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Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

Facultad de Economía

Alexa Renata Alfaro Vargas

Examén Ordinario

Profesor: Dr. Daniel Lozano Keymolen

1 de diciembre de 2022
utónoma del Estado de México

Alfaro Vargas

aniel Lozano Keymolen


Y X1 X2
i consumo ingresos produccion Estime e interprete los coeficientes B0, B1 y B2 de la reg
1 6.25226011 9.86844959 24.8949082 Y = consumo en miles de pesos.
2 4.67281325 11.8662099 5.59797963 X1 = ingresos en miles de pesos
3 8.89943294 15.7656961 3.6408848 X2 = producción en miles de pesos
4 2.78358818 2.59101467 22.1823668
5 19.2583132 20.1696093 19.3838013
6 9.25672803 14.6904419 9.15058881
7 8.06456928 5.39789108 3.12639707 PASO 1: SE FORMA LA MATRIZ X
8 16.7331628 11.7752701 23.2567398
9 13.3342801 4.63866678 42.1181748 X1
10 19.1984708 10.3187378 19.1898334 i ingresos
11 15.5367471 19.3266278 12.9245319 1 9.86844959
12 23.5306914 39.4861254 34.8844545 1 11.8662099
13 18.3790025 7.18876453 28.410625 1 15.7656961
14 0.4236606 8.06224183 8.29953947 1 2.59101467
15 3.59549098 4.40325549 8.82031886 1 20.1696093
16 2.96006637 11.1021694 14.950563 1 14.6904419
17 8.90183355 16.8661009 8.95720832 1 5.39789108
18 3.56402581 9.52428507 0.75393382 1 11.7752701
19 4.15741668 0.95905111 4.19346956 1 4.63866678
20 14.9794576 1.24434925 41.2508072 1 10.3187378
21 8.4474148 1.66150893 69.5380471 1 19.3266278
22 16.8067213 46.045572 13.5126502 1 39.4861254
23 14.407116 14.857218 24.6072512 1 7.18876453
24 10.7019501 7.7308846 22.0157772 1 8.06224183
25 20.0967994 11.8578148 30.7261278 1 4.40325549
26 9.27624808 5.25058547 12.9799317 1 11.1021694
27 10.711531 7.44705759 13.2342285 1 16.8661009
28 13.1838173 6.03502138 18.0200832 1 9.52428507
29 11.534215 0.31546231 20.8598808 1 0.95905111
30 5.58189842 12.566609 31.0426085 1 1.24434925
31 9.64100413 15.4158497 11.1963521 1 1.66150893
32 15.184372 19.4328084 6.42970523 1 46.045572
33 5.8412843 7.13206877 2.9779142 1 14.857218
34 21.4287774 9.97888438 40.0737492 1 7.7308846
35 4.2423223 7.30725091 8.84214219 1 11.8578148
36 8.09896008 7.9731909 18.1124711 1 5.25058547
37 5.13433668 10.7342286 4.32332419 1 7.44705759
38 0.58619696 8.80665814 2.07993231 1 6.03502138
39 9.91959606 4.78068453 3.01694916 1 0.31546231
40 2.72293869 4.4698544 3.40643424 1 12.566609
41 1.56227532 3.43351011 4.16719834 1 15.4158497
42 23.0822184 14.8584334 43.6527985 1 19.4328084
43 10.8795945 12.312103 16.6644706 1 7.13206877
44 13.3619615 19.7157523 38.3716203 1 9.97888438
45 5.32598619 2.72156067 2.49971022 1 7.30725091
46 0.1754126 0.23984705 3.14422367 1 7.9731909
47 4.0767627 20.5720386 9.30830553 1 10.7342286
48 7.6416934 1.98540378 22.8839664 1 8.80665814
49 6.69274512 1.2149436 21.0238263 1 4.78068453
50 3.74069857 5.84122319 12.663788 1 4.4698544
51 7.81087808 5.42866762 14.2151186 1 3.43351011
52 18.3589146 4.56123861 19.3231299 1 14.8584334
53 9.82549979 8.68722513 11.6375556 1 12.312103
54 19.8886033 7.169221 22.1211382 1 19.7157523
55 17.6558683 15.2058164 34.1823475 1 2.72156067
56 15.8735172 21.6335995 26.2040972 1 0.23984705
57 8.5794339 20.538402 29.4055188 1 20.5720386
58 14.3627062 16.7394953 15.6128643 1 1.98540378
59 7.76948068 13.8206303 7.32106707 1 1.2149436
60 13.3350763 8.31562284 0.41772905 1 5.84122319
61 17.118515 2.42541956 3.28384561 1 5.42866762
62 9.48385443 19.3538074 0.71263104 1 4.56123861
63 19.3110525 3.40393277 1.42576279 1 8.68722513
64 2.60414137 11.5893868 5.88484956 1 7.169221
65 8.55688429 12.5810377 5.9004117 1 15.2058164
66 11.2845051 13.3917627 5.85064042 1 21.6335995
67 18.2191897 7.15343074 3.78080691 1 20.538402
68 6.47249728 1.82475941 11.54408 1 16.7394953
69 0.15929378 8.32029668 13.2719601 1 13.8206303
70 13.9797661 9.89683781 17.7625572 1 8.31562284
71 11.6954098 18.2887831 18.7131693 1 2.42541956
72 2.13316854 13.4734578 24.4254734 1 19.3538074
73 17.8960766 14.7034803 9.33933175 1 3.40393277
74 7.41495194 10.3616168 8.86260985 1 11.5893868
75 8.63594811 9.72576409 3.86752228 1 12.5810377
76 11.5496685 9.76501293 7.13464055 1 13.3917627
77 4.67551147 12.4533419 4.40232757 1 7.15343074
78 4.76418747 2.99314276 3.72258677 1 1.82475941
79 10.0434397 6.88402409 6.30742524 1 8.32029668
80 4.46019081 8.12262195 4.30800434 1 9.89683781
81 8.68265686 8.51985758 6.92891465 1 18.2887831
82 3.1698908 6.04664405 7.86082449 1 13.4734578
83 4.08652327 0.37968765 4.2573972 1 14.7034803
84 7.7049377 8.0671931 15.9705476 1 10.3616168
85 3.50530327 2.15010398 19.4293358 1 9.72576409
86 8.48176869 7.00790062 6.00184786 1 9.76501293
87 4.91664411 3.6748259 13.8299479 1 12.4533419
88 0.26659779 8.63768293 2.20359626 1 2.99314276
89 18.8786954 21.5607383 1.35658451 1 6.88402409
90 6.93796868 10.5656485 17.9527894 1 8.12262195
91 10.9276132 4.42154712 7.73098992 1 8.51985758
92 12.0147982 3.47240148 10.6599946 1 6.04664405
93 3.83852051 5.67153442 8.92199933 1 0.37968765
94 9.07336197 1.78915098 2.20814345 1 8.0671931
95 11.1460973 0.59568351 4.07379298 1 2.15010398
96 8.94438557 6.64787979 15.1862549 1 7.00790062
97 11.5775763 7.08942772 12.4046861 1 3.6748259
98 7.8333868 10.6947673 18.0924029 1 8.63768293
99 7.83725798 6.01360876 12.8618871 1 21.5607383
100 10.8620027 14.0182321 20.743596 1 10.5656485
101 2.68168128 9.62966305 10.409089 1 4.42154712
102 9.0650808 2.31223447 3.42924701 1 3.47240148
103 9.26336726 9.02913614 9.13945451 1 5.67153442
104 7.10758067 5.84558776 8.87792816 1 1.78915098
105 9.37463817 9.66844982 7.03244725 1 0.59568351
106 10.9617856 9.6589218 21.4301774 1 6.64787979
107 6.09566355 8.0560284 12.628496 1 7.08942772
108 7.94725941 5.28162821 13.7427843 1 10.6947673
109 10.6523492 10.1356431 18.951542 1 6.01360876
110 4.58981531 8.63801175 15.0995381 1 14.0182321
111 17.2199078 12.0127505 23.2061547 1 9.62966305
112 11.9833739 14.4460628 25.1812711 1 2.31223447
113 10.423403 21.3914348 11.1998932 1 9.02913614
114 17.769544 14.084864 6.60990721 1 5.84558776
115 13.2555932 10.2986394 7.36402344 1 9.66844982
116 14.8076944 8.21064279 14.6587999 1 9.6589218
117 9.6243509 9.05107721 11.1996788 1 8.0560284
118 14.9175986 2.50930181 10.0052875 1 5.28162821
119 11.4615257 6.77301646 9.1634079 1 10.1356431
120 14.7935129 14.8283626 17.8166233 1 8.63801175
121 15.337336 19.7987255 10.1177249 1 12.0127505
122 9.69415108 10.4721964 12.5143212 1 14.4460628
123 9.82496122 11.7921348 1.03786469 1 21.3914348
124 8.99591842 3.42312233 2.0694209 1 14.084864
125 4.27914726 8.61388132 13.7171069 1 10.2986394
126 2.60753315 0.89504205 12.7843753 1 8.21064279
127 3.69268 23.7184104 14.626327 1 9.05107721
128 15.3904776 12.6310003 10.760388 1 2.50930181
129 3.0407631 24.393639 7.19801521 1 6.77301646
130 5.16625171 5.13182747 15.6595171 1 14.8283626
131 7.07122497 1.3020617 6.03703152 1 19.7987255
132 5.44388211 4.86610555 0.58632043 1 10.4721964
133 4.44835616 2.82515365 5.4731631 1 11.7921348
134 11.2379872 14.5885387 7.09243146 1 3.42312233
135 14.857355 16.4983122 6.16382609 1 8.61388132
136 7.84940563 4.09591719 10.2108113 1 0.89504205
137 9.82200625 7.3742959 6.67796978 1 23.7184104
138 6.57320165 9.95275971 5.83237065 1 12.6310003
139 9.65439243 5.3236865 5.71749799 1 24.393639
140 10.3572327 12.6102287 14.0600605 1 5.13182747
141 7.73151442 9.82794123 14.1527254 1 1.3020617
142 10.9758637 8.00179992 5.13451623 1 4.86610555
143 7.83442913 5.19040033 5.10604356 1 2.82515365
144 3.8155357 8.34247204 9.47654852 1 14.5885387
145 11.3195664 22.9293041 9.64837211 1 16.4983122
146 5.38970626 1.52126306 6.05305502 1 4.09591719
147 5.9081878 2.89180827 3.40560647 1 7.3742959
148 10.2955905 13.2010049 2.59874518 1 9.95275971
149 5.32734764 6.6354603 9.31718808 1 5.3236865
150 3.43822305 1.95497834 12.1388161 1 12.6102287
151 4.50577534 2.66323129 2.26922628 1 9.82794123
152 1.26931683 0.85188316 1.6671001 1 8.00179992
153 2.09623364 7.30054635 4.35156596 1 5.19040033
154 1.70351946 21.1824182 14.3416477 1 8.34247204
155 7.35869379 23.6101038 33.1245194 1 22.9293041
156 12.2884587 6.49798272 44.1949007 1 1.52126306
157 3.48696854 1.91721816 58.3670751 1 2.89180827
158 4.58519796 7.19628587 30.4878034 1 13.2010049
159 6.13987019 11.1998328 14.1978626 1 6.6354603
160 0.11317389 1.3411391 15.6716626 1 1.95497834
161 5.42839661 1.02464103 19.0827035 1 2.66323129
162 8.22560123 13.1167698 20.8483516 1 0.85188316
163 6.54694092 5.04232699 14.4823926 1 7.30054635
164 10.3361382 7.05376576 3.84961171 1 21.1824182
165 5.07919345 12.3395075 5.09266508 1 23.6101038
166 2.04441081 1.58929796 2.22068764 1 6.49798272
167 4.4023188 5.36846238 10.2630574 1 1.91721816
168 3.40978038 0.616584 8.64289669 1 7.19628587
169 6.10106302 16.4637958 8.99815941 1 11.1998328
170 1.71971007 7.78398863 6.38674394 1 1.3411391
171 2.68122745 0.51475235 0.79983684 1 1.02464103
172 2.82953439 26.2993297 6.42550919 1 13.1167698
173 4.7564211 43.2922922 6.87289414 1 5.04232699
174 2.08539895 5.90187391 3.12061353 1 7.05376576
175 4.7341414 5.92038461 2.37925012 1 12.3395075
176 8.51761272 2.18173191 8.03968528 1 1.58929796
177 4.80552945 11.2025029 5.5529804 1 5.36846238
178 9.47763331 13.133135 13.5808091 1 0.616584
179 9.30624852 10.1351197 6.32880224 1 16.4637958
180 11.4221249 10.6211428 9.17107589 1 7.78398863
181 6.05183646 4.97762904 4.74115416 1 0.51475235
182 7.18766045 9.69283881 50.9927649 1 26.2993297
183 6.74944102 8.13687613 32.2864371 1 43.2922922
184 5.70104976 7.51163538 35.3502781 1 5.90187391
185 4.10752395 5.26810781 22.7008206 1 5.92038461
186 10.6342302 7.34576594 -27.6232357 1 2.18173191
187 7.40541762 6.54371321 -5.81450795 1 11.2025029
1 13.133135
1 10.1351197
1 10.6211428
1 4.97762904
1 9.69283881
1 8.13687613
1 7.51163538
1 5.26810781
1 7.34576594
1 6.54371321
cientes B0, B1 y B2 de la regresión lineal múltiple descrita abajo

FORMA LA MATRIZ X PASO 2: SE OBTIENE X'

X2 Y
produccion consumo
24.8949082 6.25226011 1 1 1 1 1
5.59797963 4.67281325 9.86844959 11.8662099 15.7656961 2.59101467 20.1696093
3.6408848 8.89943294 24.8949082 5.59797963 3.6408848 22.1823668 19.3838013
22.1823668 2.78358818
19.3838013 19.2583132
9.15058881 9.25672803
3.12639707 8.06456928 PASO 3: SE MULTIPLICA X'*X
23.2567398 16.7331628
42.1181748 13.3342801 187 1779.27888 2412.93904
19.1898334 19.1984708 1779.27888 26543.0844 24534.8465
12.9245319 15.5367471 2412.93904 24534.8465 56723.6828
34.8844545 23.5306914
28.410625 18.3790025
8.29953947 0.4236606
8.82031886 3.59549098 PASO 4: SE OBTIENE INVERSA DE X'*X
14.950563 2.96006637
8.95720832 8.90183355
0.75393382 3.56402581 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
4.19346956 4.15741668 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
41.2508072 14.9794576 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
69.5380471 8.4474148
13.5126502 16.8067213
24.6072512 14.407116
22.0157772 10.7019501 PASO 5: SE OBTIENE EL PRODUCTO DE X'*Y
30.7261278 20.0967994
12.9799317 9.27624808
13.2342285 10.711531 1625.84283
18.0200832 13.1838173 17576.3495
20.8598808 11.534215 23948.9438
31.0426085 5.58189842
11.1963521 9.64100413
6.42970523 15.184372 PASO 6: MULTIPLICAR (X'X)-1 X'Y
2.9779142 5.8412843
40.0737492 21.4287774 #NAME? β0
8.84214219 4.2423223 #NAME? β1
18.1124711 8.09896008 #NAME? β2
4.32332419 5.13433668 PASO 7: INTERPRETACIÓN DE COEFICIENTES
2.07993231 0.58619696 BETA
3.01694916 9.91959606
3.40643424 2.72293869 β0= 5.43 Por cada miles de pesos el consumo aumentan a 5.43 miles de peso
4.16719834 1.56227532 β1= 0.20 Por cada miles de pesos los ingresos incrementa a 0.20 miles de pes
43.6527985 23.0822184 β2= 0.10 Por cada miles de pesos la producción aumenta a 0.10 miles de peso
16.6644706 10.8795945
38.3716203 13.3619615
2.49971022 5.32598619
3.14422367 0.1754126
9.30830553 4.0767627
22.8839664 7.6416934
21.0238263 6.69274512
12.663788 3.74069857
14.2151186 7.81087808
19.3231299 18.3589146
11.6375556 9.82549979
22.1211382 19.8886033
34.1823475 17.6558683
26.2040972 15.8735172
29.4055188 8.5794339
15.6128643 14.3627062
7.32106707 7.76948068
0.41772905 13.3350763
3.28384561 17.118515
0.71263104 9.48385443
1.42576279 19.3110525
5.88484956 2.60414137
5.9004117 8.55688429
5.85064042 11.2845051
3.78080691 18.2191897
11.54408 6.47249728
13.2719601 0.15929378
17.7625572 13.9797661
18.7131693 11.6954098
24.4254734 2.13316854
9.33933175 17.8960766
8.86260985 7.41495194
3.86752228 8.63594811
7.13464055 11.5496685
4.40232757 4.67551147
3.72258677 4.76418747
6.30742524 10.0434397
4.30800434 4.46019081
6.92891465 8.68265686
7.86082449 3.1698908
4.2573972 4.08652327
15.9705476 7.7049377
19.4293358 3.50530327
6.00184786 8.48176869
13.8299479 4.91664411
2.20359626 0.26659779
1.35658451 18.8786954
17.9527894 6.93796868
7.73098992 10.9276132
10.6599946 12.0147982
8.92199933 3.83852051
2.20814345 9.07336197
4.07379298 11.1460973
15.1862549 8.94438557
12.4046861 11.5775763
18.0924029 7.8333868
12.8618871 7.83725798
20.743596 10.8620027
10.409089 2.68168128
3.42924701 9.0650808
9.13945451 9.26336726
8.87792816 7.10758067
7.03244725 9.37463817
21.4301774 10.9617856
12.628496 6.09566355
13.7427843 7.94725941
18.951542 10.6523492
15.0995381 4.58981531
23.2061547 17.2199078
25.1812711 11.9833739
11.1998932 10.423403
6.60990721 17.769544
7.36402344 13.2555932
14.6587999 14.8076944
11.1996788 9.6243509
10.0052875 14.9175986
9.1634079 11.4615257
17.8166233 14.7935129
10.1177249 15.337336
12.5143212 9.69415108
1.03786469 9.82496122
2.0694209 8.99591842
13.7171069 4.27914726
12.7843753 2.60753315
14.626327 3.69268
10.760388 15.3904776
7.19801521 3.0407631
15.6595171 5.16625171
6.03703152 7.07122497
0.58632043 5.44388211
5.4731631 4.44835616
7.09243146 11.2379872
6.16382609 14.857355
10.2108113 7.84940563
6.67796978 9.82200625
5.83237065 6.57320165
5.71749799 9.65439243
14.0600605 10.3572327
14.1527254 7.73151442
5.13451623 10.9758637
5.10604356 7.83442913
9.47654852 3.8155357
9.64837211 11.3195664
6.05305502 5.38970626
3.40560647 5.9081878
2.59874518 10.2955905
9.31718808 5.32734764
12.1388161 3.43822305
2.26922628 4.50577534
1.6671001 1.26931683
4.35156596 2.09623364
14.3416477 1.70351946
33.1245194 7.35869379
44.1949007 12.2884587
58.3670751 3.48696854
30.4878034 4.58519796
14.1978626 6.13987019
15.6716626 0.11317389
19.0827035 5.42839661
20.8483516 8.22560123
14.4823926 6.54694092
3.84961171 10.3361382
5.09266508 5.07919345
2.22068764 2.04441081
10.2630574 4.4023188
8.64289669 3.40978038
8.99815941 6.10106302
6.38674394 1.71971007
0.79983684 2.68122745
6.42550919 2.82953439
6.87289414 4.7564211
3.12061353 2.08539895
2.37925012 4.7341414
8.03968528 8.51761272
5.5529804 4.80552945
13.5808091 9.47763331
6.32880224 9.30624852
9.17107589 11.4221249
4.74115416 6.05183646
50.9927649 7.18766045
32.2864371 6.74944102
35.3502781 5.70104976
22.7008206 4.10752395
-27.6232357 10.6342302
-5.81450795 7.40541762
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
14.6904419 5.39789108 11.7752701 4.63866678 10.3187378 19.3266278 39.4861254 7.18876453
9.15058881 3.12639707 23.2567398 42.1181748 19.1898334 12.9245319 34.8844545 28.410625
mentan a 5.43 miles de pesos
ementa a 0.20 miles de pesos
umenta a 0.10 miles de pesos
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
8.06224183 4.40325549 11.1021694 16.8661009 9.52428507 0.95905111 1.24434925 1.66150893
8.29953947 8.82031886 14.950563 8.95720832 0.75393382 4.19346956 41.2508072 69.5380471
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
46.045572 14.857218 7.7308846 11.8578148 5.25058547 7.44705759 6.03502138 0.31546231
13.5126502 24.6072512 22.0157772 30.7261278 12.9799317 13.2342285 18.0200832 20.8598808
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
12.566609 15.4158497 19.4328084 7.13206877 9.97888438 7.30725091 7.9731909 10.7342286
31.0426085 11.1963521 6.42970523 2.9779142 40.0737492 8.84214219 18.1124711 4.32332419
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
8.80665814 4.78068453 4.4698544 3.43351011 14.8584334 12.312103 19.7157523 2.72156067
2.07993231 3.01694916 3.40643424 4.16719834 43.6527985 16.6644706 38.3716203 2.49971022
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0.23984705 20.5720386 1.98540378 1.2149436 5.84122319 5.42866762 4.56123861 8.68722513
3.14422367 9.30830553 22.8839664 21.0238263 12.663788 14.2151186 19.3231299 11.6375556
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7.169221 15.2058164 21.6335995 20.538402 16.7394953 13.8206303 8.31562284 2.42541956
22.1211382 34.1823475 26.2040972 29.4055188 15.6128643 7.32106707 0.41772905 3.28384561
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
19.3538074 3.40393277 11.5893868 12.5810377 13.3917627 7.15343074 1.82475941 8.32029668
0.71263104 1.42576279 5.88484956 5.9004117 5.85064042 3.78080691 11.54408 13.2719601
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9.89683781 18.2887831 13.4734578 14.7034803 10.3616168 9.72576409 9.76501293 12.4533419
17.7625572 18.7131693 24.4254734 9.33933175 8.86260985 3.86752228 7.13464055 4.40232757
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2.99314276 6.88402409 8.12262195 8.51985758 6.04664405 0.37968765 8.0671931 2.15010398
3.72258677 6.30742524 4.30800434 6.92891465 7.86082449 4.2573972 15.9705476 19.4293358
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7.00790062 3.6748259 8.63768293 21.5607383 10.5656485 4.42154712 3.47240148 5.67153442
6.00184786 13.8299479 2.20359626 1.35658451 17.9527894 7.73098992 10.6599946 8.92199933
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.78915098 0.59568351 6.64787979 7.08942772 10.6947673 6.01360876 14.0182321 9.62966305
2.20814345 4.07379298 15.1862549 12.4046861 18.0924029 12.8618871 20.743596 10.409089
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2.31223447 9.02913614 5.84558776 9.66844982 9.6589218 8.0560284 5.28162821 10.1356431
3.42924701 9.13945451 8.87792816 7.03244725 21.4301774 12.628496 13.7427843 18.951542
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
8.63801175 12.0127505 14.4460628 21.3914348 14.084864 10.2986394 8.21064279 9.05107721
15.0995381 23.2061547 25.1812711 11.1998932 6.60990721 7.36402344 14.6587999 11.1996788
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2.50930181 6.77301646 14.8283626 19.7987255 10.4721964 11.7921348 3.42312233 8.61388132
10.0052875 9.1634079 17.8166233 10.1177249 12.5143212 1.03786469 2.0694209 13.7171069
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0.89504205 23.7184104 12.6310003 24.393639 5.13182747 1.3020617 4.86610555 2.82515365
12.7843753 14.626327 10.760388 7.19801521 15.6595171 6.03703152 0.58632043 5.4731631
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
14.5885387 16.4983122 4.09591719 7.3742959 9.95275971 5.3236865 12.6102287 9.82794123
7.09243146 6.16382609 10.2108113 6.67796978 5.83237065 5.71749799 14.0600605 14.1527254
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
8.00179992 5.19040033 8.34247204 22.9293041 1.52126306 2.89180827 13.2010049 6.6354603
5.13451623 5.10604356 9.47654852 9.64837211 6.05305502 3.40560647 2.59874518 9.31718808
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.95497834 2.66323129 0.85188316 7.30054635 21.1824182 23.6101038 6.49798272 1.91721816
12.1388161 2.26922628 1.6671001 4.35156596 14.3416477 33.1245194 44.1949007 58.3670751
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7.19628587 11.1998328 1.3411391 1.02464103 13.1167698 5.04232699 7.05376576 12.3395075
30.4878034 14.1978626 15.6716626 19.0827035 20.8483516 14.4823926 3.84961171 5.09266508
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.58929796 5.36846238 0.616584 16.4637958 7.78398863 0.51475235 26.2993297 43.2922922
2.22068764 10.2630574 8.64289669 8.99815941 6.38674394 0.79983684 6.42550919 6.87289414
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
5.90187391 5.92038461 2.18173191 11.2025029 13.133135 10.1351197 10.6211428 4.97762904
3.12061353 2.37925012 8.03968528 5.5529804 13.5808091 6.32880224 9.17107589 4.74115416
1 1 1 1 1 1
9.69283881 8.13687613 7.51163538 5.26810781 7.34576594 6.54371321
50.9927649 32.2864371 35.3502781 22.7008206 -27.6232357 -5.81450795
Y X1 X2 X3 X4
i consumo ingresos produccion ahorros desempleo Estime e interprete los coefic
1 6.25226011 9.86844959 24.8949082 48.8246617 9.135 Y = consumo en miles de peso
2 4.67281325 11.8662099 5.59797963 73.9731222 5.075 X1 = ingresos en miles de pes
3 8.89943294 15.7656961 3.6408848 73.9834826 5.075 X2 = producción en miles de p
4 2.78358818 2.59101467 22.1823668 10.0000809 7.105 X3 = ahorros en miles de peso
5 19.2583132 20.1696093 19.3838013 37.1263717 1.015 X4 = desempleo como tasa an
6 9.25672803 14.6904419 9.15058881 61.4211193 1.015
7 8.06456928 5.39789108 3.12639707 4.52519697 1.015
8 16.7331628 11.7752701 23.2567398 15.5383494 0
9 13.3342801 4.63866678 42.1181748 44.239733 2.03
10 19.1984708 10.3187378 19.1898334 51.3034368 1.015
11 15.5367471 19.3266278 12.9245319 58.9710842 2.03 i
12 23.5306914 39.4861254 34.8844545 162.853878 3.045 1
13 18.3790025 7.18876453 28.410625 54.2910152 3.045 1
14 0.4236606 8.06224183 8.29953947 85.5242488 0 1
15 3.59549098 4.40325549 8.82031886 28.0017759 1.015 1
16 2.96006637 11.1021694 14.950563 113.136263 1.015 1
17 8.90183355 16.8661009 8.95720832 25.715172 2.03 1
18 3.56402581 9.52428507 0.75393382 66.9153431 3.045 1
19 4.15741668 0.95905111 4.19346956 5.24936523 5.075 1
20 14.9794576 1.24434925 41.2508072 115.135463 13.195 1
21 8.4474148 1.66150893 69.5380471 55.5833356 14.21 1
22 16.8067213 46.045572 13.5126502 246.742494 2.03 1
23 14.407116 14.857218 24.6072512 179.210035 4.06 1
24 10.7019501 7.7308846 22.0157772 6.57811764 2.03 1
25 20.0967994 11.8578148 30.7261278 29.9431744 6.09 1
26 9.27624808 5.25058547 12.9799317 14.9667591 0 1
27 10.711531 7.44705759 13.2342285 0.68557922 0 1
28 13.1838173 6.03502138 18.0200832 36.3037322 2.03 1
29 11.534215 0.31546231 20.8598808 92.9796493 4.06 1
30 5.58189842 12.566609 31.0426085 92.268616 2.03 1
31 9.64100413 15.4158497 11.1963521 80.6413154 4.06 1
32 15.184372 19.4328084 6.42970523 67.9672062 4.06 1
33 5.8412843 7.13206877 2.9779142 29.6680829 1.015 1
34 21.4287774 9.97888438 40.0737492 69.1330972 4.06 1
35 4.2423223 7.30725091 8.84214219 48.639527 1.015 1
36 8.09896008 7.9731909 18.1124711 24.0675176 0 1
37 5.13433668 10.7342286 4.32332419 78.9079612 2.03 1
38 0.58619696 8.80665814 2.07993231 53.6564419 1.015 1
39 9.91959606 4.78068453 3.01694916 18.7317888 2.03 1
40 2.72293869 4.4698544 3.40643424 41.1034207 1.015 1
41 1.56227532 3.43351011 4.16719834 59.4961397 3.045 1
42 23.0822184 14.8584334 43.6527985 83.6687762 13.195 1
43 10.8795945 12.312103 16.6644706 57.933667 1.015 1
44 13.3619615 19.7157523 38.3716203 92.8825269 3.045 1
45 5.32598619 2.72156067 2.49971022 57.6661087 2.03 1
46 0.1754126 0.23984705 3.14422367 8.95067529 1.015 1
47 4.0767627 20.5720386 9.30830553 162.302126 1.015 1
48 7.6416934 1.98540378 22.8839664 79.2258909 9.135 1
49 6.69274512 1.2149436 21.0238263 33.9257615 5.075 1
50 3.74069857 5.84122319 12.663788 22.2691169 6.09 1
51 7.81087808 5.42866762 14.2151186 0.3552056 5.075 1
52 18.3589146 4.56123861 19.3231299 97.201624 7.105 1
53 9.82549979 8.68722513 11.6375556 3.51143921 5.075 1
54 19.8886033 7.169221 22.1211382 103.225977 2.03 1
55 17.6558683 15.2058164 34.1823475 2.15361846 9.135 1
56 15.8735172 21.6335995 26.2040972 83.3924069 9.135 1
57 8.5794339 20.538402 29.4055188 140.772192 5.075 1
58 14.3627062 16.7394953 15.6128643 44.5483733 6.09 1
59 7.76948068 13.8206303 7.32106707 66.146138 1.015 1
60 13.3350763 8.31562284 0.41772905 29.1858104 0 1
61 17.118515 2.42541956 3.28384561 189.907351 1.015 1
62 9.48385443 19.3538074 0.71263104 120.061503 2.03 1
63 19.3110525 3.40393277 1.42576279 239.275438 3.045 1
64 2.60414137 11.5893868 5.88484956 115.367776 1.015 1
65 8.55688429 12.5810377 5.9004117 59.4918739 2.03 1
66 11.2845051 13.3917627 5.85064042 33.246501 0 1
67 18.2191897 7.15343074 3.78080691 102.418021 2.03 1
68 6.47249728 1.82475941 11.54408 49.0163933 4.06 1
69 0.15929378 8.32029668 13.2719601 126.512082 0 1
70 13.9797661 9.89683781 17.7625572 299.715972 4.06 1
71 11.6954098 18.2887831 18.7131693 125.130256 3.045 1
72 2.13316854 13.4734578 24.4254734 168.802224 2.03 1
73 17.8960766 14.7034803 9.33933175 9.83499531 0 1
74 7.41495194 10.3616168 8.86260985 57.6293519 3.045 1
75 8.63594811 9.72576409 3.86752228 37.0119615 0 1
76 11.5496685 9.76501293 7.13464055 2.00263137 1.015 1
77 4.67551147 12.4533419 4.40232757 101.648347 3.045 1
78 4.76418747 2.99314276 3.72258677 82.7810173 3.045 1
79 10.0434397 6.88402409 6.30742524 25.2351892 0 1
80 4.46019081 8.12262195 4.30800434 55.2851319 1.015 1
81 8.68265686 8.51985758 6.92891465 29.1858104 2.03 1
82 3.1698908 6.04664405 7.86082449 51.8615919 0 1
83 4.08652327 0.37968765 4.2573972 32.2533757 7.105 1
84 7.7049377 8.0671931 15.9705476 1.82226261 4.06 1
85 3.50530327 2.15010398 19.4293358 65.9054985 5.075 1
86 8.48176869 7.00790062 6.00184786 3.13844241 1.015 1
87 4.91664411 3.6748259 13.8299479 1.42977908 0 1
88 0.26659779 8.63768293 2.20359626 115.120591 4.06 1
89 18.8786954 21.5607383 1.35658451 73.4114128 1.015 1
90 6.93796868 10.5656485 17.9527894 55.4909296 4.06 1
91 10.9276132 4.42154712 7.73098992 60.2550782 2.03 1
92 12.0147982 3.47240148 10.6599946 59.7448139 2.03 1
93 3.83852051 5.67153442 8.92199933 26.7416674 4.06 1
94 9.07336197 1.78915098 2.20814345 70.2039645 0 1
95 11.1460973 0.59568351 4.07379298 121.732791 3.045 1
96 8.94438557 6.64787979 15.1862549 18.6464503 2.03 1
97 11.5775763 7.08942772 12.4046861 52.6379638 0 1
98 7.8333868 10.6947673 18.0924029 52.3343897 4.06 1
99 7.83725798 6.01360876 12.8618871 24.5849137 2.03 1
100 10.8620027 14.0182321 20.743596 64.1837176 4.06 1
101 2.68168128 9.62966305 10.409089 102.668711 1.015 1
102 9.0650808 2.31223447 3.42924701 107.644929 2.03 1
103 9.26336726 9.02913614 9.13945451 1.17442883 0 1
104 7.10758067 5.84558776 8.87792816 29.5087586 0 1
105 9.37463817 9.66844982 7.03244725 25.9772967 1.015 1
106 10.9617856 9.6589218 21.4301774 7.69391439 2.03 1
107 6.09566355 8.0560284 12.628496 33.8851612 1.015 1
108 7.94725941 5.28162821 13.7427843 33.8851612 2.03 1
109 10.6523492 10.1356431 18.951542 6.21883784 2.03 1
110 4.58981531 8.63801175 15.0995381 62.6795307 2.03 1
111 17.2199078 12.0127505 23.2061547 73.3638399 1.015 1
112 11.9833739 14.4460628 25.1812711 55.1608413 2.03 1
113 10.423403 21.3914348 11.1998932 196.436526 0 1
114 17.769544 14.084864 6.60990721 48.893512 2.03 1
115 13.2555932 10.2986394 7.36402344 31.7678742 1.015 1
116 14.8076944 8.21064279 14.6587999 92.8647255 2.03 1
117 9.6243509 9.05107721 11.1996788 19.1566754 2.03 1
118 14.9175986 2.50930181 10.0052875 238.48977 1.015 1
119 11.4615257 6.77301646 9.1634079 100.105881 1.015 1
120 14.7935129 14.8283626 17.8166233 23.9362603 2.03 1
121 15.337336 19.7987255 10.1177249 124.711434 0 1
122 9.69415108 10.4721964 12.5143212 12.9921774 0 1
123 9.82496122 11.7921348 1.03786469 26.1251083 1.015 1
124 8.99591842 3.42312233 2.0694209 133.604065 0 1
125 4.27914726 8.61388132 13.7171069 134.232937 4.06 1
126 2.60753315 0.89504205 12.7843753 69.9379574 2.03 1
127 3.69268 23.7184104 14.626327 422.932885 5.075 1
128 15.3904776 12.6310003 10.760388 576.033782 7.105 1
129 3.0407631 24.393639 7.19801521 515.193315 0 1
130 5.16625171 5.13182747 15.6595171 8.91797645 1.015 1
131 7.07122497 1.3020617 6.03703152 149.245339 1.015 1
132 5.44388211 4.86610555 0.58632043 16.1114494 3.045 1
133 4.44835616 2.82515365 5.4731631 5.04910061 1.015 1
134 11.2379872 14.5885387 7.09243146 71.1404999 4.06 1
135 14.857355 16.4983122 6.16382609 62.7689347 2.03 1
136 7.84940563 4.09591719 10.2108113 69.96139 4.06 1
137 9.82200625 7.3742959 6.67796978 30.0594321 1.015 1
138 6.57320165 9.95275971 5.83237065 84.3348912 2.03 1
139 9.65439243 5.3236865 5.71749799 91.280806 2.03 1
140 10.3572327 12.6102287 14.0600605 63.2938792 0 1
141 7.73151442 9.82794123 14.1527254 429.16141 2.03 1
142 10.9758637 8.00179992 5.13451623 185.500679 2.03 1
143 7.83442913 5.19040033 5.10604356 79.9480208 0 1
144 3.8155357 8.34247204 9.47654852 206.779462 1.015 1
145 11.3195664 22.9293041 9.64837211 379.676335 2.03 1
146 5.38970626 1.52126306 6.05305502 125.333273 1.015 1
147 5.9081878 2.89180827 3.40560647 107.110528 1.015 1
148 10.2955905 13.2010049 2.59874518 61.2146581 1.015 1
149 5.32734764 6.6354603 9.31718808 67.0424683 0 1
150 3.43822305 1.95497834 12.1388161 73.4503179 2.03 1
151 4.50577534 2.66323129 2.26922628 91.4184673 1.015 1
152 1.26931683 0.85188316 1.6671001 23.6380546 3.045 1
153 2.09623364 7.30054635 4.35156596 302.848453 1.015 1
154 1.70351946 21.1824182 14.3416477 471.364888 5.075 1
155 7.35869379 23.6101038 33.1245194 330.205128 5.075 1
156 12.2884587 6.49798272 44.1949007 368.57091 12.18 1
157 3.48696854 1.91721816 58.3670751 9.369061 14.21 1
158 4.58519796 7.19628587 30.4878034 163.31953 8.12 1
159 6.13987019 11.1998328 14.1978626 248.596842 3.045 1
160 0.11317389 1.3411391 15.6716626 8.61016582 1.015 1
161 5.42839661 1.02464103 19.0827035 56.2715037 0 1
162 8.22560123 13.1167698 20.8483516 118.309708 5.075 1
163 6.54694092 5.04232699 14.4823926 3.5736738 1.015 1
164 10.3361382 7.05376576 3.84961171 33.2245997 2.03 1
165 5.07919345 12.3395075 5.09266508 145.53681 3.045 1
166 2.04441081 1.58929796 2.22068764 41.3820708 1.015 1
167 4.4023188 5.36846238 10.2630574 27.6334156 1.015 1
168 3.40978038 0.616584 8.64289669 35.0629428 5.075 1
169 6.10106302 16.4637958 8.99815941 178.896847 3.045 1
170 1.71971007 7.78398863 6.38674394 91.0403956 0 1
171 2.68122745 0.51475235 0.79983684 30.949601 4.06 1
172 2.82953439 26.2993297 6.42550919 294.824041 1.015 1
173 4.7564211 43.2922922 6.87289414 698.20091 4.06 1
174 2.08539895 5.90187391 3.12061353 79.3372444 0 1
175 4.7341414 5.92038461 2.37925012 35.4641692 3.045 1
176 8.51761272 2.18173191 8.03968528 114.457637 5.075 1
177 4.80552945 11.2025029 5.5529804 137.230055 0 1
178 9.47763331 13.133135 13.5808091 83.6770841 6.09 1
179 9.30624852 10.1351197 6.32880224 24.9888184 2.03 1
180 11.4221249 10.6211428 9.17107589 15.3574597 3.045 1
181 6.05183646 4.97762904 4.74115416 7.69776171 2.03 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
stime e interprete los coeficientes de regresión lineal múltiple de la ecuación descrita abajo
= consumo en miles de pesos.
1 = ingresos en miles de pesos
2 = producción en miles de pesos
3 = ahorros en miles de pesos
4 = desempleo como tasa anual

PASO 2: SE OB
PASO 1: SE FORMA LA MATRIZ X

X1 X2 X3 X4 Y
ingresos produccion ahorros desempleo consumo 1
9.86844959 24.8949082 48.8246617 9.135 6.25226011 9.86844959
11.8662099 5.59797963 73.9731222 5.075 4.67281325 24.8949082
15.7656961 3.6408848 73.9834826 5.075 8.89943294 48.8246617
2.59101467 22.1823668 10.0000809 7.105 2.78358818 9.135
20.1696093 19.3838013 37.1263717 1.015 19.2583132
14.6904419 9.15058881 61.4211193 1.015 9.25672803
5.39789108 3.12639707 4.52519697 1.015 8.06456928 PASO 3: SE MULT
11.7752701 23.2567398 15.5383494 0 16.7331628
4.63866678 42.1181748 44.239733 2.03 13.3342801
10.3187378 19.1898334 51.3034368 1.015 19.1984708 181
19.3266278 12.9245319 58.9710842 2.03 15.5367471 1734.77994
39.4861254 34.8844545 162.853878 3.045 23.5306914 2305.04649
7.18876453 28.410625 54.2910152 3.045 18.3790025 16560.0954
8.06224183 8.29953947 85.5242488 0 0.4236606 490.245
4.40325549 8.82031886 28.0017759 1.015 3.59549098
11.1021694 14.950563 113.136263 1.015 2.96006637
16.8661009 8.95720832 25.715172 2.03 8.90183355 PASO 4: SE OBTIENE I
9.52428507 0.75393382 66.9153431 3.045 3.56402581
0.95905111 4.19346956 5.24936523 5.075 4.15741668
1.24434925 41.2508072 115.135463 13.195 14.9794576 #NAME?
1.66150893 69.5380471 55.5833356 14.21 8.4474148 #NAME?
46.045572 13.5126502 246.742494 2.03 16.8067213 #NAME?
14.857218 24.6072512 179.210035 4.06 14.407116 #NAME?
7.7308846 22.0157772 6.57811764 2.03 10.7019501 #NAME?
11.8578148 30.7261278 29.9431744 6.09 20.0967994
5.25058547 12.9799317 14.9667591 0 9.27624808
7.44705759 13.2342285 0.68557922 0 10.711531 PASO 5: SE OBTIENE EL
6.03502138 18.0200832 36.3037322 2.03 13.1838173
0.31546231 20.8598808 92.9796493 4.06 11.534215
12.566609 31.0426085 92.268616 2.03 5.58189842 1584.0575
15.4158497 11.1963521 80.6413154 4.06 9.64100413 17260.7227
19.4328084 6.42970523 67.9672062 4.06 15.184372 23406.5426
7.13206877 2.9779142 29.6680829 1.015 5.8412843 143093.603
9.97888438 40.0737492 69.1330972 4.06 21.4287774 4622.50736
7.30725091 8.84214219 48.639527 1.015 4.2423223
7.9731909 18.1124711 24.0675176 0 8.09896008 PASO 6: MULTIPLIC
10.7342286 4.32332419 78.9079612 2.03 5.13433668
8.80665814 2.07993231 53.6564419 1.015 0.58619696 #NAME?
4.78068453 3.01694916 18.7317888 2.03 9.91959606 #NAME?
4.4698544 3.40643424 41.1034207 1.015 2.72293869 #NAME?
3.43351011 4.16719834 59.4961397 3.045 1.56227532 #NAME?
14.8584334 43.6527985 83.6687762 13.195 23.0822184 #NAME?
12.312103 16.6644706 57.933667 1.015 10.8795945 PASO 7: INTERPRETACIÓN
19.7157523 38.3716203 92.8825269 3.045 13.3619615 BETA
2.72156067 2.49971022 57.6661087 2.03 5.32598619
0.23984705 3.14422367 8.95067529 1.015 0.1754126 β0= 5.43
20.5720386 9.30830553 162.302126 1.015 4.0767627 β1= 0.25
1.98540378 22.8839664 79.2258909 9.135 7.6416934 β2= 0.14
1.2149436 21.0238263 33.9257615 5.075 6.69274512 β3= -0.009
5.84122319 12.663788 22.2691169 6.09 3.74069857 β4= -0.062
5.42866762 14.2151186 0.3552056 5.075 7.81087808
4.56123861 19.3231299 97.201624 7.105 18.3589146
8.68722513 11.6375556 3.51143921 5.075 9.82549979
7.169221 22.1211382 103.225977 2.03 19.8886033
15.2058164 34.1823475 2.15361846 9.135 17.6558683
21.6335995 26.2040972 83.3924069 9.135 15.8735172
20.538402 29.4055188 140.772192 5.075 8.5794339
16.7394953 15.6128643 44.5483733 6.09 14.3627062
13.8206303 7.32106707 66.146138 1.015 7.76948068
8.31562284 0.41772905 29.1858104 0 13.3350763
2.42541956 3.28384561 189.907351 1.015 17.118515
19.3538074 0.71263104 120.061503 2.03 9.48385443
3.40393277 1.42576279 239.275438 3.045 19.3110525
11.5893868 5.88484956 115.367776 1.015 2.60414137
12.5810377 5.9004117 59.4918739 2.03 8.55688429
13.3917627 5.85064042 33.246501 0 11.2845051
7.15343074 3.78080691 102.418021 2.03 18.2191897
1.82475941 11.54408 49.0163933 4.06 6.47249728
8.32029668 13.2719601 126.512082 0 0.15929378
9.89683781 17.7625572 299.715972 4.06 13.9797661
18.2887831 18.7131693 125.130256 3.045 11.6954098
13.4734578 24.4254734 168.802224 2.03 2.13316854
14.7034803 9.33933175 9.83499531 0 17.8960766
10.3616168 8.86260985 57.6293519 3.045 7.41495194
9.72576409 3.86752228 37.0119615 0 8.63594811
9.76501293 7.13464055 2.00263137 1.015 11.5496685
12.4533419 4.40232757 101.648347 3.045 4.67551147
2.99314276 3.72258677 82.7810173 3.045 4.76418747
6.88402409 6.30742524 25.2351892 0 10.0434397
8.12262195 4.30800434 55.2851319 1.015 4.46019081
8.51985758 6.92891465 29.1858104 2.03 8.68265686
6.04664405 7.86082449 51.8615919 0 3.1698908
0.37968765 4.2573972 32.2533757 7.105 4.08652327
8.0671931 15.9705476 1.82226261 4.06 7.7049377
2.15010398 19.4293358 65.9054985 5.075 3.50530327
7.00790062 6.00184786 3.13844241 1.015 8.48176869
3.6748259 13.8299479 1.42977908 0 4.91664411
8.63768293 2.20359626 115.120591 4.06 0.26659779
21.5607383 1.35658451 73.4114128 1.015 18.8786954
10.5656485 17.9527894 55.4909296 4.06 6.93796868
4.42154712 7.73098992 60.2550782 2.03 10.9276132
3.47240148 10.6599946 59.7448139 2.03 12.0147982
5.67153442 8.92199933 26.7416674 4.06 3.83852051
1.78915098 2.20814345 70.2039645 0 9.07336197
0.59568351 4.07379298 121.732791 3.045 11.1460973
6.64787979 15.1862549 18.6464503 2.03 8.94438557
7.08942772 12.4046861 52.6379638 0 11.5775763
10.6947673 18.0924029 52.3343897 4.06 7.8333868
6.01360876 12.8618871 24.5849137 2.03 7.83725798
14.0182321 20.743596 64.1837176 4.06 10.8620027
9.62966305 10.409089 102.668711 1.015 2.68168128
2.31223447 3.42924701 107.644929 2.03 9.0650808
9.02913614 9.13945451 1.17442883 0 9.26336726
5.84558776 8.87792816 29.5087586 0 7.10758067
9.66844982 7.03244725 25.9772967 1.015 9.37463817
9.6589218 21.4301774 7.69391439 2.03 10.9617856
8.0560284 12.628496 33.8851612 1.015 6.09566355
5.28162821 13.7427843 33.8851612 2.03 7.94725941
10.1356431 18.951542 6.21883784 2.03 10.6523492
8.63801175 15.0995381 62.6795307 2.03 4.58981531
12.0127505 23.2061547 73.3638399 1.015 17.2199078
14.4460628 25.1812711 55.1608413 2.03 11.9833739
21.3914348 11.1998932 196.436526 0 10.423403
14.084864 6.60990721 48.893512 2.03 17.769544
10.2986394 7.36402344 31.7678742 1.015 13.2555932
8.21064279 14.6587999 92.8647255 2.03 14.8076944
9.05107721 11.1996788 19.1566754 2.03 9.6243509
2.50930181 10.0052875 238.48977 1.015 14.9175986
6.77301646 9.1634079 100.105881 1.015 11.4615257
14.8283626 17.8166233 23.9362603 2.03 14.7935129
19.7987255 10.1177249 124.711434 0 15.337336
10.4721964 12.5143212 12.9921774 0 9.69415108
11.7921348 1.03786469 26.1251083 1.015 9.82496122
3.42312233 2.0694209 133.604065 0 8.99591842
8.61388132 13.7171069 134.232937 4.06 4.27914726
0.89504205 12.7843753 69.9379574 2.03 2.60753315
23.7184104 14.626327 422.932885 5.075 3.69268
12.6310003 10.760388 576.033782 7.105 15.3904776
24.393639 7.19801521 515.193315 0 3.0407631
5.13182747 15.6595171 8.91797645 1.015 5.16625171
1.3020617 6.03703152 149.245339 1.015 7.07122497
4.86610555 0.58632043 16.1114494 3.045 5.44388211
2.82515365 5.4731631 5.04910061 1.015 4.44835616
14.5885387 7.09243146 71.1404999 4.06 11.2379872
16.4983122 6.16382609 62.7689347 2.03 14.857355
4.09591719 10.2108113 69.96139 4.06 7.84940563
7.3742959 6.67796978 30.0594321 1.015 9.82200625
9.95275971 5.83237065 84.3348912 2.03 6.57320165
5.3236865 5.71749799 91.280806 2.03 9.65439243
12.6102287 14.0600605 63.2938792 0 10.3572327
9.82794123 14.1527254 429.16141 2.03 7.73151442
8.00179992 5.13451623 185.500679 2.03 10.9758637
5.19040033 5.10604356 79.9480208 0 7.83442913
8.34247204 9.47654852 206.779462 1.015 3.8155357
22.9293041 9.64837211 379.676335 2.03 11.3195664
1.52126306 6.05305502 125.333273 1.015 5.38970626
2.89180827 3.40560647 107.110528 1.015 5.9081878
13.2010049 2.59874518 61.2146581 1.015 10.2955905
6.6354603 9.31718808 67.0424683 0 5.32734764
1.95497834 12.1388161 73.4503179 2.03 3.43822305
2.66323129 2.26922628 91.4184673 1.015 4.50577534
0.85188316 1.6671001 23.6380546 3.045 1.26931683
7.30054635 4.35156596 302.848453 1.015 2.09623364
21.1824182 14.3416477 471.364888 5.075 1.70351946
23.6101038 33.1245194 330.205128 5.075 7.35869379
6.49798272 44.1949007 368.57091 12.18 12.2884587
1.91721816 58.3670751 9.369061 14.21 3.48696854
7.19628587 30.4878034 163.31953 8.12 4.58519796
11.1998328 14.1978626 248.596842 3.045 6.13987019
1.3411391 15.6716626 8.61016582 1.015 0.11317389
1.02464103 19.0827035 56.2715037 0 5.42839661
13.1167698 20.8483516 118.309708 5.075 8.22560123
5.04232699 14.4823926 3.5736738 1.015 6.54694092
7.05376576 3.84961171 33.2245997 2.03 10.3361382
12.3395075 5.09266508 145.53681 3.045 5.07919345
1.58929796 2.22068764 41.3820708 1.015 2.04441081
5.36846238 10.2630574 27.6334156 1.015 4.4023188
0.616584 8.64289669 35.0629428 5.075 3.40978038
16.4637958 8.99815941 178.896847 3.045 6.10106302
7.78398863 6.38674394 91.0403956 0 1.71971007
0.51475235 0.79983684 30.949601 4.06 2.68122745
26.2993297 6.42550919 294.824041 1.015 2.82953439
43.2922922 6.87289414 698.20091 4.06 4.7564211
5.90187391 3.12061353 79.3372444 0 2.08539895
5.92038461 2.37925012 35.4641692 3.045 4.7341414
2.18173191 8.03968528 114.457637 5.075 8.51761272
11.2025029 5.5529804 137.230055 0 4.80552945
13.133135 13.5808091 83.6770841 6.09 9.47763331
10.1351197 6.32880224 24.9888184 2.03 9.30624852
10.6211428 9.17107589 15.3574597 3.045 11.4221249
4.97762904 4.74115416 7.69776171 2.03 6.05183646
PASO 2: SE OBTIENE X'

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
11.8662099 15.7656961 2.59101467 20.1696093 14.6904419 5.39789108 11.7752701 4.63866678
5.59797963 3.6408848 22.1823668 19.3838013 9.15058881 3.12639707 23.2567398 42.1181748
73.9731222 73.9834826 10.0000809 37.1263717 61.4211193 4.52519697 15.5383494 44.239733
5.075 5.075 7.105 1.015 1.015 1.015 0 2.03

PASO 3: SE MULTIPLICA X'*X

1734.77994 2305.04649 16560.0954 490.245


26201.9664 23633.7047 225733.468 4647.76181
23633.7047 50519.1856 217304.026 9603.87546
225733.468 217304.026 3602051.01 51492.524
4647.76181 9603.87546 51492.524 2687.85703

PASO 4: SE OBTIENE INVERSA DE X'*X

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?


#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

PASO 5: SE OBTIENE EL PRODUCTO DE X'*Y

PASO 6: MULTIPLICAR (X'X)-1 X'Y


β0
β1
β2
β3
β4
PASO 7: INTERPRETACIÓN DE COEFICIENTES
BETA

Por cada miles de pesos el consumo aumenta a 5.43 en miles de pesos


Por cada miles de pesos el ingreso aumenta a 0.25 en miles de pesos
Por cada miles de pesos la producción incrementa a 0.14 miles de pesos
Por cada miles de pesos los ahorros disminuyen a -0.009 miles de pesos.
El desempelo disminuye a un -0.062 en promedio a la tasa anual
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
10.3187378 19.3266278 39.4861254 7.18876453 8.06224183 4.40325549 11.1021694 16.8661009
19.1898334 12.9245319 34.8844545 28.410625 8.29953947 8.82031886 14.950563 8.95720832
51.3034368 58.9710842 162.853878 54.2910152 85.5242488 28.0017759 113.136263 25.715172
1.015 2.03 3.045 3.045 0 1.015 1.015 2.03
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9.52428507 0.95905111 1.24434925 1.66150893 46.045572 14.857218 7.7308846 11.8578148
0.75393382 4.19346956 41.2508072 69.5380471 13.5126502 24.6072512 22.0157772 30.7261278
66.9153431 5.24936523 115.135463 55.5833356 246.742494 179.210035 6.57811764 29.9431744
3.045 5.075 13.195 14.21 2.03 4.06 2.03 6.09
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
5.25058547 7.44705759 6.03502138 0.31546231 12.566609 15.4158497 19.4328084 7.13206877
12.9799317 13.2342285 18.0200832 20.8598808 31.0426085 11.1963521 6.42970523 2.9779142
14.9667591 0.68557922 36.3037322 92.9796493 92.268616 80.6413154 67.9672062 29.6680829
0 0 2.03 4.06 2.03 4.06 4.06 1.015
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9.97888438 7.30725091 7.9731909 10.7342286 8.80665814 4.78068453 4.4698544 3.43351011
40.0737492 8.84214219 18.1124711 4.32332419 2.07993231 3.01694916 3.40643424 4.16719834
69.1330972 48.639527 24.0675176 78.9079612 53.6564419 18.7317888 41.1034207 59.4961397
4.06 1.015 0 2.03 1.015 2.03 1.015 3.045
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
14.8584334 12.312103 19.7157523 2.72156067 0.23984705 20.5720386 1.98540378 1.2149436
43.6527985 16.6644706 38.3716203 2.49971022 3.14422367 9.30830553 22.8839664 21.0238263
83.6687762 57.933667 92.8825269 57.6661087 8.95067529 162.302126 79.2258909 33.9257615
13.195 1.015 3.045 2.03 1.015 1.015 9.135 5.075
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
5.84122319 5.42866762 4.56123861 8.68722513 7.169221 15.2058164 21.6335995 20.538402
12.663788 14.2151186 19.3231299 11.6375556 22.1211382 34.1823475 26.2040972 29.4055188
22.2691169 0.3552056 97.201624 3.51143921 103.225977 2.15361846 83.3924069 140.772192
6.09 5.075 7.105 5.075 2.03 9.135 9.135 5.075
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
16.7394953 13.8206303 8.31562284 2.42541956 19.3538074 3.40393277 11.5893868 12.5810377
15.6128643 7.32106707 0.41772905 3.28384561 0.71263104 1.42576279 5.88484956 5.9004117
44.5483733 66.146138 29.1858104 189.907351 120.061503 239.275438 115.367776 59.4918739
6.09 1.015 0 1.015 2.03 3.045 1.015 2.03
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
13.3917627 7.15343074 1.82475941 8.32029668 9.89683781 18.2887831 13.4734578 14.7034803
5.85064042 3.78080691 11.54408 13.2719601 17.7625572 18.7131693 24.4254734 9.33933175
33.246501 102.418021 49.0163933 126.512082 299.715972 125.130256 168.802224 9.83499531
0 2.03 4.06 0 4.06 3.045 2.03 0
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
10.3616168 9.72576409 9.76501293 12.4533419 2.99314276 6.88402409 8.12262195 8.51985758
8.86260985 3.86752228 7.13464055 4.40232757 3.72258677 6.30742524 4.30800434 6.92891465
57.6293519 37.0119615 2.00263137 101.648347 82.7810173 25.2351892 55.2851319 29.1858104
3.045 0 1.015 3.045 3.045 0 1.015 2.03
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
6.04664405 0.37968765 8.0671931 2.15010398 7.00790062 3.6748259 8.63768293 21.5607383
7.86082449 4.2573972 15.9705476 19.4293358 6.00184786 13.8299479 2.20359626 1.35658451
51.8615919 32.2533757 1.82226261 65.9054985 3.13844241 1.42977908 115.120591 73.4114128
0 7.105 4.06 5.075 1.015 0 4.06 1.015
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
10.5656485 4.42154712 3.47240148 5.67153442 1.78915098 0.59568351 6.64787979 7.08942772
17.9527894 7.73098992 10.6599946 8.92199933 2.20814345 4.07379298 15.1862549 12.4046861
55.4909296 60.2550782 59.7448139 26.7416674 70.2039645 121.732791 18.6464503 52.6379638
4.06 2.03 2.03 4.06 0 3.045 2.03 0
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
10.6947673 6.01360876 14.0182321 9.62966305 2.31223447 9.02913614 5.84558776 9.66844982
18.0924029 12.8618871 20.743596 10.409089 3.42924701 9.13945451 8.87792816 7.03244725
52.3343897 24.5849137 64.1837176 102.668711 107.644929 1.17442883 29.5087586 25.9772967
4.06 2.03 4.06 1.015 2.03 0 0 1.015
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9.6589218 8.0560284 5.28162821 10.1356431 8.63801175 12.0127505 14.4460628 21.3914348
21.4301774 12.628496 13.7427843 18.951542 15.0995381 23.2061547 25.1812711 11.1998932
7.69391439 33.8851612 33.8851612 6.21883784 62.6795307 73.3638399 55.1608413 196.436526
2.03 1.015 2.03 2.03 2.03 1.015 2.03 0
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
14.084864 10.2986394 8.21064279 9.05107721 2.50930181 6.77301646 14.8283626 19.7987255
6.60990721 7.36402344 14.6587999 11.1996788 10.0052875 9.1634079 17.8166233 10.1177249
48.893512 31.7678742 92.8647255 19.1566754 238.48977 100.105881 23.9362603 124.711434
2.03 1.015 2.03 2.03 1.015 1.015 2.03 0
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
10.4721964 11.7921348 3.42312233 8.61388132 0.89504205 23.7184104 12.6310003 24.393639
12.5143212 1.03786469 2.0694209 13.7171069 12.7843753 14.626327 10.760388 7.19801521
12.9921774 26.1251083 133.604065 134.232937 69.9379574 422.932885 576.033782 515.193315
0 1.015 0 4.06 2.03 5.075 7.105 0
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
5.13182747 1.3020617 4.86610555 2.82515365 14.5885387 16.4983122 4.09591719 7.3742959
15.6595171 6.03703152 0.58632043 5.4731631 7.09243146 6.16382609 10.2108113 6.67796978
8.91797645 149.245339 16.1114494 5.04910061 71.1404999 62.7689347 69.96139 30.0594321
1.015 1.015 3.045 1.015 4.06 2.03 4.06 1.015
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9.95275971 5.3236865 12.6102287 9.82794123 8.00179992 5.19040033 8.34247204 22.9293041
5.83237065 5.71749799 14.0600605 14.1527254 5.13451623 5.10604356 9.47654852 9.64837211
84.3348912 91.280806 63.2938792 429.16141 185.500679 79.9480208 206.779462 379.676335
2.03 2.03 0 2.03 2.03 0 1.015 2.03
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1.52126306 2.89180827 13.2010049 6.6354603 1.95497834 2.66323129 0.85188316 7.30054635
6.05305502 3.40560647 2.59874518 9.31718808 12.1388161 2.26922628 1.6671001 4.35156596
125.333273 107.110528 61.2146581 67.0424683 73.4503179 91.4184673 23.6380546 302.848453
1.015 1.015 1.015 0 2.03 1.015 3.045 1.015
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
21.1824182 23.6101038 6.49798272 1.91721816 7.19628587 11.1998328 1.3411391 1.02464103
14.3416477 33.1245194 44.1949007 58.3670751 30.4878034 14.1978626 15.6716626 19.0827035
471.364888 330.205128 368.57091 9.369061 163.31953 248.596842 8.61016582 56.2715037
5.075 5.075 12.18 14.21 8.12 3.045 1.015 0
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
13.1167698 5.04232699 7.05376576 12.3395075 1.58929796 5.36846238 0.616584 16.4637958
20.8483516 14.4823926 3.84961171 5.09266508 2.22068764 10.2630574 8.64289669 8.99815941
118.309708 3.5736738 33.2245997 145.53681 41.3820708 27.6334156 35.0629428 178.896847
5.075 1.015 2.03 3.045 1.015 1.015 5.075 3.045
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7.78398863 0.51475235 26.2993297 43.2922922 5.90187391 5.92038461 2.18173191 11.2025029
6.38674394 0.79983684 6.42550919 6.87289414 3.12061353 2.37925012 8.03968528 5.5529804
91.0403956 30.949601 294.824041 698.20091 79.3372444 35.4641692 114.457637 137.230055
0 4.06 1.015 4.06 0 3.045 5.075 0
1 1 1 1
13.133135 10.1351197 10.6211428 4.97762904
13.5808091 6.32880224 9.17107589 4.74115416
83.6770841 24.9888184 15.3574597 7.69776171
6.09 2.03 3.045 2.03
Referencias

Basado en el actividad 8 de la integración de las fases de especificación y estimación de modelos ec


Recuperado del material de apoyo de seduca.
ión y estimación de modelos econométricos.

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