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7,3 IFRS convergence and revisions:
value relevance of accounting
information from East Africa
352 Erick Rading Outa
Strathmore Business School, Nairobi, Kenya
Peterson Ozili
University of Essex, Colchester, UK, and
Paul Eisenberg
University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the relative value relevance of accounting information
arising from the adoption of converged and revised International Accounting Standards (IAS)/International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in East Africa.
Design/methodology/approach – The research applies “same firm year” design for identification of the
effects of changes in accounting standards. A model similar to Ohlson’s price model and random-effects GLS
are used to estimate R2 of the regressions of share prices on book values and earnings.
Findings – The results show that accounting information prepared from revised and converged IAS/IFRS
display higher value relevance and also increased following the revision and convergence of IAS/IFRS.
The cross-product term is more significant in the post-revision/convergence period thus providing further
evidence for increased value relevance after the revision of IAS/IFRS. The results are robust to various
models and show that value relevance in East Africa is relatively lower than that of the developed markets.
Originality/value – The current study provides empirical evidence that value relevance increases with
converged/revised IAS/IFRS based on quasi natural experimental setting in East Africa. The authors also
extend the debate on whether value relevance is relevant in emerging markets, which are regarded as
imperfect markets with few regulations, weak enforcement and limited sources of information. The results
may be useful to accounting preparers, regulators, investors, standard setters and countries seeking to adopt
IAS/IFRS in developing countries.
Keywords East Africa, Accounting information, Value relevance, Converged/Revised IFRS, IFRS/IAS,
Ohlson model
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
This paper examines the value relevance of accounting information arising from converged/
revised International Accounting Standards (IAS)/International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) for a sample of companies listed in East Africa for the period
2005-2014. Value relevance is an important topic in capital market research because it
examines whether the financial statements that companies produce provide investors and
other users with both high-quality and valuable accounting information that enable them to
make informed decisions. This is crucial to East Africa and other developing countries
where capital is scarce and investment risk is relatively high and there is need to attract
more investment.
3. Research method
3.1 Population and sampling
The population consists of all companies listed at the NSE between 2005 and 2014.
These companies comply with IAS/IFRS as required by CMA and as stated in the audit
opinion paragraph of their annual report. Four of the companies are cross-listed in Uganda,
Tanzania and Rwanda. NSE is chosen as the primary security exchange consistent with
Paananen and Lin (2009) where the stock market with the highest price valuation is selected
when there is multiple cross-listing. NSE has 60 companies as at December 2014, six could
not be included because they did not have data in either the pre- or post-IAS/IFRS revision
period. Further, two companies are in the alternative segment. In total, there are
52 companies included with 520 firm year observation representing 87 percent of
the stock market.
The data were partitioned into two periods between 2005 and 2009 ( five years), (260 firm
year observations) with an equal matching in 2010-2014 (260 firm year observations) to
mitigate any effect of different firms in the regression equations. By using the same
companies in the pre- and post-revision period, each company acts as its own control
(see Hung and Subramanyam, 2007) for cross-sectional and time-series differences in the
sample firms. This approach of “same firm year” addresses the identification problem
typical of single country studies.
P it ¼ b0 þb1 BVEPSit þb2 NIPSit þb3 V it þb4 convergenceit þ b5 controlsit þeit (4)
The variables are explained in Table I.
Vit is contained in the original model but is ignored by many researchers which reduces
the experimental content. We estimate current year Vit as the next year’s NIPS from the
financial statements of the subsequent year. The variable is also justified on the grounds
that investors also look at the firm’s future profitability when evaluating firms for
investment decisions.
Finally, we consider a non-linear model by incorporating a cross-product of book values
and earnings:
P it ¼ b0 þb1 BVEPSit þb2 NIPSit þb3 ðBVEPS NIPSÞ (5)
The variables are explained in Table I.
Variable Description Measurement Source
IFRS
convergence
P Price Price 3 months after year-end computed as Ohlson (1995) and Ohlson (2001) and revisions
current market capitalization scaled by
outstanding ordinary share capital
β0 Intercept Share price variation, not explained by the
variables on the right hand side of equation
MVit Market Value of a firm i at time t, substituted by Ohlson (1995) 359
value price
NIPS Net income Computed before and deflated with the Ohlson (1995)
per share shares
BVEP Book value of equity per share Ohlson (1995)
BVEP × NIPS Cross- Book value of equity × net income per share Clarkson et al. (2011)
product
term
Vit Extra Vit depends on the information available Ohlson (2001) and
information through extra-accounting sources known to Byard and Cebenoyan (2007)
the market but not yet incorporated in the
accounting system. Estimated as predictions
of future earnings by financial analysts
C Convergence A dummy variable which equals 1 for years
after convergence projects and 0 otherwise
εit Error term Part of the price which is not interpreted by
the model
Controls
B β β is the systematic market risk index which Byard and Cebenoyan (2007)
is the risk of performance of a share and Silvestri and Veltri (2012)
S Size Size is a specific firm risk indicator measured Banz (1981)
as the natural logarithm of assets at year-end
DE Debt to Debt to equity is a specific risk firm indicator Bhandari (1988)
equity derived from year-end total liabilities divided Table I.
by year-end book value of equity Description
Note: This table is the description of variables applied in the study of variables
The purpose of the cross-product is to explicitly capture the presence of measurement errors
in the accounting variables (Clarkson et al., 2011). These errors would arise from the
introduction of IAS/IFRS. The cross-product means that if accounting numbers are subject
to measurement error that grows with firm value, then the resulting product term will have
a significant negative coefficient. The use of cross-product can also lead to incremental
association tests where an accounting number is deemed value relevant if its estimated
regression coefficient is significantly different from 0 (Palea, 2013).
We apply three controls: β, S ( firm size) and DE (debt to equity) (see e.g. Silvestri and
Veltri, 2012; Byard and Cebenoyan, 2007). The β values are obtained from analysts namely
Financial Times and Thomson Reuters for the NSE firms. The β values are justified on the
grounds that β as a risk proxy is determined to play a key role in multidimensional models
of risk assessment.
Size is regarded as a risk factor (Banz, 1981) following observations that stocks of small
firms generate higher returns compared to big firms. This is explained by the assumption
that small firms provide less consistent and accurate information, hence are more risky,
which makes investors ask for higher returns (Cavaliere and Costa, 1999). With regard to
debt to equity, empirical evidence provided by Bhandari (1988) shows a relationship
between debt and firm revenue. All variables are deflated by the number of shares in
circulation (Ohlson, 1995) to prevent misleading results of coefficient calculation.
JAEE Regression models are estimated through panel data analysis, because there is joint
7,3 heterogeneity among the test variables. The explanatory variables are determined by the
dependent variables; otherwise, there may be a two-way causality. We recognize that
firm-related effects may occur that may result in non-consistent estimates if ignored.
Previous studies show that OLS is not consistent because the explanatory variables are not
strictly exogenous. Panel data analysis is applied because it is able to deal with
360 heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation commonly associated with time-series analysis.
Panel data analysis can be further applied if there are only few data points for the regression
as it preserves heterogeneity among the variables (Baltagi, 2005). The current data for all
cross-sections in the same period are balanced by including all the variables.
To control for endogeneity, the error term is extracted and correlated with all the
independent variables after completing the panel data regression. The results provide for
the highest correlation of 0.7, indicating that our analysis is not distorted by endogeneity.
Random-effects GLS regressions and additional tests were run. Both tests were run with
all the data and without financial firm’s data for robustness. Because of the panel data used
in the study, Hausman test was applied to decide between random-effects GLS and fixed
effects model. The test failed to reject the null hypothesis that the unobserved heterogeneity
is uncorrelated with the regressors. This finding meant that the random and the fixed effects
were not significantly different, and for brevity random-effects GLS results are presented.
4. Results
4.1 Descriptive statistics
Table II shows the descriptive statistics of the variables applied in the study. The statistics
reported are the means, standard deviations and change of mean in percentage terms from
pre- to post-convergence and revision period. The dependent variable P increases in the
post-convergence period. Independent variables also increase suggesting that most of the
listed firms experienced growth over the study period.
4.2 Correlation
Table III shows the Pearson correlation matrix for the sample n ¼ 520. The highest
correlations are between BVEPS and NIPS and this is expected since both are derived from
firm performance. This also explains why multicollinearity tests between these variables are
insignificant. The correlation between NIPS and price is medium and positive while BVEPS
and P is low and positive suggesting that NIPS has a higher correlation with P and thus is
more value relevant than BVEPS. The correlation between Vit and NIPS is also strong
because both are based on earnings.
R2 and χ2. In Table IV, Equation (1), the coefficients are positive and significant with R2 of
47.9 percent and χ2 of 0.000 implying that the independent variables contribute to the
regression and that the Ohlson (1995) model can be applied in East Africa. BVEPS, NIPS and
combined BVEPS and NIPS coefficients are positive and significant with improvements in the
post-convergence as shown by R2 leading to the acceptance of H1-H3. The pre-revision/
convergence R2 of 14.3 percent (Table IV, column 5) is lower than the post-revision and
convergence value of 41.1 percent (Table IV, column 4) thus confirming H1. These findings
suggest that, all other things being equal, earnings and book values prepared with converged/
revised IAS/IFRS are positive and significant, i.e. value relevant. The findings also show that
NIPS with a value of 46.2 percent (Table IV, column 6) is higher than BVEPS with a value of
31.5 percent suggesting that NIPS is more value relevant leading to acceptance of H4. These
findings suggest that accounting information prepared with converged/revised IAS/IFRS is
value relevant; hence, investment in standards revisions is justified.
In applying the product model (Table V ), we find no evidence for reduction in
relative value relevance suggesting that the increases in the linear model’s explanatory
power is caused by an increase of the non-linear association between share prices and
accounting information. Therefore, the product is more significant in the post-revision/
convergence period.
4.5 Robustness
We run regressions excluding the financial firms which are subject to stronger enforcement
and regulatory disclosure over and above that of the other listed companies. The results are
shown in Table VI. Though slightly different in values, they show an increase in the
association between share prices, earnings and equity book values in the post-revision
period with NIPS being more value relevant than BVEPS, thus confirming the initial results.
Similarly, our results excluding loss making firms (not tabulated) remain the same while
results from loss making firms show the model does not work partly because of sample size
and multicollinearity.
The correlation results (Table III) show that there is no high correlation between
independent variables. However, the correlation between BVEP and NIPS (r ¼ 0.775) is high
JAEE Excluding finance firms
7,3 Finance
firms only Relative (post vs pre) BVEPS vs NIPS
Equation (4) Equation (4) % change Equations (2) and (3)
Variable Prediction Aggregate Post (n ¼ 260) Pre (n ¼ 260) pre vs post Aggregate (n ¼ 520)
when compared to that of the other variables. We include these two variables in separate
regression models. The results can be obtained from Table IV (column 6) and remain robust.
We also run biannual trends to see changes in R2 over time (results available on request).
Existing literature (e.g. Hellstrom, 2006; Okafor et al., 2016) show mixed evidence against the
general view that value relevance should decline over time as changes such as technology
take effect in different economies. Our results show steady rise as revisions and
convergence efforts set in but later on decline consistent with Hellstrom (2006). The decline
is possibly due to many factors including firms shifting to technology and inclusion of
intangible asset bases.
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Corresponding author
Erick Rading Outa can be contacted at: ericouta2002@yahoo.co.uk
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