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    Abhijit Paul
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    15 views11 pages

    Stats 4

    Uploaded by

    Abhijit Paul

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 11
    P oben ” secubr tend 14.2 03% By th is ec methel of Qeas+ square estirocte the anual pre 1 Year 1999 &2000 using Oinear cay’ 2 » Year 17491 92 93 a4 Peder qa Anquol pit FO = 15 cs 7 - qponet : @ dhe Oinear eq’ je given by ye atbx rosie mh, Eerie} y sae Yo | y feuear-k_| we | oy ver aerwast sar [eo [-3 9 =120 | er¥s—a. 12 | aa -14y Wes ce 4 6e3 ‘ ‘3 las 45 ates 1 “ 1 FIST . o ° tyes } 46 + eal : © Jeo | goes re 16 | e5 Q gy [tFO | oper Tires ee z 1 |a85 | goss cltes key | ex-0 [72° Exe z 53Q [ ag | 136 538. sep xr0 actWe* 5.34 = 16 aond eu t : 15-98-22 ay gne Palloosing daa give tote! ex pend nite imeurea by daring ce rtain deers Cerkain calle g% Is 19 20 2] ye ol 2013 he is 16) I sgrerstaein ps no ve 25 28 a5 OE as Fohitmle exopenditoe have beoq tneur ret by the above callege que Bic yor os )2093 a0 find fo che cotlege? bien” ol 19-03-22 us [| Y ale xr | TY | Yergae Wesel | Omaye go | ts [-4 te |-e0 ween el Ie a a \r . ay 6 o ; tf “ <3 q Belp 6699 jo O-osqds | = apy sow |. 163 Jo-oaes 3 fo 4 pee 2-399 07018 | 9 auxiof ie |? ° o |0 nae a axle? 3 ao 4 [28 [316] lorae o0rep 26 | sro 4 |e | 3-548 66381 | o+1g0% |, Hella yg [IR | 3993 01042 |e topxids | ata 1G 1a? | 4*304 or ort | 54929 M10 zu Jexyo lex: [= 0:39 | orlsee ai A ed Eweud a 168 | o-to4 UX 0 a= 29 n ibe ed xe = Grend equation : atb% ye 78 HO'BSl) X b) Expenditure Por the yeas 2092 x Yx~ 2017 for a0aa dt 290907 20178F :2 .qax038 (5) = 4685 Yno 22 ly fox 2083 = 9023-20175 6 Upo2g = tat (0 331)(6) 2 066 c) Jo kit the ePFicepcy ep college the Follood 9 sa! meth are ) Mean abaloule, deviakon (MAI) EOS SEES ES SSIES 15-03-28 = ZlY-Vel 1 2 IG = 0-866 | 8) Mean squae error (MSE ZU-Ue)? 7 ™N 5 , The data given below! Is aolleckd foro the recotdé a6 BE ‘Year 1980s (as ‘ we 1a % a , tod yg 6a BR TT | cons 34 «x MSE? Cin K) « also coTopie MAD f 6-012 iq-203 re 2X20 oe 2 BS 6°98 AY 6 Oe 2Yn* I Mans zis tel + G-012 be B49. Bes oulet mm Ya =O FSIS ce Be Tucmdes: = ot be MSE BCS" 9-299. / BeBtolomt WI na > De INL 196352 8'SDICE 49929 TF = 0-900 1994 =) X=191Pe 11835 IOSD BH 4 (1) pitting oF Quadratic tend aay — Fit a quadrakc tzend ea: to the following time series data Oc 02 02 G7 uP. 2001 2002 03 04 «0S Ye 2 6 eee (ink) Compuk the frend values and estimate the output for the yean 2012) HN: the quodrakc ea is given ly Ye atbxtcx™ where ayb/C Are consrank syl'5 dependent variable sy! is independent " To He Phe above eg: fist we've a,b¥Ce Using the following norinal eqs to eshmak He Conskant values ‘V0 T2x20 b: Yay Yar zysnare 2% ~~) woeysa Pe toExXt —se) aan ee ee a ————————————=—=—= tS 14-03-22 = 5! b= 25 50-85 44 = 9(a) t © (60) 42 9a 160630) a = AGT c(403) 3 @) Blovina 1) 4 @) Q :+10 bc =_0-26 1. Fnend ey: 1 atbx ee plot o85(%) 40-9679 Or 2019 1, Qol2- 2005 = 79% 2 Yes 10+085 @ ay ) t= 510 y From tre follewrag ‘nrosmelion neds Rae EO ' -48 ony 2420, 29°F wade ot folimmale the pasabolic trend en 7 wy _ way, fea 2 [At na rex) zur ct) 95+ Fa)+ [ quent ozo woey yoo = ace + CGI) 0) plovina (1) Fe) azilg3 c=0790 1y) X FO-20% aPor727 ee 2s Ht least squnre parabola trend eq: Pram the fell dot and egtimot the value cf 4 viben x74 4 4 d 4 4 4 4Od - 9.334 4 eS a sy= nates? 2 aoatre(FY 34) 7 zey.aZete Zev logge sa(17 SIT CCFA249) 3) ; solving) 42) ' a: 5: ee 374 ‘ Cc. BRR 0 1225F = xP 4 nerd eq ysarbe ree = Beast -394 (6) t Or 2a 4? 4 aay 2 E54 4 xs +4 q spd + 9.334 (F- ges) £00288) CF arsy } Ons ‘ x~=4 . yer SBP HI SIA(V I'S) + (03854) (F-9'S)% 4 = 36-86 i OF : Hing an expo menkbl eq ys ab™ 2909-2 Gonsides y= ab* fn order to eskmake conahatt values a ee First comverh the above eq In lo a Onear tend eal logy = loga + logb™ logy = foga t x+logh I () Pub logy= vy logaz A & logb= ay ve at ex (hired hand ey’) Normal eqy'5 ane oye mA +820 wig V EA ZEEE o . Pik ana ax powantial ey: to the flloawing deka to 234 eA y re 45 Bed 7 13-8 eT v Se be 0 real pant - 4 : fey bePare: 22) de dima how many i. on paaneiiell cligite fa reo 5G 9G: S(AIT Bis) 3 pom +B st ee led Slo = 25 ye) (x33) 17-08 55) ay 8647 = A (15) $B (55 Ses solving() § (V3 BEHY A e290 B= O-TF2 isa t5SB ys —exgegart tO @)-@)> fogs Yate Bro-¢99 Ex ponephal SMoobbing tea tad j- 2g-99~2? the objective of this method fo stot out the tandom fluchuahons coused by Ybe irregular commpone nh or time serice “he exporeDkal smontberng qoedal 1 Gv by Fea: «() 4 (Uo) Fe phere Fer) = forecash oF he hitae serks Be period” t41” Y% sacluel yolue jo becrved value er hime seria for the fireaseries for the Fy 3 Roreces| firme t" oe: smootbrog copprant (ofae 3 ‘ “Rracost for the pariod ip aleays eayel fo Hime sare ley pariod 4 YF : / a a covtsact in dollars 1? Juelve month 9403597 pho building is given beloa 99029 bad expore Bhal 8 values oF ‘a’ Al period 930,260 7280) goropuke Riecod vil el BD INO 12393 249 1 eromnlheng Gopslon}. a-o?d on fBrecagh for “12 months sy Gatevters Fens ©Ye Fi-a) Fe Ay eels) Yr Fre OF Fa = o70(ay) 4 (ro ENO) - 2 & : 2 cana) Ord = 42240 Put bea Fa = 0-6, ( Yo) +o) (ona) = 0120950) 1(0:8)(200) ; 0 + 198 = C2. gts ova (930) F080) : 4ot 2006, £2556 tee ‘ . 556 i re ona (aco) ta? ) 355 ga bows = 256°F8 pe . s & f re 1384 “12 208.9992 Fe = 078 ( 92) £02 (06 49) . 56 F208 18h ag le? re = 020320) -ore(26l-2P) Wage toe Tere 272-9942 Fe = o-2(220) $98 Cy rt) USSBIC 7 * » = yy F218 354= 262-957 roy ot ot : i $09 (2623S aee-F 9 209 cede aegy ihe a = GQ + 20788 = 213736 32 240 5 us Fie 010 eS) FOR (29588) UTE Oe AR 5 iat > ZS proy toy 228. zy) to 42 310 a Fis 0:2 (S88) + 0g (266 700) 34 loy ee = G6 2236 = ZSRSC an ro 62 29536 “os Fiz = 0:2 (2£0) +0°8(259'36) aE = YS f 204-489 = 2552 (Ye ‘on ' ) Gomputalion ' oF Mare MSE _DAr03-I2 BreSetior Hoth — | Actaal ey vale (Ye oat q 290 ) | (Pe) __{ byerul (4)? R 350 O40 a 3 230 262 35 _ aoe 2556 44 5 Q8O D56NP 09.52 « 320 rerisp [se +816 3 — pqoeqyar {59 1792 g R40310 [26239 aa-99d q ado 270 [255'8° 5H 01D '0 239.310 266-10" | 36. #04 ) ayo osqa6 [IV BE a = ossye |__| zlye-Fe] e(4eF)* MAD > slveFul/e MERE sie IK, ‘ i we | seven gndex & dda on the coro tod} Pulure ince y a 160 52/40 TS? pas, thos P9974 J I go ropule forecat f° the ext “ cals i: 1 ¢cOr4& Iso using exponential smoothing gonstant a estiande MSE? Ms Peete oc: Ve t (Ir Od Feet] e=1 > Yio fi 2435 eee = co) (435) $(0:G) B38) = FIT “ 7 OMG) + (o9):25) DiyprO3 2? . nae pays 734 _ Fy =@r¥) (rss) HOO (134) 2TH Fs =(owl4 6 tO cre 2 ydis is up? fog Frat FaReH 5 16082, oom 7 5052)

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