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Growth and Change - 2007 - W JCIK - Geography and The Future of Stock Exchanges Between Real and Virtual Space
Growth and Change - 2007 - W JCIK - Geography and The Future of Stock Exchanges Between Real and Virtual Space
x by Specialized Presidential Council For Education And Scientific Research HQ Government Of Egypt, Wiley Online Library on [02/02/2023]. See the Terms and Conditions (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/terms-and-conditions) on Wiley Online Library for rules of use; OA articles are governed by the applicable Creative Commons License
Growth and Change
Vol. 38 No. 2 (June 2007), pp. 200–223
ABSTRACT This paper aims to contribute to the debate on the future of stock exchanges and
financial centres by focusing on two questions. First, whether, how, why, and which stock exchange
activities are prone to concentration in financial centres? Second, are they prone to concentration
in national or international financial centres? Through a detail-rich analysis of stock exchange
activities, including trading system, as well as relationships with members, issuers, and investors,
the paper suggests a framework for the geography of stock exchange activities based on two
dimensions—proneness to concentration in a financial centre and proneness to international
consolidation. With this framework, predictions are made about the future geography of stock
exchange activities led by the argument that while significant geographical reconfigurations are
likely to unfold, driven primarily by the development of international networks of stock market
institutions, stock exchanges, and financial centres will remain crucially important for each other.
Introduction
O nce upon a time, stock exchanges were associated with financial centres so strongly
that the two terms could be used almost interchangeably (Warf 1989). As traders had
to come together in a place and at a time to do business and exchange information, stock
Dariusz Wójcik is a lecturer at the Oxford University Centre for the Environment, and a Fellow of
St. Peter’s College, Oxford, New Inn Hall Street, Oxford OX1 2DL, UK. His e-mail address is:
dariusz.wojcik@ouce.ox.ac.uk. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Royal Geographi-
cal Society—Institute of British Geographers Annual Conference in London, 2005, at a session
organised by Jonathan Beaverstock, James Sidaway, and me. I would like to thank Wiesław Rozłucki,
former president of the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE), for access to the Exchange’s resources. I have
also benefited from conversations with other executives of the WSE and capital market experts
including Lidia Adamska, Fernando Bicho, Jarosław Dominiak, Bartosz Drabikowski, Mirosław
Dusza, Raimondo Eggink, Ewa Gajewska-Markiewicz, Waldemar Ge˛buś, Krzysztof Grabowski, Marcin
Hejka, Łukasz Jagiełło, Norbert Jeziołowicz, Mirosław Kachniewski, Beata Kacprzyk, Adam Kałdus,
Stanisław Knaflewski, Alicja Kornasiewicz, Wojciech Kostrzewa, Jarosław H. Kozłowski, Jan Kuźma,
Marek Łukaszewski, Adam Maciejewski, Krzysztof Opawski, Paweł Orkisz, Jakub Papierski, Wojciech
Sadowski, Ludwik Sobolewski, Andrzej Sopoćko, Iwona Sroka, Piotr Szeliga, and Andrzej Szerszeń.
I would also like to thank Gordon L. Clark, Thomas R. Leinbach, and two anonymous referees for their
comments. Financial support from Jesus College, Oxford, is gratefully acknowledged.
exchanges depended on the concentration of trading in space and time (Laulajainen 2003).
With time, technology has provided computers and their networks to match buy and sell
orders, making physical places for trading redundant. Stock exchanges, however, persisted
in national financial centres for a period until the regulatory barriers to trading, clearing,
and settlement across borders were effectively demolished, exposing national exchanges
to genuine competition (Lee 2002). Now, the only constraint left was time, with each
major eight-hour time zone willing to start trading when the other zones want to go
home or to sleep. With more time, however, even the physical geography was partly
overcome by concentrating trading within systems operated by global financial firms
present in all major time zones, allowing trading for twenty-four hours a day (Clark and
Thrift 2005).
Will this fairy tale be true? Can we observe or expect the fate of stock exchanges to
be divorced from the fate of financial centres? This paper is an attempt to contribute to
the debate on the future of stock exchanges and financial centres by focusing on two
questions. First, whether, how, why, and which stock exchange activities are prone to
concentration in financial centres? Second, are they prone to concentration in national or
international financial centres? Due to the scarcity of geographically focused research on
how stock exchanges actually go about their business (Laulajainen 2001), the paper takes
an empirical, bottom-up approach, and its core is based on the case of the Warsaw Stock
Exchange (WSE or the Exchange). With the relatively small size of the exchange located
in the largest economy that joined the European Union (EU) in 2004, the paramount role
of foreign ownership in the financial sector of Poland, and the process of adopting EU
regulations, Warsaw is a hotly debated spot on the map of European stock exchanges
(Claessens, Lee, and Zechner 2003). The main objective of the paper is to provide
an empirical, detail-rich account of the geographical nature of stock exchange activities
and then use this account to draw some general implications about the relationship
between geography of stock exchange activities and geography of financial centres. This
relationship is significant not only for academics but also for finance practitioners and
public policy makers trying to understand the factors affecting the interrelated futures
of finance and economic development in space (Budd 1995; Leyshon 1995, 1997;
O’Brien 1992).
The following section defines stock exchanges and their activities as well as identifies
the literature relevant for analysing the geographical nature of these activities. Section three
introduces the WSE, describing its development, position in the European stock exchange
landscape, structure, as well as detailing the research methods used to gather information
on the activities of the WSE. Sections four to six investigate the geographical coordinates
and characteristics of various activities of the WSE, starting with the trading system and
relationships with exchange members, through relationships with issuers, to interactions
with investors. Section seven attempts to draw some implications from the case study for
the debate on the future geography of stock exchanges and its continued or discontinued
links with the future geography of financial centres. Section eight summarises and con-
cludes the paper.
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202 GROWTH AND CHANGE, JUNE 2007
offered on the significance of proximity between issuers, investors, and traders, the litera-
ture remains silent about the role of a stock exchange. In an attempt to fill this gap Lo and
Grote (2002) suggest that in contrast to the mutual proximity of traders, investors, and
issuers, which remains important, the location of the stock exchange will lose significance
in the future. This is however a partial answer, as Lo and Grote restrict their analysis to the
trading function of a stock exchange, a virtual space in which sell and buy orders are
matched. In order to test the proneness of stock exchange activities to the concentration in
financial centres, another important question needs to be tackled. How does a stock
exchange, as an operator of the trading system, make companies enter their securities into
the system, and make investors and traders use the system? A geographical analysis of the
relationships of a stock exchange with issuers, investors, and traders is one way to address
this issue.
There are many aspects of relationships between stock exchanges and issuers, investors,
and traders that can affect the location of a stock exchange. These include the sharing of
infrastructure, labour pool, suppliers, and customers. The strategy of this paper is to focus
on the role of face-to-face contact between a stock exchange on one side and traders,
issuers, and investors on the other. It is well established in literature that business organi-
sations in financial centres are sociable, with contacts being “crucially important in gen-
erating and maintaining a flow of business and information about business” (Thrift
1994:333). While these organisations spend huge resources on communications technol-
ogy, the technical connectivity does not lessen but rather adds to their hunger for social
connectivity (Gaspar and Glaeser 1997; Lee and Schmidt-Marwede 1993; Sassen 2005).
Thus, one way to analyse the proneness of stock exchange activities to concentration in
financial centres is to document the nature of their external contacts, and the relative role
of technical vs. social connectivity. Another major observation from this literature is that
financial centres must not be reduced to sites of a myriad of financial and related businesses
engaging in relationships with each other. What must be added to this picture is the
increasing role, if not dominance of, a handful of international financial corporations
spanning various financial centres (Amin and Thrift 1992; Clark 2002). The lesson for this
paper is that following the contacts between a stock exchange on one side and the traders,
issuers, and investors on the other, it must be remembered that all of these actors, including
the stock exchange itself, can be members of international networks based on ownership,
strategic collaboration, or other links. It should be added that while the network approach
has been applied to study financial centres (Beaverstock et al. 2003; Faulconbridge 2004;
Taylor, Walker, and Beaverstock 2002), no existing work focuses on stock exchanges.
Research questions addressed in this paper refer to the proneness of stock exchange
activities to concentrate in financial centres. The term “stock exchange activities,” not
“stock exchange” is used, as the paper focuses on the location of people and equipment
carrying out stock exchange functions, not on the location of the headquarters of a stock
exchange. In other words, the emphasis is on where and how stock exchanges operate, not
on their ownership structures. This distinction is particularly important given the existence
of international stock exchange structures such as the Euronext, integrating stock exchange
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204 GROWTH AND CHANGE, JUNE 2007
wholesale transactions in treasury bonds and bills. The WSE is also a co-owner of the
National Depository for Securities (NDS), which handles clearing and settlement for
securities and maintains securities in the form of computer records. Only institutions
admitted by the Exchange, called exchange members, mainly brokerage houses and banks,
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206 GROWTH AND CHANGE, JUNE 2007
a
These figures refer to notifications received by the PSEC, and so do not neces-
sarily represent institutions operating in Poland. In particular, nineteen foreign
investment funds from the EU member countries notified the PSEC about their intent
to sell investment units in Poland, and 149 investment firms and 69 banks from the
EU notified the PSEC about their intent to render investment services in Poland.
Notes: Issuers—issuers whose shares are traded on the main and the parallel
market; Brokerage institutions—brokerage houses and banks with permission to
conduct brokerage activities.
Source: My calculations are based on the data from http://www.gpw.com.pl and
http://kpwig.org.pl.
PSEC, Polish Securities and Exchange Commission; EU, European Union.
may operate on the Exchange. This means that investors and intermediaries (e.g., brokerage
houses that are not members) must send their orders to the Exchange via an exchange
member. Exchange members use custodian banks to handle the records of securities on
their proprietary accounts and the accounts of their customers. Finally, the overall super-
vision of capital market institutions is conducted by a state administration agency, the
Polish Securities and Exchange Commission (PSEC). The supervision is intended to ensure
universal access to reliable information on the securities market and observance of fair-
trading and competition rules by entities operating in that market.
Table 2 presents the location of headquarters for major groups of institutions operating
on the Polish capital market, including the management companies of investment funds and
pension funds as major institutional investors. Regarding domestic institutions, Warsaw,
which accounts for less than 5 percent of Poland’s population, is the seat of approximately
35 percent of listed companies, and between 75 and 100 percent of other types of
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GEOGRAPHY AND STOCK EXCHANGES 207
institutions. The remaining organisations from Figure 1, i.e., the MTS-CeTO, the NDS, and
the PSEC are also located in Warsaw, with the MTS-CeTO and the NDS housed in the same
building as the WSE. Turning to foreign-based institutions, the WSE listed six foreign
companies and in the first half of 2005 admitted four foreign members, the first of which
started operations in July 2005. The numbers of foreign brokerages and foreign companies
managing investment funds exaggerate the role of foreign-based institutions, as the figures
stand for firms that merely registered their intent to operate in Poland. There are further
reasons to interpret the results of the table with caution. First, if the size of the analysed
institutions or some measure of their activity were considered, e.g., revenues, the concen-
tration of capital market functions in Warsaw would be even more striking. On the other
hand, many domestic institutions covered in the table have branches spread throughout the
country. Finally, a decisive majority of the institutions counted as domestic is controlled by
foreign owners (Rogowski 2005). While a study of the branch networks as well as the
ownership and control links of Polish capital market institutions is beyond the scope of this
paper, Table 2 offers a quantitative background for a qualitative analysis of the relation-
ships of the WSE with both domestic and foreign actors on the capital market.3
To complete the background for the analysis of the WSE activities, its internal structure
has to be added. The WSE was founded by the State Treasury, which still holds a
98.8 percent stake in the Exchange, making it the only state-owned stock exchange in
Central and Eastern Europe. In 2005, the Treasury was intending to privatise the WSE and
it commissioned a privatisation advisor, a consortium of McKinsey & Company Poland,
Ernst & Young Audit, and CDM Pekao SA (brokerage house of a leading Polish bank, now
a part of Unicredito HVB Group). Minority shareholders consisted of banks, brokerage
houses, and a listed company. The highest decision-making body of the Exchange is the
General Meeting of Shareholders, which among other powers can amend the WSE Articles
of Association, and elects the members of the Exchange Supervisory Board as well as the
President of the Exchange Management Board. While the Supervisory Board controls
exchange operations, granting and revoking Exchange membership, the Management
Board coordinates the day-to-day operations, admits securities to trading, and supervises
the trading activity of members (WSE 2005). The Exchange employs a total of approxi-
mately two hundred people, divided into nine departments. The functions of the Trading
and Market Development Department include the supervision of trading sessions; the
development of indices, information products, and derivative instruments; and relation-
ships with members. The Information Technology Department looks after trading and
operating systems, databases, network management, and security; the Listing Department
handles relationships with issuers. The remaining departments are Market Promotion,
Legal, Financial, Strategic Development, Administration, and Secretariat of the Exchange.
I use insights gained through a total of twenty interviews with members of the Exchange
Management Board, Supervisory Board, directors, and employees of individual depart-
ments, devoted to both strategic issues as well as everyday activities of the Exchange.
Interviews with insiders were complemented by over twenty interviews with the executives
of other institutions on the capital market such as issuers, banks, brokerages, pension, and
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208 GROWTH AND CHANGE, JUNE 2007
investment fund management companies, and were focused on these organisation’s rela-
tionships with the WSE. All interviews were conducted in March and June 2005. In
addition, I participated in two conferences organised by the WSE, one on derivatives,
addressed to investors, and the other on the access of small- and medium-sized firms to
capital market, addressed to issuers. The forthcoming sections summarise activities of the
WSE under three headings: the trading system and the relationships with members, rela-
tionships with issuers, and relationships with investors.
Poland from abroad using remote communications systems without obligation to have a
branch in Poland. While the former have been admitted to membership only to engage in
the trading of one specific type of instrument—treasury notes futures—the access of
remote members to trading is in legal terms equal to the access of Polish brokerage houses.
One other category of members, which is important for our analysis, is that of market
makers, which undertake to place sell and buy orders for a given security on their own
account with a view to maintain and increase its liquidity.
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210 GROWTH AND CHANGE, JUNE 2007
needs of the market, and to recognise these needs, they need good relationships with all
users of the Exchange services including members and market makers.
Departments of the WSE prepare opinions, which are considered along with the prospectus
and company’s application by the Exchange Management Board at a meeting usually
gathering the president of the Management Board of the applicant, its advisors, chief
financial officer, and representatives of the relevant brokerage house. A company can be
admitted to listing on the official (main) or unofficial (parallel) market, with requirements
on the former segment being stricter in terms of company’s size, track record, and expected
liquidity of shares.6 If the decision of the Exchange Management Board is negative, a
company’s shares can still be traded off—Exchange on the MTS-CeTO. If it is positive, a
company can make a debut in the WSE. The first day when a company’s shares are traded
in the WSE can be a colourful event, with new issuers celebrating their first step in the
world of “high finance,” not least for marketing purposes. Some executives are reported to
say that the debut of their company on the WSE is the happiest day of their life.
After the debut, interactions between the issuer and the Exchange revolve around
further capital market activities of the issuer as well as reporting. The former may involve
the issue of new shares or corporate bonds, a merger with a different company, or the
launch of an employee share ownership plan. E-mail communication is sufficient to assist
standard operations such as the division of the nominal value of shares. With non-standard
tasks such as the division of a company into parts, numerous meetings between the WSE
experts, company representatives, as well as financial and legal advisors may be necessary.
Moving on to reporting, the WSE receives all reports from issuers via a special purpose
electronic mail system. Issuers are obliged to submit periodic financial reports as well as
reports on relevant events, e.g., significant changes in ownership, changes in the compo-
sition of the decision-making bodies, or large contracts signed by the company. In the first
five months of 2005, the WSE received over eight thousand reports. Every employee of the
Listing Department is assigned between twenty and thirty companies and is responsible for
reading all reports coming from these companies, as well as deciding whether any action
should be considered in response to new information. Since the time allowed to make a
decision, e.g., to suspend the trading in some shares so that the public has time to learn the
news, is only a matter of minutes, it is crucial that the respective employee of the Listing
Department knows their companies well. The same news may trigger different decision
depending on the context. For example, if a company signs a large sales contract relative to
its size, the suspension of trading may be in order, unless the contract is a part of a series
of contracts that has been announced by the company earlier.
Reacting to corporate news may require consulting the source of information. Every
issuer has a person assigned as the contact person for the WSE. As the contact person needs
to be not only competent but also have some decision-making power, the role is usually
performed by a member of the management board or a person in charge of investor relations.
Moving on to another aspect of the relationship between the WSE and current issuers, special
treatment is afforded to the largest twenty of them, constituents of the WIG20 index, also
referred to as the “golden corporations.” Each of these companies has a contact person in the
Listing Department, referred to as a carer; has free-of-charge Internet access to real-time
quotations; and can organise a quarterly conference with analysts and investors free of charge
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GEOGRAPHY AND STOCK EXCHANGES 213
on the premises of the Exchange. Some other companies also organise their conferences with
analysts and investors at the WSE, and the latter organises seminars and conferences open to
all issuers on such topics as the International Financial Reporting Standards, corporate
governance, or the EU capital market regulations. Some of these conferences and seminars
are organised jointly with the Association of Issuers.
Summarising the section, the WSE is definitely not a passive provider of a trading system
for equity. Instead, it takes an active part in the creation of equity, thus creating demand for
its own services. Lowering the price of listing is not a sufficient tool to increase demand. In
fact, one of my interviewees cited a study according to which many companies stated the cost
of listing as the factor preventing them from approaching the WSE, but when asked about
their estimates of these costs, most companies did not have a clue. In a similar vein, other
interviews stressed that many potential issuers fear an entry into “high-finance” associated
with the “aggressive” world of scrutiny and professional advisors. In this context, the WSE
needs to reach to potential issuers and communicate with them as directly as possible. In
addition, the WSE attempts to ease the capital market entry by facilitating relationships
between companies and capital market intermediaries. In 2005, the Exchange introduced a
programme called “Partnership on the way to the exchange” aimed at small- and medium-
sized companies, with legal and financial advisors, auditors, brokerage houses, and public
relations agencies acting as partners of the programme. The analysis of relationships with
firms that already have their securities traded in the WSE also points to an indispensable role
of direct communication, combined with, but not substituted by, the use of technology.
To be sure, one must not forget the international factors affecting the relationships of the
Exchange with issuers. In the middle of 2005, there were six foreign issuers listed on the
WSE and a number applying for admission, taking advantage of simplified procedures
following the adoption of a single passport for issuers principle prescribed by the EU
regulation. On the other side, a number of large Polish companies listed on the WSE had
portions of shares listed and traded abroad, mainly in the U.S. and the UK. Not surprisingly,
the Exchange pays particular attention to tightening its relationships with the largest
issuers, and as it turns out, this involves intensified contact in both virtual and real space.
growing quickly, but are also captured in Poland, as foreign investments are not allowed to
exceed 5 percent of managed assets. Other institutional investors or individuals do not face
any major regulatory restrictions on their foreign investment.
Day-to-day interaction between the WSE and the investors involves the flow of stock
market information. To be sure, information needs vary from one investor to another. Many
individual investors are content with end-of-day summaries of price levels and indices.
Sophisticated investors, including most institutional investors, need to evaluate their port-
folios on an intra-day basis, minute by minute. Investors can obtain information directly
from the WSE or from one of the information vendors, to whom the WSE sells its
information. A considerable amount of information about all aspects of the WSE activities
including trading is available at its website, which contains approximately seven hundred
web pages with between two thousand and three thousand A4 pages of text and graphics.
In 2004 and 2005, the website had, on average, five hundred thousand visits a month. Data
on the latest prices and executed transactions are available online free-of-charge with a
fifteen-minute delay, or in real time at a fee. The website contains a price list of information
products, but the delivery and price for any non-standard products can be negotiated with
the Exchange experts.
While the flow of information products is mediated by telecommunications technology,
certain less day-to-day activities bring investors and the Exchange closer to each other in
real terms. On some occasions, representatives of the WSE go to meet investors, e.g., by
attending outside conferences and trade fairs for financial products or organising road-show
conferences abroad. The latter had the general objective of promoting the Polish capital
market and in 2004 took place twice in London and once in Boston. On a regular basis,
investors come to the premises of the WSE, whether to take part in conferences, seminars,
workshops on such issues as new financial instruments or taxation of capital gains, or to
attend an open day dedicated mostly to beginning investors. The Exchange also offers its
premises for meetings of investors themselves as well as meetings of investors and issuers.
Examples include meetings co-organised by the WSE for the Association of Individual
Investors, or for the issuers’ conferences with investors and analysts. Regarding the latter,
an interesting initiative called Infogiełda (Info-Exchange) offers investors an online real-
time access to broadcasts of issuers’ annual general meetings as well as issuers’ meetings
with analysts. Thus, whether in virtual or real space, the WSE offers a contact point
between issuers and investors.
Another side of the WSE activities with regard to investors concerns education, which
is particularly important in the context of a country where stock market did not exist for
over half a century before 1991. The educational strategy targets mainly young people and
is conducted partly via a separate, although wholly owned by the WSE, entity called the
Foundation for Capital Market Education. The largest ongoing project is the Exchange
School, a series of courses on the basics of capital market and investing. In 2004, over sixty
courses were organised around Poland, for approximately one thousand six hundred par-
ticipating students, with course materials also available on the Internet. In addition, on
a daily basis, the WSE hosted at their premises groups of high school students totalling
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GEOGRAPHY AND STOCK EXCHANGES 215
Communication with market Acquisition and admission of new Communication with investors,
High dependence on makers and other members needed issuers including analysts and investment
close social contacts for the development of the trading Complex capital market activities of advisors, needed for the development
system current issuers of information products, e.g., indices,
Reacting to news from issuers and the development of the trading
Facilitating issuers’ relationships system
with other intermediaries including
legal and financial advisers,
brokerage houses, PR firms
Acquisition of new members Sale of advanced information products
Communication with members Simple capital market operations of to investors
needed for a smooth conduct of a current issuers Investor education
trading session Organising training, conferences, Facilitating relationships between
Renewal of contracts with and seminars for issuers investors and issuers
members
Training for brokers, market
makers, and other members
Flow of standard information from Flow of standard information to
Low dependence on Trading system and back office IT issuers to the exchange investors, including internet based
close social contacts information
and settlement of securities transactions. On the other side, activities that require a high
degree of face-to-face contact make an exchange gravitate towards a place where members,
issuers, and investors concentrate. Many of these activities cluster within the category of
relationships with issuers, which require not only close social contacts but also expert
knowledge in terms of the local regulation and local corporate law. This is consistent with
the analysis of Malkamäki (2000), suggesting that listing and surveillance of issuers are
labour-intensive and involve complex information. Nevertheless, among relationships
with members and investors, there are also activities that require close social contact.
These concern communication needed for the development of the trading system and
information products. It is typical for the financial services sector that innovation occurs
through close interaction with customers, and stock exchanges seem to be no exception in
this regard.7
Thus far, it has been suggested that stock exchange activities are prone to concentrate
in a financial centre depending on the degree to which they rely on close social contacts
with members, issuers, and investors. It should be added that the proximity factor in the
relationships between an exchange and other key players on the stock market is asymmet-
ric. While for an exchange the relationships with members, issuers, and investors constitute
raison d’etre, for the latter relationships with an exchange in most cases represent a small
part of their overall business portfolio. As a consequence, if a stock exchange wants to
cultivate non-standard relationships with key players on the stock market, it needs to adjust
to their location. This observation has important implications for the follow-up question. If
certain stock exchange activities are prone to concentration in a financial centre, are they
prone to concentration in an international or a national financial centre? A stylised answer
to this question, combined with an answer to the preceding question, will lead to a basic
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GEOGRAPHY AND STOCK EXCHANGES 217
Low High
framework for the geography of stock exchange activities presented in Figure 4. An inter-
national financial centre will be defined as a city with a strong presence of issuers,
investors, and securities trading firms (including banks and specialised securities trading
firms) with extensive international activities, while national financial centres are dominated
by firms with domestic scope of operations. While the distinction is not sharp, according to
these definitions, London, Paris, and Frankfurt am Main would be considered as interna-
tional and Warsaw, Budapest, and Prague as national financial centres. In the light of these
definitions, the answer to the second question is that activities that require close social
contact with members, issuers, and investors with a domestic orientation need to be
maintained within their domestic environment, with the necessary knowledge of this
environment, and thus such activities are prone to concentrate in a national financial centre.
On the other side, activities that rely on face-to-face contact with international members,
issuers, and investors need to take place where the latter concentrate, i.e., in international
financial centres. Since there are fewer international than national financial centres, the
question about proneness to concentration in an international vs. a national centre is a
question about the scope for international consolidation of stock exchange activities.
Translated this way, the question can also be applied to activities that are not prone to
concentration in a financial centre. And so, given the absence of social connectivity and the
presence of scale economies, facilities for trading and distribution of standard information,
as well as clearing and settlement, can be regarded as highly prone to international
consolidation. To be sure, the relative horizontal position of activities requiring close social
contacts with international actors would depend on the level of international centres
analysed. Relationships with global traders, issuers, and investors would be more prone to
international consolidation than relationships with market players whose activities span
several neighbouring countries.
How does the framework for the geography of stock exchange activities relate to the real
world? Consistent with the framework, international competition between stock exchanges
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218 GROWTH AND CHANGE, JUNE 2007
is centred on activities that are prone to international consolidation. One major form of
competition is offering cross-listing to large international companies. Another involves
alternative trading systems (ATS) that restrict their activities to the provision of facilities
for trading and distribution of standard information. The only group of activities left
relatively sheltered from international competition are those requiring close social contact
with domestic members, issuers, and investors. Some degree of monopoly, however, does
not imply a safe future for domestically focused stock exchanges, since they are still
exposed to international competition with regard to the provision of facilities for trading
and distribution of standard information, a core group of activities of today’s stock
exchanges in terms of their share in income generation (WFE 2003a). Another major
source of pressure on national stock exchanges is the growing role of international in
relation to domestic members, issuers, and investors. Statistics on cross-border mergers and
acquisitions alone suggest that the share of financial and non-financial companies with
international orientation in the total population of companies, particularly the large ones, is
growing. This implies that stock exchanges face growing competition in building and
maintaining income-generating relationships with members, issuers, and investors.
How can stock exchanges address the competitive pressures? To start with, the pressure
is largest for small exchanges. Large exchanges, and particularly those in international
financial centres can actually benefit from the growing internationalisation of members,
issuers, and investors, at the expense of smaller exchanges. They still, however, face the
threat of competitive systems for trading and distribution of standard information from
other large exchanges or ATS operators. In addition, if large stock exchanges take over the
entire array of activities of smaller national exchanges, they are likely to face difficulties
establishing relationships with domestic members, issuers, and investors, which are not
prone to international consolidation. Thus, there are benefits for both small exchanges in
national financial centres and large exchanges in international centres to build networks.
Notwithstanding the legal format of such networks, their objective consistent with the
framework would be to exploit the potential for consolidation with regard to activities
prone to consolidation, but at the same time to cultivate strong non-standard relationships
with domestic members, issuers, and investors.
Thus the prediction based on the framework is competition between international
networks of exchanges linking national and international financial centres as well as
non-central locations hosting facilities for trading and distribution of standard information.
This scenario has already started to materialise. Europe in the last decade has witnessed the
emergence of networks of stock exchanges such as Euronext in Paris, Brussels, Amster-
dam, and Lisbon; Norex Alliance; the OMX in the Nordic and Baltic countries; and the use
of Xetra trading system spreading from Frankfurt am Main to Dublin, Vienna, Prague,
Bratislava, Budapest, and Malta. The sustainability of this scenario, however, rests on a
certain assumption about vertical consolidation of stock exchanges, namely that all or at
least most activities described here are performed by stock exchanges. In an alternative
scenario, one can imagine global financial information vendors distributing standard infor-
mation, and investment banks dominating relationships with potential issuers and investors.
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GEOGRAPHY AND STOCK EXCHANGES 219
Considering Figure 3, notice that international investment banks, such as Merrill Lynch or
MSDW, trade securities, conduct capital market transactions for issuers, and render ser-
vices to institutional investors. As such, they have established close relationships with all
major stock market actors, which is essential for successful stock exchange activities. The
feasibility of different scenarios of vertical integration depends on complementarities
between different activities as well as regulation. The more various stock exchange activi-
ties complement each other, the more they should concentrate within one organisation, thus
indicating a potential advantage of integrated stock exchanges over providers of individual
services. Regulation may also favour incumbent stock exchanges in relation to investment
banks out of concern that the latter may not assure equal access and treatment for small
individual investors. While further investigation of these scenarios is beyond the scope of
the paper, it should be stressed that they can still be consistent with the framework of
Figure 4. This is because the framework attempts to capture the nature of the analysed stock
market activities irrespective of whether they are performed by an entity called stock
exchange or not.
Summarising the section, it is important to acknowledge that there are significant
factors that affect the proneness of stock exchange activities to concentration in a financial
centre as well as their proneness to international consolidation, which have not been the
focus of this paper. The former include access to a large and diverse pool of specialised
labour, and proximity to service providers such as legal, IT, financial, management con-
sulting, or public relations. The latter include continued regulatory fragmentation, proxim-
ity to political decision-makers, as well as the perception of a stock exchange as a symbol
of national identity. Altogether these factors would make stock exchange activities more
prone to concentration in financial centres and less prone to international consolidation
than my analysis would indicate. This observation combined with the predictions of my
framework suggest that the future of stock exchange activities is unlikely to be divorced
from the future of financial centres whether national or international.
exchanges are active players in these initiatives and the WSE is no exception. There is a
strategy for the development of the Polish capital market called Agenda Warsaw City 2010,
and plans to create Foundation Warsaw City, which could be funded by the Ministry of
Treasury with a part of the proceeds from the privatisation of the Exchange. The view that
development of the WSE is linked with the general development of Warsaw not only as a
financial centre is strongly represented in the Polish economic press and was commonly
expressed by my interviewees both inside and outside the Exchange. To be sure, the extent
to which local initiatives can harness the forces of global finance to their own advantage
may be minute. Nevertheless, the emergence of such initiatives is consistent with the
findings of this paper. Stock exchanges remain important for financial centres and financial
centres remain important for stock exchanges.
NOTES
1. I would like to thank an anonymous referee for the comment on the significance of scope
economies.
2. These estimations are based on data from the WSE on http://www.gpw.com.pl and the Federation
of European Stock Exchanges on http://www.fese.be. For more discussion on the development of
the Polish capital market see, e.g., Köke and Schröder (2002) or the website of the WSE at
http://www.gpw.com.pl.
3. For an analysis of the spatial distribution of capital market services within an urban hierarchy see,
e.g., Budd (2000).
4. The source of regulation introducing the idea of a single passport for investment services firms is
the Investment Services Directive, after modification known as the Markets in Financial Instru-
ments Directive (http://europa.eu.int/comm/internal_market/securities/isd/index_en.htm).
5. Remote members accounted for approximately one-third of the total number of members at each of
the three leading European stock exchanges: Deutsche Börse, Euronext, and the London Stock
Exchange.
6. The expected liquidity is assessed on the basis of three criteria: the absolute value of admitted
shares owned by shareholders holding less than 5 percent of total voting rights each, the share of
such shares in total equity of the company, and the number of shareholders owning the admitted
shares.
7. The distinction between stock exchange activities based on the degree to which they rely on close
social contacts resembles the distinction between front-office and back office, common in the
literature on offshoring of financial services. Figure 3 shows that each of the three groups of stock
exchange relationships contains activities that have back-office and front-office characteristics.
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