Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ramadani V. Bekteshi K. 2022 Thesis
Ramadani V. Bekteshi K. 2022 Thesis
pISSN 1848-4298
oISSN 2623-8381
/2021
Valon Ramadani,
Mother Tereza University Skopje, valon.ramadani@unt.edu.mk
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1319-8664
Kreshnik Bekteshi
Ministry of Economy, North Macedonia,
kreshnik.bekteshi@hotmail.com
Abstract
Business environment, competition, globalization and
technology developments are the dominating factors that lead
the banking system to drive the changes. In the period under
analysis, the Macedonian banking sector was in a developing
and evolutionary cycle, particularly after the 2008 crisis, by
exhibiting and manifesting several changes over the last years.
The present study examines the evaluation of the banking
system concentration from 2015 until 2018. The study pyovides
arguments to this approach by applying the Herfindahl-
Hirschman Index and the concentration ratio of the CR3 and
CR5 indicators by estimating and examining the concentration
level on five variables or five largest banks operating in the
Republic of North Macedonia. The study shows that increased
levels of concentration are consistent with the increased
operations of the banks. The banking system resulted highly
concentrated on assets and indicated moderate level of
concentration on loans and deposits, where the leading banks
or institutions are dominating the banking industry.
Keywords: banking in North Macedonia, concentration of banking
system, banking and finance, HHI Index, CR3 and CR5.
Introduction
Banking system acts the major blood-life role of contemporary
trade and modern commerce to ensure them with a significant
source of finance. Several factors indicated and made it clear
that the banking stability enacts a momentous role for lightly
functioning of the country economic system (Jayakumar et al.,
2018). The legal framework plays an important role as it directly
strengthens the creditors’ and borrowers’ legal protection, and
a banking system with a high degree of legal protection allows
improvement of quality of collaterals, debt recovery rates and
also forces debt payment, thus resulting in a positive
performance of the banking sector. On the other hand, more
legal protection automatically indicates higher discipline degree
on the part of the borrowers, in the company’s administration
and reflecting in less willingness of risk taking (Arias,
Maquieira & Jara, 2019).
Concentration can be defined as a measurement of subject
participation in accumulative assets, loans, market shares, and
it is determined by the number of companies in the banking
sector and banks’ relative size (Zingales & Raghuram, 2003).
The concentration concern and issue gained attention and
interest especially in the last period of the contemporary crisis
in 2008. Concentration level plays a crucial role in the operation
and function of each financial institution. Evaluating the
concentration level in the banking sector is fundamental for
banks in determining a convenient strategy and assuring
competitive banking products and services (Naym, 2018). The
‘’golden thread’’ of the research provides an overview to
investigate and calculate the banking concentration degree in
the North Macedonian market by summarising characteristics
and giving numerical examples for the level of concentration.
The Concentration Ratios and HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman
Index) constitute the indices that are used to figure out the
objectives of the study. Through the CR (Concentration Ratio)
the study will measure the market dominance of the three and
five largest banks, expressed as percentage. To dig into a
specific point, the research questions set out the monopoly
power in the banking industry in North Macedonia, where the
aim is to clarify if the concentration level is equal to 0%,
marking perfect banking competition or 100% indicating
monopoly. Also, using the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index the
objective is to measure the banking concentration to ascertain
whether the banking industry indicates highly, moderate or
low concentration levels even in respect of assets, loans or
deposits (Kwoka, 1985).
The concentration importance in the banking system is
reflected in the competition, profitability and efficiency in the
banking sector, as well as in the economy of the country
(Filipovic & Tanaskovic, 2013). Concentration of the North
Macedonian banking market shares under the CR3 and CR5,
also HHI, remained high during the 2003-2011 period; the
concentration levels were so high for the five largest banks that
the market did not show signs of progress (Hourvouliades &
Davcev, 2014).
Market concentration and banks pricing power, a study
that included 120 banks, indicated that the pricing power
follows the reducing rate of deposits and the concentration
demonstrates no significant effect on the deposit rate, where the
influence of bank’s power is substantial in concentrated
banking markets (Khattak, Khan, Ali & Rizvi, 2022).
The Republic of North Macedonia as a small country that
has organized and developed a banking system, which has
gone through a modernization and evolving process over the
past 20 years. By applying correct legislation, increasing market
liberalization, following most of the developed and developing
Literature review
The following section of the paper reviews and provides
evidence and existing literature that has concentration in the
banking sector in its focus. The effects of concentration on
banking sector performance are proper since they play
substantial implications on banking policy. The North
Macedonian economic situation and performance has
significant effects on and a crucial role in the banking sector
developments. Reviewing the newest literature and books
related to the banking and finance sector, the research states the
major new findings. For example, Johannes Wernz (2021)
concluded that in the last 10 years, after the financial crisis, the
banking sector has undergone significant change. The author
mentioned the implications that contributed in the transition by
including implementation of Basel II and Basel III (Ferreira,
Jenkinson & Wilson, 2019), low interest rates, huge public debt
and the final indicator, coronavirus. Overall, when banks
mistrust each other and stop inter-lending, that directly affects
the economy; in those countries where the banking sector has
and plays an influential and predominant role, there exists the
dilemma pf how to fix and what to do in these scenarios and
crisis. The functioning of a bank is and has always been a risky
business according to major factors such as bank’s role, delicate
business model, size and the complexity of operating banks,
which indirectly contributes to and explaines why the current
banking sector is one of the most regulated industries, not just
in the US, but all over the world (Alexander Dill, 2020).
Investigating the bank capital, regulation, and
supervision on bank’s stock performance, over a period
between 1999 and 2012 in 74 countries, the empirical studies
indicated that the higher regulatory capital was not positively
related to the bank’s stock performance during the analysed
Methodology
Related to previous studies and the material that economic
literature uses, there exist numerous methods of evaluating or
measuring the concentration of the banking system. With focus
to determine the level of banking concentration system in
Republic of North Macedonia, the research paper will use the
commonly known and applied concentration measure of
Hirschman-Herfindahl index of concentration (Hirschman,
1980) and concentration index based on three and five largest
banks. Strohe (2009) presented the Hirschman-Herfindahl index
as the mostly used indicator counter monopolistic procedures
in United States and European Union.
The index value as result is proportional to the average
banking shares, weighted by banking sector shares and the
results can scale from 0 to 1. The index values also can be
expressed as percentages, so the results can scale from 0 to
10.000 points. For example, an index value of 0.15 is the same as
1500 points.
The formula of HHI is calculated by squaring the market
share of each market participants observed within the industry,
in this case banking sector, and these market shares can be
calculated based on assets, loans, deposits and so on.
𝐻𝐼 = ∑𝑛𝑗=1(𝑆𝑗) 2 ,
Number of 15 23 35 14 27 15
banks
Concentration
in banking
system:
HHI Index 0.1352 0.1313 0.1142 0.1652 0.0779 0.1064
Observing the value of assets, the two above charts indicate the
market share of five and three largest banks in Macedonian
1390
1380
1370
1360
1350
1340
1330
2015 2016 2017 2018
Total Assets
500
0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Total Deposits
Name (in million EUR) - 2018
Komercijalna Banka 1617
Stopanska Banka 1236
NLB Banka 1050
Halk Bank 447
Ohridska Banka 485
1000
500
0
2015 2016 2017 2018
References
Ahamed, M. (2012). Market structure and performance of
Bangladesh banking industry: A panel data analysis. The
Bangladesh Development Studies, 35(3), 1-18.
Abbasoglu, O., Aysan, F., & Gunes, A. (2007). Concentration,
Competition, Efficiency and Profitability of the Turkish
Banking Sector in the Post-Crises Period. Banks and Bank
Systems, 2(3), 106-115.
Almulla, D. & Aljughaiman, A. (2021). Does financial
technology matter? Evidence from an alternative banking
system. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9. Doi:
https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1934978
https://mba.mk/w/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/
Presentation-Macedonian-Banking-Sector-Overview-
May-2019-F.pdf.
Naym, J. (2018). Competition and Concentration in Banking
Sector: Evidence from Bangladesh. Awards for Excellence in
Student Research and Creative Activity, 1, 1-25.
National Bank of Republic of North Macedonia. (2020). Balance
sheets and Income Statements of Banks. The role of the
National Bank Payment in the Republic of Macedonia, 61-
65. Retrieved from http://www.nbrm.mk/ns-newsarticle
-annual-reports.nspx
National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
(2018). Supervision, Banking Regulation and Financial
Stability Sector Financial Stability and Banking
Regulations Department. Retrieved from https://www
.nbrm.mk/content/risks-in-the-banking-system-of-RM-
2017-Annual.pdf.
Plester, M., Irresberger, F. & Weiss, G. (2018). Bank stock
performance and bank regulation around the globe. The
European Journal of Finance, 24(2). 77-113. Retrieved from
https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2016.1226189
Skridulytė, R., & Freitakas, E. (2012). The Measurement of
Concentration Risk in Loan Portfolios. Economics &
Sociology, 5(1), 51-61.
Strohe, G. (2009). Development of the Banking Sector in
Georgia. Statistische Diskussionsbeitraege, (36), 1-15.
Schindler, W. (2017). FinTech and financial innovation: Drivers
and depth. FEDS Working Paper, 2017-81.
Wernz, J. (2021). Bank Management and Control (2nd ed., pp. 76-
85). Springer Nature.
Zingales, L., & Raghuram, R. (2003). Financial Dependence and
Growth. The American Economic Review, 88(3), 559-586.