Professional Documents
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Chapter 02 RM
Chapter 02 RM
and
Risk Risk Management
Management-
A Helicopter View
Shahriar Rabbi
1
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Learning Outcomes
Pre-loss objectives:
– Prepare for potential losses in the most economical way
– Reduce anxiety
– Meet any legal obligations
Post-loss objectives:
– Ensure survival of the firm
– Continue operations
– Stabilize earnings
– Maintain growth
– Minimize the effects that a loss will have on other persons and on society
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Steps in the Risk Management
Process
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Risk Control Methods
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Risk Financing Methods:
Retention
• A captive insurer is an insurer owned by a parent firm for the
purpose of insuring the parent firm’s loss exposures
– Captives are formed for several reasons, including:
• Costs may be lower than purchasing commercial insurance
• A captive insurer has easier access to a reinsurer
• A captive insurer can become a source of profit
• Self-insurance is a special form of planned retention
– Part or all of a given loss exposure is retained by the firm
– A more accurate term would be self-funding
– Widely used for workers compensation and group health benefits
A risk retention group is a group captive that can write any type of
liability coverage except employer liability, workers compensation, and
personal lines
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Risk Financing Methods:
Retention
Advantages Disadvantages
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Non-insurance Transfers
A non-insurance transfer is a method other than insurance by
which a pure risk and its potential financial consequences are
transferred to another party. Examples include:
• Contracts, leases, hold-harmless agreements
Advantages Disadvantages
– Can transfer some losses – Contract language may be
that are not insurable ambiguous, so transfer may fail
– Save money – If the other party fails to pay, firm
– Can transfer loss to is still responsible for the loss
someone who is in a better – Insurers may not give credit for
position to control losses transfers
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Risk Financing Methods:
Insurance
Insurance is appropriate for loss exposures that
have a low probability of loss but for which the
severity of loss is high
– The risk manager selects the coverages
needed, and policy provisions:
• A deductible is a provision by which a specified
amount is subtracted from the loss payment
otherwise payable to the insured
• An excess insurance policy is one in which the
insurer does not participate in the loss until the
actual loss exceeds the amount a firm has decided
to retain
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Risk Financing Methods:
Insurance
Advantages Disadvantages
– Firm is indemnified for – Premiums may be costly
losses • Opportunity cost should be
– Uncertainty is reduced considered
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Risk Management Matrix
Example
Potential theft of supplies
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Risk Manager’s job
The scope of the risk manager’s job differs across
organizations.
– selects the coverage needed, and policy provisions
– selects the insurer, or insurers, to provide the coverage
– negotiates the terms of the insurance contract
– must review the insurance program periodically
– compare the costs and benefits of all RM activities
• Today, the risk manager’s job:
– Involves more than simply purchasing insurance
– Is not limited in scope to pure risks
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Benefits of Risk Management
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Enterprise Risk Management
(ERM)
• Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) is a
comprehensive risk management program that
addresses the organization’s pure, speculative,
strategic, and operational risks
• As long as risks are not positively correlated, the combination of these
risks in a single program reduces overall risk
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Risk Management Tools
– Insurance Market Dynamics
– Loss Forecasting
– Financial Analysis in Risk Management Decision Making
– Risk management information systems (RMIS)
– Risk management intranets
– Predictive analytics
– Risk maps
– Value at risk (VAR) analysis
– Catastrophe modeling
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Insurance Market Dynamics
• Decisions about whether to retain or transfer risks are
influenced by conditions in the insurance marketplace
• The Underwriting Cycle refers to the cyclical pattern of
underwriting stringency, premium levels, and profitability
– “Hard” market: tight standards, high premiums, unfavorable
insurance terms, more retention
– “Soft” market: loose standards, low premiums, favorable
insurance terms, less retention
Surplus and clash loss factors affect property and liability
insurance pricing and underwriting decisions
• Insurers are making increasing use of securitization of risk,
for ex: catastrophe bond
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Loss Forecasting
• The risk manager can predict losses using
several different techniques:
– Probability analysis
– Regression analysis: characterizes the
relationship between two or more variables and then
uses this characterization to predict values of a variable
– Loss distribution- is a probability distribution of
losses that could occur
• Of course, there is no guarantee that losses
will follow past loss trends
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Financial Analysis in Risk
Management Decision Making
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Risk management information systems
(RMIS), Intranets and Risk Map
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Value at risk (VAR) analysis and
Catastrophe modeling
• Value at risk (VAR) analysis involves calculating the
worst probable loss likely to occur in a given time period
under regular market conditions at some level of
confidence
• The VAR is determined using historical data or running a computer
simulation; Often applied to a portfolio of assets
• Can be used to evaluate the solvency of insurers
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Case studies and Application
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Case studies and Application
Be Careful About
Career Planning
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