Professional Documents
Culture Documents
March 2022
In any given year, about 10 percent of large mergers affects competition. Consider that the number of
and acquisitions (transactions greater than transactions subject to antitrust review in the
€1 billion) are canceled—a significant number when United States doubled between 2010 and 2020 to
you consider that about 460 such deals are nearly 2,000 deals a year. By the end of 2021, in
announced annually.1 just 12 months, that number had doubled again to
4,130 filings.2
A key factor for many of these deals is regulatory
or antitrust oversight. Through standard M&A Our own research shows that of 346 large M&A
review processes, antitrust agencies can block or deals announced between 2013 and 2020,
require remedies for those transactions that 47 of them (or about 14 percent) were canceled
concentrate market power in a way that negatively for antitrust or regulatory reasons (exhibit).
Exhibit
Regulatory factors can impede mergers and acquisitions.
Regulatory factors can impede mergers and acquisitions.
Other 15
21
2
3 Investor activism 12
3 Market headwinds
5 Organic growth focus 5
6 Better opportunity available
7
7 Post due diligence 3
14 Regulatory/antitrust 21
40 Price disagreement 36
1
Sample consists of all public M&A transactions between 2013 and 2020 with a value >€1 billion, of which 10% failed to close. Figures may not sum
to 100%, because of rounding.
Source: S&P Capital IQ
1
Dariush Bahreini, Roerich Bansal, Gerd Finck, and Marjan Firouzgar, “Done deal? Why many large transactions fail to cross the finish line,”
McKinsey, August 5, 2019; numbers updated to include 2019 and 2020 data.
2
DAMITT 2021 report: Merger investigation activity sinks more deals, Dechert, January 31, 2022.
3
“ T-Mobile (TMUS) divests Sprint’s prepaid business to Dish,” Yahoo News, July 2, 2020.
4
The FTC’s merger remedies 2006-2012: A report of the Bureaus of Competition and Economics, Federal Trade Commission, January 2017; “EU
merger remedies,” Thomson Reuters Practical Law, accessed January 2021.
5
“Mergers: Commission clears Alstom’s acquisition of Bombardier, subject to conditions,” European Commission press release, July 31, 2020.
In the case of structural remedies, regulators generally have three specific requirements for divestiture:
— First, the asset to be divested should be — Second, the asset to be divested should — And, finally, the asset to be divested
a viable, preferably stand-alone be marketable, with enough potential should be sustainable; any potential
business; regulators expect the seller buyers available; the seller cannot draw buyer should be able to compete
to transfer the necessary support the deal perimeter in a way that effectively in the market through the
functions and processes. preserves valuable assets for itself and divested business over the long
makes divestiture more difficult. term. A seller cannot structure the
business in a manner that makes
it more likely to fail.
Roerich Bansal is a capabilities and insights expert in McKinsey’s Gurugram office, Gerd Finck is a senior knowledge
expert in the Düsseldorf office, Fabian Hofmann is an associate partner in the Berlin office, and Steve Miller is a partner in
the Houston office.