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To cite this article: T. Reilly , A. M. Williams , A. Nevill & A. Franks (2000): A multidisciplinary approach to
talent identification in soccer, Journal of Sports Sciences, 18:9, 695-702
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Journal of Sports Sciences, 2000, 18, 695± 702
The requirements for soccer play are multifactorial and distinguishing characteristics of elite players can be
investigated using multivariate analysis. The aim of the present study was to apply a comprehensive test battery
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to young players with a view to distinguishing between elite and sub-elite groups on the basis of performance
on test items. Thirty-one (16 elite, 15 sub-elite) young players matched for chronological age (15± 16 years)
and body size were studied. Test items included anthropometric (n = 15), physiological (n = 8), psychological
(n = 3) and soccer-speci® c skills (n = 2) tests. Variables were split into separate groups according to somatotype,
body composition, body size, speed, endurance, performance measures, technical skill, anticipation, anxiety
and task and ego orientation for purposes of univariate and multivariate analysis of variance and stepwise
discriminant function analysis. The most discriminating of the measures were agility, sprint time, ego orientation
and anticipation skill. The elite players were also signi® cantly leaner, possessed more aerobic power (9.0 ± 1.7 vs
55.5 ± 3.8 ml ´kg- 1 ´min- 1) and were more tolerant of fatigue (P < 0.05). They were also better at dribbling the
ball, but not shooting. We conclude that the test battery used may be useful in establishing baseline reference
data for young players being selected onto specialized development programmes.
Journal of Sports Sciences ISSN 0264-0414 print/ISSN 1466-447X online Ó 2000 Taylor & Francis Ltd
http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals
696 Reilly et al.
scienti® c rationale. It is important, therefore, to generate (Reilly, 1997). The consequences for physiological and
scienti® c observations that might complement intuitive performance testing have also been outlined (see Reilly,
judgements about young talent. The necessary knowl- 1996). In adult players, this kind of database is impor-
edge base encompasses the requirements for playing at tant for gauging current ® tness and targeting musculo-
an elite standard and longitudinal personal pro® les of skeletal strengths and weaknesses for training purposes.
successful prototypes. Relevant measures include aerobic power (endurance),
Matsudo et al. (1987) described the pyramid model anaerobic power (speed), muscle strength, ¯ exibility,
they used in Brazil that embraced six tiers of per- agility (ability to change direction quickly), body
formance abilities. The standards of pro® ciency ranged composition (percent body fat) and somatotype (body
from physical education classes at the base of the shape). Their relative importance in the talent identi® -
pyramid to international competitors at its apex. Their cation process has not been quanti® ed.
test battery incorporated anthropometric, physio- The conceptual scheme outlined elsewhere in this
logical and performance pro® les and was expressed as volume (see Williams and Reilly, this issue) separates
`intended for inferring training and selective factors’ . Its potential psychological predictors of soccer talent into
use in speci® c sports was limited, other than directing personality and perceptuo-cognitive skills. The former
individuals at an early age to the sports to which they include self-con® dence, anxiety-control, motivation
seemed biologically most suited. and concentration; the latter include attention, antici-
A multivariate approach to identifying talent in pation, decision-making, game intelligence and creative
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team games was applied with success by Pienaar and thinking. It would appear logical, therefore, to include
colleagues (1998). They were concerned with Rugby measurements of these variables in any investigation
Union players under 11 years of age in South Africa. of talent identi® cation in young players. Measures of
The test battery used contained 21 anthropometric motivational orientation (see Duda, 1989, 1993),
variables, eight variables associated with motor and competitive anxiety (see Jones and Swain, 1995) and
physical abilities and six measures of games skills. These anticipation skill (see Williams, this issue) have already
researchers isolated eight variables for predicting talent been shown to discriminate elite from sub-elite
(de® ned as reaching regional standard of participation) performers.
with a 94% success rate. The authors acknowledged Any identi® cation of physical and mental attributes
that the work was pioneering for Rugby Union in their necessary for success in sports is likely to be limited
country and required re® nement for longer-term in value unless complemented by information about
predictions. It is also probable that the results were pro® ciency in the skills of the game. For this reason,
speci® c to the sport in question, although the model any multifactorial battery of tests for supporting the
provided a useful template for analysis in other sports. talent identi® cation process should include assessment
A similar approach to talent identi® cation in team of essential soccer skills. Tests for passing, shooting, con-
games was adopted by Deshaies et al. (1979), who trolling and dribbling the ball have been identi® ed by
tried to diþ erentiate skilled and less skilled ice Reilly and Holmes (1983) as the principal components
hockey players on the basis of six biophysical vari- in assessment of skilled play.
ables, four hockey-speci® c skills and four psychological The aims of the current programme of research,
variables. Regression modelling indicated that four therefore, were (1) to design and apply a multivariate
variables successfully discriminated between skill test battery for assessing talent in young soccer players
groups: anaerobic power, skating speed, visual per- and (2) to assess its ability to distinguish elite from
ception speed and motivation. The model explained sub-elite young players.
55% of the performance criterion variance, with the
hockey skills alone accounting for 33% and the
psychological and biophysical variables explaining Methods
20% and 17% of the performance variance, respec-
tively. These models provide templates for viewing Thirty-one (16 elite and 15 sub-elite) young male
talent development systems in an objective way. For soccer players were studied (mean age = 16.4 years).
applications to soccer, there is a need to establish some Elite players (mean age 16.4 years, range 16.2± 16.6)
essential information about the requirements of playing were classed as those who were signed for a professional
at elite standard. club and played international youth soccer. Sub-elite
The physiological requirements for participation players (mean age 16.4 years, range 15.8± 16.7) were
in elite professional soccer have been described else- classed as those who were not signed for a professional
where (Bangsbo, 1994; Reilly, Bangsbo and Franks, this club but had played regularly for various local and
issue), as have the physical and physiological demands school teams. Informed consent was obtained before
of the contemporary game at international standard data collection.
A multidisciplinary approach to talent identi® cation in soccer 697
All participants were tested during the 1998± 99 were recorded using electronic timing lights (Body
English competitive soccer season. Measurements Care, Birmingham). A jump-mat was used to measure
for each participant were undertaken according to standing vertical jump (Cranlea, Birmingham). Three
four categories: anthropometric, physiological and trials were performed, from which the highest distance
psychological pro® ling and soccer-speci® c skill per- jumped was recorded for analysis.
formance. The procedures in each category are
described in turn.
Psychological pro® ling
All participants completed three psychological tests ±
Anthropometric pro® ling two questionnaires and an anticipation test. The two
questionnaires were sport-speci® c: the Task and
Fifteen measurements were taken from each player.
Ego Orientation in Sport Questionnaire (TEOSQ)
These included height (m), body mass (kg), seven
(Duda, 1989) and the modi® ed trait-based version of
skinfolds (mm), two diameters and four girth measure-
Martens and colleagues’ (1990) Competitive State
ments. The seven skinfolds were biceps, triceps, sub-
Anxiety Inventory-2 (CSAI-2) (see Jones and Swain,
scapular, suprailiac, mid-thigh, proximal calf and medial
1995). The TEOSQ provided a measure of motivational
calf. The two diameters were biepicondylar humerus
orientation, while the CSAI-2 indicated players’ pre-
and biepicondylar femur. The four circumferences were
disposition towards anxiety. The anticipation test used
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25- and 30-m sprints), endurance (speed endurance, Table 1. Anthropometric characteristics of elite and sub-elite
mean score and fatigue index), technical skill (dribbling soccer players (mean ± s)
and shooting tests) and anticipation (1 vs 1, 3 vs 3 and
11 vs 11). Each of these data sets was analysed using Elite Sub-elite
separate multivariate analyses of variance (MANOVA)
Body size
in which group (elite, sub-elite) was the between-
Mass (kg) 63.1 ± 1.1 66.4 ± 2.5
participant variable. Follow-up discriminant analysis Height (m) 1.71 ± 0.05 1.75 ± 0.06
and univariate analysis of variance (ANOVA) were used
where appropriate. Body composition
Those measures not included in this initial procedure Sum of skinfolds (mm) 47.9 ± 9.7 63.1 ± 14.5
were analysed using separate analyses of variance for Body fat (%) 11.3 ± 2.1 13.9 ± 3.8
independent samples. These measures included age,
VÇ O2m a x , agility and standing vertical jump. In keeping Somatotype
with the convention adopted in previous research using Endomorphy 2.1 ± 0.5 2.9 ± 1.0
the TEOSQ and CSAI-2 inventories, each of the Mesomorphy 4.0 ± 0.9 3.8 ± 1.1
respective sub-scales was analysed independently using Ectomorphy 2.9 ± 0.9 3.1 ± 0.9
ANOVA. Finally, all 31 dependent variables were
analysed together to determine which combination of
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Table 3. Performance scores on the dribbling and shooting Table 4. Psychological characteristics of elite and sub-elite
skills tests for elite and sub-elite soccer players (mean ± s) soccer players (mean ± s)
Technical skill
diþ erences were apparent in ego orientation (P > 0.05).
The MANOVA showed signi® cant diþ erences between The elite players were more task-oriented than the
groups on the skill tests (Wilks’ lambda = 0.27, sub-elite participants (see Table 4).
F2,28 = 37.89, P < 0.01). Separate analyses of variance
showed a signi® cant diþ erence on the dribbling test only
Anxiety
(F1,29 = 74.60, P < 0.01). These results are shown in
Table 3. Signi® cant diþ erences between groups were indicated
by means of ANOVA for somatic anxiety intensity
(F1,29 = 15.98), cognitive anxiety direction (F1,29 =
Anticipation
15.98), somatic anxiety direction (F1,29 = 10.03) and
Elite players had better anticipatory performance than self-con® dence direction (F1,29 = 16.10, all P < 0.01).
the sub-elite participants as indicated by MANOVA The self-con® dence intensity scale also approached sig-
(Wilks’ lambda = 0.44, F3,27 = 11.20, P < 0.01). How- ni® cance (F1,29 = 4.00, P = 0.05). The elite players were
ever, univariate analyses showed that signi® cant dif- less likely to experience somatic anxiety and were the
ferences emerged on the 1 vs 1 simulations only more inclined to perceive cognitive and somatic anxiety
(F1,29 = 35.45, P < 0.01). These ® ndings are presented as well as self-con® dence as being facilitative to per-
graphically in Fig. 1. formance (see Table 4).
Wilks’ lambda
Exact F
Step Entered Statistic df1 df2 df3 Statistic df1 df2 P-value
Note: At each step, the variable that minimizes the overall Wilks’ lambda is entered.
a
Maximum number of steps is 66; minimum partial F to enter is 3.84; maximum partial F to remove is 2.71; F level, tolerance or VIN insuý cient
for further computation.
Table 6. Summary of stepwise discriminant analysis: test, sprint performance over 30 m seems to provide
Variables in the analysis no useful additional information when discriminating
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test than the sub-elite participants. The elite players perform less well in evaluative contexts. Elite players
also recorded better scores on two of the three speed were also less likely to experience somatic anxiety and
endurance measures ± mean score and fatigue index. were more self-con® dent than their sub-elite counter-
The negative direction of the contribution of the 30-m parts. The elite players recorded higher scores on
sprint times towards the discriminant function equation all three directional sub-scales. These higher scores
was therefore surprising and is possibly a statistical suggest that elite players were more likely to perceive
artefact: sprinting speed is an important element in the anxiety and self-con® dence as being helpful rather
agility run and performance in the two tests is generally than detrimental to performance. Jones and Swain
highly correlated. Consequently, adding the 30-m dis- (1995) reported similar ® ndings with elite and sub-elite
tance to the agility run does not appear to contribute cricketers.
further to the identi® cation of players in the elite group. In general, the elite players performed signi® cantly
Elite players were faster than the sub-elite partici- better than the sub-elite players on the anticipation test.
pants on the speed tests, although sprint time over 15 m The largest diþ erence between groups emerged on the
was the strongest discriminator irrespective of playing 1 vs 1 followed by the 11 vs 11 simulations. The ability
position. The elite players were also better in repro- to `read the game’ and to anticipate an opponent’ s
ducing top speed in the repetitive sprint tests and were intentions is an important characteristic of talented
more tolerant of fatigue. This ability to recover quickly performers (for a more detailed discussion, see Williams
from an all-out eþ ort is an important component of and Davids, 1998; Williams, this issue).
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® tness for soccer (see Reilly, Bangsbo and Franks, this The elite players performed better on the technical
issue). The ability to sustain high work-rates during skill tests, although, as indicated in Table 4, only the
competition is associated with high aerobic power dribbling test signi® cantly discriminated between the
(VÇ O2m a x ), another distinguishing feature of the elite two groups of players. Perhaps not surprisingly, only
group. The average value of 59 ml ´ kg- 1 ´min- 1 already the forwards could be diþ erentiated on the basis of the
approaches the levels observed in professional out® eld shooting test, whereas performance in dribbling was a
players (see Reilly, 1996). characteristic of all the elite players regardless of playing
The elite players’ better performance in sprinting was position.
duplicated in higher values on the standing vertical Multivariate statistical analysis techniques were used
jump test. Anaerobic power as well as aerobic power to determine which combination of the measures
is important for success in soccer (see Reilly, Bangsbo distinguished most clearly between the two groups of
and Franks, this issue). The results of the agility test players. The analyses revealed that the groups could be
emphasize that a better physiological make-up must be discriminated on the basis of four measurements. The
complemented by an ability to change direction quickly. most discriminating measure was performance on the
This requirement is called upon repeatedly in match- agility test followed by sprint times, ego orientation and
play and in training. Indeed, agility was shown to be the the 1 vs 1 anticipation test. Speed, agility, motivational
most powerful discriminator between the two standards orientation and perceptual skill were the most impor-
of pro® ciency. Raven et al. (1976) reported that an tant indicators of talent in soccer, although in the
agility run test distinguished professional soccer players present study the isolation of the 30-m sprint test was
as a group from the normal population better than any an equivocal ® nding. The results from this analysis
® eld test used for strength, power and ¯ exibility. They show reasonable agreement with those of Deshaies et al.
concluded that the agility of players was their greatest (1979), who indicated that measures of anaerobic
asset in setting them apart from normal individuals. The power, speed, perceptual skill and motivation success-
same conclusion can be extended to the elite young fully discriminated elite and sub-elite ice hockey players.
players in the present study.
Elite players were more task-oriented and less
ego-oriented than sub-elite participants (see Table 3). Conclusions and implications
Task-oriented players are more likely to participate in
soccer for skill mastery and personal improvement and The test battery designed for this investigation was
are interested in the game for its own sake. Ego-oriented multidisciplinary in the sense that it embraced anthro-
players place greater emphasis on participating in soccer pometric, physiological, psychological and performance
to increase self-esteem and social status by trying to measures. It therefore extended the work of previous
be better than others. According to Duda (1993), a research groups by tailoring the tests for application to
task or mastery orientation will lead to a stronger work young soccer players. The tests were administratively
ethic, persistence in the face of failure and optimal convenient in that the data were collected in `® eld’
performance. Ego- or outcome-oriented individuals are conditions and did not require formal laboratory
likely to have low perceived competence and tend to investigation. Moreover, the test battery proved to be of
702 Reilly et al.
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optimized when the multivariate pro® les were con- biological pro® le of individual performance in junior hockey
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sidered as a whole. Elite players have an advantage over
(edited by G.C. Roberts and K.M. Newell), pp. 36± 50.
their sub-elite counterparts in terms of body com- Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics.
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jumping, agility, motivational orientation, control orientation and the perceived purpose of sport among high
and perception of anxiety, anticipation and technical school athletes. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, 11,
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orientation and anticipation skill appear to be the Duda, J.L. (1993). Goals: A social-cognitive approach to
strongest predictors of talent. The next step would be the study of achievement motivation in sport. In Handbook
to examine the validity of their use as predictors in a of Research in Sport Psychology (edited by R.N. Singer,
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Durnin, J.V.G.A. and Womersley, J. (1974). Body fat assessed
test battery is merely useful in talent discrimination
from total body density and its estimation from skin-
rather than talent identi® cation.
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