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Ospina-Tascón GA, Calderón-Tapia LE, García AF, et al; HiFLo-Covid Investigators. Effect of high-flow
oxygen therapy vs conventional oxygen therapy on invasive mechanical ventilation and clinical recovery
in patients with severe COVID-19: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA. Published December 7, 2021.
doi:10.1001/jama.2021.20714
This supplemental material has been provided by the authors to give readers additional
information about their work.
Study Oversight
An independent data quality surveillance committee (DQSC) and the steering committee were
committed to guarantee for the wholeness and accuracy of the data and also to ensure
compliance with the protocol. To fulfill such assignment, meetings among members from the
DQSC, research assistants from the coordinating center and the steering committee were
regularly performed aiming to evaluate data quality, potential protocol deviations and adverse
events detected throughout the study period. Research assistants from the coordinating center
and DQSC members regularly monitored all participating centers checking for the accuracy of
information recorded in the electronic case-report form. Data inaccuracies, potential deviations
and adverse effects were immediately examined with the research members from the involved
participating center and later discussed during the data quality surveillance meeting in order
to correct data inaccuracies, to solve deviations (if possible), to prevent future failures and to
report predefined and potentially new adverse effects. All adverse events were communicated
to the respective Ethical and Research Committee within the time frame as stipulated by each
center (usually within 24 hours for major events and one week for minor ones). At the end of
the study, one event was catalogued as major violation: a patient allocated to conventional
oxygen therapy was switched to high-flow oxygen nasal cannula by decision of his attending
physician. Finally, he was analyzed within his original allocated group according to the planned
intention-to-treat basis.
- Steering Committee: Gustavo A. Ospina-Tascón, Alberto Federico García, and Alexandre Biasi
Cavalcanti.
- Data quality surveillance committee (DQSC): Liliana Vallecilla, Diana Marcela Martínez, and
David Pantoja.
- Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB): Daniel De Backer (Université Libre de Bruxelles,
Bruxelles, Belgium), Jan Bakker (New York University, New York), and Wim Rietdijk
(Rotterdam, The Netherlands).
- Independent Statistician (for Interim analysis): Wim Rietdijk (Rotterdam, The Netherlands).
- Independent Statistician (for all other statistical analysis): Diana Marcela Martínez (Centro de
Investigaciones Clínicas, Fundación Valle del Lili. Cali, Colombia)
An electronic written informed consent was always obtained from each participant, his / her
next of kin, or another surrogate decision maker as appropriate. A complete description about
the process to obtain such informed consent is provided in the study protocol (Supplement 1).
All signatures were electronically recorded in the formats approved by the Ethical and
Biomedical Research Committee at each participating center. After obtaining informed consent,
patients were included if they met ALL of the following eligibility criteria:
Patient status at enrollment was that defined in the categories 4 and 5 from the modified 7-
category ordinal scale: 4, hospitalized in general ward (not intensive care unit), requiring
supplemental oxygen / requiring ongoing medical care (Covid-19–related or other medical
conditions); 5, hospitalized in the intensive care unit, requiring any supplemental oxygen but
not invasive mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.
Once the patient was allocated to his/her respective study group, predefined intubation criteria
were followed in order to avoid delayed invasive mechanical ventilation support. Intubation
criteria were applied under the assumption that patient was under the maximum possible
respiratory support provided by the therapy assigned (high-flow oxygen or conventional
oxygen therapy). Such criteria were as follows:
All participants were daily evaluated from the day-1 through day-28 (while remained
hospitalized) by the local study coordinators and research assistants. Multiple organ
dysfunction was assessed from day-1 through day-7, and then at day-10 and day-14 (if
remained hospitalized at such time points) by using the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment
Score (SOFA) score (1). The amount of resuscitation fluids and cumulative fluid balance were
also recorded during the first 7 days from randomization. Other adjuvant interventions for
management of hypoxemia such as prone position (both awake and under sedation / invasive
mechanical ventilation), neuromuscular paralysis or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
were also registered.
Serious adverse events (SAE) and grade 3-4 adverse events (AE) were daily recorded during
the study period. All SAE were notified to the respective Ethical and Research Committee
(usually within the next 24 hours of their detection). The steering committee and the data
quality surveillance committee (DQSC) periodically conducted dedicated meetings aimed to
perform a complete evaluation of SAE and AE. Potential causality of study interventions on SAE
was always discussed and informed to the respective Ethical and Research Committee. A total
of thirteen adverse events were classified as serious (Table 2). Proportion of SAE was not
significantly different between groups and none of those was directly attributed to the allocated
intervention. Suspected bacterial pneumonia was reported in 13 allocated to high-flow oxygen
therapy and 17 patients allocated to conventional oxygen therapy.
No in-person visits were performed after hospital discharge according to the local infection
control authority recommendations. Thus, for discharged patients, research assistants carried
out a structured phone call on day 28 of follow-up, aiming to confirm health status of the
participant and to categorize him/her within the ordinal 7-category scale.
Blood samples were drawn for laboratory test as described in the main protocol. Meanwhile,
blood samples for Interleukin-6 (IL-6) measurements were drawn and adequately stored for
analysis once enrollment of patients was ended.
Sample size was calculated under the assumption of an intubation rate of 60%, according to the
data obtained from the first 75 patients with Covid-19-related moderate and severe hypoxemic
respiratory failure treated in the coordinating center. Such proportion of intubation events was
in agreement with previous data from a randomized controlled trial testing high-flow oxygen
through nasal cannula in a mixed population of patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory
failure (2). In such a trial, maximal values of the 95% confidence intervals for intubation at day
28 in the groups subjected to standard oxygen therapy and non-invasive mechanical ventilation
were 57% and 59% independently of basal oxygenation, and 64% and 68% for those with an
initial PaO2/FiO2 ratio < 200. Consequently, estimating an intubation rate around 60% in
conventionally-treated patients, we calculated that enrollment of 196 patients would be
necessary to demonstrate an absolute reduction of 20% in the proportion of intubation and
requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation with an 80% power and two-side alpha level of
0.05. In addition, data obtained from the initial cohort of patients with Covid-19-related severe
hypoxemic respiratory failure treated in the coordinating center revealed a time to recovery of
14 (± 4.5) vs. 12 (± 4.0) days for the conventional oxygen and high-flow oxygen therapy groups
respectively. Thus, it was estimated that 160 patients (80 by arm) would be necessary to
demonstrate such a difference with an 80% power and two-side alpha level of 0.05.
Consequently, the sample size of 196 patients was primarily retained as the sample size target.
All the analysis were planned to be performed on an intention-to-treat basis with no exclusion
after randomization except exclusions for withdrawn consent, according to the local
regulations. Nevertheless, in agreement with the recommendation stated by the Ethical and
Biomedical Research Committee from the coordinating center (Fundación Valle del Lili - EBRC),
patients transferred to other hospitals before to complete 72 hours of the enrollment were also
excluded from analysis because the limitation to provide further protocolized management and
impossibility to ensure an adequate follow-up.
Time to clinical improvement was defined as time elapsed from randomization until the first
day, during the 28 days after enrollment, on which a patient attained a reduction in two or more
points in the modified ordinal 7-category scale. The effect size of the allocated therapy on the
time to recovery was assessed by computing the hazard ratio with its 95% confidence interval
(CI) as estimated from Cox proportional hazard model adjusted by age, grade of hypoxemia,
and comorbidities (see Main Protocol - and Supplement 2 –Statistical Analysis Plan–). Such
analysis was constructed for the overall population and also stratified according to baseline 7-
category ordinal scale at enrollment (i.e., scores of 4 or 5), and plotted in Kaplan-Meier curves.
Hazard ratios for clinical recovery greater than 1 indicate a benefit with the high-flow oxygen
therapy. Meanwhile, hazard ratios for intubation events less than 1 indicate benefit with the
use of high-flow oxygen therapy. Hazard ratios estimated from Cox regression models were
displayed in forest plots for predefined subgroups according to initial PaO2/ FiO2 (≥ or < 100
mmHg), interleukin-6 levels (≥ or < 100 pg/mL), and age (≥ or < 60 years old).
Secondary outcomes included: the proportion of patients requiring early intubation and
mechanical ventilation at days 7 and 14; mechanical ventilation free-days within 28 days,
computing the number of days remaining both alive and free of mechanical ventilation from the
randomization date to day-28; renal replacement therapy-free days, computing the number of
days remaining both alive and free of renal replacement therapy from the randomization date
to day-28; hospital and intensive care unit length of stay; overall mortality by day 28; and the
proportion of adverse events (including major adverse events and proportion of patients with
bacterial / fungal infections).
Tertiary outcomes included: time-course of oxygen flow and PaO2/FiO2 ratio; time (in hours)
from randomization up to intubation; clinical evolvement of multiorgan dysfunction evaluated
by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA) score (1), calculated day-by-day from
randomization up to day-7 and then, at day-10 and 14 (if hospitalized at such time points);
evolvement of extra-pulmonary organ dysfunction evaluated by the extra pulmonary score
given by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA) score, calculated day-by-day
from randomization up to day-7 and then, at day-10 and 14 (if hospitalized at such time points);
relationship between HACOR and ROX scales and requirement of intubation; time-course of
some prespecified blood markers: IL-6, IL-8, leucocytes, neutrophil: lymphocyte ratio, platelet
count, lactate dehydrogenase, ferritin, D-Dimer.
Subgroup analysis included: time to and proportion of patients requiring intubation and
A first and only interim analysis was conducted when the 28-day follow-up had been completed
for the first 100 randomized patients. Database was prepared and sent to the Members of the
Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB). An independent statistician (W.R.) performed the
analysis and discussed it with the DSMB, who later communicated the results to the Steering
Committee. By the time of the interim analysis, 9 events had been qualified as serious (SAE).
Eight of such SAEs corresponded to death and no one was apparently related or conditioned to
the assigned therapy itself. According to Haybittle–Peto stopping boundaries (4) proposed a
priori, a P-value threshold of less than 0.001 had been considered to interrupt the trial for safety
and a P-value threshold of less than 0.0001 to interrupt the trial for efficacy. Consequently, the
DSMB recommended continuing with the enrollment till the number of planned participants
was attained.
Registration at ClinicalTrials.gov
The study record was submitted to clinicaltrials.gov on September 24, 2020, and lastly posted
at clinicaltrials.gov by the 30th October 2020, time in which 24 patients have been enrolled.
The Ethical Research Committee and the Centro de Investigaciones Clínicas – FVL (Fundación
Valle del Lili, Cali - Colombia) verified the entire inscription process.
conditions)
7 Death.
Symptoms
Systolic arterial pressure, mmHg 123 (113 – 142) 127 (114 – 141) .93
Diastolic arterial pressure, mmHg 74 (65 – 85) 74 (67 – 81) .72
Mean arterial pressure, mmHg 92 (82 – 102) 91 [85 – 100) .80
Heart rate, beats/min 95 (83 – 111) 100 (90 – 112) .17
Respiratory rate, breaths/min 28 (22 – 36) 28 (22 – 33) .45
4 5
Primary Outcomes
Clinical Recovery b
No. of recoveries 77 71 13 11 64 60
Median time to
recovery (95%CI) - 11 (9-14) 14 (11-19) 13 (7-25) 25 (10-28) 11 (9-14) 13 (11-16)
days
Secondary Outcomes
Mortality
At day 14
Hazard Ratio
(95%CI) for data 0.93 (0.29-2.93) [p=0.90]
a 2.27(0.17-30.77) [p=0.53]
a 0.72(0.19-2.74) [p=0.63]
a
through day 28
At day 28
Hazard Ratio
(95%CI) for data 0.49 (0.21–1.16) [p= .11]
a 0.56 (0.10-3.09)[p= .50]
a 0.50 (0.18-1.38)[p= .18]
a
through day 28
Intubation
At day 7
At day 14
Hazard Ratio
(95%CI) for data 0.63 (0.41 – 0.97) [p= .04]
a 0.63 (0.24 – 1.62) [p= .34]
a 0.61 (0.37 – 1.01) [p= .048]
a
through day 28
Time elapsed from 23.1 (18.7 – 35 (22.3 - 21.4 (12.5 – 27.2 (11.2 –
randomization to 22.3 (13.2 – 60.7) 29.2 (14.4 – 58.3)
66.4) 107) 57.4) 56.5)
Intubation, hours
Adjusted odds ratio
(95% CI) for data 0.77 (0.33 – 1.68) [p= .52]
d 0.29 (0.04 – 1.92) [p= .20]
d 0.86 (0.36 – 2.06) [p= .73]
d
through day 28
Ventilation-free
days at day-28, days 28 (19 – 28) 24 (14 – 28) 28 (20 – 28) 19 (5 – 28) 28 (18 – 28) 27 (15 – 28)
(IQR)
Adjusted odds ratio
(95% CI) for data 2.08 (1.18 – 3.64) [p= .01]
d 3.22 (0.84 – 12.45) [p= .09]
d 1.89 (1.01 – 3.54) [p= .047]
d
through day 28
Renal replacement
therapy-free days, , 28 (28 – 28) 28 (28 – 28) 28 (28 – 28) 28 (26 – 28) 28 (28 – 28) 28 (28 – 28)
days (IQR)
P values and confidence intervals have not been adjusted for multiple comparisons.
a. Adjusted Hazard Ratio calculated from the Cox proportional model. Variables used for adjustment were: age (≥ or < 60 years old), PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the randomization, and comorbidities
(a composite of arterial hypertension, diabetes, obesity [body mass index > 30], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, end-stage renal failure, heart failure, cirrhosis Child-Pugh A-B). A
Hazard ratio (HR) for intubation less than 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen Therapy.
b. Adjusted Hazard Ratio calculated from the Cox proportional model. Variables used for adjustment were: age (≥ or < 60 years old), PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the randomization, and comorbidities (a
composite of arterial hypertension, diabetes, obesity [body mass index > 30], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, end-stage renal failure, heart failure, cirrhosis Child-Pugh A-B). A hazard
ratio for clinical recovery greater than 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen Therapy.
c. Scores on the Seven-Level Ordinal Scale are as follows: 1, Discharged from the hospital, resuming complete day-life activities; 2, Discharged from the hospital, but limitation of activities, home
oxygen requirement, or both; 3, Hospitalized in general ward (not intensive care unit), not requiring supplemental oxygen and no longer requiring ongoing medical care (used if hospitalization
was extended for infection-control reasons); 4, Hospitalized in general ward (not intensive care unit), requiring supplemental oxygen / requiring ongoing medical care (Covid-19–related or
other medical conditions); 5, Hospitalized in the Intensive Care Unit, requiring any supplemental oxygen; 6, Hospitalized in the Intensive Care Unit, requiring invasive mechanical ventilation or
ECMO; and 7, death.
d. Proportional odds models adjusted for age (≥ or < 60 years old), PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the randomization, and comorbidities (a composite of arterial hypertension, diabetes, obesity [body
mass index > 30], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, end-stage renal failure, heart failure, cirrhosis Child-Pugh A-B). Odds ratios > 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen
Therapy.
4 5
Odds ratio (95%CI) 0,59 (0,31-1,11) d 0,32 (0,08 - 1,30) d 0,69 (0,33 - 1,46) d
Primary Outcomes
This analysis includes all randomized patients providing consent to use data (i.e., including patients tranferred to other
hospitals within the 72 hours from randomization by administrative reasons). N=212
a Adjusted Hazard Ratio calculated from the Cox proportional model. Variables used for adjustment were: age (≥ or < 60 years old), PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the
randomization, and comorbidities (a composite of arterial hypertension, diabetes, obesity [body mass index > 30], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, end-stage
renal failure, heart failure, cirrhosis Child-Pugh A-B).
c Two patients in the conventional oxygen therapy group were intubated at the moment they were tranferred
d A Hazard ratio (HR) for intubation or mortality less than 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen Therapy.
e A hazard ratio (HR) for clinical recovery greater than 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen Therapy.
Analysis was performed to evaluate the site-by-treatment effects, by using a mixed effects
model taking the site (participant hospital) as random effect
a Adjusted Hazard Ratio calculated from the Cox proportional model. Variables used for adjustment were: age (≥ or
< 60 years old), PaO2/FiO2 ratio at the randomization, and comorbidities (a composite of arterial hypertension,
diabetes, obesity [body mass index > 30], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, end-stage renal failure, heart
failure, cirrhosis Child-Pugh A-B).
b A Hazard ratio (HR) for intubation or mortality less than 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen
Therapy.
c A hazard ratio (HR) for clinical recovery greater than 1 indicates benefit with the use of High-Flow Oxygen
Therapy.
Cox Regression
End Point Mixed Effects Cox Models
Model
Intubation within 28 days ! ! = 4.6; ' = 0.33 ! ! = 4.6; ' = 0.86
Clinical recovery up to day 28, days ! ! = 9.2; ' = 0.56 ! ! = 8.7; ' = 0.54
The proportional hazard assumption was tested with the Grambsch and Therneau method *
* Grambsch PM, Therneau TM. Proportional hazards tests and diagnostics based on weighted
residuals. Biometrika. 1994;81(3):515-526.
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, 0.36 (-2.19 – 2.92); p=0.78; Effect
modification by therapy:: 17.71 (3.34 – 32.08); p=0.02
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -6.33 (-7.06 – -5.61); p<0.001; Effect
modification by therapy: 47.36 (43.73 - 51.00); p<0.001
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -0.03 ( -0.12 – 0.06); p=0.55; Effect
modification by therapy: -0.41 ( -1.12 – 0.29); p=0.25
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -0.04 ( -0.13 – 0.05); p=0.38; Effect
modification by therapy: - 0.13 ( -0.83 – 0.56); p=0.71
Kaplan Meier estimates of cumulative intubation events according to PaO2/FiO2 ratio < 100
(Panel A) or > 100 (Panel B). The P values were calculated with a log-rank test
Kaplan Meier estimates of cumulative intubation events according to age < 60 years (Panel A)
or ≥ 60 years old (Panel B). The P values were calculated with a log-rank test
Kaplan Meier estimates of cumulative intubation events according to IL-6 < 100 (Panel A) or ≥
100 pg/mL (Panel B). The P values were calculated with a log-rank test
Kaplan Meier estimates for Clinical Recovery according to PaO2/FiO2 ratio < 100 (Panel A) or ≥
100 (Panel B). The P values were calculated with a log-rank test
Kaplan Meier estimates for Clinical Recovery according to age < 60 years (Panel A) or ≥ 60 years
old (Panel B). The P values were calculated with a log-rank test
Kaplan Meier estimates for Clinical Recovery according to IL-6 < 100 (Panel A) or ≥ 100 pg/mL
(Panel B). The P values were calculated with a log-rank test
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -195.47 ( -391.56 – 0.69); p=0.05; Effect
modification by therapy: -854.81 ( -2,099.04 – 389.41); p=0.18
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, 0.03 (-0.45 – 0.51); p=0.90; Effect
modification by therapy: -2.21 (-5.2 – 0.77); p=0.15
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -105.83 (-227.16 – 15.49); p=0.09; Effect
modification by therapy: 51.09 (-496.5 – 598.68); p=0.85
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -1.21 (-2.16 – -0.25); p=0.01; Effect
modification by therapy: 5.87 (1.49 – 10.26); p=0.01
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -10.17 (-19.32 – -1.02); p=0.03; Effect
modification by therapy: 16.26 (-30.36 – 62.89); p=0.49
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, 372.38 ( -3,057.08 – 3,801.84); p=0.83; Effect
modification by therapy: -14,498.22 ( -36,842.3 – 7,845.86); p=0.20
Mixed linear regression considering patient as random effect and adjusting for baseline value
of the variable. Interaction Therapy Group*Time, -58.82 (-153.22 - 35.58); p=0.22; Effect
modification by therapy: 141.78 (-254.66 - 548.23); p=0.49
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