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1, JANUARY 2016
Abstract—Mammography is the standardized testing process screening and early diagnosis of cancer [2]. Lot of efforts
for early detection of breast cancer. In this paper, a system- on mammography have been devoted to cost-effectiveness
theoretic method based on a Markov chain model is presented studies, such as economic evaluation of health technologies
to analyze such processes. Specifically, the general testing pro-
cess in a single exam room is formulated using a Markov chain (see [3]–[8]). Such work mainly focuses on modeling for eco-
model. To resolve the dimensionality issue, an iteration method, nomic evaluation of health technologies, and is contingent on
referred to as shared resource iteration, is introduced to analyze the expected prevalence of resource utilization and equipment
the scenarios of two or more exam rooms. Formulas to evalu- failures. To ensure effective use of mammography testing pro-
ate the patient length of stay and staff efficiency are developed. cesses, patient flow analysis and work management are of
The extension to non-Markovian scenarios is also investigated
and an empirical formula is proposed. The experimental results significant importance. However, the research related to it has
indicate that such a method results in a high accuracy of per- not received enough attention. To the best of our knowledge,
formance estimation. A case study at a breast imaging center except for a simulation study [7] in a mammography clinic of
of the University of Wisconsin Medical Foundation is presented the Brazilian Cancer Institute, no such research is available.
to illustrate the applicability of the model. In addition, the In this paper, we introduce a system-theoretic approach
impact of patient volume increase is also studied, which shows
that a capacity increase is necessary to accommodate the high based on Markov chain analysis to study the patient flow of
demand. mammography testing. To accomplish this, the general mam-
mography testing procedures are described. A Markov chain
Index Terms—Length of stay, mammography test,
Markov chain, patient flow, shared resource iteration, staff model of patient flow in a single exam room is developed
utilization. first. Then an iterative method, referred to as shared resource
iteration, for evaluating the scenario of two exam rooms is
introduced. The convergence of the recursive procedure is jus-
I. I NTRODUCTION
tified. The method is then extended to the case of multiple
A. Motivation exam rooms. Furthermore, the non-Markovian scenarios are
REAST cancer is the most common cancer in women
B worldwide, with nearly 1.7 million new cases diagnosed
in 2013 (the second most common cancer overall). In the
investigated. An empirical formula is presented to estimate
the patient length of stay with general distributions of service
time and interarrival time. Finally, to illustrate the applicabil-
U.S., it is estimated that in 2014 there will be 232 670 ity of the method, a case study at a breast imaging center of
new cases of invasive breast cancer and 62 570 new cases the University of Wisconsin Medical Foundation (UWMF) is
of in situ breast cancer (http://ww5.komen.org/breastcancer/ introduced. It is shown that the method provides an accurate
statistics.html). With the rapid growth in health service estimation of system performance. What-if analysis is then
demand, the efficient and safe use of radiology services carried out to evaluate the impacts of demand increase and to
for diagnosis and treatment is of the utmost importance identify the most efficient way to accommodate more patient
for the wellbeing of both patients and healthcare providers. arrivals.
Mammography uses low-energy X-rays and allows the visu- The remainder of this paper is structured as follows.
alization of fine details in the breast tissue, and is regarded as Section I-B reviews the related literature. In Section II, the
the most effective tool for routine breast cancer prevention operations in the mammography testing process are described
and an analytical model is formulated. Section III presents
Manuscript received September 16, 2014; revised December 23, 2014;
accepted February 15, 2015. Date of publication June 23, 2015; date of cur- the analytical method to evaluate patient length of stay and
rent version December 14, 2015. This work was supported by the National staff utilization. Section IV introduces a case study at a breast
Science Foundation (NSF) under Grant CMMI-1233807. This paper was rec- imaging center at the UWMF. Finally, the conclusion is given
ommended by Associate Editor S. Das. (Corresponding author: Jingshan Li.)
X. Zhong and J. Li are with the Department of Industrial and Systems in Section V. All the proofs are provided in the Appendix.
Engineering, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706 USA (e-mail:
xzhong4@wisc.edu; jingshan@engr.wisc.edu).
S. M. Ertl, C. Hassemer, and L. Fiedler are with the University B. Related Literature
of Wisconsin Medical Foundation, Middleton, WI 53562 USA
(e-mail: sue.ertl@uwmf.wisc.edu; carol.hassemer@uwmf.wisc.edu; Patient flow in hospitals and clinics has attracted sub-
lauren.fiedler@uwmf.wisc.edu). stantial research effort, in which simulations and queueing
Color versions of one or more of the figures in this paper are available
online at http://ieeexplore.ieee.org. theory models have dominated the quantitative studies (see
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TSMC.2015.2429643 reviews [9]–[12]). Emerging methods in economic modeling
2168-2216 c 2015 IEEE. Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission.
See http://www.ieee.org/publications_standards/publications/rights/index.html for more information.
ZHONG et al.: SYSTEM-THEORETIC APPROACH TO MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF MAMMOGRAPHY TESTING PROCESS 127
of imaging costs and outcomes using discrete-event simula- to evaluate the decision time and its variability [18], [19]. To
tion (DES) have been summarized and reported in [13]. It is study the general care delivery services within patient rooms,
concluded that DES is playing an increasingly important role Wang et al. [20] modeled the process using closed, paral-
in modeling of annual screening programs, diagnosis, and lel, and reentrant network and limited resources. Formulas
treatment of chronic recurrent disease and modeling the uti- to evaluate the patient length of stay and staff utilizations
lization of imaging equipment. Specifically, Coelli et al. [7] are developed and system-theoretic properties are discussed.
developed a discrete-event computer simulation model to sim- Moreover, a three-level strategy model to design a hospital
ulate changes in patient arrival rates, number of equipment department is presented in [21] with three basic elements:
units, available personnel, equipment maintenance scheduling 1) modeling module; 2) optimization module; and 3) simu-
schemes, and exam repeat rates in a mammography clinic of lation and decision module. Reference [22] introduces a new
the Brazilian Cancer Institute. In [8], a DES model is devel- modeling methodology to address organization problems of
oped to estimate the unit cost of mammography examinations health care systems using Petri nets-based metamodel.
at clinics by considering simulated changes in resource utiliza- In spite of these efforts, analytical models addressing the
tion rates and in examination failure probabilities. Moreover, breast imaging test processes in clinics and hospitals are not
the radiology testing (CT scan) process is studied in terms of available. The goal of this paper is to contribute to this end.
patient scheduling and resource allocation to improve patient
access to care and medical resource utilization in [14].
II. S YSTEM D ESCRIPTION AND P ROBLEM F ORMULATION
While simulations are widely applied and can provide
detailed analysis, many of them are case study based and A. Process Description
may suffer from long model development and simulation A typical breast imaging center consists of mammog-
time. Increasing variance has also brought a mounting aware- raphy equipment, exam rooms, receptionists, technologist
ness of the limitations of conventional simulation techniques. assistants (TA), radiology technologists (Tech), and imaging
Queueing theory model, as an analytical tool, can provide radiologists. The capacity of these resources varies according
quick analysis and more insights. Reference [11] summarizes to test center size, demand, and purpose. However, the general
queueing theory applications in healthcare, such as waiting procedures are usually standardized. Screening and diagnos-
time and utilization analysis, system design, and appoint- tic imaging are performed at designated exam rooms. Usually
ment systems, at different scales, from individual departments the receptionist deals with all types of patient visits at the
(or units) to healthcare facilities and regional healthcare sys- reception desk, not limited to mammography patients. The TA
tems. Reference [15] introduces an M/M/s queueing model is responsible for bringing patients from the reception area
to estimate the number of providers needed in an emergency to the changing room, preparing patients’ paperwork, deal-
department. To determine bed capacity of maternity facilities ing with schedule changes, and all other miscellaneous work.
in a perinatal network, a queueing theory model is used in [16] The radiology technologists are usually dedicated to their spe-
to evaluate refused admission probability and such a model cific exam rooms taking images. The imaging radiologist is
is embedded into a multiperiod mixed-integer optimization required when working with a diagnostic patient. The radiol-
algorithm for necessary capacity decisions. ogist is not dedicated to the mammography unit. He/she also
In addition to queueing models, other analytical methods works for other radiology departments and is seldom consid-
have been introduced to conduct flexible analysis and gain ered as a constraint in this system. Thus in this paper we view
insights. For example, in [17], a Markov chain model is devel- TA, Tech, and exam room (equipment) as the primary con-
oped to analyze the work flow and staffing level in a CT straints of interest. A work flow in a typical breast imaging
division of the UWMF. In the study of rapid response pro- center is shown in Fig. 1. The sequential stages of screening
cess to improve patient safety in acute care, the response and diagnostic visits are described below.
process is modeled as a complex network with split, merge, 1) A patient checks-in at the reception desk, fills
and parallel structures and an analytical method is developed basic information form and is seated in the
128 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS, MAN, AND CYBERNETICS: SYSTEMS, VOL. 46, NO. 1, JANUARY 2016
analysis tractable. In Section III-F, such an assumption the aforementioned constraints, we have (Q1 + 1) × 12 states.
will be relaxed and an extension to non-Markovian case In the subsystem model, Q1 = 5, which implies that there
will be discussed. are 72 feasible states. Then the steady state probability for a
3) The resource cannot be released until the correspond- feasible state Sk , k = 1, . . . , K, is defined as
ing service is finished. An ongoing service cannot be
disrupted before finishing, i.e., if the resource is being Pk = P sk1 , sk2 , sk3 , sk4 , k = 1, 2, . . . , K.
used, the next patient has to wait until the current service
finishes. B. Transitions
4) In the current system, n1 = M, and n2 = 1. Thus, each The state transition can be triggered by one of the follow-
Tech is dedicated to an exam room, while the TA is ing events: 1) a patient arrives; 2) a patient checks-in; 3) the
shared for all rooms. TA rooming finishes; 4) the imaging procedure finishes; and
In an appropriately defined state space, the subsystem satis- 5) a patient checks-out. Note that such events cannot occur
fying assumptions 1–4 is a stationary random process. Let simultaneously. Specifically, for a state Sk = {sk1 , sk2 , sk3 , sk4 },
Ti , i = 1, 2, . . . , M, denote the patient length of stay for the following events can occur.
each exam room in the system. In the framework defined by 1) When a patient arrives, if the waiting room is full
assumptions 1–4, Ti is a function of all system parameters (although unlikely), i.e., sk1 = Q, then the patient is lost
due to space limit and no transition occurs. Otherwise,
Ti = fT Qi , c1,i , c2,i , c3,i , c4,i , λi . (1)
it can go to state {sk1 + 1, sk2 , sk3 , sk4 } with arrival rate λ.
Denote the staff utilizations as ρTech and ρTA , for the 2) When a patient checks-in, if the exam room and sub-
Tech and TA, respectively, which are also functions of all waiting room are occupied or there is a patient waiting
parameters. for rooming already, i.e., sk2 + sk3 = 2, then no transi-
Then, the problem to be addressed is: under assump- tion occurs and the patient remains waiting in the lobby.
tions 1–4, develop a method to evaluate the patient length Otherwise, the patient goes to sub-waiting room after
of stay Ti , and staff utilization ρTech and ρTA as functions of checking-in, and Sk moves to state {sk1 − 1, sk2 + 1, sk3 , sk4 }
system parameters. with rate c1 . Note that such an event occurs only when
Solutions to the problem are presented below. there is a patient to check-in, i.e., sk1 ≥ 1.
3) When the patient finishes rooming, he/she leaves sub-
III. P ERFORMANCE A NALYSIS waiting room and starts diagnosis test with rate c2 . Thus,
Sk is changing to state {sk1 , sk2 − 1, sk3 + 1, sk4 } and sk2 ≥ 1.
To study this problem, we first analyze the scenario of
4) After the imaging test, if sk4 = 1, then the patient waits
one exam room, referred to as the subsystem. A Markov
for checking-out and no transition occurs. Otherwise,
chain model is developed and the corresponding results are
he/she goes to check-out and Sk transits to state
derived. Then the system with two exam rooms is evaluated.
{sk1 , sk2 , sk3 − 1, sk4 + 1} with rate c3 and sk3 ≥ 1.
By defining a link probability P, which is the TAs occupancy
5) Finally, when the patient checks-out, Sk moves to state
calculated in each room jointly, an iterative method is intro-
{sk1 , sk2 , sk3 , sk4 − 1} with rate c4 . Again, such an event
duced to adjust the efficiency loss due to shared resource
occurs only when there is a patient to check-out, i.e.,
among exam rooms. The convergence property of the itera-
sk4 ≥ 1.
tion method for two rooms is justified. Then the recursive
Let (k, l) define the transition rate from state Sk to Sl ,
procedure for the system with multiple exam rooms is pre-
k, l = 1, . . . , K, k = l, which takes one of the values of c1 ,
sented and validated by numerical experiments. Furthermore,
c2 , c3 , c4 , or λ. In addition
extensions to non-Markovian scenarios are investigated.
K
In addition to patient length of stay, the staff utilizations Then the average length of stay for a patient in room 1 can
can be calculated as be calculated using Proposition 1, denoted as function fT (·)
Proposition 2: Under assumptions 1–4 with one exam room (1) (1)
T1 = fT Q1 , c1,1 , c2,1 , c3,1 , c4,1 , λ1 .
K
ρtech = Pl · Isl >0
(11) Also obtained is the occupancy of TA in room 1
3
l=1 (1) 1
p1 = (1)
.
K
c2,1 T1
ρTA = Pl · I sl2 >0
. (12)
l=1 Using this new probability, we analyze the TA occupation in
room 2. The transition rate is updated as
Remark 2: The utilization of the TA and the Tech only indi-
cates the time percentage they spent with the mammography c(1)
2,2 = c2,2 1 − p(1)
1 .
test patients. Typically they have multiple job duties, which
are not included here. Similarly, the length of stay and TA occupancy can be
calculated
D. Two Exam Rooms T2(1) = fT Q2 , c1,2 , c(1)
2,2 , c3,2 , c4,2 , λ 2
The above results only consider one exam room. In other 1
words, it assumes that the TA is always available. However, p(1)
2 = (1)
.
c2,2 T2
when the system consists of two exam rooms, the TA will be
shared by both exam rooms. Such a work flow is illustrated This finishes the first iteration. In the next iteration, using
(1)
in Fig. 3, where the rectangular represents the process and the the updated probabilities pi , i = 1, 2, we repeat the procedure
ZHONG et al.: SYSTEM-THEORETIC APPROACH TO MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF MAMMOGRAPHY TESTING PROCESS 131
(2)
to obtain a new estimate pi , and the process continues. The
iteration terminates when all the differences between pki and
(k)
pk+1
i are sufficiently small. Then the corresponding T1 and
(k)
T2 are the estimated average length of stay of the patients
in two exam rooms, obtained through Proposition 1. Such a
process can be represented by the procedure below.
Procedure 1:
(k) (k−1)
c2,1 = c2,1 (1 − p2 )
T1(k) = fT Q1 , c1,1 , c(k)
2,1 , c3,1 , c4,1 , λ 1
1
p(k)
1 = (k)
(13)
c2,1 T1
c(k)
2,2 = c2,2 1 − p(k)
1 Fig. 4. Mammography patient flow model. Multiple exam rooms.
(k) (k)
T2 = fT Q2 , c1,2 , c2,2 , c3,2 , c4,2 , λ2
(k) 1 Procedure 2:
p2 = ⎛ ⎞
c2,2 T2(k)
(k)
i−1
(k)
M
(k−1) ⎠
k = 1, 2, . . . (14) c2,i = c2,i ⎝1 − pj − pj
j=1 j=i+1
with initial condition
(k) (k)
Ti = fT Qi , c1,i , c2,i , c3,i , c4,i , λi
p(0)
2 = 0.
(k) 1
The convergence of the procedure has been investigated. pi = (k)
Proposition 3: Under assumptions 1–4, Procedure 1 is con- c2,i Ti
vergent and i = 1, 2, . . . , M
exp (k) k = 1, 2, . . . (16)
Ti = lim Ti , i = 1, 2 (15)
k→∞
exp
with initial conditions
where Ti represents the patient length of stay at room i under
(0)
exponential assumptions of service times and interarrival time, pi ∈ [0, 1)
denoted by superscript “exp.”
and
Proof: See the Appendix.
(0)
Note that the initial condition p2 = 0 is introduced mainly
M
(k)
i−1
(k)
M
(k−1)
qi = pj + pj . (19)
j=1 j=i+1
to the scenario of multiple number of shared resources. To Usually δ is within 5% when CV is less than 0.5. The largest
simplify the analysis, assume each shared resource (see TA) is difference is observed when CV is close to 1, but is still
identical and independent. Similar to the single shared resource within 10%. This indicates that, the length of stay is prac-
case, a transition can fail due to that all the resources are work- tically independent of distribution type, but mainly depends
ing with other patients. Then the probability that all resources on the mean and CV. Figs. 7 and 8 illustrate such a property
are not available can be represented by (q(k) )s , where s is for two systems (denoted as systems 1 and 2, respectively) of
the number of shared resources (such as the number of TAs), three-identical exam rooms with the service times and inter-
and q(k) denotes the probability that the resource is not avail- arrival time following triangular, uniform, gamma, lognormal,
able as the only shared resource during the kth iteration. and mixed distributions. Patient length of stay and its 95%
ZHONG et al.: SYSTEM-THEORETIC APPROACH TO MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF MAMMOGRAPHY TESTING PROCESS 133
TABLE I
ACCURACY OF E MPIRICAL F ORMULA . (a) S YSTEM 1 AND (b) S YSTEM 2
confidence interval from the simulation results for each distri- where
bution are shown, δ = 0.2% and 4.5% for systems 1 and 2, exp
Ticv = CVeff,i Ti − Tifix + Tifix (24)
respectively. The differences among different distributions are
increasing with CV. Such a result is consistent with the obser- and CVarrival,i is the CV of patient interarrival time for exam
vations in other healthcare systems (see care delivery within room i.
patient room [20] and rapid response process [19]) and in 3) Accuracy: Following the proposed method, the patient
manufacturing systems as well (see [25]). length of stay and the staff utilizations in general sce-
2) Empirical Formula: Next, if the scheduled interarrival nario can be calculated. To evaluate the accuracy of such
time is long enough (longer than the sum of each service time, a method, dozens of simulation experiments have been car-
which is typical in most clinical settings), and there is no ried out using a simulation software package SIMUL8. Define
non-exp
variability in service time (i.e., CVi = 0), then the patient Tisims and Ti as the length of stay obtained by simula-
length of stay can be calculated using the total service time tion and empirical formula, respectively. Let be the relative
(since there is no TA availability problem). Thus, we define difference, defined as
such a length of stay as non-exp
Ti − Tisims
= · 100%.
4
1 Tisims
Tifix = . (21)
cj,i Among all the randomly generated scenarios, the average
j=1
of absolute difference || is less than 3%, and the largest one
Then the length of stay under nonexponential assumptions can is within 10%. Illustration examples are shown in Table I and
be adjusted based on Tifix by the CVs of service times and Figs. 9 and 10. Two systems of three-identical exam rooms are
interarrival time. To do this, based on the results of extensive tested here. The mean service times and the interarrival time
numerical studies, define are fixed throughout the tests. The CVs of the distributions
4 CV2j,i of the services and arrival are chosen from [0,1] in ascending
j=1 cj,i sequence from tests 1–9 for each system. In both figures, the
CVeff,i = 4 1 . (22)
j=1 cj,i
results from simulations and the empirical formula are repre-
sented by red crosses and blue squares, respectively. As one
exp
Then the length of stay can be adjusted based on Tifix , Ti , and can see, the differences in length of stay between the results
CVeff,i using an empirical formula. Specifically, we hypothe- from simulation and the empirical formula are within 5% and
size that there exists a linear relationship of lengths of stay the T non-exp is within the 95% confidence interval of T sims in
between CV = 0 and 1 based on numerical investigations. most of the cases. Therefore, we calculate that empirical for-
In other words, there exist empirical formulas to calculate mula (23) provides an accurate estimate of length of stay in
non-exp
the patient length of stay in the system, Ti , when both most cases when CVs take value from 0 to 1.
134 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS, MAN, AND CYBERNETICS: SYSTEMS, VOL. 46, NO. 1, JANUARY 2016
TABLE III
D EMAND C HANGE (A) AND (B) D EMAND
I NCREASED BY 5% AND 10%
(k) (k−1)
A PPENDIX Proof of Lemma 1: When p1 < p1 , we obtain
Illustrative Example: Let Q = 1, there exist 24 feasible
(k) (k) (k−1) (k−1)
c2,2 = c2,2 (1 − p1 ) > c2,2 1 − p1 = c2,2 .
states, named as states S1 –S24 below
(0, 0, 0, 0), (0, 1, 0, 0), (0, 0, 1, 0), (0, 0, 0, 1), (0, 1, 1, 0) As Ti is monotonically decreasing with respect to
cj,i [26], [27], it can be concluded that
(0, 0, 1, 1), (0, 1, 0, 1), (0, 0, 2, 0), (0, 2, 0, 0), (0, 0, 2, 1)
(0, 2, 0, 1), (0, 1, 1, 1), (1, 0, 0, 0), (1, 1, 0, 0), (1, 0, 1, 0) T2(k) < T2(k−1) .
(1, 0, 0, 1), (1, 1, 1, 0), (1, 0, 1, 1), (1, 1, 0, 1), (1, 0, 2, 0) This leads to
(1, 2, 0, 0), (1, 0, 2, 1), (1, 2, 0, 1), (1, 1, 1, 1). (k) 1 1 (k−1)
p2 = (k)
> (k−1)
= p2
Following the event description and (2) in Section III-B, the c2,2 T2 c2,2 T2
can be established, which is a 24 × 24 matrix. The elements which follows that
of the matrix (the transitions) are listed as follows:
(k) (k−1)
p2 > p2 .
(1,13) = λ; (1,1) = −λ
(2,14) = λ; (2,3) = c2 ; (2,2) = −(λ + c2 ) Continue such arguments, we have
(3,15) = λ; (3,4) = c3 ; (3,3) = −(λ + c3 ) (k+1) (k) (k−1) (k)
c2,1 = c2,1 1 − p2 < c2,1 1 − p2 = c2,1
(4,16) = λ; (4,1) = c4 ; (4,4) = −(λ + c4 )
and
(5,17) = λ; (5,8) = c2 ; (5,7) = c3
(k+1) (k)
(5,5) = −(λ + c2 + c3 ) T1 > T1 .
(6,18) = λ; (6,3) = c4 ; (6,6) = −(λ + c4 ) Then, it follows that
(7,19) = λ; (7,6) = c2 ; (7,2) = c4 (k+1) 1 1 (k)
p1 = (k+1)
< (k)
= p1 .
(7,7) = −(λ + c2 + c4 ) c2,1 T1 c2,1 T1
(8,20) = λ; (8,6) = c3 ; (8,8) = −(λ + c3 )
(9,21) = λ; (9,5) = c2 ; (9,9) = −(λ + c2 ) Proof of Lemma 2: The proof is similar to that of
(10,22) = λ; (10,8) = c4 ; (10,10) = −(λ + c4 ) Lemma 1.
(0)
Proof of Proposition 3: From p2 = 0, we have
(11,23) = λ; (11,12) = c2 ; (11,9) = c4
(1)
(11,11) = −(λ + c2 + c4 ) c2,1 = c2,1
(12,24) = λ; (12,10) = c2 ; (12,5) = c4 (1) (1)
T1 = fT Q1 , c1,1 , c2,1 , c3,1 , c4,1 , λ1
(12,12) = −(λ + c2 + c4 ) 1
(1)
(13,2) = c1 ; (13,13) = −c1 p1 = .
c2,1 T1(1)
(14,9) = c1 ; (14,15) = c2 ; (14,14) = −(c1 + c2 )
It follows that
(15,5) = c1 ; (15,16) = c3 ; (15,15) = −(c1 + c3 )
(16,7) = c1 ; (16,13) = c4 ; (16,16) = −(c1 + c4 ) c(1)
2,2 = c2,2 1 − p(1)
1
(17,20) = c2 ; (17,19) = c3 ; (17,17) = −(c2 + c3 ) (1) (1)
T2 = fT Q2 , c1,2 , c2,2 , c3,2 , c4,2 , λ2
(18,12) = c1 ; (18,15) = c4 ; (18,18) = −(c1 + c4 )
which leads to
(19,11) = c1 ; (19,18) = c2 ; (19,14) = c4
(1) 1
(19,19) = −(c1 + c2 + c4 ) p2 = (1)
> 0.
c2,2 T2
(20,18) = c3 ; (20,20) = −c3
(21,17) = c2 ; (21,21) = −c2 Thus, we obtain
(22,20) = c4 ; (22,22) = −c4 c(2)
2,1 = c2,1 1 − p(1)
2 < c(1)
2,1
(23,24) = c2 ; (23,21) = c4 ; (23,23) = −(c2 + c4 )
which implies that
(24,22) = c2 ; (24,17) = c4 ; (24,24) = −(c2 + c4 ). (2) (1)
T1 > T1
All other (i,j) = 0, when (i, j) does not belong to the above
combinations. and
To prove Proposition 3, the following lemmas are needed. 1
p(2)
1 = < p(1)
1 .
Lemma 1: Under assumptions 1–4, in Procedure 1, if p(k)1 < c2,1 T1(2)
(k−1) (k+1) (k)
p1 , then p1 < p1 , for k ≥ 2.
Continuing such arguments we obtain
Lemma 2: Under assumptions 1–4, in Procedure 1, if p(k)2 >
(k−1)
p2
(k+1)
, then p2
(k)
> p2 , for k ≥ 2. c(2) (1)
2,2 > c2,2 , T2(2) < T2(1)
ZHONG et al.: SYSTEM-THEORETIC APPROACH TO MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF MAMMOGRAPHY TESTING PROCESS 137
which implies that [18] X. Xie, J. Li, C. H. Swartz, and P. DePriest, “Modeling and analysis of
rapid response process to improve patient safety in acute care,” IEEE
(2) (1)
p2 > p2 . Trans. Autom. Sci. Eng., vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 215–225, Apr. 2012.
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theory to increase the effectiveness of emergency department provider Prof. Li was a recipient of the 2010 National Science Foundation Career
staffing,” Acad. Emergency Med., vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 61–68, 2006. Award, the 2009 IIE Transactions Best Application Paper Award, the 2005
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capacity planning for maternity facilities in a perinatal network: A queu- Paper Award, the 2006 IEEE Early Industry/Government Career Award in
ing and optimization approach,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. Autom. Sci. Robotics and Automation, and multiple awards in international conferences.
Eng., Seoul, Korea, 2012, pp. 137–142. He is a Department Editor of the IIE Transactions and an Associate Editor of
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of Wisconsin Medical Foundation,” Health Care Manage. Sci., vol. 15, Manufacturing, and the International Journal of Automation Technology. He
no. 2, pp. 108–120, 2012. was an Associate Editor of Mathematical Problems in Engineering.
138 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS, MAN, AND CYBERNETICS: SYSTEMS, VOL. 46, NO. 1, JANUARY 2016
Susan M. Ertl received the bachelor’s degree in Lauren Fiedler received the bachelor’s and mas-
nursing from the University of Wisconsin (UW), ter’s degrees in industrial and systems engineering
Madison, WI, USA, and the master’s degree in from the University of Wisconsin (UW), Madison,
nursing administration from Edgewood College, WI, USA.
Madison. She is a Senior Health Systems Engineer with the
She has been with UW Health, Madison, since UW Health, Madison. She has been with UW Health
1995, where she has been leading performance since 2008, where she leads and manages system-
improvement and systems design since 2003. She wide improvement initiatives focused on strategy
is currently the Vice President of Clinical Joint and redesign. She served as a Lead Project Manager
Ventures, UW Health. She has over 25 years of for the design and start-up of the UW Health
ambulatory health care experience which includes Digestive Health Center, Madison, where she is cur-
direct patient care, clinic management and new program, and facility design. rently managing the enterprise-wide redesign of UW Health Behavioral Health
She led the development of the UW Health Digestive Health Center, Services. She has held prior industrial engineering positions in the manu-
Madison, where she currently leads the enterprise-wide redesign of UW Health facturing industry with Nestle, Vevey, Switzerland, and Alcoa, New York,
Behavioral Health Services. NY, USA.
Ms. Fiedler is a member of the Institute of Industrial Engineers.