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Performance of
Performance of telecoms telecoms
privatised under different modes
and structures
555
A comparison of New Zealand and
Australian telecoms
Mark D. Domney
Department of International Business, The University of Auckland,
Auckland, New Zealand
Abstract
Purpose – This paper aims to examine whether the mode of privatisation and the subsequent
ownership structure affects post-privatisation performance.
Design/methodology/approach – Utilising a theoretically derived sample of two matched
telecommunications firms in New Zealand and Australia, and non-parametric analysis of financial
data, the performance of two forms of privatisation are compared: full privatisation via direct sale to
foreign anchor investors versus partial privatisation via a domestic share issue restricting foreign
ownership.
Findings – Concentrated ownership through direct sales to foreign owned anchor investors is not
more efficient or profitable, nor does it result in increased capital investment; it does, however, result in
higher dividend payouts.
Research limitations/implications – These findings contradict the accepted wisdom and
dominant theory in the field that full privatisation outperforms partial privatisation, and that FDI
transfers firm-specific ownership advantages enabling the recipient to outperform domestically owned
firms. However, the findings are applicable to the two firms and countries studied and future studies
need to extend these to the wider population of privatised firms.
Practical implications – While privatisation will improve organisational performance, the choice
of whether to privatise by direct sale to anchor investors and foreign owners versus a partial share
issue privatisation and keeping a domestic focus will have post-privatisation performance
implications.
Originality/value – A more nuanced understanding is provided of the performance implications of
modes of divestiture and ownership structures in advanced economies.
Keywords Privatization, Corporate ownership, International investments, Share issues, New Zealand,
Australia
Paper type Research paper
Introduction
Privatisation is grounded on theories of market efficiency and ownership which assert
that private enterprises are more efficient than state ownership. Yet, little attention has
been paid in this literature to the location of private ownership, domestic or foreign, nor International Journal of Public Sector
to ownership structures, other than fully public or private (Omram, 2004). Moreover, Management
Vol. 22 No. 6, 2009
this dyadic concept of ownership structures fails to acknowledge the reality of pp. 555-575
continuing government involvement in privatised industries due to partial q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
0951-3558
privatisation (Bortolotti et al., 2003). This paper represents an attempt to develop a DOI 10.1108/09513550910982896
IJPSM more nuanced understanding of the performance implications of different privatisation
22,6 modes and structures.
There are two dominant modes of privatisation:
(1) direct sales to strategic investors; and
(2) public offerings or share issue privatisations (SIPs) (Sader, 1995; Mahoobi, 2002;
Megginson et al., 2004).
556
SIPs can be further distinguished by whether they are majority or minority issues. SIPs
result in mixed enterprise types (Bortolotti et al., 2003) that do not easily fit the
privatisation dichotomy, since they include public and private ownership
simultaneously (Boardman and Vining, 1989). However, the residual government
ownership typical of SIPs signals a credible commitment to the ongoing success of the
privatisation process and this, in turn, reduces investor risk (Perotti, 1995) and
improves post-privatisation organisational performance. In contrast, privatisations by
direct sale to anchor investors result in a more concentrated ownership structure
providing more effective monitoring of managers and, hence, better corporate
governance (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997).
By value, the telecommunications industry is the largest to be privatised, with 59
per cent of all privatisations by SIP and accounting for 70.4 per cent by value,
compared with 41 per cent by direct asset sale and 29.6 per cent by value (Megginson
et al., 2004). Governments also sell a lower percentage of the enterprise when
privatising via SIP (Bortolotti et al., 2003). “In the average SIP, governments sell 35 per
cent of the SOE’s capital. The average asset sale privatizes 74 per cent of the SOE, with
a median value of 90 per cent” (Megginson et al., 2004, p. 2845). A number of studies of
privatisations in developing countries and countries in transition have found that
direct sales outperform other ownership types, such as minority and majority SIPs
(Omram, 2004; Claessens and Djankov, 1999; Pivovarsky, 2003). However, McKnight
et al.’s (2003) study of privatisations in emerging markets found a positive correlation
between residual government ownership, typical of SIPs, and the subsequent
performance of these companies. We delve deeper into this issue by examining the
post-privatisation performance of two telecoms in developed markets:
(1) Telstra Australia, privatised by domestic SIP; and
(2) Telecom New Zealand, privatised by direct sale to anchor investors.
Profitability
Privatisation to foreign owners is a form of international acquisition (Doh et al., 2004),
and studies of international acquisitions demonstrate abnormal returns (Markides and
Ittner, 1994; Gleason et al., 2002; Seth, 1990, Seth et al., 2000). Studies have found that
privatisations involving foreign owners results in greater levels of profitability
(Frydman et al., 1999; Uhlenbruck and De Castro, 2000; Rojec, 2001). In addition, the
weight of evidence falls in favour of direct sales to anchor investors outperforming SIP
privatisations due to the benefits of concentrated ownership (Omram, 2004; Claessens
and Djankov, 1999; Kocenda and Svejnar, 2003; Pivovarsky, 2003). Therefore, we take
as our starting position the following hypothesis:
H1. Privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI will be more
profitable than privatisations by SIP restricting FDI.
Efficiency/productivity Performance of
As indicated by Sheshinski and Lopez-Calva (1999), increased profitability does not telecoms
indicate increased productivity. Increased profitability may be derived from increased
operational efficiency, decreased allocative efficiency, or both. The use of separate
measures for profitability and productivity should help to tease out this relationship.
Direct sales to anchor investors, particularly foreign investors, are encouraged by
divesting governments due to the industry-specific management and technological 559
expertise that can be brought to the privatised firm (Ramamurti, 2000). This results in
more concentrated ownership, which has been found to have higher post-privatisation
productivity (Claessens and Djankov, 1999; Omram, 2004). Empirical evidence also
indicates that foreign owned firms exhibit higher levels of productivity than domestic
firms (Haddad and Harrison, 1993; Buckley et al., 2004). At an aggregate level, a higher
level of foreign capital participation in an economy is correlated with greater
productivity, development of high technology and new products, and access to
international markets (Buckley et al., 2002). Privatisation studies from countries in
transition illustrate that privatisation to foreign owners results in greater levels of
efficiency (Uminski, 2001; Kocenda and Svejnar, 2003). Given this, we expect that direct
sales to foreign owners will result in greater levels of efficiency and productivity than
partial privatisations to domestic investors through SIP:
H2. Privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI will be more
efficient than privatisations by SIP restricting FDI.
Capital investment
The relationship between ownership and capital investment is less clear, with some
empirical findings showing that investment increases post-privatisation (Uhlenbruck
and De Castro, 2000; Megginson et al., 1994) and other studies finding that
privatisation “is not followed by the burst of investment government officials
frequently hope for” (La Porta and López-de-Silanes, 1999, p. 1212). This second study
consisted of firms sold almost exclusively through direct sales to anchor investors.
Omram (2004) finds no significant difference in capital investment between anchor
investors and majority and minority SIPs. However, Uminski (2001) finds that
privatisations to foreign owners results in increased capital investment.
In the case of direct sales to foreign anchor investors, one possible argument is that
the fear of re-contracting or expropriation results in capital underinvestment in long
lasting assets (Laffont and Tirole, 1993). This may be reinforced in situations of
acquisition, privatisation to foreign owners being a specific case of acquisition (Doh
et al., 2004), where a return is expected from the acquired existing assets. However, if
governments retain a residual share of the privatised enterprise, as is the case with
SIPs, signalling a credible commitment not to re-contract or expropriate profit (Perotti,
1995), the risk associated with long-term investment is reduced and partially privatised
enterprises would be more likely to make capital investments. On average, we
hypothesise that, after acquisition, capital expenditure decreases for privatisations
through direct sales to foreign owners and increases for partial privatisations through
SIPs:
H3. Privatisations by SIP restricting FDI will exhibit more capital investment
than privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI.
IJPSM Leverage
22,6 Privatisation studies find that, on average, leverage decreases post privatisation.
Megginson et al. (1994) find that 70 per cent of firms decrease leverage
post-privatisation but that, in non-competitive industries and OECD countries, this
decline is relatively small. If direct sales to anchor investors include FDI, the
obsolescence bargaining model (Vernon, 1971) suggests that foreign firms minimise
560 equity and maximise debt in order to reduce the exposure to re-contracting by a
divesting government (Wells and Gleason, 1995). This would indicate that direct sales
to foreign anchor investors are likely to increase leverage post-privatisation.
For SIPs with residual government ownership, Perotti (1995) proposes a credible
commitment not to re-contract exists and, thus there is reduced risk associated with
investment. In such cases, SIPs would not need to minimise equity by maximising
debt. Some corroborating evidence is provided by Omram (2004), who finds that
minority SIPs reduce debt while concentrated anchor investors do not, and Kocenda
and Svejnar (2003), who find financial leverage declines for minority SIPs. We therefore
hypothesise that:
H4. Privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI will increase
debt more than privatisations by SIP restricting FDI.
Dividends
The vast number of previous studies on the outcomes of privatisation which find
increased internal efficiency and profitability are largely studies of returns to owners.
While the distributional outcomes of a firm’s higher profit are not made explicit,
implicitly higher firm-level profitability is likely to be captured by shareholders and,
perhaps, management. Those studies that explicitly examine returns to shareholders
find that new owners of privatised enterprises are able to capture a significant share of
the gains of privatisation. This is made up from a number of sources. Governments
have been found to under price privatisation sales by on average 30 per cent, resulting
in large transfers of wealth from public to private owners (Jones et al., 1999). Newberry
and Pollitt (1997) find share prices of privatised firms rose by over 250 per cent and
outperformed the share market by 100 per cent. They also note that about one quarter
of the gains are transferred out of the country. Hodge’s (2000) meta-analysis finds that
privatisations are associated with high shareholder returns. The empirical evidence
strongly indicates that the purchasers of privatised enterprises are winners in the
distributional outcome.
However, these studies do not indicate whether dividends differ by ownership
structure. Shleifer and Vishny’s (1997) theory would suggest that direct sales to anchor
investors, resulting in concentrated ownership with associated cash-flow rights,
focuses the organisation’s attention on improved profitability and, accordingly, it is
logical to assume that this would result in higher dividends paid to the concentrated
owners. La Porta and López-de-Silanes (1999) find significant returns to capital for
their sample of privatisations in Mexico, where privatisation was almost exclusively
by direct asset sale. When a direct sale involves FDI, empirical findings from the
acquisition literature may shed some light on possible ownership implications. Studies
of acquisitions in domestic markets show no significant returns to acquisition.
However, studies of international acquisition show abnormal returns (Markides and
Ittner, 1994; Gleason et al., 2002; Seth, 1990, Seth et al., 2000). The obsolescence
bargaining model argues that, given the risks of re-contracting associated with foreign Performance of
acquisition, the front loading of returns is likely (Wells and Gleason, 1995), suggesting telecoms
that dividend payments would be higher to recoup investment before governments
re-contracted.
SIPs involving residual government ownership result in the organisation pursuing
political rather than financial goals (Shleifer and Vishny, 1997), thus resulting in lower
dividend payouts. However, if the divesting government utilises a SIP to create an 561
equity culture in order to broaden support for the privatisation process (Bortolotti et al.,
2002), the government may wish the firm to increase dividend payments to cement this
support. Given the above discussion, we would expect that the payout ratios of both
direct sales to anchor investors and SIPs would increase, but that the increase would be
greater in direct sales to anchor investors, particularly those involving foreign anchor
investors.
H5. Privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI will increase
dividends more than privatisations by SIP restricting FDI.
Taxation
While there is no theoretical or empirical evidence to suggest that tax paid would differ
by ownership structure, at least two arguments can be formulated. In general, we
would expect that taxation levels would increase post privatisation. Direct sales to
anchor investors resulting in concentrated ownership is hypothesised to result in
greater profit and payout ratios compared with SIPs. A higher profit ratio would
indicate a higher tax payment. Yet, given the hypothesis that firms privatised by direct
sale to anchor investors increase debt levels, it is feasible that taxation liabilities are
diminished in this instance. SIPs that still have residual government ownership would
have no incentive to minimise taxation. On average, we hypothesise that:
H6. Privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI pay more tax
than privatisations by SIP restricting FDI.
Employment
The empirical findings on the effect of privatisation on employment are inconsistent.
Some studies find massive decreases in employment. For example, La Porta and
López-de-Silanes (1999) find that, for 233 Mexican privatisations, the mean number of
white collar workers declined by 53.5 per cent and blue collar workers by 53.4 per cent.
They note that these figures underestimate the employment effect, as the government
also decreased employment as part of restructuring prior to privatisation. They
attribute approximately one third of the increase in profitability to layoffs. Again
virtually this entire sample was privatised through direct sale to anchor investors.
Contrasting this finding is Megginson et al.’s (1994) study of 18 countries and 61 firms
privatised by SIPs. They find that employment actually increased in 64.1 per cent of
their cases, and this finding was statistically significant at the 10 per cent level.
Aggregate studies that do not distinguish between ownership type have less robust
findings. For instance, D’Souza and Megginson’s (1999) study of 78 firms in 25
countries finds insignificant declines in employment figures overall, but substantial
decreases for the subgroup of non-competitive firms. Hodge (2000), in his meta-analysis
utilising 93 previous empirical observations on employment, finds that employment
IJPSM declines on average, but just outside the 5 per cent level of significance (p ¼ 0:59).
22,6 Finally, Megginson and Netter (2001) summarise ten studies, finding that three result
in increases in employment, two have insignificant changes and five uncover
decreases.
Theoretically, it can be argued that concentrated ownership is more likely to reduce
employment, in order to improve both efficiency and profitability, when compared with
562 the dispersed ownership associated with SIPs. The logic of the obsolescence
bargaining model (Vernon, 1971), maximising short term returns in order to reduce
payback periods, would also lend itself to larger reductions in labour as a means of
increasing profitability in direct sales to foreign strategic investors. This is
corroborated by empirical evidence in transition countries, which indicates that
foreign owners restructure more than domestically owned firms (Frydman et al., 1999;
Uhlenbruck and De Castro, 2000).
SIPs with residual government ownership have political non-profit objectives
(Shleifer and Vishny, 1997) – for example job security and re-election – and thus SIPs
may be less likely to instigate severe reductions in employment. Omram (2004, p. 108)
finds that majority SIPs and anchor investors reduce employment more that minority
SIPs and privatisations to employees, and suggests that the result for minority SIPs
can be explained by the government “wishing to show social aspects in its
privatisation programme”. Therefore:
H7. Privatisations by direct sale to anchor investors involving FDI reduce
employment more than privatisations by SIP restricting FDI.
Sample
The choice of the telecommunications industry in New Zealand and Australia meets
the criterion for theoretical sampling. These countries provide a natural experiment by
which to investigate the impact of privatisation under different ownership modes and
structures. A single industry exploratory case study minimises industry differences,
and utilising matched firms from New Zealand and Australia minimises cultural and
political differences. Both countries have small populations relative to their
geographical size, and both are isolated island nations, limiting the potential for
cross-country competition. Telecommunications is important for the economic
competitiveness of both countries and the telecommunications firms are amongst
the largest in terms of their respective share markets. Equally, because of the dispersed
nature of the populations, particularly the rural population, exclusion from the
telecommunications network would have serious social costs.
In both countries telecommunications services were delivered by a government
monopoly as part of the broader post office. The need for greater efficiency saw both
countries move telecommunications into a separate SOE. In Australia this occurred
incrementally between 1989 and 1992, with the emergence of the Australian and
Overseas Telecommunications Corporation Ltd (AOTC), renamed Telstra in 1993. At
the same time as the AOTC was formed, Australia introduced competition into the
market place by licensing Optus (a private sector consortium) as a direct competitor.
Australia privatised the state-owned telecommunications company, Telstra, through
two tranches of public share offerings in 1997 and 1999, selling a combined 49.9 per
cent while retaining 50.1 per cent. Foreign ownership was restricted to 16.7 per cent of
the privatised shares, with no single foreign owner able to purchase more than 5 per
cent of the privatised shares or 1.67 per cent of the total company. In New Zealand, Performance of
Telecom as a SOE was formed in 1987 and its statutory monopoly was removed in telecoms
1989. New Zealand privatised 100 per cent of Telecom in 1990 by direct sale to a
consortium led by Ameritech and Bell Atlantic, which then sold on just over 50 per cent
through an international initial public offering (IPO).
Both firms are the dominant telecommunications companies in their respective
countries. Thus, both firms operate in markets with elements of natural monopoly. 563
Parts of the telecommunications industry are deemed to be non-competitive, for
example the line infrastructure and switching equipment, whereas newer technology,
such as mobile communications, is considered competitive. However, the necessity for
competitors to connect to the dominant incumbent’s network has enabled privatised
telecommunication firms to severely limit competition, and thus retain significant
monopoly power. The continued dominance of incumbents after privatisation and
liberalisation indicates a distorted competitive environment. For instance, in 2002, 12
years after privatisation, Telecom had over 96 per cent of the market share of fixed-line
telephone traffic originating in New Zealand (Howell and Obren, 2003).
Results
Given the small size of the sample, and the non-parametric statistical analysis, a 10 per
cent significance level is applied. The within-firm analyses in Table I reveal that there
are statistically significant increases in performance post-privatisation for both firms.
There are, however, some interesting differences. Telecom’s increases were in
efficiency, leverage and dividend payouts but, interestingly, not profitability.
Post-privatisation decreases were found in capital expenditure and employment,
with no significant change in taxation. These findings are largely consistent with the
extant privatisation literature, with the notable exception of profitability. For Telstra,
significant increases were found for profitability, efficiency, leverage and taxation. A
decrease in employment eventuated post-privatisation, with no significant changes to
capital expenditure or dividends. Again, these tests of within-firm changes
post-privatisation largely accord with previous privatisation studies.
However, it is the between-firm post-privatisation performance comparisons that
are most interesting. Rejecting H1, we find no evidence that the foreign owned anchor
investor Telecom is more profitable than Telstra, the domestic SIP. None of the four
measures of profitability were significant, but three of the measures were in the
expected direction. We also hypothesised that, due to the firm-specific ownership
advantages of FDI, and the concentrated ownership deriving from direct sales, that a
direct sale to foreign owned anchor investors would be more efficient than a domestic
Between-firm pre- Telecom pre- and post- Telstra pre- and post- Between-firm post-
privatisation privatisation privatisation privatisation
Z p (two-tailed) Z p (one-tailed) Z p (one-tailed) Z p (one-tailed)
Profitability
Return on sales 0.000 1.000d 0.535 0.296a 1.826 0.034 a 0.105 0.458c
Return on assets 0.000 1.000d 0.535 0.296a 1.826 0.034 a 0.105 0.458d
Operating income/sales 0.000 1.000d 0.535 0.296a 1.826 0.034 a 0.734 0.231c
Operating income/assets 0.000 1.000d 0.000 0.500b 1.826 0.034 a 0.524 0.30c
Efficiency
Net income/employees 1.604 0.109d 1.604 0.054 a 1.461 0.072 a 2.201 0.014d
Sales/employees 1.604 0.109d 1.604 0.054 a 1.826 0.034 a 2.201 0.014d
Capital investment
Capital expenditure/sales 1.342 0.180c 1.604 0.054 a 0.730 0.235b 1.572 0.058 d
Capital expenditure/assets 1.342 0.180c 1.604 0.054 a 0.730 0.235b 1.572 0.058 d
Capital expenditure/employees 0.447 0.655e 1.604 0.054 a 0.000 1.000e 2.201 0.014 d
Leverage
Total debt/equity 1.069 0.285d 1.604 0.054 a 1.095 0.136a 1.572 0.058 d
Total debt/total assets 1.604 0.109d 1.604 0.054 a 0.365 0.357b 0.105 0.458c
Liabilities/assets 0.000 1.000d 0.000 1.000a 1.826 0.034 a 0.314 0.376d
Dividend payout
Dividends/earnings 0.000 1.000c 1.604 0.054 a 0.730 0.232a 2.201 0.014 c
Taxation
Taxation/sales 0.000 1.000d 0.000 1.000a 1.826 0.034 a 0.105 0.458d
post-privatisation
Between- and within-firm
performance pre- and
telecoms
565
Table I.
Performance of
IJPSM SIP. The data lead us to reject H2. Telstra was more efficient than Telecom on both
22,6 measures of efficiency at the 5 per cent level of significance, despite there being no
statistical difference in efficiency between the two firms pre-privatisation. This is
contrary to the extant literature.
Neither theory nor empirical evidence provided a strong rationale as to whether
capital expenditure would br higher for foreign or domestically acquired firms. On
566 average, we hypothesised that it was likely that privatisation by direct sales to foreign
anchor investors would result in less investment so as to minimise risk. H3 was
supported by the data at the 5 and 10 per cent levels, with Telstra investing more than
Telecom. H4 argued that foreign anchor investors would increase leverage, for which
we find no support. Only one of our three measures, total debt to equity, was
significant at the 10 per cent level for Telstra, the majority domestically owned SIP.
We hypothesised that direct sales to foreign anchor investors would result in a
higher dividend ratio than for SIP involving domestic ownership. This was supported
by the data, with Telecom having a significantly higher payout ratio than Telstra
Australia at the 5 per cent level of significance, confirming H5. This is despite not
demonstrating higher profitability, efficiency or capital expenditure. We also
hypothesised that the expected higher profits of firms privatised to anchor investors
would equate to higher tax paid. We found no evidence to support H6. This is probably
due to the fact that we found no evidence of higher profitability in Telecom. Finally, we
hypothesised that concentrated foreign anchor investors were more likely to reduce
labour than firms privatised by domestic SIPs. We reject H7, since Telstra reduced
employment to a greater extent than Telecom.
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Further reading
Florio, M. (2003), “Does privatisation matter? The long-term performance of British Telecom over
40 years”, Fiscal Studies, Vol. 24 No. 2, pp. 197-234.
Saal, D. and Parker, D. (2000), “The impact of privatisation and regulation on the water and
sewage industry in England and Wales: a translog cost function model”, Managerial and
Decision Economics, Vol. 21, pp. 253-68.
Corresponding author
Mark D. Domney can be contacted at: m.domney@auckland.ac.nz