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The best estimates of what is expected to occur and the decision usually involve four essential
elements:
o Cash flows
o Times of occurrence of cash flows
o Interest rates for time value of money
o Measure of economic worth for selecting an alternative
Sensitivity analysis is utilized to determine how a decision might change according to varying
estimates, especially those expected to vary widely due to changing circumstances and unplanned
events
Measure of Worth: the criterion used to select an alternative in engineering economy for a specific set
of estimates. These include:
Present worth (PW) Rate of return (ROR) Payback period
Future worth (FW) Benefit/cost (B/C) Cost Effectiveness
Annual worth (AW) Capitalized cost (CC) Economic value added (EVA)
Time value of money: explains the change in the amount of money over time for funds that are
owned (invested) or owed (borrowed). This is the most important concept in engineering economics.
Steps in an engineering economy study (Decision-making process) are as follows:
o Definition of the problem: Identify and understand the problem.
o Definition of the goal(s) and objective(s): Identify goals – e.g. increase profit margin,
improving quality, reduce production/service cost, minimize risk, maximize employee
satisfaction. Identify the objective of the project (how to achieve the goals, the process).
o Identify feasible alternatives.
o Collect relevant, available data on feasible alternative solutions.
o Make realistic cash flow estimates.
o Identify an economic measure of worth criterion for decision making (using the same
criterion in order to avoid false decision).
o Evaluate each alternative; consider noneconomic factors; use sensitivity analysis as needed.
o Select the best alternative.
o Implement the solution and monitor the results (a step only needed to meet the project
objective)
At times, only one viable alternative is identified, the do-nothing (DN) alternative, and may be
chosen. The do-nothing alternative maintains the status quo.
When an engineering economy study is performed, it is important for the engineer performing the
study to consider all ethically related matters to ensure that the cost and revenue estimates reflect
what is likely to happen once the project or system is operating.
A firm’s profits or losses are determined by the relationship between the total revenue (sales) and
total costs at a certain volume of production.
Break-even analysis: A management decision-making tool designed to relate the factors of total
sales (revenue) and total costs (expenses) at a certain volume of production
An effective managerial tool if the data used in the analysis result from an intensive study of price
and cost behaviour with due considerations for all factors that influence selling prices and costs
It reveals whether, and where, the plant utilization operations show profit or loss.
Break-even point: volume or level of production at which the total revenue and total cost are
exactly equal
Any volume above break-even point shows a profit; any volume below shows a loss
Areas of Application
Product planning: what new product to add, which to be dropped for increased profit margin
Product pricing: to fix prices for enhanced profitability, taking advantage of elasticity of demand
Profit planning: To assist in budget-planning process for increased profit
Make-or-buy decision: for optimal allocation of capital resources in order to determine which
product to buy or to internally manufacture
Equipment selection and replacement: to decide whether to keep an old equipment or replace it with
a new one with the aim of minimizing production cost and, hence, increase profit
Classification of Costs
Break-even analysis is traditionally based on two types of costs: Fixed and Variable costs
Fixed Costs: cost components that don’t change with production rate or volume for the given
proposal and a given time span. E.g., depreciation charges, insurance, local taxes, selling, rental and
general administrative expenses
Variable Costs: those costs that will change with volume of production or operation. E.g., direct
labour cost, direct material cost, commissions on sales.
Semi-variable Costs: Costs that may not easily be separated into fixed and variable components. E.g.
o Those costs that have a fixed element that can easily be segregated plus variable component,
e.g. Electricity supply charge (demand + energy charge)
o Costs that cannot be precisely fitted to level of activity attained e.g., clerical salaries and
supervisory costs
o Those costs that bear no measurable relationship to activity and, therefore, do not vary in
proportion to volume but rather as management think they should.
Scatter diagram may be used to separate semi-variable costs into fixed and variable costs for
break-even analysis.
Basic Assumptions
1. Cost function is linear.
2. Revenue function is linear.
3. All products are sold (at the same price per unit???).
4. Fixed costs are independent of production.
5. There is no income other than from the operations.
Notations
x = volume of production or sales
v = unit variable cost (Naira per unit)
V = v.x = total variable cost (Naira)
F = total fixed cost
p = unit sales price
R = p.x = total revenue or income from sales (Naira)
Zg = gross profit = R – C (i.e. total revenue – total cost)
Graphical Solution
Cost
(Naira) R
C=F+V
B
C0=R0
V
B(x0, C0) = break-even point
F
x0 x (units)
Algebraic Solution
Total fixed cost, C = F + v.x
Total revenue, R = p.x
Gross profit, Zg = R – C = p.x – (F+v.x)
Break-even point is when Zg = 0. That is, at
F
x 0=
p−v
Cost/Revenue Revenue
(Naira)
Cost
C0=R0
x (units)
Examples…
Dumping
Occurs on occasions when a constant unit price can be realized for the sale of a product over a
specific range of production. Thus, only added units in excess of a specific production level must
be sold at a reduced price
Let p = unit price of the first x units produced
p’’ = (reduced) unit price of extra x’’ units (above x units)
Thus, total revenue is R = p.x + p’’.x’’
Total cost is C = F + v.x + v.x’’
since the cost of producing the extra x’’ units is the same as for the first x units
Gross profit, Zg = R – C = p.x + p’’.x’’ – (F + v.x + v.x’’)
Cost/Revenue
(Naira) Revenue
Cost
C0=R0
x (units)
Example…
TIME-VALUE OF MONEY