hemi,
0 however, we see DEG being afforded the luxury of cherry-picking the best parts of the
existing Resource, thereby bolstering the potential mine life and production profile. By
May-20
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way of example, the Withnell (85% M&I) and Wingina (76% M&I) deposits both have
DEG +250koz open pit Resources and are <25km from Hemi, and Toweranna (58% M&I) has
Source: FactSet a +450koz (+2g/t) open pit Resource that is ~60km from Hemi. Naturally, the ultimate
economics on Hemi will dictate whether ore is displaced to make way for potentially
Priced intraday 1 September 2020 higher grade satellite deposits, but we see this as a nice problem to have, and one that
In April 2020, Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited
as a minimum is supportive of a longer life project.
received a fee for Capital Market services provided to De Potential production profile of up to 300kozpa. While forecasting production based
Grey Mining Limited. on assumed Resources will likely see iterations of model inputs as the project evolves,
we feel comfortable the MGP can support a significant production profile. To develop
the project we assume a ~7Mtpa processing facility, capex of A$700m (includes $50m
pre-strip) and first production by FY25. Our initial assumed mine life is 12 years, with a
production profile averaging 290kozpa and an AISC of <A$1100/oz. Initial metallurgical
test work has shown that ore (partly refractory) responds well to flotation (92-93%
gold reports to float concentrate in <10% the initial mass), with pressure oxidation
(POX) and CIL averaging recoveries of +96% in fresh rock. Metallurgical test work
will be ongoing and refined over time (only completed on Brolga currently), and we
also expect DEG to run trade-off studies investigating alternative oxidation routes
like BIOX and Albion. In our view, metallurgy will be an aspect of the story that is
watched closely, and at this stage we assume 90% recovery in our modelling. While
POX increases the theoretical capex, it should be noted that the MGP's location <100km
from Port Headland (WA) offers strong development advantages. Proximity to major
sealed highways, gas pipelines, high voltage power lines, ample water supply and flat
topography all represent savings versus remote projects.
Valuation and recommendation. Our A$1.40/share price target is based on an
NPV10% for the Mallina gold project, net of corporate adjustments, and diluted for
future equity requirements to fund ongoing exploration through FY21-24. We initiate
with a SPECULATIVE BUY recommendation.
Canaccord Genuity is the global capital markets group of Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. (CF : TSX)
The recommendations and opinions expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal, independent and objective
views about any and all the companies and securities that are the subject of this report discussed herein.
For important information, please see the Important Disclosures beginning on page 26 of this document.
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 2
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Contents
Overview ................................................................................................4
Corporate and Finance ..............................................................................5
Valuation Summary ..................................................................................6
Peer Comparisons .................................................................................. 10
Company Background ............................................................................. 11
Asset Overview: Mallina Gold Project......................................................... 12
Appendix 1 – Board of Directors ............................................................... 24
Appendix 2 – Investment risks ................................................................. 25
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 3
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Overview
DEG is an Australian-based gold exploration and development company focused
on its Mallina Gold Project (MGP) located 60km south of Port Hedland in Western
Australia. The MGP has significant nearby infrastructure including railways, nearby
gas pipelines, a major electricity transmission line, and the Great Northern
highway located ~15km to the east of its recent Hemi discovery.
The tenement package covers a total area of 1,500km2 with exploration efforts
currently focused on the new Hemi discovery, one of seven targets identified for
testing last year and interpreted to be an intrusive related gold system (IRGS), a
system that is unique in the Pilbara region. Three main zones have been identified
within Hemi, namely Brolga, Aquila and Crow, which collectively are
demonstrating the potential for deposits of considerably larger scale than those
generally defined the Pilbara region.
DEG is accelerating its exploration efforts with six rigs now on site drilling
extensional targets as well as testing targets proximal to Hemi like Antwerp,
Scooby and Shaggy.
Excluding Hemi, DEG has an existing resource base of 2.2Moz at 1.8g/t across
two mining centres, Withnell and Wingina, and we note that ~49% in the
Measured and Indicated category.
With a consolidated land position covering 150km of strike, a large-scale intrusion
hosted discovery at Hemi (which remains open), and at least four large intrusions
at Hemi still to be tested, we believe there is significant district scale potential still
to be unlocked.
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 4
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Capital structure
DEG’s capital structure is detailed in Figure 3 below. The outstanding options have
a weighted average exercise price of A$0.24 resulting in a fully diluted issued
capital (including performance rights) of 1,213m shares.
Substantial shareholders
DEG has one substantial shareholder; DGO Gold Limited (DGO-ASX: A$3.44 | Not
Rated) which owns 16.2%. Other significant shareholders include:
Northwest Nonferrous Australia Mining Pty Ltd 4.9%
Kirkland Lake Gold (KL-TSX: C$69.50 | BUY | PT C$83.0 | Analyst: Carey
MacRury) 2.8%
Directors and Management ~3%
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 5
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Valuation Summary
Valuation
We have based our valuation for DEG on a DCF analysis (forward curve NPV10%)
for the MGP, assuming a standalone development scenario. We see good potential
for DEG to delineate a 3-4Moz Resource at Hemi within 12 months, building on
the existing 2.2Moz Resource, which in our view should provide a base for
development and production assumptions once Feasibility work kicks off in 2H
2021. Our valuation conservatively assumes first gold production in FY25,
allowing 18 months from the Hemi maiden Resource (mid 2021) to complete infill
drilling and Feasibility Studies, followed by 18 months for project construction and
commissioning. We model the project to produce ~300kozpa at an AISC
<A$1,100/oz over an initial 12-year LOM to recover ~3.4Moz.
Our modelling assumes total capex of A$700m (inclusive of A$50m pre-strip) for
a 7Mtpa plant construction and associated infrastructure (benchmarked against
recent peers). We also assume A$128m (A$32m pa) will be spent on exploration
from FY21 to FY24, which is funded out of existing cash (CG est. ~A$28.5m
currently) and A$100m in future equity being raised which is included in our
diluted valuation.
Figure 4 details our sum-of-the-parts valuation, which comprises our initial
A$1.40/share target price. On a per share basis, we have diluted for two assumed
future equity raisings totalling A$100m (at A$1.00/share); A$50m in FY21 to
maintain the aggressive exploration push, and A$50m in FY22 to fund exploration
and Feasibility Studies. Given the long-dated nature of the project’s financing, at
this stage we assume the project being 100% debt funded. With 1.196bn shares
currently on issue, 16.1m in-the-money options, 1.45m Performance Rights and
the future equity (100m shares), this implies a fully diluted share count in our
valuation of 1.313bn shares.
In deriving our valuation, we utilise forward curve pricing assumptions for gold
and FX, key inputs and assumptions are shown in Figures 5 and 6.
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 6
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figures 7-12 demonstrate our forecast production and AISC profile, key physicals,
earnings and cash flow forecasts for the MGP. We have assumed ore will be
processed at a newly constructed processing facility at a rate of 7Mtpa, with ore
primarily sourced from Hemi. We highlight that the Withnell (85% M&I) and
Wingina (76% M&I) deposits both have +250koz open pit Resources and are
<25km from Hemi, as well as the Toweranna (58% M&I) that has a +450koz
(+2g/t) open pit Resource and ~60km from Hemi, as likely additional higher
grade satellite ore sources that could enter the production profile during the LOM.
Figure 7: CG modelled production and AISC Figure 8: CG modelled C1, AISC vs gold price
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figure 9: CG modelled material movement and grade Figure 10: CG modelled plant throughput and recovery
Figure 11: EBITDA sensitivity (CG deck, spot and forward Figure 12: FCF sensitivity, annual and cumulative (CG
curve) deck, spot and forward curve)
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Mining head grade: We have assumed an average 1.5g/t mining head grade
in our model (slightly higher in the initial years and lower in the latter years),
which we see as reasonable and should account for mining dilution. A +/-
10% change in head grade is meaningful to our valuation, with a +10%
increase resulting in an increased valuation to A$1.70/share, and a 10%
decrease reducing our valuation by 18% to A$1.15/share.
Resource/Reserve conversion: We have assumed a 12-year mine life
recovering a total ~3.4Moz of gold. In a situation where additional Resources
and Reserves are defined beyond our estimates, we note that an additional
five years of mine life (~1.5Moz recovered gold), would increase the valuation
to ~A$1.75/share.
Processing rates: We have assumed a mining/processing rate of ~7Mpta.
While a simplistic manipulation (capex not adjusted), we estimate a 6Mtpa
processing/mining rate would reduce the valuation to A$1.15/share
(production to ~250kozpa) and an 8Mtpa processing/mining rate would
increase the valuation to A$1.60/share (production to ~345kozpa).
Costs: Capex is the least sensitive valuation driver – we note that a A$100m
increase in total capex (to A$800m) only drops our valuation to A$1.30/share.
Opex similarly remains relatively insensitive, with a 10% increase in unit input
costs only dropping our valuation to A$1.25/share.
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Peer Comparisons
Figure 14: Resources vs gold grades Figure 15: Resources vs gold grades vs EV
8
Resource Grade
5.0 7.5 Namdini (CDV.AU)
7
4.5
CG assumed total 6.5
resource mid-CY20 6
4.0 Mallina (DEG.AU)
5.5
4.5
Moz
3.0
4
Nyanzaga (ORR.AU)
6.99
2.5 3.5 Karlawinda (CMM.AU)
Misima (KSN.AU)
2.0 3
2.5 Abudja (TIE.AU)
0.5 1
0.5 Bombora (BRB.AU)
Woodlark Is. (GPR.AU) Cape Ray (MZZ.AU)
0.0 -0.5 0
BRB MZZ EMR CAI TTM GPR TIE NUS DEG KSN ORR CDV 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5
Grade (g/t Au)
Source: Company reports, Canaccord Genuity estimates Source: Company reports, FactSet, Canaccord Genuity estimates
Note: Bubble size represents company EV in A$m
Figure 16: EV/Resource oz rankings Figure 17: Estimated annual production vs AISC/oz
300 300
1200
AISC (A$/oz)
250 250
Koz
200 1000 200
150 150
800
100 100
600
50 50
0 400 -
Source: Company reports, FactSet, Canaccord Genuity estimates Source: Company reports, Canaccord Genuity estimates
^ CG assumed total resource mid-CY20 * Estimate based on CG production scenario
Figure 18: Capex and capital intensity Figure 19: Mine life and average annual production
3000 800 17 400
Capex Cap Intensity
Mine Life Avg. annual prod'n
Cap Intensity (A$/Avg. annual
700 350
2500 15
Annual prod'n (koz)
600 300
13
Mine life (yrs)
2000
Capex (A$m)
500 250
11
prod'n)
Source: Company reports, Canaccord Genuity estimates Source: Company reports, Canaccord Genuity estimates
^ Estimate based on CG production scenario ^ Estimate based on CG production scenario
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 10
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Company Background
DEG was originally listed on the ASX in 2002 to explore the Turner River Project
(TRP) in the Pilbara for platinum group elements. From 2002 through to 2007,
DEG explored the TRP tenure, discovering the Wingina and Mt Berghaus gold
deposits as well as the Orchard and Discovery base metals deposits (Zn, Ag, Pb).
From 2008 to 2014, DEG focused on Argentina and New Zealand gold exploration
projects, later selling its New Zealand tenure to Evolution Mining. During this
period the Company also entered into several farm-out agreements on the TRP
which ultimately culminated in the project being 100% retained by DEG due to
the counterparties withdrawing or failing to meet the conditions of the
agreements.
From 2015 to 2017, DEG refocused its attention on the TRP, drilling the Wingina
and Mt Berghaus deposits and releasing an updated Mineral Resource for the
project of 464koz at 1.5g/t in January 2017. February 2017 DEG secured an
option to evaluate and explore the Indee Gold Project (IGP), consisting of the
Mallina, Toweranna and Withnell deposits, with the right to acquire 100% of the
project. August 2017 a Scoping Study was completed for a 1Mtpa plant, based on
a mineable resource of 325koz at 2.1g/t from seven deposits across both the TRP
and IGP (together the Mallina Gold Project).
From 2017 through to 2019, drilling by DEG expanded the existing IGP resource
from 538koz at 1.8g/t to 1.1Moz at 2g/t. In early 2019, after a significant review
of the company’s geological database, DEG announced seven new “walk-up”
Toweranna lookalike intrusion related gold targets, one of which was Hemi, which
had no previous drilling completed on it at that time.
In August 2019, DEG completed its acquisition of the IGP for a total of $15m,
consisting of $12m in cash and ~59m shares in DEG (representing a 6.3% equity
holding at the time). In December 2019, DEG made a significant new gold
discovery at Hemi, with aircore drilling returning 43m at 3.7g/t Au from 36m and
25m at 2.7g/t from 32m.
In April 2020, DEG released an updated Mineral Resource estimate for the MGP
(excluding Hemi) of 2.2Moz at 1.8g/t. In June 2020, further drilling identified
three major gold zones at Hemi with broad high-grade extensions with the current
focus being on the Brolga zone.
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Aircore and RC drilling ~320m north east of Brolga has identified further new
mineralisation extending along the structural corridor towards the Scooby Zone,
a further 1km to the north east (Figure 24). Intercepts include:
17m at 1.4g/t Au from 64m (BWAC847)
4m at 3.3g/t Au from 44m (BWAC846)
21m at 1.0g/t Au from 50m (HERC147)
Three RC holes have also identified further extensions to the south west of Brolga
(Figure 25). Intercepts include:
9m at 2.2g/t Au from 59m (HERC153)
3m at 0g/t Au from 152m (HERC153)
Aircore drilling to the south of Brolga has defined a new zone. The extension
covers an area of 1,200m x 200m with the intrusion open along strike to the
south. Initial aircore drilling has intersected shallow gold mineralisation with a
scale and style similar to the Brolga zone. Drill results include:
16m at 2.4g/t Au from 40m (BWAC491)
8m at 2.2g/t Au from 52m (BWAC492)
4m at 5.0g/t Au from 60m (BWAC493)
RC drilling on an 80m x 80m basis is underway with initial results including:
5m at 1.1g/t Au from 59m (HERC102)
15m at 1.g/t Au from 223m (HERC102)
9m at 1.2g/t Au from 38m (HERC166)
Figure 23: Hemi - Brolga Section 30640E Figure 24: Brolga– Sections 30560E and 30640E
Section 30560E
Section 30640E
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 14
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figure 25: Brolga Zone – Section 30640E Figure 26: Brolga Zone – Section 30560E
Source: Company reports, Canaccord Genuity estimates Source: Company reports, Canaccord Genuity estimates
Aquila
Grades at Aquila have tended to be higher than Brolga, however the mineralised
zone is narrower with a steeper dip (Figures 27 and 30). The Aquila footprint was
~800m strike x ~50m wide and a depth of 180m in mid-March, with RC drilling
confirming significant gold mineralisation:
62m at 1.4g/t Au from 59m (HERC006)
51m at 2.1g/t Au from 108m (HERC005)
20m at 2.0g/t Au from 142m (HERC009)
Aircore, RC and diamond drilling through JunQ’20 and into August successfully
extended the mineralisation at Aquila to depth >400 vertical meters and
lengthened the strike to at least 1.6km whilst remaining open in all directions.
Drilling showed the extensive continuity of mineralisation with high grade thick
intercepts consistent at depth:
53m at 5.9g/t from 117m (HERC099)
28m at 10.2g/t from 117m (HERC099)
41m at 6.8g/t from 181m (HERC086)
39m at 1.3g/t Au from 389m (HERC104D)
8m at 2.8g/t Au from 415m (HERC104D)
10.2m at 2.5g/t Au from 254m (HERC111D)
5m at 3.3g/t Au from 407.7m (HERC105D)
Further drill results are expecting in the coming weeks.
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figure 27: Aquila and Crow Plan View – Section 30480E Figure 28: Aquila and Crow - Section 30480E
Section 30480E
Figure 29: Aquila and Crow Plan View – Section 30400E Figure 30: Aquila and Crow - Section 30400E
Section 30400E
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figure 32: Aquila west plan view Figure 33: Aquila west cross sections from Figure 34
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figure 34: Simplified flowsheet for fresh ore from Hemi (Brolga)
Whilst the POX process can be costly both from a capex and opex perspective
(Figure 35) DEG’s project has a number of advantages that, in our view, could
help mitigate both capital and operating costs:
1. The POX plant will be processing 10% of the ore throughput as a result of
the significant recoveries of gold via the flotation circuit.
2. The high gold-to-sulphur ratio in the concentrate means there is less
sulphur requiring oxidation which should result in lower retention times.
3. POX is an energy intensive process and Hemi has excellent potential access
to power with a major 220kV transmission line within ~20km as well as gas
pipelines located 5km and 20km from Hemi. This should help keep power
costs moderately low.
4. Hemi is in no way remote. Located just 60km south of Port Headland, the
Project will benefit significantly from the extensive infrastructure nearby. In
our view, this will assist in keeping initial construction costs down (i.e. lower
upfront capex) as well as operating costs given the ease of access to gas,
power, railways and major highways.
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 19
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Figure 35: Comparison of processes for refractory ore Figure 36: Selected POX operations
Ultra Fine
BIOX
Aspect POX Grinding into Roasting
(Bacterial Oxidation)
Albion™
Technical Risk High Low High Low
Environmental Risk Lowest Low Low High, depending on gas clean up
C apital C ost High Low High Prohibitive
Operating C ost High Low High Low
Acid neutralisation High Low High Low
C yanide Use High Modest High Medium
Power C onsumption High Medium Very High Low
Process C hemistry Well understood Simple C omplex Simple
Operating pressure &
Major Driver Power cost Power cost / Au:S ratio Sulphur level
temperature
Well proven over the last
History Good, growing Poor, failures Tried and true
decade
Fine, getting better all the Good, wear issues Difficult, learning curve
Operability Simple
time Power cost impt. applies
Recovery Excellent Grind sensitive Subject to "bug health" Very good
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
The Withnell orebodies were discovered and drilled by Resolute in the late 1990s.
Extensive drilling leading to the definition of Ore Reserves and the development
of a mining and heap leach processing operation carried out by Range River
between 2003 and 2008. The mine never delivered the 1Mtpa planned in the FS
mostly due to mining issues. Metallurgy in the oxide material mined was as
expected with +70% recoveries.
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Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 21
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Mineral Resources
DEG has an existing Resource base for Mallina of 2.2Moz (1.8g/t), which has been
the subject of Mining Studies and, in our view, could potentially support an 80-
100kozpa production scenario irrespective of Hemi.
With the inclusion of Hemi, however, we see DEG being afforded the option of
cherry-picking the best parts of the existing Resource, thereby bolstering the
potential mine life and production profile.
In our view, components of the current Resource that screen as attractive satellite
ore supply opportunities are the Withnell (85% M&I) and Wingina (76% M&I)
deposits, which both have +250koz open pit Resources and are <25km from
Hemi. Also, Toweranna (58% M&I) has a +450koz (+2g/t) open pit Resource that
is ~60km from Hemi and is free-milling.
A full breakdown of the existing Resource is shown in Figure 40 and split into
underground and open pit Resources.
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
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Initiation of Coverage
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De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Investment Recommendation
Date and time of first dissemination: September 01, 2020, 16:40 ET
Date and time of production: September 01, 2020, 16:40 ET
Target Price / Valuation Methodology:
De Grey Mining Limited - DEG
We have based our valuation for DEG on a DCF analysis (forward curve NPV10%) for the MGP, assuming a standalone development
scenario. We see good potential for DEG to delineate a 3-4Moz Resource at Hemi within 12 months, building on the existing 2.2Moz
Resource which, in our view, should underpin our production assumptions once Feasibility work kicks off in 2H 2021. Our valuation
conservatively assumes first gold production in FY25, allowing 18 months from the Hemi maiden Resource (mid 2021) to complete
infill drilling and Feasibility Studies followed by 18 months for project construction and commissioning.
Risks to achieving Target Price / Valuation:
De Grey Mining Limited - DEG
Financing risks
As a pre-production company with no material income, DEG is reliant on equity and debt markets to fund development of its assets
and progress its regional exploration pipeline. Total development and working capital requirements are subject to completion of
feasibility studies. There are no guarantees that studies will result in a positive investment decision for the MGP. Further, we can make
no assurances that accessing these markets will be done without further dilution to shareholders.
Exploration risks
Exploration is subject to a number of risks and can require a high rate of capital expenditure. Risks can also be associated with
conversion of inferred Resources and lack of accuracy in the interpretation of geochemical, geophysical, drilling and other data. No
assurances can be given that exploration will delineate further mineral Resources nor that the company will be able to convert the
current mineral Resource into minable Reserves.
Operating risks
If/when in production, the company will be subject to risks such as plant/equipment breakdowns, metallurgical (meeting design
recoveries within a complex flowsheet), materials handling and other technical issues. An increase in operating costs could reduce
the profitability and free cash generation from the operating assets considerably and negatively impact valuation. Further, the
actual characteristics of an ore deposit may differ significantly from initial interpretations which can also materially impact forecast
production from original expectations.
Commodity price and currency fluctuations
As with any mining company, DEG is directly exposed to commodity price and currency fluctuations. Commodity price fluctuations are
driven by many macroeconomic forces including inflationary pressures, interest rates and supply and demand factors. These factors
could reduce the profitability, costing and prospective outlook for the business.
Speculative Buy Target Price A$1.40 | 1 September 2020 Precious Metals - Developer/Explorer 26
De Grey Mining Limited
Initiation of Coverage
Distribution of Ratings:
Global Stock Ratings (as of 09/01/20)
Rating Coverage Universe IB Clients
# % %
Buy 521 63.00% 55.09%
Hold 177 21.40% 42.37%
Sell 14 1.69% 35.71%
Speculative Buy 115 13.91% 76.52%
827* 100.0%
*Total includes stocks that are Under Review
Buy (B); Speculative Buy (SB); Sell (S); Hold (H); Suspended (SU); Under Review (UR); Restricted (RE); Not Rated (NR)
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