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SCFS23 Day 2 - Full Day Slides
SCFS23 Day 2 - Full Day Slides
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 1 / 10
Outline of the talk
1 Global Trends
3 Major threats
5 Concluding Remarks
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 2 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
1. Global Trends
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 3 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 3 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 3 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
However,
Real per capita growth,
2008-2021 ' 2.5% - 1.2%
(Compared with nearly 2%
before the Great Recession)
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 3 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 4 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 4 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Source: Guinea, Ruiz, Pérez & Puch (2022): FRED, annual averages of monthly 10-year yield on T/Gov’t bonds.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 4 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Important to figure out how the current scenario may affect these factors.
All of them share in common → (further?) inflation.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 4 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 5 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Source: Guinea, Ruiz, Pérez & Puch (2022): FRED, quarterly CPIAUC & HICP.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 5 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Two narratives
A sequence of large shocks: pandemic, reopening, war, energy,...
(ultra-loose) monetary policy (and QE), plus the fiscal expansion (Covid).
In any case, once shocks occurred move away from easing.
Two teams
Team Temporary: so the risk is doing too much.
Team big and persistent inflation: so it’s being done too little.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 5 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
3. Major threats
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 6 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Major threats (cf. World Econ Forum 2022 –wait for WEF 2023)
War
(I put it crude, but) Read geopolitical, geoeconomic,... conflict.
Very expensive to help Ukraine resist.
Pandemic
Read health risk, infectious diseases,...
Inequality.
Read social cohesion, migration, poverty,...
Climate Change.
Read extreme weather, climate action failure, natural resources crisis,...
Let me briefly refer to this (key to GVCs environmental effects):
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 6 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
All data from the IEA Energy Balances & Emissions Database, 2020
GDP: billion USD (PPPs); Population: millions; Energy use: million TOEs;
Carbon Emissions flow: thousands of tones of CO2.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 7 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
colors ⇒ high/middle/low
income countries (World Bank).
The Bad
The Good
Heterogeneity within
income groups (slopes < 1),
See Dı́az, Marrero & Puch (2016) updated; Also 2019.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 7 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Can we achieve 2030 target without GDP falling? The big question!
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 7 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
Concluding remarks
The different threats require specific policies, and beyond (briefly) described
consensus monetary and fiscal policies.
Moreover, the support of supply policies: competition, industrial,
macro-finance,... is needed.
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 8 / 10
Global Trends Inflation Major threats Climate Change Concluding
References
Luis A. Puch (ICAE, UCM) Macroeconomic issues & the Global Economy 8 / 10
Panel session:
Moderator:
Federico Travella, Founder & Executive Chairman, NoviCap
Panellists:
Raja Debnath, Co-Founder & CEO, Veefin Solutions
Sunil Mascarenhas, Supply Chain Finance Specialist, Asian Development Bank
Paolo Monaco, Director, Financial Products SME Finance & Development, EBRD
Bart Ras, Managing Director, Working Capital Finance Origination, Pemberton Capital Advisors
“By far, the greatest danger of
Artificial Intelligence is that
people conclude too early that
they understand it.”
Spike Jonze, American filmmaker (Her, etc.)
1
How about we invite an AI
as panelist?
In the end… a recurrent topic at BCR conferences has been
how novel technologies can be applied to the receivables,
trade, and supply chain finance industry
2
What is deep-tier financing (“DTF”)?
3
What are the main drivers of DTF?
4
Is the need for DTF caused by
incumbent banks being ineffective?
5
What are a few DTF success stories out
there?
6
Is DTF only an opportunity in Emerging
Markets or also in developed world?
7
How do we measure success in DTF
programs?
8
What do regulators think about DTF?
9
How do lenders in DTF programs obtain
comfort around the risks?
10
Development banks vs asset managers?
11
Asset managers are simply greedier?
12
What’s the billion $ opportunity in DTF?
13
Down the rabbit hole…
14
Generate me a Francisco
Goya-inspired digital art
about supply chain finance
15
16
17
18
19
Case study:
CEO & Founder … OFFERING, IN PARTNERSHIP WITH BANKS, A STATE OF THE ART TECH ...
2
FinDynamic developed, in partnership with key leading banks, a unique value proposition
That alongside a string sustainability (ESG) focus further enhanced it’s leadership
A UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION AND A FOCUS ON ESG … … ENABLED FINDYNAMIC TO BECOME MARKET LEADER
SHARE1
FINDYNAMIC DEVELOPS ITS TECHNOLOGY IN PARTNERSHIP WITH THE BEST EURPOEAN BANKS
CONFIRMING
WITH ERP
OTHER SCF
SOLUTIONS
… AND BAKING IT SYSTEMS
4
Francesco Fabbri
Open-es
CLIENT with FinDynamic to monitors the performance of its own upstream value chain
In the next slides our partners show you how a collaborative model based on a technology platform can generate a competitive advantage
5
Pietro Campagna
UniCredit
In the next slides our partners show you how a collaborative model based on a technology platform can generate a competitive advantage
6
Open-es
The platform open to everyone for the sustainable development of companies
7
An open alliance for supply chain sustainability
A simple, flexible solution suitable for all companies
Open-es is an alliance of companies keen to join forces. A collaborative and non-competitive environment
leading towards a common path of sustainability performances improvement
Spreading the sustainability principles along the Supply Chain is a key goal to achive
o Workshops to increase the awareness o ESG profile continuous monitoring along o Basket Bond – Sustainable Energy
about ESG topics qualification and tender processes
8
Open-es is an innovative platform based on internationally recognized ESG metrics
Connecting companies, people and organizations in a collaborative ecosystem …
SERVICE
ESG PROFILE
RATING PROVIDERS
PROVIDERS
Services for sustainable Useful data for
development services
offering
9
… Open-es & FinDynamic partner to build a successful model
That aims to support buyers in implementing ESG and Suppliers to access credit …
INTEGRATING ESG IN SUPPLY CHAIN FINANCE … ENABLES BUYERS TO BUILD A REWARDING … THAT PROVIDES AN EASIER
OFFERING ... SYSTEM FOR SUPPLIERS … ACCESS TO CREDIT
Corporate & Banks institutions are driving ESG Large Corporates leverage supply chain programs by Financial institutions provide more attractive
performance while offering supplier innovative ESG- rewarding suppliers that meet ESG performance financing terms in order to incentivize suppliers to
linked products standards improve on ESG.
10
… Open-es & FinDynamic to integrate ESG scoring and banks
Allowing buyers to monitor and manage the sustainability of the entire supply chain
CONFIRMING
WITH ERP
OTHER SCF
SOLUTIONS
… AND WITH THE CORE BANKING IT SYSTEM
A COLLABORATIVE ECOSYSTEM AMONG ESG PLATFORM, SCF TECHNOLOGY AND BANKS AIMES TO SPREAD SUSTAINABILITY
11
UniCredit
A simple successful pan-European commercial bank unlocking people, businesses and communities potential across EU
Mr. Campagna is accountable - since 2021 - for Working Capital Solutions across
…OFFERING INNOVATIVE WORKING CAPITAL SOLUTIONS
UniCredit Group, after being in charge of Transaction Banking activities (Trade
Finance, Cash Management and Working Capital) in Italy for the previous 3 years.
Annual turnover > EUR 120 bn, involving > 5,000 clients and > 120,000
In his “previous” professional life Mr. Campagna spent many years in HR - covering debtors globally served by product sales in 18 countries
several senior roles across different geographies
Named #1 Supply Chain Finance Provider in CEE in 2022 by Global
Finance and receiving the 2022 TMI Award for Best Fintech Collaboration
12
UniCredit has a collaborative approach with Fintechs
In cooperation with FinDynamic UniCredit aims to provide innovative Working Capital solutions to clients
Bank
… TO A NEW ECOSYSTEM
Bank Fintech
13
UniCredit has a collaborative approach with Fintechs
In cooperation with FinDynamic UniCredit aims to provide innovative Working Capital solutions to clients
Bank
FINDYNAMIC HAS A VERTICAL KNOW- ... TO MEET CLIENT’S STRATEGIC GOALS
HOW ON SCF… … TO A NEW ECOSYSTEM AND TO STRONG CUSTOMER LOYALTY
14
UniCredit & FinDynamic have launched a step-by-step collaboration
With FinDynamic UniCredit strengthened its leadership role in the Supply Chain Finance market
Complementing traditional SCF products with an end2end technology 2019: STRENGTHEN THE PARTNERSHIP BY ENTERING IN FINDYNAMIC’S CAPITAL STRUCTURE
2021 PILOT CLOSED SUCCESFULLY AND AGREEMENT TO FULLY EXPLOIT THE COLLABORATION
UniCredit expanding product reach with the different entities of the group leveraging
Providing a platform ensuring straightforward usability and low
on FinDynamic partnership.
implementation effort
15
…thanks to this collaboration ecosystem
UniCredit with a complemented service offering boosting competitiveness within Working Capital solutions
THANKS TO AN EVOLVED ECOSYSTEM … … A CONTINUOS GROWTH OF CLIENTS AND OPPORTUNITY OF CROSS SELL
(UniCredit / FinDynamic clients –base 100%)
> 20 x
100%
75%
50%
25%
-
2019 2020 2021 2022
BUNDLE PRODUCT
16
…FinDynamic technology which integrated Open-es as ESG platform
Enabling UniCredit to have a competitive advantage in Supply Chain Finance
CONFIRMING
WITH ERP
OTHER SCF
SOLUTIONS
… CLIENT ACCESS TO TURNKEY SCF SERVICES
TECHNOLOGY HAS ALLOWED US TO ACHIEVE BUSINESS SCALABILITY: THE ERPS INTEGRATION IS A DIRECT LINK WITH OUR CLIENTS AND PROVIDES COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
17
UniCredit leveraging on differentiating Supply Chain Finance technology
Supporting its clients to exploit the full value of digital tech in working capital management
A DIFFERENTIATING TECHNOLOGY … … INTEGRAGTED WITH CLIENTS’ ERP … … TO MANAGE THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN
Boosting product and service offering with Leveraging on state-of-art technology and Offering one multi-products platform to
differentiating technology in the SCF services enabling ERP integration manage the full spectrum of SCF related needs
THE FINDYNAMIC TECHNOLOGY AND THE TURN-KEY SERVICES WHICH INCLUDE ESG ARE A KEY COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE IN THE SCF MARKET
18
Business Case: a FinDynamic’s client to optimize its SCF Programs
Introduced ESG rewards incentivizing sustainability across all supplier base BUSINESS CASE
19
Q&A
20
FinDynamic S.L.
Plaza Calle Serrano 19
Madrid
info@findynamic.com
www.findynamic.com
Síguenos en
Coffee Break
International Invoicing
Document Аccounting
Management
Platform
integrated
Bank Platform on the
bank
P.O. Inventory
Sales Collection
Inventory
Average collection period
rotation
Factoring
Confirming Standard
Forfaiting
Confirming Early Payment
Invoice discounting
Confirming guaranteed
Inventory financing
SCF 360° operations coverage, aimed at raising alerts & warnings
Credit agencies
Front office Middle office (D&B, Equifax,
Buyer/supplier Contract Graydon…)
onboarding management
Collateral uploads Scoring
Funding request Funding mgt
Accounts access Client/supp. acc.mgt Tasks,
Alerts,
BPM
to users
Back office
Ptf management
Risk management
Cash application
Collection/Credit Ins. Banks, Co-factors FCI, Platforms,
Credit Insurers, Lawyers …
Working capital solutions. Monetizing supply chain. .
Comprehensive 01 02
supply chain Multicurrency Multiproduct
management
04 03
On-Boarding Tecnology
Cash Conversion Cycle
Imp: 54%
Pmp: 51 días
SCF
Confirming
Early Payment
Imp:4,9%
Pmp: 75 días
SCF
Guaranteed
Confirming
Moderator:
Mark Mandula, Senior Vice President, United Capital Funding
Panellists:
Karel Krejčí, Treasury & Working Capital Global Lead, Accenture
Claudia Perri, Regional Commercial Director, Southern Europe, DACH, Czech Republic
and MENA, Lendscape
Anil Walia, EMEA Supply Chain Finance – Payables, Deutsche Bank
Enrico Viganò, CEO & Founder, FinDynamic
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 2
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023
4 Areas of Discussion
1. Where is the program now and where is it
heading against original objectives?
2. What are some plans to manage and mitigate
risks raising by the global supply chain crisis?
3. What we look for in successful SCF programs?
4. What is the impact for corporates and suppliers
on their liquidity when financing stops?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 4
Where is the program
now and where is it
heading against original
objectives?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 5
What are some plans to
manage and mitigate risks
raising by the global
supply chain crisis?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 6
What should we look
for in successful SCF
programs?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 7
What is the impact for
corporates and suppliers
on their liquidity when
financing stops?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 8
Bonus Round!
What is the biggest challenge
for your firm today? Greatest
opportunity? Greatest fear?
Advice?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 9
What is the
biggest challenge
for your firm
today?
© Mark S. Mandula, 2023 10
Greatest
opportunity?
1
BACKGROUND AND TIME-LINES
6
WHAT MUST BE DISCLOSED? FASB
7
SOME FINAL THOUGHTS
End of Summit
With thanks to this year’s sponsors: