oo .
6 WARS IN THE 20TH CENTURY
rom Ec abi Ago tos The Sart Tenth
Attheend ofthe 19h century. many people were convinced hat war cold no longer
te 20
Pe Nil
be used ‘oo of diplomacy, yet war would become the dominant th
cenury. There were world! wars cah of which killed mils of
Ferguson cals Word Wer I (1939-45) the greatest man-made catastrophe of al ine!
‘ting theives of more than 5 million peo
Deelaring war on Rui on | August
1 eating Belgian netralisy
Invading France
| Beingng Briain ito the cont.
Austria-Hungary
‘Wis cer that Anstri-Hhngary wa deters ta espond othe Sarajevo incident, seeing
its an opportunity to lininate Serbia ae political factor in the Balkans
“The contribution of Austria-Hungary tothe outbreak of war wa that it
4 aggerated the potential threat of Sebi nd was determined to make wat
{nye sponding tthe tsnain, which contributed othe development ofthe
July Css
“+ Desaed war on Serbia on 28 uy, only ve days afer the delivery ofthe ukimatum
[which in any case had aime limi of only 48 hous)
+ Refsed eo hat its itary actions eve though negotiations wih Russa wee schduled
for 30 uy.
Russia
“The Rus Foreign Minster sein the uma to Serbia European Wat: Ses
Sneonor was deteined to tke firm stand, ashe believed that the Germans ad een
‘weakest in Russi previous response Ballan css, Although the Tsar wat in nour of
‘arial mobilization, hie general ordered gener] mobilization 083 [uly
“The contribution of Rss to the bepnning ofthe war wastat it
1+ Did not try to estrain Serb nationals, eventhough i asi o lea to instability in
‘he Balkans
“+ Supported Sri, which deepened the confit and pos caused Sebi to eet the
ums
1 Mobile, thus wigeringa general Earopean wat
France
‘France government wa estan about geting valved ina war any afer the
‘gominios defeat of 1271, id not want to provokes general war Frances al Rossa
mobilized without conakng the French and thea the Germans declared war on Fance on
5 August. France bad aot decid ogo twa itwas rept.‘Te esponsibiity of ance was hat it gave Rusia asuranees of support before the fly
aie
Britain
‘Brit ws vided over whether to Sight Germany oe nt. The Foreign Secretary, Edvard
(Gey wanted to, and there hasbeen etic of hs nd Ban's ambiguous postion in
the fly Cis, Some historians argue tha Britaia soald have made dea to Germany
thacit would stad hoor to shoulder withthe French, and this might have deterred the
‘Germans ro parsing the Shfien Plan Yet Grey himuel di ot have a mandate to
‘take is postion clear de tothe mised opinions of palament
‘The ilaton of the neutrality of Begum ed to some popular demand fr war with
{Gang and pve the British overament grounds, based onthe teat of 1890 dere
‘eae Theresponsbility of Britain forthe tar ofthe war was hat it should have made ts
postion clearer uring the uly Ces
John Lowe io makes the Following pint
‘he mot serious hare aint Bin, however that her maa swith Ruslan 194
“winced the German chanel thatthe ing of eileen around her was now complet
‘Gay fle dil of hse secret tals abo dreds cred as.a madara German
sin the hy cri
rom Robert ere and ob ows Rayan contrat lain 1670-1914 201
Historiography: the causes of the Great War
cartoon analysis
whats ie message of ths acon whch nas pushed on 26 Aust 914 folowing
Geman ran lg?
re tnamenetcaees‘THE CAUSES OF WORLD WAR | —____
Responsibility fr causing World War I wa placed onthe Central Powers bythe Verses
setementin 1919. tn the war guilt clause ofthe Treaty of Verses with Germany (Article
231), Germany had to acrpt esponsibility sone ofthe gyresos (This dscussed
in more detain Chapter 4) While the Trestyof Verses was being drawn up by te
‘ctorous powers, the German Freiga Ofc was already preparing documents fom their
{chives attempting to prove that al eligerent states were to ble, To tis end between
1922 an 1927 the Germans produced 4 volumes of documents backing up his clin,
‘ther govemment fl the ned to respond by producing ther own volumes of archives.
Briain pblsed 11 volumes between 1926 nd 1938, Frances own version of vets in
1936, Asta produced # volumes in 1930 and he Soviet Union broupt out justsicatory
publications in 1931 and 1934. Germany's argument gained international sympathy in
the 1920s and 19304, There was growing sentiment tat the ward been used bythe
fall of international lations ater tha the specif actions of ne county. Loyd
{George writing inhi nenoies inthe 1930s, cxplaine tha the nations slithered ver the
brink into the Boling carom of wa
SB Fay and HLE Barnes were wo Americas historians who, to some extent, supported
the revisionist aguments pat wad by Germany regarding the causes of Worl War
Barnes argue in his 1927 book, The Genes of he War tha Serbia, France and Rusia
were rectly responsible fo easing the way, that Austro-Hungarian responsi was
far es. and tht est responsible were Germany apd rit, He supported tis view by
‘suing thatthe Franco Russian lance became offensive fom 1912, and ter joint plans
intended to manipulate any criiin the Baans to provoke a European wat Bath countries
decide that Serbia would be central totheir war plans ad early in 1914 officers inthe
Serbian General Sta pote the assinaton of Franz Ferdinand. The Ruslan and French
‘motives for starting European wat were oan hei ey objectives the eine ofthe
ardane Susi etse of Ale Loraine hich oul only be alized through
‘An sian historian, Lig Alberti wrotea thorough and coherent esponse tthe
revisions argument in the 1980s Albertini argument focused onthe responsibly of
‘Aust Hungary and Germany in the ediat tem: Asta er the ulkmatum to Seri
tnd Germany fr itary in demanding localized wa. Over Germany wasn his
‘ew fandamentlly obama was clear thi rit coald not have remained eutra in
‘ar raging onthe cominnt
Fritz Fischer
In 1961, historian Fit Fischer published Germany Alms the First Word War this was
later eansnted into English, Father argument focused responsiblity back on Germany
Fe disconered document called the September Programm’ writen by he German
Chancel, Bethmann- Hollweg This memorandum, which was dated 9 September 1914
(afer war ad started), set ut Geomany aims for domination of Europe se Chapter
$3 formore dicamion ofthis aspzation) cher chimed tht the document proved tha
‘the ruling elite ad always had expansionist ims and that awa woud allow them to
Fall thes War would alo consolidate tee power at home ard dea with the threat of
socials, cher wet ont arg in anther book that the War Counc of 1912 proved
that Germany planned to lunch continent warn 1914 At this War Council on
Malka coramented that 'n my opinion wars inevitable and the sooner the beter
| Facer’ argument ie persuasive, hens longer-term polices from 1897 to short-term
‘and immediate ations taken isthe July Criss. In shor, eis able to explain why war
began,“Ginn the nso of he wold station i 1914 ~a condition or which Germany word
Pest ha aed te dangerous crises [those of 1905, 1906 and 1911), was
Fen omall nase responsible ~ any lint or laa warn Barape dec oing ome
Pt pwer must eval cary wih tthe inet danger ofa general waz As Germany
‘Te and coveted he Aso Serbian war and, he conden her itary superior,
Unibet fc th rik of confit wih Rusia and Proce headers rau et
‘nati hare of he sara respons for he outbreak of general wari 1914
rum ote aches Gory Ait nthe Fr World W167
-cher’anguments have een crv in the olin ways
ache argue backwards from the Geman ‘September war sim’ Teri iited
idence to prove Germany had specif expansion sins rior to September 1914
«+ The Decerber War Councl isa imited evidence; ts importance debatable a the
imperial Chane was not presen
‘Bacher holds the domestic cesiin Germany as cental to why war was triggered in
1914, However Bethmann- Hollweg dnmined war ar soltion to there of soi.
+ onal beargued that German policy lacked coherency inthe decade before 1914
{che focus too much on Germanys thi prioity eds to an emphasis on German
ction and he nels terol lye hy other powers
After Fischer
Since Fecher' thee on German guilt historians hee continued to debate the dere of
German esponsibility, Conservative German historians sich a Gerhard Riter rected
Fecher view in he 1960s although Immanuel Geis defended Biche ypublahing 2
‘book of German documents undermining the arguments ofthe revisions ofthe 19205
However, the majority of historian around the wold now ze that Germany psjed a
sot le inthe events tat eto war trough their policy of Welplik and thee ole
inthe Jay Crisis though this was no necessary apart of ay sepa a Fscer had
srgued'Itas Been widely asserted that German policy held th ey tothe station nthe
samme of 1914 and that twas the German deseo peat diplomatically and multay
foam the criss which widened the crs from an Ease Euopeen one toa continental and
sword wa’ (Rath Henig, The Origins fe First Word War, 1993)
Other hitrins hae stresed diferent issues in exliing the outrek of war, however,
John Keegan
May horn John Keegan face onthe vents of hel Crs He sugges tht
though thee were longterm and shor erm eons in Europe war sin tnt
ine oac wr wwllly Goh ierependenc snd cooper cory
forth Earopenn coon, pa oa nll ad lig links between the naons
‘The ey to Keegan's theory the lack of communication during the July Crisis He
highligh the act tht the Kaiser a 50 people advising him ~ most independent
nd jealous of one another: "The Kaiser. in he css of 1914. found tat he id not
‘understand the machinery he was suppose o cont panicked and lea ioe of paper
‘eernine event’ Kegan sags tht had Asta Hungay ate immediate the war
tight hae been ined oa oa alle, was Austa- Hungary luctance tact lone,
nd itsllance with Germany. that edo the escalation.
‘No county used the communications vale at he tine such 8 ado Information
ves asving Silly and was ava incomplete. The criss that allowed she expiration of |
‘he limatum to Serbia was not one that he European powers had expected and the key
problem wa that ach nation fed to communicate ts sims daring the crisis
=
|‘THE CAUSES OF WORLD WAR |
1+ Avstri-Hangay ba wane to pi Seri, bu lacked the courage to at lone. They
‘id aot wan general European wa
‘Germany had wanted a diplomatic sce that woud lee its Asto-Hung
stronger in Buropean eyes It didnot wana general European wat,
“+ Ross didnot want a pneral European war but had not calculated tht support far
Serbia would edge the danger of war dose.
1 France ad not mobilized, twas increasingly word that Germany woud mobile
sein
“+ Britain ony awoke to the el danger ofthe ers on Saturday 25 Jy and still hop
‘98 Thurdsy 30 uly that Rusia would tolerate he punishment of Serbia It would not,
wove, eve France in danget.
None ofthe European powers had communicted thr objectives eal the aly Cris
“Ther, for Kegan twas the events of 3 aly that were the tuning point The news|
of Russ general mobilization and the German ulimatum to Rasa and France made
the sou oe of peace or wa. The Great Powers could tp ack fom the brink but a
‘withraval would not be compatible wth the stu ofeach ra Great owe. The Serbs |
‘seo the cris theft place, had bee forgotten.
James Joll
Jotartemsto ink impersonal forces factors beond the spec cotrl or inuence of
‘mindivdal leader, ime or gvernment—to personal or Man-made forces. He wees
"natmosphere of intense tension war created by impersonal oer the long and sort
terms and personal decisions made ia the July Cris ed to wall explains the outbreak
‘of war in terms ofthe decison ake by the poli leaders in 1914, but argues that these
decisions were shaped bythe impersonal factors, which meant that the nders had only
Timed options ope other inthe Sal day of he
ally
rn intone
Mars hintorians ave focused on the ale of capitalism and imperialism asthe key causes
‘of Wold Wat | but initation wth focusing on mpersanal ctor isthat they do at
‘certo exlin why the war brake out when it did ols argument inks the impersonal
factors tothe personal decon-making aking place ring the aly Ces ands,
apparently overcomes this problem,
Niall Ferguson
In The Py of War (2006), Nal Ferguson sugges that Germany was moving avay fom
4 muita otiook prior wo Woe War and highlights the increasing inenc ofthe
Sscial Democrat arty there. The German Soil Democrat Paty was founded sa socialist
arty with ada agends for Germany. By 1912 they had gained the mos votes inthe
Reicha and ther inisence ncesingly alarmed he Kaiser regime, Ferguson ses
Brain evicted inthe cases of war, particular Sir Edward Grey Bis
misinterpreted German ambition nd decided to eto inpede German expusinisn
Ferguson doesnot sce war a inevitable in 114, derpite the fore f mitre,
imperial and secre diplomacy.ES
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