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    57 views21 pages

    BS Chapter 5 P-2

    Uploaded by

    harshalimpatel

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    of 21
    BS Chapter 5 5.15 To 5.33 Hardiksinh Solanki Section 14 9099105264 @be_happy_45 SS Find he elowing values by sng the Poison forma. (mas e 7 © PGS £59) 4. Pe= A= © Pixs 6A = 29) mS < 53) 5.17 Shtch the paps ofthe falling Poston dstbutons, Compute the mean snd standard deviation for ech diribation, Lose the mean onthe graph, Note how ‘he probbiies are graphed around the mean. “3 hanna on 4A=06 S518 On Monday morsings the Frt National Bank only has one tle window open for «epost and wihdravals Experience as shown thatthe average number of etving txstomers in four-minute interval on Monday mornings is 28, and each eet can serve more than that umber efficient. These random arias this bank on “Monsey mornings are Poison distributed 1, Whatisthe probability that ona Monday morning erat six eastomes wll, ‘bs Whatisthe probability that no one wil arrive a the bank to make depositor withdrawal during four-minte interval 6 Sappee: the elle can serve a mor thn oor csr ia ey oui {tral at this window ona Moday morning Whats the probably tht, dur ‘ng any gen Fourainat ites he lr wil be unable to mec the demand? ‘What the probably thatthe ler wi beable o rect the demand? When ermad cant be met during any gien interval second window is opened ‘Wt pocestage of the ne lt exceed window bee to be opene? 4. Whats the probability that rat thee people wl arrive atthe bank during a {two-minute period on Monday mornings to make a dpesit ora withdrawal ‘What isthe probability that ive or more customer wil arive during a ight minute period? 519 A restaurant managers intcrestedin aking a more statistical approach to predicting custome load, Se begins the proces by gathering dat One ofthe restaurant hots forhosteses is assigne to count customers every Five mutes fom 7 9¢ utl8 #s ‘ery Saturday night for thre wks. The data ae showa hee After the data ae ‘tered the manager comptes amb using the data rom all he weeks a one Pratiame dataset a basis for probity ans. What value of amb did she find? ‘Assume hat these casters andor rive ad that he rials are Poison ‘stibutd: Use the vale of lamba computed bythe manager and help the mane ‘alelte the probabil in pars) dough for any glen Heine tea Tater 7 mt and # nt on Stun ight Number of Arrivals Week! Week2 Week Whats the probit oo cotoner vive doing any give Gve-ain inter |b Whatis the probability that sic or more customers arrive dating any en five-minute itera? «Whats the probably that ring 0-iute ‘tomers ave? 4. Whatis the probably that between thre and sx (indus) customers arte any 10-minute interval? What s the probability that exactly eight customers arrive in any 15-minute inter tral for than our 5.20 According to the United National Environmental Program and World Health Organization, in Mumbai, India, ar pollution standards for particulate matter are exceeded an average of 56 days in every three-week period, Assume that the distribution of number of days exceeding the standards per three-sweek period is Poisson distributed, 1. What is the probability thatthe standard is not exceeded on any day during a three-week period? 'b. What is the probability thatthe standard is exceeded exactly six days of three-week period? . What is the probability thatthe standard is exceeded 15 or more days during a three-week period? If this outcome actually occurred, what might you conclude? 5.21 The average number of annual tips per family to amusement parks in the United States is Poisson distributed, with a mean of 0.6 trips per yea. What is the probability of randomly selecting an American family and finding the following? 1. The family did not make a trp to an amusement park lst year. '. The family took exactly one trip to an amusement park last year. «. The family took two or more trips to amusement parks last year. 4. The family took three or fewer trips to amusement parks over a three-year perio. «. The family took exactly four trips to amusement parks during a six-year period. 5.22 Ship collisions in the Houston Ship Channel are rare. Suppose the number of collisions are Poisson distributed, with a mean of 1.2 collisions every four months. 8, What i the probability of having no collisions occur over a four-month period? '. What is the probability of having exactly two collisions in a two-month period? ‘¢. What isthe probability of having one or fewer collisions ina six-month period? If this outcome occurred, what might you conclude about ship channel conditions 4 if N=20, A=5,and n=7 5.28 Shown here are the top 19 companies in the world in terms of oil refining capacity. Some of the companies are privately owned and others are state owned. Suppose six companies are randomly selected. a. What is the probability that exactly one company is privately owned? . What is the probability that exactly four companies are privately owned? cc. What is the probability that ll six companies are privately owned? d. What is the probability that none of the companies is privately owned? ‘Company Ownership Status ExxonMobil Private Royal Dutch/Shell Private British Petroleum Private Sinopec Private Valero Energy Private Petroleos de Venezuela State ‘Total Private ConocoPhillips Private China National state Saudi Arabian State Chevron Private Petroleo Brasilerio State Petroleos Mexicanos State National Iranian State ‘OAO Yakos Private Nippon Private ‘OAO Lukoil Private Repsol YPF Private Kuwait National State 5.29 Catalog Age lists the top 17 US. firms in annual catalog sales. Dell Computer is number one followed by IBM and W. W. Grainger. Of the 17 firms on the list, 8 are in some type of computer-related business. Suppose four firms are randomly selected. a. What is the probability that none of the firms is in some type of computer-related business? ’. What is the probability that all four firms are in some type of computer-related business? . What is the probability that exactly two are in non-computer-related business? 5.30 W. Edwards Deming in his red bead experiment had a box of 4,000 beads, of which 800 were red and 3,200 were white.* Suppose a researcher were to conduct a modified version of the red bead experiment. In her experiment, she has a bag of 20 beads, of which 4 are red and 16 are white. This experiment requires a participant to reach into the bag and randomly select five beads without replacement. a. What is the probability that the participant will select exactly four white beads? ’. What is the probability that the participant will select exactly four red beads? . What is the probability that the participant will select all red beads? "Mary Walton, ‘Deming’ Parable of Red Beads” Across the Boanl (ebruary 1987): 43-48. » Distributions 5.31 5.32 5.33 Shown here are the top 10 U.S. cities ranked by number of rooms sold in a recent year. Rank City Number of Rooms Sold 1 Las Vegas (NV) 40,000,000 2 ‘Orlando (FL) 27,200,000 3 Los Angeles (CA) 25,500,000 4 Chicago (IL) 24,800,000 5 New York City (NY) 23,900,000 6 Washington (DC) 22,800,000 7 Atlanta (GA) 21,500,000 8 Dallas (TX) 15,900,000 9 Houston (TX) 14,500,000 10 San Diego (CA) 14,200,000 Suppose four of these cities are selected randomly. a. What is the probability that exactly two cities are in California? b. What is the probability that none of the cities is east of the Mississippi River? c. What is the probability that exactly three of the cities are ones with more than 24 million rooms sold? ‘A company produces and ships 16 personal computers knowing that 4 of them have defective wiring. The company that purchased the computers is going to thoroughly test three of the computers. The purchasing company can detect the defective wiring. What is the probability that the purchasing company will find the following? a. No defective computers b. Exactly three defective computers c. Two or more defective computers d. One or fewer defective computer A western city has 18 police officers eligible for promotion. Eleven of the 18 are Hispanic. Suppose only five of the police officers are chosen for promotion and that one is Hispanic. If the officers chosen for promotion had been selected by chance alone, what is the probability that one or fewer of the five promoted officers would have been Hispanic? What might this result indicate? Sy s—_+—+—_— — oa ——— ———— —_ a T oO 1 2 3 6.6.3 65> E- ‘ 19 0.00006 —AzLS meansl3 SQ Vio shy at CO KzRT meanss-9 5-0 V¥-9=5.9F [Aree meun=06 S0 Vobo =0F35 SBT a. hk > 28 y 2 2.8/6 min [2 o-0heF] to ee Past J KatP) LF On OCF] L.A Kz28 I od Plaz3/f=1-4) x Prog = ~=o-nee |] = ©.08F2 c 0-040} F 0.0163 0.0059 q ©6018 1% 0.0605" i) 0.000) X24 0-523 s-\9 , Az fxlon = W26/e 23.5 using rylie A. 3 ae q. Pleo) 5 9.0362) ' | 6. R(x > 6) P(6)4 P09)... " = 0.0991 +4 0.0385 4 0.0)69 4 0-060 + 0.90234 6. 6007+ 0.0902 4 0.660} [ =0- 1424) SP Cx4 Je min) 1 A =F.2 flo nin PCx2h) = plo) PO + P27 + PG = _O- 0609 4 0.0064 4 0.6223 4 0S) [= 0.¥o%9 ) i & PO3& XL EJ 10 Nintes ) A= 3.8 [10 nines PG¢x £6) = P74 PL APO) FPL 1 = ©. 052) + HUET OEZ ILO: 149 ¢@ - T2e.42] = C. ‘ i P (xz8lis nin) = A.e A = 2.5 [isnim “I-16 = (12.59 (@) |, 0.1008 F) 5.6 days [3 wees 2° a. Prob (tz0e/h=26.6) form table A-3|= 0. 0032 | Prob (x6 [A= 6) form table 4.3 [2 2-1584] 2 Prob (XS 1s [K266) | = POS) + PGi) + PCF) 2 0.005 + 0.0002 4 0.00) = 0.0009] ST Kz 0-6 Trips / 1 gous a. Pret (x=0 JR = 0-6) Form Ttabio A.3 [= 0-shes) b. Proh Cael [K 20.6) forn table 4.3 |e 03293] = PC) 4 PC) + Plu) 4 Pls) + PCO) = 0. 0986 40.699 4+ 0.036 40.0004 4% O06 [= ©. 1226] J. ess /3 gea%) 2r08 lenda Az |-¢/3 3 Proh CX P(X Se /Aa1-2) form tuble Az. be.cce] CTP (x33 / Ke1-2) Pal 2 From stabi? « 5 ° é 20.0 Ss 0062 33 ¢] 4 oT <2 tenn lesieies Az4 P= 0.00004, AzmP = ]oooee Ce- 6006) T= 4] OG. Pe Ce QF Jka) VSing tase A. 3 ed Lod 0.0595 6.6298 6.0132 a 2.0053 i ©. 0019 © 6008 0. 0002 1h 2,60) ! [o- 26) 2 Se 9 12 6. _ Prob (2 S1e/K2u) x | Using Table A.3 it | 12 13 My Prot 0-00)9 0.0006 ©, 0002 O, poe) 0-0629 A =m. 32 00f6.009) Ps 0.009 K > 5. — Ns 2Qoo CCX 6) form Jubie A. 3 = PCL) + OO) + PCH) 4 PCI). a O-00F78 46.6026 + 6.0005 46.000) Tz e.c164 | 6. PCxS ez 0. 6000) CP (cso) [20-1653] Po)+ pCi) + PG) +3) + PO) ©1653 4+ 0-29 704 0. 269F 4 O-16624 0-0 223 [2 ese] eb Pox /wste m=j300 Pz 0-01 a. Plrzsy Tate Aas [2 o-}ee3T P Ce)+ POD +P C2) +PCFD C.0498 + O.1L9h 4+ 6.2246 +6. 2240 Teen] a o- P(ax

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