Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MODULE I
INTRODUCTION TO ENGINEERING ECONOMY AND ENGG ECONOMIC DECISIONS
01 Introduction, Origins and Principles of engineering economy, engineering economy and design
process (02 hours Blooms level : Knowledge)
02 Rational decision making and economic decisions, types of strategic engg economic decisions (02
Hours. Blooms level: Comprehension)
03 Circular flow of income, difference between micro and macroeconomics, Production possibility curve
(02 Hours. Blooms Level: Comprehension)
MODULE II
THEORY OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY
Demand-law of demand, demand curve, determinants of demand, exceptions to Law of demand. (03
hours, Blooms Level: Knowledge)
Elasticity of demand-Price elasticity and income elasticity. Calculation of Price and income elasticity
of demand. (05 Hours, Blooms level: Application)
Supply-law of supply, supply curve and determinants of supply. Elasticity of supply-its type
(02 hours, Blooms level: Comprehensive)
Cost and its classification, short and long run cost curves, cost behavior, cost concepts and decision
making, breakeven analysis Calculation of costs and Break even point. 06 hours Analysis
MODULE IV
TIME VALUE OF MONEY AND DEPRECIATION
Cost of money, Interest formulas, Present, Future Values, Internal Return method. 05 hours,
Blomms level: Knowledge
Payback period method, rate of return method, Internal rate of return methods 03 hours,
Blooms level: Application
Concept of Depreciation, factors and methods of depreciation 02 hours Blooms level: Application
MODULE V
RATIO ANALYSIS
Meaning of ratio, Nature of Ratio analysis, Interpretation of ratios (01hour,
Blooms level: Knowledge)
Classification of ratios, Liquidity ratios, current ratio, Acid test ratio (01hour
Blooms level: Comprehensive)
Inventory turnover or stock turnover ratio, working capital turnover ratio, debt equity ratio,
Proprietary ratio Interest coverage ratio, gross profit ratio, operating ratio expenses ratio, net profit
ratio (03 hours
Blooms level: Knowledge)
COURSE OUTCOME
1. Apply the appropriate engineering economics analysis methods for problem solving.
3. Compare the life cycle cost of multiple projects and make a quantitative decision between alternative projects.
4. Perform ratio analysis and calculate time value of money to prepare and understand engineering project
development and report generation.
5. Compute the depreciation of an asset using standard depreciation techniques to assess its impact.
Production Possibility Curve (PPC) / Production Possibility Frontier (PPF) /Transformation Curve
Like an individual, a society as a whole, has limited resources. It has to decide what to produce with
The limited resources. It has to make a choice about the quantity of different commodities.
Choice emanates from scarcity. Thus our choice is always constrained or limited by scarcity of resources.
All such choices can be made with the help of PPC.
This curve separates outcomes that are possible for the society to produce from those which cannot
be produced subject to availability of resources.
In economics, PPC is a graph which shows the different combinations of two goods that an individual
Or group can effectively produce with limited productive resources.
Assumptions of PPC
• There are only 2 types of goods produced and minimum quantity of each good to be produced.
• Technology remains constant
• Resources are fixed
• Resources are neither unemployed or underemployed.
The concept of PPC can be understood with the help of a Production Possibility Schedule and
Production possibility curve.
Y
A
I
15
Product wheat cloth Opportunity B
ion Cost
possibil C
12
I
ities ABCDEF is the
A 0 15 - Production Possibility Curve/PPF
Cloth
B 1 14 15 -14=1 9 D
I
C 2 12 14 -12=2
D 3 9 12 – 9=3 6
I
E 4 5 9 – 5=4 E
F 5 0 5 – 0=5
3
I F
O I I I I I X
1 2 3 4 5
Wheat
Unemployment and PPC
Economics is regarded as “Queen of Social Sciences” since it has more applicability in our
Practical life.
The science of economics was born in 1776 with the publication of Adam Smith’s
“An Enquiry into Nature and Causes of Wealth of Nations”
The modern economy uses various factors of production namely Land, Labour, Capital and
Enterpreneurship.
CIRCULAR FLOW OF INCOME IN TWO SECTOR ECONOMY
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS
FIRMS
*buy and consume
*produce and sell
goods and services
goods and services
*own and sell
*Hire and use factors
factors of
of production
production
Expenditure on Goods & Services
Flow of Goods & Services
Households spendings on goods and services through markets and revenue of goods sold will flow from markets
To business firms.
Households provide factors of production like land, labour & capital to business firms and inturn household get
Wages and profits.
ASSUMPTIONS
1. This economy has no international economic relations(Closed ECONOMY)
5.There are no govt operations in the economy such as govt expenditures and taxes.
Govt expenditures Govt expenditures
and transfer payments and subsidies
GOVERNMENT
Taxes Taxes
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS Savings investments FIRMS
CAPITAL
MARKET
1. A part of the flows between households and the business firms gets diverted to govt sector.
2. A part of the household income goes to govt sector in the form of taxes.
3. A part of the business firms’ earnings goes to govt in the form of taxes.
4. A part of the tax revenue is spent by the govt as govt expenditure on services and transfer
payments to the households
5. A part of the tax revenue is spent by govt as govt expenditure on goods and subsidies to the
business firms.
In case govt follows a deficit budget and govt expenditure is greater than revenue (G>T), the difference
Is financed from loans from the capital market. Hence money will flow from capital market to govt.
In case govt follows a surplus budget and the govt expenditure is less than the revenue (G<T), money
Will flow to capital market from govt sector.
Govt expenditures Govt expenditures
and transfer payments and subsidies
GOVERNMENT
Taxes Taxes
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS Savings investments FIRMS
CAPITAL
MARKET
If the exports of a country are less than its imports (X<M) there is foreign trade deficit equal to
(M-X) which is known as unfavourable balance of trade.
If the exports of a country are more than its imports (X>M) there is foreign trade surplus equal to
(X-M) which is known as favourable balancd of trade.
Significance of Circular Flow of Income
1. Knowledge of Interdependence – we can understand interdependence between different sectors of the
economy.
2. Identification of Injections and Leakages – we can understand injections (Investment and Exports)
and leakages (saving and Imports)
3. Estimation of National Income - we can understand that how the circular flow of income facilitates the
estimation of national income.
4. Level of structure of Economic Activity – we can get information on various macro variables like national
Income, consumption, savings, investment, etc.
5. Fiscal and Monetary Policies-we can understand the importance of both Fiscal & Monetary Policies.
The importance of monetary policy can be observed when savings exceeds investment/investment exceeds
savings it means that the disequilibria can be set by suitable credit and monetary policy.
similarly, if savings and taxes amount exceeds the investment and govt spending amount should adopt such
fiscal measures as reduction in taxes. Therefore, with the help of circular flow of income and expenditure
the problem of disequilibria and the restoration of equilibrium can be observed.
Introduction to engineering
economy
• The technological and social environments in which we live
continue to change at a rapid rate.
• In recent decades, advances in science and engineering have
transformed our transportation systems, revolutionized the
practice of medicine, and miniaturized electronic circuits so
that a computer can be placed on a semiconductor chip.
▪ The utilization of scientific and engineering knowledge for our
benefit is achieved through the design of things we use, such as
furnaces for vaporizing trash and structures for supporting
magnetic railways.
▪ However, these achievements don’t occur without a price,
monetary or otherwise. Therefore, the purpose of this COURSE
is to develop and illustrate the principles and methodology
required to answer the basic economic question of any design:
Do its benefits exceed its costs?
ENGINEERING
• is the profession in which a knowledge of the
mathematical and natural sciences gained by study,
experience, and practice is applied with judgment
to develop ways to utilize, economically, the
materials and forces of nature for the benefit of
mankind.
ENGINEERING ECONOMICS
• Once a problem or need has been clearly defined, the foundation of the
discipline can be discussed in terms of seven principles.
PRINCIPLES OF ENGG ECONOMICS.
1.Develop the alternatives
2.Focus on the difference
3.Use a consistent view point
4.Use a common unit of measure
5.Consider all relevant criteria
6.Make uncertainty explicit
7.Revisiting decisions.
PRINCIPLE 1: Develop the Alternatives
Creativity is the act of turning new and imaginative ideas into reality. Creativity is
characterised by the ability to perceive the world in new ways, to find hidden
✓ The viewpoint for the particular decision be first defined and then
used consistently in the description, analysis, and comparison of
the alternatives.
Principle 4:Use a Common Unit of Measure
▪ Using more than one monetary unit for Economic Analysis will
complicate the over all analysis of a project.
Principle 5: Consider All relevant Criteria
▪ The decision maker will normally select the alternative that will best
serve the long-term interests of the owners of the organization.
Often, though, there are other organizational objectives you would like
to achieve with your decision, and these should be considered and
given weight in the selection of an alternative
PRINCIPLE 6: Make Risk and Uncertainty Explicit
Risk and uncertainty are inherent in estimating the future outcomes of the
alternatives and should be recognized.
▪ The magnitude and the impact of future outcomes of any course of action are
uncertain.
the probability is high that today’s estimates of, for example, future cash receipts
and expenses will not be what eventually occurs.
Example: If an economically poor person wants to buy a car, it is only a desire, but
not a demand as he cannot pay for the car. If a rich man wants to buy a car and is
willing to spend money to buy it, it is a demand as he will be able to pay for the car. Thus
A desire backed up by purchasing power and willingness to buy is known as demand.
DEMAND SCHEDULE is a tabular representation which shows the relationship between Price and
Quantity demanded.
The two types of demand schedule are
Individual Demand Schedule MARKET DEMAND SCHEDULE
1 60 1 60 35 45 60+35+45=140
DEMAND CURVE
A Demand Curve is a graphical representation of the demand schedule.
A Demand Curve always slopes downward from left to right and has a
negative slope as shown below.
Y
l
D
5
l
P
R 4 l
I
C
3
l
E
2
l
1
l
I I I I I X
O 15 25 30 35 60
QUANTITY DEMANDED
DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND
PRICE OF COMMODITY
TASTES AND
PREFERENCES
DETERMINANTS
CONSUMERS INCOME
OF DEMAND
Dx = f (Px, Ps, Y, T, A)
Next let us find out the Quantity Demanded (Qd) for serial No. 2
Qd=60-10P
Qd=60-10(4)
Qd=60-40
Qd=20 kgs.
Thirdly let us calculate the price for Sl. No. 3 Fourthly let us calculate the Qty. for Sl. No. 4
Qd=60-10P Qd=60-10P
30=60-10P Qd=60-10(2)
10P=60-30 Qd=60-20
P=30/10=Rs. 3 Qd=40 kgs.
Fiflthly let us calculate the price for Sl. No. 5 Lastly let us calculate the price for Sl. No. 6
Qd=60-10P Qd=60-10P
50=60-10P Qd=60-10(0)
10P=60-50 Qd=60-0
P=10/10=Rs. 1 Qd=60 kgs.
Problem 2 on demand function
The demand function for an engg component is Qd=3000-5P.
Where Qd=Quantity demanded of the component
P=Price.
From this equation a) Develop a demand schedule and plot the demand diagram at
prices Rs. 150, 250, 325, 400 and 500.
b) At what price Qd=0
c) If the seller wants to sell 2500 units, what price he should fix?
Qd=300-5P
When Price is Rs. 150=3000-5(150)=2250 units
When price is Rs. 250=3000-5(250)=1750 units
When price is Rs. 325=3000-5(325)=1375 units
When price is Rs. 400=3000-5(400)=1000 units
When price is Rs. 500=3000-5(500)=500 units.
b) At what price Qd=0?
Qd=3000-5P
0=3000-5P
5P=3000-0
5P=3000
P=3000/5
P=600
2. if the seller wants to sell 860 units what price he should fix?
Problem 3 on demand equation
An engineering company conducted a study of demand for its component. It found that
the average daily demand (D) in terms of Price (P) is given by equation as D=700-5P
1. How many components per day can be sold at a price of Rs.100?
2. What price it should fix if 100 components to be sold?
3. What is the highest price any one would be willing to pay?
To find the Equilibrium quantity, set both equations equal to each other
80-Q=20+2Q
60=3Q
Q=20
To find equilibrium price substitute Q=20 into one of the equations’
Let us substitute into demand equation
P=80-Q
P=80-20
P=60
Problem 2 on Calculation of Equilibrium Price and Quantity
Solution:
To find Equilibrium quantity, simply set both equations equal to each other.
70-Q=30+3Q
70-30=4Q
40=4Q
Q=40/4
=10 is Equilibrium quantity.
Now, to find Equilibrium Price simply substitute Q=10 into one of the equations.
P=70-10
=60
OR
30+3(10)
30+30
60
LAW OF DEMAND
The law of demand explains the functional relationship between price of a commodity and quantity demanded.
The law of demand is under Cateris Paribus assumption, which means that only one variable is being changed
while other things being equal or unchanged.
The Law of Demand states that “if the price of a commodity falls, the quantity demanded of it will rise, and
if the price of the commodity rises, its quantity demanded will fall, all other factors affecting demand
remaining constant.”
This shows that there is an inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded. Here price is an
independent factor and demand is dependent factor.
1. Giffen Goods Y
2. Conspicuous consumption (Veblen Effect)
3. Fear of shortage
4. Fear of future rise in price D
5. Speculation 25
I
PRICE (Rs.)
6. Emergency
20
I
15
I
10
I
5 D
I
O I I
1 2
I
4
I
6
I
9
I
11
X
QUANTITY DEMANDED (in Kgs)
MOVEMENT ALONG THE DEMAND CURVE
Y Y
D D
A B
8 8
PRICE
PRICE
2 A
2 B
D D
0 X O X
10 KGS 30 KGS 10 KGS 30 KGS
QUANTITY QUANTITY
DEMANDED DEMANDED
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN MOVEMENT ALONG THE DEMAND CURVE AND SHIFT OF THE DEMAND CURVE
5 5
PRICE
PRICE
D1
D
D
D1
O X O X
10 KGS 30 KGS 10 KGS 30 KGS
QUANTITY QUANTITY
DEMANDED DEMANDED
Reasons
Reasons
Fall in Income, fall in price of substitutes
Rise in Income, Rise in price of substitutes
Raise in the price of complement,
Fall in the price of complement,
Decrease in population, Change in taste against,
Increase in population, Change in tastes in favour,
Decrease in advertising
Increased advertising
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
The Law of Demand simply explains the inverse relationship between Price and Demand. In other
words it tells us the direction of change in Price and Quantity demanded.
In order to understand the quantitative changes in Price and Demand, we need to study the
concept of Elasticity of Demand.
For example, when quantity demand increase by 80% as a result of 20% fall in price, the Elasticity of Demand
will be
80
Ep = = -4
-20
It implies that at the present level with every change in price, there will be a change in demand four times
inversely.
Generally, the co-efficient of price elasticity of demand always holds a negative sign because there is
an inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded.
THE FIVE DEGREES OF PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
Y Y Y
D
D
D
5%
PRICE
PRICE
PRICE
10%
D 5%
5% D
10% D
X 5% X
O QUANTITY
O O X
QUANTITY QUANTITY
DEMANDED DEMANDED
DEMANDED
THIS GRAPH IS SHOWING THIS GRAPH IS SHOWING THIS GRAPH IS SHOWING
THE CASE OF THE CASE OF THE CASE OF
RELATIVELY ELASTIC RELATIVELY INELASTIC UNITARY ELASTIC
Numerical co efficient is Numerical co efficient is Numerical co efficient is
Ep > 1 Ep < 1 Ep = 1
Y
Y D
10
PRICE
D
PRICE
D
O X O X
QUANTITY QUANTITY
DEMANDED DEMANDED
THIS GRAPH IS SHOWING THIS GRAPH IS SHOWING
THE CASE OF THE CASE OF
PERFECTLY INELASTIC PERFECTLY ELASTIC
Numerical co efficient is
Numerical co efficient is
Ep = α
Ep = 0
DETERMINANTS OF PRICE ELASTICITY
1. Nature of Commodity – luxurious goods are more elastic to changes in price while necessities like salt, food
etc are inelastic.
2. Number of uses of the commodity – goods which are put to many uses are more elastic.
eg. Steel
3. Tied demand – car and petrol, ink and pen( jointly demanded goods) have less elastic demand than
goods which have independently demanded.
4. Consumer habits – goods which are not used habitually have elastic demand than goods which
are used habitually.
5. Position in consumers’ budget – goods which have a major portion in budget have more elastic demand.
eg. Clothing, provisions, etc.
goods which have a minor portion in budget have less elastic demand.
eg. Salt, sugar,
Problems on price elasticity of demand using proportionate method
Price (Rs.) Quantity Price (Rs.) Quantity Price (Rs.) Quantity Price (Rs.) Quantity
demanded demanded demanded demanded
10 500 10 100 10 100 10 100
15 350 4 150 5 100 5 150
Solution=
Percentage change in quantity demanded
Ep=
Percentage change in price
20%
= 0.5
40%
Ey = 0
D1
INCOME
D2
O X
DEMAND FOR GOODS
When income of a consumer increases by 30% demand also increases by 30% what is income
Elasticity of demand?
30%
=1
30%
X demands 4units of a product when his income is Rs.2000. when his income increases to Rs.2400 his
Demand increases to 5 units. Calculate income elasticity and name the good.
INCOME ELASTICITY GREATER THAN ONE (Ey > 1) – if income increases say by 25% and demand
increases more than proportionate say by 45% (D2 is the demand curve in the graph) This situation
happens for luxury goods like TVs Fridge, etc.
INCOME ELASTICITY IS EQUAL TO ONE (Ey=1) – if income increases say by 30% and demand
increases by exactly say by 30% (D1 is the demand curve in the graph) this situation falls between
The categories of necessities and luxuries
INCOME ELASTICITY IS LESS THAN ONE (Ey < 1) – if income increases say by 30% and demand
Increases say by 10% (D3 is the demand curve in the graph) This situation happens for necessity goods
ZERO INCOME ELASTICITY (Ey = 0) – Any change in income will not have effect on demand for goods.
(D4 is the demand curve in the graph) This situation can happen for goods like salt, matchbox, etc.
(neutral goods)
INCOME ELASTICITY IS LESS THAN ZERO (Ey < 0)– if with an increase in income there is decrease
in demand.(D5 is the demand curve in the graph) This situation can happen for inferior goods
like ragi, jower, bajara, etc.
PROBLEMS ON INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
When income of a consumer increases by 20%, the demand also increased by 20%.
Find out income elasticity of demand
The income of a person increases from Rs. 1000 to Rs. 1500 and qty. demanded
remains same at 50. Find the income elasticity and indicate the type of product
∆𝑄 = Q2 – Q1 Q1=Original Quantity - 50 units
∆𝑄 Y Q2=New Quantity - 50 units
Formula is ×
∆𝑌 Q Now ∆𝑄 𝑖𝑠 0 𝑢𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑠
COMFORTS LUXURIES
After satisfying our Means superfluous
NECESSITIES
necessities we desire to consumption. After
They refer to things
have comforts. getting comforts, man
without which we
Eg. Table and Chair for desires luxury. They are
cannot exist. Eg. Water,
a student to increase not essential. Eg. Gold
food, clothing.
the efficiency of & Silver, Costly
learning furniture
CROSS (Price) ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
Cross Elasticity is defined as the proportionate change in the quantity demanded of a
particular commodity in response to a change in the price of another related
commodity.
Percentage change in quantity demanded of commodity X
Symbolically Exy =
Percentage change in the price of commodity Y
When the goods are substitutes (say coffee and tea) the Cross Elasticity is Positive
When the goods are complementary (say Car and Petrol) the Cross Elasticity is Negative
When the goods are unrelated (say bath soaps and ceiling fans) the cross elasticity is Zero
COMPLEMENTARY GOODS UNRELATED GOODS
SUBSTITUTE GOODS Y D
Y
Y
D D
Exy > 0 Exy < 0 Exy = 0
PRICE PRICE
PRICE OF OF
OF CAR ONIONS
COFFEE
D
D D
O O X O X
DEMAND FOR TEA
X DEMAND FOR PETROL DEMAND FOR MATCH BOX
Cross Elasticity in case of Cross Elasticity in case of
Cross Elasticity in case of Complementary goods Unrelated goods
Substitutes Is NEGATIVE Is ZERO
Is POSITIVE
PROBLEMS ON CROSS ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
The quantity demanded of good A increases by 10% when the price of good B decreases by 20%.
Calculate cross elasticity
2. If there is an increase in price of good X from Rs. 30 to Rs. 40, the demand for good Y increases from 400
to 500 kgs. Calculate cross elasticity and state the goods substitutes or complements.
3. Quantity demanded of commodity X increases from 8 units to 12 units in response to increase in price of
commodity Y from Rs. 23 to Rs. 27. calculate crosss elasticity and name the type of goods.
COMBINED PROBLEM ON PRICE, INCOME AND CROSS ELASTICITY
PROBLEM 1
Q=1000-5P+10Px-2Pz+0.1Y
Q=1000-5P+10Px-2Pz+0.1Y
Q= 1000-5(80)+10(50)-2(150)+0.1(20000)
Q=1000-400+500-300+2000
Q=2800
Qx=1000-0.2(100)+0.5(120)+0.04(10000)+0.01(6000)
=1000-20+60+400+60
=1500
1. Calculate price elasticity of demand for ‘A’, if the price of ‘A increases from Rs.7 to Rs.8 per kg.
and indicate whether the demand is elastic or inelastic.
2. Calculate income elasticity of demand for A and B when income of consumers increases from Rs.1400
to Rs. 1800. what type of products A and B?
DEMAND CLASSIFICATIONS/DEMAND DISTINCTIONS
B (E > 1
*
PRICE C (E=1)
*
D (E<1)
*
E (E=0)
0 * X
QUANTITY DEMANDED
SL Ep* AT DIFFERENT POINTS ON THE DEMAND Ep = LOWER SEGMENT /UPPER PRICE
N CURVE AS SEEN IN THE GRAPH SEGMENT ELASTICITY
O.
1 Ep AT POINT ‘C’(EXACTLY AT THE MIDDLE CE/CA = 2/2 =1 Ep = 1
POINT OF THE DEMAND CURVE)
2 Ep AT POINT ‘D’ (MIDDLE POINT OF CE DE/DA = 1/3 = 0.33 Ep < 1
PORTION OF THE DEMAND CURVE)
3 Ep AT POINT ‘B’ (MIDDLE POINT OF AC BE/AB = 3/1 = 3 Ep > 1
PORTION OF THE DEMAND CURVE)
4 Ep AT POINT ‘E’ (BOTTOM OF DEMAND 0/AE = 0/4 = 0 (ZERO BY Ep = 0
CURVE) ANYTHING IS ZERO, A
MATHEMATICAL PRINCIPLE
5 Ep AT POINT ‘A’ (TOP OF THE DEMAND AE/0 = 4/0 = α (ANYTHING BY Ep = α
CURVE) ZERO BECOMES INFINITY, A
MATHEMATICAL PRINCIPLE)
*Ep is price elasticity
LAW OF SUPPLY
Supply is the “quantity of a commodity which a seller offers for sale in the market at a particular price
And at a particular time”.
Supply is different from stock. Stock is the total quantity of goods which is stored in the warehouse.
Supply is only a part of the stock which is offered for sale.
FACTORS INFLUENCING SUPPLY:
1. Price of the commodity- if price increases, supply will also increase and if the price decreases
supply also decreases. This is because of profit motive by the sellers.
2. Prices of related goods – if prices of other goods increases they become relatively more profitable
to produce and sell than the goods in question. It implies that for example, if the price of automatic
printing machines increases the producers may shift to automatic printing machines production and go
away from producing semi automatic printing machines.
3. Factors of production – if factors of production are very expensive, the cost of production may increase
and may affect the profitability. Hence the prices of factors of production plays an important role
in the supply.
4. Technology – Inventions and innovations tend to make it possible to produce more or better goods
with same resources and tend to increase the quantity supplied of some products and reduce the
quantity supplied of goods that are displaced.
5. Government policy – production of goods may be subject to imposition of taxes, excise duty, etc. these
increases the price of goods. Subsidies, on the other hand, reduce the cost of production and provide incentive
to the firm to increase supply.
The law of supply explains the functional relationship between price of a good and quantity supplies. It states
That “other things being equal (ceteris paribus), the quantity of a good produced and offered for sale will
increase as the price of the good rises and decreases when the price falls”. The law of supply can be
understood with the help of a supply schedule and a supply curve
PRICE
200 400 KGS.
300 600 KGS 400
400 800 KGS. 300
PRICE
P1
A B
P1
S S
O X X
Q1 Q2 O Q1 Q2
QUANTITY SUPPLIED QUANTITY SUPPLIED
When a supply of a good increases as a When a supply of a good decreases as a
Result of rise in price. It is known as Extension Result of fall in price. It is known as Contraction
Of supply. In this graph at P1 price Q1 is the Qty and Of supply. In this graph at P2 price Q2 is the Qty and
This is at point A on supply curve SS. When price this is at point A on supply curve SS. When price
Increased to P2 Qty also increased to Q2 and thus Decrfeases to P1 Qty also decreases to Q1 and thus
There is a shift from point A to point B on supply There is a shift from point A to point B on supply
Curve SS (upward) Curve SS (downward)
SHIFT OF THE SUPPLY CURVE
INCREASE IN SUPPLY DECREASE IN SUPPLY
Y Y
S
S1 S1
S
PRICE
5
5
S S1
S1 S
O X O X
QUANTITY SUPPLIED QUANTITY SUPPLIED
REASONS REASONS
1. Fall in the cost of prodn. 1. Rise in the cost of prodn
2. Favourable changes in govt policy 2. Unfavorable changes in govt policy
3. Improved techniques of prodn. 3. Obsolete techniques of prodn.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN MOVEMENT ALONG THE SUPPLY CURVE AND SHIFT OF THE SUPPLY CURVE
PRICE
PRICE
PRICE
2% 5%
S
5%
5%
S
5% S
O X O 2% X O X
QUANTITY SUPPLIED QUANTITY SUPPLIED QUANTITY SUPPLIED
THIS GRAPH IS THE CASE OF THIS GRAPH IS THE CASE OF THIS GRAPH IS THE CASE OF
RELATIVELY ELASTIC RELATIVELY INELASTIC UNITARY ELASTIC
SUPPLY Es > 1 SUPPLY Es < 1 SUPPLY Es = 1
Y Y
S
PRICE
S
PRICE
6 S
3
S
O X O X
QUANTITY SUPPLIED QUANTITY SUPPLIED
Solution:
∆S P
X
∆P S
300 10
X
5 500
1.6
EQUILIBRIUM PRICE
A point at which Demand equals Supply is called Equilibrium Price. At equilibrium situation there is
no impact on price. When a demand and supply quantities are drafted on graph, the point
where both curves meet is called Equilibrium Price or Market Clearing Price. This concept can be
understood with the help of a table and graph
Y
Possib Total Total Pressure on price
le S
Demand Supply D
Price (Kgs.) (Kgs.)
(Rs.)
10 1000 10000 downward E EQUILIBRIUM
PRICE
Rs. 5 POINT
8 3000 8000 downward
6 4000 6000 downward
5 5000 5000 Neutral S D
(Equilibrium price)
4 7000 4000 Upward
O 5000 Kgs.
X
3 10000 2000 Upward
QUANTITY DEMANDED AND SUPPLIED
THE FOUR LAWS OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND S
S1
Y D1 Y D
S
D
PRICE
E1 P
P1 E1
PRICE
S
E D1 P1
P S1
S D
D
O X O Q Q1 X
Q Q1
QUANTITY DEMANDED QUANTITY DEMANDED
Problem 1
Suppose the demand and supply equations for an an engineering component is as
given below. Calculate the Equilibrium Price and Equilibrium Quantity.
100-6P = 28+3P
100-28=3P+6P
72=9P
P=72/9=8 Price is Rs.8
Next let us calculate Equilibrium Quantity
Qd=100-6P
We know that P is 8,
Now Qd= 100-6(8)
100-48=52
Now let us calculate Qd and Qs and fill Serial Number 3 (the Price)
Qd=60-10P Qs=0+10P
30=60-10P 30=0+10P
10P=60-30 -10P=-30
P=30/10 = Rs. 3 P=-30/-10 = Rs. 3
Next let us calculate Qd and Qs and fill Serial Number 4 (the Price)
Qd=60-10P Qs=0+10P
40=60-10P 20=0+10P
10P=60-40 -10P=0-20
P=20/10 = Rs. 2 P=-20/-10 = Rs. 2
To fill Serial number 5 let us calculate the Qd and Qs
Qd=60-10P Qs=0+10P
Qd=60-10(1) Qs=0+10(1)
Qd=60-10 = 50 Qs=0+10 = 10
S(P)= -200+50P
D(P)= 1000-25P
Problem 4
Meaning of production -The term production means transformation of physical “inputs” into physical
“outputs” . The term “inputs” refers to all those things which are required by a firm to produce a
particular product.
In addition to four factors or production, inputs also includes raw materials, power, fuel, transport
Warehousing, banking, etc. Thus the term “inputs” has a wider meaning in economics. What we get
At the end of the productive process is called as “Outputs”. In short output refers to finished products.
Meaning of Production Function- production function expresses the technological or engg relationship
between physical inputs and physical outputs.
A production function can be expressed in the form of a mathematical model Q = f (L, N, K, etc)
Where Q = Quantity of output
LNK, etc = various factor inputs like land, labour, capital, etc.
The rate of output Q is thus a function of the factor inputs LNK etc. employed by firm per unit of time.
Laws of production
Short run
Long run
Law of Variable Proportion
(only labour input is made variable)
Assumptions : Isoquant Analysis Returns to Scale
1. Only one factor is variable while (two variable inputs) (all inputs are variable)
others are constant. Assumptions: Assumptions:
1. There are only 2 1. All factor inputs are
2. All units of variable factor are factor inputs i.e. variable but
homogenous. Labour and Capital enterprise is fixed
3. Technology is constant 2. Technology is 2. Technology is
constant constant
The Law of Variable Proportion
This is one of the most fundamental laws of production. It gives us one
of the key insights to the working out of the ideal combination of Fixed
inputs and Variable inputs.
Additional units of the variable inputs on the fixed inputs certainly mean
a variation in output.
Time period Applies in the short run Applies in the Long run
Variable & Fixed Factors Only one variable input factor is All factor inputs are changed
changed all other input factors are simultaneously. No distinction
unchanged like fixed factor inputs and
variable factor inputs.
LEVEL OF OUTPUT
1 10 10 10 Stage I 50 -
Increasing
2 24 12 14
Returns 40 -
3 39 13 15 To Factor TP
4 52 13 13 Stage I I 30 -
5 61 12.2 9 Diminishing
Returns 20 -
6 66 11 5 To Factor
10 - AP
7 66 9.1 0
8 64 8 -2 Stage III O I I I I I I I I I I X
Negative
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Returns
UNITS OF VARIABLE FACTOR
To Factor McGraw-Hill/Irwin Colander, Economics
MP
Behaviour of TP, AP and MP – Law of Variable Proportions
TOTAL PRODUCT (TP) MARGINAL PRODUCT AVERAGE PRODUCT (AP)
(MP)
Stage I : Increases at an Increases and reaches its Increases (but slower
increasing rate. maximum than MP)
Stage II : Increases at a Starts diminishing and Starts diminishing
diminishing rate and becomes equal to zero
becomes maximum.
Stage III : Reaches its Keeps on declining and Continues to diminish but
maximum, becomes becomes negative. must always be greater
constant and then starts than zero.
declining.
PRACTICAL IMPORTANCE OF THE LAW
1. It helps to work out the most ideal combination of factor inputs or the least
cost combination of factor inputs.
3. The law give guidance that by making continuous improvements in science and
technology, the producer can postpone the occurrence of diminishing returns.
LAWS OF RETURNS TO SCALE
The law of returns to scale refers to long run production function wherein all factors
of production becomes Variable. There is no distinction between fixed inputs and
variable inputs.
This increase is due to the expansion of the business firm with large scale production and it enjoys
economies of scale.
This is due to the reason that as a firm expands its output, a stage comes when all economies have
been fully exploited.
STAGE 3 – LAW OF DECREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
When an increase in the output is less than proportional to the increase in inputs, it is referred as
Decreasing
Returns to Scale.
For example, if all factors inputs are increased by 5% the output will increase by 3%.
This is due to diseconomies of scale, lack of coordination, difficulties of management, etc. Hence
due to diseconomies of scale, the management has to use inputs in greater proportions, thus giving
rise to decreasing returns to scale.
LAW OF RETURNS TO SCALE
SCALE LAWS
TOTAL OF RETURNS TO SCALE
PRODUCT MP
(TP)
1L + 3C 2 2
2L + 6C 5 3 I Stage
INCREASING RETURNS
3L + 9C 9 4
4L + 12C 14 5
5L + 15C 19 5 II Stage
6L + 18C 24 5 CONSTANT RETURNS
7L + 21C 28 4
III Stage
8L + 24C 31 3 DECREASING RETURNS
9L + 27C 33 2
6—
MARGINAL PRODUCT
5— CONSTANT
B C
4---
3---
2---
A D
1---
O X
2 I 3I 4I 5 I 6 I 7 I 8 I 9
SCALE
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Colander, Economics 129
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
Economies of scale can be defined as “anything which serves to minimize average cost of production
in the long run as the scale of output increases is known as “Economies of Scale”.
Economies of Scale is classified into two broad categories
C
A
LAC (Rs.)
X
100 150 300
Output (units)
Meaning of Internal Economies: Internal Economies are those economies which are open to an individual
firm when its size expands.
They emerge within the firm itself as its scale of production expands.
Meaning of External Economies: External Economies are those economies which are shared by all the
firms in an industry when their size expands.
They are available for all firms from outside, irrespective of their size and scale of production.
They are the result of the growth and expansion of any particular industry or a group of industries as a whole.
LAND – refers to soil or earth’s surface. It includes all the free gifts of nature like natural resources,
Fertility of soil, etc.
Its features:
Its features:
1. Labour is perishable
2. It is inseparable from the labourer
3. It differs in efficiency
4. Labour has imperfect mobility
CAPITAL-refers to all man made goods which can be used for further production. For example, plant, machinery
Dams and canals, equipment, etc. are all known as capital. Capital has been defined as ‘produced means of
Production’. This is because unlike land and labour which are primary factors of prodn, capital is produced by man
To help in the production of further goods.
Money is regarded as capital because it can be used to buy rawmaterials, tools, machinery, equipments, etc. for
Production.
Capital is that part of wealth which is used for further production of wealth.
Its types:
1. Fixed capital- refers to durable capital goods which used in prodn again and again till they wear out.
example, Machinery, Tools, etc.
2. Working capital-refers to capital used to buy rawmatersls and to meet the day to day expenses.
3. Human Capital-refers skills, knowledge and abilities possessed by individuals
4. Intangible capital-refers to some benefits and rights, which cannot be perceived by senses.
example, copyright, patent, etc.
ENTREPRENEUR or ENTERPRISE- An entrepreneur is a person who combines the three factors of
production Land, Labour and Capital in the right proportion and initiates the process of production
and also bears the risk Involved in it. The entrepreneur is also called as an ‘Organiser’.
Functions of an Entrepreneur:
1. Starting a business and resource mobilization-an entrepreneur collects the different factors of
production like land, labour and capital and coordinates them in order to initiate a business
Enterprise.
If Reliable Enterprises chooses technique ‘C’ for production, is this choice correct?
What will be the maximum profit?
If the price of labour increases to Rs. 40 per unit, which technique now they should choose?
How will their profit be affected?
Theory of cost
Cost of production refers to total money expenses incurred by the producer in the process
Of transforming inputs into outputs.
In other words, it refers to the total money expenses incurred to produce a particular
Quantity of output by the producer.
The knowledge of various cost concepts in cost analysis is important for a business manager/Production
engineers.
Uses of cost analysis
1. To findout the most profitable rate of operation.
2. To determine the quantity of output to be produced.
3. To locate weak points in production management to minimize cost.
4. To fix the price for the product.
5. To have a clarity about various concepts.
Cost-output relationship
Cost and output are correlated. Cost output relations play an important role in almost all
Business decisions. It throws light on cost minimization and profit maximization.
Cost output relationship is studied in two forms; short run and long run.
In producing products a firm has to use various inputs like fixed inputs and variable Inputs.
Fixed inputs are those which remain unchanged over a period of time. Example land,
Building, machinery etc.
Variable inputs are those which varies along with the level of output. Example
Raw material, direct labour, etc.
The cost incurred on fixed inputs are known as Fixed cost. These costs never varies with the level
Of outputs.
Example, rent, licence fee, interest on borrowed funds, managers salary, etc.
The cost incurred on variable inputs are known as variable cost. These cost varies along with the
Level of output.
Example, raw material, direct labour, etc.
In the cost analysis only in the short run we classify inputs into fixed and variable.
In the long run all inputs are considered as variable inputs.
Short run cost schedule
OUTPUT TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL AVERAGE AVERAGE AVERAGE MARGINAL
(Q) FIXED VARIABLE COST (TC) FIXED VARIABLE TOTAL COST (MC)
COST (TFC) COST (TVC) COST (AFC) COST (AVC) COST (ATC)
0 300 0 300 300 0 300 -
1 300 300 600 300 300 600 300
2 300 400 700 150 200 350 100
3 300 450 750 100 150 250 50
4 300 500 800 75 125 200 50
5 300 600 900 60 120 180 100
6 300 720 1020 50 120 170 120
7 300 890 1190 42.9 127.1 170 170
8 300 1100 1400 37.5 137.5 175 210
9 300 1350 1650 33.3 150 183.3 250
10 300 2000 2300 30 200 230 650
Y TC TVC
TC = TFC + TVC
COST
TVC = TC – TFC or AVC X Q
MC = TCn – TCn-1 O X
OUTPUT
AVERAGE FIXED COST (AFC) is the fixed cost per unit of output. When TFC is divided by total units of output, we
Get AFC
AFC and output have inverse relationship. It is higher at smaller level of output and lower at the higher
Level of output.
It is pure mathematical result that the numerator remaining unchanged the increasing denominator causes
Diminishing product.
COST
AFC
OUTPUT
AVERAGE VARIABLE COST (AVC)
COST OF PRODUCTION
units of output are produced with a given plant.
This is because as we add more units of variable
factors in a fixed plant, the efficiency of inputs first
increases and then it decreases.
AVC curve is “U” shaped and it has 3 phases.
1. Decreasing Phase – in the graph from A to B, AVC
decreases. As output expands, AVC decreases because
when we add more units of variable factors to a given B
Fixed factors output increases more efficiently and
More than proportionately due to increasing returns. OUTPUT
2. Constant Phase – in the graph at point “B” AVC reaches its minimum point. When the proportion of
both fixed and variable factors are the most ideal, the output will be the optimum.
3. Increasing phase – in the graph from B to C, AVC rises. This is because additional units of variable
factors will not result in more than proportionate output. Hence greater output is obtained at higher
AVC
AVERAGE TOTAL COST (ATC) / AVERAGE COST (AC)
Cost of production
Will shape the nature of AC curve.
As long as the falling effect of AFC is much more
than the rising effect of AVC, the AC tends to fall.
At this stage increasing returns and economies
Of scale operate.
When the firm produces optimum output, AC will
Become minimum. Again at the point where the
Rise in AVC exactly counter balances the fall in AFC,
The balancing effect causes AC to remain constant.
In third stage when the rise in AVC is more than drop output
in AFC, then AC shows a rise. When output is
expanded beyond the optimum level diminishing returns set in and diseconomies of scale starts
operating. The short-run AC curve is also called as “plant curve”
RELATION BETWEEN AVERAGE COST (AC) AND MARGINAL COST (MC)
1. Both AC and MC fall at a certain range of output and rise
afterwards. Y
2. When AC falls, MC also falls but at certain range of output.
MC tends to rise even though AC continues to fall. AC
However, MC would be less than AC. This is because MC
is attributed to a single marginal unit whereas in case of AC MC
the decreasing AC is distributed over all the units of
COST
output produced.
3. So long as AC is falling, MC is less than AC. Hence, MC curve
lies below AC curve, which indicates that fall in MC is more
than the fall in AC.
4. When AC is rising, after the point of intersection, MC will
be greater than AC.
5. So long as AC is rising, MC is greater than AC. Hence MC curve
lies to the left side of the AC curve, which indicates that MC is
O X
OUTPUT
more than the rise in AC.
6. MC cuts AC curve at minimum point of the AC curve only. This is because when MC decrease, it pulls AC
down and when MC increases, it pushes AC up. When AC is at its minimum it is neither being pulled
down nor being pushed up by MC. MC=AC. The point of intersection is least cost combination.
Complete the following table
PROBLEM 2
A manufacturing firm incurs a TFC of Rs. 120. with the help of the information given below calculate:
TVC, AVC, TC, AFC, AC
Output 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
(in
units)
Marginal -- 60 20 10 15 35 70
Cost
(Rs.)
Solution to Problem 1
3 120 10 40 90 30 210 70
TC AVC AFC AC MC
100 - - - -
150 50 100 150 50
190 45 50 95 40
220 40 33.3 73.3 30
240 35 25 60 20
275 35 20 55 35
330 38.3 16.6 55 55
410 44.28 14.2 58.5 80
Problem 5
The Fixed cost is Rs. 20. TVC is as follows:
0 360 360 - - - - -
1 540 360 180 360 180 540 180
They emerge within the firm itself as its scale of production expands.
Meaning of External Economies: External Economies are those economies which are shared by all the
firms in an industry when their size expands.
They are available for all firms from outside, irrespective of their size and scale of production.
They are the result of the growth and expansion of any particular industry or a group of industries as a whole.
Revenue concepts are 3 in number: Total Revenue (TR), Average Revenue (AR) and Marginal Revenue (MR).
Total Revenue: TR refers to the total amount of money that the firm receives from the sale of its products.
i.e. gross revenue. TR = f(q), this implies that higher the sales, larger would be the TR and vice-versa.
TR is calculated by multiplying the quantity sold by its price, thus, TR=P X Q.
for example, a firm sells 5000 units of a product at the rate of Rs.5 per unit, then TR would be
TR = P X Q = 5 X 5000 = 25,000.
Average Revenue: AR can be obtained by dividing the TR by number of units sold. Then AR = TR/Q
for example a firm sells 15 units of a product and gets TR Rs. 150, then AR would be
AR= TR/Q= 150/15=10.
Marginal Revenue: refers to the additional revenue earned by selling an additional unit of a product by
the seller. For example, let us suppose, a seller earns a TR of Rs. 500 by selling 100 units
of a product. Suppose by selling 101 units in all, the seller earns Rs. 508. In this case, Rs.8
constitutes MR, because it is the addition made to TR.
thus, MR=TRn – TRn-1= Rs.508-500=Rs.8 is the Marginal Revenue
Behaviour of TR, AR and MR and Relationship between TR, AR and MR in Monopolistic
Competition and Oligopoly
30 --
Revenue
2 18 9 8 I I I I I I I I
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3 24 8 6 Number of Units
4 28 7 4 30 --
5 30 6 2
6 30 5 0 20 --
7 28 4 -2 AR
10 --
I I I I I I I I
MR
1) A firm can sell large quantities only at lower prices. In that case, AR falls and when AR falls
MR will also falls. But fall in MR is more than the fall in the AR. Hence the MR curve lie below
The AR curve.
This pattern of behavior can happen in Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly. But in case of Perfect
Competition the behavior of TR AR and MR is different. Next slide explains
Under perfect competition condition an individual firm
Price per unit Rs. 8=00 Cannot influence the market price. The market price is
Determined by the interaction between demand and supply
Number Total Average Marginal Forces. A firm can sell any number of units of goods at the
of Units Revenue Revenue Revenue Existing market price.
Sold (TR) (AR) (MR) Hence the TR of the firm would increase Proportionately
with the output sold.
1 8 8 - The AR remains constant. Since the market price of it is
2 16 8 8 Constant without any variation due to changes in the
Units sold by individual firm, the extra units would fetch
3 24 8 8 The proportionate revenue.
Hence AR and MR will be equal to each other and remain
4 32 8 8 Constant. This will be equal to price.
5 40 8 8 Y
6 48 8 8
7 56 8 8
AR=MR=Price
O X
Output
Hence, under perfect competition, the AR curve will be a horizontal straight line and paralled to OX axis.
This is because a firm has to sell its product at the constant existing market price.
Since the seller is Price Taker (Since he cannot influence price)
Hence AR=MR=Price
But in other types of market structures like Monopolistic competition, Oligopoly and Monopoly
The seller can influence is price and hence he is a Price Maker
TC
Total Cost and Total Revenue
PROFIT ZONE
LOSS ZONE
BEP
1200--
300 -- TFC
O I I I I I i X
100 200 300 400 500 600
Output
CALCULATION OF BREAK EVEN POINT
The two methods of calculation of BEP are 1) BEP in terms of physical units 2) BEP in terms of sales value
BEP in terms of physical units is suitable for a firm producing a single product.
BEP in terms of sales value is suitable for a firm producing multi products.
It implies that for every one rupee sales value the TFC is 0.40 paise
TFC Rs. 3,000
Now BEP = = = Rs. 7,500
CR 0.4
Hence it is clear from this calculations that at sales value of Rs. 7500 (BEP)
There is no profit and no loss.
BREAK EVEN CONCEPT HELPS IN MAKE OR BUY DECISIONS
Some firms often make certain components or ingredients which may be a part of their finished
product
The break even concept helps the firm to take a decision whether it will be more profitable to produce
or purchase from outside manufacturer or supplier for final assembly of the finished product.
Illustration No.1
A firm purchases certain components at Rs. 10 each. In case it makes itself, its TFC is Rs. 12,000 and
Variable Cost is Rs. 4 per unit, should a firm Make or Buy.
TFC Rs. 12,000
BEP = = = 2000
Price – VC (CM) Rs. 10 - 4
Hence, if the firms requirements is less than 2000 units then it is profitable to buy than to manufacture them
Illustration No 2
An engineering firm buys certain components for producing a component at Rs. 20 per unit. If he has
to make these components, it would require a TFC Rs. 15,000 and VC Rs. 5. His present requirement is
1000 units of these components.
Advise him whether he should make or buy them, if he intents to double the output.
Solution
Hence, at 1,000 units requirement it makes no difference whether the firm buys or makes the components
But when requirement increases, it is profitable to make the components.
SAMPLE PROBLEMS FOR CALCULATING BREAK EVEN POINT
PROBLEM 1
A firm incurs fixed cost of Rs. 4000 and variable cost of Rs. 10000 and its total sales receipts are
Rs.15000. determine Break even point.
PROBLEM 2
M/s. Gayatri Engineering furnishes the following information.. On the basis of the information
a) Find BEP in physical units and BEP in sales value
b) Show the amount of Variable Cost at BEP
c) Profit made by the company at 20,000 units when the selling price is increased by 25%.
Profit is Rs.20,000
Problems to calculate Break Even using TR and TC functions.
Problem 1
Given the TC and TR functions, calculate Break Even. TC Rs.12000+5Q TR 8Q
12000=-5Q+8Q
12000=3Q
Q=12000/3=4000 units.
Problem 2
An engineering firm has provided the following TR and TC functions, You are
required to calculate BEP.
TC Rs. 54000+15Q TR 20Q
54000=-15Q+20Q
54000=5Q
Q=54000/5=10800 units.
Problem 3
Given the TR & TC functions, determine the Break Even Point
TC 480+10Q, = TR 50Q
480=-50Q+10Q
480=40Q
Q=480/40
12 units
Problem 4
Given the TR and TC functions, calculate Break Even Point
TC 300+3Q=TR 4Q
300=3Q
PROBLEM 3
ABC Enterprises with annual sales of small ball bearings 8000 units. It is selling at Rs. 9.50 per unit.
The TFC of the company is Rs. 18000 and VC per unit is Rs. 6.50. on the basis of above calculate:
a) BEP in physical units and sales value in rupees.
b) Show the amount of VC at BEP.
c) Profit made by the company at 8000 units.
PROBLEM 4
Expert Engineering Pvt. Ltd. Manufactures automobile lamps and sells them at Rs. 25 per unit.
And average Variable cost is Rs. 13 per unit. Their fixed cost is Rs. 12,000.
Determine a) Break even sales
b) Firm’s profit if its normal production capacity of 2000 lamps.
PROBLEM 5
Premier Engineering Co. incurs a FC of Rs. 4000 and VC of Rs. 10000 and its total sales receipts
Are Rs.15000. Determine Break Even point.
Solution for Problem 3
a) BEP in physical units= TFC/CM=Rs.18000/3=6000 units
BEP in sales value CR=TR-TVC/TR=Rs.76000-Rs.52000/Rs.76000=0.32
TFC/CR=Rs.18000/0.32=Rs.56250
Factors and
Interest Rate of return
methods of
Formulas method
Depreciation
Topics
Payback
Present Value
period method
Internal Rate
Future Value of Return
method
TIME VALUE OF MONEY (TMV)
TMV refers to “time has got a value’. The rupee value keeps on changing over a period
of time.
The concept TMV refers to the money received today is different in its worth from the
money receivable at some other time in future.
In other words, TMV is its rate of return which the firm can earn by reinvesting its
present money.
Compounding technique is used to find out the future value of present money.
Here the interest earned in preceding year is reinvested at prevailing rate of interest for
the next period.
The compounding technique is to find out Future Value of present worth of can be
explained in 3 ways.
1) Future Value of Single Cash Flow
2) Future Value of Annuity/Series of Cash Flows
3) Future Value of Multiple Cash Flows.
Future value (FV) of single present cash flow can be:
a) In case of Annual Compounding
Problem 1
Calculate the FV of Rs. 2000, if it is invested @ 8% interest per year
Formula is FV=PV(1+r)n
Where FV=Future Value
PV=Present Value
r= Rate of interest
n= Number of years
Solution
FV=? FV=2000(1+0.08)1
PV=Rs.2000 =2000(1.08) 1
r=8% or 0.08 =Rs.2160
n= 1 year
Problem 2
Calculate the compounding value of Rs. 4000 if it is invested at 12% for two years.
Problem 3
Calculate the future sum of money if it is invested at 10% for four years of Rs. 25000
Problem 4
Arun deposits Rs. 10000 in a bank which pays 8% interest compounded annually for 8
years. Calculate the amount
To be received after 8 years.
b) In case of multiple compounding
In this method if the compounding period varies, interest earned will also vary, viz., if the
Interest Is compounded semi-annually (2), quarterly (4) or monthly (12), such future value is
calculated by using the Following formula
Solution
FV = ?
PV=2000 (0.1
FV=2000 1+ 2 ) 2X1
i=10% or 0.1
m=2 =2000(1+0.05)2
n=1 =2000(1.05) 2
=2000(1.1025)
FV=2205
Problem 3 on Multiple Compounding
Calculate the Future Value of Rs. 1000 if it is invested for 1 year with a compounding
period of quarterly
At 10%
Problem 2
Kumar deposits Rs.6000 at the end of every year for 5 years and the deposit earns
compound interest @ 12% per annum. Caluculate how much money he will have
at the end of five years.
Future Value of Annuity of Cash flows (Series of Equal cash flows)
Problem 2
Kumar deposits Rs.6000 at the end of every year for 5 years and the deposit earns
compound interest @ 12% per annum. Caluculate how much money he will have
at the end of five years.
FUTURE VALUE OF UNEVEN CASH FLOWS
Formula R1(1+i)n-1+R2(1+i)n-2+R3(1+i)n-3……………………………………………
Where, R1, R2, R3……….uneven cash flows
i = Interest rate
n = Number of years.
Problem 1
Calculate FV of the following cash flows, if it invested at 8% interest per annum.
=500(1+0.08)5-1+1000(1+0.08)5-2+1500(1+0.08)5-3+2000(1+0.08)5-4+2500(1+0.08)5-5
=500(1.08)4+1000(1.08)3+1500(1.08)2+2000(1.08)1+2500(1.08)0
=500(1.36)+1000(1.26)+1500(1.17)+2000(1.08)+2500(1)
=680+1260+1750+2160+2500
Rs.8355
Problem 2
Calculate the future value at the end of five years of the following series of payment
at 9% interest per annum
Year Amount deposited
1 1000
2 2000
3 3000
4 4000
5 5000 Answer Rs.16920
Problem 3
Calculate the future value at the end of five years of the following series of payment at 10%
Interest per year.
Year Amount deposited
1 2000
2 2500
3 3000
4 3500
5 4000 Answer 17725
Discounting Technique or Present Value technique
This method is reverse of compounding technique.
This method helps to find out the present value of future money.
Answer Rs.2,799.04
Problem 3
Calculate the PV of a sum of Rs. 50000 received after 2 years, if the discount rate is 8%
Answer Rs.42866.94
Calculation of Present Value in case of Multiple Compounding
( ( mn
FORMULA = PV = 1+ r n = Number of years
m m = Number of times discount is compounded
Problem 1 on Present Value of Multiple Compounding
Find out the Present Value of Rs.10,000 receivble after 3 years at the rate of 12% interest.
Calculate semi-annually.
P1 or FV
FORMULA = PV = mn
Solution
PV = ?
(
1+
r
m
(
FV = Rs.10,000
r = 12% or 0.012
m=2
n=3
Problem 3 on Present Value on Multiple Compounding
Calculate the Present Value of Rs. 12,000 receivable after 4 years at the rate of 12%
Interest compounded quarterly.
What is the Present Value of Rs.10,000 receivable after 3 years at the rate of 10%
Interest. Calculate semi annually.
PAY BACK PERIOD
The Pay Back Period is a capital budgeting technique based on establishing how
long it takes to recover the initial investment from the cumulative cash flows.
Uncovered amount
Formula = Years before full recovery +
Next year cash flow
Solution
First step: prepare cumulative cash flow
Year cash flow cumulative cash flow
1 8000 8000
2 7000 15000
3 4000 19000
4 3000 22000
In the cumulative total it can be noted that 3years + requires for payback period
1000
Hence 3 years + Uncovered amount (20000-19000=1000) = 3+
3000
3000 (cash flow of next year) = 0.33
Hence the payback period is
3.33 years
Problem 2
Calculate pay back period for two machines. Each machine requires an investment of
Rs.50000
MACHINE X MACHINE Y
YEAR CASH FLOWS CASH FLOWS
1 25000 15000
2 30000 25000
3 35000 30000
4 25000 40000
5 20000 30000
Problem 3
The investment of a project is Rs. 200000 and the cash flows are as follows. Calculate
payback if the discount rate is 10%
Year Cash flows
1 1,66,667
2 1,66,667 Answer 1.352 years
3 76,667 (4m, 6w & 5d)
DEPRECIATION
Depreciation is a measure of the wearing out, consumption or other loss of
value of a depreciable asset arising from use, obsolescence through technology
and market changes.
Straight line method of calculating depreciation.
Problem 1
Cost of machine is Rs. 7800000 and estimated useful life is 5 years at the end of life
the salvage value is expected of Rs. 390000. calculate depreciation using straight
line method.
Solution : original cost Rs. 7800000 Rs. 7800000 – Rs. 390000
estimated scrap value Rs.390000 5 Years
estimated useful life 5 years = Rs. 14,82,000 per annum
Problem 2
A machine cost is Rs. 1000000 and expected life of machine is 6 years at the end of life the salvage value is
Expected of Rs. 100000. calculate depreciation using straight line method.
Problem 4
Suresh & co. is considering to purchase a machine to manufacture chocolates which is costing Rs.
500000. The Machine has a life of 5 years. Calculate depreciation using straight line method.
NPV refers to ‘net benefit’ from the project in today’s value. This is the most
effective and popular technique for making capital budget decisions.
Problem 3 :
A project costs Rs. 16000 and expected cash inflows are as follows: Calculate NPV @ 20%
YEAR CASH INFLOW
1 8000
2 7000
Answer Rs. -1004
3 6000
Problem 4
Calculate Discounted Pay back period and Net Present Value for the
Following two Projects. The firm anticipates its cost of capital to be 10%. Suggest which
Project is profitable
IRR is the rate that equates the investment outlay with the present value of cash flow. This
implies that the rate of return is the discount rate at which makes NPV=0.
The IRR is also known as Break even discount rate. In other words, the present value of cash
inflows equals the present value of cash outflows.
Importance of IRR
We know that as borrowing cost raises the NPV declines. Hence, IRR is the limit of cost of
capital for a project.
If borrowing cost exceeds IRR, the NPV turns negative and the project would be rejected.
IRR is related NPV in the sense that a project with a positive NPV will have cost of capital less
than IRR.
Problem 1
Calculate IRR @ 40% and 50% on the basis of following information. The investment is Rs. 50000. Show
the exact IRR with proof.
Year Cash flow Present Present Present Present
Value factor Vlaue @ Value factor Value @
@40% 40% @ 50% 50%
1 25000 0.714 17850 0.666 16650
2 30000 0.510 15300 0.444 13320
3 35000 0.364 12740 0.296 10360
4 25000 0.260 6500 0.197 4925
5 20000 0.185 3700 0.131 2620
TOTAL 56090 47875
It can be observed that Total PV @ 40% is 56090 which is more than cash outflow(investment) i.e. Rs. 50000.
Hence we can understand that IRR lie between 40% and 50%. Now let us increase PVF to 50% and verify.
When we increase to 50% PV is 47875 which is less than cash outflow (investment) i.e. Rs. 50000.
6090
40 + X 10
8215
40 + 0.741 X 10
Problem 3
Calculate IRR between 40% and 50% on the basis of following information. The investment is Rs.200000
Year Cash inflows
1 90000
2 90000
3 90000
4 90000 Answer is IRR 42.65%
5 230000
Calculate the exact IRR between 10% and 15% for the following project -S
A small engineering enterprise with an investment of Rs.3,10,500 provides the following data. Based on the
data calculate IRR at 13% and 15% and find out the exact IRR.
YEAR CASH INFLOWS (RS.)
1 70,000
2 1,00,000
3 1,30,000
4 90,000
5 60,000
1401 /494
Problem for practice 2
Ajith Singh wants to invest in two projects Air India and Indigo, each of which requires
an outlay of Rs. 50 million. The expected cash inflow from these projects are as follows.
1. What is the pay back period for Air India and IndiGo?
2. If the two projects are independent and cost of capital 12% which project the firm should invest in ? (Hint NPV)
3. Find the IRR for project IndiGo and Air India
Problem for practice 3
ABC engineering company wants to invest in one machine. There are two machines
available namely A and B, each costing Rs. 50000. following table shows cash flows of
two machines.
YEAR MACHINE A MACHINE B
Cash Flows Cash Flows
1 15000 5000
2 20000 15000
3 25000 20000
4 15000 30000
5 10000 20000
1. What is the non discounted Pay Back Period for Machine A and B?
2. What is the discounted Pay Back Period at 10% for machine A and B?
3. If the two machines are independent and cost of capital is 10% which machine should the firm
invest in? Calculate NPV
Problem for practice 4
Consider that an investor has an opportunity of receiving Rs. 1000, 1500, 800, 1100 and Rs. 400 respectively
At the end of one through five years. Find the Present Value of this stream of uneven cash flows, if the
Interest rate is 8%.
YEAR AMOUNT
DEPOSITED
1 500
2 1000
3 1500
4 2000
5 2500
Problem for practice 6
Calculate the Future Value at the end of five years of the following series of payments at 10% rate of
interest.
Year Amount
deposited
1 2000
2 2500
3 3000
4 3500
5 4000
2. What is the balance in an account at the end of 10 years if Rs.2,500 is deposited today
and the account earns 4% interest, compounded annually? Quarterly?
4. How much will be in an account at the end of 5 years the amount deposited today
is Rs.10,000 and interest 8% per year, compounded semi-annually?
answer : Rs.14,802.44
5. How much interest on interest is earned in an account by the end of 5 years if Rs.1,00,000
is deposited and interest is 4% per year, compounded continuously?
Note: interest on interest is the difference between the FV calculated using compounded interest and the FV calculated using simple interest,
because simple interest included only interest on the principle amount, not the interest-on-interest.
answer: continuously compounded Rs.1,22,140.28
Simple interest Rs.1,20,000
Interest on interest Rs.14,802.44
6. How much I have to deposit in an account today that pays 12%, compounded
quarterly, so that I have a balance of Rs.20,000 in the account at the end of 10 years?
Answer: PV Rs.6,131.14
7. Suppose I want to be able to withdraw Rs.5,000 at the end of 5 years and withdraw
Rs.6,000 at the end of six years, leaving a zero balance in the account after
the last withdrawal. If I can earn 5% on my balances, how much must I deposit today
to satisfy my withdrawal needs?
Given: hint—there are two different future values. Treat as two separate present values,
then combine.
FV=Rs.5,000; n=5, i=5%
PV=Rs.3,917.63
5. It contains the figure of consumption, savings, investment, imports, exports, etc. Information regarding
these factors are indispensable for any economic study concerning economic growth and planning.
6. In a mixed economy like our country, it helps to know the relative role played by the public and private
Sectors in the economy.
7. It is a valuable guide to formulate economic policies by govt especially in these days of active participation
of the govt in economic management of a nation.
9. It is the basis to determine subscription quotas to world bodies such as World Bank, IMF, etc.
10. NI data of the various states helps the central govt to decide the amounts of grants-in-aid to be given
to different state govts.
CONCEPTS OF NATIONAL INCOME
NNP: it is defined as net output of a country during the year. NNP is obtained by deducting the value of
Depreciation or replacement allowance of the capital assets from GNP
Thus NNP=GNP minus Depreciation
National Income at Market Price and National Income at Factor Cost: a distinction between NI at Factor
Cost and NI at Market Price is that NI at Market price means the money value of goods produced.
Its price of the aggregate output at current prices. This price also includes some amount of taxes and
Subsidies.
Example, the price of car is Rs. 3 Lakhs. In this case the NI at Market price is Rs. 3 lakhs.
But there is some elelment of tax in the above price. Let us suppose the tax is Rs. 20,000.
Then NI at factor Cost is Rs. 2,80,000. because the factors of production which have
contributed for the production Of one car will get only Rs.2,80,000 and the balance
Rs. 20,000 will go to govt as tax.
NDP- it is defined as net output of a country during the year. NDP is obtained by
deducting the value of Depreciation or replacement allowance of the capital assets
from GDP, Thus NDP=GDP minus Depreciation.
PI- it is the total money income received by individuals in a country. The concept of PI
Is very useful as it indicates the potential purchasing power of households in a country.
It enables us to measure the welfare of consumers of a country.
DPI – Disposable Personal Income
is the sum of Consumption and Savings of individuals. DPI rather than NI is the
Determinant of consumption, because the consumption of a person depends on
His take home pay.
I. Census of product Method: according to this method the economy is divided into different sectors
like agriculture, mining, manufacturing, transport and communication and the gross output obtained
in these sectors will be taken into account. This value is GNP at Market price.
In using this method it is necessary to take utmost care to avoid double counting. Economists have
suggested two alternative approaches to avoid the problem of double counting. Namely
i) the final goods method ii) the value added method.
In the final goods method only final values of goods and services are computed ignoring all intermediate
transactions. Intermediate goods are involved in the process of producing final goods. (eg. Cotton is an
intermediate goods to produce final good, cloth. Similarly, sugarcane is an intermediate good to produce
Sugar)
Precautions to calculate NI using census of product method
1. To avoid double counting only the value of final goods should be taken. The value of raw materials and
intermediate goods should not be taken as this would lead to the problem of double counting.
EXAMPLE OF VALUE ADDED METHOD
PRODN. FIRM SALES COST OF VALUE
STAGE REC. INTERMEDIATE ADDED NET
(RS.) GOOD (Rs.) INCOME (Rs.)
1 2 3 4 (3 Minus 4)
WHEAT FARMER 500 0 500
II. Census of Income Method: in this method the total of all money incomes such as wages, salaries
rent, profit by persons and enterprises in the country during a year are totaled up.
the following classification of income is considered comprehensive.
a) Wages & Salaries, b) supplementary labour income (Social security, etc.) c) earnings of self
employed and professionals d) dividends e) interest f) Rent g) profit of state enterprises.
Precautions to calculate NI using Census of Income method
1. All transfer payments such as unemployment allowance, pension, charity, etc. are not to be
included. Similarly, earnings from gambling lottery prize being transfer payments are to be
excluded. Likewise scholarship received by students are also transfer payments and should
be excluded.
2. Sales receipts of old property to be excluded.
3. Direct taxes revenue to the govt should be deducted from the total income as it is only
a transfer income.
4. Govt. subsidies should be deducted from profits of the subsidized industries.
III. Census of Expenditure Method : this method is used by adding all the expenditure made on goods
and services during a year. Expenditure may be on consumer goods or investment goods.
thus, we can get NI by summing up all consumption expenditure and investment expenditure
by individuals and govt.
7. GDP at market price = GNP at market price minus net fact income from abroad
With the given data on NI concepts answer the question below.
Calculate GDPMP ?
GNPMP minus NFIA = GDP
=1000 minus 100 = 900
Calculate GDPFC?
GDPMP minus IT+Subsidies
=900 minus 80 + 50 = 870
GNPMP minus Depreciation = NNP MP
GNPMP minus NIFA = GDPMP
GNPMP minus indirect taxes = GNPFC
NNPMP minus Net Income From Abroad = NDPMP
NNPMP minus indirect taxes =NNPFC
GDPMP minus indirect taxes = GDPFC
GNPFC minus depreciation=NNPFC
NDPMP minus indirect taxes NDPFC
GDPFC minus depreciation = NDPFC
With the given data on NI concepts answer the question below.
Calculate GDPMP ?
GNPMP minus NFIA = GDP
=1000 minus 100 = 900
Calculate GDPFC?
GDPMP minus IT+Subsidies
=900 minus 80 + 50 = 870
Calculate NDPFC?
GDPFC minus Depreciation
=870 minus 100 = 770
Calculate NNPFC ?
NDPFC+NFIA=NNPFC
=770+100=870
Calculate GNPFC ?
GDPFC + NFIA=GNPFC
=870+100=970
Numerical problems on National Income (NI) concepts
What is NNPFC
NDPFC+NFIA=NNPFC
=770+100=870
What is GNPFC
GDPFC + NFIA=GNPFC
=870+100=970
INFLATION
INFLATION is associated with high prices, which causes decline in the purchasing
power / value of money.
Inflation refers to the substantial and rapid increase in the general Price level.
Inflation is primarily a monetary phenomenon. Prices keep on rising due to excess
Supply of money and lower production of exchangeable goods.
According to Coulborn, “Inflation is too much of money chasing too few goods”
Types of Inflation
According to rate of rise in price According to Time According to
a) Demand Pull Inflation
a) Creeping Inflation (less than 3%) a) War Time Inflation Coverage
b) Cost Push Inflation
b) Walking Inflation (3 to 4%) b) Post war Inflation a) Comprehensive
c) Running Inflation (More than 10%) Inflation
d) Galloping Inflation/Hyper Inflation (100%) b) Sporadic
Inflation
H – HYPER INFLATION
H
120 -
R – RUNNING INFLATION
Price Rise in percentage
100 -
R
80 - W – WALKING INFLATION
W
60 -
C – CREEPING INFLATION
40 -
C
20 -
I I I I I I I I I I I
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Time in years
CAUSES OF INFLATION
INCREASE IN DEMAND FOR GOODS & DECREASE IN SUPPLY FOR GOODS AND
SERVICES SERVICES
Increase In Public Expenditure Shortages of supplies of factors of
production
Increase in private expenditure Hoarding by traders
Increase in exports Hoarding by consumers
Reduction in taxation Natural calamities
Repayment of past internal debts War
Rapid growth of population International causes(prices of basic
material like Petrol)
CONTROL OF INFLATION
The modern economy uses various factors of production namely Land, Labour, Capital and
Enterpreneurship.
Govt expenditures Govt expenditures
and transfer payments and subsidies
GOVERNMENT
Taxes Taxes
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS Savings investments FIRMS
CAPITAL
MARKET
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS
FIRMS
*buy and consume
*produce and sell
goods and services
goods and services
*own and sell
*Hire and use factors
factors of
of production
production
Expenditure on Goods & Services
Flow of Goods & Services
Households spendings on goods and services through markets and revenue of goods sold will flow from markets
To business firms.
Households provide factors of production like land, labour & capital to business firms and inturn household get
Wages and profits.
ASSUMPTIONS
1. This economy has no international economic relations(Closed ECONOMY)
5.There are no govt operations in the economy such as govt expenditures and taxes.
Govt expenditures Govt expenditures
and transfer payments and subsidies
GOVERNMENT
Taxes Taxes
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS Savings investments FIRMS
CAPITAL
MARKET
1. A part of the flows between households and the business firms gets diverted to govt sector.
2. A part of the household income goes to govt sector in the form of taxes.
3. A part of the business firms’ earnings goes to govt in the form of taxes.
4. A part of the tax revenue is spent by the govt as govt expenditure on services and transfer
payments to the households
5. A part of the tax revenue is spent by govt as govt expenditure on goods and subsidies to the
business firms.
In case govt follows a deficit budget and govt expenditure is greater than revenue (G>T), the difference
Is financed from loans from the capital market. Hence money will flow from capital market to govt.
In case govt follows a surplus budget and the govt expenditure is less than the revenue (G<T), money
Will flow to capital market from govt sector.
Govt expenditures Govt expenditures
and transfer payments and subsidies
GOVERNMENT
Taxes Taxes
Factor Services
Factor Payments
BUSINESS
HOUSEHOLDS Savings investments FIRMS
CAPITAL
MARKET
If the exports of a country are less than its imports (X<M) there is foreign trade deficit equal to
(M-X) which is known as unfavourable balance of trade.
If the exports of a country are more than its imports (X>M) there is foreign trade surplus equal to
(X-M) which is known as favourable balancd of trade.
Significance of Circular Flow of Income
1. Knowledge of Interdependence – we can understand interdependence between different sectors of the
economy.
2. Identification of Injections and Leakages – we can understand injections (Investment and Exports)
and leakages (saving and Imports)
3. Estimation of National Income - we can understand that how the circular flow of income facilitates the
estimation of national income.
4. Level of structure of Economic Activity – we can get information on various macro variables like national
Income, consumption, savings, investment, etc.
5. Fiscal and Monetary Policies-we can understand the importance of both Fiscal & Monetary Policies.
The importance of monetary policy can be observed when savings exceeds investment/investment exceeds
savings it means that the disequilibria can be set by suitable credit and monetary policy.
similarly, if savings and taxes amount exceeds the investment and govt spending amount should adopt such
fiscal measures as reduction in taxes. Therefore, with the help of circular flow of income and expenditure
the problem of disequilibria and the restoration of equilibrium can be observed.
Industrial Policy 1991
INDUSTRIAL POLICY 1991
Generally speaking Industrial Policy refers to the policy of the govt towards industries. An industrial policy
covers who should manufacture what, how, where and the key industries for the growth and development
of economy.
In India, pvt. Sector was regulated with the help of number of acts like Industrial Devpt & Regulation Act,
Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA), Monopolies Restrictive Trade Practices Act (MRTP), etc.
These acts and regulations strangulated the initiative of the pvt sector to grow and resulted in inefficiencies,
Corruptions and mismanagement.
To meet these challenges economic reforms were introduced in industrial, financial, external and fiscal areas
With a new industrial policy 1991 during the period of PV Narasimha Rao, the then Prime Minister of India.
Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation (LPG) is the main outcome of this industrial policy 1991.
Liberalisation refers to the process of removing the govt’s control and restrictions on economic activities.
Liberalisation means greater freedom to economic agents.
Liberalization reduces govt’s role.
DEREGULATION OF
INDUSTRIAL SECTOR FINANCIAL SECTOR
TAX REFORMS
REFORMS
LIBERALISATION
MEASURES
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
REFORMS TRADE AND INVESTMENT
REFORMS
Privatisation refers to a partial or full transfer of ownership and control of Public Sector Units (PSU) to
the private sector.
Globalisation refers to the process of integrating the domestic economy with the world economy through
The movement of goods, services, people and information across national boundaries
Disinvestment is one of the methods of privatization. It means selling of govt share in one PSU to other PSUs
Or private sector. In India, privatization is mainly in the form of disinvestment of equity. Privatisation does
Not lead to 100% transfer of control from public sector to pvt sector, other than in exceptional cases
Like that of Centaur Hotel. Examples of privatized PSUs are
1. Modern Food Industries Ltd.
2. Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd. (VSNL)
3. Bharath Aluminium Ltd. (BALCO)
4. Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (HZL)
5. Maruti Udyog Ltd………………….and so on
Main Reasons for Economic Reforms in India
Rise in Prices
• Price rise continuously in India. The inflation rate increased from
6.7% to 16.7%.
• Due to inflation country’s economic position became worse.
• Main reason for inflation was rapid increase in money supply.
• It was due to deficit financing Deficit financing means borrowing
from Reserve Bank of India by Government to meet its deficit.
• RBI provides this loan by printing new currency notes.
• Cost of production increases due to inflation. This affects demand for
products
Rise in Fiscal Deficit
• Due to increase in non- development expenditure fiscal deficit of
the Govt. had been increasing.
• Fiscal deficit means difference between total expenditure and total
receipts minus loans. To cover the fiscal deficit, the Govt. has to
raise loans and pay interest on it.
• Due to rise in fiscal deficit there was rise in public debt and
interest.
• In 1991 interest liability became 36.4% of total govt. expenditure.
The Govt. caught in debt trap. So Govt. has to resort to economic
reforms.
Increase in Adverse Balance of Payments
• So deficit of balance of payments had been rising continuously.
• In 1980-81 it was Rs. 2214 crore and rose in 1990- 91 to Rs. 17,367
crores.
• To cover this deficit large amount of foreign loans had to be obtained.
• So liability of loan and its interest payment goes on increasing.
• It made balance of payments adverse.
Iraq War
• Indians foreign exchange reserve fell to low ebb in 1990-91 and it was
insufficient to pay for an import bill for 2 weeks.
• 1986-87----Rs. 8151 crores
• 1989-90----Rs. 6252 crores.
• Chandershekhar: Govt. had to sell Gold to meet the import liability.
So Govt. had to think about policy of liberalization.
India’s New Industrial Policy 1991
TROUGH
O X
TIME
CHRACTERISTICS OF BUSINESS CYCLE/TRADE CYCLE
1. Cyclical fluctuations are wave like movements.
2. Fluctuations are recurrent in nature.
3. Booms and troughs do not occur at regular intervals.
4. They occur in such aggregate variables as output, income, employment and prices
5. These variables move at about the same time in the same direction but at different rates.
6. Business cycles/Trade cycles are international in character.
PHASES OF BUSINESS CYCLE/TRADE CYCLE
1. Depression: it is the first phase of trade cycle. This period is charactirised by
a) reduction in volume of output, trade and transaction
b) increase in level of unemployment
c) fall in prices
d) fall in interest rates
e) contraction in bank credit
f) high rate of business failures
During this period, on can notice that all round pessimism, frustration and despair. It is
Period of great suffering and hardship to the people.
2. Recovery/Revival: Depression cannot last long for ever. After a period of depression, recovery
starts. This is the lower turning point from depression to revival towards upswing. After some
time the rays of hope appear on the business horizon. Pessimism gets slowly replaced by
optimism. The depression carries within itself the seeds of recovery. The recovery many be
initiated by the following factors.
a) government expenditure
b) changes in production techniques
c) investment in new regions
d) exploitation in new sources of energy
e) new innovations.
Increase in government expenditure stimulates the demand for consumption goods which in turn
Pushes up the demand for capital goods. Construction activity receives an impetus. As a result
Output, income, employment, wages, prices, profits starts rising. Attracted by profits, bank lend
More money. The upward trend in business give a sort of fillip to economic activity. Through
Multiplier and acceleration effects, the economy proceed upwards steadily and rapidly.
3. Prosperity Phase: prosperity is a stage of affairs in which the real income
consumed, produced and the level of employment are high or rising and
there are no idle resources.
during this phase, a) high level of output and trade
b) high level of employment and output
c) large expansion of bank credit
d) overall business optimism.
e) high level of effective demand
4. Boom Phase : The prosperity phase does not stop at full employment. It gives
way to the emergence of a boom. Business optimism stimulate further
investment. Soon a situation develop in which the number of jobs exceed the
number of workers available in the market. Thus there is overfull employment.
Prices, wages, interests, profits move in the upward direction. Business people
borrow more and invest it. This adds fuel to the fire. The tempo of boom
reaches new heights. There is an atmosphere of “over optimism” all round.
The boom carries with it the seed of self-destruction. The prosperity phase comes to an
end when the forces favouring expansion becomes progressively weak. Bottlenecks begin
to appear. Labour, Raw materials, etc., become scarce commanding higher wages and
prices. This disturbs the cost calculation of the business people. Now the business people
realize that they have over stepped the mark and become over cautious and their over
optimism paves the way for their pessimism. Thus prosperity digs its own grave.
5. Recession – A turn from prosperity to depression: the period of recession begins when
the phase of prosperity ends. Recession exists for a short period of time. Business
pessimism during this period is characterized by feeling of hesitation, doubt and fear.
it leads to a) downfall in the activities of stock exchange market.
b) failure of some business creates panic among businessmen
c) loss of confidence
d) no new ventures are taken up
e) banks curtail credit
f) new orders are cancelled and workers are laid off
g) unemployment sets in the capital goods industries and it spreads to other
industries also.
The unemployment multiplier begins to work in the downward direction. Its consequence
are—fall in income, expenditure, prices, profits, industrial and trade activities. Recession
has cumulative effects. When once business and economic activity starts declining, it
becomes almost difficult to stop the rot. Thus it ends in a hopeless depression which is the
period of utmost suffering for businessmen.
Preventive Measures – generally speaking these measures are taken during the period of
Expansion. A prudent producer will think in advance and take all possible precautionary measures
To avoid and minimize business problems as much as possible. He makes an attempt to prevent
Over expansion of business. He follows a policy of utmost restraint to safeguard his long tem
Interest sacrificing short run tempting gains.
Relief Measures – these measures are generally adopted during the period of contraction and
Recession. The basic objective is to fight against pessimism and to give boost to all kinds of
Business activities. There are must be a strong psychological shifts during this period.